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Pathways to retirement in West Germany: Does divorce matter? 西德的退休之路:离婚重要吗?
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2024.100595
Sarah Schmauk

The aim of this paper is to explore how divorce is linked to pathways to retirement in West Germany and to understand whether and how patterns are gendered. Using German pension insurance data, I employ sequence and cluster analysis to map and group pathways to retirement of women and men who retired in 2018. Pathways to retirement are defined based on monthly pension insurance histories from age 50 to 65. I find nine distinct pathways to retirement, ranging from unemployment to stable low to high income pathways and to an early retirement pathway through the reduced-earnings-capacity pension, the latter representing 9.3% of the sample. Based on multinomial logistic regression models, I analyse how marital status, distinguishing between divorced and (re)married, was related to different pathways to retirement. The results show that divorced people were more likely than married people to retire through indirect and unstable pathways to retirement characterised by early exit from the labour market and receipt of reduced-earnings-capacity pensions and/or unemployment benefits. Whereas the relationship between divorce and pathways to retirement seemed to be overall unfavourable for men, the results for women are more ambiguous. Divorced women were also more likely to retire through a stable high-income pathway than married women. Nevertheless, the results suggest that divorce is associated with an early retirement pathway through the reduced-earnings-capacity pension for both women and men.

本文旨在探讨离婚如何与西德的退休途径相关联,并了解这种模式是否以及如何具有性别特征。利用德国养老保险数据,我采用序列分析和聚类分析,对 2018 年退休的女性和男性的退休途径进行映射和分组。退休途径是根据 50 岁至 65 岁的每月养老保险历史记录定义的。我发现了九种不同的退休途径,从失业到稳定的低收入到高收入途径,以及通过收入能力降低的养老金提前退休途径,后者占样本的 9.3%。根据多项式逻辑回归模型,我分析了婚姻状况(区分离婚和(再)结婚)与不同退休途径的关系。结果显示,离婚者比已婚者更有可能通过间接和不稳定的退休途径退休,其特点是提前退出劳动力市场,领取收入能力降低的养老金和/或失业救济金。离婚与退休途径之间的关系似乎对男性总体不利,但对女性的结果则较为模糊。与已婚妇女相比,离婚妇女也更有可能通过稳定的高收入途径退休。不过,结果表明,离婚与男女通过收入能力降低的养老金提前退休的途径有关。
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引用次数: 0
Leaving the parental home during the COVID-19 pandemic: the case of Southern Europe COVID-19:南欧离开父母家庭的决定是停滞还是加速?
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2024.100594
Valeria Ferraretto , Agnese Vitali , Francesco C. Billari

In 2020, COVID-19-related governmental restrictions forced individuals to radically change their habits, possibly impacting on their living arrangements. Whether COVID-19 affected young adults’ propensity to leave the parental home is still unknown; Southern Europe is of particular interest, as youth experience the “latest-late” transition to adulthood, face uncertainty in the labor market, and receive low welfare support. Using EU-SILC longitudinal data from Greece, Spain, Italy, and Portugal, this study examines how home-leaving rates evolved in the short-term and explores the relationship between governmental restrictions, economic characteristics of households and young adults, and leaving home behaviors. Descriptive analyses reveal that the share of young adults leaving the parental home in Southern Europe between 2019 and 2020 slightly increased compared to previous years. Discrete-time event history models show that the propensity to leave the parental home increases with the stringency of policy measures. Young adults with the highest likelihood to leave home are employed individuals whose households are in the lowest income quintile as well as students from the highest income quintile, suggesting that, in these countries, residential independence is associated with either the acquisition of economic resources in the labor market or the availability of family resources. We interpret this result in favor of an “independence effect” exerted by COVID-19-related restrictions on young adults; future research might establish whether this trend is temporary or persistent over time.

2020 年,与 COVID-19 相关的政府限制措施迫使人们彻底改变生活习惯,这可能会影响到他们的生活安排。COVID-19 是否会影响年轻人离开父母家庭的倾向,目前还不得而知;南欧的情况尤其令人关注,因为年轻人经历着 "最晚 "的成年过渡,面临着劳动力市场的不确定性,并且获得的福利支持较少。本研究利用来自希腊、西班牙、意大利和葡萄牙的 EU-SILC 纵向数据,考察了离家出走率在短期内的演变情况,并探讨了政府限制、家庭和年轻人的经济特征与离家出走行为之间的关系。描述性分析表明,与前几年相比,2019 年至 2020 年南欧离开父母家的青壮年比例略有上升。离散时间事件历史模型显示,离开父母家庭的倾向随着政策措施的严格程度而增加。离开家庭可能性最大的青壮年是家庭收入处于最低五分位数的就业者以及来自最高收入五分位数的学生,这表明在这些国家,居住独立与劳动力市场经济资源的获得或家庭资源的可用性有关。我们对这一结果的解释是,与 COVID-19 相关的限制措施对年轻成年人产生了 "独立效应";未来的研究可能会确定这一趋势是暂时的还是长期持续的。
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引用次数: 0
A longitudinal analysis of health inequalities from adolescence to young adulthood and their underlying causes 对从青春期到青年期的健康不平等现象及其根本原因的纵向分析
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2024.100593
Marvin Reuter , Katharina Diehl , Matthias Richter , Leonie Sundmacher , Claudia Hövener , Jacob Spallek , Nico Dragano

