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Evaluating child restraint system (CRS) adoption and policy interventions worldwide: a review 评估儿童约束系统(CRS)的采用和全球政策干预:综述
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.09.003
Mohamed Ahmed Al-Awad , Mohamed Kharbeche , Faris Tarlochan
The global disparity in Child Restraint System (CRS) adoption contributes directly to variations in road traffic mortality and morbidity among children. Despite the proven effectiveness of CRS in reducing harm, its adoption remains inconsistent across regions due to socio-economic, legislative, and cultural factors. This review evaluates global CRS adoption rates, identifies barriers to effective utilization, and explores interventions to enhance usage and legislative compliance, ultimately proposing strategies to improve child passenger safety.
A total of 93 articles published between 2013 and 2024 were reviewed, with a focus on CRS usage and intervention patterns, the effectiveness of interventions, and legislative impact across high, middle, and low-income countries.
The review highlights a significant gap in CRS usage between high-income and low to middle-income countries, with affordability, lack of awareness, and inadequate legislation as primary barriers. High-income regions showed better adherence but struggled with proper installation and misuse. Intervention strategies, including legislation, public education, and economic incentives, showed varying success in improving CRS adoption.
Enhancing global CRS usage requires stringent legislation, comprehensive campaigns, economic support, and innovative technological solutions. Tailored strategies that account for regional socio-economic and cultural norms are essential to achieve widespread adoption and proper CRS use, ultimately reducing child passenger fatalities and injuries.
儿童约束系统采用率的全球差异直接导致儿童道路交通死亡率和发病率的差异。尽管CRS在减少伤害方面已被证明有效,但由于社会经济、立法和文化因素,其采用在各地区仍然不一致。本综述评估了全球CRS的采用率,确定了有效利用CRS的障碍,并探讨了提高CRS使用率和法律合规性的干预措施,最终提出了改善儿童乘客安全的策略。本研究共审查了2013年至2024年间发表的93篇文章,重点关注CRS的使用和干预模式、干预措施的有效性以及高、中、低收入国家的立法影响。该审查强调,高收入国家和中低收入国家在CRS使用方面存在巨大差距,主要障碍是可负担性、缺乏认识和立法不足。高收入地区表现出更好的依从性,但在正确安装和滥用方面存在困难。包括立法、公共教育和经济激励在内的干预策略在改善CRS采用方面取得了不同程度的成功。加强全球CRS的使用需要严格的立法、全面的运动、经济支持和创新的技术解决方案。考虑到区域社会经济和文化规范的量身定制战略对于实现广泛采用和适当使用CRS,最终减少儿童乘客伤亡至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
A new paradigm in driving comfort measurement: Environment-specific comfort index and its real-time application in Indian context 驱动舒适性测量的新范式:环境特定舒适性指数及其在印度环境中的实时应用
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.09.002
Ishita Sar , Soumitra Kundu , Aurobinda Routray , Biswajit Mahanty
Driving comfort assessment is a prerequisite to improve the journey experience for the drivers as well as the passengers. In this work, we proposed an advanced approach for the measurement of driving comfort in real-time. Different types of environmental features are considered along with the traditionally used Comfort Index (CI), and an Environment-specific Comfort Index (EsCI) is proposed. EsCI is also inversely proportional to the drivers' comfort level, just like CI. We also developed an android application named QDCL (Quantification of Driver Comfort Level) for overall data collection and computation of EsCI from the same. A series of driving experiments at different times of the day and different traffic conditions have been performed in Indian urban road scenarios to assess the performance of QDCL and the relevance of EsCI. We extended the work by studying the effects of different external stimuli on the computed driving comfort level. The performance of EsCI is observed to outperform the traditionally used CI (Comfort Index) in terms of accuracy for the quantification of overall driving comfort.
