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Assessment of reproductive behavior and fertility on the example of the steppe regions of Russia 以俄罗斯草原地区为例对繁殖行为和生育能力的评估
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.4
L. Tuktamysheva, A. Chibilyov (jr.), D. Meleshkin, D. Grigorevsky
The article is devoted to the study of reproductive behavior and fertility forecast in the steppe regions of Russia. The purpose of the work is to identify the main patterns and determinants of the reproductive behavior of population in the regions of the steppe zone of Russia. The objectives of the study included a description of the main characteristics of fertility indicators, establishing the significance of differences in reproductive behavior indicators, calculating an integral indicator of reproductive behavior and predicting fertility in the regions under study. In the period 1990-2020 in the territory under consideration, there was a general decrease in the population by 847 thousand people, the main reasons for which were a decrease in the natural population growth and negative migration rates. In the regions of the steppe zone, there is a tendency to increase in the territories with lower birth rates, the average age of a mother at the birth of her first child is growing, there are processes of postponing the birth of children and later marriage. Calculation of the integral indicator made it possible to conduct a rating assessment of the steppe regions of Russia in terms of reproductive behavior. As a result, the values of the integral indicator of reproductive behavior are maximum in the Republic of Kalmykia, and minimum in Saratov oblast. As a result of modeling and forecasting the birth rate in the studied regions till 2025, it was found that the forecasts for most subjects of the steppe zone are disappointing. A uniform decrease in fertility rates is observed in 16 regions, of which the largest decline is forecast in the Republic of Bashkortostan — by 0.9 births per 1,000 people, the Republic of Kalmykia (by 0.8) and Orenburg oblast (by 0.8). Only in 2 regions the calculated forecasts have a positive trend — in Belgorod (by 0.4) and Omsk (by 0.6) oblasts.
本文对俄罗斯草原地区的生殖行为和生育预测进行了研究。这项工作的目的是确定俄罗斯草原地区人口生殖行为的主要模式和决定因素。研究的目的包括描述生育指标的主要特征,确定生育行为指标差异的意义,计算生育行为的综合指标,预测研究区域的生育率。1990-2020年期间,所审议领土的人口总体减少了84.7万人,其主要原因是人口自然增长率下降和负移徙率。在草原地区,出生率较低的地区有增加的趋势,母亲生第一个孩子的平均年龄在增长,有推迟生育子女和晚婚的过程。综合指标的计算使对俄罗斯草原地区的生殖行为进行评级评估成为可能。因此,生殖行为综合指标的值在卡尔梅克共和国最高,在萨拉托夫州最低。通过对研究地区到2025年的人口出生率进行建模和预测,发现对草原地带的大多数研究对象的预测结果令人失望。16个地区的生育率均有下降,其中巴什科尔托斯坦共和国下降幅度最大——每1 000人中有0.9人出生,卡尔梅克共和国(0.8人)和奥伦堡州(0.8人)。只有在2个地区,计算出的预测呈上升趋势——别尔哥罗德州(上升0.4)和鄂木斯克州(上升0.6)。
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引用次数: 0
Work-family balance: assessments of successful working parents 工作与家庭的平衡:成功职场父母的评估
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.10
A. Shabunova, G. Leonidova
In the context of the intensification of labor activity, the spread of unstable forms of employment, the growth of informatization and digitalization of social development, the unstable economic situation, the issues of ensuring a balance between the work and personal life of the working population are being actualized. This is especially important for workers with families and, most importantly, children, because in the modern realities (depopulation, high mortality rate in working age, low birth rate), the importance of determinants of family well-being increases significantly. And in a situation where parents are successful workers building a career or developing their business, the problem of the balance between work and living space is even more relevant. The purpose of the article is to analyze the balance of personal life and work of successful working parents. The context of the success of working parents in the analysis of the work-life balance is the scientific novelty of the study, the practical significance is connected with the possibility of using data in the management activities of economic entities in development of social support measures for employees. The information base of the study was made up of data from sociological studies: the pilot sociological study "Modern Successful Man" conducted in 2018 (no. = 492 people) by an international scientific group (psychologists, economists, sociologists) in the cities of Vologda, Cherepovets, Petrozavodsk and Kolomna (Russia), Minsk (Belarus), Lublin (Poland), as well as monitoring the quality of labor potential (no.=1500people) conducted in Vologda oblast by employees of the Vologda Research Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 57% of the cross-country study participants identify themselves with successful people. 100% of working parents in Vologda oblast agree with the statement that "work is a way to achieve success." It was found out that working parents who consider themselves successful people show significantly higher satisfaction with life and work in general, including directly with the balance of personal and work life. It is shown that having a family not only does not interfere with the career aspirations of spouses, but even contributes to them. balance, work, personal life, working parents, work satisfaction.
