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Assessing the Impact of Digital Economy Programs on Alleviating Skill Shortages in the EU Labor Market for Digital Professionals 评估数字经济计划对缓解欧盟劳动力市场数字专业人才技能短缺的影响
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02202-6
Zhanna A. Aksenova, Sergey N. Yashin, Olga M. Markova, Alexandra A. Chudaeva, Patimat R. Alieva

The shortage of digital specialists is a pressing issue in the labor market of the European Union (EU). Despite large-scale measures to train specialists, there is a significant gap between the demand and supply of digital specialists. This shortage affects various industries, including IT, software development, cybersecurity, and data analytics, and hinders growth and innovation in the EU digital economy. This work aims to evaluate the effectiveness of existing EU initiatives related to the digital economy in training digital specialists and alleviating the shortage of these specialists in the European labor market. Priority in the study is given to such EU initiatives as the Digital Single Market (DSM) and Digital Skills and Jobs Coalition (DSJC). To achieve this goal, the work uses the “difference-in-differences” method to compare the growth rates of IT specialists in the EU and other European countries. The results show that the growth rate of the number of digital specialists in EU countries is much higher. The article also examines the relationship between the growth rate of the share of digital specialists among the working population and the indicator of the lack of IT skills in different countries. Regression analysis revealed a positive correlation between high growth rates and a higher level of skills shortage in different countries. In addition, using Pearson’s chi-squared methods and Welch’s t-test, the work shows that in the EU countries, there is a higher level of shortage of digital specialists in all studied IT skills compared to other developed countries in Europe and the world. In general, the results of this work indicate that although programs related to the digital economy have proved effective in attracting and training digital specialists in the EU, the shortage of qualified workers remains a critical challenge. Therefore, further efforts are needed to address this challenge and ensure the growth and innovation of the digital economy in the EU.

数字专家短缺是欧盟劳动力市场的一个紧迫问题。尽管采取了大规模的专家培训措施,但数字专家的供需之间仍存在巨大差距。这种短缺影响了各行各业,包括信息技术、软件开发、网络安全和数据分析,阻碍了欧盟数字经济的增长和创新。这项工作旨在评估欧盟现有的数字经济相关倡议在培训数字专家和缓解欧洲劳动力市场数字专家短缺方面的有效性。研究的重点是数字单一市场(DSM)和数字技能与就业联盟(DSJC)等欧盟倡议。为实现这一目标,研究采用了 "差分法 "来比较欧盟和其他欧洲国家 IT 专家的增长率。结果显示,欧盟国家数字专家人数的增长率要高得多。文章还研究了数字专家在工作人口中所占比例的增长率与不同国家缺乏信息技术技能指标之间的关系。回归分析表明,不同国家的高增长率与更高水平的技能短缺之间存在正相关。此外,利用皮尔逊卡方方法和韦尔奇 t 检验,研究结果表明,与欧洲和世界其他发达国家相比,欧盟国家在所有研究的信息技术技能方面的数字专家短缺程度较高。总之,这项工作的结果表明,虽然与数字经济相关的计划在吸引和培训欧盟数字专家方面被证明是有效的,但合格工人的短缺仍然是一个严峻的挑战。因此,需要进一步努力应对这一挑战,确保欧盟数字经济的增长和创新。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of ICT on Energy Consumption: Investigating the Roles of ICT Dimensions, Economic Development, and Energy Sources Across Low-, Middle-, and High-Income Countries 信息和通信技术对能源消耗的影响:调查低收入、中等收入和高收入国家中信息与传播技术层面、经济发展和能源来源的作用
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02232-0
Kizito Uyi Ehigiamusoe, Suresh Ramakrishnan, Abdul Rahim Ridzuan, Naila Erum, Daouia Chebab

