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The role of the dual holder in mitigating underinvestment 双重持有人在缓解投资不足方面的作用
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12376
Roman Bohdan, Tarun Mukherjee

The literature on dual holding focuses exclusively on cases where the holder is primarily a creditor and buys the firm's stocks to reduce potential wealth transfer. However, wealth transfer is not a concern when the dual holder is a stockholder first and becomes a bondholder later. We hypothesize that the principal motive behind such dual holdings is to provide debt funding to an otherwise successful firm that cannot fund good projects because of internal capital allocation problems coupled with external capital constraints. We select samples from multinational corporations based on evidence that these firms are exposed to domestic underinvestment because they are reluctant to bring back foreign profits to avoid repatriation taxes. We choose hedge funds (HFs) as dual holders. The treatment group comprises firms where HFs are dual owners, and the control group comprises firms in which HFs own stocks only. The treatment group experiences steeper financial constraints, leading to deeper underinvestment problems and causing target firms to seek HF funding. The funding corresponds well to the amount of underinvestment. Targets improve investment efficiency by alleviating underinvestment, surpassing their predual performance and the control group's postdual performance.

有关双重持股的文献主要集中在双重持股者主要是债权人的情况,他们购买公司股票是为了减少潜在的财富转移。然而,当双重持股者先是股票持有者而后成为债券持有者时,财富转移就不是问题了。我们假设,这种双重持股背后的主要动机是为一家原本成功的公司提供债务资金,而这家公司由于内部资本分配问题和外部资本限制而无法为好的项目提供资金。我们从跨国公司中选取样本,因为有证据表明,这些公司不愿意将国外利润汇回国内以规避汇回税,从而面临国内投资不足的问题。我们选择对冲基金(HF)作为双重持有者。处理组包括对冲基金双重持有的公司,对照组包括对冲基金仅持有股票的公司。处理组的财务限制更严格,导致投资不足问题更严重,并使目标公司寻求高频资金。资金与投资不足的数量非常吻合。目标企业通过缓解投资不足问题提高了投资效率,超越了其前期绩效和对照组的后期绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate cash holdings and industry risk 企业现金持有量和行业风险
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12374
Jinsook Lee

I conjecture that a firm's sensitivity to industry shocks escalates its need to retain a cash buffer. Consistent with this conjecture, I find that a 1 SD increase in a firm's industry risk exposure increases cash holdings by 10%. In fact, industry risk has a greater effect on corporate cash holdings than does economywide and idiosyncratic risk in my sample. The effect of industry risk exposure on corporate cash holdings is greater for firms in highly competitive industries, as well as for firms with high leverage, a greater fraction of short-term debt, and few tangible assets.

我推测,企业对行业冲击的敏感性会增加其保留现金缓冲的需求。与这一猜想相一致,我发现企业所面临的行业风险每增加 1 SD,现金持有量就会增加 10%。事实上,在我的样本中,行业风险对企业现金持有量的影响要大于整体经济风险和特殊风险。行业风险对企业现金持有量的影响对于竞争激烈行业的企业以及杠杆率高、短期债务比例大、有形资产少的企业更大。本文受版权保护,未经许可不得转载。
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引用次数: 0
Excess cash and equity option liquidity 现金和股票期权流动性过剩
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12379
Min Deng, Minh Nguyen

We examine the relation between excess corporate cash holdings and equity option market liquidity from January 3, 2005 to December 31, 2019. We show that the level of cash reserve in excess of what can be captured by firm characteristics significantly explains stock option liquidity. Trading volume and option open interest increase in companies with a higher magnitude of excess cash, whereas the bid–ask spreads of stock options decline in excess cash. Our findings confirm the theoretical prediction that excess cash improves option market liquidity as it reduces adverse selection problems caused by uncertainty in firm valuations. This relation remains more pronounced with put options, out-of-the-money contracts, and short-maturity contracts. In addition, excess cash has a stronger impact on option liquidity within firms that have a greater degree of informed trading and during high-volatility periods in financial markets. Our results show that when uncertainty about firm prospects rises, excess cash becomes more valuable and affects option market liquidity.

