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Boomerang children and parental retirement outcomes 潮汐儿童与父母退休后的生活
IF 5.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11150-024-09707-8
Grant M. Seiter, Mary J. Lopez, Sita Nataraj Slavov

As the share of U.S. adult children living with their parents increases, it is important to understand how children who “boomerang” back home impact their parents in their pre-retirement and post-retirement years. We use data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) to examine the effects of boomerang children on their parents’ labor market expectations and choices, as well as on their wealth, health, and life satisfaction. Event study analysis suggests that boomerang children return home due to short-term instabilities, such as negative shocks to marriage, income, and employment. We find that boomerang children are associated with a small increase in their parents’ subjective probability of working after age 65, and with a temporary increase in their parents’ non-housing debt. However, in the aggregate, we find no clear evidence that boomerang children impact parents’ current or future labor market choices, overall wealth, health, or life satisfaction. (We do find some evidence of an increase in hours worked among parents in the bottom wealth decile). One possible explanation for the lack of aggregate impact is that boomerang children contribute to household expenses. We find that boomerang events are associated with an increase in financial transfers from children to parents, particularly among parents in the bottom half of the wealth distribution.

随着与父母同住的美国成年子女比例的增加,了解 "回迁 "回家的子女对父母退休前和退休后的影响非常重要。我们利用《健康与退休研究》(HRS)的数据,研究了 "回流 "子女对其父母的劳动力市场预期和选择的影响,以及对他们的财富、健康和生活满意度的影响。事件研究分析表明,回迁子女返回家乡是由于短期的不稳定因素,如婚姻、收入和就业方面的负面冲击。我们发现,回迁子女会使其父母 65 岁后工作的主观概率略有上升,并使其父母的非住房债务暂时增加。然而,从总体上看,我们没有发现明确的证据表明,潮汐子女会影响父母当前或未来的劳动力市场选择、整体财富、健康或生活满意度。(我们确实发现了一些证据,表明处于财富最低十分位数的父母的工作时间有所增加)。没有总体影响的一个可能解释是,回迁子女增加了家庭开支。我们发现,回迁子女事件与子女向父母的资金转移增加有关,尤其是在财富分布最底层的父母中。
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引用次数: 0
Ethnic fertility and exposure to armed conflict: the case of Sri Lanka 种族生育率和武装冲突风险:斯里兰卡案例
IF 5.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11150-024-09703-y

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of exposure to armed conflict on fertility in Sri Lanka. Using a difference-in-difference methodology, I find that exposure to civil war led to a reduction in female fertility in Sri Lanka, with evidence of an increased female age at marriage in high-conflict districts as a mechanism. The paper further focuses on ethnic disparities in demographic adjustments triggered by exposure to conflict. It determines if conflict altered the fertility patterns of the Sinhalese majority and the Sri Lankan Tamil minority differently. Estimates suggest that there is a differential in fertility adjustments of the two ethnic groups in response to conflict: the reduction in crude birth rate was significantly smaller for the Sri Lankan Tamils compared to the Sinhalese across various model specifications. The presence of an ethnic group-level replacement effect led to a lesser reduction in fertility for Sri Lankan Tamils. These results contribute to the literature on the impact of armed conflict and underscore the importance of studying demographic adjustments by sub-groups, specifically ethnicity in this context, as the intensity of adjustment often varies with the socio-political vulnerability of the group. Understanding these disparities is crucial as a sustained demographic differential has the potential to impact the ethnic composition of Sri Lanka and may further crystallize the ethnic divide in an already volatile political setting.

