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Do Payments for Environmental Services Affect Forest Access and Social Preferences in the Long Run? Experimental Evidence from Uganda 长期来看,环境服务的支付会影响森林获取和社会偏好吗?来自乌干达的实验证据
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.1086/721440
Tobias Vorlaufer, Joost de Laat, S. Engel
Conservation policies and programs may trigger unintended, potentially irreversible, changes that were initially not anticipated. Concerns have been raised that the introduction of payments for environmental services (PES) fosters the privatization of natural ecosystems to the detriment of marginalized groups. We assess the long-term impacts of PES on sharing of access to natural resources, associated norms, and social preferences. The studied PES program was implemented as a randomized control trial in western Uganda. Using survey and experimental data collected six years after the last payments were made, we find that the PES program did not lead to a lasting shift in resource sharing practices but did induce stronger social norms for resource sharing. Moreover, landowners in former PES villages exhibit more egalitarian social preferences than landowners in control villages. These results highlight that despite introducing unequal conservation benefits to communities, long-lasting negative spillovers of PES could be avoided.
保护政策和计划可能会引发最初没有预料到的意外、潜在的不可逆转的变化。有人担心,引入环境服务支付促进了自然生态系统的私有化,损害了边缘化群体的利益。我们评估了PES对共享自然资源、相关规范和社会偏好的长期影响。所研究的PES项目作为一项随机对照试验在乌干达西部实施。使用上次付款六年后收集的调查和实验数据,我们发现PES计划并没有导致资源共享实践的持久转变,但确实引发了更强有力的资源共享社会规范。此外,前PES村的土地所有者表现出比控制村土地所有者更平等的社会偏好。这些结果强调,尽管给社区带来了不平等的保护效益,但PES的长期负面溢出效应是可以避免的。
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引用次数: 2
“Stepping Down the Ladder”: The Impacts of Fossil Fuel Subsidy Removal in a Developing Country “走下阶梯”:发展中国家取消化石燃料补贴的影响
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.1086/721375
H. Greve, J. Lay
This paper provides quasi-experimental evidence from Ghana on the impact of fossil fuel subsidy removal on cooking fuel choices. We find that households “stepped down the energy ladder”: modern fuel use decreased, while the use of transition and traditional fuels expanded. Price increases of 50% for liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and 20% for diesel caused the share of households who mainly use firewood to increase by 3 percentage points. Urban households increased charcoal consumption by around 17%, while LPG expenditure remained constant—indicating that consumption dropped. Back-of-the-envelope cost-benefit calculations suggest that overall welfare costs, including from increased cooking-related greenhouse gas emissions, were slightly higher than fiscal savings. The LPG subsidy removal in particular was likely socially damaging. Our findings highlight the ambiguous impacts of removing LPG subsidies in developing-country contexts, where they contribute to the adoption and use of clean cooking fuels.
本文提供了来自加纳的准实验证据,证明化石燃料补贴取消对烹饪燃料选择的影响。我们发现家庭“下了能源阶梯”:现代燃料的使用减少了,而过渡燃料和传统燃料的使用增加了。液化石油气(LPG)和柴油价格分别上涨50%和20%,导致主要使用柴火的家庭比例增加了3个百分点。城市家庭的木炭消费量增加了约17%,而液化石油气支出保持不变,表明消费量下降。粗略的成本效益计算表明,包括烹饪相关温室气体排放增加在内的总体福利成本略高于财政储蓄。特别是取消液化石油气补贴,可能会对社会造成损害。我们的研究结果强调了在发展中国家取消液化石油气补贴的模糊影响,这些补贴有助于采用和使用清洁烹饪燃料。
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引用次数: 3
Priorities and Effectiveness in Wildfire Management: Evidence from Fire Spread in the Western United States 野火管理的优先级和有效性:来自美国西部火灾蔓延的证据
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1086/719426
A. Plantinga, Randall Walsh, Matthew J Wibbenmeyer
Costs of fighting wildfires have increased substantially over the past several decades. Yet surprisingly little is known about the effectiveness of wildfire suppression or how wildfire incident managers prioritize resources threatened within a wildfire incident. We investigate the determinants of wildfire suppression effort using a novel empirical strategy comparing over 1,400 historical fire perimeters to the spatial distribution of assets at risk. We find that fires are more likely to stop spreading as they approach homes, particularly when homes are of greater value. This effect persists after controlling for physical factors (fuels, landscape, and weather) using a state-of-the-art wildfire simulation tool. As well, the probability that spread will be halted is affected by characteristics of homes 1–2 kilometers beyond a fire’s edge. Overall, we find that suppression efforts can substantively affect wildfire outcomes but that some groups may benefit more from wildfire management than others.
