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An assessment of best practices of extreme weather insurance and directions for a more resilient society 评估极端天气保险的最佳做法和建立更有弹性的社会的方向
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-05-26 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2019.1608148
P. Hudson, L. T. Ruig, M. D. Ruiter, O. Kuik, W. Botzen, X. L. Den, Matilda Persson, Audrey Benoist, C. Nielsen
ABSTRACT Extreme weather resilience has been defined as being based on three pillars: resistance (the ability to lower impacts), recovery (the ability to bounce back), and adaptive capacity (the ability to learn and improve). These resilience pillars are important both before and after the occurrence of extreme weather events. Extreme weather insurance can influence these pillars of resilience depending on how particular insurance mechanisms are structured. We explore how the lessons learnt from the current best insurance practices can improve resilience to extreme weather events. We employ an extensive inventory of private property and agricultural crop insurance mechanisms to conduct a multi-criteria analysis of insurance market outcomes. We draw conclusions regarding the patterns in the best practice from six European countries to increase resilience. We suggest that requirements to buy a bundle extreme weather event insurance with general insurance packages are strengthened and supported with structures to financing losses through public-private partnerships. Moreover, support for low income households through income vouchers could be provided. Similarly, for the agricultural sector we propose moving towards comprehensive crop yield insurance linked to general agricultural subsidies. In both cases a nationally representative body can coordinate the various stakeholders into acting in concert.
极端天气恢复能力被定义为基于三个支柱:抵抗(降低影响的能力),恢复(反弹的能力)和适应能力(学习和改进的能力)。这些恢复力支柱在极端天气事件发生之前和之后都很重要。极端天气保险可以影响这些弹性支柱,这取决于特定保险机制的结构。我们将探讨从当前最佳保险实践中吸取的经验教训如何提高对极端天气事件的抵御能力。我们采用广泛的私有财产和农作物保险机制清单,对保险市场结果进行多标准分析。我们从六个欧洲国家的最佳实践模式中得出结论,以提高弹性。我们建议加强对购买极端天气事件捆绑保险和一般保险包的要求,并通过公私伙伴关系为损失融资提供结构支持。此外,可以通过收入券向低收入家庭提供支助。同样,对于农业部门,我们建议采取与一般农业补贴挂钩的综合作物产量保险。在这两种情况下,具有国家代表性的机构都可以协调各利益攸关方采取一致行动。
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引用次数: 35
Measuring social equity in flood recovery funding 衡量洪水恢复资金中的社会公平
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-05-26 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2019.1675578
C. Emrich, Eric Tate, Sarah E. Larson, Yao Zhou
ABSTRACT Deconstructing causal linkages between place attributes and disaster outcomes at coarse scales like zip codes and counties is difficult because heterogeneous socio-economic characteristics operating at finer scales are masked. However, capturing detailed disaster outcomes about individuals and households for large areas can be equally complicated. This dichotomy highlights the need for a more nuanced and empirically-driven approach to understanding financial disaster recovery support. This study assessed how social characteristics influenced federal disaster recovery support following the 2015 South Carolina floods. Ordinary linear and spatial regression models provided a mechanism for pinpointing statistically significant links between individual/compound vulnerabilities and resource distribution from four federal disaster response and recovery programmes. The study makes two unique contributions. First, exploration of how social characteristics influence recovery support is a critical, yet understudied path toward fair and equitable disaster recovery. Second, finer scale inquiry across a large impact area is rare in quantitative case studies of US disasters. While we found flood recovery assistance to be strongly associated with physical damage overall the relationship was more tenuous in places with higher social vulnerability. Results indicate that future disaster recovery programs focusing on both physical damage and social vulnerable would lead to a more equitable disaster recoveries. Findings provide new understanding of equity at the intersection of social vulnerability, impacts, and disaster recovery and showcase both best-practices and areas for programme improvements for future disasters.
