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Empirical evaluation of change in crash risk due to lane marking reallocation: A case study in Kochi City, Japan 车道标线重新分配导致碰撞风险变化的实证评估:日本高知市案例研究
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.12.001
Hiroaki Nishiuchi , Charitha Dias , Satsuki Kawato

Lane markings are considered an essential component of a road system. As highlighted in previous studies, they are directly linked to efficiency and safety. The rearrangement or reallocation of lane markings can be an economical way to improve efficiency. However, such changes could influence driver behavior. Thus, there is a tradeoff between efficiency and safety. Through a case study in Kochi City, Japan, this study evaluated the change in crash risk caused by a lane marking reallocation. Video data were collected before and after the implementation of a new road layout (achieved by reallocating lane markings) that was intended to mitigate traffic congestion at a signalized intersection. Based on the video data, PICUD (Possibility Index for Collision with Urgent Deceleration), a surrogate safety index used to estimate collision risk, was estimated for lane changes and conflicts between leading and following vehicles in the through lane. In particular, it was confirmed that the collision risk between a lane-changing vehicle and a leading vehicle in the through lane was reduced due to the reduction in traffic density caused by the new road layout. In addition, the results indicate that the PICUD value tends to decrease (i.e., the crash risk tends to increase) with increasing speed of the following vehicle relative to the leading vehicle. Overall, the improvement in safety after the implementation of the new road layout was marginal and statistically insignificant. Therefore, this study highlights the necessity of incorporating speed control measures, such as speed limits, along with congestion alleviation measures in order to enhance safety.

车道标线被认为是道路系统的重要组成部分。正如之前的研究所强调的那样,它们与效率和安全直接相关。重新布置或重新分配车道标线是提高效率的一种经济方法。然而,这些变化可能会影响司机的行为。因此,在效率和安全之间有一个权衡。本研究以日本高知市为个案,评估重新分配车道标线对事故风险的影响。视频数据是在实施新的道路布局(通过重新分配车道标线实现)之前和之后收集的,该布局旨在缓解信号交叉口的交通拥堵。基于视频数据,估计了通过车道发生变道和前后车辆发生冲突时碰撞风险的替代安全指标PICUD (Possibility Index for Collision with Urgent减速可能性指数)。特别是,由于新的道路布局降低了交通密度,因此确认了变道车辆与通过车道的领先车辆之间的碰撞风险降低。此外,研究结果表明,随着后车相对于前车车速的增加,PICUD值有减小的趋势,即碰撞风险有增大的趋势。总体而言,实施新道路布局后安全性的改善是边际的,统计上不显著。因此,本研究强调有必要结合速度控制措施,如限速,以及缓解拥堵的措施,以提高安全性。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of trip frequency choice of commute trips in the context of COVID-19 in India: A hybrid choice modelling approach with generalized ordered logit kernel 印度 COVID-19 背景下的通勤出行频率选择分析:使用广义有序对数核的混合选择建模方法
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.12.003
Bh. Aaditya, T.M. Rahul

The paradigm shift in mobility and travel behaviour caused by the successive waves of the COVID-19 pandemic has been unreal. The long-term effects of the pandemic resulting from the fear of the spread of the virus against the belief in the remedial measures are to be understood from a behavioural perspective to strengthen the current transportation system against such impediments. The current study adds to the literature on COVID-19 pandemic by unravelling the long-term impacts of the pandemic on the trip frequency of commute trips. A dataset of 467 individuals from all over India is analysed to understand the factors impacting the willingness of the respondents to reduce their commute trips in a post-vaccinated scenario. An integrated choice and latent variable structure, with a generalized ordered logit kernel, was considered to incorporate the influence of psycho-attitudinal variables and socio-demographics on the willingness to reduce trip frequency among individuals. The results indicate a significant impact for variables including fear of the virus spread, age of individuals, and job satisfaction of working from home on the stated willingness towards trip reduction. The study concludes by presenting policy measures that target to overcome the effects of the pandemic and restore normalcy.