在过去的几十年里,扑灭野火的成本大幅增加。然而,令人惊讶的是,人们对扑灭野火的有效性知之甚少,也不知道野火事件管理者如何优先处理野火事件中受到威胁的资源。我们使用一种新的经验策略,将1400多个历史火灾周长与风险资产的空间分布进行比较,研究了野火扑灭努力的决定因素。我们发现,火灾在接近房屋时更有可能停止蔓延,尤其是当房屋价值较高时。在使用最先进的野火模拟工具控制了物理因素(燃料、景观和天气)后,这种影响仍然存在。此外,火势停止蔓延的可能性也受到火灾边缘以外1-2公里房屋特征的影响。总体而言,我们发现扑灭努力可以实质性地影响野火结果,但一些群体可能比其他群体更能从野火管理中受益。
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引用次数: 10
The Curious Case of the Missing Chinese Emissions 中国排放缺失的奇案
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1086/719021
Joel Rodrigue, Dan Sheng, Y. Tan
This paper characterizes the growth of sulfur dioxide emissions among Chinese manufacturers during the WTO-accession period. By failing to account for contemporaneous changes in markups, we demonstrate that standard emissions analyses overemphasize within-firm reductions in emissions intensity, while undervaluing the role of resource reallocation across firms. We derive an unbiased decomposition of aggregate emissions and find that emissions increased nearly one for one with total production. Although improved technology mitigated emissions growth by 18%–21% between 2000 and 2005, these gains were completely offset by resource reallocation toward dirty producers over the same time frame. Our findings imply that lowering future emissions growth among Chinese manufacturers may require lowering aggregate manufacturing production or fundamentally changing Chinese industrial composition toward cleaner industries.
本文描述了加入WTO期间中国制造商二氧化硫排放量的增长情况。由于没有考虑到同期加成的变化,我们证明了标准排放分析过于强调企业内部的排放强度降低,而低估了企业间资源再分配的作用。我们对总排放量进行了无偏分解,发现排放量与总产量几乎一一增加。尽管技术的改进使2000年至2005年间的排放增长减少了18%-21%,但在同一时间段内,这些增长被资源重新分配给肮脏的生产商所完全抵消。我们的研究结果表明,降低中国制造商未来的排放增长可能需要降低制造业总产量,或者从根本上改变中国的工业结构,使其转向清洁工业。
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引用次数: 9
Intensity-Based Rebating of Emission Pricing Revenues 基于强度的排放定价收入回扣
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI: 10.1086/723645
Christoph Böhringer, C. Fischer, N. Rivers
Carbon-pricing policies worldwide are increasingly coupled with direct or indirect subsidies where emissions pricing revenues are rebated to the regulated entities. This study analyzes the incentives created by two novel forms of rebating that reward additional emission intensity reductions: one given in proportion to output (intensity-based output rebating) and another that rebates a share of emission payments (intensity-based emission rebating). These forms are contrasted with output-based rebating, abatement-based rebating, and lump-sum rebating. Given the same emission price, intensity-based output rebating incentivizes the most intensity reductions, while abatement-based rebating causes the most output reductions, and output-based rebating puts the least pressure on output (and emissions); intensity-based emissions rebating lies in between these, by implicitly subsidizing emissions while incentivizing intensity reductions. The study supplements partial equilibrium theoretical analysis with numerical simulations to assess the performance of different mechanisms in a multisector general equilibrium model that accounts for economy-wide market interactions.
全球范围内的碳定价政策越来越多地与直接或间接补贴相结合,排放定价收入被重新分配给受监管实体。这项研究分析了两种奖励额外减排强度的新形式的回扣所产生的激励措施:一种是按产出比例给予的(基于强度的产出回扣),另一种是回扣部分排放付款的(基于密度的排放回扣)。这些形式与基于产出的再贴现、基于减排的再贴现和一次性再贴现形成对比。在相同的排放价格下,基于强度的产出再评级激励了最大的强度削减,而基于减排的再评级导致了最大的产出削减,基于产出的再评级对产出(和排放)的压力最小;基于强度的排放再贴现介于两者之间,通过隐含地补贴排放,同时激励强度降低。该研究用数值模拟补充了部分均衡理论分析,以评估多部门一般均衡模型中不同机制的性能,该模型考虑了整个经济体的市场互动。
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引用次数: 1
Does Energy Star Certification Reduce Energy Use in Commercial Buildings? 能源之星认证能减少商业建筑的能源使用吗?