我们研究了 2005 年 1 月 3 日至 2019 年 12 月 31 日期间企业超额现金持有量与股票期权市场流动性之间的关系。我们的研究表明,超出公司特征所能反映的现金储备水平可以显著解释股票期权的流动性。超额现金较多的公司的交易量和期权未平仓合约增加,而超额现金较少的公司的股票期权买卖价差下降。我们的研究结果证实了这一理论预测,即超额现金可以改善期权市场的流动性,因为它可以减少由公司估值不确定性引起的逆向选择问题。这种关系在看跌期权、价外合约和短期限合约中更加明显。此外,在知情交易程度较高的公司和金融市场高波动期,超额现金对期权流动性的影响更大。我们的研究结果表明,当公司前景的不确定性上升时,超额现金变得更有价值,并影响期权市场的流动性。
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引用次数: 0
Tweets versus broadsheets: Sentiment impact on stock markets around the world 推文与大报:情绪对全球股市的影响
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12380
Baoqing Gan, Vitali Alexeev, Danny Yeung

We contrast sentiment derived from social and news media to investigate its impact across 14 international markets. We find that heightened media sentiment during nontrading periods significantly affects the next day's opening returns even after accounting for the previous-day activity. Markedly, only the US market exhibits strong reactions to social media, whereas other markets are more responsive to the news. We find that most variability in overnight returns is explained by sentiment aggregated 3 h before markets open. Our findings suggest that the overnight sentiment does not simply subsume previous-day market activity but contains additional information that helps improve predictability in return forecasting models.

我们对比了来自社交媒体和新闻媒体的情绪,研究其对 14 个国际市场的影响。我们发现,即使考虑了前一天的活动,非交易期间媒体情绪的高涨也会对第二天的开盘回报率产生重大影响。值得注意的是,只有美国市场对社交媒体表现出强烈的反应,而其他市场对新闻的反应更为强烈。我们发现,隔夜收益率的大部分变化都是由市场开盘前 3 小时的情绪汇总解释的。我们的研究结果表明,隔夜情绪并不简单地包含前一天的市场活动,而是包含了额外的信息,有助于提高回报预测模型的可预测性。
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引用次数: 0
Short sellers and capital structure dynamics 卖空者和资本结构动态
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12378
Suchismita Mishra, Özde Öztekin, Anisur Rahman

Managers tend to issue equity when a firm is overvalued. Short selling is more frequent among overvalued firms. By conditioning short selling on overvaluation, we show that short selling increases leverage, lenghtens debt maturity, and speeds up adjustment to target leverage. The leverage increase is more pronounced in firms with independent boards and an increased likelihood of misvaluation, is driven by overvaluation relative to long-run value, and occurs through lower equity issuance and higher long-term debt issuance. Analyses using the exogenous shock to the short-selling environment from the US Securities and Exchange's Reg SHO pilot program suggest these results are causal.

当公司估值过高时,管理者倾向于发行股票。在估值过高的公司中,卖空更为频繁。通过将卖空与高估挂钩,我们发现卖空增加了杠杆率,延长了债务期限,并加快了向目标杠杆率的调整。杠杆率的增加在具有独立董事会和更有可能出现估值错误的公司中更为明显,由相对于长期价值的估值过高所驱动,并通过降低股票发行量和提高长期债务发行量来实现。利用美国证券交易委员会的 Reg SHO 试点计划对卖空环境的外生冲击进行的分析表明,这些结果是因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting corporate restructuring and financial distress in banks: The case of the Swiss banking industry 预测银行的企业重组和财务困境:瑞士银行业案例
IF 3.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12375
Daniel Boos, Nikolaos Karampatsas, Wolfgang Garn, Lampros K. Stergioulas

The global financial crisis of 2007–2009 is widely regarded as the worst since the Great Depression and threatened the global financial system with a total collapse. This article distinguishes itself from the vast literature of bankruptcy, bank failure, and bank exit prediction models by introducing novel categorical parameters inspired by Switzerland's banking landscape. We evaluate data from 274 banks in Switzerland from 2007 to 2017 using generalized linear model logit and multinomial logit regressions and examine the determinants of corporate restructuring and financial distress. We complement our results with a robustness test via a Bayesian inference framework. We find that total assets and net interest margin affect bank exit and mergers and acquisitions, and that banks operating in the Zurich area have a higher likelihood of exiting and becoming takeover targets relative to banks operating in the Geneva area.

人们普遍认为,2007-2009 年的全球金融危机是自大萧条以来最严重的一次,全球金融体系面临全面崩溃的威胁。本文从大量有关破产、银行倒闭和银行退出预测模型的文献中脱颖而出,从瑞士的银行业格局中获得灵感,引入了新的分类参数。我们使用广义线性模型 logit 和多项式 logit 回归评估了 2007 年至 2017 年瑞士 274 家银行的数据,并研究了企业重组和财务困境的决定因素。我们通过贝叶斯推断框架对结果进行了稳健性检验。我们发现,总资产和净息差会影响银行的退出和并购,与日内瓦地区的银行相比,苏黎世地区的银行更有可能退出并成为收购目标。
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引用次数: 0
Economic policy uncertainty and short-term reversals 经济政策的不确定性和短期逆转
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12371
Zhaobo Zhu, Licheng Sun

In this article, we provide new evidence on the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on asset pricing. Specifically, we find that short-term return reversals are stronger following high-EPU periods, likely due to an uncertainty-induced decrease in stock market liquidity. However, EPU does not appear to have a significant effect on accounting-based anomalies, possibly because these anomalies are not driven by stock illiquidity. Our findings suggest that EPU affects short-term asset prices mainly through stock liquidity. However, EPU may contain incremental information beyond stock liquidity. Moreover, the arrival of the latest fundamental information could significantly mitigate the effect of EPU on short-term reversals.