在像邮政编码和县这样的粗糙尺度上解构地方属性和灾难结果之间的因果关系是困难的,因为在更精细的尺度上运行的异质社会经济特征被掩盖了。然而,在大范围内获取个人和家庭的详细灾难结果也同样复杂。这种二分法强调需要一种更细致和经验驱动的方法来理解金融灾难恢复支持。本研究评估了2015年南卡罗来纳州洪水后社会特征如何影响联邦灾难恢复支持。普通线性和空间回归模型提供了一种机制,可以精确指出个人/复合脆弱性与四个联邦救灾和恢复方案的资源分配之间在统计上的重要联系。这项研究有两个独特的贡献。首先,探索社会特征如何影响恢复支持是实现公平和公平的灾难恢复的关键,但尚未得到充分研究。其次,在美国灾害的定量案例研究中,很少对大范围受灾地区进行更精细的调查。虽然我们发现洪水恢复援助与物理损失密切相关,但总体而言,在社会脆弱性较高的地方,这种关系更为脆弱。结果表明,未来的灾难恢复计划将同时关注物理损失和社会弱势群体,这将导致更公平的灾难恢复。调查结果提供了对社会脆弱性、影响和灾害恢复交叉点的公平的新理解,并展示了最佳做法和未来灾害方案改进的领域。
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引用次数: 73
Approaches to state flood recovery funding in Visegrad Group Countries 维谢格拉德集团国家洪灾恢复资金的方法
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-05-26 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2019.1667749
L. Slavíková, P. Raška, K. Banasik, Marton Barta, A. Kis, S. Kohnová, P. Matczak, J. Szolgay
ABSTRACT Flood recovery is an important period in the flood risk management cycle. Recently, flood recovery has become viewed as an opportunity for future flood damage mitigation. Financial flows to cover flood damages and rules regarding their allocation are crucial for supporting or undermining mitigation efforts. In this paper, we map and compare state flood recovery funding in the so-called Visegrad Group Countries (V4), i.e. Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia, over the past 30 years of their democratic history. We apply a qualitative comparative approach to identify differences and similarities in risk sharing and state flood recovery funding approaches among these countries. Additionally, we reveal how risk sharing is addressed by existing flood recovery funding schemes. The results indicate that national governments have a low willingness to institutionalise ex-ante compensation schemes. Ad hoc instruments initiated shortly after disastrous flooding usually do not provide incentives to reduce future flood damages.
洪水恢复是洪水风险管理周期中的一个重要阶段。最近,洪水恢复已被视为未来减轻洪水损害的一个机会。用于支付洪水损失的资金流动及其分配规则对于支持或破坏减灾工作至关重要。在本文中,我们绘制并比较了所谓的维谢格拉德集团国家(V4),即捷克、匈牙利、波兰和斯洛伐克在过去30年民主历史中的国家洪水恢复资金。我们采用定性比较方法来确定这些国家在风险分担和国家洪水恢复资助方法方面的差异和相似之处。此外,我们还揭示了现有的洪水恢复资金计划如何解决风险分担问题。结果表明,国家政府将事前补偿机制制度化的意愿较低。灾难性洪水发生后不久启动的特别措施通常不会提供减少未来洪水损害的激励措施。
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引用次数: 12
Financial schemes for resilient flood recovery 韧性洪水恢复的财政计划
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-05-20 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2019.1703624
L. Slavíková, T. Hartmann, T. Thaler
ABSTRACT Options for the increase of flood resilience during the recovery phase is, to a large extent, overlooked. The special issue Financial Schemes for Resilient Flood Recovery investigates how the implementation of financial schemes (government relief subsidies, insurance schemes, buy-outs, etc.) might increase flood resilience. Five papers address following questions: Shall government relief subsidies exist when there is flood insurance in place, and, if so, how might they both be coordinated? Where (or how) to decide about build back better incentives and where to go for planned relocation programs? What is the distributional equity of financial schemes for flood recovery, and has it been sufficiently treated?
在很大程度上,在恢复阶段增加洪水恢复力的选择被忽视了。特刊《抗洪重建财政计划》探讨如何实施财政计划(政府救济津贴、保险计划、收购计划等),以提高抗洪能力。五篇论文探讨了以下问题:在有洪水保险的情况下,政府是否应该存在救济补贴?如果存在,如何协调两者?在哪里(或如何)决定建立更好的激励机制,以及计划中的搬迁计划在哪里进行?洪水恢复财政计划的分配公平是什么?它是否得到了充分的处理?
