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Intergenerational Transmission of Between-Group Occupational Disparity: Some Indian Evidence 族群间职业差异的代际传递:一些印度证据
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-05 DOI: 10.1111/manc.12523
Dipankar Das, Anjan Ray Chaudhury

During the development process inter alia convergence or divergence among the people vis-à-vis convergence or divergence of well-defined groups in the dimensions of well-being is rather common in any society. The relative strength of improvement or deterioration of the members across the groups from one to the next generation de facto determines this convergence or divergence of the groups in some specific dimension. To put it another way, we may explain the convergence or divergence of the groups in some specific dimension by examining the relative strength of upward and downward mobility of the members of these groups from one to the next generations in the respective dimension. From this point of view, one previous study proposes two summary measures of the persistence of between-group inequality. We employ these summary measures on Indian data to investigate the persistence of occupational inequality across social groups non-parametrically. However, before using these summary measures we examine the structural properties of these measures by using a set of axiomatic properties.

在发展过程中,除其他外,人民之间的趋同或分歧(见-à-vis)在福利方面明确界定的群体的趋同或分歧在任何社会中都是相当普遍的。群体成员从一代到下一代的进步或退化的相对强度事实上决定了群体在某些特定维度上的趋同或分化。换句话说,我们可以通过研究这些群体成员在各自维度上向上和向下流动的相对强度,来解释这些群体在某些特定维度上的趋同或分化。从这个角度来看,之前的一项研究提出了两种衡量群体间不平等持续存在的总结性指标。我们采用这些总结措施对印度的数据,以调查跨社会群体的非参数职业不平等的持久性。然而,在使用这些总结性度量之前,我们通过使用一组公理性质来检查这些度量的结构性质。
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引用次数: 0
Disclosure of R&D Knowledge With Partial Cross-Ownership in a Vertically Mixed Market 垂直混合市场中具有部分交叉所有权的研发知识披露
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-31 DOI: 10.1111/manc.12522
Ting Zhang, Zhaoxin Qi, Dongdong Li

In this paper, we investigate the impact of partial vertical cross-ownership on optimal R&D knowledge disclosure in a vertically mixed market with an upstream firm supplying competing downstream public and private firms. The results show that under vertical separation and forward cross-ownership, the downstream public firm fully discloses its R&D knowledge, whereas the downstream private firm does not disclose its R&D knowledge. Under backward cross-ownership, both downstream public and private firms fully disclose their information. Furthermore, we find that the upstream firm and the downstream private firm favor backward cross-ownership. Finally, we find that privatization policies lead to higher social welfare, but their impact on R&D knowledge disclosure varies among different downstream firms.

本文研究了垂直混合市场中,上游企业向下游竞争的上市企业和民营企业提供产品的部分垂直交叉所有权对最优研发知识披露的影响。研究结果表明,在纵向分离和正向交叉持股的情况下,下游上市公司充分披露了研发知识,而下游民营公司不披露研发知识。在逆向交叉所有制下,下游上市公司和民营公司都充分披露信息。此外,我们发现上游企业和下游民营企业更倾向于反向交叉持股。最后,我们发现私有化政策带来了更高的社会福利,但其对研发知识披露的影响在不同下游企业之间存在差异。
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引用次数: 0
Mind the Gap: Government Investment Announcement and Implementation 注意差距:政府投资公告与实施
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-03-04 DOI: 10.1111/manc.12515
Fernando Garcia-Barragan

This study develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model calibrated to the US economy to investigate the effects of government investment on macroeconomic variables and social welfare. The analysis focuses on the role of the gap between the announced size and actual implementation. In general, government investment shocks bring positive results for output in the short- and long-run, although they may cause consumption crowding out in the short-run. However, anticipated government investment lowers the consumption crowding-out effect. Higher levels of implementation relative to the announced investment positively impact output and consumption in the medium- and long-run. The benefits to the economy are greater when the productivity of public capital is higher. Moreover, the study uncovers a trade-off between social welfare and the government multiplier: Full or over-implementation of public investment results in significant social welfare gains without compromising the benefits in terms of the government multiplier.

