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Censorship and Reputation 审查制度与声誉
2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1257/mic.20200266
Daniel N. Hauser
I study how a firm manages its reputation by both investing in the quality of its product and censoring, hiding bad news from consumers. Without censorship, the threat of bad news provides strong incentives for investment. I highlight discontinuities in the firm’s maximum equilibrium payoff that censorship creates. When censorship is inexpensive, the firm never invests and a patient firm’s payoffs approach the lowest possible. In contrast, when censorship is moderately expensive, there exist equilibria where product quality is persistently high and payoffs approach the first-best, which can exceed the maximum equilibrium payoff if it was unable to censor. (JEL D21, D82, D83, G31, G32, L15)
我研究一家公司如何通过投资产品质量和审查,向消费者隐瞒坏消息来管理自己的声誉。如果没有审查制度,坏消息的威胁就会为投资提供强有力的激励。我强调审查制度造成的公司最大均衡收益的不连续性。当审查成本不高时,公司永远不会投资,而耐心的公司的回报可能会降到最低。相反,当审查成本适中时,存在产品质量持续高且收益接近第一优的均衡,如果无法审查,其收益可能超过最大均衡收益。(jel d21, d82, d83, g31, g32, 15)
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引用次数: 0
Moral Hazard and Efficiency in a Frictional Market 摩擦市场中的道德风险与效率
IF 2.4 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1257/mic.20200378
G. Roger, B. Julien
Principals seek to trade with homogeneous agents by posting incentive contracts, which direct their search. Search and moral hazard interact in equilibrium. If using transfers to compensate agents failing to contract, the equilibrium allocation is always constrained-welfare-optimal in contrast to the one-to-one principal-agent problem. Search frictions thus correct that inefficiency because search requires internalizing the utility of agents. Incentives are weaker than in bilateral contracting, and agents enjoy more efficient risk sharing. With a constraint on transfers the allocation may become inefficient; principal competition results in overinsurance of the agents, too little effort in equilibrium, and excessive entry by principals. (JEL D82, D83, D86)
委托人试图通过发布激励合同来与同质代理人进行交易,从而指导他们的搜索。搜索和道德风险在均衡中相互作用。与一对一委托代理问题相比,如果使用转移支付来补偿未能签订合同的代理人,则均衡分配总是约束福利最优的。搜索摩擦因此纠正了这种低效,因为搜索需要内化代理的效用。与双边合同相比,激励措施较弱,代理人享有更有效的风险分担。由于转移受到限制,分配可能会变得效率低下;委托竞争导致代理人过度保险,在均衡中付出的努力过少,委托人过度进入。(JEL D82,D83,D86)
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引用次数: 1
Alert the Inert? Switching Costs and Limited Awareness in Retail Electricity Markets 提醒惰性气体?零售电力市场中的转换成本和有限意识
IF 2.4 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1257/mic.20190163
Luisa Dressler, Stefan Weiergraeber
We quantify how switching costs and limited awareness affect consumer inertia in liberalized retail electricity markets by developing and estimating a structural demand model using a novel dataset on electricity contract choices in Belgium. Our data allow us to disentangle different sources of inertia by using a rich combination of macromoments and micromoments. We find that consumers perceive contracts as differentiated and both limited awareness and switching costs hinder efficient choices. Our counterfactuals reveal substantial welfare gains from alleviating both frictions, in particular switching costs, and that a well-regulated monopoly can generate similar consumer surplus as the current deregulated market. (JEL D12, D83, L13, L43, L94, L98)
我们通过使用比利时电力合同选择的新数据集开发和估计结构需求模型,量化了转换成本和有限的意识如何影响自由化零售电力市场中的消费者惯性。我们的数据使我们能够通过使用大分子和微分子的丰富组合来理清不同的惯性源。我们发现,消费者认为合同是有区别的,有限的意识和转换成本都阻碍了有效的选择。我们的反事实表明,缓解这两种摩擦,特别是转换成本,会带来巨大的福利收益,而且监管良好的垄断可以产生与当前放松监管的市场类似的消费者盈余。(JEL D12,D83,L13,L43,L94,L98)
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引用次数: 10
Primary-Market Auctions for Event Tickets: Eliminating the Rents of “Bob the Broker”? 赛事门票的一级市场拍卖:消除“经纪人鲍勃”的租金?