This study provides insights into three issues regarding the nexus between information and communication technology (ICT) and energy consumption. First, what are the impacts of different dimensions of ICT development (i.e., fixed telephone subscriptions, mobile cellular subscriptions, fixed broadband subscriptions, and internet usage) on energy consumption? Second, how does ICT development influence energy consumption in nations with different levels of economic development? Third, how does ICT development affect renewable and non-renewable energy consumption? Using the generalized method of moments (GMM) on the panel data of 132 countries, this study indicates that fixed telephone subscriptions, mobile cellular subscriptions, and internet usage have positive impacts on energy consumption, while fixed broadband subscriptions have negative impacts. However, when the panel was split, the analysis reveals that mobile cellular subscriptions and internet usage positively influence energy consumption in high-income countries, while the impact is negative in low and middle-income countries. Moreover, when energy consumption was disaggregated, the analysis reveals that ICT dimensions have positive effects on renewable energy consumption, whereas ICT dimensions (except for fixed telephone subscriptions) have negative effects on non-renewable energy consumption. This study implies that ICT development is a fundamental determinant of energy consumption. Based on the empirical outcomes, this study recommends some policy options.

本研究就信息和通信技术(ICT)与能源消耗之间的关系提出了三个问题。首先,信息和通信技术发展的不同层面(即固定电话用户、移动电话用户、固定宽带用户和互联网使用)对能源消耗有何影响?第二,ICT 的发展如何影响不同经济发展水平国家的能源消耗?第三,信息和通信技术的发展如何影响可再生能源和不可再生能源的消耗?本研究使用广义矩法(GMM)对 132 个国家的面板数据进行分析,结果表明,固定电话用户、移动电话用户和互联网使用对能源消耗有积极影响,而固定宽带用户对能源消耗有消极影响。然而,如果对面板进行拆分,分析结果显示,在高收入国家,移动电话用户和互联网使用对能源消耗有积极影响,而在低收入和中等收入国家,其影响是消极的。此外,对能源消耗进行分类后,分析表明,信息和通信技术层面对可再生能源消耗有积极影响,而信息和通信技术层面(固定电话用户除外)对不可再生能源消耗有消极影响。这项研究表明,信息和通信技术的发展是能源消耗的基本决定因素。根据实证结果,本研究提出了一些政策选择建议。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the Dynamics: Corporate Governance’s Impact on Firm Performance in Vietnam’s Thriving Market Landscape 揭示动态:在越南蓬勃发展的市场格局中,公司治理对企业绩效的影响
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02271-7
Phuong Bui, Phuc Nguyen

The industrial sector plays a crucial role in propelling Vietnam’s development, emphasizing the need to analyze the connection between corporate governance frameworks and the performance of listed manufacturers. However, insufficient integration of governance components can impede the implementation of effective business development strategies, turning the governance model into a bottleneck. This study delves into the intricate interplay between board independence, board size, and gender diversity and their impact on corporate financial performance within 92 manufacturers from 2017 to 2022. We discovered that board size has a significantly positive effect on financial performance. Conversely, our empirical analysis revealed notable patterns, showing a negative correlation between board independence and gender diversity with the return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE). Our findings emphasize the need for manufacturers operating within emerging economies to cultivate a nuanced understanding of the complex challenges of navigating environments characterized by diverse political and economic frameworks. We provide theoretical insights into corporate governance and offers practical implications by highlighting the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic, such as inadequate support for diverse employees, which can harm corporate financial performance. Therefore, by shedding light on these complex relationships, our study equips stakeholders with actionable insights, including business decision-makers and policymakers within the Vietnamese corporate landscape. This empowers them to make informed decisions in the face of the ever-changing socio-economic landscape, potentially shaping the future of our business environment.