在劳动活动加剧、不稳定就业形式蔓延、社会发展信息化和数字化增长、经济形势不稳定的背景下,确保劳动人口工作和个人生活平衡的问题正在得到解决。这对有家庭的工人,最重要的是对儿童来说尤其重要,因为在现代现实中(人口减少、工作年龄死亡率高、出生率低),家庭幸福的决定因素的重要性显著增加。在父母都是成功的职场人士或发展企业的情况下,工作和生活空间之间的平衡问题更为重要。本文的目的是分析成功在职父母的个人生活和工作的平衡。在职父母在分析工作与生活平衡方面取得成功的背景是本研究的科学新颖性,其实际意义与在经济实体的管理活动中使用数据为员工制定社会支持措施的可能性有关。该研究的信息库由社会学研究的数据组成:一个国际科学团体(心理学家、经济学家、社会学家)于2018年在沃洛格达、切列波韦茨、彼得罗扎沃茨克和科洛姆纳(俄罗斯)、明斯克(白俄罗斯)、卢布林(波兰)、,以及俄罗斯科学院沃洛格达研究中心的员工在沃洛格达州进行的劳动力潜力质量监测(人数=1500人)。57%的跨国研究参与者认为自己是成功人士。沃洛格达州100%的在职父母同意“工作是取得成功的一种方式”的说法。研究发现,认为自己是成功人士的在职父母对生活和工作的总体满意度要高得多,包括对个人生活和工作生活的平衡。研究表明,拥有一个家庭不仅不会干扰配偶的职业抱负,甚至会促进他们的职业抱负。平衡、工作、个人生活、在职父母、工作满意度。
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引用次数: 0
The age structure of the population of the regions of Russia at the beginning of the 21st century: components of the formation 21世纪初俄罗斯各地区人口的年龄结构:形成的组成部分
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.1
O. Rybakovsky
In order to improve the management system of demographic processes, the article proposes and tests a non-standard methodology for studying the results of the demographic dynamics of the population of territories in the age context. The structure of their formation due to the main demographic components is disclosed. The main specific task is to assess as of mid-2021 for all regions of Russia — cumulative results of the demographic movement of the population accumulated over 28 years, which had an age of zero years in mid-1993. The proposed and tested methodology in the article allows us to clearly show the results of demographic dynamics and its components in a simple visual form. According to the current official Russian statistics, the demographic situation in the regions of Russia as of mid-2021, concerning the population aged 28 years, can be represented as follows (we will give two typical examples). Moscow: out of 100 persons aged 0 years, in mid-1993, 94 survived in 28 years (with zero migration). Migration increase added 107 people to them, including 87 at the expense of other Russian regions and 20 at the expense of foreign countries. Total: 201 persons out of 100 in 1993; Kurgan oblast: out of 100 persons aged 0 years in mid-1993, 93 survived in 28 years (with zero migration). 15 people left by migration, including 25 people to other Russian regions. But at the expense of foreign countries, 10 people were added. Total: 78 persons out of 100.