驾驶舒适性评估是提高驾驶员和乘客出行体验的前提。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种先进的实时驾驶舒适性测量方法。考虑了不同类型的环境特征以及传统使用的舒适度指数(CI),并提出了环境特异性舒适度指数(EsCI)。与CI一样,EsCI也与驾驶员的舒适度成反比。我们还开发了一个名为QDCL (Quantification of Driver Comfort Level)的android应用程序,用于收集驾驶员舒适度的整体数据并计算驾驶员舒适度。在印度城市道路场景中,在一天中不同时间和不同交通条件下进行了一系列驾驶实验,以评估QDCL的性能和EsCI的相关性。我们通过研究不同外部刺激对计算的驾驶舒适度的影响来扩展工作。EsCI的性能被观察到优于传统使用的CI(舒适指数)在准确性量化整体驾驶舒适性。
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引用次数: 0
Crash risk assessment at unsignalized intersections using vehicle trajectory data 基于车辆轨迹数据的无信号交叉口碰撞风险评估
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.09.001
Debashis Ray Sarkar , K. Ramachandra Rao , Niladri Chatterjee
Crash prediction models (CPMs) typically use statistical or data-driven approaches derived from observed crash data, but these can be limited by unreliable historical data. Near-crash-based CPMs provide a proactive alternative, predicting crash frequencies before actual crashes occur. Surrogate Safety Measures (SSMs) examine potentially hazardous traffic events to improve the understanding of traffic safety dynamics. These events serve as proxies for crashes, enabling proactive and timely safety assessments. This study proposes a methodological framework for evaluating crash risk at unsignalized intersections using UAV-acquired vehicle trajectory data and applies Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to statistically model the tail behavior of a time-based SSM—Post Encroachment Time (PET). High-resolution (4 K) video data were acquired at six different unsignalized intersections to capture morning rush hour traffic (8 to 9 a.m.). Vehicle trajectories and surrogate measures such as Post Encroachment Time (PET) were extracted using advanced AI-driven video analysis via the DataFromSky (DFS) platform. The analysis employed the Peak Over Threshold (POT) method. The threshold was determined to be −1.25 s using the Mean Residual Life (MRL) plot, as well as the scale and shape parameter stability plots of the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). The results show that traffic volume and crash frequency have a significant impact on collision risk. As traffic volume increases, PET decreases, leading to a higher likelihood of conflicts and crashes. Additionally, mean speed shows an inverse relationship with both crash frequency and collision risk. Overall, traffic volume and conflict frequency emerge as key predictors of crash risk occurrences. This study establishes a foundation for leveraging UAV-based vehicle trajectory data in conducting proactive safety assessments at unsignalized intersections.
碰撞预测模型(cpm)通常使用来自观察到的碰撞数据的统计或数据驱动的方法,但这些方法可能受到不可靠的历史数据的限制。基于接近崩溃的cpm提供了一个主动的替代方案,在实际崩溃发生之前预测崩溃频率。替代安全措施(SSMs)检查潜在的危险交通事件,以提高对交通安全动态的理解。这些事件可以作为碰撞的代理,从而实现主动和及时的安全评估。本研究提出了一种方法框架,利用无人机获取的车辆轨迹数据来评估无信号交叉口的碰撞风险,并应用极值理论(EVT)对基于时间的ssm -后侵占时间(PET)的尾部行为进行统计建模。在6个不同的无信号交叉口获取高分辨率(4k)视频数据,以捕捉早高峰时段(上午8点至9点)的交通情况。通过DataFromSky (DFS)平台,使用先进的人工智能驱动视频分析提取车辆轨迹和替代措施,如后侵占时间(PET)。分析采用峰值超过阈值(POT)方法。使用平均剩余寿命(MRL)图以及广义帕累托分布(GPD)的尺度和形状参数稳定性图确定阈值为−1.25 s。结果表明,交通流量和碰撞频率对碰撞风险有显著影响。随着交通量的增加,PET减少,导致冲突和撞车的可能性更高。此外,平均速度与碰撞频率和碰撞风险呈反比关系。总体而言,交通量和冲突频率成为碰撞风险发生的关键预测因素。本研究为利用基于无人机的车辆轨迹数据在无信号交叉口进行主动安全评估奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
A study on spatial exploration of elderly drivers at unsignalized intersections considering road and traffic conditions and driver's physical function 考虑道路交通条件和驾驶员身体功能的无信号交叉口老年驾驶员空间探索研究
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-08-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.07.003
Yasuhiro Mimura , Keiichi Higuchi , Misako Yamagishi , Ryo Ito
Unsignalized intersections require more diverse and appropriate physical functions than signalized intersections because traffic is not controlled, and more objects and broader areas must be checked. Elderly drivers may lack adequate physical functions, leading to inadequate spatial exploration and missed recognition, resulting in accidents. This study aims to clarify the spatial exploration behavior of elderly drivers when passing through unsignalized intersections, considering road conditions, traffic conditions, and drivers' physical functions. Participants (n = 62) whose physical function was measured were asked to watch an entry video of 10 intersections using a head-mounted display with eye-tracking function, and the average angular velocity during the viewing was measured. Factorial analysis on spatial exploration showed that the elderly group did not exhibit greater spatial exploration at intersections with acute angles compared to other age groups, even considering physical function effects and traffic conditions through the linear mixed model.