工业部门在推动越南发展方面发挥着至关重要的作用,因此有必要分析公司治理框架与上市制造商业绩之间的联系。然而,治理要素的整合不足会阻碍有效的企业发展战略的实施,使治理模式成为瓶颈。本研究深入探讨了 2017 年至 2022 年 92 家制造商中董事会独立性、董事会规模和性别多样性之间错综复杂的相互作用及其对企业财务绩效的影响。我们发现,董事会规模对财务绩效有显著的正向影响。相反,我们的实证分析揭示了显著的模式,显示出董事会独立性和性别多样性与资产回报率(ROA)和股本回报率(ROE)之间存在负相关关系。我们的研究结果表明,在新兴经济体运营的制造商需要培养对复杂挑战的细致入微的理解,以驾驭具有不同政治和经济框架特点的环境。我们对公司治理提出了理论见解,并通过强调 COVID-19 流行病的反响(如对多元化员工的支持不足)提供了实际意义,这可能会损害公司的财务业绩。因此,通过揭示这些复杂的关系,我们的研究为越南企业界的商业决策者和政策制定者等利益相关者提供了可操作的见解。这使他们能够在面对不断变化的社会经济环境时做出明智的决策,并有可能塑造我们商业环境的未来。
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引用次数: 0
Regime-Specific Spillover Effects Between Financial Stress, GCC Stock Markets, Brent Crude Oil, and the Gold Market 金融压力、海湾合作委员会股市、布伦特原油和黄金市场之间的特定区域溢出效应
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02209-z
Hayet Soltani, Mouna Boujelbène Abbes

The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate the volatility spillover between financial stress, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets, and oil and gold markets in the presence of state (regime) dynamics. We first use the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC)-GARCH model in order to study the correlation between variables. Second, the authors use a continuous wavelet decomposition technique so as to examine the interactions between financial stress, oil and GCC stock, and gold markets. Finally, the authors examine the spillover effects by estimating the Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner (BEKK)-GARCH model. The findings indicate various patterns of spillover between GCC financial stress index and oil, gold, and GCC stock market returns in high- and low-volatility regimes, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. The wavelet coherency results indicate a substantial co-movement between oil and GCC financial stress and between GCC financial stress and GCC stock markets in the periods of high volatility. BEKK-GARCH model outcomes confirm this relation and report the noteworthy bi-directional transmission of volatility between GCC financial stress and oil market for some countries (see Oman, Saudi Arabia, and UAE in the bearish state and Bahrain and Saudi Arabia under bullish state) and between oil market shocks and the GCC stock market returns, chiefly in the turmoil period. Thus, these results are important for investors aiming at managing and reducing portfolio risk. These empirical findings are of significant importance in the development of effective allocation strategies to mitigate financial stress (FSIs) prevalent in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. Moreover, they hold crucial implications for portfolio diversification, risk management, and policy formulation by shedding light on the interdependencies among various asset classes and financial markets across different market conditions.

本文旨在实证研究在存在状态(制度)动态的情况下,金融压力、海湾合作委员会(GCC)股票市场以及石油和黄金市场之间的波动溢出效应。我们首先使用动态条件相关(DCC)-GARCH 模型来研究变量之间的相关性。其次,作者使用连续小波分解技术研究了金融压力、石油和海湾合作委员会股票以及黄金市场之间的相互作用。最后,作者通过估计 Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner (BEKK)-GARCH 模型来研究溢出效应。研究结果表明,海湾合作委员会金融压力指数与石油、黄金和海湾合作委员会股票市场回报率之间在高波动率和低波动率制度下存在各种溢出效应模式,尤其是在 COVID-19 大流行期间。小波一致性结果表明,在高波动率时期,石油与海湾合作委员会金融压力之间以及海湾合作委员会金融压力与海湾合作委员会股票市场之间存在显著的共同波动。BEKK-GARCH 模型的结果证实了这一关系,并报告了海湾合作委员会金融压力与石油市场之间值得注意的双向波动传导(在一些国家,如阿曼、沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋处于熊市状态,巴林和沙特阿拉伯处于牛市状态),以及石油市场冲击与海湾合作委员会股票市场回报之间的双向传导,主要是在动荡时期。因此,这些结果对于旨在管理和降低投资组合风险的投资者非常重要。这些实证研究结果对于制定有效的分配策略以减轻海湾合作委员会(GCC)地区普遍存在的金融压力(FSIs)具有重要意义。此外,这些研究还揭示了不同市场条件下各类资产和金融市场之间的相互依存关系,对投资组合多样化、风险管理和政策制定具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Self-reported Food Waste from Households via Two Routes in Pakistan 巴基斯坦家庭通过两种途径自报食物浪费情况的评估
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02244-w
Sania Zafar, Ehsan Ullah, Syed Asif Ali Naqvi, Sofia Anwar, Bilal Hussain

