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Minimum wages and suicide rates in Japan: 2009–2024 日本最低工资和自杀率:2009-2024
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101410
Masanori Kuroki
This study investigates the relationship between prefecture-level minimum wages and suicide rates in Japan from 2009 to 2024. The results show a statistically significant negative association between minimum wages and suicide rates for both men and women aged 20–29, with the magnitude of the association being stronger for men. Furthermore, minimum wage hikes do not appear to be associated with a rise in suicides among the unemployed, suggesting that potential negative employment effects may not translate into higher suicide rates due to job loss. Additional analysis indicates minimum wages may also reduce suicide among middle-aged workers (aged 30–49) in prefectures with a greater share of non-regular workers and a higher number of households receiving public assistance. Finally, the association became stronger for young men during the post-pandemic period (2020–2024) but vanished for young women, suggesting a shift toward non-financial drivers of suicide for young women during this period.
本研究考察了2009年至2024年日本地级市最低工资与自杀率之间的关系。结果显示,在20-29岁的男性和女性中,最低工资与自杀率之间存在统计学上显著的负相关,其中男性的相关性更强。此外,最低工资的上涨似乎与失业人群自杀率的上升无关,这表明潜在的负面就业影响可能不会转化为由于失业而导致的更高自杀率。另外的分析表明,在非正规工人比例较高和接受公共援助的家庭数量较多的县,最低工资也可能降低中年工人(30-49岁)的自杀率。最后,在大流行后时期(2020-2024年),这种关联在年轻男性中变得更强,但在年轻女性中消失了,这表明在这一时期,年轻女性的自杀动机转向了非经济因素。
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引用次数: 0
Nonparametric estimation of matching efficiency and elasticity on a private on-the-job search platform: Evidence from Japan, 2014–2024 民营企业求职平台的非参数匹配效率与弹性:来自日本的证据,2014-2024
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101394
Suguru Otani
I analyze proprietary data from BizReach (2014–2024) to estimate the matching function for high-skill workers on a private on-the-job search platform using Lange and Papageorgiou (2020) nonparametric approach. Comparing it to Hello Work, I find that matching efficiency on the private platform is both more volatile and higher, reflecting its growing popularity. Matching elasticity with respect to users is around 0.75, while for vacancies, it reaches 1.0, suggesting a more balanced elasticity than Hello Work. The study also uncovers industry-level heterogeneity, highlighting differences in matching dynamics across sectors.
我分析了BizReach(2014-2024)的专有数据,使用Lange和Papageorgiou(2020)的非参数方法估计了私人在职搜索平台上高技能工人的匹配函数。与Hello Work相比,我发现私人平台上的匹配效率更不稳定,也更高,这反映了它越来越受欢迎。相对于用户的匹配弹性在0.75左右,而对于空缺,它达到了1.0,这表明弹性比Hello Work更平衡。该研究还揭示了行业层面的异质性,突出了行业间匹配动态的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Health insurance and physicians’ practice location choice: A natural experiment in Japan 健康保险与医师执业地点选择:日本的自然实验
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101393
Hiroshi Aiura , Reo Takaku
We examine how the large expansion of a medical subsidy program changes the behavior of primary care physicians. Since 2000, Japan, has seen a rapid development of a local subsidization program known as the Medical Subsidy for Children and Infants (MSCI), which substantially reduces out-of-pocket expenses for children’s healthcare utilization. Using a census of clinics from 1999 to 2011 matched with municipality-level eligibility criteria for the MSCI, we show that the MSCI increases the monthly number of visits per clinic. However, MSCI increased the likelihood that physicians would choose to open clinics in more densely populated areas, suggesting that expanding the generosity of the health insurance system may accelerate the concentration of physicians in urban centers.