为了完善人口过程的管理制度,本文提出并检验了一种非标准的方法,用于研究领土人口在年龄背景下的人口动态结果。由于主要人口组成部分,公开了其形成的结构。主要的具体任务是评估截至2021年年中俄罗斯所有地区28年来人口流动的累积结果,1993年年中人口流动的年龄为0岁。本文中提出和测试的方法使我们能够以简单的视觉形式清楚地显示人口动态及其组成部分的结果。根据目前的俄罗斯官方统计数据,截至2021年中期,俄罗斯各地区28岁人口的人口状况如下(我们将给出两个典型的例子)。莫斯科:1993年中期,100名0岁老人中,有94人在28年内存活(没有迁移)。移民增加了107人,其中87人来自俄罗斯其他地区,20人来自外国。总数:1993年100人中有201人;库尔干州:1993年中期100名0岁老人中,有93人在28年内存活(没有迁移)。15人移民离开,其中25人去了俄罗斯其他地区。但以牺牲外国为代价,增加了10人。总共:100人中有78人。
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引用次数: 0
Demographic shifts in Japan as a factor in the transformation of migration policy 日本人口结构的变化是移民政策转变的一个因素
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.8
E. Pismennaya, N. Ryazantsev, N. Molchanova
The article is devoted to study of the demographic shifts in Japan in the context of their impact on the transformation of migration and foreign educational policy. Some of them were permanent, others arose periodically and were caused by rapid socio-demographic and economic shifts in the Japanese society. The article analyzes the development of the demographic crisis in Japan at the beginning of the 21st century. This period is characterized by ongoing depopulation of the Japanese population, its active aging and unfavorable changes in the labor market caused by the spread of IT technologies and robotization of production. The article analyzes the worsening unfavorable demographic trends, which resulted in a shortage of labor, a decrease in the economic potential of the country, and an increase in the demographic burden on the working population. There have been studied the impact on the demographic processes in Japan of the factor of educational immigration, which is considered as one of the most appropriate resources for compensating for possible demographic losses in the population in the future. Legislative innovations and legal support of external immigration, as well as their practical implementation, have been studied. The results of the activities of the higher school of Japan in teaching foreign citizens and smoothing out the negative dynamics of the demographic situation in the country are presented. Of interest for further research is an in-depth study of the causes and identification of the consequences of the demographic crisis, as well as a substantive analysis of the economic and social effectiveness of changes in Japan's migration policy.
本文致力于研究日本人口结构的变化及其对移民和外国教育政策转变的影响。其中一些是永久性的,另一些是周期性的,是由日本社会快速的社会人口和经济变化引起的。本文分析了21世纪初日本人口危机的发展过程。这一时期的特点是日本人口持续减少,老龄化加剧,IT技术的普及和生产的自动化导致劳动力市场发生不利变化。文章分析了日益恶化的不利人口趋势,这些趋势导致劳动力短缺,国家经济潜力下降,劳动人口的人口负担增加。已经研究了教育移民因素对日本人口进程的影响,教育移民被认为是补偿未来人口可能损失的最合适资源之一。对外部移民的立法创新和法律支持及其实际实施进行了研究。介绍了日本高等学校在教育外国公民和消除该国人口状况的负面动态方面的活动结果。值得进一步研究的是深入研究人口危机的原因和后果,以及对日本移民政策变化的经济和社会效益进行实质性分析。
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引用次数: 1
Employment transformation in Russia from the perspective of cross-country comparisons 跨国比较视角下的俄罗斯就业转型
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.9
A. Popov, T. Soloveva
The transition of mankind to a post-industrial society marked a profound transformation in various areas of activity. The subject of our attention is employment, which not only has undergone significant changes recently, but is also seriously affected by global challenges. The purpose of the article is to analyze the features and patterns of the employment transformation in Russia on the basis of cross-country comparisons. The chosen research perspective allowed us to observe the situation in the world's leading economies (G7 countries) and identify typical trends for industrialized countries. The paper is based on the data from the International Labor Organization, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the World Bank, as well as public Internet sources. The analysis clearly demonstrated versatility of the studied phenomenon that we examined within the frames of the sectoral structure and forms of employment, the institutional environment and the development of human capital. In general, the employment transformation in Russia has much in common with that in the G7 countries, which is expressed primarily in redistribution of the labor force to services, spread of non-standard employment, reduction of trade union density rate and adaptation of labor practices to performing works related to solution of cognitive and technological tasks, as well as interpersonal interaction. At the same time, some "delay" is observed in a number of areas, that may be due to the later onset of the changes. In conclusion, we emphasize the importance of finding new opportunities to analyze the various facets of employment transformation and the need to achieve an optimal balance between employment flexibility and decent work.
