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Internet Penetration and Human Capital Development in Africa 非洲互联网普及率与人力资本发展
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02234-y
Jean-Claude Kouladoum

This study investigates the effect of internet penetration on human capital development in 48 African countries between the periods of 1980 to 2019. The two-step system GMM strategy is adopted to address the potential endogeneity. The findings show that the level of human capital development is ameliorated by growth in information and communication technologies specifically by internet penetration. Internet penetration is measured by individuals using internet and the subscription rate of fixed broadband. These findings remain consistent in both the low- and the middle-income African countries, irrespective of their technology infrastructure levels. From the findings of our study, we suggest that much investment should be made in both the communication and technology infrastructures and in the educational and the health sectors so as to enhance the level of human capital development. Investments in human capital are encouraged by channeling more funds to the educational and health departments to boost the continent’s productivity.

本研究探讨了 1980 年至 2019 年期间互联网渗透率对 48 个非洲国家人力资本发展的影响。采用两步系统 GMM 策略来解决潜在的内生性问题。研究结果表明,人力资本发展水平因信息和通信技术的增长,特别是互联网渗透率的增长而得到改善。互联网渗透率是通过使用互联网的个人和固定宽带的订阅率来衡量的。无论技术基础设施水平如何,这些研究结果在非洲低收入国家和中等收入国家都是一致的。根据我们的研究结果,我们建议在通信和技术基础设施以及教育和卫生部门进行大量投资,以提高人力资本发展水平。鼓励对人力资本进行投资,向教育和卫生部门提供更多资金,以提高非洲大陆的生产力。
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引用次数: 0
Nonlinearities in the Intellectual Property-Manufacturing Growth Nexus in the Post-TRIPS Era: Evidence from a Dynamic Panel Analysis 后《与贸易有关的知识产权协议》时代知识产权与制造业增长关系的非线性:动态面板分析的证据
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02235-x
Vincent Jerald R. Ramos, Sarah Lynne S. Daway-Ducanes

Discussions around the importance of intellectual property (IP) intensified at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic as countries raced to secure IP-protected goods (e.g., vaccines and medical equipment) necessary to respond quickly and adequately to the threat of the virus’ spread. Building on the growing strand of the literature that reexamines IP’s effect on an array of social and economic outcomes, this paper examines the relationship between quantitative (patents and trademarks) and qualitative (IP protection) measures of IP, on the one hand, and manufacturing growth, on the other hand, accounting for the presence of nonlinearities. Using a two-step system generalized method of moments (SGMM) approach on a panel dataset of 81 countries spanning the post-1995 TRIPS Agreement period, our estimates show that these alternative measures of IP have differential and nonlinear effects on manufacturing growth. In particular, patents have a positive significant marginal effect on manufacturing growth past a minimum scale, whereas trademarks do not have a significant effect. In contrast, stronger IPR protection has a positive effect only up to a critical level of IPR protection, implying that “too much” IPR protection can stifle growth-inducing competing innovation. The paper concludes with a brief discussion on the mechanisms through which IP may contribute to manufacturing growth, and on some policies, which may help realize this potential. Broadly, this paper speaks to academic and policy discussions surrounding optimal IP enforcement and the benefits and consequences of IP.

在 COVID-19 大流行的高峰期,围绕知识产权(IP)重要性的讨论愈演愈烈,因为各国都在争先恐后地获取受知识产权保护的物品(如疫苗和医疗设备),以快速、充分地应对病毒传播的威胁。越来越多的文献重新审视了知识产权对一系列社会和经济成果的影响,本文以这些文献为基础,研究了知识产权的定量(专利和商标)和定性(知识产权保护)措施与制造业增长之间的关系,并考虑了非线性因素的存在。我们对 1995 年后的《与贸易有关的知识产权协议》期间 81 个国家的面板数据集采用了两步系统广义矩法(SGMM)方法,我们的估计结果表明,这些知识产权替代措施对制造业增长具有不同的非线性影响。特别是,专利对超过最低规模的制造业增长具有积极而显著的边际效应,而商标则没有显著效应。相比之下,更强的知识产权保护只有在达到临界知识产权保护水平时才会产生积极影响,这意味着 "过多 "的知识产权保护会扼杀促进增长的竞争性创新。本文最后简要讨论了知识产权促进制造业增长的机制,以及有助于实现这一潜力的一些政策。从广义上讲,本文是对围绕知识产权的最佳实施以及知识产权的益处和后果展开的学术和政策讨论的回应。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental Degradation and Financial Development Nexus in BRICS PLUS Countries: Do Financial Development Drivers Make a Difference? 金砖国家(PLUS)的环境退化与金融发展关系:金融发展驱动因素会产生影响吗?
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02266-4
Dhouha Dridi, Radhouane Hasni, Montassar KahiA