在本文中,我们提供了经济政策不确定性对资产定价影响的新证据。具体来说,我们发现在高epu时期,短期回报逆转更强,可能是由于不确定性导致的股市流动性下降。然而,EPU似乎对基于会计的异常没有显著影响,可能是因为这些异常不是由股票非流动性驱动的。我们的研究结果表明,EPU主要通过股票流动性影响短期资产价格。然而,EPU可能包含股票流动性以外的增量信息。此外,最新基本信息的到来可能会大大减轻EPU对短期逆转的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The role of media connections in seasoned equity offerings 媒体关系在成熟股票发行中的作用
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12370
Luis García-Feijóo, Daniel Gropper, Md Miran Hossain, David Javakhadze

We present evidence that corporate connections to the media are associated with a greater likelihood of a seasoned equity offering (SEO), more negative announcement returns, and poorer long-term performance. The effect of media connections on announcement returns is more pronounced for firms with higher information asymmetry, greater financial constraints, and lower advertising expenditures. Media connections are positively associated with media coverage and sentiment before the SEO announcements. Our findings are consistent with the notion that SEO issuers use their connections with media firms to actively manage media coverage and successfully offer new equity.

我们提供的证据表明,企业与媒体的联系与更大的股权发行(SEO)可能性、更多的负面公告回报和更差的长期业绩有关。对于信息不对称程度较高、财务约束较大、广告支出较低的企业,媒体联系对公告收益的影响更为明显。媒体联系与媒体报道和SEO公告前的情绪呈正相关。我们的研究结果与SEO发行人利用其与媒体公司的联系积极管理媒体报道并成功提供新股权的概念一致。
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引用次数: 0
Constraints on provisioning at public versus private community banks 公共银行与私营社区银行在拨备方面的制约因素
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12372
Eliana Balla, Morgan J. Rose

We compare the responses of publicly held versus privately held community banks to the June 2016 issuance of the current expected credit loss (CECL) standard, which altered the way US banks provision for loan losses. We find that following issuance but before implementation, the relation between earnings and provisions strengthened among privately held banks but not among publicly held banks. This is consistent with US Securities and Exchange Commission regulation and market monitoring placing greater constraints on publicly held banks relative to privately held banks, preventing publicly held banks from moving toward the CECL standard early.

我们比较了公有和私有社区银行对2016年6月发布的当前预期信贷损失(CECL)标准的反应,该标准改变了美国银行准备贷款损失的方式。我们发现,在发行之后但在实施之前,私有银行的收益与拨备之间的关系有所加强,而公有银行则没有。这与美国证券交易委员会(sec)的监管和市场监督是一致的,这些监管和市场监督对上市银行施加了相对于私营银行更大的限制,阻止了上市银行提前向CECL标准迈进。
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引用次数: 0
The alphabet and idiosyncratic volatility 字母表和特异波动性
IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1111/jfir.12369
Okke Bergers, Magnus Blomkvist

We find that stocks with names earlier in an alphabetic ordering exhibit greater idiosyncratic volatility. Stocks whose names are in the first 5% of an alphabetic ordering have 4.5% higher idiosyncratic volatility relative to other stocks. To address potential concerns about early-alphabet firms being different, we study name changes. Idiosyncratic volatility is 7% higher when a name change causes a stock to move into the first 5%. We attribute these results to noise traders being more active in early-alphabet stocks because of heuristic-based investing. In support of this explanation, we find that the effect is strongest during periods of high investor sentiment and among stocks with high turnover. Our results provide evidence that noise traders contribute to the idiosyncratic volatility of stocks.

我们发现,股票名称在字母排序中靠前的股票表现出更大的特异波动性。与其他股票相比,名称在字母排序中排在前 5%的股票的特异波动率高 4.5%。为了消除对字母排序靠前的公司与众不同的潜在担忧,我们对名称变更进行了研究。当更名导致股票进入前 5%时,特异波动率会高出 7%。我们将这些结果归因于噪音交易者因启发式投资而在早期字母股票中更为活跃。为了支持这一解释,我们发现在投资者情绪高涨时期和换手率高的股票中,这种效应最强。我们的研究结果提供了噪音交易者助长股票特异性波动的证据。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Financial Research
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