人类向后工业社会的过渡标志着各个活动领域的深刻转变。我们关注的主题是就业,就业不仅最近发生了重大变化,而且受到全球挑战的严重影响。本文的目的是在跨国比较的基础上分析俄罗斯就业转型的特点和模式。所选择的研究视角使我们能够观察世界领先经济体(G7国家)的情况,并确定工业化国家的典型趋势。该论文基于国际劳工组织、经济合作与发展组织、世界银行以及公共互联网来源的数据。该分析清楚地表明了我们在部门结构和就业形式、制度环境和人力资本发展的框架内研究的现象的多样性。总的来说,俄罗斯的就业转型与七国集团国家的就业转型有很多共同点,主要表现在劳动力向服务业的再分配、非标准就业的扩散、工会密度的降低以及劳动力实践对执行与解决认知和技术任务相关的工作的适应,以及人际互动。与此同时,在一些地区观察到一些“延迟”,这可能是由于变化发生较晚。最后,我们强调寻找新机会分析就业转型各个方面的重要性,以及在就业灵活性和体面工作之间实现最佳平衡的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Parental leave in the system of socio-economic processes: a theoretical review 社会经济进程体系中的育儿假:理论综述
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.6
N. Blednova
Parental leave is one of the most important components in the structure of family policy in most developed countries. In foreign practice, three types of leaves are available: maternity leave, paternity leave and parental leave. The researchers note that development of the leave policy has a favorable economic, social and demographic effect. For this reason, the issue of leaves is becoming more and more popular every year and attracts attention of a wide range of scientists. Nevertheless, in the domestic scientific literature, the phenomenon of parental leave remains practically unexplored. This article is devoted to the study of the impact of parental leave on other socioeconomic processes — employment, gender equality and fertility — and related areas of government policy. Exploring this relationship, the author notes positive impact of paternity leave and paternity quotas on the distribution of responsibilities between men and women in the professional and family spheres of life. The positive economic effects from the use of parental leave as one of the tools to protect workers in the labor market are described. These effects consist mainly in increasing the employment rate of women and reducing the wage gap between men and women. In addition, the impact of parental leave on the birth rate is considered—on the one hand, the use of paternity leave stimulates parents for subsequent childbearing, on the other hand, opportunity costs increase, which negatively affect the reproductive attitudes of mothers. The author draws a conclusion about the relationship between parental leave policy and other areas of state policy — employment policy, gender equality policy and demographic policy. In the author's opinion, the discovered relationship indicates the importance of the issue of parental leave and the need to study it in Russia.