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引用次数: 6
The perceived impact of the Covid-19 epidemic: evidence from a sample of 4807 SMEs in Sichuan Province, China 新冠肺炎疫情的感知影响:来自中国四川省4807家中小企业样本的证据
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-05-12 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2020.1763902
Yi Lu, Jing Wu, J. Peng, Li Lu
ABSTRACT The outbreak of the coronavirus disease (Covid-19) in January 2020 in Wuhan has had a significant impact on the Chinese economy, and especially on the small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). In February 2020 an online questionnaire and follow-up interviews were conducted on 4807 SMEs in Sichuan to assess the challenges associated with work resumption and the associated policy requirements. It was found that most SMEs were unable to resume work because of a shortage of epidemic mitigation materials, the inability of employees to return to work, disrupted supply chains, and reduced market demand. Many SMEs were also facing cash flow risks as they had to continue to pay for various fixed expenditures even though they had little or no revenue. As these delays in work resumption have put unprecedented pressures on the survival of many SMEs, recommendations relevant to China and other affected countries regarding cash flow relief, work resumption and consumption stimulation are given to assist SME survival and economic recovery from the disaster situation.
2020年1月,新型冠状病毒病(Covid-19)在武汉爆发,对中国经济,特别是中小企业产生了重大影响。2020年2月,我们对四川省4807家中小企业进行了在线问卷调查和随访访谈,以评估复工面临的挑战和相关政策要求。调查发现,由于缓解疫情的物资短缺、雇员无法返回工作岗位、供应链中断以及市场需求减少,大多数中小企业无法复工。许多中小企业也面临现金流风险,因为即使他们很少或没有收入,他们也必须继续支付各种固定支出。由于这些复工延误给许多中小企业的生存带来了前所未有的压力,本文提出了与中国和其他受灾国家有关的现金流救济、复工和刺激消费的建议,以帮助中小企业生存和从灾害中恢复经济。
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引用次数: 203
Diffusion patterns in disaster-induced internet public opinion: based on a Sina Weibo online discussion about the ‘Liangshan fire’ in China 灾害引发的网络舆论扩散模式——基于新浪微博上关于“凉山大火”的讨论
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-05-06 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2020.1758608
Yunqiang Liu, Jia-ling Zhu, Xiaoyu Shao, Naveen C. Adusumilli, F. Wang
ABSTRACT On April 30, 2019, a forest fire broke out in Liangshan Prefecture that resulted in the deaths of 27 firefighters and four local officials, which sparked a heated debate on the Weibo social media site. Therefore, this case was chosen to examine the evolution of disaster-induced public internet opinion in China to reduce the possibility of ‘secondary harm’ to victims and the risk of panic, and to promote administrative transparency. Life cycle theory, social network analysis, and crawler technology were applied to examine the public online discussion, from which it was found that: female contributors were more likely to share information and feelings on social media than males; people in coastal areas contributed more to the conversations than people from the central and western regions; opinion leaders with significant influence played guiding roles in the discussion; and influential users in various fields, and especially internet celebrities and fan leaders, affected the speed of the information dissemination. From the results, some practical recommendations were developed: social media could be used to retrieve valuable information to help determine disaster damage and plan disaster relief, and government agencies need to strengthen their interactions with the general population, rather than only providing one-way communication.
2019年4月30日,凉山州发生森林火灾,造成27名消防员和4名当地官员死亡,在微博上引发热议。因此,我们选择这个案例来考察中国由灾害引起的公众网络舆论的演变,以减少对受害者的“二次伤害”和恐慌的风险,并促进行政透明度。应用生命周期理论、社会网络分析和爬虫技术对公众网络讨论进行分析,发现女性撰稿人比男性更倾向于在社交媒体上分享信息和感受;沿海地区的人对对话的贡献大于中西部地区的人;具有显著影响力的意见领袖在讨论中起引导作用;而各领域有影响力的用户,尤其是网红和粉丝领袖,影响了信息传播的速度。根据研究结果,提出了一些切实可行的建议:社交媒体可以用来检索有价值的信息,以帮助确定灾害损害和规划救灾,政府机构需要加强与普通民众的互动,而不仅仅是提供单向的沟通。
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引用次数: 9
Effectiveness of flood early warning system from the perspective of experts and three affected communities in urban areas of Pakistan 从巴基斯坦城市地区专家和三个受影响社区的角度看洪水预警系统的有效性
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-04-10 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2020.1751031
I. Rana, S. Bhatti, A. Jamshed
ABSTRACT Pakistan has faced frequent flash and riverine flooding in the recent decades. This study evaluates the effectiveness of flood EWS from the perspectives of local experts/institutions and communities. Interviews and consultations with the local experts (13 officials from government and other concerned departments) were carried out to understand the institutional challenges in communicating early warnings, whereas three flood-prone communities from different-sized cities (Rawalpindi, Sialkot and Muzaffargarh) were surveyed. A total of 210 samples were collected through household questionnaire surveys to assess their understanding of the local warning system. The analysis revealed that almost half of the community respondents did not receive a warning last time when the flood occurred. Variations were also observed regarding the main source of early warning in the three communities. This study identifies institutional challenges, such as lack of (1) resources to keep an EWS equipment operational; (2) community trust; and (3) proper guidelines to communicate warnings. The study calls for an immediate revision of strategies to communicate early warnings to the end-users and to incorporate their feedback in designing/redesigning the early warning mechanisms.