连续几波2019冠状病毒病大流行造成的出行和旅行行为模式转变是不真实的。要从行为的角度来理解由于担心病毒传播而违背对补救措施的信念而造成的流行病的长期影响,以加强目前的运输系统以克服这些障碍。目前的研究通过揭示大流行对通勤出行频率的长期影响,增加了关于COVID-19大流行的文献。对来自印度各地的467人的数据集进行了分析,以了解影响受访者在接种疫苗后减少通勤旅行意愿的因素。采用广义有序logit核的综合选择和潜变量结构,考虑了心理态度变量和社会人口统计学对个体减少出行频率意愿的影响。结果表明,对病毒传播的恐惧、个人年龄和在家工作的工作满意度等变量对减少旅行的意愿有显著影响。研究报告最后提出了旨在克服大流行影响和恢复正常的政策措施。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon neutrality in transport sector 运输部门的碳中和
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.06.002
Masanobu Kii
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引用次数: 0
Examining the effect of vehicle type on right-turn crossing conflicts of minor road traffic at unsignalized T-intersections 研究车辆类型对无信号灯 T 型交叉路口小型道路交通右转交叉冲突的影响
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.12.002
Someswara Rao Bonela, B. Raghuram Kadali

In India, the crossing conflicts between right-turn vehicles of minor road traffic and conflicting vehicles on major roads have become more severe at unsignalized T-intersections in recent times. Due to the rapid growth of vehicular traffic, including motorized two-wheelers, auto-rickshaws, etc., results in an increase in right-turn crossing conflicts (RTCC) at unsignalized T-intersections. The severity of right-turn vehicles is related to the characteristics of both right-turning and conflicting through vehicles. Therefore, this study examines the effect of vehicle types on RTCC. The RTCC are observed using time-to-collision (TTC), at five unsignalized T-intersections in three different cities in India. The RTCC are categorized into critical RTCC and non-critical RTCC based on TTC threshold values obtained by the k-means clustering algorithm. A Generalized Poisson Regression model was developed using Python software. The study results revealed that the presence of higher composition of two-wheelers, auto-rickshaws, and cars in right-turn and conflicting through vehicles significantly influences the severity of RTCC. Also, the model results concluded that the speeds of right-turn and conflicting through vehicles, conflicting through traffic, right-turn traffic, vehicle gap, waiting time, and abnormal driving paths significantly affect the RTCC at unsignalized T-intersections. The findings of this study help traffic engineers and safety experts identify the critical unsignalized T-intersections using the number of right-turn crossing conflicts.

在印度,近年来,在无信号t型交叉口,次要道路交通右转车辆与主要道路上的冲突车辆的交叉冲突日益严重。由于机动车两轮车、机动人力车等交通工具的快速增长,导致无信号t型交叉口右转冲突增多。右转车辆的严重程度与右转车辆和冲突通过车辆的特性有关。因此,本研究考察车辆类型对RTCC的影响。RTCC使用碰撞时间(TTC)在印度三个不同城市的五个无信号t形十字路口观察。根据k-means聚类算法得到的TTC阈值,将RTCC分为临界RTCC和非临界RTCC。利用Python软件建立了广义泊松回归模型。研究结果表明,两轮车、机动人力车、右转车辆和碰撞车辆中较多车辆的存在显著影响RTCC的严重程度。模型结果还表明,右转与冲突过车流速度、冲突过车流速度、右转车流速度、车辆间隙、等待时间、异常行车路径等对无信号t型交叉口RTCC有显著影响。这项研究的发现有助于交通工程师和安全专家利用右转交叉冲突的数量来识别关键的无信号t型交叉路口。
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引用次数: 0
Perceptions towards autonomous vehicle acceptance: Information mining from Self-Organizing Maps and Random Forests 对自动驾驶汽车接受度的看法:来自自组织地图和随机森林的信息挖掘
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.11.002
Apostolos Ziakopoulos , Christina Telidou , Apostolos Anagnostopoulos , Fotini Kehagia , George Yannis

The present research investigates a range of factors affecting autonomous vehicle (AV) acceptance of Greek citizens through a questionnaire distributed to 563 respondents. Following the extraction of descriptive statistics, self-organizing maps (SOMs) were employed to meaningfully categorize and aggregate questions pertaining to four main pillars of the questionnaire, which are conceptually relevant namely: (i) how several factors affect general car choices of respondents, (ii) what the respondents perceived that AVs would offer, (iii) how much they agreed with stated expected technology and efficiency-oriented AV traits and (iv) how they believe several factors affect driving behavior overall. A Random Forest (RF) algorithm was applied to classify the AV acceptance decisions of a training subset of the respondents, and was subsequently assessed on a test subset. SOM results indicate that participants can be meaningfully separated into two SOM cluster groups for pillars (i), (ii) and (iv), while pillar (iii) yielded separations into three SOM cluster groups. RF feature importance calculation indicated a number of affecting variables; the five most contributing ones are: distance covering capabilities of AVs was a major factor affecting acceptance decisions, followed (by a wide margin) by responder opinions on whether the principles and conscience of drivers can be replaced by an AI navigator without reducing safety levels, while the algorithm itself conducted successful classification to about 80% of test cases. Present results can be used to anticipate AV penetration levels based on sample characteristics and to improve AV traits in cases where higher AV penetration is sought.