Research suggests that children of low-educated parents face greater health burdens during the passage from adolescence to young adulthood, as they are more likely to become low-educated themselves, establish behavioural and psychosocial disadvantages, or being exposed to unhealthy working conditions. However, studies examining the development and drivers of health inequalities during this particular life stage are limited in number and have produced varied results. This study investigates trajectories of self-rated health and overweight from 14 to 25 years of age, stratified by parental education, and explores the role of potential mediators (educational achievement, health behaviours, psychosocial factors, working conditions). We rely on prospective cohort data from the National Educational Panel Study (NEPS), a representative sample of 14,981 German ninth graders interviewed yearly from 2011 to 2021 (n = 90,096 person-years). First, we estimated random-effects growth curves for self-rated health and overweight over participants’ age and calculated the average marginal effect of high versus low parental education. Second, a series of simulation-based mediation analyses were performed to test how much of health inequalities were explained by children’s educational attainment (years of school education, years in university), health behaviours (smoking, alcohol, physical inactivity), psychosocial factors (number of grade repetitions, years in unemployment, chronic stress, self-esteem) and working conditions (physical and psychosocial job demands). We accounted for potential confounding by controlling for age, sex, migration background, residential area, household composition, and interview mode. Results show that higher parental education was related to higher self-rated health and lower probabilities of being overweight. Interaction between parental education and age indicated that, after some equalisation in late adolescence, health inequalities increased in young adulthood. Furthermore, educational attainment, health behaviours, psychosocial factors, and early-career working conditions played a significant role in mediating health inequalities. Of the variables examined, the level of school education and years spent in university were particular strong mediating factors. School education accounted for around one-third of the inequalities in self-rated health and one-fifth of the differences in overweight among individuals. Results support the idea that the transition to adulthood is a sensitive period in life and that early socio-economic adversity increases the likelihood to accumulate health disadvantages in multiple dimensions. In Germany, a country with comparatively low educational mobility, intergenerational continuities in class location seem to play a key role in the explanation of health inequalities in youth.

研究表明,父母受教育程度低的儿童在青春期到青年期期间面临更大的健康负担,因为他们自己更有可能成为受教育程度低的人,在行为和社会心理方面处于不利地位,或处于不健康的工作环境中。然而,对这一特殊人生阶段健康不平等的发展和驱动因素的研究数量有限,结果也各不相同。本研究调查了 14 岁至 25 岁期间自评健康和超重的轨迹,按父母教育程度进行了分层,并探讨了潜在中介因素(教育成就、健康行为、社会心理因素、工作条件)的作用。我们依据的是国家教育小组研究(NEPS)的前瞻性队列数据,该研究在 2011 年至 2021 年期间每年对 14981 名德国九年级学生(n=90,096 人-年)进行访谈,是一个具有代表性的样本。首先,我们估算了参与者自评健康和超重随年龄增长的随机效应增长曲线,并计算了父母教育程度高与低的平均边际效应。其次,我们进行了一系列基于模拟的中介分析,以检验儿童的教育程度(学校教育年限、大学教育年限)、健康行为(吸烟、酗酒、缺乏运动)、社会心理因素(留级次数、失业年限、长期压力、自尊)和工作条件(身体和社会心理方面的工作要求)在多大程度上可以解释健康不平等现象。我们通过控制年龄、性别、移民背景、居住地区、家庭组成和访谈方式来考虑潜在的混杂因素。结果表明,父母受教育程度越高,自评健康水平越高,超重概率越低。父母受教育程度与年龄之间的交互作用表明,在青春期后期出现一定程度的平等之后,健康不平等现象在青年期有所加剧。此外,教育程度、健康行为、社会心理因素和职业生涯早期的工作条件在调节健康不平等方面发挥了重要作用。在所研究的变量中,学校教育水平和大学教育年限是特别重要的中介因素。学校教育约占自评健康不平等的三分之一,占个人超重差异的五分之一。研究结果支持这样一种观点,即向成年过渡是人生的一个敏感时期,早期的社会经济逆境会增加在多个方面积累健康劣势的可能性。在德国这个教育流动性相对较低的国家,阶级位置的代际连续性似乎在解释青少年健康不平等方面发挥着关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
On integrating life course and social network research 关于整合生命历程和社会网络研究
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2024.100592
Peter V. Marsden
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引用次数: 0
Bridging social network and life course research: Unlocking the analytical potential 连接社会网络和生命历程研究:释放分析潜力。
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2024.100591
Marlis Buchmann
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引用次数: 0
Networked lives: Probing the influence of social networks on the life course 网络化生活:探究社交网络对生命历程的影响
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2024.100590
Mattia Vacchiano , Betina Hollstein , Richard A. Settersten Jr , Dario Spini