由于交通不受控制,无信号交叉口需要比有信号交叉口更多样化、更合适的物理功能,需要检查的对象更多、区域更广。老年司机可能身体机能不足,导致空间探索不足,识别失误,导致事故发生。本研究旨在阐明老年驾驶员在通过无信号交叉口时的空间探索行为,考虑道路状况、交通状况和驾驶员身体机能。参与者(n = 62)被要求使用头戴式显示器观看10个十字路口的入口视频,并测量观看过程中的平均角速度。对空间探索的析因分析表明,即使通过线性混合模型考虑身体功能影响和交通状况,老年人在锐角路口的空间探索能力也没有比其他年龄组更强。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring road safety performance and culture: A comparative study of 39 countries 衡量道路安全绩效与文化:39个国家的比较研究
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-07-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.07.001
Carlos Pires , Uta Meesmann , Alain Areal , Naomi Wardenier , Marie-Axelle Granié , Gerald Furian , Dimitrios Nikolaou , Dagmara Jankowska-Karpa , Craig Lyon , Mette Møller , Fabian Surges , Hideki Nakamura , Agnieszka Stelling
Monitoring of road safety performance is essential to effectively address the global road safety problem. Consistent and accurate monitoring allows policymakers to assess the effectiveness of current safety measures, identify emerging risk factors, and develop targeted interventions. Different key performance indicators can be used to monitor road safety performance. In addition to the traditional road safety indicators based on the number of fatalities or injured people in road traffic crashes, complementary road safety performance indicators can be used in relation to vehicles, infrastructure or road users' behaviour.
The E-Survey of Road Users' Attitudes (ESRA) is an online survey that aims to collect and analyse comparable data on road safety performance and traffic safety culture across the world. In its three editions (from 2015 to 2023) ESRA has included data from more than 120,000 road users from a total of 68 different countries. This paper focuses on data from the third edition of the ESRA survey (ESRA3), which was conducted in 2023 across 39 countries and includes answers from over 37,000 road users. The objectives are to provide an overview of the ESRA3 survey methodology and to present results related to several road safety topics, such as drink-driving, speeding, or distraction, across different types of road users: car drivers, pedestrians, cyclists, and moped riders/motorcyclists. It examines multiple dimensions of risky behaviours in traffic, including self-declared behaviours, personal acceptability of unsafe behaviours, and support for policy measures.
Results show low acceptability of unsafe traffic behaviours like speeding, drink-driving, fatigued driving or using a mobile phone while driving a car – less than 5 % of respondents considered these behaviours acceptable. Notwithstanding the low acceptability, a high percentage of car drivers declared engaging in risky behaviours in traffic: speeding within built-up areas was declared by 37 % to 47 % of car drivers, using a mobile phone by 22 % to 32 %, fatigued driving by 18 % to 20 %, and driving under the influence of alcohol by 10 % to 14 %. As for vulnerable road users, distraction (reading messages/checking social media or listening to music through headphones) was the most declared risky behaviour by pedestrians, the non-use of helmet the most declared by cyclists, and speeding the most declared by moped riders and motorcyclists. Most respondents support policy measures to restrict risky behaviour.