近几十年来,巴基斯坦面临着频繁的山洪和河流洪水。本研究从当地专家/机构和社区的角度评估洪水预警系统的有效性。与当地专家(来自政府和其他相关部门的13名官员)进行了访谈和磋商,以了解沟通早期预警的体制挑战,同时对来自不同规模城市(拉瓦尔品第、锡亚尔科特和穆扎法尔加尔)的三个洪水易发社区进行了调查。通过家庭问卷调查共收集了210个样本,以评估他们对当地预警系统的了解程度。分析显示,近一半的社区受访者在上次洪水发生时没有收到警告。三个社区的主要预警来源也存在差异。本研究确定了制度上的挑战,例如缺乏(1)保持EWS设备运行的资源;(2)社会信任;(3)适当的警示沟通指南。这项研究要求立即修订战略,以便向最终用户通报早期预警,并在设计/重新设计早期预警机制时纳入他们的反馈。
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引用次数: 14
Environmental hazard and health risks associated with slaughterhouses in Ibadan, Nigeria 尼日利亚伊巴丹与屠宰场有关的环境危害和健康风险
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2020.1747382
O. T. Dada, B. Odufuwa, A. Badiora, H. Agbabiaka, N. O. Ogunseye, Omoniyi Sunday Samuel
ABSTRACT Activities in slaughterhouses result in complex multidimensional health risks and environmental pollution due to the high levels of organic waste produced that directly and indirectly can affect the health of residents living in the vicinity through the pollution of surface and underground waters as well as reduced air qualities. This research examined the environmental hazard and health risk associated with slaughterhouses in Ibadan, Nigeria. Data for the research was collected across the four seasons from 570 respondents in neighborhoods located within 300, 600 and 900 meters of the selected slaughterhouses. The research revealed a distance decay effect on the perception of the environmental hazards and health risks associated with the activities in the slaughterhouses. The research further established a statistically significant variation in health risks experienced in the different seasons of the year. The health risks experienced in the dry seasons differ significantly from the rainy seasons. The perceived environmental hazards associated with the activities of the slaughterhouses also varied across the seasons of the year. As a result of these findings it is clear that public education programmes, tighter regulation and strict enforcement should be mounted to mitigate the hazards and risks of poorly managed slaughterhouses.