Food loss and waste are consistent threats to food security which, if left unrelieved, may have serious social, economic, and environmental aftermaths. Food waste from consumers is a critical issue which influences the economy and the environment. The resolution of this study is to understand how food waste is influenced by psychological and household routine-related factors and what further research is needed. This study developed a questionnaire and collected data from the consumers in Faisalabad. We conducted data analyses in two stages. At first, the convergent validity and reliability of the measurement scales are tested by executing a preliminary confirmatory factor analysis. Secondly, two proposed models are tested by applying the Structural Equation Model. The outcomes of this study revealed that the pooled model including both psychological and routinized factors proved to be more explanatory as compared to the restricted model. The significant contribution of this study is considering the behavior of consumers which may help to ensure the implementation of food waste reduction campaigns.

粮食损失和浪费是对粮食安全的持续威胁,如果不加以解决,可能会造成严重的社会、经济和环境后果。消费者的食物浪费是一个影响经济和环境的关键问题。本研究的目的是了解心理和家庭日常相关因素对食物浪费的影响,以及需要进一步开展哪些研究。本研究编制了一份调查问卷,并收集了费萨拉巴德消费者的数据。我们分两个阶段进行了数据分析。首先,通过执行初步的确认性因素分析,检验了测量量表的收敛有效性和可靠性。其次,通过应用结构方程模型对提出的两个模型进行了检验。研究结果表明,与限制性模型相比,包含心理因素和常规化因素的集合模型更具解释力。本研究的重要贡献在于考虑了消费者的行为,这可能有助于确保减少食物浪费活动的实施。
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引用次数: 0
An Integrated SEM-ESG Framework for Understanding Consumer’s Green Technology Adoption Behavior 了解消费者绿色技术采用行为的 SEM-ESG 综合框架
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02231-1
Yasser Moustafa Shehawy, Syed Md Faisal Ali Khan, Huthayfah Madkhali

The present research investigates the complex dynamics surrounding the adoption of green information technology and environmentally favorable technology solutions through using SEM. Using a comprehensive framework, this study investigates the impact of message content, environmental attitudes, demographics, perceived utility, attitude, and efficacy, as well as the emerging role of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) awareness on behavioral intentions regarding the adoption of green technology. This methodology was applied to Saudi Arabia where there was limited investigated literature that has been researched on this context. The findings emphasize the centrality of message content and demonstrate its significant influence on intention formation. Environmental beliefs and values emerge as significant determinants, highlighting the significance of aligning technology adoption with sustainability objectives. Demographic factors impact the adoption process, but the mediating effects of perceived utility, attitude, and efficacy provide a deeper understanding. Notably, there is positive correlation between ESG awareness and attitudes toward green technology. These results have practical implications for communication and adoption strategies, providing managers and policymakers valuable insights. In an era where digital advancements intersect with environmental responsibility, they also contribute to the broader societal objective of promoting eco-friendly technology options.

本研究通过使用 SEM 调查了围绕采用绿色信息技术和环保技术解决方案的复杂动态。本研究采用一个综合框架,调查了信息内容、环境态度、人口统计学、感知效用、态度和功效的影响,以及环境、社会和治理(ESG)意识对采用绿色技术的行为意向的新兴作用。该方法适用于沙特阿拉伯,因为该国对这方面的研究文献有限。研究结果强调了信息内容的中心地位,并证明了其对意向形成的重要影响。环境信念和价值观是重要的决定因素,凸显了技术采用与可持续发展目标相一致的重要性。人口统计因素影响了采用过程,但感知效用、态度和功效的中介效应提供了更深入的理解。值得注意的是,环境、社会和治理意识与人们对绿色技术的态度之间存在正相关。这些结果对传播和采用策略具有实际意义,为管理者和决策者提供了宝贵的见解。在数字技术进步与环境责任相互交织的时代,它们也有助于实现推广生态友好型技术选择这一更广泛的社会目标。
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引用次数: 0
Chefs’ Communities of Practice for Managing Innovations in the Tourism and Hospitality Sectors 管理旅游业和酒店业创新的厨师实践社区
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-023-01616-y
Paulo Sergio Gonçalves de Oliveira, Luciano Ferreira da Silva, Sérgio Ignácio de Oliveira, Rodrigo Cunha da Silva, Mauro de Mesquita Spinola