The ESRA survey offers a unique database and provides policy makers and researchers with valuable insights into public perception of road safety.
监测道路安全绩效对于有效解决全球道路安全问题至关重要。一致和准确的监测使决策者能够评估当前安全措施的有效性,确定新出现的风险因素,并制定有针对性的干预措施。不同的关键绩效指标可用于监测道路安全绩效。除了基于道路交通碰撞死亡或受伤人数的传统道路安全指标外,还可以使用与车辆、基础设施或道路使用者行为相关的补充性道路安全绩效指标。道路使用者态度电子调查(ESRA)是一项在线调查,旨在收集和分析世界各地道路安全表现和交通安全文化的可比数据。在2015年至2023年的三个版本中,ESRA包含了来自68个不同国家的120,000多名道路使用者的数据。本文重点关注第三版ESRA调查(ESRA3)的数据,该调查于2023年在39个国家进行,包括来自37,000多名道路使用者的回答。目的是提供ESRA3调查方法的概述,并介绍与几个道路安全主题相关的结果,如酒后驾驶、超速或分心,涉及不同类型的道路使用者:汽车司机、行人、骑自行车的人和骑轻便摩托车的人/摩托车手。它考察了交通危险行为的多个维度,包括自我声明的行为、个人对不安全行为的接受程度以及对政策措施的支持。调查结果显示,超速、酒驾、疲劳驾驶或开车时使用手机等不安全交通行为的可接受性较低——只有不到5%的答复者认为这些行为是可接受的。尽管可接受性很低,但有很高比例的汽车司机声称在交通中有危险行为:37%至47%的汽车司机声称在建筑区内超速,22%至32%的汽车司机声称使用手机,18%至20%的汽车司机疲劳驾驶,10%至14%的汽车司机在酒精影响下驾驶。对于易受伤害的道路使用者来说,行人认为分心(阅读信息/查看社交媒体或通过耳机听音乐)是最危险的行为,骑自行车的人认为不戴头盔是最危险的行为,骑轻便摩托车和骑摩托车的人认为超速是最危险的行为。大多数受访者支持限制风险行为的政策措施。ESRA的调查提供了一个独特的数据库,为政策制定者和研究人员提供了有关公众对道路安全看法的宝贵见解。
{"title":"Measuring road safety performance and culture: A comparative study of 39 countries","authors":"Carlos Pires ,&nbsp;Uta Meesmann ,&nbsp;Alain Areal ,&nbsp;Naomi Wardenier ,&nbsp;Marie-Axelle Granié ,&nbsp;Gerald Furian ,&nbsp;Dimitrios Nikolaou ,&nbsp;Dagmara Jankowska-Karpa ,&nbsp;Craig Lyon ,&nbsp;Mette Møller ,&nbsp;Fabian Surges ,&nbsp;Hideki Nakamura ,&nbsp;Agnieszka Stelling","doi":"10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.07.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.07.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Monitoring of road safety performance is essential to effectively address the global road safety problem. Consistent and accurate monitoring allows policymakers to assess the effectiveness of current safety measures, identify emerging risk factors, and develop targeted interventions. Different key performance indicators can be used to monitor road safety performance. In addition to the traditional road safety indicators based on the number of fatalities or injured people in road traffic crashes, complementary road safety performance indicators can be used in relation to vehicles, infrastructure or road users' behaviour.</div><div>The <em>E</em>-Survey of Road Users' Attitudes (ESRA) is an online survey that aims to collect and analyse comparable data on road safety performance and traffic safety culture across the world. In its three editions (from 2015 to 2023) ESRA has included data from more than 120,000 road users from a total of 68 different countries. This paper focuses on data from the third edition of the ESRA survey (ESRA3), which was conducted in 2023 across 39 countries and includes answers from over 37,000 road users. The objectives are to provide an overview of the ESRA3 survey methodology and to present results related to several road safety topics, such as drink-driving, speeding, or distraction, across different types of road users: car drivers, pedestrians, cyclists, and moped riders/motorcyclists. It examines multiple dimensions of risky behaviours in traffic, including self-declared behaviours, personal acceptability of unsafe behaviours, and support for policy measures.