The BRICS group is striving to create a new economic and financial paradigm, thereby heightening the importance of financial issues among its members. This group has recently expanded to include new members, some of whom are among the top ten producers of fossil fuels, while others are densely populated. As a result, the BRICS nations face increased challenges and responsibilities regarding environmental degradation. Given this context, it is crucial to evaluate the influence of financial development and its main drivers on environmental outcomes. To achieve this, we have categorized the financial development drivers into three groups: economic, institutional, and productivity-related factors. We then explored how financial development interacts with environmental degradation, with a particular focus on the role of these drivers as effective moderators within the expanded BRICS group. Our analysis uses the cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) methodology for a period spanning from 2000 to 2021. The empirical results show that in all cases, the interaction between financial development and its drivers reduces CO2 emissions. This interaction benefits from the direct negative effect of financial development. For instance, the interaction between economic growth or capital formation and financial development improves environmental quality, reversing the initially positive direct effect of these factors on emissions. Moreover, for other factors—such as trade openness, government expenditure, control of corruption, human development, and technological innovation—their interaction with financial development creates a synergy that enhances their initially positive direct effect on emission reduction, except for trade openness, which initially had no significant effect. Based on our empirical findings, we have formulated several policy recommendations to address these issues.

Graphical Abstract

Direct and indirect effects of financial development on CO2 emissions for BRICS PLUS countries in the long run.

金砖国家集团正在努力创造一种新的经济和金融模式,从而提高了其成员对金融问题的重视程度。金砖国家集团最近又增加了新成员,其中一些是十大化石燃料生产国,另一些则人口稠密。因此,金砖国家在环境退化方面面临着更多的挑战和责任。在此背景下,评估金融发展及其主要驱动因素对环境结果的影响至关重要。为此,我们将金融发展驱动因素分为三类:经济、制度和生产力相关因素。然后,我们探讨了金融发展与环境退化之间的互动关系,并特别关注了这些驱动因素在扩大的金砖国家集团中的有效调节作用。我们的分析采用了横截面自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)方法,时间跨度为 2000 年至 2021 年。实证结果表明,在所有情况下,金融发展及其驱动因素之间的相互作用都会减少二氧化碳排放量。这种相互作用得益于金融发展的直接负效应。例如,经济增长或资本形成与金融发展之间的相互作用改善了环境质量,逆转了这些因素最初对排放的直接正效应。此外,对于其他因素,如贸易开放度、政府支出、腐败控制、人类发展和技术创新,它们与金融发展的互动产生了协同效应,增强了它们最初对减排的直接正效应,但贸易开放度除外,因为它最初没有显著效应。基于我们的实证研究结果,我们提出了解决这些问题的若干政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating Green Economy Studies Using a Bibliometric Analysis 利用文献计量分析调查绿色经济研究
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02237-9
Keerti Manisha, Inderpal Singh

In recent years, the number of studies on sustainable development has increased dramatically. The green economy has been positioned as a focus for future research due to the rapid growth of sustainable development studies. A green economy improves living standards and conserves and promotes the subtle utilization of natural resources. Although the concept of the green economy is continuously growing, there remains a gap in the focused research on its evolution and the conceptual landscape. In this context, a worldwide bibliometric analysis and visualization of green economy publications have been carried out to identify recent trends and hotspots using VOSviewer 1.6.10 software. A Web of Science (WoS) keyword search on “green economy” yielded 409 documents between 2002 and 2022. The documents were analyzed in terms of year of publication, countries, institutions, keywords, journals, co-authorship, and co-citations. It was revealed that there has been tremendous growth in green economy research from 2014 to 2019, with 158 published documents. Peoples R China is the forerunner and the most significant contributor to published documents, while India stands in 23rd place. Further, the most common research areas identified are green economy, transition, and energy. Although tourism is a critical driver of green transformation to facilitate global green growth, it is one of the least explored fields. India has a considerable scope for conducting green economy research through collaborations. After that, there was an investigation on a comparative understanding of the two main camps, mainstream and heterodox, toward a comprehensive analysis of sustainable development. This study recognized that limitations and biases are integral to the research approach. Finally, the policy implications of bibliometric analysis on international coalition on the green economy and suggestions on scientific reproduction.

