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Ripples from an earthquake: legacies of a disaster volunteer response 地震的涟漪:救灾志愿者的遗产
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-12-06 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2022.2149455
S. Carlton, Sylvia Nissen, J. Wong
ABSTRACT The Student Volunteer Army was formed following the earthquake sequence of 2010–2011 in Christchurch, Aotearoa New Zealand, and has since been widely celebrated as a youth-led volunteer disaster response. More than ten years after the mobilisation, we trace the legacies of this action through in-depth interviews. Our findings demonstrate that informal disaster volunteerism can generate numerous legacies that span the biographical, social and institutional arenas. Utilising the analogy of ripples in a lake, we identify how these ripples from the student-led mobilisation extended well beyond the temporal and spatial confines of the disaster context in which they originated, and gained their own momentum in ways that were at times consciously encouraged by actors but also unintended. In identifying these legacies, our analysis helps better understand the potential impact of informal disaster volunteerism beyond the material contribution made in the immediate disaster response period. Our discussion considers the theoretical and practical implications of situating informal disaster volunteerism in a temporal context that extends prior to and well after disaster.
学生志愿军是在2010-2011年新西兰克赖斯特彻奇地震后成立的,作为一支由青年领导的志愿救灾队伍而广受赞誉。在动员十多年后,我们通过深入采访追溯这一行动的遗产。我们的研究结果表明,非正式的灾害志愿服务可以产生许多跨越个人、社会和制度领域的遗产。利用湖泊涟漪的类比,我们确定了学生领导的动员如何远远超出其起源的灾难背景的时间和空间限制,并以有时由演员有意识地鼓励但也无意的方式获得自己的动力。在确定这些遗产的过程中,我们的分析有助于更好地理解非正式灾害志愿服务的潜在影响,而不仅仅是在紧急灾害响应期间做出的物质贡献。我们的讨论考虑了将非正式灾害志愿服务置于灾前和灾后的时间背景下的理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 1
Past experience of drought, drought risk perception, and climate mitigation and adaptation decisions by farmers in New Zealand 新西兰农民过去的干旱经验、干旱风险感知以及气候减缓和适应决策
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-14 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2022.2141179
T. Nguyen, P. Stahlmann-Brown, Ilan Noy
ABSTRACT We analyze the perception of farmers in New Zealand with regards to future drought risk as shaped by climatic change and the implications of these perceptions for climate mitigation and adaptation actions that these farmers choose to pursue. The policy options examined include reducing greenhouse gas emissions, strengthening climate resilience, and using water resources more efficiently. Almost all farmers in New Zealand expect an increase in drought frequency and intensity by 2050. We also find that age, gender, and education are correlated with future drought risk perceptions by farmers. Female farmers and farmers with higher education are more concerned about future droughts. Importantly, drought perception of farmers is associated with their climate-related mitigation and adaptation preferences. If farmers perceive an increase in drought risk by 2050, they will focus more on reducing greenhouse gas emissions, increasing the climate resilience of their farms, and trying to improve their use of water resources. Understanding how drought risk perceptions are shaped, and specifically their role in determining mitigation and adaptation decisions, may shed some useful light that can improve policy responses to the risks of droughts and climate change more broadly.
我们分析了新西兰农民对气候变化影响下未来干旱风险的看法,以及这些看法对农民选择采取的气候减缓和适应行动的影响。研究的政策选择包括减少温室气体排放、加强气候适应能力和更有效地利用水资源。新西兰几乎所有的农民都预计,到2050年,干旱的频率和强度都会增加。我们还发现,年龄、性别和教育程度与农民对未来干旱风险的认知相关。女性农民和受过高等教育的农民更关心未来的干旱。重要的是,农民对干旱的看法与其气候相关的缓解和适应偏好有关。如果农民意识到到2050年干旱风险增加,他们将更多地关注减少温室气体排放,提高农场的气候适应能力,并努力改善水资源的利用。了解对干旱风险的认识是如何形成的,特别是它们在确定缓解和适应决策中的作用,可能会带来一些有用的启示,可以更广泛地改进对干旱和气候变化风险的政策反应。
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引用次数: 0
Income and floods in New Zealand 新西兰的收入和洪水
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-10 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2022.2142500
A. Roy
ABSTRACT Floods include some of the most frequent and costliest extreme weather events in Aotearoa New Zealand. Using data from Statistics New Zealand’s Integrated Data Infrastructure and Historical Weather Events Catalogue from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), this study empirically investigates the impact of floods on individual income across the country. The study considered thirteen economically significant flood events and the income of all the Inland Revenue registered individuals between 2000 and 2019. The impact of floods on the affected individual’s annual income was assessed using panel regressions with individual and time-fixed effects. Despite the large floods-induced privately insured damages, floods had no significant impact on individual annual incomes from salary, wage, self-employment, and total income across various specifications.