This paper aims to verify how communities of practice influence the development of innovations in the gastronomy sector. Primary data were collected at the interval of 1 year and achieved an amount of ten interviews using an unstructured interview with an in-depth interview with renowned chefs with parallel academic careers. To collect the data, the researcher adopted a snowball method, where the interviewees were motivated to indicate another participant until the study achieves theoretical saturation. The data were analysed using grounded theory through the analysis of incidents in three cycles of coding (open, axial, and selective), which enabled the generation of data-driven and theory-driven categories. The findings showed that chefs use their communities of practice to obtain the tacit and explicit knowledge they need to innovate in their menus. This study provides as practical implications a description of how chefs deal with sharing knowledge when they are thinking about menu modifications and how they obtained the necessary tacit and explicit knowledge to innovate in their menus to keep them up to date to the competitive marketing. The study carried out presents the process of obtaining knowledge using the community of practice by chefs to innovate in their menus.

本文旨在验证实践社区如何影响美食行业的创新发展。原始数据的收集间隔为 1 年,共进行了 10 次访谈,采用的是非结构化访谈法,对同时从事学术工作的知名厨师进行了深度访谈。为了收集数据,研究人员采用了 "滚雪球 "的方法,即鼓励受访者指出另一位参与者,直到研究达到理论饱和为止。研究人员采用基础理论对数据进行了分析,通过三个编码周期(开放式、轴向和选择性)对事件进行分析,从而生成了数据驱动和理论驱动的类别。研究结果表明,厨师们利用他们的实践社区获取菜单创新所需的隐性和显性知识。这项研究的实际意义在于描述厨师在考虑修改菜单时如何处理知识共享问题,以及他们如何获得必要的隐性和显性知识来对菜单进行创新,从而使菜单跟上市场竞争的步伐。本研究介绍了厨师利用实践社区获取知识以创新菜单的过程。
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引用次数: 0
New Emerging Industries and Alternative Pathways into Global Value Chains: the Case of Estonian Automated Mobility and Delivery Industry 新兴产业和进入全球价值链的替代途径:爱沙尼亚自动移动和配送产业案例
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02236-w
Egert Juuse, Erkki Karo

Global value chains (GVC) framework provides an analytical tool to unravel development and upgrading trajectories for businesses from catching-up economies. At the same time, the catching-up literature tends to portray the upgrading in emerging economies as a gradual and linear process. Considering the digital transformation-driven trends in global value chains (GVCs) and the rise of new emerging industries, we show how small start-ups from catching-up economies can redefine the traditional pathways for entering and upgrading in GVCs. Based on three cases from the automated mobility and delivery industry in Estonia, we show how small start-up companies can achieve rapid global outreach not only via functional but also product-related, inter-sectoral, and end-market upgrading by specializing in novel niche value propositions and by building business models around digital platforms to reap the benefits from the network effects. As a result, the analysed companies have not faced established and occupied value chains, where latecomer manufacturers tend to enter, but have managed to shape and control their value chains by directing the developments on local as well as international levels, and paradoxically, without much policy support.

全球价值链(GVC)框架提供了一个分析工具,用于揭示追赶型经济体企业的发展和升级轨迹。同时,追赶型文献往往将新兴经济体的升级描述为一个渐进的线性过程。考虑到全球价值链(GVC)中由数字化转型驱动的趋势以及新兴产业的崛起,我们展示了来自追赶型经济体的小型初创企业如何重新定义进入全球价值链并实现升级的传统路径。基于爱沙尼亚自动移动和递送行业的三个案例,我们展示了小型初创公司如何通过专门从事新颖的利基价值主张,并围绕数字平台建立商业模式,从网络效应中获益,从而不仅通过功能升级,而且通过产品相关、跨行业和终端市场的升级,实现快速的全球拓展。因此,所分析的企业并没有面对后进制造商往往会进入的既定和被占领的价值链,而是通过在地方和国际层面引导发展,成功地塑造和控制了自己的价值链,而矛盾的是,这些企业并没有得到太多的政策支持。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Government Policy Consistency on Firm Innovation 政府政策一致性对企业创新的影响
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02230-2
Bui Huu Toan

