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A robust model to estimate a firm’s average economic return 估算企业平均经济回报的稳健模型
IF 3.3 3区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcae.2023.100400
Morris G. Danielson

Theoretical studies question the ability of financial statement information to provide evidence about a firm’s economic performance, as the mathematical relation between a firm’s accounting and economic returns becomes intractable when economic depreciation is defined endogenously—as a function of the firm’s cash flow stream—and when its internal rate of return (IRR) and investment growth rate have not been constant. This paper derives a new equation, called the average internal rate of return (AIRR) estimation model, in which a firm’s AIRR is estimated as a function of its current-year accounting return, its current-year asset growth rate, a measure of accounting conservatism, and a term that identifies the firm’s historical investment growth rate trend. Because the model allows economic depreciation to be defined exogenously, non-constant returns and growth rates can be aggregated across investment cohorts, allowing a firm’s accounting return to be reconciled to its average economic return. One such exogenous schedule—called competitive market depreciation—is used to illustrate the model’s implications. The AIRR estimation model empowers analysts to identify the direction and magnitude of the potential difference between a firm’s accounting and economic return created by fixed asset depreciation, accounting accruals, and the immediate expensing of intangible assets.

理论研究质疑财务报表信息提供公司经济业绩证据的能力,因为当经济折旧被内生地定义为公司现金流的函数时,当公司的内部收益率(IRR)和投资增长率不是恒定不变时,公司的会计收益和经济收益之间的数学关系就变得难以解决。本文推导出一个新方程,称为平均内部收益率(AIRR)估算模型,其中公司的 AIRR 是由其当年的会计收益率、当年的资产增长率、会计保守程度和一个可识别公司历史投资增长率趋势的项组成的函数。由于该模型允许经济折旧的外生定义,非恒定回报率和增长率可以在不同的投资组群中汇总,从而使公司的会计回报率与其平均经济回报率相一致。我们用一个这样的外生时间表--竞争性市场折旧--来说明模型的意义。AIRR 估算模型使分析师能够确定固定资产折旧、会计权责发生制和无形资产即时费用化所造成的企业会计回报与经济回报之间潜在差异的方向和大小。
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引用次数: 0
Acquirers’ political connections and bargaining outcomes in corporate takeover negotiations: Evidence from antitrust reviews 收购方的政治关系与企业收购谈判中的讨价还价结果:来自反垄断审查的证据
IF 3.3 3区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcae.2023.100399
Simon Yu Kit Fung, Lawrence (Hong) Huang

We examine how acquirers’ political connections affect takeover bargaining that involves significant regulatory uncertainties, when the target’s options of putting itself to another bidder are restricted. Opposite to prior takeover theories, we show that a politically connected acquirer pays a lower (rather than higher) takeover premium to and shares a smaller portion of the takeover gains with the target in the context of antitrust reviews, consistent with a bargaining benefit for the connected acquirer. Corroborating this bargaining argument, we find that the results are more pronounced in situations where: (1) the antitrust concerns are more severe; (2) the targets have fewer outside options other than the connected acquirers; and (3) the acquirers’ political connections are more valuable. Our results highlight the value of political connections to shareholders in takeovers, affecting not only the likelihood of completion but also the bargaining outcomes of the deal under the shadow of costly regulation.

我们研究了收购方的政治关系如何影响涉及重大监管不确定性的收购讨价还价,此时目标公司向另一竞购者提出收购的选择受到了限制。与之前的收购理论相反,我们的研究表明,在反垄断审查的背景下,有政治关系的收购方会向目标公司支付较低(而非较高)的收购溢价,并与目标公司分享较小部分的收购收益,这与有政治关系的收购方的讨价还价利益是一致的。为了证实这种讨价还价的论点,我们发现在以下情况下结果更为明显(1) 反垄断问题更加严重;(2) 除关联收购方外,目标公司的外部选择更少;(3) 收购方的政治关系更有价值。我们的研究结果凸显了股东政治关系在收购中的价值,它不仅影响收购完成的可能性,还影响在高成本监管阴影下交易的讨价还价结果。
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引用次数: 0
Does opinion shopping impair auditor independence? Evidence from tax avoidance 征求意见是否会损害审计师的独立性?来自避税的证据
IF 3.3 3区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcae.2023.100398
Heesun Chung , Eugenia Y. Lee