2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1257/mic.20180230
Aditya Bhave, Eric Budish
Economists have long been puzzled by event-ticket underpricing: underpricing reduces revenue for the performer and encourages socially wasteful rent-seeking by ticket brokers. What about using an auction? This paper studies the introduction of auctions into this market by Ticketmaster in the mid-2000s. By combining primary-market auction data from Ticketmaster with secondary-market resale value data from eBay, we show that Ticketmaster’s auctions “worked”: they substantially improved price discovery, roughly doubled performer revenues, and, on average, nearly eliminated the potential arbitrage profits associated with underpriced tickets. We conclude by discussing why, nevertheless, the auctions failed to take off. (JEL D44, D47, L82)
长期以来,经济学家一直对赛事门票的低定价感到困惑:低定价减少了表演者的收入,并鼓励门票经纪人进行社会浪费性的寻租。那拍卖呢?本文研究了Ticketmaster在2000年代中期将拍卖引入这个市场。通过将Ticketmaster的一级市场拍卖数据与eBay的二级市场转售价值数据相结合,我们发现,Ticketmaster的拍卖“有效”:它们大大提高了价格发现,表演者的收入大约翻了一番,平均而言,几乎消除了与低价门票相关的潜在套利利润。最后,我们将讨论为什么拍卖未能成功。(jel d44, d47, l82)
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引用次数: 0
When Is a Contrarian Adviser Optimal? 什么时候是最好的避孕顾问?
IF 2.4 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1257/mic.20200204
R. Evans, Sönje Reiche
We compare contrarian to conformist advice, a contrarian expert being one whose preference bias is against the decision-maker’s prior optimal decision. Optimality of an expert depends on characteristics of prior information and learning. If either the expert is fully informed or fine information can be acquired cheaply, then for symmetric distributions F of the state, a conformist (contrarian) is superior if F is single peaked (bimodal). If only coarse information can be acquired, then a contrarian acquires more on average and hence is superior. If information is verifiable, a contrarian has less incentive to hide unfavorable evidence and again is superior. (JEL D72, D82, D83, G34, H71, I12, L94)
我们将逆向专家与从众专家的建议进行了比较,逆向专家的偏好偏差与决策者先前的最优决策相反。专家的最优化取决于先验信息和学习的特点。如果专家是完全知情的,或者可以廉价地获得精细信息,那么对于状态的对称分布F,如果F是单峰(双峰),则一致性者(相反者)是优越的。如果只能获得粗略的信息,那么反向者平均获得的信息更多,因此更优越。如果信息是可验证的,反向投资者隐藏不利证据的动机就会减少,并且再次表现出优势。(JEL D72、D82、D83、G34、H71、I12、L94)
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引用次数: 0
Misbehavior in Common Value Auctions: Bidding Rings and Shills 普通价值拍卖中的错误行为:出价戒指和先令
IF 2.4 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1257/mic.20200447
Dan Levin, J. Peck
We characterize the optimal misbehavior by bidding rings or an auctioneer in the ascending English auction with common values. We also show, in an extended game, that in equilibrium potential members join and truthfully reveal their signals. Under a separability assumption, behavior does not change if nonring bidders are informed about the ring’s existence. In general, misbehavior in dynamic settings is more profitable than in outcome-equivalent static settings. However, under a stronger separability assumption, the ring can do no better in the dynamic English format than in the outcome-equivalent, static Sophi format. (JEL D44, D82)
我们通过在具有共同价值的升序英语拍卖中出价戒指或拍卖商来表征最优不当行为。我们还表明,在一个扩展游戏中,在平衡中,潜在成员加入并真实地揭示了他们的信号。在可分性假设下,如果非环投标人被告知环的存在,行为不会改变。一般来说,在动态环境中的不当行为比在结果等效的静态环境中更有利可图。然而,在更强的可分性假设下,环在动态英语格式中的表现并不比在结果等价的静态Sophi格式中好。(JEL D44,D82)
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引用次数: 0
Two-Stage Contests with Private Information 包含私人信息的两阶段竞赛
IF 2.4 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1257/mic.20200071
Gregory Kubitz
In perfectly discriminating contests with private information, low-ability contestants prefer to appear strong, while high-ability contestants prefer to appear weak. In a two-stage contest, this leads to a unique symmetric equilibrium with partial pooling in the first stage. A higher output in the first contest leads to a weakly higher belief about the contestant’s ability entering the second contest. We characterize this unique equilibrium when cost of effort is linear and show how the prize allocation and type distribution impact contestants’ expected output, payoffs, and the probability of surprise victories. (JEL D44, D82, D83)
