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IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1111/saje.12251
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引用次数: 0
Correlates and Consequences of the 1918 Influenza in South Africa 1918年南非流感的相关因素和后果
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-05-26 DOI: 10.1111/SAJE.12285
Daniel de Kadt, J. Fourie, J. Greyling, Elie Murard, Johannes Norling
We study the demographic and economic correlates of the 1918 influenza or “Spanish flu” that killed an estimated 6% of South Africa's population. While the pandemic has received some attention in South African historiography and from social scientists in other contexts, little is known about its long-term impact on the country. Bringing together data from a range of new sources, including population and agricultural censuses, household surveys, and the voters’ rolls, we provide analyses that show, first, the factors that (do and do not) predict flu mortality across South Africa's magisterial districts, and, second, suggest some important consequences of the flu. Our results reveal a large but short-lived demographic shock, and detectable, if small scale, long-term economic consequences. © 2021 Economic Society of South Africa
我们研究了1918年流感或“西班牙流感”的人口和经济相关性,估计该流感导致南非6%的人口死亡。尽管这场疫情在南非史学界和其他背景下的社会科学家那里得到了一些关注,但人们对其对该国的长期影响知之甚少。我们汇集了一系列新来源的数据,包括人口和农业普查、家庭调查和选民名册,提供的分析表明,首先,预测南非各行政区流感死亡率的因素(有和没有),其次,表明流感的一些重要后果。我们的研究结果揭示了一个巨大但短暂的人口冲击,以及可检测的长期经济后果,尽管规模很小。©2021南非经济学会
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引用次数: 2
Dynamics of Money Market Interest Rates in Ghana: Time‐Frequency Analysis of Volatility Spillovers 加纳货币市场利率动态:波动溢出效应的时频分析
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/SAJE.12287
N. Akosah, I. Alagidede, E. Schaling
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引用次数: 0
Ethnic Diversity and Local Economies 民族多样性与地方经济
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-04-05 DOI: 10.1111/SAJE.12286
Yonatan Dinku, D. Regasa
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引用次数: 3
Convergence Triggers in Africa: Evidence from Convergence Clubs and Panel Models 非洲的趋同诱因:来自趋同俱乐部和小组模型的证据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-03-10 DOI: 10.1111/SAJE.12282
Aweng Peter Majok Garang, Hatice Erkekoglu
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引用次数: 1
A Tale of Two Countries and Two Stages: South Africa, China and the Lewis Model 两个国家两个阶段的故事:南非、中国和刘易斯模式
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-02-27 DOI: 10.1111/SAJE.12280
J. Knight
The paper compares the economic progress of two countries, South Africa and China, in relation to the Lewis model. These economies are chosen because they have interesting similarities and also interesting differences. At the start of economic reform in China and with the advent of democracy in South Africa, both countries had surplus labour: they were at the first, labour-surplus, stage of the Lewis model. It is shown that, since then, South Africa has continued to experience surplus labour: the unemployment rate has risen. By contrast, China’s labour market is shown to have tightened, and there is evidence that China has entered the second, labour-scarce, stage of the Lewis model. The difference lies in their growth rates. There are sections explaining why the South African economy has grown slowly and why the Chinese economy has grown rapidly, in relation to the growth of their labour forces. The Lewis model provides an enlightening framework for explaining how widely the fruits of economic development can be shared.
