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Effects of Fiscal Policy on Financial Bank Intermediation Quality in WAEMU Countries WAEMU国家财政政策对金融银行中介质量的影响
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-02-15 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70002
Ouabou Nabié, Mahamadou Diarra

The study assesses the effects of fiscal policy on the financial bank quality intermediation in the WAEMU. To do so, the effects of the government securities ratio and the tax pressure rate on the NPL ratio are examined separately. The study uses panel data from WAEMU countries over the period 1990–2021 and ARDL modelling by the PMG estimator for basics estimates and the GM-FMOLS estimator for robustness. The public securities ratio improves the financial bank quality intermediation up to the maximum threshold of 47.5% of GDP. The tax pressure rate contributes to increasing the NPL ratio up to the maximum threshold of 17.06%. These results imply that a reform of banking regulation should encourage banks to hold a significant proportion of public securities, without crowding out the private sector. They also call on governments to implement measures to stimulate economic activity to absorb fiscal pressure. The study contributes to the literature and empirical effects of fiscal policy on the financial bank quality intermediation in the WAEMU while serving as a decision-making tool for governments and banking authorities in the management of NPLs in their lending activities and development.

本研究评估了财政政策对东亚货币联盟金融银行质量中介的影响。为此,我们分别考察了政府证券比率和税收压力率对不良贷款率的影响。该研究使用了来自WAEMU国家1990-2021年的面板数据,并使用了ARDL模型,其中PMG估计器用于基本估计,GM-FMOLS估计器用于鲁棒性估计。公共证券比率提高了金融银行质量中介的最高门槛,达到GDP的47.5%。税收压力率有助于将不良贷款率提高到17.06%的最高门槛。这些结果表明,银行业监管改革应鼓励银行持有相当比例的公共证券,同时不排挤私人部门。他们还呼吁各国政府采取措施刺激经济活动,以消化财政压力。该研究有助于研究财政政策对东亚货币联盟金融银行质量中介的文献和实证影响,同时为政府和银行当局在其贷款活动和发展中管理不良贷款提供决策工具。
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引用次数: 0
Inclusion Financière Digitale et Croissance Economique dans L'espace UEMOA: Rôle de la Qualité des Institutions UEMOA地区数字普惠金融与经济增长:机构质量的作用
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-02-12 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70004
Gbêtondji Melaine Armel Nonvide, Charles Yédéhou Faton, Marlyse Sandrine S. Togodo Azon
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引用次数: 0
‘Learning to Export’ and ‘Learning By Exporting’: Revisiting the Relationship Between Innovation and Exports in African Firms “学习出口”和“通过出口学习”:重新审视非洲企业创新与出口之间的关系
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-02-12 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70001
Elvis Korku Avenyo, Fiona Tregenna

This article examines the relationship between innovation and export performance for African firms. We estimate a censored Tobit IV simultaneous model with selection, using a cross-sectional data set from the World Bank's Enterprise Surveys for 28 African economies. The results show a two-way positive relationship between innovation and export performance in African firms: innovation is important for both the ability to export (export propensity) and for export intensity, while exporting also increases the likelihood of innovating. These effects are driven mainly by direct exports and apply to both product and process innovations. The positive two-way relationship is strengthened through two key mechanisms: a higher share of foreign ownership in firms, and firms having an internationally recognised quality certification. We argue that these results point to a two-way relationship in which innovation enables firms to ‘learn to export’, while firms also ‘learn by exporting’. We discuss the implications of these findings for African firms and policymakers.

本文考察了创新与非洲企业出口绩效之间的关系。我们使用来自世界银行对28个非洲经济体的企业调查的横截面数据集,估计了带有选择的删减Tobit IV同步模型。结果表明,创新与出口绩效之间存在双向正相关关系:创新对出口能力(出口倾向)和出口强度都很重要,而出口也增加了创新的可能性。这些影响主要由直接出口驱动,适用于产品和工艺创新。积极的双向关系通过两个关键机制得到加强:公司中较高的外资所有权份额,以及拥有国际认可的质量认证的公司。我们认为,这些结果指出了一种双向关系,即创新使企业“学会出口”,同时企业也“通过出口学习”。我们讨论了这些发现对非洲公司和政策制定者的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign Inflows, Governance and Health Outcomes in Nigeria 尼日利亚的外资流入、治理和卫生成果
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-02-12 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70000
Aderoju Oyefusi, Obianuju O. Nnadozie

Foreign financial inflows to Nigeria have risen in the last two decades. Currently, the country receives over one-third of remittance flows to sub-Saharan Africa and is one of Africa's top recipients of foreign aid with the health sector being a major target. Despite the substantial foreign inflows, health outcomes in Nigeria have not remarkably improved. This raises important questions about the effectiveness of foreign inflows in achieving better health outcomes in Nigeria. This article examines the effects of foreign inflows on health outcomes utilising different components of foreign inflows—aid and remittance. It also investigates the role of governance in the foreign inflows-health outcomes nexus using time series data from Nigeria covering the period 1984–2021. Results from the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model suggest that health aid has a limited impact on health outcomes, while remittance has been ineffective in driving improvements in health outcomes. Other factors, such as growth in real income per person, reduction in the emission of pollutants, such as carbon dioxide and improvements in governance, appear to be critical for improving health outcomes in the country.

