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Employment Effects of the Italian Jobs Act: An Ex-Post Impact Evaluation 意大利就业法案的就业效应:前后影响评估
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-20 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12339
Alessandro Zeli, Leopoldo Nascia

In 2015, Italy adopted a new labor market policy known as the Jobs Act (JA), aimed at promoting employment and reducing the costs associated with firing employees. We investigate how the impact of the JA provisions on employment. We estimate the effect of the relief on social security contributions and and assess the impact of the new firing rules on employment through a two-step procedure: propensity score matching and difference-in-differences estimation. The results of our model do not indicate a significant impact of these measures, either on employment levels or on changes among flexible workers.

2015年,意大利通过了一项名为《就业法案》(Jobs Act, JA)的新劳动力市场政策,旨在促进就业,降低与解雇员工相关的成本。我们调查了JA条款对就业的影响。我们通过倾向得分匹配和差中差估计两步程序估计了救济对社会保障缴款的影响,并评估了新的解雇规则对就业的影响。我们的模型的结果并没有表明这些措施的显著影响,无论是对就业水平还是对弹性工人的变化。
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引用次数: 0
The Commodification of Political Distrust: Do Crypto “Hodlers” Distrust Political Institutions? 政治不信任的商品化:加密货币“持有者”不信任政治机构吗?
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-18 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12341
Anton Brännlund, Henrik Serup Christensen

The study investigates the link between political distrust and long-term cryptocurrency investment, motivated by the cryptocurrency market's volatility and the potential of digital currencies to alter economic–political systems. Utilizing panel data from Finland 2022–2023 on duration of ownership and political attitudes, the research uncovers a correlation between political skepticism and long-term investment in cryptocurrencies, suggesting a shift from conventional assets to decentralized ones. This emphasizes the role of political trust in financial decisions and proposes further exploration of its impact on cryptocurrency investments.

该研究调查了政治不信任与长期加密货币投资之间的联系,其动机是加密货币市场的波动性和数字货币改变经济政治体系的潜力。该研究利用芬兰2022-2023年关于所有权持续时间和政治态度的面板数据,揭示了政治怀疑与加密货币长期投资之间的相关性,表明从传统资产向去中心化资产的转变。这强调了政治信任在金融决策中的作用,并建议进一步探索其对加密货币投资的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Echo Chambers: Voter-to-Voter Communication and Political Competition 回音室:选民对选民的沟通和政治竞争
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-15 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12338
Monica A. Giovanniello

I study how strategic communication among voters shapes both political outcomes and parties' advertising strategies in a model of informative campaign advertising. I show that echo chambers arise endogenously as a product of strategic communication. Surprisingly, a small ideological distance between voters is not sufficient to guarantee that a chamber is created, biases' direction plays a crucial role.

我在信息性竞选广告模型中研究选民之间的战略沟通如何影响政治结果和政党的广告策略。我认为回声室是战略沟通的内生产物。令人惊讶的是,选民之间的意识形态差距并不足以保证商会的建立,偏见的方向起着至关重要的作用。
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引用次数: 0
The Peer Effect of Key Audit Matter Disclosure: Evidence From China 关键审计事项披露的同伴效应:来自中国的证据
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-10 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12340
Xuegang Cui, Jia Xu, Yiyuan Sun

This study examines whether the disclosure of the Key Audit Matters (KAMs) has a peer effect within an industry. Using a sample of China-listed firms from 2017 to 2022, we find a significant industry-specific peer effect in the KAM disclosure behavior, which remains consistent across various robustness tests. The peer effect of the KAM disclosure is more substantial when corporate market competition is more fierce. Specifically, the cut-throat competition leads to higher auditing risk for auditors who have to alleviate the risk by imitating the KAM disclosure behavior of their peers within the same industry, thereby leading to a peer effect in KAM disclosure. Heterogeneity analysis exhibits that the extent of peer effect in the KAM disclosure varies among corporate ownership structure, auditor expertise, and media coverage. This study contributes to the literature on the KAM disclosure and offers important policy implications for auditing standard construction and regulation on KAM disclosure.