本文建立了一个动态随机一般均衡模型,并对美国经济进行了校准,以考察政府投资对宏观经济变量和社会福利的影响。分析的重点是公布的规模和实际实施之间的差距所起的作用。总的来说,政府投资冲击在短期和长期对产出都有积极的影响,尽管在短期内可能造成消费挤出。然而,预期的政府投资降低了消费挤出效应。相对于已宣布的投资,更高水平的实施对中长期产出和消费产生积极影响。公共资本的生产率越高,对经济的好处就越大。此外,该研究揭示了社会福利和政府乘数之间的权衡:充分或过度实施公共投资会导致显著的社会福利收益,而不会损害政府乘数方面的收益。
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引用次数: 0
Vertical Separation With Split-Off Under Passive Ownership 被动所有权下的纵向分离与分拆
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1111/manc.12514
Chuyuan Zhang, Sang-Ho Lee

This study examines a vertical structure model where an integrated firm sells intermediate goods to downstream firms and produces final goods while a rival firm holds partial passive ownership (PPO) of the integrated firm. We investigate the effects of vertical separation with a split-off under a downstream PPO when the integrated firm competes with both the rival firm and downstream firms in the final goods market. We find that separation decreases input price and final goods production by the split-offed firm while increases consumer surplus and domestic welfare if the downstream firms are competitive, or when the degree of PPO is not sufficiently low. We also demonstrate that a split-off under downstream PPO is more profitable but socially undesirable than the other separation types, including split-off under upstream PPO and spin-off. Finally, we provide some discussions on the variant scenarios and show that our main findings are robust.

本文研究了一个垂直结构模型,其中一个整合企业向下游企业销售中间产品并生产最终产品,而竞争对手持有整合企业的部分被动所有权(PPO)。我们研究了当整合企业在最终产品市场上同时与竞争对手和下游企业竞争时,下游PPO下垂直分离与拆分的影响。我们发现,如果下游企业具有竞争力,或者当企业的PPO程度不够低时,分离会降低企业的投入价格和最终产品产量,而增加消费者剩余和国内福利。我们还证明了下游PPO下的分拆比其他类型的分拆(包括上游PPO下的分拆和分拆)更有利可图,但在社会上是不可取的。最后,我们提供了一些关于不同情景的讨论,并表明我们的主要发现是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Are Transfer Payments Stimulative?—Sometimes 转移支付有刺激作用吗?——有时
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-07 DOI: 10.1111/manc.12513
M. Iqbal Ahmed, George Anaman, Steven P. Cassou

This paper investigates the stimulative effects of transfer payments on macroeconomic aggregates using impulse response functions, forecast error variance decompositions, and spending multipliers in state-dependent time series econometric models. It is shown that under symmetric response assumptions, positive transfer payment impulses lead to positive effects on gross domestic product, personal income and personal consumption. However, when an asymmetry linked to economic conditions is used, it is found that transfer payment effects are asymmetric and have significant positive effects on macroeconomic variables during economic recessions but are not very stimulative during economic expansions. A deeper analysis shows that the stimulus effects during economic recessions results primarily from the recent special programs undertaken during the Great Recession and the COVID-19 recession. These results indicate that policy which uses transfer payments as economic stimulus for the economy during expansionary economic conditions will not see much benefit. Furthermore, transfer payment policy expansions during recessionary economic conditions do not offer much stimulus except when the programs are unusually large as seen during the Great Recession and the COVID recession. Results for forecast error variance decompositions and spending multipliers reinforce these findings. Transfer payment programs are often motivated by both the benefits to recipients, and the stimulative benefit to the economy. These results show that, outside of the periods where extraordinary transfer payment expansions occur, the economic stimulus effects of transfer payment programs are small and that transfer payments should only be motivated by the benefits to the recipients.

本文利用脉冲响应函数、预测误差方差分解和状态相关时间序列计量模型中的支出乘数,研究了转移支付对宏观经济总量的刺激效应。研究表明,在对称响应假设下,正向转移支付冲动对国内生产总值、个人收入和个人消费产生正向影响。然而,当使用与经济条件相关的不对称时,我们发现转移支付效应是不对称的,在经济衰退期间对宏观经济变量有显著的积极影响,而在经济扩张期间则不是很有刺激作用。更深入的分析表明,经济衰退期间的刺激效应主要来自最近在大衰退和2019冠状病毒病衰退期间实施的特别计划。这些结果表明,在扩张性经济条件下,使用转移支付作为经济刺激的政策不会有太大的好处。此外,在经济衰退时期,转移支付政策的扩张不会产生太大的刺激作用,除非像大衰退和新冠肺炎衰退期间那样,项目规模异常大。预测误差方差分解和支出乘数的结果强化了这些发现。转移支付项目的动机通常是为了给受助人带来好处,也为了刺激经济。这些结果表明,在转移支付发生异常扩张的时期之外,转移支付计划的经济刺激效应很小,转移支付应该只被接受者的利益所激励。
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引用次数: 0
A Natural Experiment in Education Reform: The Case of Upper-Secondary Curriculum Compression 教育改革的自然实验:以高中课程压缩为例
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-02-04 DOI: 10.1111/manc.12504
Tinna Laufey Ásgeirsdóttir, Gisli Gylfason, Gylfi Zoega

