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Determinants of International Capital Inflows to Sub-Saharan Africa: The Role of Digitalization and National Governance 国际资本流入撒哈拉以南非洲的决定因素:数字化和国家治理的作用
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70034
Sana Slimani, Anis Omri, Abdessalem Abbassi

As digitization and national governance are widely recognized for access to external finance, this article examines the combined effects of digitization, in particular information and communication technologies (ICTs) diffusion in terms of access, skills, and use, and the quality of governance on international capital flows (foreign direct investment [FDI] and remittances) in 41 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. Using the Generalized Method of Moments, the study demonstrates that stronger political and institutional governance is associated with higher FDI and remittances. Moreover, improved access to, skills in, and use of ICT contribute to increased FDI and remittances. The effectiveness of political and institutional governance mechanisms in attracting FDI is further enhanced when they are accompanied by increased use of and access to ICT. Similarly, the positive impact of good political governance on remittances is reinforced by improved access to ICT. Overall, the results underline that as ICT becomes more widely used in SSA countries, improving governance quality and digital development capacity can generate a synergistic effect that attracts higher volumes of FDI and remittances to these economies.

由于数字化和国家治理在获得外部融资方面得到广泛认可,本文考察了41个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的数字化,特别是信息通信技术(ict)在获取、技能和使用方面的扩散,以及治理质量对国际资本流动(外国直接投资[FDI]和汇款)的综合影响。利用广义矩量法,研究表明,更强的政治和制度治理与更高的外国直接投资和汇款有关。此外,信息通信技术获取、技能和使用的改善有助于增加外国直接投资和汇款。政治和体制治理机制在吸引外国直接投资方面的有效性,如果同时增加对信息和通信技术的使用和获取,将进一步得到加强。同样,良好的政治治理对汇款的积极影响也因信息通信技术的改善而得到加强。总体而言,研究结果强调,随着信息通信技术在SSA国家得到更广泛的应用,提高治理质量和数字发展能力可以产生协同效应,为这些经济体吸引更多的外国直接投资和汇款。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign Aid and Social, Economic, and Environmental Sustainability in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does Colonial Power Matter? 撒哈拉以南非洲的外援与社会、经济和环境可持续性:殖民势力重要吗?
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70032
Richard O. Ojike, Nkechinyere R. Uwajumogu, Joseph I. Amuka, Marius Ikpe, Joseph C. Odionye, Emeka Atuma, George Okagu

Despite receiving a significant amount of foreign aid, the economies of the Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries are characterized by a high unemployment rate, poor health status, and high levels of poverty. Based on the above background, this study examined the impact of foreign aid on the three pillars of sustainable development (social, economic, and environmental). The influence of colonial power on the effectiveness of foreign aid was also considered. The study covered 36 SSA countries for the period 2006–2021 and utilized the two-step system GMM for the analysis. The study found that foreign aid has a significant positive impact on social and environmental sustainability, but a significant negative effect on economic sustainability. It indicates the need for increased aid flow to the social and environmental sectors. The study also found that the United Kingdom and other colonial powers have a significant positive influence on the foreign aid-sustainable development nexus, while France as a colonial power exhibited a negative influence. It implies that France's aid to SSA is not for a genuine purpose. The study recommends policies that will attract more foreign aid to the social and environmental sectors, as well as mandatory scrutiny of all aid agencies to identify genuine ones.

尽管接受了大量外援,但撒哈拉以南非洲国家经济的特点是失业率高、健康状况差和贫困程度高。基于上述背景,本研究考察了外援对可持续发展三大支柱(社会、经济和环境)的影响。同时也考虑了殖民势力对对外援助效果的影响。该研究涵盖了2006-2021年期间36个SSA国家,并使用两步GMM系统进行分析。研究发现,外援对社会和环境可持续性有显著的正向影响,但对经济可持续性有显著的负向影响。它表明需要增加对社会和环境部门的援助。研究还发现,联合王国和其他殖民大国对外援与可持续发展的关系具有显著的积极影响,而法国作为殖民大国则表现出消极影响。这意味着法国对SSA的援助并非出于真正的目的。该研究建议制定政策,吸引更多的外国援助进入社会和环境部门,并对所有援助机构进行强制性审查,以识别真正的援助机构。
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引用次数: 0
Les Inadéquations Horizontale Et Verticale Affectent-Elles La Rémunération Des Travailleurs Au Cameroun? Les Résultats Des Modèles À Variables Instrumentales Par L'approche Fonction Contrôle 横向和纵向不匹配是否影响喀麦隆工人的薪酬?控制功能方法的仪器变量模型结果
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70031
Joseph Dabo Doubla, Valère Amassangka Haman Haman, Constant Tchaltouang