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-18 DOI: 10.1086/720952
Becka Brolinson, K. Palmer, M. Walls
A number of policies and programs are aimed at reducing energy use in buildings—building energy codes, disclosure laws, energy-use benchmarking, and mandated or subsidized energy audits. In the United States, many of these initiatives are enacted at the state or local level. At the federal level, one of the main programs is Energy Star certification, which provides a label to top energy-performing buildings. In this paper, we evaluate changes in rents and utility expenditures following Energy Star certification using a national sample of over 4,100 office buildings combined with Energy Star data from the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). We find that building rents increase by 3.6% following certification, but that utility expenditures remain unchanged. We provide novel evidence that buildings do not make upgrades or capital investments to obtain a certification, suggesting that the Energy Star program primarily certifies buildings that are already energy efficient.
许多政策和计划旨在减少建筑中的能源使用——建筑能源法规、披露法、能源使用基准以及强制性或补贴性能源审计。在美国,许多此类举措都是在州或地方一级颁布的。在联邦层面,主要项目之一是能源之星认证,该认证为顶级能源性能建筑提供了标签。在本文中,我们使用4100多栋办公楼的全国样本,结合美国环境保护局(EPA)的能源之星数据,评估了能源之星认证后租金和公用事业支出的变化。我们发现,认证后,建筑租金上涨了3.6%,但公用事业支出保持不变。我们提供了新的证据,证明建筑没有进行升级或资本投资来获得认证,这表明能源之星计划主要认证已经节能的建筑。
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引用次数: 2
Environmental Regulation and Product Attributes: The Case of European Passenger Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards 环境法规与产品属性:以欧洲乘用车温室气体排放标准为例
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-17 DOI: 10.1086/720903
Yujie Lin, Joshua Linn
Energy efficiency and carbon dioxide emissions standards apply to many consumer durables, such as refrigerators and passenger vehicles. Welfare analysis of these standards is complicated by the fact that product manufacturers choose a wide range of product attributes, many of which are unobserved by the researcher. Whereas the literature has considered the effects of standards on product prices, energy efficiency, and perhaps one or two other attributes, we show that in a differentiated product market, standards can affect virtually any product attribute, and those effects have ambiguous implications for consumer welfare. This paper implements a novel strategy to estimate the causal welfare effects of standards on product attributes. Considering European carbon dioxide emissions standards for passenger vehicles, we find that these standards have reduced fuel consumption and emissions. However, the standards have unintentionally reduced vehicle quality, which undermines 26% of the welfare gains of the standards.
能效和二氧化碳排放标准适用于许多耐用消费品,如冰箱和乘用车。这些标准的福利分析由于产品制造商选择了广泛的产品属性而变得复杂,其中许多属性是研究人员没有注意到的。尽管文献考虑了标准对产品价格、能源效率以及其他一两个属性的影响,但我们发现,在差异化的产品市场中,标准几乎可以影响任何产品属性,而这些影响对消费者福利的影响是模糊的。本文实现了一种新的策略来估计标准对产品属性的因果福利效应。考虑到欧洲乘用车的二氧化碳排放标准,我们发现这些标准降低了油耗和排放。然而,这些标准无意中降低了车辆质量,破坏了标准26%的福利收益。
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引用次数: 4
Price-Responsive Allowance Supply in Emissions Markets 排放市场的价格响应型配额供应
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-17 DOI: 10.1086/720690
D. Burtraw, Charles A. Holt, K. Palmer, William M. Shobe
Environmental policy with uncertainty is often posed as a choice between price and quantity instruments. Adding flexibility to fixed policy instruments can improve outcomes. Roberts and Spence noted the efficiency advantages of matching emissions allowances supply to the marginal damage schedule. We propose an implementable approach to making that match, an approach we call “price-responsive supply,” which treats prices and quantities as simultaneously determined in the allowance auction. For competitive environments, price-responsive supply outperforms fixed-price and fixed-quantity instruments. Price-responsive supply can enhance the performance of real-world regulatory environments through an automatic adjustment mechanism that responds instantaneously to new information about abatement costs. We demonstrate the improved performance of price-responsive supply in experiments and simulations. A price-responsive supply schedule, while offering efficiency advantages, also translates the cost-lowering effects of other, coincident policies into accelerated reductions under an emissions cap, thereby helping to resolve the waterbed effect.