在过去20年里,流入尼日利亚的外国资金有所增加。目前,该国接收了撒哈拉以南非洲三分之一以上的汇款流量,是非洲最大的外援受援国之一,卫生部门是一个主要目标。尽管有大量外国资金流入,尼日利亚的保健结果并没有显著改善。这就对外国资金流入在尼日利亚实现更好的卫生成果方面的有效性提出了重要问题。本文利用外国流入的不同组成部分——援助和汇款——考察外国流入对卫生成果的影响。本报告还利用尼日利亚1984-2021年期间的时间序列数据,调查了治理在外国资金流入与卫生成果关系中的作用。自回归分布式滞后(ARDL)模型的结果表明,卫生援助对健康结果的影响有限,而汇款在推动健康结果的改善方面一直无效。其他因素,如人均实际收入的增长、二氧化碳等污染物排放的减少和治理的改善,似乎对改善该国的健康结果至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Perception of Democracy and Women's Desire to Emigrate: Evidence From Sub-Saharan Africa 民主观念与妇女移民意愿:来自撒哈拉以南非洲的证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-02-12 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70003
Sem I-dé Dringa, Nadege Ngah Otabela, Patrick Marie Nga Ndjobo

Perceptions of democracy remain an important determinant of people's migration choices in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Using cross-sectional data on 42,224 individuals, 21,137 of whom were women, from 31 Sub-Saharan African countries, this study examines the effect of women's perceptions of democracy on their desire to emigrate. The seemingly unrelated (SUR) bivariate probit method was used to analyze the data. This approach is used to deal with the potential endogeneity bias that arises when the dependent variable and the independent variable of interest are both endogenous and binary. The main finding of this study is that the more positive women's perceptions of democracy are, the less likely they are to want to emigrate. However, young women, educated women, and women who have experienced gender discrimination are more likely to want to emigrate. Consequently, Sub-Saharan African countries need to strengthen the democratization process by ensuring the effective independence of democratic institutions, the separation of powers, and the protection of human rights. This would encourage women to remain in their countries of origin and contribute to a better understanding of the political sources of migration.

对民主的看法仍然是撒哈拉以南非洲人民移民选择的重要决定因素。这项研究使用了来自31个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的42224个人的横断面数据,其中21137人是女性,研究了女性对民主的看法对她们移民意愿的影响。采用看似不相关(SUR)二元概率法对数据进行分析。这种方法用于处理潜在的内生性偏差,当感兴趣的因变量和自变量都是内生的和二元的。这项研究的主要发现是,女性对民主的看法越积极,她们想移民的可能性就越小。然而,年轻女性、受过教育的女性和经历过性别歧视的女性更有可能想要移民。因此,撒哈拉以南非洲国家需要通过确保民主机构的有效独立、权力分立和保护人权来加强民主化进程。这将鼓励妇女留在原籍国,并有助于更好地了解移徙的政治根源。
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引用次数: 0
Issue Information - Author Guidelines 发行信息-作者指南
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-01-14 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12790
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Russia–Ukraine Conflict on African Economies: An Introduction 俄乌冲突对非洲经济的影响:导论
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12791
John C. Anyanwu, Adeleke O. Salami
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引用次数: 0
Issue Information - Author Guidelines 发行信息-作者指南
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12694
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引用次数: 0
Effect of Trade Facilitation on Economic Complexity in Selected African Countries 贸易便利化对部分非洲国家经济复杂性的影响
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12786
Moukaila Mouzamilou Takpara, Constant Fouopi Djiogap, Manfred Kouty, Bouraïma Sawadogo

Recent research on international trade suggests that economic development and growth occur as countries gain knowledge and learn to produce and export more sophisticated products. This study examines the effect of trade facilitation on economic complexity in selected African countries over the period 2004–2017. It uses four indicators of trade facilitation capturing physical infrastructure, information, and communication technology (ICT), business, and regulatory environment as well as border, and transport efficiency. The empirical analysis using ordinary least square, and the two-stage least square estimators shows that effective trade facilitation reform targeted particularly at improving ICT as well as border, and transport efficiency enhances economic complexity. The results remain consistent when an alternative estimation strategy is used. These findings offer scope for a reminder that reforms aimed at simplifying border procedures should be implemented and accelerated in African countries.

最近关于国际贸易的研究表明,经济发展和增长发生在各国获得知识并学会生产和出口更复杂的产品的时候。本研究考察了2004-2017年期间选定非洲国家的贸易便利化对经济复杂性的影响。该报告使用了贸易便利化的四个指标,包括有形基础设施、信息和通信技术、商业和监管环境以及边境和运输效率。使用普通最小二乘和两阶段最小二乘估计量进行的实证分析表明,有效的贸易便利化改革,特别是以提高信息通信技术、边境和运输效率为目标,提高了经济复杂性。当使用另一种评估策略时,结果保持一致。这些发现提醒我们,应在非洲国家实施和加速旨在简化边境程序的改革。
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引用次数: 0
Appreciation to Article Reviewers 感谢文章审稿人
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.12788
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引用次数: 0
期刊
African Development Review-Revue Africaine De Developpement
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