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Democracy in Lebanon: Political parties and the struggle for power since Syrian withdrawal 黎巴嫩的民主:自叙利亚撤军以来的政党和权力斗争
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-11-28 DOI: 10.1080/13629395.2021.2009253
Rosita Di Peri
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引用次数: 3
On the scarcity and promise of survey-based studies of international relations and security affairs in the Middle East 中东国际关系与安全事务调查研究的匮乏与前景
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-11-16 DOI: 10.1080/13629395.2021.1996764
Justin J. Gengler
ABSTRACT Despite a dramatic increase in the availability and quality of public opinion data from the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) since the Arab uprisings of 2011, the use of surveys to study international relations and security affairs in the region remains notably rare. One likely reason for the dearth of survey-based work is the assumption that there are relatively few important questions regarding which citizens in the mostly authoritarian MENA states can be expected to influence outcomes, particularly those relevant to Western foreign policy interests that have historically dominated the research agenda. This introduction contends that current events, as well as governments’ own behaviour, contradict the idea that public opinion does not inform or constrain the policy choices of MENA leaders on international and security issues. But it also argues that such popular influence on foreign and security policy should not be the standard for judging the utility of survey-based research. It concludes by introducing the articles of this Themed Section, which, although examining diverse substantive topics, are united in showing the value of survey methods and evidence for generating novel insights about international and security affairs in the MENA region.
摘要尽管自2011年阿拉伯起义以来,中东和北非(MENA)的民意数据的可用性和质量大幅提高,但使用调查来研究该地区的国际关系和安全事务的情况仍然非常罕见。缺乏基于调查的工作的一个可能原因是,人们认为,在以威权主义为主的中东和北非国家,哪些公民可以影响结果的重要问题相对较少,尤其是那些与西方外交政策利益相关的问题,这些利益在历史上一直主导着研究议程。这篇引言认为,当前的事件以及政府自身的行为与公众舆论不会影响或限制中东和北非地区领导人在国际和安全问题上的政策选择的观点相矛盾。但它也认为,这种对外交和安全政策的普遍影响不应该成为判断基于调查的研究效用的标准。最后,它介绍了本主题部分的文章,这些文章虽然审查了不同的实质性主题,但在展示调查方法和证据的价值方面是一致的,可以对中东和北非地区的国际和安全事务产生新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The unfinished Arab Spring: Micro-dynamics of revolts between change and continuity 未完成的阿拉伯之春:变革与延续之间反抗的微观动力
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-11-10 DOI: 10.1080/13629395.2021.2001067
Nur Köprülü
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引用次数: 0
Women reporters as experts on security affairs in Jordan? Rethinking gender and issue competency stereotypes 女记者作为约旦安全事务专家?重新思考性别和能力刻板印象
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-11-03 DOI: 10.1080/13629395.2021.1996765
Calvert W. Jones, Jocelyn Sage Mitchell
ABSTRACT Research on gender and issue competency stereotypes frequently deems security affairs a “stereotypically masculine” domain. Traditionally, men are seen as more credible authorities in arenas such as crime and the military, while women are assumed to be more credible in “stereotypically feminine” ones like childcare and health. But women’s roles in politics, media, and other influential sectors are rapidly changing in the Mediterranean and MENA region. To test the conventional wisdom, we conducted an original, nationally representative survey in Jordan (n=885) focused on the media sector, using an embedded experiment assessing beliefs about the suitability of men versus women to report and offer commentary on national security affairs—specifically, an internal security threat (a high-profile bank robbery). Strong patriarchal norms suggest that the country should be an “easy case” for theories positing bias against women as experts in stereotypically masculine issue areas. Our results, however, do not support this conventional wisdom, instead suggesting egalitarianism and even a modest credibility advantage for women on assumptions about expertise. Theoretically, we contribute by proposing three novel explanations for why and when women in patriarchal contexts may evade classic sexist backlash, and perhaps achieve greater credibility than men, as authorities in traditionally masculine domains.