在大多数发达国家,育儿假是家庭政策结构中最重要的组成部分之一。在国外的实践中,有三种类型的假期:产假、陪产假和育儿假。研究人员指出,休假政策的发展具有良好的经济、社会和人口效应。由于这个原因,树叶的问题每年都变得越来越受欢迎,并吸引了广泛的科学家的关注。然而,在国内的科学文献中,育婴假的现象实际上仍未被探索。本文致力于研究育婴假对其他社会经济过程——就业、性别平等和生育率——以及政府政策相关领域的影响。在探讨这种关系时,作者注意到陪产假和陪产配额对男女在职业和家庭生活领域的责任分配产生了积极影响。从使用育儿假作为工具之一,以保护工人在劳动力市场的积极经济效应进行了描述。这些影响主要包括提高妇女的就业率和缩小男女之间的工资差距。此外,还考虑了陪产假对出生率的影响,一方面,陪产假的使用刺激了父母后续生育,另一方面,机会成本增加,这对母亲的生育态度产生了负面影响。作者对育婴假政策与其他国家政策——就业政策、性别平等政策和人口政策之间的关系进行了总结。作者认为,这一发现表明了育儿假问题的重要性和在俄罗斯进行研究的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Social and demographic problems of labor potential formation in the North Caucasus 北高加索地区劳动力潜力形成的社会和人口问题
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.11
Sh.M. Gimbatov, Shihragim Kutaev, Khadijat Khadzhalova, Zaira Abdulaeva, P. Abdulmanapov
The purpose of the article is to study the problems of the economic backwardness of the region from the standpoint of the features of the system of reproduction, formation, distribution and use of labor resources in the North Caucasus. The main directions for improving the system of reproduction of labor resources in the North Caucasus Federal District were identified and a comprehensive analysis of the socio-economic and demographic situation was carried out in the context of the three main factors that determine the formation of labor potential in the region. The determining factors of the formation of labor resources considered in the article are the dynamics of population reproduction, the features of the formation of the labor market and the educational environment. The authors present analysis of the demographic and socio-economic situation and their impact on the problems of reproduction of labor resources from various research positions: socio-demographic aspects of formation of the labor force and problems of population aging, the reasons for outflow of the population from the region and their connection with the situation in the labor market, problems of gender asymmetry in the labor market and in the system of higher education, problems of employment and unemployment in the aspect of the development of education of the population. A set of measures is proposed to improve the system of labor resources reproduction in the North Caucasus Federal District (NCFD), the main directions and necessary measures to improve the situation in the development of labor resources and labor potential are outlined. It is concluded that the present problems in the sphere of labor resource reproduction become a barrier to economic development of the North Caucasus and constrain raising the human capital development to a quality level.
本文旨在从北高加索地区劳动力资源的再生产、形成、分配和利用体系的特点出发,研究北高加索地区经济落后的问题。确定了改善北高加索联邦区劳动力资源再生产制度的主要方向,并在决定该地区劳动力潜力形成的三个主要因素的背景下对社会经济和人口状况进行了全面分析。本文认为劳动力资源形成的决定因素是人口再生产的动态、劳动力市场形成的特征和教育环境。作者从不同的研究角度分析了人口和社会经济状况及其对劳动力资源再生产问题的影响:劳动力形成的社会人口学方面和人口老龄化问题,人口从该地区流出的原因及其与劳动力市场状况的联系,劳动力市场和高等教育体系中的性别不对称问题,人口教育发展方面的就业和失业问题。提出了一套完善北高加索联邦区劳动力资源再生产体系的措施,概述了改善北高加索联邦区劳动力资源和劳动力潜力开发状况的主要方向和必要措施。劳动资源再生产领域存在的问题已成为制约北高加索地区经济发展的障碍,制约了人力资本开发向高质量水平发展。
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引用次数: 1
Upgrading water supply and wastewater collection systems in rural areas as a way to improve quality of life of the population of Russia 改善农村地区的供水和污水收集系统,以提高俄罗斯人民的生活质量
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.12
Inna Schneiderman, I. Pilipenko
This article pinpoints the problem of no modern water supply and sewage systems in homes of ca. 22-24 million people in the Russian Federation residing in the countryside nowadays. As a statistical database, the authors use the results of the Rosstat surveys entitled "The Comprehensive monitoring of the living conditions of the population" that were conducted in 2011 and 2020. We analyze the data on cold and hot water supply systems, sewage systems and toilets in homes of households across the country in general, in rural areas and in individual houses (the private sector). The article reveals that there are no modern types of sewage systems in homes of almost two-thirds of households, whereas modern toilet is not installed in one-third, hot water supply — in 26 per cent, and cold water supply system — in homes of 11 per cent of households in rural areas. When considering individual houses in rural settlements the situation is even worse, and the numbers reach 81 per cent, 42 per cent, 30 per cent and 13 per cent respectively. Six groups of regions of the Russian Federation are distinguished by the share of households that do not have access to any water supply system in their homes. Subsequently, we define four reasons why rural areas have been consistently lagging behind cities and towns in terms of infrastructural development, including the decline of local Soviet-era agricultural enterprises (kolkhozes and sovkhozes) in the beginning of the 1990s and the development of rural territories as a generally low priority topic for the Federal executive bodies. The other two reasons are the virtual disconnection of rural territories from the state policies in the area of housing construction and utilities and the insufficient compatibility of the current model of providing state and municipal services to the population living mostly in individual houses on private land under the conditions of shortage of financial resources. In conclusion, we propose a set of measures aimed at boosting resolution of the ongoing problems with universal access to modern water supply and sewage systems in rural areas of the Russian Federation.