In this study, we investigate whether a firm’s opportunistic switching of auditors for a favorable audit opinion, known as opinion shopping (OS), affects its tax avoidance activities. Using a sample of Korean firms over the 2006–2018 period, we find that firms that switch auditors for OS purposes engage in more aggressive tax avoidance than other firms. The association between OS-driven auditor switches and tax avoidance is more pronounced for switches to non-Big 4 auditors than to Big 4 auditors. The results are robust to various robustness tests that attempt to control for differences in the characteristics of OS and non-OS firms. Collectively, the findings suggest that auditors hired as a result of OS allow their clients to engage in more aggressive tax avoidance, which is consistent with impaired auditor independence. We contribute to the literature on OS by documenting evidence of the negative consequence of OS on corporate tax compliance. In addition, our findings suggest that firms’ tax and audit behaviors need to be monitored concurrently.

在本研究中,我们调查了企业为获得有利的审计意见而伺机更换审计师(即所谓的 "意见购物"(OS))是否会影响其避税活动。通过对 2006-2018 年间韩国公司的抽样调查,我们发现,与其他公司相比,出于 OS 目的更换审计师的公司会采取更激进的避税行为。与四大审计师相比,出于审计目的更换审计师与避税之间的关联在更换为非四大审计师时更为明显。各种稳健性检验试图控制OS公司和非OS公司的特征差异,但结果都是稳健的。总之,研究结果表明,由于 OS 而聘用的审计师允许其客户进行更激进的避税行为,这与审计师独立性受损是一致的。我们通过记录 OS 对企业税务合规性产生负面影响的证据,为有关 OS 的文献做出了贡献。此外,我们的研究结果表明,需要同时监控企业的税务和审计行为。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional investor horizons, information environment, and firm financing decisions 机构投资者视野、信息环境与企业融资决策
IF 3.3 3区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcae.2023.100397
Xin Chang , Yangyang Chen , Kangkang Fu , Endong Yang

We provide evidence that the investment horizons of institutional shareholders affect firms’ financing decisions. We find that short-term institutional ownership positively affects firms’ likelihood of equity relative to debt issues, the size of equity issues, and the likelihood of long-term relative to short-term debt issues. Firms held more by short-term institutions have lower financial leverage and longer debt maturities. These results suggest that short-horizon institutions, backed by buy-side research, improve the transparency of the information environment, which allows firms to issue more information-sensitive securities. Our findings suggest that institutional investor horizons influence firms’ financing decisions by shaping their information environment.

我们提供的证据表明,机构股东的投资期限会影响企业的融资决策。我们发现,短期机构持股会对公司发行股票的可能性、发行股票的规模以及发行长期债务的可能性产生积极影响。短期机构持股较多的公司财务杠杆较低,债务期限较长。这些结果表明,短线机构在买方研究的支持下,提高了信息环境的透明度,使企业能够发行对信息更敏感的证券。我们的研究结果表明,机构投资者的眼界通过塑造企业的信息环境来影响企业的融资决策。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of top management team incentive dispersion on Non-GAAP reporting 高层管理团队激励分散对非美国通用会计准则报告的影响
IF 3.3 3区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcae.2023.100396
Hannah E. Richards , Yuan Shi , Hongkang Xu

We examine whether the dispersion of pay-performance sensitivity (PPS) amongst the top management team (TMT) impacts the likelihood of firms disclosing non-GAAP earnings and the quality of non-GAAP earnings. Management compensation contracts are designed to incentivize executive team members individually and in the aggregate. By structuring these contracts to have similar PPS, those charged with governance can increase collaboration amongst the TMT. However, this collaboration can turn into the TMT colluding to make firm decisions that result in the highest compensation for the TMT. Thus, a greater dispersion of PPS can lead to less collusion. We find that the likelihood of firms reporting non-GAAP earnings decreases and the quality of non-GAAP earnings disclosures increases when there is a higher dispersion of PPS. These findings are consistent with executives that are less incentivized by temporary stock price increases suppressing other executives from eliciting firm scrutiny by disclosing non-GAAP earnings and releasing low-quality non-GAAP earnings. Additionally, we find these effects on non-GAAP earnings are more likely to occur in firms with weaker governance and when the management team has a shorter tenure of working together. Overall, our research provides evidence of the association between the dispersion of TMT PPS and non-GAAP earnings decisions.

