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Generative AI and the future for China’s diplomacy 生成式人工智能与中国外交的未来
IF 1.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1057/s41254-024-00328-7
J. Manfredi-Sánchez, P. Morales
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引用次数: 0
Bringing multidisciplinary perspectives of country image: factors influencing the perceptions of Chinese youth toward the images of Russia and Ukraine 国家形象的多学科视角:影响中国青年对俄罗斯和乌克兰形象看法的因素
IF 1.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1057/s41254-024-00331-y
Linlan Xu, Chunying Wen
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引用次数: 0
The Other in the machine: diplomacy and the AI conundrum 机器中的他人:外交与人工智能难题
IF 1.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1057/s41254-024-00329-6
Eugenio V. Garcia

The ancient origins of diplomacy can be traced back to the first encounters between bands of nomadic hunter-gatherers and the emergence of the Other in prehistory. The character of diplomacy (how it is made) should not be confused with its nature: person-to-person interactions and how to conduct peaceful relations among foreign and/or separate political communities. Language was critical for behavioral modernity in Homo Sapiens evolution. ChatGPT seemingly mastering language was a tipping point. As AI systems increasingly generate alien, non-human outputs, and encroach upon cognitive tasks that once were a monopoly of our biological brains, seeing the Other in the machine will become more common. Human intellectual supremacy will likely be challenged in several narrow domains, raising long-term anthropological questions as well. This is why the AI conundrum is better understood by making a distinction between foreignness (Us-Them) and alienness (Us-It). Although technological disruption has been changing the landscape where diplomats work, the very nature of their profession remains the same. However, considering the risks involved, caution is advised while deploying new AI tools, particularly in sensitive diplomatic decision-making. Human–machine collaboration will be key to successfully dealing with the inherent alienness of AI.

外交的古老起源可以追溯到史前游牧采集者之间的首次相遇和他者的出现。外交的特点(如何进行外交)不应与其性质混淆:人与人之间的互动以及如何在外国和/或独立的政治共同体之间建立和平关系。在智人进化过程中,语言对于行为现代化至关重要。ChatGPT 似乎掌握语言是一个转折点。随着人工智能系统越来越多地产生外来的、非人类的输出,并蚕食曾经由我们的生物大脑垄断的认知任务,在机器中看到 "他者 "将变得越来越普遍。人类的智力优势可能会在几个狭窄的领域受到挑战,同时也会引发长期的人类学问题。这就是为什么区分外来性("我们-他们")和外来性("我们-它")能更好地理解人工智能难题的原因。虽然技术颠覆一直在改变外交官的工作环境,但他们的职业性质却没有改变。然而,考虑到其中的风险,在部署新的人工智能工具时,尤其是在敏感的外交决策中,建议谨慎行事。人机协作将是成功应对人工智能固有异化的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating uncertainty: public diplomacy vs. AI 驾驭不确定性:公共外交与人工智能
IF 1.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1057/s41254-024-00330-z
Luigi Di Martino, Heather Ford

Some have heralded generative AI models as an opportunity to inform diplomacy and support diplomats’ communication campaigns. Others have argued that generative AI is inherently untrustworthy because it simply manages probabilities and doesn’t consider the truth value of statements. In this article, we examine how AI applications are built to smooth over uncertainty by providing a single answer among multiple possible answers and by presenting information in a tone and form that demands authority. We contrast this with the practices of public diplomacy professionals who must grapple with both epistemic and aleatory uncertainty head on to effectively manage complexities through negotiation. We argue that the rise of generative AI and its “operationalization of truth” invites us to reflect on the possible shortcoming of AI’s application to public diplomacy practices and to recognize how prominent uncertainty is in public diplomacy practices.

一些人认为,生成式人工智能模型是为外交提供信息和支持外交官沟通活动的一个机会。另一些人则认为,生成式人工智能本质上是不可信的,因为它只是管理概率,并不考虑语句的真值。在本文中,我们将探讨人工智能应用程序是如何通过在多种可能答案中提供单一答案,以及以要求权威的语气和形式呈现信息来消除不确定性的。我们将其与公共外交专业人员的做法进行对比,后者必须直面认识论和臆测论上的不确定性,才能通过谈判有效管理复杂性。我们认为,生成式人工智能的兴起及其 "真理的可操作性 "促使我们反思人工智能应用于公共外交实践可能存在的不足,并认识到不确定性在公共外交实践中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Nation branding as a tool to attract foreign direct investments: a case study of Qatar 将国家品牌作为吸引外国直接投资的工具:卡塔尔案例研究
IF 1.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1057/s41254-024-00326-9
Aymen A. Mohib, Conor Carroll