这篇文章指出了目前俄罗斯联邦约有22-24万人居住在农村,家中没有现代供水和污水处理系统的问题。作为一个统计数据库,作者使用了2011年和2020年进行的题为“人口生活条件的全面监测”的Rosstat调查的结果。我们分析了全国各地家庭、农村地区和个体住宅(私营部门)的冷热水供应系统、污水处理系统和厕所的数据。文章显示,在农村地区,近三分之二的家庭没有现代类型的污水处理系统,而三分之一的家庭没有安装现代厕所,26%的家庭没有热水供应系统,11%的家庭没有冷水供应系统。在考虑农村住区的个人住房时,情况更糟,这一数字分别达到81%、42%、30%和13%。俄罗斯联邦六组地区的不同之处在于,家中没有任何供水系统的家庭所占比例。随后,我们定义了农村地区在基础设施发展方面一直落后于城镇的四个原因,包括20世纪90年代初当地苏联时代的农业企业(kolkhozes和sovkhozes)的衰落,以及农村地区的发展是联邦执行机构普遍不重视的问题。另外两个原因是,农村地区实际上与国家在住房建设和公用事业领域的政策脱节,以及在财政资源短缺的情况下,向主要居住在私人土地上的个人住房中的人口提供国家和市政服务的现行模式兼容性不足。最后,我们提出了一系列措施,旨在推动解决俄罗斯联邦农村地区普遍使用现代供水和污水处理系统的持续问题。
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引用次数: 0
Emigration from Russia to the USA and Canada in the context of the expansion of Russian-speaking communities 在俄语社区扩大的背景下从俄罗斯移民到美国和加拿大
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.7
A. Lukyanets, A. Tyshkevich
The article discusses emigration flows from Russia to the USA and Canada. The host countries owe their existence to immigration due both to the economic and geopolitical situation in the modern world. Since the late 19th century a consistently high emigration flow has been recorded from Russia to these countries. The greatest outflow occurred in the last decade of the 20th century, when with the collapse of the USSR the flow of emigrants from Russia to these countries, and particularly to the USA, sharply increased. The increase in emigration has led to expansion and strengthening of the Russian-speaking community that emigrated from Russia to the United States and Canada. In the USA the largest concentration of the Russian-speaking population is in three agglomerations: New York, Los Angeles and Miami. These three agglomerations account for over 35% of all immigrants from Russia. In Canada, with a much smaller immigration flow than in the United States, the largest share of immigrants from Russia is concentrated in such agglomerations as Toronto and Montreal. Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, migration flows to the United States and Canada have decreased from all countries of the world, including Russia. This was the result of both the anti-visa restrictions and the termination by the US Embassy in Russia of issuing non-immigrant visas a first, and subsequently, all other types of visas. If in peak 2014 almost 390 thousand border crossings by citizens of the Russian Federation were recorded, then in 2021 only 77.7 thousand. A similar trend is observed in the emigration flow from Russia to Canada. The main part of the migration flow to the United States consists of Russian citizens who have a residence permit or U.S. citizenship, as well as persons who have received visas at U.S. consular offices in other countries.