</div><div>Results show low acceptability of unsafe traffic behaviours like speeding, drink-driving, fatigued driving or using a mobile phone while driving a car – less than 5 % of respondents considered these behaviours acceptable. Notwithstanding the low acceptability, a high percentage of car drivers declared engaging in risky behaviours in traffic: speeding within built-up areas was declared by 37 % to 47 % of car drivers, using a mobile phone by 22 % to 32 %, fatigued driving by 18 % to 20 %, and driving under the influence of alcohol by 10 % to 14 %. As for vulnerable road users, distraction (reading messages/checking social media or listening to music through headphones) was the most declared risky behaviour by pedestrians, the non-use of helmet the most declared by cyclists, and speeding the most declared by moped riders and motorcyclists. Most respondents support policy measures to restrict risky behaviour.</div><div>The ESRA survey offers a unique database and provides policy makers and researchers with valuable insights into public perception of road safety.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47059,"journal":{"name":"IATSS Research","volume":"49 3","pages":"Pages 335-352"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145005200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Gender differences in drivers' road risks and gender equality policies: A gender paradox? Comparative analysis of 39 countries 司机道路风险的性别差异与性别平等政策:性别悖论?39个国家的比较分析
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.06.004
Marie-Axelle Granié , Julie Devif , Nathalie Moreau , Shirley Delannoy
Gender is an acknowledge factor in road traffic fatalities, with men far more likely to die in road traffic crashes than women. This study aims to determine whether gender differences in drivers' self-reported risk behaviours and psychosocial factors vary by country's gender equality policies. Using the third edition of the E-Survey of Road users' Attitudes database, we analysed gender differences in the behaviour and attitudes of 16,031 frequent drivers (54.46 % men) surveyed via an online questionnaire in 39 countries. We characterised these countries according to their level on the World Economic Forum's Global Gender Gap Index and its four sub-indices (economic, education, health and political). We analysed differences by driver gender, levels of the gender gap indices and their interactions, on reported behaviour, social and personal acceptability, self-efficacy, risk perception, support for road safety policies and perceived deterrence, controlling for driver age and country income level. The results show that men drivers tend to have riskier behaviours, attitudes and perceptions than women drivers, regardless of the level of gender equality in the countries studied. They also show that gender equality policies seem to increase the risky behaviours and attitudes of men and women drivers in the sample. Furthermore, greater gender policies do not appear to reduce gender differences in these psychological constructs. In particular, high levels of equality in the economic, educational and health seems to reinforce gender differences in attitudes and perceptions related to risky driving behaviour. We discuss this gender paradox as a result of the essentialisation of gender stereotypes and the impact of safety culture on men and women. These findings may be useful, particularly in a safe system approach to road safety, for better framing road safety campaigns and education.