Nation branding plays a critical role in attracting foreign businesses and, by extension, sustaining countries’ economic development and global competitiveness. Using Qatar as a lens for investigation, this research applied the single, embedded case study method. Purposive sampling with key decision makers in Qatar-based foreign companies representing diverse geographies and industries were used to understand the influence of nation branding on their investment location decision. The findings revealed five key thematic features of Qatar’s nation brand as an investment destination: socioeconomic prosperity, integrated global hub, activist engagement, collectivist culture, and high-end lifestyle. These brand characteristics were compared in relation to the Eclectic Paradigm’s locational advantage and the Anholt Ipsos NBI’s dimensions of exports, governance, culture/heritage, people, tourism, and investment/immigration. The dimensions exerted a strong effect on Qatar’s nation brand and varying levels of influence on FDI attraction. This research contributes to the nexus between nation branding and the FDI literature. Importantly, the results of the study provide useful guidance to government officials, policymakers, and public and private agencies involved in investment promotion. The findings will also prove relevant to foreign investors with regard to their international expansion and location choice.

国家品牌在吸引外国企业,进而维持国家经济发展和全球竞争力方面发挥着至关重要的作用。本研究以卡塔尔为调查视角,采用了单一、嵌入式案例研究法。为了了解国家品牌对其投资选址决策的影响,研究人员对代表不同地域和行业的卡塔尔外资企业的关键决策者进行了有目的的抽样调查。研究结果揭示了卡塔尔作为投资目的地的国家品牌的五个关键主题特征:社会经济繁荣、全球综合枢纽、积极主动参与、集体主义文化和高端生活方式。这些品牌特征与折衷主义范式的区位优势和安霍尔特-益普索国家品牌指数的出口、治理、文化/遗产、人民、旅游和投资/移民等维度进行了比较。这些维度对卡塔尔的国家品牌有很大影响,对吸引外国直接投资也有不同程度的影响。这项研究为国家品牌与外国直接投资文献之间的联系做出了贡献。重要的是,研究结果为政府官员、政策制定者以及参与投资促进的公共和私营机构提供了有益的指导。研究结果也将证明与外国投资者的国际扩张和地点选择相关。
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引用次数: 0
Place branding: is it public policy, or isn’t it? 地方品牌:到底是不是公共政策?
IF 1.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1057/s41254-024-00327-8
Mihails Potapovs

This article explores the question of whether place branding should be considered a public policy. While place branding has gained attention in the fields of marketing and related disciplines, its connection to various public policy areas highlights its broader implications. This study aims to provide conceptual clarity on the matter, arguing for the inclusion of place branding within the public policy discourse. The article employs a conceptual framework to assess the alignment of place branding with the key attributes of public policy. A comparative case study of nation branding practices in seven European countries—Estonia, Italy, Latvia, Luxembourg, Portugal, Spain, and Slovakia—is conducted to assess the applicability of the conceptual framework of public policy to studying nation branding. The case study demonstrates the potential of such approach, highlighting gaps and challenges in the current practices of nation branding. The article concludes by discussing the implications of applying the policy approach to place branding and exploring future research opportunities.

本文探讨了地方品牌建设是否应被视为一项公共政策的问题。尽管地方品牌建设在市场营销和相关学科领域备受关注,但它与各种公共政策领域的联系凸显了其更广泛的影响。本研究旨在从概念上澄清这一问题,主张将地方品牌建设纳入公共政策的讨论范围。文章采用一个概念框架来评估地方品牌建设与公共政策关键属性的一致性。文章对七个欧洲国家--爱沙尼亚、意大利、拉脱维亚、卢森堡、葡萄牙、西班牙和斯洛伐克--的国家品牌实践进行了比较案例研究,以评估公共政策概念框架对研究国家品牌的适用性。案例研究展示了这种方法的潜力,突出了当前国家品牌实践中的差距和挑战。文章最后讨论了将政策方法应用于地方品牌建设的意义,并探讨了未来的研究机会。
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引用次数: 0
Terminology, AI bias, and the risks of current digital public diplomacy practices 术语、人工智能偏见和当前数字公共外交实践的风险
IF 1.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1057/s41254-024-00324-x
Zhao Alexandre Huang