L'objectif de cet article est d'analyser l'incidence des inadéquations horizontale et verticale sur la rémunération des travailleurs au Cameroun. L'analyse s'appuie sur des données transversales issues de la troisième Enquête sur l'Emploi et le Secteur Informel (EESI 2021), réalisée par l'Institut National de la Statistique du Cameroun. Afin de corriger les biais d'endogénéité potentiels liés à l'inadéquation éducation-emploi, nous employons la méthode de Double Moindres Carrés Ordinaires à variables instrumentales (IV-2SLS) par l'approche fonction contrôle. Les principaux résultats révèlent que l'inadéquation éducation-emploi réduit significativement la rémunération sur le marché du travail, avec une pénalité salariale plus prononcée pour l'inadéquation horizontale que pour l'inadéquation verticale. Par ailleurs, ces inadéquations réduisent davantage la rémunération des travailleurs en contrat à durée déterminée (CDD) que celle des travailleurs en contrat à durée indéterminée (CDI). L'analyse sectorielle montre que les travailleurs du secteur privé subissent une pénalité plus élevée par rapport à ceux du secteur public. Enfin, les hommes apparaissent plus pénalisés que les femmes par ces inadéquations. Ces résultats recommandent une révision des curricula éducatifs pour y intégrer des compétences transversales mieux adaptées aux besoins du marché du travail, ainsi qu'un renforcement des politiques actives d'emploi afin d'optimiser l'appariement entre l'offre et la demande de travail.

本文的目的是分析横向和纵向不匹配对喀麦隆工人工资的影响。该分析基于喀麦隆国家统计研究所进行的第三次就业和非正式部门调查(EESI 2021)的横向数据。为了纠正与教育-就业不匹配相关的潜在内生偏见,我们使用了双最小正方法(IV-2SLS)和函数控制方法。主要结果表明,教育和就业的不匹配显著降低了劳动力市场的薪酬,水平不匹配的薪酬惩罚要高于垂直不匹配的薪酬惩罚。此外,这些不足对固定期限合同(DDC)工人的薪酬的影响大于对无固定期限合同(DDC)工人的影响。行业分析表明,私营部门的工人比公共部门的工人面临更高的惩罚。最后,男性似乎比女性更容易受到这些缺陷的影响。这些结果建议修订教育课程,纳入更适合劳动力市场需求的横向技能,并加强积极的就业政策,以优化劳动力供需匹配。
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引用次数: 0
Tax Transition Impact on Fiscal Balance in WAEMU Countries: A Difference-in-Difference Approach 货币联盟国家税收过渡对财政平衡的影响:一种差中差的方法
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70026
Vigninou Gammadigbe

West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) initiated a tax transition program in 2006 to substitute trade taxes with domestic taxes. This paper assesses the impact of this tax reform on WAEMU countries' fiscal balance and total revenues, using difference-in-difference methods. The results showed that the tax transition effect on the structural fiscal balance is marginal. Despite the presence of hard-to-tax sectors such as the informal and agricultural sectors, the reform has had a positive impact on tax revenues. This effect is permanent and grows stronger over time. To enhance the effectiveness of the program, the paper suggests to modernize tax administrations in WAEMU countries, to develop digital tools for domestic revenue collection and design policies to reduce the size of the informal sector. Furthermore, for the other Regional Economic Communities and African countries, the results show that fiscal transition could be an effective tool to counter the decline in border tax revenues linked to the implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area.