我们研究了医疗补贴计划的大规模扩张如何改变初级保健医生的行为。自2000年以来,日本迅速发展了一项被称为儿童和婴儿医疗补贴(MSCI)的地方补贴计划,该计划大大减少了儿童医疗保健利用的自付费用。使用1999年至2011年的诊所普查与市级的MSCI资格标准相匹配,我们表明MSCI增加了每家诊所的每月访问量。然而,MSCI增加了医生选择在人口更密集地区开设诊所的可能性,这表明扩大医疗保险制度的慷慨程度可能会加速医生向城市中心的集中。
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引用次数: 0
Against the wind or with it? The intraday and daily dynamics of yen interventions 逆风还是顺风?日元干预的盘中和每日动态
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101392
Opale Guyot, Heather A. Montgomery
Modeling the reaction function of Japanese policymakers as an optimization of a cost–benefit framework based on JPY/USD exchange rate movements, volatility, and trade volume, this study investigates Japan’s foreign exchange intervention timing and motives from 2008 to 2024 using both daily and high-frequency 15 min data. The empirical results show that at the daily frequency, policymakers primarily target a long-run exchange rate level, with daily volatility playing no significant role. In contrast, the intraday analysis reveals that policymakers are more likely to intervene in response to heightened volatility and trade volume, and tend to reinforce short-term market trends by leaning in the wind. These findings underscore the complexity of intervention strategies, highlighting distinct decision-making approaches across different time horizons.
本研究基于日元/美元汇率变动、波动率和交易量,将日本政策制定者的反应函数建模为成本效益框架的优化,使用每日和高频15分钟数据调查了2008年至2024年日本外汇干预的时机和动机。实证结果表明,在日频率下,政策制定者主要以长期汇率水平为目标,日波动率没有显著作用。相比之下,日内分析显示,政策制定者更有可能对波动加剧和交易量增加进行干预,并倾向于通过逆风来加强短期市场趋势。这些发现强调了干预策略的复杂性,突出了不同时间范围内不同的决策方法。
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引用次数: 0
Invoicing currency and exchange rate pass-through in Japanese imports: A panel VAR analysis 日本进口商品的计价货币和汇率传递:面板VAR分析
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101391
Taiyo Yoshimi , Uraku Yoshimoto , Takatoshi Ito , Kiyotaka Sato , Junko Shimizu , Yushi Yoshida
This study utilizes the granular Japanese customs data from 2014 to 2020 to examine the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to Japanese import prices. It mainly focuses on the impact of the invoicing currency choice on ERPT. The ERPT elasticity in products invoiced in the exporter’s currency is greater than those invoiced in yen. In the full sample analysis, the ERPT elasticity was 0.75 for products invoiced in the exporter’s currency, compared to 0.19 for yen-invoiced products. We find the same tendency for imports from two Asian powerhouses: China and Thailand. No significant difference in the ERPT elasticity between products invoiced in the exporter’s currency and those invoiced in a third currency (i.e., a currency other than yen or the exporter’s currency). In addition, an asymmetric pass-through is found, namely the ERPT during the appreciation phase of the yen is higher than during the depreciation phase. This finding is interpreted that foreign exporters strengthen their pricing-to-market behavior during the yen depreciation phase to maintain their market share.
本研究利用2014年至2020年的日本海关数据来检验汇率传递(ERPT)对日本进口价格的影响。本文主要讨论了计价货币选择对erp的影响。以出口商的货币开具发票的产品的出口税弹性大于以日元开具发票的产品。在完整的样本分析中,以出口商货币开具发票的产品的ERPT弹性为0.75,而以日元开具发票的产品的ERPT弹性为0.19。我们发现,从中国和泰国这两个亚洲大国的进口也有同样的趋势。以出口商货币开具发票的产品与以第三种货币(即日元或出口商货币以外的货币)开具发票的产品之间的出口商品税弹性没有显著差异。此外,发现了不对称传递,即日元升值阶段的ERPT高于贬值阶段。这一发现被解释为外国出口商在日元贬值阶段加强了按市场定价的行为,以保持其市场份额。
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引用次数: 0
The slope of the Phillips curve for service prices in Japan: Regional panel data approach 日本服务价格菲利普斯曲线的斜率:区域面板数据方法
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101388
Yui Kishaba, Tatsushi Okuda
We estimate the slope of the Phillips curve for service prices in Japan using prefecture-level panel data, where we control for the impact of inflation expectations on inflation by including time-fixed effects instead of proxies for inflation expectations. Our estimates indicate that the slope of the Phillips curve has overall halved, or even decreased further, since the 2000s, during which the Bank of Japan confronted the zero lower bond constraint and implemented unconventional monetary policy measures.