本研究探讨了关键审计事项的披露是否在行业内具有同行效应。以2017年至2022年的中国上市公司为样本,我们发现在KAM披露行为中存在显著的行业特定同行效应,并且在各种稳健性测试中保持一致。企业市场竞争越激烈,企业知识产权披露的对等效应越显著。具体而言,激烈的竞争导致审计人员的审计风险增加,审计人员必须通过模仿同行业同行的审计信息披露行为来减轻风险,从而导致审计信息披露的同行效应。异质性分析表明,同业效应在企业股权结构、审计师专业知识和媒体报道中的程度存在差异。本研究不仅对知识产权披露的相关文献有所贡献,而且对知识产权披露的审计标准构建和监管具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
Regional Representation in the European Parliament: Parliamentary Questions on Geographical Indications 欧洲议会的区域代表权:关于地理标志的议会问题
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-13 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12337
Martijn Huysmans, Niels Gheyle

The European Parliament represents the citizens of the European Union. However, individual Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) also face incentives to represent more narrow regional economic interests. Geographical Indications (GIs) such as Asiago or Champagne are an ideal policy area to study regional representation. Their defined regions provide clear incentives and a reliable measurement of regional representation. This article codes and analyses the written questions on GIs posed by MEPs during the period 2009–2019. Descriptively, we find that MEPs often mention products from their region. We also find that MEPs focus their questions on contentious products and on politicized free trade agreements. Contributing to the debate on representation in the European Parliament, we find evidence for more regional representation by MEPs from countries with regional lists for EP elections. We conclude with the implications of our research for representation in the European Union and the idea of transnational lists.

欧洲议会代表欧盟的公民。然而,欧洲议会的个别议员也面临着代表更狭隘的区域经济利益的激励。亚洲或香槟等地理标志是研究区域代表性的理想政策领域。他们界定的区域提供了明确的激励和可靠的衡量区域代表性的方法。本文对2009-2019年期间欧洲议会议员提出的地理信息系统书面问题进行了编码和分析。描述性地,我们发现欧洲议会议员经常提到来自他们地区的产品。我们还发现,欧洲议会议员的问题主要集中在有争议的产品和政治化的自由贸易协定上。在关于欧洲议会代表权的辩论中,我们发现有证据表明,来自欧洲议会选举地区名单的国家的欧洲议会议员有更多的地区代表权。最后,我们总结了我们的研究对欧盟代表权和跨国名单概念的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Intersectoral Conflict, Exchange Rate Uncertainty, and Delays in Macroeconomic Stabilization 部门间冲突、汇率不确定性和宏观经济稳定的延迟
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-10 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12336
Arslan Razmi

An important body of literature explores the political economy reasons underlying delays in macroeconomic stabilization. This paper develops a framework to analyze the conflict between two risk-averse groups of economic actors, one that has an endowment of internationally tradable goods and another that is endowed with nontradable goods: both endowments require imported inputs to consume. The focus is on the exchange rate policy in a developing country setup, where the government employs seigniorage revenue to finance prestabilization spending, and faces fiscal and balance of payments problems that necessitate stabilization with a step devaluation. Trade misinvoicing, the presence of exchange rate uncertainty and its interaction with import costs, the role of forward-looking expectations, and the possibility of foreign/IMF aid influence the likelihood, timing, and terms of a consensus on stabilization in interesting ways. Crucially, given instrument uncertainty, delays may occur even if both sets of agents have perfect foresight and nontradable endowment-holders realize that their relative position deteriorates over time.

一个重要的文献体系探讨了宏观经济稳定滞后的政治经济原因。本文建立了一个框架来分析两个规避风险的经济行为者群体之间的冲突,一个拥有国际可贸易商品禀赋,另一个拥有不可贸易商品禀赋:两种禀赋都需要进口投入来消费。重点是发展中国家的汇率政策,政府利用铸币税收入为稳定前的支出提供资金,面临财政和国际收支问题,需要通过逐步贬值来实现稳定。贸易虚开发票、汇率不确定性的存在及其与进口成本的相互作用、前瞻性预期的作用以及外国/国际货币基金组织援助的可能性以有趣的方式影响就稳定达成共识的可能性、时间和条件。至关重要的是,考虑到工具的不确定性,即使两组代理人都有完美的远见,而且非交易禀赋持有人意识到他们的相对地位会随着时间的推移而恶化,延迟也可能发生。
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引用次数: 0
The Enforcement Dilemma of EU Fiscal Rules 欧盟财政规则的执行困境
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-25 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12334
Georg Kirchsteiger, Martin Larch

Effective enforcement is an essential element of any fiscal rule. The EU's Stability and Growth Pact has been struggling with this truism since inception. We show that its effectiveness goes beyond the threat of fines. The notion that deficit-prone member states adopt a more virtuous fiscal behaviour to avert sanctions is overshadowed by the realization that in the event of a major shock virtuous countries will come to their rescue as the survival of the entire system is at stake. Unless the underlying issues are addressed, the effectiveness of any EU fiscal rule remains limited.