近年来,有关可持续发展的研究数量急剧增加。由于可持续发展研究的快速增长,绿色经济已被定位为未来研究的重点。绿色经济可以提高生活水平,保护和促进自然资源的巧妙利用。尽管绿色经济的概念在不断发展,但对其演变和概念景观的重点研究仍然存在空白。为此,我们使用 VOSviewer 1.6.10 软件对全球范围内的绿色经济出版物进行了文献计量分析和可视化,以确定最新趋势和热点。以 "绿色经济 "为关键词进行科学网(WoS)搜索,在 2002 年至 2022 年期间共搜索到 409 篇文献。我们从发表年份、国家、机构、关键词、期刊、共同作者和共同引用等方面对这些文献进行了分析。结果显示,从2014年到2019年,绿色经济研究有了巨大的发展,共发表了158篇文献。中国是先行者,也是发表文献最多的国家,而印度则排在第 23 位。此外,最常见的研究领域是绿色经济、转型和能源。虽然旅游业是推动全球绿色增长的绿色转型的关键驱动力,但却是探索最少的领域之一。印度在通过合作开展绿色经济研究方面有相当大的空间。随后,对主流和非正统两大阵营进行了调查,以便对可持续发展进行全面分析。这项研究认识到,局限性和偏见是研究方法的组成部分。最后,对绿色经济国际联盟的文献计量分析的政策影响以及关于科学再生产的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating the Global Knowledge Economy: Temporal Effects of Regulatory Environment and FDI on Sustainable Development in Asia–Pacific 驾驭全球知识经济:监管环境和外国直接投资对亚太地区可持续发展的时间影响
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02299-9
Mohd Nadeem Bhat, Adeeba Beg, Firdos Ikram

In the knowledge economy, sustainable development is an important topic of discussion among policymakers and researchers. Existing literature provides a scant view of sustainable development, and the dual effect of global investment and the institutional system of the countries is largely overlooked. This study investigates the immediate and long-term impacts of foreign direct investment (FDI) and institutional factors on four Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in the Asia–Pacific region over a span of 23 years (2000–2022). Utilizing panel data from 29 countries, we examine the relationship between FDI and SDG2, 5, 12, and 15 while considering moderating effects of control of corruption and government effectiveness. Results from the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models reveal significant influences of FDI and institutional factors on SDGs, particularly in the long run. FDI positively affects SDG2 (Zero hunger) and SDG5 (Gender equality) while exhibiting a negative impact on SDG12 (Responsible production and consumption). Finally, the SDG15 (Life on land) is also positively affected by FDI. Moreover, institutional indicators such as control of corruption (COC), government effectiveness (GE), and regulatory quality significantly contribute to SDG achievement, with notable moderation effects of COC and GE on the FDI-SDG nexus. Pairwise panel causality test highlights different forms of causality among the variables, highlighting the complex interplay between FDI, institutional factors, and SDGs. Overall, our findings emphasize the importance of FDI and effective institutional frameworks in advancing sustainable development objectives, particularly in addressing issues of food security, gender equality, and responsible production and consumption in the Asia–Pacific region.