目前的研究调查了一系列影响自动驾驶汽车(AV)接受希腊公民通过调查问卷分发给563名受访者的因素。在提取描述性统计数据之后,采用自组织图(SOMs)对与问卷的四个主要支柱有关的问题进行有意义的分类和汇总,这些问题在概念上是相关的,即:(i)几个因素如何影响受访者的一般汽车选择,(ii)受访者认为自动驾驶汽车将提供什么,(iii)他们在多大程度上同意所述的预期技术和以效率为导向的自动驾驶汽车特征,以及(iv)他们如何认为几个因素影响整体驾驶行为。随机森林(RF)算法应用于对应答者的训练子集的AV接受决策进行分类,随后在测试子集上进行评估。SOM结果表明,对于支柱(i)、(ii)和(iv),参与者可以有意义地分为两个SOM集群组,而支柱(iii)产生了三个SOM集群组的分离。射频特征重要性计算表明了一些影响变量;贡献最大的五个问题是:自动驾驶汽车的覆盖距离能力是影响接受决策的主要因素,其次是受访者对人工智能导航仪能否在不降低安全水平的情况下取代驾驶员的原则和良心的意见(差距很大),而算法本身对大约80%的测试用例进行了成功分类。目前的结果可用于根据样本特征预测AV渗透水平,并在寻求更高AV渗透的情况下改善AV特征。
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引用次数: 0
Development and evaluation of a Bayesian network model for preventing distracted driving 防止分心驾驶的贝叶斯网络模型的开发与评价
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.11.001
Ramina Javid , Eazaz Sadeghvaziri , Mansoureh Jeihani

Distracted driving is one of the most significant factors leading to fatal car crashes. Using a cell phone while driving is one of the riskiest behaviors while driving and is the cause of death for hundreds of drivers in the United States. Distraction prevention technologies, such as cell phone blocking apps that limit the functioning of cell phones while the car is moving, are one strategy for combating distracted driving. The main goal of this study is to investigate the effect of cell phone blocking apps on driving behaviors and crashes caused by distracted driving using a machine learning algorithm. Some 158 participants were recruited from the state of Maryland to investigate their driving behavior using a state-specific survey. The results of the survey revealed that most people have cell phone blocking apps (62.6%); however, they do not use them on a daily basis (86.7%). A Bayesian network model was then deployed, and the results showed that if all drivers use cell phone blocking apps, crashes occurring due to distraction from cell phone use will decrease by 5 %, and self-reported distraction will decrease by 9 %. The results of this study can be used to detect distracted driving and find the best strategies to overcome this problem. The results also suggest that there should be a greater degree of awareness of distraction prevention technologies and education on the use of these technologies among different groups to reduce the number of fatalities, injuries, and crashes due to distraction.

分心驾驶是导致致命车祸的最重要因素之一。开车时使用手机是驾驶时最危险的行为之一,是美国数百名司机死亡的原因。防止分心技术是对抗分心驾驶的一种策略,比如在汽车行驶时限制手机功能的手机屏蔽应用程序。本研究的主要目标是使用机器学习算法调查手机屏蔽应用程序对驾驶行为和分心驾驶引起的车祸的影响。从马里兰州招募了大约158名参与者,通过一项针对各州的调查来调查他们的驾驶行为。调查结果显示,大多数人都有手机屏蔽应用(62.6%);然而,他们并不每天使用(86.7%)。然后部署了贝叶斯网络模型,结果表明,如果所有司机都使用手机屏蔽应用程序,由于使用手机分心而发生的撞车事故将减少5%,而自我报告的分心将减少9%。本研究的结果可用于检测分心驾驶,并找到克服这一问题的最佳策略。研究结果还表明,应该提高人们对预防分心技术的认识,并在不同群体中开展使用这些技术的教育,以减少因分心而导致的死亡、受伤和撞车事故的数量。
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引用次数: 0
A survey on public acceptance of automated vehicles across COVID-19 pandemic periods in China 2019冠状病毒病疫情期间中国公众对自动驾驶汽车的接受度调查
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.10.002
Jue Li, Zhiqian Hu, Long Liu