有效执行是任何财政规则的基本要素。欧盟的《稳定与增长公约》(Stability and Growth Pact)自成立以来就一直在与这一不言自明的事实作斗争。我们表明,它的有效性超越了罚款的威胁。有赤字倾向的成员国采取更良性的财政行为以避免制裁的观点,被这样一种认识所掩盖:一旦发生重大冲击,当整个体系的生存受到威胁时,良性国家将出手相救。除非根本问题得到解决,否则欧盟财政规则的有效性仍然有限。
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引用次数: 0
The Roots of Populism in Poland Do Uneven Economic Development, Social Transfers, Inequality and Migration Explain the Success of Populist Parties? 波兰民粹主义的根源:不平衡的经济发展、社会转移、不平等和移民能解释民粹主义政党的成功吗?
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-22 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12335
Łukasz W. Olejnik, Marcin Wroński

In this paper, we investigate the socio-economic factors affecting the electoral outcomes of the populist parties in Poland. According to estimation results, the re-election of Law and Justice in 2019 can be explained by changes in economic conditions. Slow dynamics of municipality revenues from the personal income tax, depopulation, and social transfers are crucial drivers of its success. Contrary to Western Europe, the effects of immigration and inequality on the outcomes of populist parties in Poland are not statistically significant. Populist parties were successful in gaining support in areas, which traditionally did not vote for them.

本文研究了影响波兰民粹主义政党选举结果的社会经济因素。根据估计结果,2019年法律与正义党的连任可以用经济条件的变化来解释。来自个人所得税、人口减少和社会转移的市政收入的缓慢动态是其成功的关键驱动因素。与西欧相反,移民和不平等对波兰民粹主义政党选举结果的影响在统计上并不显著。民粹主义政党成功地在传统上不投票给他们的地区获得了支持。
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引用次数: 0
Political Business Cycles in Varieties of Capitalistic Systems 不同资本主义制度下的政治经济周期
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-19 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12331
Joscha Beckmann, Rainer Schweickert, Marvin Jahn

This study contributes to the literature on political business cycles by assessing the effect of elections on growth expectations based on expert survey data instead of using actual performance data. We analyze the different roles opportunistic and partisan politics play in varieties of capitalistic systems as a source of heterogeneity. Our results show that expectations differ remarkably between Liberal and Coordinated Market Economies (LME vs. CME) even independent of election outcomes.

本研究通过评估选举对增长预期的影响,而不是使用实际表现数据,为政治经济周期的文献做出了贡献。我们分析了机会主义和党派政治在各种资本主义制度中作为异质性来源所扮演的不同角色。我们的研究结果表明,即使独立于选举结果,自由市场经济和协调市场经济(LME vs. CME)之间的预期也存在显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Does Tax-Aggressive Behavior Motivate More CSR Engagement? 积极的税收行为会激发更多的企业社会责任参与吗?
IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-19 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12333
Xin Wang, Kam Fong Chan, Millicent Chang, Yuan George Shan, Joey W. Yang

Using an international sample of listed companies from 36 countries, we investigate whether firms' engagement in tax-aggressive behavior drives them to increase their corporate social responsibility (CSR) and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) activities. Consistent with the reputation risk mitigation theory, our results show that U.S. and Canadian firms ramp up their ESG activities 4 years after engaging in tax-aggressive practices, aligning with the typical duration for the IRS (Internal Revenue Service) investigations. In contrast, firms in other countries act sooner, within 2–3 years. Further analysis shows that firms in countries with stringent law enforcement, and those adopting International Financial Reporting Standards, are less likely to enhance CSR/ESG activities following aggressive tax policies. These findings highlight the significant influence of regulatory and disclosure environments in shaping corporate behavior in tax policies.

本文以来自36个国家的上市公司为样本,研究了企业积极参与税收行为是否会促使它们增加企业社会责任(CSR)和环境、社会和治理(ESG)活动。与声誉风险缓解理论一致的是,我们的研究结果表明,美国和加拿大公司在从事积极避税行为4年后,会加大ESG活动,这与美国国税局(IRS)调查的典型持续时间一致。相比之下,其他国家的公司会在2-3年内采取行动。进一步分析表明,在执法严格的国家,以及采用国际财务报告准则的国家,企业在实施积极的税收政策后,不太可能加强CSR/ESG活动。这些发现强调了监管和信息披露环境对企业税收政策行为的重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Economics & Politics
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