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Contractual Requirements and Bidding Behavior in Public Procurement With Entry 有条目的公共采购中的合同要求与投标行为
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-18 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.70019
Samielle Drake, Fei Xu

We combine theoretical and empirical analyses to investigate the impacts of contractual requirements on bidding behavior and competition in procurement auctions with endogenous entry. Our analysis demonstrates that contractual requirements affect expected payoffs, influencing the equilibrium number of bidders and their bids under zero-profit conditions. Specifically, in equilibrium, increased contractual requirements enhance competition by raising bidders' expected payoffs, while higher entry costs reduce competition. Overall, a rise in entry costs results in elevated equilibrium bids. Under certain conditions, an increase in contractual requirements raises equilibrium bids. Additionally, we emphasize the significance of enforceability in shaping bidding behavior and, thus, in policy implementation. Empirical evidence from public cleaning services procurement in Sweden supports the implications of our model.

本文将理论分析与实证分析相结合,探讨了合同要求对具有内生进入的采购拍卖中投标行为和竞争的影响。我们的分析表明,在零利润条件下,合同要求影响预期收益,影响竞标者及其投标的均衡数量。具体来说,在均衡状态下,增加的合同要求通过提高投标人的预期回报来增强竞争,而更高的进入成本则会降低竞争。总体而言,进入成本上升导致均衡出价升高。在某些条件下,合同需求的增加提高了均衡投标。此外,我们强调可执行性在塑造投标行为以及政策实施中的重要性。来自瑞典公共清洁服务采购的经验证据支持我们模型的含义。
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引用次数: 0
Social Norms Drivers on Public Good Contributions 社会规范对公共物品贡献的驱动因素
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-05 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.70015
Lionel Richefort, Pauline Pedehour

This article develops a model of public good provision with social norms determined by network relationships. Individuals' wealth allocation preferences are guided by the benefit they obtain from a private good and a public good, and the social value they receive when following their neighbors in their contribution to the public good. We find conditions under which (i) redistributions of wealth will increase total giving if the transfer goes to the less norm-conformist agent, (ii) an increase in tastes for conformity of the weak contributors will increase total giving, and (iii) the deletion of a link between two contributors will increase total giving. Subsequently, examples in very small networks allow us to discuss how these results can help policymakers encourage the voluntary provision of public good.

本文建立了一个由网络关系决定社会规范的公共物品供给模型。个人的财富分配偏好是由他们从私人产品和公共产品中获得的利益,以及他们跟随邻居为公共产品做出贡献时所获得的社会价值所引导的。我们发现了以下条件:(i)如果转移到不太遵守规范的代理人,财富的再分配将增加总捐赠,(ii)弱捐助者对一致性的品味的增加将增加总捐赠,以及(iii)删除两个捐助者之间的联系将增加总捐赠。随后,非常小的网络中的例子使我们能够讨论这些结果如何帮助政策制定者鼓励自愿提供公共产品。
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引用次数: 0
Persuasion in Networks With Strategic Substitutes 战略替代网络中的说服
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.70014
Guopeng Li, Yang Sun

We study Bayesian persuasion with local strategic substitutes in networks. A designer commits to a public signal to maximize total activity. Equilibria are characterized by the network's maximum � � k $k$-insulated sets for each realization. We solve the optimal information structure and characterize beneficial persuasion. While agents individually prefer higher states, the designer's payoff is non-monotonic in the posterior mean due to substitution effects. This provides a rationale for downwardplaying mechanisms: revealing low states truthfully and mixing signals when high. Moreover, for tree, nested split, and core-periphery networks, the designer strictly benefits if the prior mean insulated set size is less than the highest state set size.

研究了网络中具有局部战略替代的贝叶斯说服。设计师致力于公共信号以最大化整体活动。每个实现的网络最大k个k个绝缘集表征了均衡。我们求解了最优信息结构,并刻画了有利说服的特征。由于替代效应,当个体个体偏好较高的状态时,设计者的收益在后验均值是非单调的。这为向下播放机制提供了一个基本原理:真实地显示低状态,并在高状态时混合信号。此外,对于树状网络、嵌套分裂网络和核心-外围网络,如果先前平均绝缘集大小小于最高状态集大小,则设计者严格受益。
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引用次数: 0
How to Deal with Exchange Rate Risk in Infrastructure and Other Long-Lived Projects 如何应对基础设施等长期项目的汇率风险
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.70003
Luciano de Castro, Claudio Frischtak, Arthur Rodrigues

Most developing economies rely on foreign capital to finance their infrastructure needs. These projects are usually structured as long-term (25–35 years) franchises that pay in local currency. If investors evaluate their returns in terms of foreign currency, exchange rate volatility introduces risk that may reduce the level of investment below what would be socially optimal. In this article, we propose a mechanism with very general features that hedges exchange rate fluctuation by adjusting the concession period. Such mechanism does not imply additional costs to the government and could be offered as a zero-cost option to lenders and investors exposed to currency fluctuations. We illustrate the general mechanism with three alternative specifications and use data from a 25-year highway franchise to simulate how they would play out in eight different emerging economies that exhibit diverse exchange rate trajectories. Results show relatively small length adjustments, and suggest the mechanism offers a powerful policy tool to cost-effectively attract vital foreign infrastructure investment for developing countries.

