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Climate Risks for Investors' Green Attentions From China? 气候风险引发投资者对中国的绿色关注?
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-24 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12350
Liu Desheng, Jia Xin, Li Mingzhu, Miao Wang

With global warming, climate risk has become an important factor influencing investors' decision-making. This study empirically examines how climate risk influences investors' green attentions and explores the underlying mechanisms by developing a conceptual model that links climate risk to investors' green attentions. The results show that climate risk greatly heightens investors' green attentions, and a series of robustness tests, the conclusion remains valid. This research contributes to the existing body of literature regarding the effects of climate risk from the viewpoint of investors and enhances the involvement of investors in the governance of corporate climate risk.

随着全球气候变暖,气候风险已成为影响投资者决策的重要因素。本研究通过实证研究气候风险如何影响投资者的绿色关注,并通过建立气候风险与投资者绿色关注的概念模型来探讨其潜在机制。结果表明,气候风险极大地提高了投资者的绿色关注,并且经过一系列稳健性检验,结论仍然有效。本研究从投资者的角度对气候风险影响的现有文献进行了补充,并增强了投资者对企业气候风险治理的参与。
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引用次数: 0
Supply Chain Digitalization and Firms' Access to Bank Loans: Evidence From China 供应链数字化与企业获得银行贷款:来自中国的证据
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12351
Qian Liu, Libin Qin, Xuena Liu

Using a quasi-natural experiment of Supply Chain Innovation and Application Pilot program, this study reveals that supply chain digitalization significantly increases firms' access to bank loans. Supply chain digitalization promotes firms' access to bank loans by alleviating information asymmetry, reducing financial risk and facilitating the development of supply chain finance. The impact of supply chain digitalization on bank loans is stronger among firms with higher industry uncertainty, lower proportion of independent directors and higher digital transformation levels. Moreover, the study shows that supply chain digitalization significantly reduces the cost of firms' bank loans and helps companies obtain more credit loans instead of mortgage loans. The economic consequence analysis shows that supply chain digitalization can ultimately improve firms' market value. Our findings provide references for building the modern supply chain system.

利用供应链创新与应用试点项目的准自然实验,本研究发现供应链数字化显著增加了企业获得银行贷款的机会。供应链数字化通过缓解信息不对称,降低金融风险,促进供应链金融的发展,促进企业获得银行贷款。在行业不确定性较高、独立董事比例较低、数字化转型水平较高的企业中,供应链数字化对银行贷款的影响更强。此外,研究表明,供应链数字化显著降低了企业的银行贷款成本,并帮助企业获得更多的信用贷款,而不是抵押贷款。经济后果分析表明,供应链数字化最终能够提高企业的市场价值。研究结果为构建现代供应链体系提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
Can Politics Explain Contracting Out? 政治可以解释外包吗?
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-12 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12349
Andrew Abbott, Shasikanta Nandeibam, Lucy O'Shea

The theoretical literature suggests that political ideology matters in the decision to contract out public sector services, whereas the empirical literature is divided. We seek to explain the divide in the empirical literature by providing a link from theory to our empirical analysis by describing the nature of political competition. Using the number of seats in English local government as a measure of political ideology, we find that those governments dominated by Conservative party members have a higher likelihood of contracting out, whereas the opposite is true for the Greens. We also investigate the marginal effect of a Conservative seat. Our results suggest that local governments are more likely to contract out waste management and recycling services, the greater the number of seats that are controlled by the right-wing party (Conservatives). However, an additional Conservative seat seems to have a stronger positive influence when one of the other opposition parties (the Liberal Democrats) is controlling the local legislature rather than the Conservative themselves.

理论文献表明,政治意识形态在公共部门服务外包的决定中起着重要作用,而实证文献则存在分歧。我们试图通过描述政治竞争的本质,提供从理论到实证分析的联系,来解释经验文献中的分歧。利用英国地方政府的席位数量作为政治意识形态的衡量标准,我们发现那些由保守党成员主导的政府有更高的外包可能性,而绿党则相反。我们还研究了保守党席位的边际效应。我们的研究结果表明,右翼政党(保守党)控制的席位越多,地方政府越有可能将废物管理和回收服务外包出去。然而,当其他反对党之一(自由民主党)控制地方立法机构而不是保守党本身时,一个额外的保守党席位似乎具有更大的积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Time-Varying Interactions Between US–China Political Relation, Flight Frequency, and Inbound Tourism 中美政治关系、航班频次与入境旅游的时变互动关系
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12347
Shiteng Xu, Yifei Cai, Yahua Zhang, Chunan Wang

This study investigates the dynamics among US–China political relations, flight frequency, and inbound tourism through the utilization of a time-varying parameter vector autoregression model. As political relations warm, there is a notable uptick in flight frequency between the two nations. Moreover, the rising flight frequency would further increase inbound tourists. Interestingly, our analysis reveals no substantial evidence supporting a significant impact of inbound tourists on either political relations or flight frequency. The study concludes with insightful policy implications drawn from these findings.