This paper investigates the impact of government policy consistency on firm innovation. We utilize the information about the firm’s self-evaluation of the government policy consistency in the World Bank Enterprise Surveys only available from 2002 to 2006. Controlling for endogeneity problem, our regression results show that the effects of government policy consistency on innovation decisions are heterogeneous in terms of firms’ size and location classified by the income level and region. These findings indicate that in countries with a high prevalence of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and lower income levels, a flexible policy mix that maintains consistency while promoting adaptability is more effective in fostering firm innovation. This is particularly crucial for supporting technological advancements and responding to dynamic market conditions in these regions.

本文研究了政府政策一致性对企业创新的影响。我们利用 2002 年至 2006 年世界银行企业调查中企业对政府政策一致性的自我评价信息。在控制内生性问题的前提下,我们的回归结果表明,政府政策一致性对创新决策的影响在企业规模和所处地区(按收入水平和地区分类)方面具有异质性。这些研究结果表明,在中小型企业(SMEs)较多、收入水平较低的国家,既能保持政策一致性又能促进适应性的灵活政策组合能更有效地促进企业创新。这对于这些地区支持技术进步和应对动态市场条件尤为重要。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Investigation of Growth-Led Energy and Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypotheses in Ghana and Nigeria 加纳和尼日利亚以增长为导向的能源和环境库兹涅茨曲线假设的比较研究
IF 3.3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1007/s13132-024-02224-0
Emmanuel Nketiah, Bosede Ngozi Adeleye, Lawrence Uchenna Okoye

Although energy use is essential for growth, economic growth also spurs the need for more energy demand. Hence, this study aims to align with the goals of the 2030 Sustainable Development Agenda, which includes ensuring access to modern and reliable energy. It also seeks to increase the resilience of human settlements and cities. It fills a lacuna in the literature to comparatively investigate the energy-growth dynamics in Ghana and Nigeria from two standpoints: (1) does the growth-led energy hypothesis hold, and (2) is the inverted U-shaped environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis? Using time-series data from 1980 to 2019, the ARDL-ECM and DOLS approaches demonstrate that (1) in the long run, a change in per capita GDP leads to a significant decrease (increase) in fossil energy use in Ghana (Nigeria). In other words, the asymmetric growth-led energy hypothesis holds in both countries; (2) the inverted U-shaped EKC does not hold for Ghana but for Nigeria; and (3) domestic credit exerts a positive demand for fossil energy in both countries. These outcomes show that, through proper implementation and legislation, both countries’ governments should address environmental concerns to accomplish the SDGs within the specified timeframe. Policy recommendations were mixed.

虽然能源使用对经济增长至关重要,但经济增长也会刺激更多的能源需求。因此,本研究旨在与 2030 年可持续发展议程的目标保持一致,其中包括确保获得可靠的现代能源。它还力求提高人类住区和城市的复原力。本研究填补了文献空白,从两个角度对加纳和尼日利亚的能源增长动态进行了比较研究:(1) 增长带动能源假说是否成立,(2) 倒 U 型环境库兹涅茨曲线是否为假说?利用 1980 年至 2019 年的时间序列数据,ARDL-ECM 和 DOLS 方法证明:(1) 从长期来看,人均 GDP 的变化会导致加纳(尼日利亚)化石能源使用量的显著减少(增加)。换句话说,非对称增长带动能源假说在这两个国家都成立;(2) 倒 U 型 EKC 在加纳不成立,但在尼日利亚成立;(3) 国内信贷在这两个国家都对化石能源产生了积极需求。这些结果表明,两国政府应通过适当的实施和立法来解决环境问题,以便在规定的时间框架内实现可持续发展目标。政策建议喜忧参半。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of the Knowledge Economy
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