在知识经济时代,可持续发展是决策者和研究人员讨论的一个重要话题。现有文献对可持续发展的论述较少,全球投资和国家制度体系的双重影响在很大程度上被忽视。本研究探讨了 23 年间(2000-2022 年)外国直接投资(FDI)和制度因素对亚太地区四个可持续发展目标(SDGs)的直接和长期影响。利用来自 29 个国家的面板数据,我们研究了外国直接投资与可持续发展目标 2、5、12 和 15 之间的关系,同时考虑了腐败控制和政府效率的调节作用。自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型的结果显示,外国直接投资和制度因素对可持续发展目标有显著影响,尤其是在长期。外国直接投资对可持续发展目标 2(零饥饿)和可持续发展目标 5(性别平等)产生积极影响,而对可持续发展目标 12(负责任的生产和消费)产生消极影响。最后,可持续发展目标 15(土地上的生活)也受到外国直接投资的积极影响。此外,腐败控制(COC)、政府效率(GE)和监管质量等制度指标也对可持续发展目标的实现有显著促进作用,其中腐败控制和政府效率对外国直接投资与可持续发展目标之间的关系有明显的调节作用。配对面板因果检验突出了变量之间不同形式的因果关系,凸显了外国直接投资、制度因素和可持续发展目标之间复杂的相互作用。总之,我们的研究结果强调了外国直接投资和有效的制度框架在推进可持续发展目标方面的重要性,尤其是在解决亚太地区的粮食安全、性别平等以及负责任的生产和消费问题方面。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating Supply Chain Resilience in the Knowledge Economy: Insights from Digital Technologies and Organizational Information Processing 在知识经济中驾驭供应链复原力:数字技术和组织信息处理的启示
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02289-x
Yang Han

This study investigates the role of supply chain resilience in the knowledge economy, focusing on the impact of digital technologies and organizational information processing theory (OIPT) in managing supply chain disruptions. The research employs a mixed-methods approach, combining a survey of 200 supply chain professionals and in-depth interviews with experts in the field. The results indicate that organizations with higher information processing capacity can better anticipate and respond to supply chain disruptions, recovering 20% faster than their counterparts. Additionally, digital technologies such as blockchain, additive manufacturing, artificial intelligence, and the Internet of Things (IoT) significantly enhance supply chain resilience by improving information processing, reducing lead times, and increasing flexibility. The study also highlights the importance of effective collaboration and communication among supply chain stakeholders in managing disruptions and enhancing resilience. The findings contribute to the literature on supply chain resilience, digital technologies, and OIPT, providing practical recommendations for organizations seeking to improve their supply chain resilience in the knowledge economy.

本研究调查了供应链复原力在知识经济中的作用,重点关注数字技术和组织信息处理理论(OIPT)在管理供应链中断方面的影响。研究采用了混合方法,将对 200 名供应链专业人士的调查和对该领域专家的深入访谈结合起来。结果表明,信息处理能力较强的组织能更好地预测和应对供应链中断,其恢复速度比同行快 20%。此外,区块链、增材制造、人工智能和物联网(IoT)等数字技术通过改善信息处理、缩短交付周期和提高灵活性,大大增强了供应链的恢复能力。研究还强调了供应链利益相关者之间的有效合作与沟通在管理中断和提高复原力方面的重要性。研究结果为有关供应链复原力、数字技术和 OIPT 的文献做出了贡献,为寻求在知识经济时代提高供应链复原力的组织提供了实用建议。
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引用次数: 0
Empowering the Global Tourism Workforce: How Digital Transformation Influences HR Development 增强全球旅游从业人员的能力:数字化转型如何影响人力资源发展
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02292-2
Xihong Han

This study examines digital empowerment’s influence on human resources (HR) development in the global tourism industry. It is argued that digital tools and policies have become indispensable in the tourism industry, impacting job responsibilities and operational effectiveness. The study utilizes a quantitative methodology, employing surveys with standardized questions administered to tourism industry professionals. The survey examines the availability of online learning options, the accessibility of digital resources and regulations, and how these elements impact the implementation of progressive HR strategies. The key findings indicate that possessing digital skills, having access to pertinent resources, and participating in the formation of digital policies all substantially impact employee engagement and the advancement of innovative HR practices. Yet, the study emphasizes that merely adopting digital tools does not inherently result in enhanced HR practices. The recommendations highlight the significance of continuous investments in digital skills training for individuals working in the tourism industry. Furthermore, it is emphasized that cultivating a culture that promotes active involvement in shaping digital policies and ensuring that educational curriculums align with industry requirements are essential for attaining sustainable growth and innovation in global tourism human resources.

