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The first encounter with "the black swan": how the pandemic affects the mood of graduates 首次遭遇“黑天鹅”:疫情如何影响毕业生情绪
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.19181/population.2023.26.1.15
O. Aleksandrova, A. Proskurina, D. Markov
The first ILO report against the background of the Covid-19 pandemic names youth among the most anxious groups. Russian sociologists also spoke about this, linking such a reaction with the greenhouse conditions created by Russian families for children. Graduation from a university is a serious life milestone, especially in the context of the pandemic that has required long periods of distance learning and dramatically accelerated the digitalization of the economy. According to the research conducted by the authors, more than two-thirds of students believe that the pandemic has changed our lives forever, and also that in the modern world it is impossible to have one profession for all your life. Medium-term and long-term prospects for specialists with their education do not seem very optimistic to students. But and in the short term, the majority of graduates assess their competitiveness in the labor market as average and foresee high competition for vacancies (or their shortage) and the offer of low wages. For many, the problems of future employment are laid down at the stage of choosing a profession: a significant part goes to study where there are affordable budget places, but poorly understand the essence of the profession and its relevance. Today, half of the graduates would choose another profession and do not plan to work in their specialty. High proportion of those who expected successful employment before the pandemic has noticeably decreased against its background. With regard to employment problems, almost half of the respondents have an internal locus of control, the rest are divided in equal proportions into those who have an external locus of control, or both loci of control are expressed or not expressed. For older students, problems with employment are more often seen as a combination of external factors and their own shortcomings. Among those looking for problems in themselves or both in themselves and in the external environment, there are quite a lot of expecting difficulties in finding a job. Acting within the framework of the "ontological security", young people implement practices that allow them to adapt, but do not reduce uncertainty.
国际劳工组织在新冠肺炎大流行背景下的第一份报告将青年列为最焦虑的群体之一。俄罗斯社会学家也谈到了这一点,并将这种反应与俄罗斯家庭为儿童创造的温室条件联系起来。大学毕业是人生的一个重要里程碑,尤其是在疫情需要长时间远程学习并大大加快经济数字化的背景下。根据作者进行的研究,超过三分之二的学生认为,疫情已经永远改变了我们的生活,而且在现代世界,不可能一辈子只从事一种职业。对学生来说,专家的中长期教育前景似乎并不乐观。但是,在短期内,大多数毕业生将自己在劳动力市场上的竞争力评估为平均水平,并预测职位空缺(或短缺)和低工资的竞争会很激烈。对许多人来说,未来就业的问题是在选择职业的阶段提出的:很大一部分人去研究哪里有负担得起的预算名额,但对职业的本质及其相关性知之甚少。如今,一半的毕业生会选择另一种职业,不打算在自己的专业工作。在疫情背景下,那些希望在疫情前成功就业的人的比例明显下降。关于就业问题,几乎一半的受访者有内部控制点,其余人按同等比例分为有外部控制点的人,或者两个控制点都有表达或没有表达。对于年龄较大的学生来说,就业问题往往被视为外部因素和自身缺点的结合。在那些寻找自身或自身和外部环境问题的人中,有很多人认为找工作很困难。在“本体论安全”的框架内,年轻人实施的实践使他们能够适应,但不会减少不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
Julien DUVAL, Johan HEILBRON, Pernelle ISSENHUTH (dir.), 2022, Pierre Bourdieu et l’art de l’invention scientifique. Enquêter au Centre de sociologie européenne (1959-1969), Classiques Garnier, Bibliothèque des sciences sociales, 464 pages Julien DUVAL, Johan HEILBRON, Pernelle ISSENHUTH(编),2022,Pierre Bourdieu和科学发明的艺术。《欧洲社会学研究中心》(1959-1969),加尼埃经典,社会科学图书馆,464页
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.3917/popu.2204.0704
E. Markou
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引用次数: 0
Emmanuel PONT, 2022, Faut-il arrêter de faire des enfants pour sauver la planète ? Entre question de société et choix personnel, Payot & Rivages, 320 pages 伊曼纽尔·庞特,2022年,我们应该停止生孩子来拯救地球吗?在社会问题和个人选择之间,Payot & Rivages, 320页
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.3917/popu.2204.0707
J. Véron
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引用次数: 0
L’isolement social dans une société de solidarité. Le cas des Sereer Siin au Sénégal 团结社会中的社会孤立。塞内加尔Sereer Siin案
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.3917/popu.2204.0673
Véronique Deslauriers, S. Bignami, V. Delaunay, Jon Sandberg
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引用次数: 0
Jakub BIJAK (ed.), 2022, Towards Bayesian Model-based Demography. Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies, Methodos Series n° 17, Springer Nature Switzerland AG., 263 pages Jakub BIJAK(主编),2022,迈向基于贝叶斯模型的人口统计学。人口迁移研究中的不确定性、复杂性和能动性,《方法论》第17卷第1期。, 263页
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.3917/popu.2204.0698
D. Courgeau
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引用次数: 0
Paul PASQUALI, 2021, Héritocratie. Les élites, les grandes écoles et les mésaventures du mérite (1870-2020), La Découverte, L'envers des faits, 320 pages 保罗·帕斯夸里,2021年,世袭主义。Les elites, Les grandes ecoles et Les merite的不幸(1870-2020),La decouverte, l 'envers des faits, 320页
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.3917/popu.2204.0701
T. Huet
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引用次数: 0
Les écarts de déclaration de violences conjugales entre les femmes lesbiennes, bisexuelles et hétérosexuelles 女同性恋、双性恋和异性恋女性在报告家庭暴力方面的差异
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.3917/popu.2204.0615
Tania Lejbowicz
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引用次数: 1
Réseau social et évolutions de la famille au Japon : un nouvel examen 日本的社会网络和家庭演变:一项新的审查
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.3917/popu.2204.0645
Martin Piotrowski, Ronald R. Rindfuss, Emi Tamaki, Minja Kim Choe, Noriko O. Tsuya, Larry Bumpass, Camille Richou
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引用次数: 0
Features of the institutional approach to analysis of the pronatalist policy 分析产前政策的制度方法的特点
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.19181/population.2022.25.4.11
D. Saitova
The paper considers the possibility of applying institutional approach to analysis of the pronatalist policy. The pronatalist policy creates space for institutions that should contribute to achievement of its goals, namely, raising the birth rate. However, the consistent application of the institutional approach has shown the absence of institutions with necessary for these goal parameters such as addressee, regulation, object, conditions and sanctions. Institutional impact should be focused on a target group of people and its characteristics. Depending on the groups' age, it should ensure a new parental status for young people aged 20 to 35 or birth of children in a certain order. Given this evidence for focusing on specific recipients and digitizing this process, an examination of their impact upon the effectiveness of pronatalist policy measures seems warranted. Considering the real, rather than conditional generation, we analyses the dynamics of the number of women and the age-specific fertility rates among women aged 20 to 34. It allows assessing the potential for growth in the birth rate in this real generation and predicting the required level of age-specific fertility rates in the next time period. The paper proposes a model for analysis of statistical data, which requires further verification on a larger array. The author also makes an attempt to model a new institution within the pronatalist policy — the institution of potential parents. As possible sanctions for violation of institutional norms by potential parents, it is proposed to use the mechanism of lost profits, that is, a reduction in additional payments and privileges from the state with an increase in the protogenetic interval.