Automated vehicles (AVs) are not yet widely accepted by the public, and the COVID-19 pandemic has the potential to lead to a shift in attitudes toward travel modes and vehicles because of travel restrictions and the risk of viral transmission. Therefore, it is necessary to understand how AVs are being accepted by the public during the pandemic. This study investigated public acceptance of AVs across two periods of the COVID-19 epidemic prevention and control in China via 19-question online surveys, including the travel modes, AVs acceptance, and sociodemographic. A total of 429 responses were collected. Results showed that the public acceptance of AVs was on the positive side, but was diverse in items: the average extra cost willing to pay for a fully AV was 28,855.88 CNY (4116.39 USD), and 26.8% of respondents were not willing to pay for it. Respondents agreed on the benefits of AVs and are concerned about legal liability for drivers and fuel economy, and had a positive attitude of commercial AVs. Most acceptance items had differences between the pandemic periods, indicating that people were more willing to accept AVs during period with higher risk of infection. However, only the difference in perceived benefits of AV of ensuring social distance was statistically significant. Gender, age, and ownership of vehicle had greater effects on AVs acceptance, while driving ability and driving experience had small effects on it. This survey can provide insights for studies examining the acceptance of AVs across time, and exploring factors influencing AVs acceptance.

自动驾驶汽车尚未被公众广泛接受,由于出行限制和病毒传播的风险,COVID-19大流行有可能导致人们对出行方式和车辆的态度发生转变。因此,有必要了解在大流行期间,av是如何被公众接受的。本研究通过19个问题的在线调查,调查了中国在COVID-19疫情防控的两个时期公众对自动驾驶汽车的接受程度,包括出行方式、自动驾驶汽车接受程度和社会人口统计学。共收集了429份回复。结果显示,公众对自动驾驶汽车的接受程度是积极的,但在项目上存在差异:愿意为全功能自动驾驶汽车支付的平均额外成本为28,855.88元人民币(4116.39美元),26.8%的受访者不愿意支付。受访者认同自动驾驶汽车的好处,担心驾驶员的法律责任和燃油经济性,对商用自动驾驶汽车持积极态度。大多数接受项目在大流行时期之间存在差异,这表明人们在感染风险较高的时期更愿意接受av。然而,只有AV对确保社会距离的感知利益差异具有统计学意义。性别、年龄和车辆拥有量对自动驾驶汽车接受度的影响较大,驾驶能力和驾驶经验对自动驾驶汽车接受度的影响较小。本研究可为研究自动驾驶汽车在不同时期的接受程度,以及探索自动驾驶汽车接受程度的影响因素提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
TRAMON: An automated traffic monitoring system for high density, mixed and lane-free traffic TRAMON:用于高密度、混合和无车道交通的自动交通监控系统
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.10.001
Dang Minh Tan , Le-Minh Kieu

This paper introduces a new visual dataset and framework to facilitate computer-vision-based traffic monitoring in high density, mixed and lane-free traffic (TRAMON). While there are advanced deep learning algorithms that can detect and track vehicles from traffic videos, none of the existing systems provides accurate traffic monitoring in mixed traffic. The mixed traffic flows in developing countries often includes the types of vehicles that are not widely known by the existing visual datasets. The computer vision algorithms also face difficulties in detecting and tracking a high density of vehicles that are not following lanes. This paper proposes a large-scale visual dataset of >282,000 labelled images of traffic vehicles, as well as a comprehensive framework and strategy to train common deep-learning-based computer vision algorithms to detect and track vehicles in high density, heterogeneous and lane-free traffic. A systematic evaluation of results shows that TRAMON, the proposed visual dataset and framework, performs well and better than the common visual dataset at all traffic densities.

本文介绍了一种新的视觉数据集和框架,以促进高密度、混合和无车道交通(TRAMON)中基于计算机视觉的交通监控。虽然有先进的深度学习算法可以从交通视频中检测和跟踪车辆,但现有的系统都无法在混合交通中提供准确的交通监控。发展中国家的混合交通流通常包括现有视觉数据集不广为人知的车辆类型。计算机视觉算法在检测和跟踪不按车道行驶的高密度车辆方面也面临困难。本文提出了一个大规模的视觉数据集>;282000张交通车辆的标记图像,以及一个全面的框架和策略,用于训练常见的基于深度学习的计算机视觉算法,以检测和跟踪高密度、异构和无车道交通中的车辆。对结果的系统评估表明,所提出的视觉数据集和框架TRAMON在所有交通密度下都比普通视觉数据集表现良好。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis of primary-party traffic accident rates per driver in Japan from 1995 to 2015: Do older drivers cause more accidents? 1995 - 2015年日本司机人均交通事故率分析:年龄越大的司机是否更容易发生交通事故?
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.09.001
Kyoungmin Kim, Keisuke Matsuhashi, Masahiro Ishikawa