The aim of this study was to demonstrate the relationship between artificial intelligence (AI) bias and digital public diplomacy based on terminology use in three ChatGPT dialogues we initiated. AI bias is discursively constructed through rhetoric and narrative, presenting how users and algorithm designers perceive social reality. These elements of language then spread through Internet technology. This study examined the potential threat of AI bias in constructing knowledge in the digital age. Indeed, AI bias arising from terminology use can shake up the decision-making and communication practices of public diplomacy, especially the formulation and implementation of advocacy. We identified two potential types of bias: (a) the content provided by ChatGPT reflects a set of opinions with a particular orientation that does not account for the multiplicity of viewpoints on complex geopolitical issues, and (b) the answers given by generative AI tools tend to be affirmative views that are not subject to argumentation, justification, and reflection.

本研究的目的是根据我们发起的三个 ChatGPT 对话中的术语使用,展示人工智能(AI)偏见与数字公共外交之间的关系。人工智能偏见通过修辞和叙事进行话语建构,呈现出用户和算法设计者如何看待社会现实。这些语言元素随后通过互联网技术传播开来。本研究探讨了人工智能偏见在数字时代构建知识的潜在威胁。事实上,因术语使用而产生的人工智能偏见会动摇公共外交的决策和沟通实践,尤其是宣传的制定和实施。我们发现了两种潜在的偏见类型:(a)ChatGPT 提供的内容反映了一系列具有特定取向的观点,而没有考虑到复杂地缘政治问题上的观点多样性;(b)生成式人工智能工具给出的答案往往是肯定性的观点,不需要经过论证、辩解和反思。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the risks and opportunities posed by AI-enhanced influence operations on social media 评估人工智能增强社交媒体影响力行动带来的风险和机遇
IF 1.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1057/s41254-023-00322-5
Rolf Fredheim, James Pamment

Large language models (LLMs) like GPT-4 have the potential to dramatically change the landscape of influence operations. They can generate persuasive, tailored content at scale, making campaigns using falsified content, such as disinformation and fake accounts, easier to produce. Advances in self-hosted open-source models have meant that adversaries can evade content moderation and security checks built into large commercial models such as those commercialised by Anthropic, Google, and OpenAI. New multi-lingual models make it easier than ever for foreign adversaries to pose as local actors. This article examines the heightened threats posed by synthetic media, as well as the potential that these tools hold for creating effective countermeasures. It begins with assessing the challenges posed by a toxic combination of automated bots, human-controlled troll accounts, and more targeted social engineering operations. However, the second part of the article assesses the potential for these same tools to improve detection. Promising countermeasures include running internal generative models to bolster training data for internal classifiers, detecting statistical anomalies, identifying output from common prompts, and building specialised classifiers optimised for specific monitoring needs.

像 GPT-4 这样的大型语言模型(LLM)有可能极大地改变影响力行动的格局。它们可以大规模生成有说服力、量身定制的内容,使使用虚假内容(如虚假信息和虚假账户)的宣传活动变得更加容易。自托管开源模型的进步意味着,对手可以规避大型商业模型(如 Anthropic、谷歌和 OpenAI 的商业模型)中内置的内容审核和安全检查。新的多语言模式使外国对手比以往任何时候都更容易冒充本地行为者。本文探讨了合成媒体带来的更大威胁,以及这些工具在制定有效对策方面的潜力。文章首先评估了自动机器人、人为控制的巨魔账户以及更有针对性的社交工程行动等有毒组合带来的挑战。不过,文章的第二部分评估了这些工具在提高检测能力方面的潜力。有前景的应对措施包括运行内部生成模型以加强内部分类器的训练数据、检测统计异常、识别来自常见提示的输出,以及构建针对特定监控需求进行优化的专用分类器。
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引用次数: 0
Diplomatic relationship-building in the age of generative AI: the European Union and China 生成式人工智能时代的外交关系建设:欧盟与中国
IF 1.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1057/s41254-023-00321-6
Lucie Qian Xia
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引用次数: 0
Diplomatic relationship-building in the age of generative AI: the European Union and China 生成式人工智能时代的外交关系建设:欧盟与中国
IF 1.5 Q2 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1057/s41254-023-00321-6
Lucie Qian Xia
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Place Branding and Public Diplomacy
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