我们研究了薪酬绩效敏感度(PPS)在高层管理团队(TMT)中的分布是否会影响公司披露非美国通用会计准则(Non-GAAP)收益的可能性以及非美国通用会计准则(Non-GAAP)收益的质量。管理层薪酬合同旨在激励高管团队成员的个人和整体表现。通过构建这些具有相似 PPS 的合同,负责治理的人员可以加强 TMT 之间的合作。然而,这种合作可能会演变成 TMT 相互串通,做出能为 TMT 带来最高薪酬的公司决策。因此,PPS 的更大分散性可以减少合谋。我们发现,当 PPS 的分散度较高时,公司报告非 GAAP 收益的可能性会降低,非 GAAP 收益披露的质量会提高。这些发现表明,受股价暂时上涨激励较小的高管,会抑制其他高管通过披露非美国通用会计准则盈利和发布低质量的非美国通用会计准则盈利来引起公司审查。此外,我们发现这些对非公认会计原则收益的影响更有可能发生在治理较弱的公司和管理团队合作时间较短的公司。总之,我们的研究为 TMT PPS 的分散性与非 GAAP 盈利决策之间的关联提供了证据。
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引用次数: 0
Textual disclosure complexity and analysts’ weighting of information 文本披露复杂性与分析师的信息权重
IF 3.3 3区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcae.2023.100395
Xiaoxiao Yu , Lei Zhao

This study investigates the influence of textual complexity in firms’ annual reports (Form 10-K) on financial analysts’ weighting of information. Drawing on a sample of U.S.-listed companies spanning from 1994 through 2020, we demonstrate that analysts tend to under-weight private information when 10-K reports are more readable, especially when the disclosed events indicate positive news, and when analysts face high workloads. Additionally, we find that analysts can identify managers’ opportunistic disclosure practices and rationally allocate weight between private and public information. Our findings suggest that analysts are affected by the underlying reporting and business complexity but not misled by the discretionary readability of 10-K reports when weighting information.

本研究探讨了公司年报(10-K 表)文本复杂性对金融分析师信息权重的影响。我们以 1994 年至 2020 年的美国上市公司为样本,证明当 10-K 报告的可读性较高时,分析师倾向于降低私人信息的权重,尤其是当披露的事件表明是利好消息时,以及当分析师面临较高的工作量时。此外,我们还发现,分析师可以识别管理者的机会主义披露行为,并在私人信息和公开信息之间合理分配权重。我们的研究结果表明,分析师在确定信息权重时,会受到基本报告和业务复杂性的影响,但不会被 10-K 报告的可读性所误导。
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引用次数: 0
Proving their mettle: Managerial ability and firm performance in trying times 证明自己的能力艰难时期的管理能力与公司业绩
IF 3.3 3区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcae.2023.100393
Barry Hettler , James Cordeiro , Arno Forst

This study investigates the impact of trying economic times, i.e., periods of economic decline and uncertainty, on managerial ability. We find that trying economic times positively moderate the association between managerial ability and firm profitability. Consistent with these primary findings, we also find that the positive moderating role of economic decline and uncertainty on the ability-performance relationship is most salient in procyclical industries. Our results are robust across multiple measures of economically trying times and managerial ability. Further analyses indicate that in trying times more capable managers generate stronger performance through both improved asset turnover and profit margins.

本研究探讨了经济困难时期(即经济衰退和不确定时期)对管理能力的影响。我们发现,艰难的经济时期对管理能力与公司盈利能力之间的关联有积极的调节作用。与这些主要发现一致,我们还发现经济衰退和不确定性对能力-业绩关系的积极调节作用在顺周期行业中最为突出。我们的结果在经济困难时期和管理能力的多种衡量标准中都是稳健的。进一步的分析表明,在困难时期,能力更强的管理者会通过提高资产周转率和利润率来创造更强的业绩。
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引用次数: 0
U.S. airline responses to mandated disclosure of non-financial performance 美国航空公司对强制披露非财务业绩的回应
IF 3.3 3区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcae.2023.100394
Xiaozhe Gu , Nandu J. Nagarajan , Akin Sayrak , Dhinu Srinivasan

This paper provides evidence on US airlines’ responses to the U.S. Department of Transportation’s (DOT) mandated disclosure of non-financial performance. We find that while all three DOT measures are associated with customer complaints, airlines are more likely to improve on-time performance rather than mishandled bags and ticket over-sales following poor prior period performance. We also find that on-time performance is the only DOT measure that is associated with future accounting performance and is significantly associated with CEO compensation after controlling for financial performance and load factor. We also provide preliminary results to show that airlines incorporate the more informative component of the on-time measure in CEO compensation. Overall, we provide new understanding of how organizations react to the disclosure of non-financial performance and use incentives to improve these measures.