摘要 本文研究了斯里兰卡武装冲突对生育率的影响。利用差分法,我发现内战导致斯里兰卡女性生育率下降,有证据表明高冲突地区女性结婚年龄提高是一种机制。本文进一步关注了冲突引发的人口调整中的种族差异。它确定了冲突是否以不同方式改变了僧伽罗多数群体和斯里兰卡泰米尔少数群体的生育模式。估计结果表明,两个族群在应对冲突时的生育率调整存在差异:在不同的模型规格中,斯里兰卡泰米尔人的粗出生率下降幅度明显小于僧伽罗人。族群层面替代效应的存在导致斯里兰卡泰米尔人生育率的下降幅度较小。这些结果为有关武装冲突影响的文献做出了贡献,并强调了研究亚群体(特别是在此背景下的种族)人口调整的重要性,因为调整的强度往往随群体的社会政治脆弱性而变化。了解这些差异至关重要,因为持续的人口差异有可能影响斯里兰卡的种族构成,并可能在本已动荡的政治环境中进一步固化种族鸿沟。
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引用次数: 0
Household specialization and competition for promotion 家庭专业化和晋升竞争
IF 5.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11150-024-09706-9

Abstract

We study how the presence of promotion competition in the labor market affects household specialization patterns. By embedding a promotion tournament model in a household setting, we show that specialization can emerge as a consequence of competitive work incentives. This specialization outcome, in which only one spouse invests heavily in his or her career, can be welfare superior to a situation in which both spouses invest equally in their careers. The reason is that household specialization reduces the intensity of competition and provides households with consumption smoothing. The specialization result is obtained in a setting where spouses are equally competitive in the labor market and there is no household production. It is also robust to several modifications of the model, such as varying the number of households, two spouses competing for promotion in the same workplace, and the inclusion of household production.

摘要 我们研究了劳动力市场中的晋升竞争如何影响家庭专业化模式。通过在家庭环境中嵌入晋升锦标赛模型,我们表明,专业化可能是竞争性工作激励的结果。在这种专业化结果中,只有配偶一方在其职业生涯中投入大量资金,其福利优于配偶双方在其职业生涯中同等投入的情况。原因在于家庭专业化降低了竞争强度,并为家庭提供了消费平滑。这一专业化结果是在夫妻双方在劳动力市场上具有同等竞争力且不存在家庭生产的情况下得出的。这一结果对模型的若干修改也是稳健的,如改变家庭数量、配偶双方在同一工作场所竞争晋升以及纳入家庭生产。
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引用次数: 0
Contributory pension scheme and formal retirement savings: is there a trade-off? -evidence from India’s Atal Pension Yojna using copula regression methodology 缴费型养老金计划和正规退休储蓄:是否存在权衡?-使用共轭回归方法从印度阿塔尔养老金计划中获得的证据
IF 5.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11150-024-09705-w
Debasis Rooj, Reshmi Sengupta

This paper analyses the impact of enrollment in the recently launched contributory pension scheme, Atal Pension Yojana (APY), on formal retirement savings using a unit-level sample of households from an extensive, nationally representative survey for India. We address the endogeneity in the enrollment in APY using a novel semiparametric copula regression methodology. This methodology allows us to address and control for endogeneity due to observed and unobserved confounding, nonlinear covariate effects, and non-Gaussian distributions. Our results indicate that APY positively impacts formal retirement savings. APY crowd-in other forms of formal retirement savings. Our results suggest that marginalized populations, especially the Scheduled Tribe, are more likely to enroll in APY, and digital financial technologies can bring greater financial inclusion in India. The findings have significant policy implications on how households allocate their retirement savings and help us understand the role of APY in bringing additional savings.

本文通过对印度进行的一项具有全国代表性的广泛调查,以家庭为单位抽样,分析了加入最近推出的缴费型养老金计划--阿塔尔养老金计划(Atal Pension Yojana,APY)对正式退休储蓄的影响。我们采用新颖的半参数 copula 回归方法解决了 APY 注册的内生性问题。这种方法使我们能够解决和控制由于观察到的和未观察到的混杂因素、非线性协变量效应和非高斯分布造成的内生性问题。我们的研究结果表明,APY 对正规退休储蓄有积极影响。APY 挤占了其他形式的正规退休储蓄。我们的研究结果表明,边缘化人群,尤其是在册部落,更有可能加入 APY,而数字金融技术可以为印度带来更大的金融包容性。研究结果对家庭如何分配退休储蓄具有重要的政策意义,有助于我们理解 APY 在带来额外储蓄方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Marijuana legalization and drug abuse as a cause for entry into foster care 大麻合法化和吸毒是进入寄养家庭的原因之一
IF 5.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1007/s11150-024-09704-x
Cullen T. Wallace, Chris Clark, Brent Evans