大多数发展中经济体依赖外国资本来满足其基础设施需求。这些项目通常是长期(25-35年)的特许经营权,以当地货币支付。如果投资者用外币来评估他们的回报,汇率波动带来的风险可能会降低投资水平,使其低于社会最优水平。在本文中,我们提出了一种非常普遍的机制,通过调整特许权期来对冲汇率波动。这种机制并不意味着给政府增加额外成本,而且可以作为零成本选项提供给受汇率波动影响的贷款机构和投资者。我们用三种可选规格说明了一般机制,并使用来自25年高速公路特许经营权的数据来模拟它们如何在表现出不同汇率轨迹的八个不同新兴经济体中发挥作用。结果显示,长度调整相对较小,并表明该机制为发展中国家吸引重要的外国基础设施投资提供了一个强有力的政策工具。
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引用次数: 0
Deliberation and Voting: A Matter of Truth or Taste 审议和投票:真理或品味的问题
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-06 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.70013
Masayuki Odora

This study examines the strategic communication that occurs before voting under various voting rules. A group of imperfectly informed voters communicate before casting their votes in binary elections. The voters have partially conflicting interests: there is a correct candidate in some states of the world, while in others, voters disagree, and ideologies matter. This study demonstrates that truthful communication is never an equilibrium under any voting rule when the size of the electorate is sufficiently large.

本研究检视在不同投票规则下,投票前的策略性沟通。在二元选举中,一群不完全知情的选民在投票前进行沟通。选民之间存在部分利益冲突:在世界上一些国家有正确的候选人,而在另一些国家,选民不同意,意识形态很重要。本研究表明,在任何投票规则下,当选民规模足够大时,真实的沟通都不是一种均衡。
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引用次数: 0
Complainer's Dilemma 爱抱怨的人的困境
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-23 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.70011
Greg Leo, Jennifer Pate

Technological innovations have made complaining easier. Often, when it is easy to complain, only problems that meet a high threshold of complaints are addressed. We present a novel model of the strategic environment facing complainers and demonstrate that the properties of the resulting games' equilibria justify the existence of high complaint thresholds. By setting the thresholds appropriately, an administrator can prevent complaints that are not worth addressing. Policies that minimize the cost of complaining while requiring a large threshold are universally more efficient for large constituencies. Our results regarding the equilibrium for large constituencies are facilitated by the application of the Lambert-W function, demonstrating how this tool can be employed to analyze games with a large number of players. We motivate the model using a rich data set of complaints from New York City.

技术革新让抱怨变得更容易。通常,当人们很容易抱怨的时候,只有那些达到投诉门槛的问题才会得到解决。我们提出了一个新的策略环境模型,并证明了由此产生的博弈均衡的性质证明了高投诉阈值的存在。通过适当地设置阈值,管理员可以防止不值得处理的投诉。将投诉成本降到最低,同时要求较高门槛的政策,普遍对大选区更有效。Lambert-W函数的应用促进了我们关于大选区均衡的结果,展示了如何使用该工具来分析具有大量参与者的博弈。我们使用纽约市投诉的丰富数据集来激励模型。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum: Heterogeneity, Impatience, and Dynamic Private Provision of a Discrete Public Good 勘误:异质性、不耐烦和离散公共产品的动态私人供给
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-23 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.70012
Jinping Zhang, Zhentao Zou

This corrigendum amends the main results in Bhattacharya et al., henceforth BTS. We show that the closed-form solution in Proposition 3 of BTS is incorrect, and the individual contributions are nonlinear (rather than linear) in the cumulative collective contribution. In addition, when the impatience differential is large enough, the patient individuals (rather than impatient individuals) reduce the contributions as the project progresses toward completion. Finally, the project is completed earlier (rather than later) as we increase the difference in impatience.

本勘误表修正了Bhattacharya等人的主要结果,此后为BTS。我们证明了BTS命题3中的封闭解是不正确的,并且在累积的集体贡献中,个人贡献是非线性的(而不是线性的)。此外,当缺乏耐心的差异足够大时,耐心的个体(而不是缺乏耐心的个体)会随着项目的完成而减少贡献。最后,项目完成得更早(而不是更晚),因为我们增加了不耐烦的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Norms and Efficiency in a Multi-Group Society: An Online Experiment 多群体社会中的规范与效率:在线实验
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.70010
Marco Catola, Simone D'Alessandro, Pietro Guarnieri, Veronica Pizziol

In this study, we measure personal normative beliefs, empirical expectations, and normative expectations in a multilevel public goods game, where two local public goods are nested in a global one. We use these measures as indexes of subjective personal and social norms to pursue a twofold objective. On the one hand, we aim to understand whether and to what extent contribution decisions are driven by personal or social norms. On the other hand, we aim to investigate whether changes in the relative efficiency of the two public goods affect norms and norm compliance. In our online experiment, personal norms emerge as the main driver of contribution decisions especially when the efficiency of the related public good increases. However, compliance to empirical expectations signals that social norms still play a role in both positively affecting the contribution to the relative public good and negatively the contribution to the other one.