洪水是新西兰奥特罗阿地区最频繁和最昂贵的极端天气事件之一。本研究利用新西兰统计局综合数据基础设施和国家水与大气研究所(NIWA)的历史天气事件目录中的数据,实证调查了洪水对全国个人收入的影响。该研究考虑了2000年至2019年期间13次经济上重大的洪水事件和所有国税局注册个人的收入。洪水对受影响个人年收入的影响采用具有个体效应和时间固定效应的面板回归进行评估。尽管洪水造成了大量的私人保险损失,但洪水对个人年薪、工资、自营职业和各种规格的总收入没有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
Regional differences in the effects of drought events on farm profitability in New Zealand 干旱事件对新西兰农场盈利能力影响的区域差异
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-10 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2022.2141180
F. Pourzand
ABSTRACT This paper estimates the regional impact of drought, as defined by the New Zealand Drought Index (NZDI), on-farm income and profits across the main agricultural regions in New Zealand. We use farm micro-data (tax forms) from Statistics New Zealand's Longitudinal Business Database (LBD). The empirical strategy relies on region-specific panel-data models with fixed effects. We find that outcomes vary across regions and land uses. The main dairy regions (Waikato and Taranaki) have experienced significant positive impacts, likely resulting from drought-induced higher milk prices. In contrast, sheep/beef farms’ gross income and profit were negatively affected by droughts across most sheep/beef regions. Across all regions, the estimations also show that drought events do not have any observable persistent impact on farm income and profits, on average, past the first couple of years.
摘要本文通过新西兰干旱指数(NZDI)对干旱的区域影响、新西兰主要农业区的农场收入和利润进行了估算。我们使用来自新西兰统计局纵向商业数据库(LBD)的农场微观数据(纳税表格)。实证策略依赖于具有固定效应的区域特定面板数据模型。我们发现,结果因地区和土地用途而异。主要产奶区(怀卡托和塔拉纳基)受到了显著的积极影响,可能是由于干旱导致的牛奶价格上涨。相比之下,大多数羊/牛肉种植区的羊/牛肉养殖场的毛收入和利润受到干旱的负面影响。在所有地区,估计还表明,平均而言,干旱事件在最初几年对农业收入和利润没有任何可观察到的持续影响。
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引用次数: 1
Local-level managers’ attitudes towards natural hazards resilience: the case of Texas 地方管理者对自然灾害恢复能力的态度:以德克萨斯州为例
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-09 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2022.2141178
Rotem Dvir, Carol L Goldsmith, Ian Seavey, A. Vedlitz
ABSTRACT Prior research on natural hazards resilience demonstrate that citizens favor immediate and direct solutions to disasters, and are less supportive of future-oriented prevention strategies. These perceptions create incentives for politicians to adopt similar views. In this study, we explore the views of an intermediate group of stakeholders – public and professional managers who play a role in the process of designing disaster relief and prevention policies. Using a survey of professional stakeholders in Texas, we map their views on the causes and policy solutions for the damages following Hurricane Harvey (Summer 2017). Overall, we find that professional stakeholders hold fairly similar views to the public. Yet, they differ from citizens as they are less supportive of distributing direct payments, instead preferring to allocate funds towards long-term prevention solutions, and creating a regulatory environment to reduce the risks. Also, our results indicate that having personal experience of hazard events further enhance those views, and stakeholders in government positions prefer even less direct governmental involvement in disaster resilience. Our findings expand existing knowledge regarding individual perceptions and policy preferences facing natural hazards by discussing the views of professionals who play important roles in designing solutions to mitigate the growing risks from climate change.