In recent years, many states have legalized marijuana for medical use, recreational use, or both. At the same time, parental drug abuse is now the second most frequent reason for a child’s placement into the foster care system. We investigate the causal link between these two facts. Do states that legalize marijuana use experience an increase in foster care entries related to drug abuse? We utilize multiple difference-in-difference approaches to exploit the state level variation in recreational and medical marijuana laws. Our findings suggest that when states permitted recreational marijuana use, there was no corresponding change in the number of foster care entries related to drug abuse, relative to control states. For the legalization of medical marijuana, we find a roughly 20 percent decrease in the number of cases associated with parental drug abuse in the second year after legalization, followed by a roughly 30 percent decrease in the third and fourth years. We isolate this effect as coming from states with relatively strict tetrahydrocannabinol limits. While we find fewer entries related to parental drug abuse, there is no convincing evidence that total removals decreased.

近年来,许多州已将大麻合法化,用于医疗、娱乐或两者兼而有之。与此同时,父母吸毒已成为儿童被送入寄养系统的第二大原因。我们研究了这两个事实之间的因果关系。大麻使用合法化的州是否会增加与吸毒有关的寄养项目?我们利用多重差分法来利用娱乐性和医用大麻法律在州一级的差异。我们的研究结果表明,当各州允许使用娱乐性大麻时,与对照州相比,因药物滥用而进入寄养机构的人数没有相应变化。对于医用大麻合法化,我们发现在合法化后的第二年,与父母药物滥用相关的案例数量减少了约 20%,随后在第三年和第四年减少了约 30%。我们将这一影响与四氢大麻酚限制相对严格的州区分开来。虽然我们发现与父母滥用药物有关的案例减少了,但并没有令人信服的证据表明遣返总数减少了。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring economic insecurity by combining income and wealth: an extended well-being approach 结合收入和财富衡量经济不安全状况:扩展的福利方法
IF 5.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI: 10.1007/s11150-024-09700-1
Dmitry Petrov, Marina Romaguera-de-la-Cruz

In this paper, we propose the use of an extended well-being approach to assess economic insecurity. Our main purpose is to study its dimension and identify its main drivers in the United States by overcoming the dichotomy between income and wealth. To this end, we approximate an extended well-being measure that includes monetary resources from income and the potential stream from wealth, which can be understood as an emergency reserve to cope with future economic difficulties but could also be a source of financial distress due to fluctuations in asset holdings and prices. We find that economic insecurity levels are larger when considering our extended well-being variable than income alone. Household income and non-liquid assets appear to be the main drivers of economic insecurity, although part of the US population was able to obtain higher returns on non-liquid assets and maintain their income levels.

在本文中,我们建议使用一种扩展的福利方法来评估经济不安全状况。我们的主要目的是通过克服收入和财富之间的二分法,研究其维度并确定其在美国的主要驱动因素。为此,我们近似地使用了一种扩展的福利衡量方法,其中包括来自收入的货币资源和来自财富的潜在流,财富可被理解为应对未来经济困难的应急储备,但也可能是资产持有量和价格波动导致财务困境的根源。我们发现,在考虑我们的扩展福利变量时,经济不安全程度要大于单纯的收入。家庭收入和非流动资产似乎是经济不安全的主要驱动因素,尽管部分美国人能够从非流动资产中获得更高的回报,并保持其收入水平。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating impacts of the US EITC program on domestic violence 估算美国 EITC 计划对家庭暴力的影响
IF 5.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11150-024-09702-z
Kaitlyn M. Sims, Yang Wang, Barbara Wolfe

Despite the long-identified relationship between poverty and risk for intimate partner violence (IPV) and non-intimate partner domestic violence (DV), there is limited work on the relationship between public anti-poverty programs and the incidence of such violence in the United States. In this study, we examine the effect of state Earned Income Tax Credits (EITC) on reports of lethal IPV and DV, a previously unstudied relationship. We offer a conceptual framework for understanding the potentially countervailing mechanisms by which state EITCs could affect lethal violence. We use a combination of empirical strategies, including new econometric estimators, to causally identify how changes in state EITCs affect the rate of reported IPV and DV, measured as homicide rates per 100,000 population. We find no significant causal effects of state EITC (presence or relative generosity) on lethal IPV or DV at a population level. Our work provides insight into the mechanisms at play, and suggests a role for more targeted policy interventions to mitigate individual effects.