本研究探讨了数字赋权对全球旅游业人力资源(HR)发展的影响。研究认为,数字化工具和政策已成为旅游业不可或缺的工具,对工作职责和运营效率产生了影响。本研究采用定量方法,对旅游业专业人士进行标准化问题调查。调查研究了在线学习选项的可用性、数字资源和法规的可获取性,以及这些因素如何影响渐进式人力资源战略的实施。主要研究结果表明,掌握数字技能、获取相关资源以及参与数字政策的制定,都会对员工的参与度和创新人力资源实践的推进产生重大影响。然而,研究强调,仅仅采用数字化工具并不能从本质上加强人力资源实践。研究建议强调了对旅游业从业人员的数字化技能培训进行持续投资的重要性。此外,研究还强调,培养一种促进积极参与制定数字政策的文化,确保教育课程与行业要求相一致,对于实现全球旅游业人力资源的可持续增长和创新至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
The Influence of Leadership Strategies and Social Capital on the Business Performance and Resilience of Indonesian MSMEs 领导策略和社会资本对印尼中小微企业经营业绩和抗风险能力的影响
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02254-8
Reniati Reniati, Badrun Susantyo, Nyi R. Irmayani, Fadillah Sabri, Widiastuti Widiastuti

This study aims to study how leadership strategies and business capital influence the performance and resilience of Micro, Small, and Medium-sized Enterprises (MSMEs) in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province, Indonesia, particularly in dealing with rapid financial fluctuations in 2023. The goal is to offer valuable insights for managing MSMEs effectively. This study used quantitative research to collect primary data from 101 MSMEs with valid business licenses in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province, Indonesia. It employed the partial least squares (PLS) analysis method, covering measurements and structural models. A leader’s management style does not directly affect how well a business can handle challenges, and having good business connections does not make a big difference. However, certain aspects of a leader’s plan can improve the business’s overall performance. Surprisingly, the business’s current performance does not strongly impact its ability to handle tough situations, and it does not change how a leader’s management style and connections influence this resilience. These findings help us understand how these factors interact in small businesses in the province. This study demonstrates the connections between leadership strategies, social capital, business performance, and resilience in a specific location. Small business leaders in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province can utilize this research to enhance their strategies. Improved resilience among MSMEs can contribute to the economic strength and growth of the local community in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province. This study is unique because it looks closely at one particular place and how leadership, social capital, business performance, and resilience are all connected in small businesses. The results help manage these businesses, especially when dealing with the challenges of fast-changing finances in 2023.

本研究旨在探讨领导战略和商业资本如何影响印度尼西亚邦加勿里洞群岛省微型、小型和中型企业(MSMEs)的绩效和应变能力,尤其是在 2023 年应对快速金融波动时。目的是为有效管理中小微企业提供有价值的见解。本研究采用定量研究方法,从印尼邦加勿里洞群岛省 101 家持有有效营业执照的中小微企业收集原始数据。研究采用了偏最小二乘法(PLS)分析方法,涵盖了测量模型和结构模型。领导者的管理风格并不会直接影响企业应对挑战的能力,拥有良好的商业关系也不会产生很大的影响。但是,领导者计划的某些方面可以提高企业的整体绩效。令人惊讶的是,企业当前的业绩并不会对其应对严峻形势的能力产生很大影响,也不会改变领导者的管理风格和人脉对这种应变能力的影响。这些发现有助于我们了解这些因素在我省小型企业中是如何相互作用的。本研究展示了特定地区领导战略、社会资本、企业绩效和抗逆力之间的联系。邦加勿里洞群岛省的小企业领导者可以利用这项研究来加强他们的战略。提高中小微企业的抗灾能力可以促进班卡岛省当地社区的经济实力和增长。这项研究的独特之处在于,它密切关注了一个特定的地方,以及领导力、社会资本、企业绩效和复原力如何在小型企业中相互联系。研究结果有助于管理这些企业,尤其是在 2023 年应对快速变化的财务挑战时。
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引用次数: 0
Evolution of Management Research in Greece: A Comparative Analysis of 2014–2018 and 2019–2023 Trends 希腊管理研究的演变:2014-2018 年和 2019-2023 年趋势比较分析
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02293-1
Thomas Krabokoukis, Dimitrios Kantianis