先前关于自然灾害恢复力的研究表明,公民倾向于立即和直接的灾害解决方案,而不太支持面向未来的预防策略。这些看法促使政治家们采取类似的观点。在本研究中,我们探讨了在救灾和防灾政策设计过程中发挥作用的中间利益相关者群体-公众和职业经理人的观点。通过对德克萨斯州专业利益相关者的调查,我们绘制了他们对飓风哈维(2017年夏季)造成的损失的原因和政策解决方案的看法。总体而言,我们发现专业利益相关者与公众持有相当相似的观点。然而,他们与公民不同,因为他们不太支持直接支付,而是更愿意将资金分配给长期预防解决方案,并创造一个监管环境来降低风险。此外,我们的研究结果表明,拥有灾害事件的个人经历进一步增强了这些观点,政府职位的利益相关者更倾向于政府更少地直接参与灾害恢复。我们的研究结果通过讨论在设计解决方案以减轻气候变化带来的日益增长的风险方面发挥重要作用的专业人士的观点,扩展了关于个人认知和面对自然灾害的政策偏好的现有知识。
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引用次数: 1
The gendered dimensions of London’s last bubonic plague epidemic 1665–1666 1665-1666年伦敦最后一次黑死病流行的性别维度
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-03 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2022.2141181
Kent B. Barnes
ABSTRACT There was a female bias in deaths during metropolitan London’s last epidemic of bubonic plague. This was unusual for the period and place, for on an annual basis, male deaths typically exceeded female deaths, a pattern that included prior plague years. This study examines this gender bias in mortality during the 1665–1666 epidemic through statistical analyses and a review of prior studies. Analyses of mortality data obtained from the London Bills of Mortality for the epidemic and the period reveal how unlikely female deaths exceeding male deaths was for early modern London. The historical studies are consulted to gain insights into insights into differential exposure to the disease based on gender. Greater female vulnerability accounts for the anomalous parity of female and male deaths. Increased deaths from childbed during the plague year drove the convergence of female and male deaths, and plague was likely a contributing factor in these deaths. Moreover, gendered divisions of labour based on the types of livelihoods afforded women compared to men, as well as the tasks assigned to recipients of public relief during the epidemic, resulted in greater exposure of women to plague. These drove up the proportion of female deaths during the plague year.
在伦敦大都会最后一次黑死病流行期间,死亡人数中存在女性偏见。这在那个时期和地方是不寻常的,因为每年男性死亡人数通常超过女性死亡人数,这种模式包括以前的瘟疫年。本研究通过统计分析和对先前研究的回顾,考察了1665-1666年流行病期间死亡率的性别偏见。对从伦敦死亡记录中获得的流行病和那个时期的死亡率数据的分析表明,在近代早期的伦敦,女性死亡人数超过男性的可能性是多么小。参考历史研究,以深入了解基于性别的疾病暴露差异。女性更易受伤害是造成男女死亡人数异常均等的原因。在鼠疫年,产褥期死亡人数的增加促使女性和男性死亡人数趋同,鼠疫可能是造成这些死亡的一个因素。此外,基于妇女与男子相比所获得的生计类型的性别劳动分工,以及流行病期间分配给公共救济接受者的任务,导致妇女更容易受到瘟疫的影响。这些因素推高了鼠疫年女性死亡的比例。
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引用次数: 0
Considering sustainability trade-offs in bushfire policy for the wildland-urban interface 考虑森林火灾政策对荒地-城市界面的可持续性权衡
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-10-20 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2022.2130860
Simone Ruane, Courtney Babb, M. Swapan
ABSTRACT In Australia, bushfire risk in the wildland-urban interface (WUI) is increasing due to climate change and urbanisation. Like other complex issues, policy strategies for addressing bushfire risk are multi-faceted, involve diverse stakeholders, and are highly contested. Based on a case study of south-west Western Australia (south-west WA), we identify three key policy strategies for adapting to increased bushfire risk in WUI areas: broad-scaled prescribed burning, local bushfire risk management and land-use planning. We examine these policy strategies, firstly, to contrast their institutional arrangements and framing of goals and actions, and, secondly, to explore sustainability trade-offs. This analysis found that all policy strategies for adapting to increased bushfire risk in WUI areas have sustainability trade-offs that need to be considered. In particular, the research identified that the current bushfire policy regime has likely consequences for biodiversity conservation, nature-based interactions, health and wellbeing and local economic development. We argue that to avoid maladaptation, more sophisticated models of risk assessment, which consider the sustainability trade-offs of bushfire policy decisions and actions are needed.