尽管贫困与亲密伴侣暴力(IPV)和非亲密伴侣家庭暴力(DV)风险之间的关系早已得到确认,但有关美国公共扶贫项目与此类暴力发生率之间关系的研究却十分有限。在本研究中,我们考察了州收入所得税抵免(EITC)对致命 IPV 和 DV 报告的影响,这种关系以前从未研究过。我们提供了一个概念框架,用于理解州 EITC 可能影响致命暴力的潜在抵消机制。我们综合运用各种实证策略,包括新的计量经济学估算方法,从因果关系上确定了州 EITC 的变化如何影响 IPV 和 DV 的报告率(以每 10 万人中的凶杀率衡量)。我们发现,在人口层面上,州 EITC(是否存在或相对宽松)对致命 IPV 或 DV 没有明显的因果影响。我们的研究深入揭示了其中的作用机制,并建议采取更有针对性的政策干预措施来减轻个体效应。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of reducing formal care benefits on caregivers’ well-being: evidence from Japan 减少正规护理福利对护理人员福祉的影响:来自日本的证据
IF 5.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11150-024-09699-5
Rong Fu, Dung Duc Le, Yoko Ibuka

This study examines the impact of reducing formal care benefits on the well-being of informal caregivers, contributing to the ongoing discourse about establishing sustainable and adequate levels of formal care. We utilize a reform introduced in Japan’s public long-term care insurance system, which curtailed formal care benefits for a group of recipients with low care needs. Employing a difference-in-difference approach with fixed effects on a nationally representative sample of coresident informal caregivers, we explore both the overall and temporal effects of this reform. Our findings reveal that the reform had an adverse impact on caregivers’ physical well-being, leading to diminished mobility and stability. The impact on caregivers’ mental well-being was less clear, reflecting a competing influence of stress and the psychological rewards associated with caregiving. The decline in physical well-being endured over time, while the effects on mental well-being were transient. Additionally, female caregivers exhibited greater vulnerability compared to their male counterparts, experiencing more significant deterioration in both physical and mental well-being. Alarmingly, the reform also negatively influenced the well-being of care recipients, suggesting that reducing formal care benefits does not yield positive outcomes for either caregivers or recipients. This study underscores the necessity of accounting for caregivers’ well-being when evaluating the cost-effectiveness of reducing formal care benefits and advocates for policies aimed at safeguarding female caregivers from health and financial challenges.

本研究探讨了减少正规护理福利对非正规护理人员福祉的影响,为当前关于建立可持续和适当水平的正规护理的讨论做出了贡献。我们利用了日本公共长期护理保险制度中引入的一项改革,该改革削减了对低护理需求群体的正式护理福利。我们对具有全国代表性的共同居住的非正规护理人员样本采用固定效应的差分法,探讨了这一改革的总体效应和时间效应。我们的研究结果表明,改革对照顾者的身体健康产生了不利影响,导致其流动性和稳定性降低。对照顾者心理健康的影响则不那么明显,这反映了压力和与照顾相关的心理回报的相互影响。身体健康的下降会随着时间的推移而持续,而对心理健康的影响则是短暂的。此外,与男性护理人员相比,女性护理人员表现出更大的脆弱性,在身体和心理健康方面都经历了更严重的恶化。令人担忧的是,改革还对护理对象的幸福感产生了负面影响,这表明减少正规护理福利对护理人员和护理对象都不会产生积极的结果。这项研究强调,在评估减少正规护理福利的成本效益时,有必要考虑到护理人员的福祉,并倡导制定旨在保护女性护理人员免受健康和经济挑战的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Empowered or impoverished: the impact of panic buttons on domestic violence 赋权还是贫困:紧急按钮对家庭暴力的影响
IF 5.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-20 DOI: 10.1007/s11150-024-09697-7
Semih Tumen, Hakan Ulucan