本文将南非和中国这两个国家的经济进步与Lewis模型进行了比较。之所以选择这些经济体,是因为它们既有有趣的相似之处,也有有趣的差异。在中国经济改革之初,随着南非民主的出现,这两个国家都有剩余劳动力:它们最初是刘易斯模式的劳动力过剩阶段。事实表明,自那时以来,南非继续出现劳动力过剩:失业率上升。相比之下,中国的劳动力市场已经趋紧,有证据表明,中国已经进入刘易斯模式的第二个劳动力稀缺阶段。不同之处在于它们的增长率。有一些章节解释了为什么南非经济增长缓慢,以及为什么中国经济相对于劳动力的增长快速增长。刘易斯模型为解释经济发展成果的共享范围提供了一个富有启发性的框架。
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引用次数: 3
A Description of Predatory Publishing in South African Economics Departments 南非经济部门掠夺性出版的描述
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-22 DOI: 10.1111/SAJE.12278
Andrew Kerr, P. Jager
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引用次数: 3
Potential Impact of Climate Change and Armed Conflict on Inequality in Sub‐Saharan Africa 气候变化和武装冲突对撒哈拉以南非洲不平等的潜在影响
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-10 DOI: 10.1111/SAJE.12271
A. Ujunwa, C. Okoyeuzu, Nelson N. Nkwor, A. Ujunwa
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引用次数: 8
Social Assistance Amidst the COVID‐19 Epidemic in South Africa: A Policy Assessment 南非COVID - 19疫情期间的社会援助:政策评估
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-04 DOI: 10.1111/SAJE.12277
H. Bhorat, M. Oosthuizen, Benjamin Stanwix
Abstract In an attempt to minimise the negative economic impacts of COVID-19 on vulnerable households the South African government allocated R50 billion in additional social assistance spending The cash transfer package included a temporary increase in existing grants and introduced a new ?Covid grant ? We assess the chosen package and compare it with an initial proposal to increase the Child Support Grant (CSG) Coverage, cost and welfare effects are calculated to measure the relative impacts in each case We find that while a significant increase in the CSG delivers resources most progressively, the addition of the COVID-19 grant may potentially reach a much larger group of otherwise uncovered, vulnerable individuals Critically, this extended coverage comes at a cost to the poorest households, via additional transfers to the upper income deciles However, we identify several categories of vulnerable household groups which suggests that the workers most negatively affected by the pandemic are not necessarily those in the poorest households The paper emphasises that social assistance to mitigate the consequences of COVID-19 should not be viewed necessarily as a standard poverty reduction exercise, but rather as an attempt to mitigate COVID-19-related income shocks for the vulnerable who were most negatively affected by the pandemic
摘要为了尽量减少新冠肺炎对弱势家庭的负面经济影响,南非政府额外拨款500亿南非兰特用于社会援助支出。现金转移计划包括暂时增加现有赠款,并引入了新的?新冠肺炎补助金?我们评估了所选择的一揽子计划,并将其与增加儿童支持补助金(CSG)覆盖范围的初步建议进行了比较,计算了成本和福利影响,以衡量每种情况下的相对影响,弱势群体至关重要的是,这种扩大的覆盖范围是以最贫穷家庭为代价的,通过向高收入十分位数的额外转移。然而,我们确定了几类弱势家庭群体,这表明受疫情影响最严重的工人不一定是最贫穷的家庭。论文强调,减轻新冠肺炎后果的社会援助不一定应被视为标准的减贫工作,而是为了缓解与新冠肺炎相关的收入冲击,让受疫情负面影响最严重的弱势群体
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引用次数: 32
Conflict heterogeneity in Africa 非洲冲突的异质性
IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1111/saje.12297
Carolyn Chisadza, Matthew Clance
One of the Sustainable Development Goals is to significantly reduce all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere. The economic development literature widely concurs that conflicts have adverse economic consequences that contribute to poverty, disinvestment, and lower human capital leading to widespread inequality and lower economic growth. As such, understanding the nature of conflict has been an important focus for political leaders, policymakers and researchers alike. However, the existing literature does not typically distinguish between the types of conflict, and empirical evidence relies on the assumption that effects are similar across the world. Using panel data analysis and a comprehensive disaggregated georeferenced conflict dataset from 1997 to 2016, we find significant evidence of heterogeneity in the predictors' effects on different types of conflicts in Africa.
可持续发展目标之一是在世界各地大幅减少一切形式的暴力和相关死亡率。经济发展文献普遍认为,冲突会产生不利的经济后果,导致贫困、投资减少和人力资本减少,从而导致普遍的不平等和经济增长放缓。因此,理解冲突的本质一直是政治领导人、政策制定者和研究人员关注的一个重要焦点。然而,现有文献通常没有区分冲突的类型,经验证据依赖于世界各地影响相似的假设。通过面板数据分析和1997年至2016年全面分类的地理参考冲突数据集,我们发现预测因子对非洲不同类型冲突的影响存在显著的异质性。
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引用次数: 2
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SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
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