西非经济与货币联盟(WAEMU)于2006年启动了一项税收过渡计划,以国内税收代替贸易税。本文采用差中差法评估了这一税制改革对东亚货币联盟成员国财政平衡和总收入的影响。结果表明,税收转移对结构性财政平衡的影响是边际的。尽管存在诸如非正规部门和农业部门等难以征税的部门,但改革对税收收入产生了积极影响。这种效果是永久性的,而且随着时间的推移会越来越强。为了提高该计划的有效性,本文建议在西非货币联盟国家实现税收管理的现代化,开发国内税收的数字化工具,并制定政策以缩小非正规部门的规模。此外,对于其他区域经济共同体和非洲国家,研究结果表明,财政转型可能是一种有效的工具,以抵消与实施非洲大陆自由贸易区有关的边境税收收入下降。
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引用次数: 0
Appreciation to Article Reviewers 感谢文章审稿人
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70030
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引用次数: 0
Résilience de la croissance économique en contexte pandémique des pays d'Afrique subsaharienne: Une explication par les mesures de lutte contre la COVID-19 撒哈拉以南非洲国家在大流行背景下的经济增长弹性:COVID-19应对措施的解释
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70028
Aristide Merlin Ngono, Emmanuel Bruno Ongo Nkoa, Marc-Hubert Depret

Cette étude évalue l'impact des mesures de lutte contre la COVID-19 sur la résilience de la croissance économique en Afrique subsaharienne à partir des données du Fond Monétaire international et de l'Oxford COVID-19 Suivi des réponses gouvernementales. Utilisant un échantillon de 45 pays d'Afrique subsaharienne, nous avons élaboré deux indices un indice de résistance au choc et un indice de reprise post-COVID. Ces indices, ajustés quotidiennement, ont servi pour les estimations économétriques basées sur le modèle N-SIRD estimé avec la méthode des moindres carrés ordinaires et les moindres carrés généralisés. Les résultats montrent que certaines mesures (restrictions sur les rassemblements, quarantaines, allègement de la dette, contrôle des voyages) ont favorisé la reprise économique, tandis que d'autres (confinement strict, fermeture des écoles et des lieux de travail) ont freiné cette dynamique. L’étude propose une nouvelle échelle de résilience à l'intention des décideurs afin de mieux orienter les politiques économiques en période de crise. En enrichissant la littérature sur la résilience économique en Afrique subsaharienne, cette étude fournit des perspectives utiles pour la gestion des futures crises pandémiques en soulignant l'importance d'une coordination efficace entre politiques sanitaires et économiques pour préserver la stabilité économique d'ensemble.

本研究利用国际货币基金组织和牛津大学的《COVID-19监测政府应对措施》数据,评估了COVID-19措施对撒哈拉以南非洲经济增长弹性的影响。利用撒哈拉以南非洲45个国家的样本,我们开发了两个指数,一个是抗冲击指数,另一个是COVID - 19后复苏指数。这些指数,每天调整,用于基于N-SIRD模型的计量经济学估计,使用最小二乘法和广义最小二乘法估计。结果表明,一些措施(集会限制、隔离、债务减免、旅行控制)促进了经济复苏,而另一些措施(严格封锁、学校和工作场所关闭)则阻碍了复苏。该研究为决策者提出了一种新的弹性规模,以便在危机时期更好地指导经济政策。这项研究丰富了关于撒哈拉以南非洲经济复原力的文献,通过强调有效的经济和卫生政策协调对维护整体经济稳定的重要性,为管理未来的大流行病危机提供了有用的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Women on Corporate Boards and Their Influence on Firm Performance in Nigeria: Evidence From Panel Data Analysis 尼日利亚公司董事会女性成员及其对公司绩效的影响:来自面板数据分析的证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-08-29 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70029
Benjamin Ighodalo Ehikioya, Alexander Ehimare Omankhanlen, Ada Mac-Ozigbo, Lawrence Uchenna Okoye, Daniel Ebakoleaneh Ufua