Studies on the age and generation characteristics of traffic accidents primarily focus on the tendency of deaths and severe injuries, whereas the faults or drivers who caused the accidents are not considered. Using license holders as a parameter for measuring accident risk when evaluating the number of primary-party accidents is challenging because it includes those who possess licenses but do not drive. In previous studies, the age characteristics in traffic accidents were evaluated based on different age groups and generational characteristics. Therefore, a Bayesian age–period–cohort analysis was performed in this study to isolate the effects of age, period, and generation on the number of traffic crashes. This approach can identify the gender/age of the driver, who may be the primary contributor to an accident, as well as the risk of traffic accidents in younger and older drivers. The results show that 1) age imposes a more significant effect than the duration and cohort. In the case of single-vehicle accidents, 2) the effect of age was significantly more prominent for males over 80 years old and females over 70 years old.

对交通事故年龄和发生特征的研究主要集中在死亡和重伤的趋势上,而没有考虑造成事故的故障或驾驶员。在评估第一方事故数量时,使用许可证持有人作为衡量事故风险的参数具有挑战性,因为这包括那些拥有许可证但不开车的人。在以往的研究中,交通事故中的年龄特征是根据不同的年龄组和代际特征进行评估的。因此,本研究进行了贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列分析,以分离年龄、时期和世代对交通事故数量的影响。这种方法可以确定驾驶员的性别/年龄,驾驶员可能是事故的主要原因,以及年轻和老年驾驶员发生交通事故的风险。结果表明,1)年龄比持续时间和队列产生更显著的影响。在单车事故的情况下,2)年龄的影响在80岁以上的男性和70岁以上的女性中明显更突出。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating two-wheelers risk factors for severe crashes using an interpretable machine learning approach and SHAP analysis 使用可解释的机器学习方法和SHAP分析调查两轮车严重碰撞的风险因素
IF 3.2 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.07.005
Mohammad Tamim Kashifi

The use of two-wheelers (TWs) has gained popularity as an alternative to personal vehicles due to their flexibility, fuel economy, ease of parking, and size, especially in congested cities. However, TWs are considered vulnerable road users due to their higher riding risk compared to other modes. This study proposes a novel framework to extract latent and dependent heterogeneous risk factors that affect the crash severity of TWs. By combining eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) analysis, this study investigates the factors affecting TW crash severity, providing both local and global interpretability. The XGBoost method is employed to model crash severity, while SHAP analysis facilitates the derivation of explanations from the model, enhancing our understanding of the contributing factors. The French crash dataset for TWs between 2014 and 2017 is utilized for this analysis. The findings highlight that the department of the crash, road category, urbanization level, TW category, and age of the user significantly influence TW crash severity. Furthermore, severe injuries are more likely to occur in TW crashes associated with rural areas, older riders, riders not wearing helmets, run-off-road crashes, and crossing roads. The insights derived from this study can be leveraged to develop targeted interventions that address the identified risk factors and promote the safety of TW riders. By focusing on these key factors, policymakers and stakeholders can implement effective measures to reduce the severity of TW crashes and enhance the overall safety of TW users.

两轮车(TWs)由于其灵活性、燃油经济性、易于停车和体积小,尤其是在拥挤的城市,作为私家车的替代品,使用TWs已经越来越受欢迎。然而,由于与其他交通方式相比,TWs的骑行风险更高,因此被认为是脆弱的道路使用者。本研究提出了一种新的框架来提取影响TWs碰撞严重程度的潜在和依赖异质性风险因素。通过结合极端梯度增压(XGBoost)和SHapley加性解释(SHAP)分析,本研究探讨了影响TW碰撞严重程度的因素,提供了局部和全局可解释性。采用XGBoost方法对崩溃严重程度进行建模,而SHAP分析有助于从模型中推导解释,增强我们对影响因素的理解。该分析使用了2014年至2017年法国TWs的坠机数据集。研究结果表明,事故部门、道路类别、城市化水平、TW类别和使用者年龄对TW碰撞严重程度有显著影响。此外,严重伤害更可能发生在与农村地区、老年骑手、不戴头盔的骑手、越野跑碰撞和过马路有关的TW碰撞中。从这项研究中获得的见解可以用于制定有针对性的干预措施,以解决已确定的风险因素,并促进TW车手的安全。通过关注这些关键因素,政策制定者和利益相关者可以采取有效措施,降低TW事故的严重程度,提高TW用户的整体安全性。
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引用次数: 1
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