在具有私人信息的完全辨别比赛中,低能力的选手更喜欢表现得强壮,而高能力的选手则更喜欢表现出虚弱。在两阶段的竞争中,这导致了在第一阶段具有部分池化的独特对称平衡。在第一场比赛中的较高输出导致对参赛者进入第二场比赛的能力的较弱的较高信念。当努力成本是线性的时,我们描述了这种独特的平衡,并展示了奖金分配和类型分布如何影响参赛者的预期产出、回报和意外获胜的概率。(JEL D44,D82,D83)
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引用次数: 1
Ten Isn’t Large! Group Size and Coordination in a Large-Scale Experiment 十并不大!大规模实验中的群体规模与协调
IF 2.4 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.34989/SWP-2020-30
Jasmina Arifovic, C. Hommes, Anita Kopányi-Peuker, I. Salle
We provide experimental evidence on coordination within large groups that could proxy the atomistic nature of real-world markets. We use a bank run game where the two pure-strategy equilibria can be ranked by payoff and risk dominance and a sequence of public announcements introduces stochastic sunspot equilibria. We find systematic group size effects that theory fails to predict. When the payoff-dominant strategy is risky enough, the behavior of small groups is uninformative of the behavior in large groups: unlike smaller groups of size ten, larger groups exclusively coordinate on the Pareto-inferior strategy and never coordinate on sunspots. (JEL C92, D83, D91, G21)
我们提供了大群体内部协调的实验证据,可以代表现实世界市场的原子本质。我们使用一个银行挤兑博弈,其中两个纯策略均衡可以通过收益和风险优势排序,并且一系列公告引入了随机太阳黑子均衡。我们发现了理论无法预测的系统性群体规模效应。当收益优势策略具有足够的风险时,小群体的行为不能反映大群体的行为:与规模为10的小群体不同,大群体完全按照帕累托劣势策略进行协调,从不在太阳黑子上进行协调。(凝胶c92, d83, d91, g21)
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引用次数: 4
What Should a Firm Know? Protecting Consumers’ Privacy Rents 公司应该知道什么?保护消费者隐私租金
IF 2.4 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/mic.20200215
Daniel Bird, Z. Neeman
A monopolistic firm observes a signal about the state of the world and then makes a take-it-or-leave-it offer to an uninformed consumer who has recourse to some outside option. We provide a geometric characterization of the firm’s information structure that maximizes the consumer’s surplus: the optimal regime partitions the space of payoff states into polyhedral cones with disjoint interiors. We interpret our results in terms of the maximization of the consumer’s “privacy rent.” We illustrate and motivate our approach through the example of the regulation of the privacy of medical information in monopolistic health insurance markets. (JEL D21, D42, D83, G22, I13)
一家垄断公司观察到一个关于世界状况的信号,然后向不知情的消费者提供一个要么接受要么放弃的报价,而消费者只能求助于一些外部选择。我们提供了最大化消费者剩余的公司信息结构的几何特征:最优制度将支付状态的空间划分为内部不相交的多面体锥体。我们根据消费者“隐私租金”的最大化来解释我们的结果。我们通过垄断健康保险市场中医疗信息隐私监管的例子来说明和激励我们的方法。(jel d21, d42, d83, g22, i13)
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引用次数: 1
Games Played by Teams of Players 玩家团队所玩的游戏
IF 2.4 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/mic.20200391
Jeongbin Kim, T. Palfrey, Jeffrey R. Zeidel
We develop a general framework for analyzing games where each player is a team and members of the same team all receive the same payoff. The framework combines noncooperative game theory with collective choice theory, and is developed for both strategic form and extensive form games. We introduce the concept of team equilibrium and identify conditions under which it converges to Nash equilibrium with large teams. We identify conditions on collective choice rules such that team decisions are stochastically optimal: the probability the team chooses an action is increasing in its equilibrium expected payoff. The theory is illustrated with some binary action games. (JEL C72, D71)
我们开发了一个通用框架,用于分析每个玩家都是一个团队,同一团队的成员都获得相同的回报的游戏。该框架将非合作博弈理论与集体选择理论相结合,适用于策略博弈和泛化博弈。引入了团队均衡的概念,确定了团队均衡收敛于大团队纳什均衡的条件。我们确定了集体选择规则的条件,使团队决策是随机最优的:团队选择行动的概率在其均衡预期收益中增加。用一些二元动作博弈来说明这一理论。(jel c72, d71)
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引用次数: 4
期刊
American Economic Journal-Microeconomics
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