There have been concerns about the impact gender inequality and board composition could have on the performance of firms, especially in emerging economies. Effective board composition is an essential factor in modern organisations. Thus, this study examines whether female inclusion in company boards impacts the performance of publicly traded firms in Nigeria from 2013 to 2022. The study employed data from firms trading on the Nigerian Exchange Group from 2013 to 2022, the Fixed Effects model for analysis and two-stage least squares for robustness checks. The empirical findings show that female inclusion in corporate boards positively impacts firm performance in Nigeria. The study also explores board experience and age diversity to address the issue of cognitive as well as demographic diversity. The impact of female inclusion in corporate boards is significant when the directors have experience in board matters and possess a minimum of a bachelor's degree or comparable professional qualifications. After addressing the likelihood of endogeneity problems associated with governance variables, the results from the robustness checks remain the same. The findings imply that firms should promote board gender diversity as well as engage experienced and educated female directors in board-related matters to enhance good governance and firm performance.

人们一直担心性别不平等和董事会构成可能对公司业绩产生影响,尤其是在新兴经济体。有效的董事会构成是现代组织的一个重要因素。因此,本研究考察了2013年至2022年尼日利亚公司董事会中女性的加入是否会影响上市公司的业绩。该研究使用了2013年至2022年在尼日利亚交易所集团交易的公司的数据,使用固定效应模型进行分析,并使用两阶段最小二乘法进行稳健性检查。实证研究结果表明,尼日利亚公司董事会中女性的加入对公司绩效有积极影响。该研究还探讨了董事会经验和年龄多样性,以解决认知和人口多样性的问题。当董事具有董事会事务经验并拥有至少学士学位或类似的专业资格时,女性加入公司董事会的影响是显著的。在解决了与治理变量相关的内生性问题的可能性之后,鲁棒性检查的结果保持不变。研究结果表明,公司应促进董事会性别多样性,并让经验丰富、受过良好教育的女性董事参与董事会相关事务,以加强良好治理和公司绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Free Movement of Persons and Cross-Border Trade in Southern African Development Community (SADC): The Zimbabwean Example 南部非洲发展共同体(南共体)人员自由流动和跨境贸易:津巴布韦的例子
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-08-23 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70027
Rejoice Rumbidzai Musakaruka, Yaya Deome Hamadjoda Lefe, Epo Boniface Ngah

This study investigated the effects of the free movement of persons on cross-border trade in the Southern African Development Community (SADC), using Zimbabwe as the case study. Adopting an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model on data from 1990 to 2021, findings reveal that (a) free movement of persons, both in terms of the SADC's protocol and the volume of the actual movement of persons, has a statistically significant short-run negative and long-run positive impact on cross border trade in Zimbabwe; and (b) governance quality, financial access, gross savings and net inflows of foreign direct investment have a statistically significant short-run negative and long-run positive influence on cross-border trade in Zimbabwe within the SADC region. Policy-wise, the Zimbabwean government and the SADC region should strengthen their commitment to the SADC's free movement of persons protocol and abolish regulatory and customs procedures limiting cross-border trade.

本研究以津巴布韦为案例,调查了人员自由流动对南部非洲发展共同体(SADC)跨境贸易的影响。对1990年至2021年的数据采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,研究结果表明:(a)人员的自由流动,无论是在南部非洲发展共同体的协议方面还是在实际人员流动的数量方面,对津巴布韦的跨境贸易具有统计上显着的短期负面影响和长期积极影响;(b)治理质量、融资渠道、储蓄总额和外国直接投资净流入对南部非洲发展共同体区域内津巴布韦的跨境贸易具有统计上显著的短期负面影响和长期积极影响。在政策方面,津巴布韦政府和南部非洲发展共同体地区应加强对南部非洲发展共同体人员自由流动议定书的承诺,取消限制跨境贸易的监管和海关程序。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Online Activism on Civic Engagement in Sub-Saharan Africa 网络行动主义对撒哈拉以南非洲公民参与的影响
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70025
Tchapo Gbandi, Yawo Agbényégan Noglo, Komivi Afawubo, Kwami Ossadzifo Wonyra, Victor Nyatefe