Social network research is well-equipped to help life course scholars produce a deeper and more nuanced approach to the principle of “linked lives,” one of the cornerstones of the field. In this issue on Networked Lives, nine original articles and two commentaries generate new theories, empirical findings and methodological applications at the intersection of the fields of social networks and life course research. In this introduction, we reflect on these advances, highlighting key findings and challenges that await scholars in building more robust synergy between the two fields. Social networks emerge as key structural forces in life courses, yet there is much to learn about the mechanisms through which their effects on people’s lives come about. There is a need to study further how networks evolve through the rhythm of life events, and to analyze broader and more complex networks that capture the roles and influences of relations beyond intimate or family ties. These papers demonstrate that there is much to be gained in probing how individuals are linked to and unlinked from others over time, and in carrying conceptual and methodological advances across social network and life course studies.

社会网络研究完全有能力帮助生命历程学者对 "关联生活 "原则(该领域的基石之一)进行更深入、更细致的研究。在本期 "网络化生活 "中,19 位作者的文章介绍了社会网络和生命历程研究领域交叉点上的新理论、经验发现和方法应用。在这篇文章中,我们将对这些进展进行反思,重点介绍学者们在这两个领域之间建立更强大的协同作用方面的主要发现和面临的挑战。社会网络是生命历程中的关键结构性力量,然而,关于社会网络对人们生活产生影响的机制,还有很多东西需要学习。我们有必要进一步研究网络是如何随着生活事件的节奏而演变的,并分析更广泛、更复杂的网络,以捕捉亲密关系或家庭关系以外的关系的作用和影响。这些论文还表明,不仅要探究我们如何与他人建立联系,还要探究我们如何通过选择或环境与他人 "解除联系",以及将社会网络研究在概念和方法上取得的进展应用到生命历程研究中(反之亦然),这些都大有裨益。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to: “Intergenerational Interdependence of Labour Market Careers” in Advances in Life Course Research 54 (2022) 1–10/100513 “劳动力市场职业的代际相互依赖性”,《生命历程研究进展》(2022)1-10/100513
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100575
Anna Brydsten , Anna Baranowska-Rataj
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引用次数: 0
Gender ideologies across the transition to adulthood in Germany: How early romantic relationships slow down the egalitarian trend 德国成年过渡时期的性别意识形态:早期浪漫关系如何减缓平等主义趋势
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100574
Janna Wilhelm , Pia S. Schober , Laia Sánchez Guerrero

This study explores the development of gender ideologies across adolescence and the transition to adulthood in Germany and investigates the relevance of first romantic relationship experiences in shaping gender beliefs. Integrating the life course perspective with the theoretical framework of gender as a social structure and psychological theories, we extend the literature by following adolescents from age 15 to about age 20 across the transition to adulthood and by differentiating between young women and men from different immigrant and non-immigrant backgrounds, who may be affected differently by gender-related expectations. Using the representative and ethnically diverse German sample of the Children of Immigrants Longitudinal Survey in Four European Countries, we conducted fixed-effects regression analyses (n = 1474). First, our findings show that young people become increasingly egalitarian during adolescence, irrespective of gender and immigrant origin. Second, for young women, romantic relationship experiences of moderate and longer durations are significantly associated with slower increases in egalitarianism. For most young men, romantic relationship experiences do not affect their gender ideologies. One exception is the group of Turkish-origin men, who change their gender ideologies less towards egalitarianism with increasing relationship durations than other groups of young men. The findings suggest that, especially for young women, early romantic relationships may be crucial in shaping their gender beliefs, which subsequently predict important educational, occupational, and family choices.