对性别和问题能力刻板印象的研究经常认为安全事务是一个“刻板的男性化”领域。传统上,男性在犯罪和军事等领域被视为更可信的权威,而女性在儿童保育和健康等“刻板印象中的女性”领域被认为更可信。但在地中海和中东和北非地区,女性在政治、媒体和其他有影响力的部门中的角色正在迅速变化。为了检验传统观点,我们在约旦(n=885)进行了一项具有全国代表性的原创调查,重点关注媒体部门,使用了一项嵌入式实验来评估人们对男性与女性是否适合报道和评论国家安全事务的看法,特别是内部安全威胁(备受关注的银行抢劫案)。强烈的父权规范表明,该国应该是一个“容易的案例”,因为有理论认为,在刻板的男性问题领域,女性是专家。然而,我们的研究结果并不支持这种传统观点,相反,它表明了平等主义,甚至在对专业知识的假设上,女性有适度的可信度优势。从理论上讲,我们提出了三种新颖的解释,解释为什么以及何时,父权制背景下的女性可以逃避典型的性别歧视反弹,并可能比男性获得更大的可信度,作为传统男性领域的权威。
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引用次数: 0
Turkey, the EU, and the Middle East: Foreign policy cooperation and the Arab uprisings 土耳其、欧盟和中东:外交政策合作与阿拉伯起义
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-11-02 DOI: 10.1080/13629395.2021.2001074
Cangul Altundas-Akcay
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引用次数: 0
Armenians beyond diaspora: Making Lebanon their own 亚美尼亚人远离流散:让黎巴嫩成为自己的家园
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-10-11 DOI: 10.1080/13629395.2021.1989743
Sean Lee
decades? In filling these theoretical and empirical gaps, the author adopts a doublepaired comparison of individuals’ emotions, decisions, and behaviours towards calls for public protests against incumbent rulers in Egypt and Morocco. The author utilizes examples of public mobilization in two Arab regimes, where the outcome of public mobilization was different. This emphasizes the importance of public mobilization against authoritarian leaders in different autocratic settings. To support this argument, the author uses a combination of three methodologies, an ethnographic study based on face-to-face interviews with a selection of respondents from different age groups and socioeconomic backgrounds, speech analysis, and the examination of social media content, mainly Facebook. By analysing members’ interactions on two Facebook groups, We Are All Khaled Said and le mouvement du 20 février, the author depicts participants’ emotions and infers motives related to the improvement of socioeconomic conditions, the consolidation of political and individual freedom, and the assertion of human dignity, behind their engagement in protests against authoritarian regimes in Egypt and Morocco. The author investigates these Facebook groups’ discussions in addition to the in person interviews she conducted with various actors to identify factors that generate both positive emotions and negative emotions. Then, she explains how these emotions and motives lead to either participation or disengagement from protest activities. This book provides a concise and synthetized study on the impact of emotions on individuals’ behaviours and decisions towards participation in protests against authoritarian regimes. In doing so, it sheds light on the reasoning process underlining emotions’ impact on individual decisions of engagement or disengagement into protests. It is a singular, rich, and novel study in the field of Social Movement Theories and Political Psychology, and hence, should be a guiding reference for scholars and students specialized in these fields in general and in the Middle East and North Africa in particular.
几十年?为了填补这些理论和经验上的空白,作者采用了一种双重对比的方法,比较了埃及和摩洛哥民众对反对现任统治者的公众抗议的情绪、决定和行为。作者利用了两个阿拉伯政权的公众动员的例子,在那里,公众动员的结果是不同的。这强调了在不同的专制环境中动员公众反对专制领导人的重要性。为了支持这一论点,作者使用了三种方法的组合,一种基于面对面访谈的民族志研究,选择了来自不同年龄组和社会经济背景的受访者,语音分析,以及对社交媒体内容(主要是Facebook)的检查。作者通过分析成员在两个Facebook群组(We Are All Khaled Said和le movement du 20 fsamvrier)上的互动,描绘了参与者的情绪,并推断出他们参与抗议埃及和摩洛哥独裁政权背后的动机,这些动机与改善社会经济条件、巩固政治和个人自由以及维护人类尊严有关。作者调查了这些Facebook小组的讨论,以及她对各种演员进行的亲自采访,以确定产生积极情绪和消极情绪的因素。然后,她解释了这些情绪和动机是如何导致参与或脱离抗议活动的。这本书提供了一个简洁和综合的研究情绪对个人的行为和决定的影响,参与抗议独裁政权。在这样做的过程中,它揭示了强调情绪对参与或不参与抗议的个人决定的影响的推理过程。在社会运动理论和政治心理学领域,这是一个独特的、丰富的、新颖的研究,因此,应该是专门研究这些领域的学者和学生的指导参考,特别是在中东和北非。
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引用次数: 0
Hot contention, cool abstention: Positive emotions and protest behavior during the Arab spring 激烈的争论,冷静的弃权:阿拉伯之春中的积极情绪和抗议行为
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-10-11 DOI: 10.1080/13629395.2021.1989742
Shaimaa Magued
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引用次数: 2
The fourth ordeal: A history of the Muslim brotherhood in Egypt, 1968-2018 第四个考验:1968-2018年埃及穆斯林兄弟会的历史
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-10-10 DOI: 10.1080/13629395.2021.1989741
Lucia Ardovini
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引用次数: 4
Competing visions for the EU’s southern strategy: Restraint, preventative engagement, and selective intervention 欧盟南部战略的不同愿景:克制、预防性接触和选择性干预
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-09-28 DOI: 10.1080/13629395.2021.1981083
P. Silva
ABSTRACT The most powerful European Union (EU) member states have suffered devastating terrorist attacks in the past decades and identify Islamist terrorism as one of the most pressing threats to their national security. They recognize that instability in the southern neighbourhood has exacerbated the threat Islamist terrorism poses to their national security. Adopting an intergovernmental approach, I argue that member states’ southern strategies are a product of threat perceptions and policy response preferences. This article creates a typology of security strategies through using content analysis to categorize EU member states’ threat perceptions and policy response preferences as indicated in national security strategies produced in 2009–2018 period. Based on my analysis of member states’ threat perceptions and policy response preferences to threats emanating in the southern neighbourhood, I conceptualize three southern security strategies: restraint, preventative engagement, and selective intervention. Based on this typology, I identify the EU member states’ southern security strategy. Focusing particularly on the most powerful EU member states, namely the EU-5 , I then apply this typology to make some tentative predictions on the shifts in the EU’s southern strategy post-Brexit. I expect the EU’s southern security strategy to shift towards one of selective intervention in the post-Brexit period.