在澳大利亚,由于气候变化和城市化,荒地-城市界面(WUI)的森林火灾风险正在增加。与其他复杂问题一样,应对森林火灾风险的政策策略是多方面的,涉及不同的利益相关者,并且存在高度争议。基于西澳大利亚西南部(西南WA)的案例研究,我们确定了适应WUI地区森林火灾风险增加的三个关键政策策略:大规模的规定燃烧,当地森林火灾风险管理和土地利用规划。我们研究这些政策策略,首先,对比它们的制度安排和目标和行动框架,其次,探索可持续性权衡。该分析发现,所有适应WUI地区森林火灾风险增加的政策策略都需要考虑可持续性权衡。该研究特别指出,目前的森林火灾政策制度可能对生物多样性保护、基于自然的相互作用、健康和福祉以及当地经济发展产生影响。我们认为,为了避免适应不良,需要更复杂的风险评估模型,考虑森林火灾政策决策和行动的可持续性权衡。
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引用次数: 1
How the past influences the future: flood risk perception in informal settlements 过去如何影响未来:非正式住区的洪水风险认知
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-10-12 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2022.2130854
Chati Jerry Tasantab, T. Gajendran, K. Maund
ABSTRACT This study presents fresh evidence from an informal settlement in Accra, Ghana, examining how knowledge, understanding, experiences, and feelings about flood risk influence the flood risk perceptions of residents. The study adopted a mixed-methods approach, involving the collection and analysis of qualitative and quantitative data. We collected the data through seventeen interviews and 392 household surveys in Glefe, Accra, Ghana. We then conducted a thematic analysis of the qualitative data to understand participants' perceptions and the factors influencing their flood risk perceptions. The factors were used to produce hypotheses about flood risk perception. We subsequently performed regression analyses using the quantitative data to test the hypothesised relationships. The findings revealed that fear, flood experience, and coping experience were the major factors influencing residents' flood risk perceptions. Taken together, these factors had varying levels of influence on risk perceptions, with fear being the most statistically significant. However, it seems that experience held sway over residents' opinions, views, and perceptions. The perceived likelihood of future flooding events was therefore determined by residents' experience with flooding and coping. The study recommends incorporating the flooding and coping experiences of residents into adaptation mechanisms because these influence their perceptions of the flooding risks.
本研究提供了来自加纳阿克拉一个非正式定居点的新证据,研究了关于洪水风险的知识、理解、经验和感受如何影响居民对洪水风险的看法。该研究采用了混合方法,包括收集和分析定性和定量数据。我们在加纳阿克拉的格莱夫通过17次访谈和392个家庭调查收集了数据。然后,我们对定性数据进行了专题分析,以了解参与者的感知以及影响其洪水风险感知的因素。利用这些因子对洪水风险感知进行假设。随后,我们使用定量数据进行回归分析,以检验假设的关系。研究发现,恐惧、洪水经历和应对经历是影响居民洪水风险感知的主要因素。综上所述,这些因素对风险认知有不同程度的影响,其中恐惧在统计上最为显著。然而,经验似乎影响了居民的意见、观点和看法。因此,居民对未来洪水事件的感知可能性取决于他们对洪水和应对的经验。该研究建议将居民的洪水和应对经验纳入适应机制,因为这些会影响他们对洪水风险的看法。
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引用次数: 0
Can positional concerns be a threat to disaster management? Assessing the prevalence of positional concerns among socially vulnerable populations in Trinidad & Tobago 位置问题会对灾害管理构成威胁吗?评估特立尼达和多巴哥社会弱势群体中地位问题的普遍性
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-08-16 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2022.2096556
J. Celse, M. Kensen
ABSTRACT Social vulnerability refers to the inability of some populations, organisations and societies to withstand adverse impacts from multiple stressors to which they are exposed, such as natural hazards. In this paper, we examine the existence of positional concerns (i.e. willingness to incur a loss so as to be above or not to be below others) in social vulnerability that may undermine the strategies and policies aiming at fostering the resilience of socially vulnerable populations. We found that the majority of people express egalitarian preferences, namely, they reject Pareto efficient allocations or gain improvements that benefit more to others than to them because they dislike inequalities. Our results showed that positional concerns are more often expressed than absolute concerns and suggest that policy makers, when tackling the problem of social vulnerability, should take into account citizens’ preferences. We suggest solutions to cope with the problem of positional concerns.