We use a change in Iceland's education system as a natural experiment to measure the effect of years spent in upper-secondary school on subsequent first-year outcomes at university. The duration of Iceland's upper-secondary education was shortened by 1 year through compression of the curriculum. We find that shorter upper-secondary education, 3 years instead of the previous four, leads to first-year university students completing fewer credits, getting a lower average grade in completed courses, and being more likely to drop out. We find that this negative effect of the reform disproportionately affected the academic performance of male students and those who previously demonstrated weaker academic abilities, thus increasing academic disparities.

我们将冰岛教育体系的变化作为一项自然实验来衡量高中教育年限对随后大学一年级成绩的影响。通过压缩课程,冰岛高中教育的学制缩短了1年。我们发现,较短的高中教育,3年而不是以前的4年,导致大学一年级学生完成的学分更少,完成课程的平均成绩更低,更有可能辍学。我们发现,这种改革的负面影响不成比例地影响了男学生和以前表现出较弱学术能力的学生的学习成绩,从而增加了学术差距。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of the Duty-Free and Quota-Free Market Access Schemes for Least Developed Countries on Income Inequality and Poverty 最不发达国家免关税和免配额市场准入制度对收入不平等和贫困的影响
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.1111/manc.12512
Sèna Kimm Gnangnon

This paper has examined whether the Duty-Free and Quota-Free (DFQF) market access preference schemes provided by Members of the World Trade Organization (WTO) to Least developed countries (LDCs) have been instrumental in reducing income inequality and poverty in these countries. The analysis has used the entropy balancing method over an unbalanced panel dataset of 36 LDCs (treatment group) and 19 countries in the control group, with data spanning the period 1997–2018. The feasible generalized least squares, the within fixed effects and the Seemingly Unrelated Regression estimators have been employed to address empirically the question. The analysis has established that the DFQF schemes have genuinely been instrumental in reducing income inequality and poverty in LDCs, including to a greater extent in non-African LDCs than in African LDCs. These findings confirm the importance of the DFQF schemes for LDCs.

本文考察了世界贸易组织(WTO)成员国向最不发达国家(LDCs)提供的免税和免配额(DFQF)市场准入优惠计划是否有助于减少这些国家的收入不平等和贫困。该分析对36个最不发达国家(治疗组)和19个对照组国家的不平衡面板数据集使用了熵平衡法,数据跨度为1997-2018年。利用可行广义最小二乘、内固定效应和似不相关回归估计对这一问题进行了实证研究。分析表明,DFQF计划确实有助于减少最不发达国家的收入不平等和贫穷,包括非洲以外的最不发达国家比非洲的最不发达国家在更大程度上减少收入不平等和贫穷。这些发现证实了DFQF计划对最不发达国家的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Trade Variations due to Time Zones Related Distance and Delaying Costs: A Theoretical Exposition 时区相关距离和延迟成本导致的贸易差异:一个理论论述
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-01-04 DOI: 10.1111/manc.12511
Biswajit Mandal, Maitrayee Das

This paper constructs a competitive trade model involving countries in two distinct time zone locations. Our results suggest that geographical distance positively impact service trade, in contrast to its harmful nature for goods trade. These results are not in line with the traditional gravity arguments of international trade. Our model also reveals an intriguing relationship: an increase in distance between trading nations results in higher skilled wages and lower rent in case of service trade, while goods trade yields the opposite effect. We then connect distance with delaying cost and find the effects of delaying cost on trade and factor prices. We further extend our basic model to introduce informal sector and government manufacturing sector. Despite these additions, the consistency in the effects of distance on factor prices and output persists.