本研究探讨了德国青春期和成年期性别意识形态的发展,并调查了第一次恋爱经历在塑造性别信仰中的相关性。将生命历程视角与性别作为一种社会结构和心理学理论的理论框架相结合,我们通过跟踪15岁至20岁左右的青少年向成年的过渡,并通过区分来自不同移民和非移民背景的年轻女性和男性来扩展文献,他们可能会受到与性别相关的期望的不同影响。利用四个欧洲国家移民子女纵向调查中具有代表性和种族多样性的德国样本,我们进行了固定效应回归分析(n=1474)。首先,我们的研究结果表明,无论性别和移民出身如何,年轻人在青春期都变得越来越平等。其次,对于年轻女性来说,适度和较长时间的恋爱经历与平等主义的缓慢增长显著相关。对于大多数年轻男性来说,恋爱经历不会影响他们的性别意识。一个例外是土耳其裔男性群体,与其他年轻男性群体相比,随着关系持续时间的增加,他们的性别意识形态较少向平等主义转变。研究结果表明,尤其是对年轻女性来说,早期的浪漫关系可能对塑造她们的性别信仰至关重要,从而预测重要的教育、职业和家庭选择。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting the power of future expectations and educational path dependencies 重新审视未来期望和教育路径依赖的力量
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100581
Kaspar Burger

Individuals from more advantaged socioeconomic backgrounds and those with loftier future expectations typically have higher educational attainment. However, it is important to understand just how consequential future expectations are for educational attainment independent of socioeconomic origins—because these expectations might enable intergenerational social mobility. Moreover, it is unclear whether institutional structures moderate the influences of socioeconomic origins and future expectations on educational attainment. I address these questions by analyzing educational attainment as it relates to transitions in a system that offers multiple educational tracks. Using data from a 15-year longitudinal study conducted in Switzerland (N = 4986), I analyze transitions from lower- to upper-secondary education (academic vs. vocational tracks) and from there to university. Path models reveal that both socioeconomic origins and future expectations are significantly associated with individuals’ probability of moving along academic paths and into university, but future expectations have a strong unique predictive power even when controlling for socioeconomic origins. However, because the education system partially channels educational trajectories along distinct educational tracks, it minimizes the beneficial effect of future expectations on educational attainment and—by extension—intergenerational social mobility. I conclude that socioeconomic advantage and optimistic future expectations may only shape educational attainment to the extent that institutional opportunity structures allow such resources to take effect.

来自更有利的社会经济背景和那些对未来有更高期望的人通常有更高的教育成就。然而,重要的是要了解未来对教育成就的期望是如何独立于社会经济来源的,因为这些期望可能会使代际社会流动。此外,尚不清楚制度结构是否会缓和社会经济来源和未来期望对教育成就的影响。我通过分析教育成就来解决这些问题,因为它与提供多种教育轨道的系统中的过渡有关。使用在瑞士进行的一项长达15年的纵向研究的数据(N = 4986),我分析了从初中到高中教育(学术与职业轨道)以及从高中到大学的转变。路径模型显示,社会经济来源和未来预期都与个人沿着学术道路进入大学的概率显著相关,但未来预期即使在控制社会经济来源的情况下也具有强大的独特预测能力。然而,由于教育系统部分地沿着不同的教育轨迹引导教育轨迹,它最大限度地减少了对教育成就的未来预期的有益影响,并进一步扩大了代际社会流动性。我的结论是,社会经济优势和乐观的未来预期可能只会在制度机会结构允许这些资源发挥作用的程度上影响教育成就。
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引用次数: 0
The intragenerational mobility of the top income earners during financial crises, a story of a cohort 金融危机期间最高收入者的代际流动,一个群体的故事
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100565
Stav Federman , Assaf Sarid , Meir Yaish

In this study, we explore the dynamics of the intragenerational mobility of the top income earners during financial crises. We analyze panel data on the income levels of a cohort consisting of 22,601 individuals in Israel born between 1963 and 1973, for the period between 1995 and 2013. Studying a specific cohort allows us to focus on the changes caused by period effects, rather than cohort replacement distortions. We use common intragenerational mobility measurements before, during, and after two major recessions- the Dot.com crisis and the Global Financial Crisis of 2008- which occurred during the analyzed period. However, since these are usually descriptive, we adopt a methodology that enables us to calculate confidence intervals of these measurements and thus test for changes over time. Our results show if the two crises had any effect on the intragenerational mobility of the top income earners of the analyzed cohort, it was a minor and transitory effect.

在这项研究中,我们探讨了金融危机期间最高收入者代际流动的动态。我们分析了一个由22601名出生于1963年至1973年的以色列人组成的队列1995年至2013年期间收入水平的面板数据。研究一个特定的队列可以让我们专注于周期效应引起的变化,而不是队列替代扭曲。我们使用了两次大衰退之前、期间和之后的常见代际流动性测量——Dot.com危机和2008年全球金融危机——这两次衰退发生在分析期间。然而,由于这些通常是描述性的,我们采用了一种方法,使我们能够计算这些测量的置信区间,从而测试随时间的变化。我们的研究结果表明,如果这两次危机对被分析人群中最高收入者的代际流动性有任何影响,那只是一个微小的暂时影响。
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引用次数: 0
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