性别是造成道路交通死亡的一个公认因素,男性在道路交通事故中死亡的可能性远远高于女性。本研究旨在确定司机自我报告的风险行为和心理社会因素的性别差异是否因国家性别平等政策而异。利用第三版道路使用者态度电子调查数据库,我们通过在线问卷调查分析了39个国家16031名经常驾驶的司机(54.46%为男性)在行为和态度上的性别差异。我们根据这些国家在世界经济论坛的全球性别差距指数及其四个分项指数(经济、教育、卫生和政治)上的水平来划分这些国家。我们分析了驾驶员性别、性别差距指数水平及其相互作用、报告行为、社会和个人可接受性、自我效能、风险感知、对道路安全政策的支持和感知威慑方面的差异,并控制了驾驶员年龄和国家收入水平。结果表明,无论所研究国家的性别平等程度如何,男性司机往往比女性司机有更危险的行为、态度和观念。他们还表明,性别平等政策似乎增加了样本中男性和女性司机的危险行为和态度。此外,更大的性别政策似乎并没有减少这些心理结构中的性别差异。特别是,经济、教育和卫生方面的高度平等似乎强化了与危险驾驶行为有关的态度和看法方面的性别差异。我们讨论这种性别悖论,因为性别刻板印象的本质化和安全文化对男性和女性的影响。这些发现对于更好地制定道路安全运动和教育可能是有用的,特别是在道路安全的安全系统方法方面。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of traffic crashes considering the field of view 考虑视场的交通事故分析
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.07.002
Andreas Keler , Daijiro Maeda , Satoshi Nakao , Kei Yasuda , Jan-Dirk Schmöcker
Road transportation plays an indispensable role in people's lives as it forms the backbone of regions and towns, shapes the environment and landscape, and supports daily life and economic activities. However, it also constantly carries the risk of traffic crashes, making it an ongoing social issue amidst the development of road transportation. While there has been a decreasing trend in the number of traffic crashes and fatalities in recent years, many traffic crashes still occur, with over half of them happening at intersections or nearby. Past research on traffic crashes around intersections has predominantly focused on large-scale intersections, lacking sufficient analysis on small-scale intersections in residential areas due to data limitations. Therefore, in this study, we aggregated OpenData-based intersection representations for obtaining the number of corner cuts (so called “sumikiri” in Japan) via a computational-geometric approach for relating them to nearby-situated facilities and finding relationships between visibility characteristics and the number of traffic crashes, particularly focusing on small-scale intersections. The multiple linear regression analysis revealed that while the number of corner cuts did not show a significant impact on the number of traffic crashes at large-scale intersections, they had a statistically significant negative impact on traffic crashes at medium to small-scale intersections. This implies that intersection size influences the impact of corner cuts (i.e., visibility) on traffic crash occurrence. The results of this study suggest a potential relationship between the corner cut and the occurrence of traffic crashes at medium to small-scale intersections, providing insights that could contribute to future traffic crash prevention strategies.
道路交通在人们的生活中发挥着不可或缺的作用,它构成了区域和城镇的支柱,塑造了环境和景观,支撑着人们的日常生活和经济活动。然而,它也不断带来交通事故的风险,使其成为道路交通发展中一个持续存在的社会问题。虽然近年来交通事故的数量和死亡人数呈下降趋势,但仍有许多交通事故发生,其中一半以上发生在十字路口或附近。以往对交叉口周围交通事故的研究主要集中在大型交叉口,由于数据的限制,缺乏对居民区小型交叉口的充分分析。因此,在本研究中,我们汇总了基于opendata的交叉口表示,通过计算几何方法将拐角与附近设施联系起来,获得拐角数量(在日本称为“sumikiri”),并找到可见性特征与交通事故数量之间的关系,特别是专注于小规模路口。多元线性回归分析表明,在大型交叉路口,弯道数量对交通事故数量没有显著影响,而在中小型交叉路口,弯道数量对交通事故数量有显著的负向影响。这意味着交叉口的大小会影响到拐角(即能见度)对交通事故发生的影响。本研究的结果表明,在中小型十字路口,弯道切割与交通事故的发生之间存在潜在的关系,为未来的交通事故预防策略提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
An analysis of COVID-19 effects on the trends of traffic violations 新冠肺炎疫情对交通违法行为趋势的影响分析
IF 3.3 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.06.005
Masoud Foroutan Shad , Mahmoud Mesbah , Mahdie Asl-Javadian
Traffic violations can pose significant challenges to public safety and road infrastructure. The consequences of such violations may be managed based on the insights from their observed trends. Following the COVID-19 outbreak and changes in driving behavior, the violation patterns were affected. This study examines traffic violations in the Isfahan province of Iran between 2016 and 2022, focusing on seat belt and speeding violations. Two analytical approaches, time series analysis and count data modeling, were employed to explore various aspects of these violations. Time series analysis involved analyzing aggregated monthly violation records to forecast trends before and during the pandemic. A comparison of projected and observed patterns revealed remarkable shifts in traffic violations, especially after the start of the vaccination campaign in February 2021. This study also found that recording speeding violations was influenced by the maintenance of the speed-control cameras. The second approach focused on police-issued violation records across three periods: two pre-pandemic phases (Pre1 and Pre2) and a pandemic phase (Pand). A set of zero-truncated Poisson models assessed individual and environmental factors in Pre1 and Pre2, such as car type, license plate, driver characteristics, time of day, day type, road hierarchy, and season. The results showed that these factors significantly impacted violation probabilities. To analyze the effects of COVID-19 on these influential factors, another zero-truncated Poisson model was applied to the Pand phase, along with t-tests comparing the coefficients across the three phases. The findings revealed statistically significant changes in how these factors influenced seat belt and speeding violations. Notably, driver characteristics, day type, and season became more determinant for seat belt violations in the Pand phase, while the importance of license plate type decreased.