在本研究中,我们测量了多层次公共产品博弈中的个人规范信念、经验预期和规范预期,其中两个地方公共产品嵌套在一个全球公共产品中。我们将这些指标作为个人和社会主观规范的指数,以实现双重目标。一方面,我们旨在了解贡献决策是否以及在多大程度上受个人或社会规范的驱动。另一方面,我们旨在研究两种公共产品相对效率的变化是否会影响规范和规范遵守情况。在我们的在线实验中,个人规范成为捐款决定的主要驱动力,尤其是当相关公共产品的效率提高时。然而,对经验预期的遵从表明,社会规范在对相关公共产品的贡献产生积极影响的同时,也对另一种公共产品的贡献产生消极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Matching Versus Raffles as a Fund-Raising Device 配对与莱佛士作为筹款工具
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.70009
Paul Pecorino

Matching is a commonly used fund-raising tactic, whereby small donors have their donation to a charity matched via a fund established by large donors. I developed a model in which a single large donor decides whether to establish a matching fund or contribute to the public good via the voluntary contributions mechanism (VCM). The credibility of the matching fund is an endogenous component of the model. For a match to be credible, the organizer must have a credible promise not to top up the contributions of the small donors. If the number of small donors is sufficiently large, there always exists a matching fund that is both credible and leads to a Pareto improvement relative to the VCM. When the matching fund needs to satisfy an endogenous credibility constraint, all of the outcomes that are eliminated due to this constraint are outcomes under which small donors are worse off relative to the VCM. The matching fund is also compared with a raffle mechanism. As the number of small donors grows large, public good provision under the two mechanisms converges. However, the matching function outperforms the raffle when there is a finite number of small donors.

配对是一种常用的筹款策略,小额捐赠者通过大型捐赠者建立的基金将其捐赠给慈善机构。我开发了一个模型,在这个模型中,单个大型捐赠者决定是否建立匹配基金或通过自愿捐款机制(VCM)为公共利益做出贡献。匹配基金的可信度是该模型的内生成分。为了使比赛可信,组织者必须有一个可信的承诺,不增加小额捐助者的捐款。如果小额捐助者的数量足够大,那么总会存在一个匹配的基金,它既可信,又能导致相对于VCM的帕累托改进。当匹配基金需要满足一个内生的可信度约束时,所有由于这个约束而被消除的结果都是小捐助者相对于VCM更差的结果。配对基金还与抽奖机制进行了比较。随着小额捐助者数量的增加,两种机制下的公共产品提供趋于一致。然而,当小额捐赠者数量有限时,匹配功能优于抽奖。
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引用次数: 0
Notions of Rank Efficiency for the Random Assignment Problem 随机分配问题的等级效率概念
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.70008
Mehdi Feizi

An assignment is rank efficient if there is no other assignment where the expected number of agents who received one of their top choices is weakly higher. We introduce new notions of rank efficiency for the random assignment problem and illustrate a hierarchy between them. In a rank-minimizing assignment, agents receive objects with a minimum rank on average. An ex-post rank efficient random assignment has at least one lottery over only rank efficient deterministic assignments. Thus, it could still have another lottery with some rank-dominated deterministic assignments in its support. If each deterministic assignment in any decomposition of a random assignment is rank efficient, we call it a robust ex-post rank efficient assignment. We demonstrate that rank-minimizing implies rank efficiency, which indicates (robust) ex-post rank efficiency. Moreover, we introduce a mechanism that provides an ex-post rank efficient random assignment. We also prove that ex-post rank efficiency is incompatible with strategyproofness or fairness in the sense of weak envy-freeness and equal division lower bound.

如果没有其他分配能使获得其中一个首选的代理人的预期人数弱地更多,那么这个分配就是有效的。我们为随机分配问题引入了新的等级效率概念,并说明了它们之间的等级关系。在等级最小化分配中,代理人获得的对象平均等级最小。一个事后等级效率随机分配至少有一次抽签,而抽签的对象只能是等级效率高的确定性分配。因此,它还可能有另一种抽签,在其支持中包含一些等级占优的确定性分配。如果随机分配分解中的每个确定性分配都是等级有效的,我们称之为稳健的事后等级有效分配。我们证明,秩最小化意味着秩效率,这表明(稳健的)事后秩效率。此外,我们还介绍了一种事后等级效率随机分配机制。我们还证明,事后等级效率与弱嫉妒无忧和等分下限意义上的策略无忧或公平不相容。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Public Economic Theory
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