Social media has witnessed a significant surge over the past decade as a platform for diverse interactions across various domains, including politics and religion. However, the effects of social media in Africa remain underexplored. This paper analysed the impact of online political and religious activism on the civic engagement of social media users in seven sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. We examined the propensity for civic engagement of netizens, which encompasses their inclination to vote and volunteer. Using impact analysis methods and data from the Household and individual information and communication technologies' access and usage survey 2017–2018, the results show that political and religious engagement on social media does not influence netizens' propensity to vote. As for the propensity to volunteer, only online political engagement matters. In sum, our findings indicate that although online engagement can create a sense of participation, only political activism translates into concrete civic actions (i.e., volunteering). Policymakers should bridge digital participation with offline civic engagement by promoting civic education, formalising online opinion leaders and advancing e-government to boost transparency and trust. Our results also show that male and youth netizens with political interest are most likely to volunteer. These results reveal that social media alone is insufficient to challenge real-life norms in SSA countries.

在过去的十年里,社交媒体见证了一个显著的激增,它是一个跨越各个领域(包括政治和宗教)的多样化互动平台。然而,社交媒体在非洲的影响仍未得到充分探索。本文分析了七个撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家的网络政治和宗教激进主义对社交媒体用户公民参与的影响。我们研究了网民的公民参与倾向,包括他们投票和志愿的倾向。使用影响分析方法和来自2017-2018年家庭和个人信息通信技术访问和使用调查的数据,结果表明社交媒体上的政治和宗教参与并不影响网民的投票倾向。至于志愿者的倾向,只有在线政治参与才有意义。总之,我们的研究结果表明,尽管在线参与可以创造一种参与感,但只有政治活动才能转化为具体的公民行动(即志愿服务)。政策制定者应该通过促进公民教育、使在线意见领袖正规化和推进电子政务以提高透明度和信任,架起数字参与与线下公民参与的桥梁。我们的研究结果还显示,对政治感兴趣的男性和青年网民最有可能成为志愿者。这些结果表明,社交媒体本身不足以挑战SSA国家的现实生活规范。
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引用次数: 0
Does Agricultural Foreign Direct Investment Boost the Human Development in Sub-Saharan Africa? 农业对外直接投资是否促进了撒哈拉以南非洲地区的人类发展?
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-08-04 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8268.70024
Edwin Mumah, Yangfen Chen, Yu Hong

The welfare of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is pivotal for achieving the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), with the agricultural sector playing a vital role. Many SSA nations increasingly rely on agricultural foreign direct investment (AFDI) to enhance agricultural development and welfare. However, the impact of AFDI on welfare remains controversial and poorly understood. This study employs panel data and moments quantile regression to examine AFDI's effect across 45 SSA countries from 1990 to 2022. Results indicate a significant positive effect on the Human Development Index (HDI) as the welfare indicator, with a one-unit rise in AFDI linked to a 0.002%−0.008% increase in HDI. When the HDI is decomposed into income, education, and life expectancy, a one-unit increase in AFDI correlates with increased income levels ($0.001) and life expectancy (0.002 years). Further analysis identifies a threshold of $5.77 million of AFDI beyond which its positive impact on HDI declines. Findings suggest that sustained and consistent AFDI enhances sustainable development and overall welfare in the SSA.

撒哈拉以南非洲地区(SSA)的福利对于实现联合国可持续发展目标(sdg)至关重要,农业部门发挥着至关重要的作用。许多SSA国家越来越依赖农业外国直接投资(AFDI)来促进农业发展和福利。然而,AFDI对福利的影响仍然存在争议,人们对其知之甚少。本研究采用面板数据和矩分位数回归来检验1990年至2022年45个SSA国家的AFDI效果。结果表明,作为福利指标的人类发展指数(HDI)有显著的积极影响,AFDI每增加一个单位,HDI就会增加0.002% - 0.008%。当人类发展指数被分解成收入、教育和预期寿命时,AFDI每增加一个单位,收入水平(0.001美元)和预期寿命(0.002年)就会增加。进一步分析确定了一个577万美元的阈值,超过这个阈值,其对人类发展指数的积极影响就会下降。研究结果表明,持续和一致的AFDI促进了SSA的可持续发展和整体福利。
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引用次数: 0
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African Development Review-Revue Africaine De Developpement
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