交通违规行为可能对公共安全和道路基础设施构成重大挑战。可以根据从观察到的趋势中得出的见解来管理这种违法行为的后果。随着新冠肺炎疫情的爆发和驾驶行为的变化,违规模式受到影响。这项研究调查了2016年至2022年伊朗伊斯法罕省的交通违规行为,重点是安全带和超速违规行为。采用时间序列分析和计数数据建模两种分析方法来探讨这些违规行为的各个方面。时间序列分析包括分析每月累计违规记录,以预测大流行之前和期间的趋势。对预测模式和观察模式的比较显示,交通违法行为发生了显著变化,特别是在2021年2月开始接种疫苗运动之后。该研究还发现,超速违规记录受到速度控制摄像机维护的影响。第二种方法侧重于警察发布的三个时期的违规记录:两个大流行前阶段(Pre1和Pre2)和一个大流行阶段(Pand)。一组零截断泊松模型评估了Pre1和Pre2的个体和环境因素,如汽车类型、车牌、驾驶员特征、一天中的时间、日类型、道路等级和季节。结果表明,这些因素对违规概率有显著影响。为了分析COVID-19对这些影响因素的影响,我们将另一个零截断泊松模型应用于Pand阶段,并使用t检验比较三个阶段的系数。研究结果显示,这些因素对安全带和超速行为的影响在统计学上发生了显著变化。在Pand阶段,驾驶员特征、日类型和季节对安全带违规的决定作用更大,而车牌类型的重要性降低。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the changes in long-distance travel behavior due to socio-economic and pandemic drivers 了解社会经济和流行病驱动因素导致的长途旅行行为的变化
IF 3.2 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.06.003
Farzana Faiza Farha, Sadia Afroj, Md. Musleh Uddin Hasan, Effat Farzana
The unprecedented COVID-19 pandemic massively affected the long-distance trips all over the world. Like other countries worldwide, inter-regional mobility restrictions with the capital city were also imposed in Bangladesh to control the spread of coronavirus. Therefore, it is important to examine the changes in long-distance travel behavior to understand people's mobility needs and responses during travel restrictions, as well as the influences of individuals' socio-economic conditions and the country's COVID severity on their travel decisions. Data for this research were collected from 402 respondents in Dhaka using online questionnaires. Voluntary response and convenience sampling techniques were followed in this study. Moreover, district-wise COVID data was obtained from the dashboard of Directorate General of Health Services (DGHS). Descriptive statistics and spatial analyses were employed in this study. In addition, binary logistic regression model and mixed-effect logistic regression model were developed to understand the underlying factors behind the changes in long-distance travel behavior during the pandemic. The findings reveal that the majority of the respondents decreased their long-distance trips during the first pandemic wave. A notable percentage of trip makers' long-distance trip patterns and mode use remained the same as their pre-pandemic situation. Access to private cars was a positive determinant for long-distance trips during the pandemic; hence, the excess cost of private transportation compelled people to use risky public transportation. The presence of elderly individuals and children in households reduced the likelihood of traveling longer distances during the pandemic. Hygiene and safety from COVID-19 contamination were the main concerns for respondents while choosing long-distance travel modes. Individuals' high-risk perception regarding COVID-19 decreased the probability of traveling longer-distance during the pandemic. In general, travelers relatively less preferred COVID hotspots as their long-distance trip destinations during the first pandemic wave. This study's recommendations will assist planners and policymakers in designing a safe and affordable long-distance transport corridor during future pandemics.