屠宰场的活动导致了复杂的多维健康风险和环境污染,因为产生的大量有机废物可以通过污染地表水和地下水以及降低空气质量直接或间接地影响附近居民的健康。本研究调查了尼日利亚伊巴丹与屠宰场有关的环境危害和健康风险。该研究的数据是在四个季节从位于选定屠宰场300、600和900米范围内的社区的570名受访者中收集的。该研究揭示了距离衰减效应对与屠宰场活动有关的环境危害和健康风险的认知。该研究进一步证实,在一年中的不同季节,健康风险在统计上存在显著差异。旱季面临的健康风险与雨季有很大不同。人们对与屠宰场活动有关的环境危害的认识在一年中的各个季节也各不相同。根据这些调查结果,显然应该实施公共教育计划,加强监管和严格执法,以减轻管理不善的屠宰场的危害和风险。
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引用次数: 6
Post-disaster trust in Japan: the social impact of the experiences and perceived risks of natural hazards 日本灾后信任:自然灾害经验与感知风险的社会影响
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-03-14 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2019.1664380
Juheon Lee
ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to examine the social impact of natural hazards in Japanese society. Using the Japanese General Social Survey, this study examines how citizens’ previous experiences and perceived risks of disasters are associated with their levels of four different forms of trust: in-group, out-group, generalised, and political trust. Furthermore, as the survey was conducted a year after the devastating Triple Disaster in 2011, the study examines the residents of the Tohoku region, who were the primary victims of the Triple Disaster. The results of this study suggest that the disaster experience is positively associated with trust: Japanese citizens with disaster experience had higher levels of in-group and out-group trust than those without disaster experience, and Tohoku residents showed higher levels of out-group, generalised, and political trust than the residents of other regions. Contrarily, citizens’ perceived risks of disaster showed negative relationships with trust: the Japanese citizens who perceived higher risks of disasters had lower levels of out-group, generalised, and political trust. However, the negative effects of the perceived risks of disasters significantly reduced among Tohoku residents.
摘要本研究旨在探讨自然灾害对日本社会的影响。利用日本综合社会调查,本研究考察了公民以前的经历和对灾害风险的感知与他们四种不同形式的信任水平之间的关系:群体内信任、群体外信任、普遍信任和政治信任。此外,由于该调查是在2011年毁灭性的三重灾难一年后进行的,该研究调查了东北地区的居民,他们是三重灾难的主要受害者。本研究结果显示,灾害经历与信任呈正相关:有灾难经历的日本公民的群体内信任和群体外信任水平高于没有灾难经历的日本公民,东北地区居民的群体外信任、一般信任和政治信任水平高于其他地区的居民。相反,公民感知到的灾害风险与信任呈负相关关系:感知到较高灾害风险的日本公民的群体外信任、一般信任和政治信任水平较低。然而,在东北居民中,灾害风险的负面影响显著减少。
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引用次数: 12
Development of a Spatial Decision Support System (SDSS) for the active forest-urban fires management through location planning of mobile fire units 基于机动消防单元位置规划的城市森林火灾管理空间决策支持系统的开发
IF 4 3区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2020-03-14 DOI: 10.1080/17477891.2019.1628696
S. Sakellariou, F. Samara, S. Tampekis, A. Sfougaris, O. Christopoulou
ABSTRACT Critical time of response constitutes the foundation for effective and timely forest fires management. It is the milestone for strategic and operational fire planning. Aim of the paper is the development of a Spatial Decision Support System (SDSS) adopting a top-down approach for the immediate containment of forest and urban fires. The objectives lie in the coupling of strategic and operational nature of fire management, so that the proposed model to be used for real-time purposes. The strategic dimension focus on the location-allocation of fire vehicles to establish effective location schemes adjusted to population dynamics (Wildland Urban Interface). Four spatial patterns of optimal locations were developed based on ideal and realistic critical time of response as well as the current and desired capacity of fire agency. The operational dimension supports the strategic planning objectives through a series of additional sub-models for a second phase optimization (activating and leading the nearest fire vehicle(s) to the affected area through the determination of optimal route; and/or the rerouting in case of road closure due to evolving fires). Therefore, the current SDSS handles the forest and urban fires management in a more comprehensive way, creating an effective link between strategic and operational level.
关键响应时间是森林火灾有效及时管理的基础。它是战略和作战火力规划的里程碑。本文的目的是开发一个空间决策支持系统(SDSS),采用自上而下的方法来立即遏制森林和城市火灾。目标在于将火灾管理的战略性质和作战性质结合起来,使所提出的模型用于实时目的。战略维度侧重于消防车的位置分配,以建立适应人口动态的有效位置方案(荒地城市界面)。基于理想和现实的临界响应时间以及消防机构的现有和期望能力,建立了四种最优位置的空间格局。操作维度通过第二阶段优化的一系列附加子模型来支持战略规划目标(通过确定最佳路线激活并引导最近的消防车到达受影响区域);和/或由于不断演变的火灾而导致道路封闭的改道)。因此,目前的SDSS更全面地处理了森林和城市火灾管理,在战略和业务层面之间建立了有效的联系。
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引用次数: 12
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Environmental Hazards-Human and Policy Dimensions
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