This paper estimates the causal effect of a targeted panic button program—implemented in two Turkish provinces between 2012 and 2016—on domestic violence. Difference-in-differences and synthetic control estimates suggest that the program notably increased physical violence against women both at the extensive and intensive margins. The likelihood of physical violence in the treated provinces increased by more than 5 percentage points relative to the control provinces, and the number of physical violence incidents increased by about 10 percent. The increase comes almost entirely from the increase in violence against less-educated women. Employment rates and economic independence indicators improved for women in the treated provinces, which suggests that the program empowered vulnerable women. However, male partners increased physical violence in response to female empowerment. The results are consistent with the male backlash theories and a class of non-cooperative models incorporating violence as a vehicle for enhancing males’ bargaining power, but inconsistent with the models predicting that economic empowerment of women reduces violence by balancing bargaining power within the household. We also develop a method based on retrospective violence information to understand whether the increase is attributable to actual or self-reported violence and conclude that the estimates are entirely driven by the increase in actual violence.

本文估算了 2012 年至 2016 年期间在土耳其两个省份实施的有针对性的紧急按钮计划对家庭暴力的因果效应。差分和合成控制估计结果表明,该计划在广度和深度边际上都显著增加了针对妇女的身体暴力。与对照省份相比,治疗省份发生身体暴力的可能性增加了 5 个百分点以上,身体暴力事件的数量增加了约 10%。这一增长几乎完全来自于针对受教育程度较低妇女的暴力行为的增加。在接受治疗的省份中,妇女的就业率和经济独立指标都有所提高,这表明该计划增强了弱势妇女的能力。然而,男性伴侣却因女性赋权而增加了身体暴力。这些结果与男性反弹理论以及将暴力作为增强男性议价能力的工具的一类非合作模型相一致,但与女性经济赋权通过平衡家庭内部议价能力来减少暴力的预测模型不一致。我们还开发了一种基于追溯暴力信息的方法,以了解暴力的增加是由于实际暴力还是自我报告的暴力,并得出结论:估计值完全是由实际暴力的增加所驱动的。
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引用次数: 0
Ethnic heterogeneity and healthcare utilization: The mediating role of poverty in Ghana 种族异质性与医疗保健利用率:加纳贫困的中介作用
IF 5.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11150-024-09695-9
Opoku Adabor, Enock Kojo Ayesu

The healthcare that a woman receives during pregnancy, at the time of delivery, and soon after delivery is imperative for the well-being and survival of both the mother and her child. Hence, understanding the factors that influence the utilization of healthcare around the period of birth is important for improving the health of the mother and her child as well as reducing maternal mortality. Although numerous studies have examined the factors that influence the utilization of healthcare around the period of birth, no study has considered the role of ethnic heterogeneity. This paper bridges a significant gap in the literature by reporting findings from the first study that examines the effect of ethnic heterogeneity on healthcare utilization in Ghana. The study utilized data from both the Demographic Health Survey and Ghana Population and Housing Census. Our estimates show that a unit increase in a heterogenous ethnic group lowers the likelihood of utilizing healthcare at the time of birth and after delivery via increasing household poverty.

妇女在怀孕期间、分娩时和分娩后不久所接受的医疗保健对母婴的福祉和存活至关重要。因此,了解影响分娩期保健利用率的因素对于改善母婴健康和降低孕产妇死亡率非常重要。尽管已有许多研究探讨了影响分娩前后使用医疗保健服务的因素,但还没有研究考虑到种族异质性的作用。本文首次研究了加纳种族异质性对医疗保健利用率的影响,报告了研究结果,弥补了文献中的重大空白。研究利用了人口健康调查和加纳人口与住房普查的数据。我们的估计结果表明,异质性种族群体每增加一个单位,就会通过增加家庭贫困来降低分娩时和分娩后利用医疗保健的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
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Review of Economics of the Household
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