本研究利用时变参数向量自回归模型,探讨了中美政治关系、航班频次与入境旅游之间的动态关系。随着两国政治关系升温,两国之间的航班频率显著上升。此外,航班频次的增加将进一步增加入境游客。有趣的是,我们的分析显示,没有实质性证据支持入境游客对政治关系或航班频率的重大影响。该研究总结了从这些发现中得出的深刻的政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
Does R&D Mediate the Link Between Corporate Governance and Enterprise Value? Evidence From Family Firms Across Jurisdictional Contexts 研发是否在公司治理与企业价值之间起到中介作用?跨司法管辖区的家族企业证据
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12345
Ella Xu, Guangxin

This study examines the mediating effect of R&D investment on the relationship between corporate governance and enterprise value, considering ownership (i.e., family vs. non-family firms) and jurisdictional differences (i.e., common law vs. civil law). Using a multinational sample from 2009 to 2018, this study reveals that R&D negatively and partially mediates the relationship between corporate governance and enterprise value, with a more substantial effect in family firms within a civil law context. This supports the assumption that family firms are more conservative towards R&D investment. This study highlights the need for strategic decision-making to consider ownership differences and legal context in shaping enterprise value.

本研究考察了研发投资对公司治理与企业价值之间关系的中介作用,考虑了所有权(即家族企业与非家族企业)和管辖权差异(即普通法与大陆法系)。利用2009 - 2018年的跨国样本,本研究发现研发在公司治理与企业价值的关系中起到负向和部分中介作用,其中在民法背景下的家族企业中作用更为显著。这支持了家族企业对研发投资更为保守的假设。本研究强调了战略决策在塑造企业价值时考虑所有权差异和法律背景的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Investor Network Density and Stock Crash Risk 投资者网络密度与股票崩盘风险
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12348
Xiaoying Zhai, Huiping Ma, Yongmin Zhang, Hanglin Jin, Moau Yong Toh

Using the shareholding data of fund institutional investors on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, this paper constructs institutional investor networks of stocks and investigates the influence of investor network density on stock price crash risk. Empirical results show that investor network density has a significant restraining effect on stock price crash risk by reducing the delay in stock price response to information to a certain extent. The results are robust to alternative measurements of stock price crash risk and subsamples of stocks with enterprises' different property rights and institutional investors' shareholding ratios.

本文利用沪深两市基金机构投资者持股数据,构建了股票机构投资者网络,并考察了投资者网络密度对股价崩盘风险的影响。实证结果表明,投资者网络密度在一定程度上降低了股价对信息的反应延迟,对股价崩盘风险具有显著的抑制作用。该结果对于股价崩盘风险的替代度量以及企业不同产权和机构投资者持股比例的股票子样本具有鲁棒性。
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引用次数: 0
From Rhetoric to Reality: Assessing the Effects of Populism on Corruption 从修辞到现实:评估民粹主义对腐败的影响
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12346
Vincenzo Alfano, Salvatore Capasso

This study explores the relationship between populism and corruption, focusing on the impact of the rise of populist parties on different kinds of corruption levels in a sample of 30 European countries over a recent period (1993–2019). Utilizing feasible-generalized least square estimators, our quantitative analysis reveals a positive correlation between the share of seats held by populist parties and both grand and passive corruption, whereas populist electoral support is negatively correlated with public sector active corruption. The findings, robust to several different robustness tests, suggest that while electoral support for populist parties contributes to a decline in petty and active corruption, once in power there is an increase in grand and passive corruption. The consequences of these findings are discussed. In short, this study sheds light on the nuanced dynamics between populism and corruption, providing crucial empirical insights into the consequences of populist movements on governance and integrity.

本研究探讨了民粹主义与腐败之间的关系,重点研究了民粹主义政党的兴起对最近一段时期(1993-2019年)30个欧洲国家不同类型腐败程度的影响。利用可行广义最小二乘估计,我们的定量分析揭示了民粹主义政党所占席位份额与重大腐败和被动腐败之间的正相关关系,而民粹主义选举支持与公共部门主动腐败呈负相关。该研究结果通过了几种不同的稳健性测试,结果表明,虽然民粹主义政党在选举中获得的支持有助于减少小规模和主动的腐败,但一旦掌权,大规模和被动的腐败就会增加。讨论了这些发现的后果。简而言之,这项研究揭示了民粹主义与腐败之间微妙的动态关系,为民粹主义运动对治理和诚信的影响提供了至关重要的实证见解。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Supply Chain Decision With Pre- and Aftersales Services and Capital Constraints 具有售前、售后服务和资本约束的最优供应链决策
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-31 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12344
Jing Wang, Junli Zhou, Fengshan Si, Yuling Wang

This paper examines a two-tier supply chain system where the manufacturer leads by managing aftersales service, and the retailer follows by handling presales service. To address the manufacturer's capital constraints, we develop three game-theoretic models: a model without capital constraints, another model with external financing under capital constraints, and yet another model with internal financing under capital constraints. We identify optimal financing strategies across these scenarios through comparative analysis. The findings reveal that external financing does not improve the level of presales service provided by the retailer. Under external financing, high consumer price sensitivity tends to increase product retail prices. Furthermore, wholesale prices are higher when financing is involved than in scenarios without financing. Interestingly, regardless of the financing model, higher consumer sensitivity to the retailer's presales service reduces wholesale prices, paradoxically benefiting the profits of both the manufacturer and retailer. An increase in the manufacturer's initial capital consistently enhances the manufacturer's profitability but may negatively impact the retailer's profits under internal financing. The manufacturer prefers internal financing, regardless of whether the manufacturer faces rising financing interest rates or increased aftersales service investments.