本文构建了一个涉及两个不同时区国家的竞争性贸易模型。研究结果表明,地理距离对服务贸易的影响是正向的,而对货物贸易的影响是有害的。这些结果与传统的国际贸易重力论不符。我们的模型还揭示了一个有趣的关系:在服务贸易中,贸易国之间距离的增加导致技术工人工资的提高和租金的降低,而商品贸易则产生相反的效果。然后,我们将距离与延迟成本联系起来,发现延迟成本对贸易和要素价格的影响。我们进一步扩大我们的基本模式,引入非正规部门和政府制造业。尽管增加了这些因素,距离对要素价格和产出的影响仍然是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
The Fixed or Variable Rate Loan Decision: Which Small Businesses Prefer the Certainty of Fixed Rate Loans and Which Banks Offer Them? 固定利率或浮动利率贷款的决定:哪些小企业更喜欢固定利率贷款的确定性,哪些银行提供?
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1111/manc.12509
Marc Cowling, Kit Pong Wong

If a small business expects that interest rates will rise in the future then it is rational to insure oneself against this by accepting a fixed rate loan. In addition, small firms may prefer the certainty of fixed interest payments throughout the term of a loan. However, banks may prefer to offer variable rate loans as this insures them against volatility and uncertainty of their funding cost and shifts risk to the borrower. In this paper we empirically analyse what types of lending institutions offer fixed rate loans and what types of small firms accept them using a large UK data set from 2009–2020 covering government guaranteed loans. We initially found that fixed rate loans are more expensive than variable rate loans on average, and that larger firms and those taking out longer maturity loans were more likely to take out fixed rate loans. In contrast, larger size loans were more likely to be issued on a variable interest rate and by a larger lending institution. As large banks made greater returns from fixed rate loans, they increased use of them over the decade to favoured borrowers suggesting that regret aversion also played a role in the bank's decision and also that macroeconomic conditions were improving after the Global Financial Crisis.

如果一家小企业预计未来利率会上升,那么通过接受固定利率贷款来为自己投保是合理的。此外,小公司可能更喜欢在整个贷款期限内固定利息支付的确定性。然而,银行可能更愿意提供可变利率贷款,因为这可以确保它们免受融资成本的波动性和不确定性的影响,并将风险转移给借款人。在本文中,我们使用2009-2020年英国政府担保贷款的大型数据集,实证分析了哪些类型的贷款机构提供固定利率贷款,以及哪些类型的小企业接受固定利率贷款。我们最初发现,固定利率贷款平均比可变利率贷款更昂贵,而且大公司和那些贷款期限较长的公司更有可能申请固定利率贷款。相比之下,规模较大的贷款更有可能由规模较大的贷款机构按可变利率发放。由于大型银行从固定利率贷款中获得了更高的回报,它们在过去10年里越来越多地向受青睐的借款人使用固定利率贷款,这表明后悔厌恶情绪在银行的决策中也发挥了作用,而且全球金融危机后宏观经济状况正在改善。
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引用次数: 0
Inflation Persistence in the G7: The Effects of the Covid-19 Pandemic and of the Russia-Ukraine War 七国集团的持续通货膨胀:Covid-19大流行和俄乌战争的影响
IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1111/manc.12507
Nuruddeen Usman, Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana

This note analyses how shocks caused by the Covid-19 and the Russia-Ukraine crisis impact on inflation persistence G7 countries. Using data ending at December-2019, high estimates of the persistence parameter d indicate a strong persistence of inflation. The unit root hypothesis could not be refuted for Germany, Japan, and the United States, while this hypothesis is rejected in favour of higher orders of integration in the remaining cases. Expanding the dataset to include the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine crisis reveal that d-values remain significantly elevated across all countries, reinforcing the persistence of inflation. Interestingly, Canada, previously excluded from the group, now aligns with Germany, Japan, and the United States. This suggests a change in inflation dynamics for Canada during these extraordinary periods. Additionally, employing a recursive estimate reveals a slight increase in inflation persistence for most countries, except Japan, which exhibits an almost flat trend in the evolution of the differencing parameter.

本报告分析了2019冠状病毒病和俄罗斯-乌克兰危机造成的冲击如何影响七国集团国家的通货膨胀。使用截至2019年12月的数据,持久性参数d的高估计值表明通胀持续强劲。对于德国、日本和美国,单位根假设不能被反驳,而在其他情况下,这一假设被拒绝,有利于更高阶的整合。将数据集扩大到包括大流行和俄罗斯-乌克兰危机,结果显示,所有国家的d值仍然显著升高,从而加剧了通货膨胀的持续存在。有趣的是,之前被排除在该集团之外的加拿大,现在与德国、日本和美国结盟。这表明,在这些特殊时期,加拿大的通胀动态发生了变化。此外,采用递归估计显示,除日本外,大多数国家的通货膨胀持续时间略有增加,日本在差异参数的演变中表现出几乎持平的趋势。
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引用次数: 0
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