在过去的几十年里,最强大的欧盟成员国遭受了毁灭性的恐怖袭击,并将伊斯兰恐怖主义视为对其国家安全最紧迫的威胁之一。他们认识到,南部邻国的不稳定加剧了伊斯兰恐怖主义对其国家安全构成的威胁。采用政府间方法,我认为成员国的南方战略是威胁感知和政策反应偏好的产物。本文通过内容分析对欧盟成员国在2009-2018年期间制定的国家安全战略中所显示的威胁感知和政策应对偏好进行分类,创建了一个安全战略类型学。基于我对成员国的威胁感知和对南部邻国产生的威胁的政策反应偏好的分析,我概念化了三种南部安全战略:克制、预防性接触和选择性干预。基于这一类型学,我确定了欧盟成员国的南方安全战略。我特别关注最强大的欧盟成员国,即欧盟五国,然后运用这种类型学对英国脱欧后欧盟南部战略的变化做出一些初步预测。我预计,在英国脱欧后的时期,欧盟的南部安全战略将转向选择性干预。
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引用次数: 0
The international sources of prejudice against Shi‘a in the Middle East and North Africa: Original survey evidence from Morocco 中东和北非对什叶派的偏见的国际来源:来自摩洛哥的原始调查证据
IF 1.7 3区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2021-09-20 DOI: 10.1080/13629395.2021.1974198
Matt Buehler, J. Schulhofer-Wohl
ABSTRACT The increasing sectarianization of the international relations of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is a defining feature of the region’s contemporary politics. Iran has sought to increase its influence among Shi‘i populations of foreign countries, while Saudi Arabia and other Sunni regimes have moved to curtail it. In heterogeneous and polarized MENA societies, like Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq, where the Shi‘a constitute a sizable proportion of the population and compete for political power, it is natural to presume that sectarianization likely increases tension and prejudice against the Shi‘a. Yet, little is known about homogenous MENA societies, where the Shi‘a exist as an infinitesimal, uninfluential minority that does not seek political power. This topic is examined using an original, nationally-representative survey of 2,000 respondents in Morocco. We find that about 59 per cent of individuals express interpersonal prejudice against Moroccan Shi‘a, expressing discomfort at the prospect of having a Shi‘i neighbour. Such prejudice is counter-intuitive, given that Moroccan Shi‘a constitute a miniscule minority – less than .1 per cent of the population. We investigate three hypotheses concerning the sources of anti-Shi‘i prejudice, which locate them in social marginalization, religious beliefs and practices, and views about regional politics. The first two hypotheses are drawn from the existing literature, whereas the third is our unique theoretical contribution. Our results, which find support for the connection between individuals’ views about regional politics and anti-Shi‘i prejudice, advance scholarly understanding of religious diversity in the MENA, showing how international developments can trickle down into interpersonal relations to hinder the acceptance and tolerance of sectarian minorities.
中东和北非国际关系日益宗派化是该地区当代政治的一个决定性特征。伊朗试图增加其在外国什叶派人口中的影响力,而沙特阿拉伯和其他逊尼派政权则采取行动遏制这种影响力。在叙利亚、黎巴嫩和伊拉克等异质和两极分化的中东和北非社会,什叶派在人口中占相当大的比例,并在争夺政治权力,人们很自然地认为,宗派主义可能会加剧对什叶派的紧张和偏见。然而,人们对同质的中东和北非社会知之甚少,在那里,什叶派是一个不寻求政治权力的无限小、不受影响的少数民族。这一主题是通过对摩洛哥2000名受访者进行的具有全国代表性的原始调查进行研究的。我们发现,大约59%的人对摩洛哥什叶派表示人际偏见,对有什叶派邻居的前景表示不安。这种偏见是违背直觉的,因为摩洛哥什叶派是一个极少数民族,不到人口的0.1%。我们研究了关于反什叶派偏见来源的三个假设,这些假设将其定位于社会边缘化、宗教信仰和实践以及对地区政治的看法。前两个假设来自现有文献,而第三个是我们独特的理论贡献。我们的研究结果支持了个人对地区政治的看法与反什叶派偏见之间的联系,促进了学术界对中东和北非地区宗教多样性的理解,表明国际发展如何渗透到人际关系中,阻碍对宗派少数群体的接受和宽容。
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Mediterranean Politics
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