本文研究了一个两层供应链系统,其中制造商通过管理售后服务而领先,零售商通过处理售前服务而跟随。为了解决制造商的资本约束问题,我们建立了三种博弈论模型:无资本约束的模型、资本约束下外部融资的模型和资本约束下内部融资的模型。我们通过比较分析确定了这些情景下的最佳融资策略。研究结果表明,外部融资并没有提高零售商提供的售前服务水平。在外部融资的情况下,消费者对价格的高敏感度往往会提高产品的零售价格。此外,涉及融资的批发价格高于没有融资的批发价格。有趣的是,不管融资模式如何,消费者对零售商的售前服务的敏感度越高,批发价格就越低,这对制造商和零售商的利润都有利。制造商初始资本的增加持续提高了制造商的盈利能力,但在内部融资下可能会对零售商的利润产生负面影响。制造商更倾向于内部融资,无论制造商是否面临融资利率上升或售后服务投资增加。
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引用次数: 0
Lead or Follow? Participation Decisions in Collective Development Initiatives 领导还是跟随?集体发展倡议中的参与决策
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-25 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12343
Bernhard Reinsberg, Martin C. Steinwand

When and how do donors cooperate? While a growing literature emphasizes the importance of donor coordination for aid effectiveness, little is known about when and why donors join forces to advance common causes. We leverage the proliferation of special-purpose trust funds at multilateral organizations to cast light on this issue. We argue that not only the decision whether to engage but also when to engage—either as “lead donor” or as “follower” after other donors already contributed—carries important (yet overlooked) informational value. We develop expectations about how donors engage with trust funds building on theories of competitive regime creation and bureaucratic politics. We test these expectations using a novel data set of time-stamped funding commitment decisions by 30 OECD/DAC donors in 190 World Bank trust funds established between 1990 and 2020. We find that a donor is more likely to serve as lead donor if it is engaged in similar sectors as its peers. In addition, a donor is more likely to contribute to a fund already controlled by a group of donors if its own policy preferences are aligned with those of the existing members. The results have important implications for our understanding of donor coordination in an increasingly crowded multilateral development architecture.

捐助者何时以及如何合作?虽然越来越多的文献强调捐助者协调对援助有效性的重要性,但很少有人知道捐助者何时以及为什么联合起来推动共同事业。我们利用多边组织中特别目的信托基金的激增来阐明这一问题。我们认为,不仅决定是否参与,而且决定何时参与——是作为“主要捐助者”,还是在其他捐助者已经捐款后作为“追随者”——具有重要的(但被忽视的)信息价值。基于竞争性制度创造和官僚政治理论,我们对捐助者如何与信托基金合作提出了期望。我们使用一组新颖的数据集来检验这些预期,这些数据集是由30个经合组织/发展援助委员会捐助国在1990年至2020年期间建立的190个世界银行信托基金中做出的带有时间戳的资金承诺决定。我们发现,如果一个捐助国与其同行从事类似的行业,它更有可能成为主要捐助国。此外,如果一个捐助国本身的政策偏好与现有成员国的政策偏好一致,它就更有可能向一个已经由一组捐助国控制的基金捐款。这些结果对我们理解日益拥挤的多边发展架构中的捐助者协调具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Media, Partisanship, and Macroeconomic Factors in the Economic Assessments: The Case of Poland 媒体、党派和宏观经济因素在经济评估中的作用:波兰的案例
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-23 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12342
Agnieszka Choczyńska

Ruling party supporters tend to have higher opinions of the state of national economy than the opposition supporters. Is it because of partisan bias, media, or just different conceptions of what is good for the economy? I analyze this issue in Poland, where the gap in economic assessments is particularly high and on the rise. Using monthly survey data, macroeconomic variables and sentiment from public media, I find all of the above to be true. Both groups base their assessments on macroeconomic variables, but there are differences in sign and significance of their parameters. However, media sentiment also plays a role, and there is still additional partisan bias after controlling for socioeconomic factors.

执政党支持者对国民经济状况的评价高于在野党支持者。这是因为党派偏见、媒体,还是仅仅是对什么对经济有益的不同观念?我在波兰分析这个问题,那里的经济评估差距特别大,而且还在扩大。根据月度调查数据、宏观经济变量和公共媒体的情绪,我发现以上都是正确的。两组的评估都基于宏观经济变量,但其参数的符号和重要性存在差异。然而,媒体情绪也起作用,并且在控制社会经济因素后仍然存在额外的党派偏见。
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引用次数: 0
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Economics & Politics
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