本文探讨了运用制度方法分析生育政策的可能性。生育政策为那些应该有助于实现其目标(即提高出生率)的机构创造了空间。但是,机构办法的一贯适用表明,缺乏具有这些目标参数的必要机构,例如对象、管制、对象、条件和制裁。体制影响应集中在目标人群及其特点上。根据群体的年龄,它应该确保20至35岁的年轻人有一个新的父母身份,或者按照一定的顺序生孩子。鉴于关注特定接受者并将这一过程数字化的证据,审查它们对生育政策措施有效性的影响似乎是有必要的。考虑到真正的一代,而不是有条件的一代,我们分析了20至34岁女性中女性数量和特定年龄生育率的动态。它可以评估这一代人的出生率增长潜力,并预测下一时期特定年龄的生育率所需水平。本文提出了一个统计数据分析模型,该模型需要在更大的阵列上进一步验证。作者还试图在生育主义政策中建立一个新的制度——潜在父母制度。作为对潜在父母违反制度规范的可能制裁,建议使用利润损失机制,即减少来自国家的额外支付和特权,增加原始发生间隔。
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引用次数: 0
Labor resources as a characteristic of labor potential and their structure 劳动力资源作为劳动力潜力的特征及其结构
IF 3.8 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.19181/population.2022.25.4.13
M. Toksanbaeva, Raisa Popova
One of the characteristics of labor potential is the ability to work among its carriers indiv i duals, groups and the population, by which are also studied other characteristics (demography, health, social and economic activity, professional competencies, etc.). On the basis of working capacity is determined the most general indicator of the labor potential of population, namely, labor resources. This indicator is structured according to a number of qualitative parameters. They make it possible to identify labor resources used in public production, as well as unused reserves. Their involvement in labor is becoming relevant in the context of the modern need to increase the self-sufficiency of the economy, and hence, to increase these resources. However, their growth is limited for demographic reasons. To assess the available reserves, labor resources are ranked according to the characteristics of economic activity. In descending order, the categories are distinguished according to their relation to the labor force: the real labor force (employed and unemployed), potential labor force (not employed, but willing to work) and not included in the labor force (not willing to work). Calculations for these categories showed that in 2021, the real labor force dominated in the labor force (85.6%). The potential contingent accounted for a miserable amount (slightly more than one percent), and for those who did not want to work — a little more than 10%. But among those not included in the labor force, more than two thirds of this category were those who had objective reasons for being unemployed, as well as those employed in unpaid but useful domestic work. Factors influencing the structure of labor resources are considered by regions of the Russian Federation. They showed dependence of this structure on the birth rate, aging of the population, internal migration, and, above all, on the parameters of employment and unemployment, which play a leading role among the factors for improving this structure.
劳动潜力的特征之一是在其载体个体、群体和人口之间工作的能力,并以此研究其他特征(人口学、健康、社会经济活动、专业能力等),劳动力资源。这一指标是根据一些定性参数构成的。它们使确定公共生产中使用的劳动力资源以及未使用的储备成为可能。在现代需要提高经济自给自足,从而增加这些资源的背景下,他们对劳动力的参与变得越来越重要。然而,由于人口原因,他们的增长受到限制。为了评估可用储量,劳动力资源根据经济活动的特点进行排名。按降序,类别根据其与劳动力的关系进行区分:真实劳动力(就业和失业)、潜在劳动力(未就业,但愿意工作)和不包括在劳动力中(不愿意工作)。对这些类别的计算显示,2021年,真实劳动力在劳动力中占主导地位(85.6%)。潜在的特遣队所占比例很低(略高于1%),而那些不想工作的人所占比例略高于10%。但在那些不包括在劳动力中的人中,超过三分之二的人是那些有客观原因失业的人,以及那些从事无报酬但有用的家务劳动的人。俄罗斯联邦各地区考虑了影响劳动力资源结构的因素。他们表明,这一结构依赖于出生率、人口老龄化、国内移民,最重要的是,依赖于就业和失业参数,而就业和失业在改善这一结构的因素中发挥着主导作用。
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