本文提供了美国航空公司对美国运输部(DOT)规定的非财务业绩披露的回应证据。我们发现,虽然所有三个 DOT 指标都与客户投诉有关,但航空公司更有可能改善准点率,而不是在前期业绩不佳时改善行李处理不当和机票超售。我们还发现,准点率是唯一一个与未来会计业绩相关的 DOT 指标,并且在控制财务业绩和载客率后,与首席执行官薪酬有显著关联。我们还提供了初步结果,表明航空公司在 CEO 薪酬中选择了准点率指标中信息量更大的部分。总之,我们对企业如何应对非财务绩效的披露以及如何利用激励措施来改进这些指标提供了新的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon emission trading scheme and firm debt financing 碳排放交易计划与企业债务融资
IF 3.3 3区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcae.2023.100384
Nan Huang , Rong He , Le Luo , Hongtao Shen

This study examines the impact of firms’ participation in an emissions trading scheme (ETS) on their debt financing. Using a unique quasi-natural experimental setting in China, we find that the cost of debt increases and firm access to debt decreases when firms participate in an ETS, which indicates that lenders interpret firms’ participation in an ETS as a potential risk compared to nonparticipation. Further analyses show that the negative effect of participation in an ETS on firm debt financing is more significant for ETS participants that are less able to pass costs on, that operate in regions with less financial marketization, and that are less innovative. For firms that are covered by the national ETS, the restricted access to debt is alleviated for those with experience in a pilot ETS.

本研究探讨了企业参与排放交易计划(ETS)对其债务融资的影响。利用中国独特的准自然实验环境,我们发现当企业参与排放交易计划时,债务成本会增加,企业获得债务的机会会减少,这表明与不参与排放交易计划相比,贷款人将企业参与排放交易计划视为一种潜在风险。进一步的分析表明,参与排放交易计划对企业债务融资的负面影响对于那些成本转嫁能力较弱、在金融市场化程度较低的地区经营以及创新能力较弱的排放交易计划参与者来说更为显著。对于国家排放交易计划覆盖范围内的企业来说,有试点排放交易计划经验的企业在获得债务方面受到的限制会有所缓解。
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引用次数: 0
Historical institution and corporate Innovation: Evidence from China’s Civil-service Examination 历史制度与企业创新:中国公务员考试的证据
IF 3.3 3区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcae.2023.100385
Ruilin Liu , Zheyuan Zhang , Dan Li

Previous research indicates that historical institutions are crucial to the functioning and development of an economy. However, little is known about whether and how a historical institution affects current entrepreneurial activities. In ancient China, the Civil-service Examination (CSE), also known as keju, was the most important institution for selecting scholar-officials and had long-lasting effects. Using the variation in the historical success in keju across prefectures, this paper empirically examines the impact of the CSE on local corporate innovation. We find that the density of jinshi, which is the highest achievement in keju, is positively correlated with the innovation productivity of local firms as measured by patent applications and citations. To determine causality, we employ an instrumental variable and a quasi-experiment in early Qing period. Further tests suggest that the CSE promotes corporate innovation by fostering a forward-looking stance in firms, enhancing firms’ human capital level, and increasing local social capital. Overall, our results indicate that the CSE has a real and long-lasting impact on today’s firm innovation.

以往的研究表明,历史制度对经济的运行和发展至关重要。然而,人们对历史制度是否以及如何影响当前的创业活动却知之甚少。在中国古代,文官考试(CSE),又称科举,是选拔士大夫的最重要的制度,其影响经久不衰。本文利用历史上各县科举成功率的差异,实证研究了科举考试对当地企业创新的影响。我们发现,作为科举最高成就的进士密度与以专利申请和引用为衡量标准的当地企业创新生产力呈正相关。为了确定因果关系,我们使用了工具变量和清初的准实验。进一步的检验表明,CSE 通过培养企业的前瞻性立场、提高企业的人力资本水平和增加当地的社会资本来促进企业创新。总之,我们的研究结果表明,CSE 对当今的企业创新具有真实而持久的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Contemporary Accounting & Economics
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