前所未有的新冠肺炎大流行严重影响了世界各地的长途旅行。与世界其他国家一样,孟加拉国也实施了与首都的区域间流动限制,以控制冠状病毒的传播。因此,研究长途旅行行为的变化,以了解人们在旅行限制期间的出行需求和反应,以及个人的社会经济条件和国家的COVID严重程度对其旅行决策的影响,具有重要意义。这项研究的数据是通过在线问卷从达卡的402名受访者中收集的。本研究采用自愿回答和方便抽样的方法。此外,从卫生服务总局(DGHS)的仪表板获得了各地区的COVID数据。本研究采用描述性统计和空间分析。此外,还建立了二元logistic回归模型和混合效应logistic回归模型,以了解疫情期间长途旅行行为变化背后的潜在因素。调查结果显示,大多数答复者在第一波大流行期间减少了长途旅行。很大比例的旅行者的长途旅行模式和模式使用与大流行前的情况相同。在大流行期间,获得私家车是长途旅行的积极决定因素;因此,私人交通的超额成本迫使人们使用有风险的公共交通。在大流行期间,家庭中有老年人和儿童减少了长途旅行的可能性。受访者在选择长途旅行方式时主要考虑的是COVID-19污染的卫生和安全问题。个人对COVID-19的高风险认知降低了大流行期间长途旅行的可能性。一般来说,在第一波大流行期间,旅行者相对不太喜欢将COVID热点地区作为长途旅行目的地。这项研究的建议将有助于规划人员和决策者在未来大流行期间设计一条安全且负担得起的长途运输走廊。
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引用次数: 0
Analysing the effectiveness of unsignalized crossing infrastructure in improving pedestrian safety using multiple data-driven approaches 利用多种数据驱动方法分析无信号交叉口基础设施改善行人安全的有效性
IF 3.2 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2025.06.002
Shengqi Liu, Harry Evdorides
This study investigates the effectiveness of unsignalized crossings to enhance pedestrian safety through a robust data-driven approach utilizing multiple machine learning models, including the statistical classifier Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Neural Network Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP). While numerous studies have applied predictive models to traffic crash data, few have systematically analysed pedestrian crash severity at unsignalized crossings using multiple machine learning algorithms. By leveraging historical crash data from the UK's STATS19 database, key factors influencing pedestrian safety at unsignalized crossings were identified and analysed. The research highlights the superior predictive performance of Random Forest and MLP models, with accuracies of 84 % and 86 %, respectively, underscoring their capability to handle complex, nonlinear relationships in crash data. Feature importance analysis revealed critical determinants of crash severity. The findings emphasize the need for targeted interventions to mitigate crash severity of crash outcomes. Despite challenges like underreporting and data imputation biases, this study provides valuable insights into the role of infrastructure in pedestrian safety, offering a foundation for policy recommendations and future research on improving unsignalized crossing designs.
本研究利用多种机器学习模型,包括统计分类器逻辑回归、决策树、随机森林和神经网络多层感知器(MLP),通过稳健的数据驱动方法,研究了无信号交叉口提高行人安全的有效性。虽然许多研究已经将预测模型应用于交通事故数据,但很少有研究使用多种机器学习算法系统地分析无信号交叉路口的行人碰撞严重程度。通过利用英国STATS19数据库的历史碰撞数据,确定并分析了影响无信号交叉口行人安全的关键因素。研究强调了随机森林和MLP模型的卓越预测性能,准确率分别为84%和86%,强调了它们处理碰撞数据中复杂、非线性关系的能力。特征重要性分析揭示了碰撞严重程度的关键决定因素。研究结果强调了有针对性的干预措施的必要性,以减轻碰撞后果的严重程度。尽管存在低报和数据输入偏差等挑战,但本研究为基础设施在行人安全中的作用提供了有价值的见解,为改善无信号交叉口设计的政策建议和未来研究提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
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