我们使用地级面板数据估计日本服务价格的菲利普斯曲线的斜率,其中我们通过包括时间固定效应而不是通胀预期的代理来控制通胀预期对通胀的影响。我们的估计表明,自2000年代以来,菲利普斯曲线的斜率总体上减半,甚至进一步下降,在此期间,日本央行面临着债券利率为零的约束,并实施了非常规的货币政策措施。
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引用次数: 0
Do class closures affect students’ achievements? Heterogeneous effects of students’ socioeconomic backgrounds 停课会影响学生的成绩吗?学生社会经济背景的异质性效应
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101387
Masato Oikawa , Ryuichi Tanaka , Shun-ichiro Bessho , Akira Kawamura , Haruko Noguchi
This paper examines the impact of class closures on the academic achievement of primary and middle school students, with a particular focus on heterogeneous effects related to their household socioeconomic backgrounds. Using administrative data from students in a Japanese city within the Tokyo Metropolitan Area, we analyze the effects of class closures due to influenza epidemics on students’ language and mathematics test scores. Our findings indicate that class closures adversely affect the mathematics test scores of economically disadvantaged students. The magnitude of these negative effects on disadvantaged students varies by subject, grade level, gender, the timing of closures, and students’ prior academic achievement. In particular, male students from economically disadvantaged households are more susceptible to class closures, and those with lower prior academic achievement experience more severe adverse effects. These deleterious effects among economically disadvantaged male students appear to be driven not only by reductions in in-school instructional time but also by behavioral changes that may diminish their learning capacity. Furthermore, we find that high-quality teachers can mitigate the negative impact of class closures on economically disadvantaged students. These results highlight the importance of public programs designed to safeguard student learning environments against such adverse disruptions.
本文考察了班级关闭对中小学生学业成绩的影响,特别关注了与家庭社会经济背景相关的异质性效应。我们利用东京大都会区内某日本城市学生的行政数据,分析了因流感疫情而停课对学生语言和数学考试成绩的影响。我们的研究结果表明,班级关闭对经济困难学生的数学考试成绩有不利影响。这些负面影响对弱势学生的影响程度因学科、年级水平、性别、关闭时间和学生先前的学业成绩而异。特别是来自经济困难家庭的男性学生更容易受到班级关闭的影响,而先前学业成绩较低的学生则受到更严重的不良影响。这些对经济条件不利的男学生的有害影响似乎不仅是由于学校教学时间的减少,而且还由于行为上的改变可能会降低他们的学习能力。此外,我们发现高质量的教师可以减轻班级关闭对经济困难学生的负面影响。这些结果突出了旨在保护学生学习环境免受此类不利干扰的公共项目的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Pension reform for an aging Japan: Welfare and demographic dynamics 老龄化日本的养老金改革:福利和人口动态
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101390
Akira Okamoto
Japan’s life expectancy exceeds that of other developed countries; however, the standard starting age for receiving public pension benefits remains at 65 years. This paper uses an extended lifecycle general equilibrium model with endogenous fertility to investigate how a higher starting age for pension benefits affects individual welfare and future demographic dynamics. Our simulation analysis indicates that per-capita welfare will increase if the starting age for pension benefits is raised to 68 or 70. The higher the employment rate of individuals aged 65 and older, the higher are the per-capita welfare and the future population level. Conversely, if the employment rate for older adults remains at 52% (Japan’s current level), the total population would decrease in the long run compared with the benchmark case with a starting age of 65 for pension benefits. The findings demonstrate the importance of enhancing the employment rate of older adults while raising the standard pensionable age in Japan.