本文讨论了从俄罗斯到美国和加拿大的移民潮。由于现代世界的经济和地缘政治形势,东道国的存在归功于移民。自19世纪末以来,从俄罗斯到这些国家的移民流量一直很高。最大的外流发生在20世纪的最后十年,当时随着苏联的解体,从俄罗斯到这些国家,特别是美国的移民急剧增加。移民的增加导致了从俄罗斯移民到美国和加拿大的俄语社区的扩大和加强。在美国,讲俄语人口最集中的地区有三个:纽约、洛杉矶和迈阿密。这三个聚集地占所有来自俄罗斯的移民的35%以上。加拿大的移民流量比美国小得多,来自俄罗斯的移民比例最大,集中在多伦多和蒙特利尔等城市。自新冠肺炎大流行开始以来,包括俄罗斯在内的世界所有国家流向美国和加拿大的移民都有所减少。这既是反签证限制的结果,也是美国驻俄罗斯大使馆终止发放非移民签证的结果,这是第一次,后来也是所有其他类型签证的结果。如果说在2014年高峰期,俄罗斯联邦公民过境人数接近39万,那么2021年只有77.7万。从俄罗斯到加拿大的移民潮也出现了类似的趋势。移民到美国的主要部分包括持有居留许可或美国公民身份的俄罗斯公民,以及在美国驻其他国家领事馆获得签证的人。
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引用次数: 1
The first encounter with "the black swan": how the pandemic affects the mood of graduates 首次遭遇“黑天鹅”:疫情如何影响毕业生情绪
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.15
O. Aleksandrova, A. Proskurina, D. Markov
The first ILO report against the background of the Covid-19 pandemic names youth among the most anxious groups. Russian sociologists also spoke about this, linking such a reaction with the greenhouse conditions created by Russian families for children. Graduation from a university is a serious life milestone, especially in the context of the pandemic that has required long periods of distance learning and dramatically accelerated the digitalization of the economy. According to the research conducted by the authors, more than two-thirds of students believe that the pandemic has changed our lives forever, and also that in the modern world it is impossible to have one profession for all your life. Medium-term and long-term prospects for specialists with their education do not seem very optimistic to students. But and in the short term, the majority of graduates assess their competitiveness in the labor market as average and foresee high competition for vacancies (or their shortage) and the offer of low wages. For many, the problems of future employment are laid down at the stage of choosing a profession: a significant part goes to study where there are affordable budget places, but poorly understand the essence of the profession and its relevance. Today, half of the graduates would choose another profession and do not plan to work in their specialty. High proportion of those who expected successful employment before the pandemic has noticeably decreased against its background. With regard to employment problems, almost half of the respondents have an internal locus of control, the rest are divided in equal proportions into those who have an external locus of control, or both loci of control are expressed or not expressed. For older students, problems with employment are more often seen as a combination of external factors and their own shortcomings. Among those looking for problems in themselves or both in themselves and in the external environment, there are quite a lot of expecting difficulties in finding a job. Acting within the framework of the "ontological security", young people implement practices that allow them to adapt, but do not reduce uncertainty.
国际劳工组织在新冠肺炎大流行背景下的第一份报告将青年列为最焦虑的群体之一。俄罗斯社会学家也谈到了这一点,并将这种反应与俄罗斯家庭为儿童创造的温室条件联系起来。大学毕业是人生的一个重要里程碑,尤其是在疫情需要长时间远程学习并大大加快经济数字化的背景下。根据作者进行的研究,超过三分之二的学生认为,疫情已经永远改变了我们的生活,而且在现代世界,不可能一辈子只从事一种职业。对学生来说,专家的中长期教育前景似乎并不乐观。但是,在短期内,大多数毕业生将自己在劳动力市场上的竞争力评估为平均水平,并预测职位空缺(或短缺)和低工资的竞争会很激烈。对许多人来说,未来就业的问题是在选择职业的阶段提出的:很大一部分人去研究哪里有负担得起的预算名额,但对职业的本质及其相关性知之甚少。如今,一半的毕业生会选择另一种职业,不打算在自己的专业工作。在疫情背景下,那些希望在疫情前成功就业的人的比例明显下降。关于就业问题,几乎一半的受访者有内部控制点,其余人按同等比例分为有外部控制点的人,或者两个控制点都有表达或没有表达。对于年龄较大的学生来说,就业问题往往被视为外部因素和自身缺点的结合。在那些寻找自身或自身和外部环境问题的人中,有很多人认为找工作很困难。在“本体论安全”的框架内,年轻人实施的实践使他们能够适应,但不会减少不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
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