This research investigates the evolution of research topics in the field of management in Greece, analyzing the period 2014–2023 and comparing the periods 2014–2018 and 2019–2023. Employing co-occurrence analysis on a substantial corpus of keywords, distinctive thematic clusters were identified for each period, reflecting shifts and patterns in research interests. In the 2014–2018 period, five clusters emerged, focusing on management practices, environmental sustainability, methodology and quality, strategic decision-making, and innovation. In contrast, the 2019–2023 period revealed four clusters emphasizing strategic decision-making in Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs), sustainable practices and risk management, crisis response, innovation, and quality management. Common themes such as Sustainability and Knowledge Management persisted across both periods, signifying enduring research interests. This study contributes insights into the dynamic landscape of management research in Greece over these distinct timeframes.

本研究调查了希腊管理领域研究课题的演变情况,分析了 2014-2023 年期间的情况,并比较了 2014-2018 年和 2019-2023 年期间的情况。通过对大量关键词进行共现分析,确定了每个时期的独特主题集群,反映了研究兴趣的转变和模式。在 2014-2018 年期间,出现了五个专题组,分别侧重于管理实践、环境可持续性、方法与质量、战略决策和创新。相比之下,2019-2023 年期间则出现了四个集群,分别强调中小型企业(SMEs)的战略决策、可持续实践和风险管理、危机应对、创新和质量管理。可持续发展和知识管理等共同主题在这两个时期都持续存在,表明了持久的研究兴趣。本研究有助于深入了解希腊在这些不同时期的管理研究动态。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Oil and Gas Production Amidst Geopolitical Risk in OPEC: Insights from Method of Moments Quantile Regression 欧佩克地缘政治风险下油价冲击对油气生产的影响:矩量回归法的启示
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02296-y
Md. Saiful Islam, Faroque Ahmed, Md. Monirul Islam, Anis ur Rehman, Md. Fakhre Alam

The livelihoods of individuals in the contemporary era are primarily contingent upon the accessibility and affordability of natural energy sources. Among these, oil and gas are paramount as foundational resources that contribute to the modernization of lifestyles. However, the accessibility and affordability of these indispensable commodities can be disrupted by global oil price shocks and geopolitical tensions. Considering this, we employ the “method of moments quantile regression,” the panel “augmented mean group,” and GMM-style PVAR granger non-causality test approaches to investigate the impact of decomposed oil price shocks on OPEC’s oil and gas production in the presence of geopolitical risk during the period from January 2013 to October 2023. Our findings indicate that oil price risk shocks harm OPEC countries’ oil and gas production with lower production capacity. Additionally, geopolitical risk hampers the gas production of these countries. Conversely, countries with higher production capacity experience an intensification in oil and gas production due to increased oil price demand shock. Furthermore, oil price risk shock has a Granger-causal effect on oil and gas production. This article provides policy implications for OPEC countries, highlighting the need to address the challenges of oil price shocks and geopolitical risk to ensure stable and sustainable oil and gas production.

当代人的生计主要取决于自然能源的可获得性和可负担性。其中,石油和天然气是最重要的基础资源,有助于生活方式的现代化。然而,这些不可或缺的商品的可获取性和可负担性可能会受到全球石油价格冲击和地缘政治紧张局势的影响。有鉴于此,我们采用 "矩量回归法"、面板 "增强均值组 "和 GMM 型 PVAR 格兰杰非因果检验方法,研究了 2013 年 1 月至 2023 年 10 月期间,在地缘政治风险存在的情况下,分解的石油价格冲击对欧佩克石油和天然气生产的影响。我们的研究结果表明,石油价格风险冲击会损害欧佩克国家的石油和天然气生产,降低其生产能力。此外,地缘政治风险也阻碍了这些国家的天然气生产。相反,生产能力较高的国家则会因石油价格需求冲击的增加而加强石油和天然气生产。此外,油价风险冲击对石油和天然气生产具有格兰杰因果效应。本文为欧佩克国家提供了政策启示,强调了应对石油价格冲击和地缘政治风险挑战的必要性,以确保稳定和可持续的石油和天然气生产。
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Journal of the Knowledge Economy
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