日本人的预期寿命超过了其他发达国家;然而,领取公共养老金的标准起始年龄仍然是65岁。本文使用一个具有内生生育率的扩展生命周期一般均衡模型来研究提高养老金起始年龄对个人福利和未来人口动态的影响。我们的模拟分析表明,如果领取养老金的起始年龄提高到68岁或70岁,人均福利将会增加。65岁及以上老人的就业率越高,人均福利和未来人口水平越高。相反,如果老年人的就业率保持在52%(日本目前的水平),从长远来看,与65岁开始领取养老金的基准情况相比,总人口将减少。研究结果表明,在提高日本领取养老金标准年龄的同时,提高老年人就业率的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Labor market outcomes for doctoral graduates in Japan: Evidence from a large statistical survey 日本博士毕业生的劳动力市场结果:来自大型统计调查的证据
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101389
Masayuki Morikawa
Amid growing concerns about Japan’s declining research capability, policies to support doctoral human resources are actively discussed and implemented. This study uses micro data from the 2022 Employment Status Survey to document the labor market outcomes of postgraduates, distinguishing doctoral and master’s graduates. According to the analysis, first, the employment rate of doctoral graduates is higher than that of master’s graduates, with the difference particularly pronounced among females. Second, on average, doctoral graduates are paid 40% more than master’s graduates, and the proportion of low-wage workers is smaller among doctoral graduates compared to those with a master’s or four-year university education. Third, when controlling for detailed industries and occupations, the wage difference between doctoral and master’s graduates reduces to about 10%, suggesting that doctoral graduates tend to self-select into higher-paying jobs. Fourth, the discounted present value of lifetime earnings is estimated to be 17% higher for male and 36% higher for female doctoral graduates compared to master’s graduates. Based on some assumptions, the internal rate of return on investment in doctoral education is estimated at around 10% for both males and females.
在对日本研究能力下降的担忧日益加剧的情况下,积极讨论和实施支持博士人力资源的政策。本研究使用《2022年就业状况调查》的微观数据来记录研究生的劳动力市场结果,区分博士和硕士毕业生。分析表明,首先,博士毕业生的就业率高于硕士毕业生,其中女性的差异尤为明显。其次,博士毕业生的平均薪酬比硕士毕业生高出40%,并且博士毕业生中低收入工人的比例低于硕士或四年制大学毕业生。第三,在控制具体行业和职业的情况下,博士和硕士毕业生的工资差距缩小到10%左右,这表明博士毕业生倾向于自我选择高薪工作。第四,与硕士毕业生相比,男性博士毕业生的终身收入贴现现值估计高出17%,女性博士毕业生高出36%。根据一些假设,博士教育的内部投资回报率估计在10%左右,男女都是如此。
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引用次数: 0
A cross-industrial analysis on the task content of trade 贸易任务内容的跨行业分析
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101379
Sawako Maruyama
This paper estimates the task content of trade for Japanese manufacturing in terms of the number of employees using Japanese Input–Output (IO) Tables. The purpose of this paper is to examine the cross-industrial differences in the task content of trade and to reveal their determinants through descriptive and empirical analyses. For the estimation, the composite task index is calculated for five task categories. From the descriptive analysis, it is found that labour-intensive sectors with low technology tend to have relatively large imports of routine manual tasks. Another finding is that only machinery sectors have a trade surplus in terms of the task content of trade, whereas the trade deficit of routine manual tasks tends to be large in labour-intensive sectors. In addition, empirical results reveal that the industrial characteristics and the occupational structure explain the difference in the task content of trade by sector.
本文利用日本投入产出表,以就业人数为单位估算了日本制造业的贸易任务内容。本文的目的是考察贸易任务内容的跨行业差异,并通过描述性和实证分析揭示其决定因素。在估计中,计算了五个任务类别的综合任务指数。从描述性分析中发现,技术含量低的劳动密集型部门往往有相对较大的日常手工任务进口。另一个发现是,就贸易的任务内容而言,只有机械部门有贸易顺差,而在劳动密集型部门,常规手工任务的贸易逆差往往很大。此外,实证结果表明,产业特征和职业结构解释了不同部门贸易的任务内容差异。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of the Japanese and International Economies
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