具有不确定性的环境政策往往被视为价格和数量工具之间的选择。增加固定政策工具的灵活性可以改善结果。罗伯茨和斯宾塞指出,将排放配额供应与边际损害时间表相匹配,可以提高效率。我们提出了一种可实现的方法来实现这种匹配,我们称之为“价格响应式供应”,即在配额拍卖中同时确定价格和数量。在竞争环境中,价格响应型供应优于固定价格和固定数量的工具。价格响应型供应可以通过一种自动调整机制,对有关减排成本的新信息作出即时反应,从而提高现实世界监管环境的绩效。我们在实验和模拟中证明了价格响应供应的改进性能。响应价格的供应计划在提供效率优势的同时,也将其他同步政策的成本降低效果转化为排放上限下的加速减排,从而有助于解决水床效应。
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引用次数: 8
The Welfare Implications of Carbon Price Certainty 碳价格确定性对福利的影响
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1086/720768
Joseph E. Aldy, Sarah Armitage
Experiences in real-world pollution markets suggest that firms make persistent errors in forecasting allowance and credit prices that inform their investment decisions. The residual uncertainty characterizing allowance and credit trading means that pollution markets may fail to deliver cost-effective abatement. This contrasts with price-based policies under which firms make investments that equate marginal abatement cost to an emission tax. We incorporate the additional cost of forecast errors under quantity-based programs into a standard Weitzman-style prices versus quantities framework. We distinguish between individual firms’ uncertainty over competitors’ private information and systemic uncertainty over future cost shocks. We show that a welfare-maximizing regulator would favor price instruments in response to the prospect of firm-specific forecast errors under quantity instruments, ceteris paribus, and the relative benefit of price instruments increases with forecast error variance. We discuss the role of policy design, such as incorporating price collars, in mitigating cost inefficiencies from price forecast errors.
现实世界污染市场的经验表明,企业在预测补贴和信贷价格时会犯下持续的错误,从而为其投资决策提供信息。津贴和信贷交易的剩余不确定性意味着污染市场可能无法实现成本效益高的减排。这与基于价格的政策形成了鲜明对比,在该政策下,企业进行的投资将边际减排成本等同于排放税。我们将基于数量的计划下预测误差的额外成本纳入标准的魏茨曼式价格与数量框架中。我们区分了单个公司对竞争对手私人信息的不确定性和对未来成本冲击的系统性不确定性。我们表明,在数量工具等条件下,福利最大化监管机构会倾向于价格工具,以应对企业特定预测误差的前景,并且价格工具的相对收益随着预测误差的方差而增加。我们讨论了政策设计的作用,例如纳入价格项圈,以减轻价格预测错误造成的成本效率低下。
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引用次数: 4
Crowdfunding Conservation (and Other Public Goods) 众筹保护(及其他公共产品)
IF 3.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1086/718280
E. Ansink, M. Koetse, J. Bouma, D. Hauck, D. van Soest
Crowdfunding has become an increasingly popular means to fund the provision of public goods and especially of nature conservation projects. We implement a lab-in-the-field experiment by setting up a web-based user interface, very similar to actual crowdfunding platforms, to test whether coordination mechanisms, like seed money and decoy projects, can increase the effectiveness of crowdfunding campaigns if multiple public goods projects are eligible for funding. We find some of our treatments to affect coordination especially via early contributions, but not always in an intuitive way. Our results are confirmed in a follow-up experiment with actual nature conservation projects.
众筹已经成为一种越来越流行的资助公共产品,特别是自然保护项目的方式。我们通过建立一个与实际众筹平台非常相似的基于网络的用户界面来实施一项实地实验,以测试如果多个公共产品项目有资格获得资助,协调机制,如种子资金和诱饵项目,是否可以提高众筹活动的有效性。我们发现我们的一些治疗方法会影响协调,尤其是通过早期的贡献,但并不总是以直观的方式。我们的结果在实际自然保护项目的后续实验中得到了证实。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists
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