社会脆弱性是指某些人群、组织和社会无法承受其所暴露的多重压力源(如自然灾害)的不利影响。在本文中,我们研究了社会脆弱性中存在的位置关注(即为了高于或低于他人而遭受损失的意愿),这可能会破坏旨在培养社会弱势群体恢复力的战略和政策。我们发现,大多数人都表现出平等主义偏好,也就是说,他们拒绝帕累托有效分配,或者因为不喜欢不平等而获得对他人更有利的改进。我们的研究结果表明,立场关注比绝对关注更常被表达,并建议政策制定者在解决社会脆弱性问题时应考虑公民的偏好。我们提出解决位置关注问题的办法。
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引用次数: 1
Trends in recovery aid concentration following Hurricane Florence in North Carolina: exploring the role of physical damage, community vulnerability, and Hurricane Matthew 北卡罗来纳州佛罗伦萨飓风过后恢复援助集中的趋势:探讨物理损害、社区脆弱性和飓风马修的作用
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-08-11 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2022.2109569
Julia Cardwell, C. Konrad
ABSTRACT The intensity of extreme events like hurricanes is predicted to increase. As such, the role of federal disaster aid programmes in assisting community recovery will also grow, and potential inequities in these programmes could compound in an increasing disaster landscape. This study analyzes recovery efforts after Hurricane Florence (2018) to identify trends in areas that were targeted for recovery aid. Using a series of Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and spatial lag models, divergences in aid are investigated after controlling for physical damage and the study suggests that these divergences can be partially predicted by social and community factors, including characteristics that are typically associated with increased social vulnerability (such as high renter population, older housing stock, and high population of non-white residents). In addition, because North Carolina experienced two major hurricanes in the period of just two years (Hurricane Matthew in 2016), this study also analyzes the role of successive extremes in the outcomes of aid concentration and finds that communities successful in achieving aid after Hurricane Matthew were similarly successful after Hurricane Florence. Finally, the paper emphasises the importance of monitoring potential inequities in federal recovery aid payout, which can provide actionable opportunities for potential improvements to these programmes.
据预测,飓风等极端事件的强度将会增加。因此,联邦灾害援助方案在协助社区恢复方面的作用也将增加,这些方案中潜在的不平等可能在日益增加的灾害情况下加剧。本研究分析了佛罗伦萨飓风(2018年)后的恢复工作,以确定恢复援助目标地区的趋势。利用一系列普通最小二乘(OLS)和空间滞后模型,在控制了物理损害之后,研究了援助的差异,研究表明,这些差异可以通过社会和社区因素部分预测,包括通常与社会脆弱性增加相关的特征(如高租房人口、老年住房存量和高非白人居民人口)。此外,由于北卡罗来纳州在短短两年内经历了两次大飓风(2016年飓风马修),本研究还分析了连续极端事件对援助集中结果的作用,并发现在飓风马修之后成功实现援助的社区在飓风佛罗伦萨之后同样成功。最后,本文强调了监测联邦恢复援助支出中潜在不平等的重要性,这可以为这些计划的潜在改进提供可行的机会。
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引用次数: 1
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Environmental Hazards-Human and Policy Dimensions
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