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Does corporate diversification retrench the effects of firm-level political risk? 企业多元化是否会减少企业层面政治风险的影响?
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-12 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12356
M. Kabir Hassan, M. Sydul Karim, Tarun Mukherjee

This study investigates the effects of firm-level political risk on corporate investments. We find that diversified firms are better able than focused firms in mitigating the impact of idiosyncratic political risk on investments. Diversified firms accomplish this feat via efficient use of the internal capital market that allows segments to alleviate political risk adversity. The effect is working through the channel of exacerbation of financial constraints. When exposed to political risk, diversified firms do not spend more on lobbying and political donations than the focused firms in the subsequent period, implying that diversified firms do not manage political risk politically. Our main findings are robust to a battery of endogeneity tests.

本研究考察了企业层面的政治风险对企业投资的影响。我们发现,在减轻特殊政治风险对投资的影响方面,多元化公司比专注公司更有能力。多元化公司通过有效利用内部资本市场来实现这一壮举,使各部门能够缓解政治风险逆境。其影响是通过财政紧缩加剧的渠道发挥作用。当面临政治风险时,在随后的一段时间里,多元化公司在游说和政治捐款上的支出不会比专注公司更多,这意味着多元化公司不会从政治上管理政治风险。我们的主要发现对一组内生性检验是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
An empirical evaluation of dynamic approaches for estimating firms’ expected cost of equity capital 企业股权资本预期成本动态估计方法的实证评价
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-03 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12350
Jan A. Kempkes, Francesco Suprano, Andreas Wömpener

We develop and empirically validate dynamic approaches of implied cost of equity capital (ICC), facilitating the estimation of firms’ expected cost of equity capital at any required estimation date. Using on average 246,090 monthly observations, we empirically validate conflicting approaches for dynamic ICC estimation by analyzing the inferred market risk premia and assessing correlations with common risk factors. While the adjustments suggested by Daske et al. (2006) yield important and systematic deviations in the course of the year, the dynamic residual income model of Kempkes and Wömpener (2019) is robust to the choice of the estimation period.

我们开发并实证验证了隐含股本成本(ICC)的动态方法,有助于在任何所需的估计日期估计公司的预期股本成本。通过平均每月246090次观察,我们通过分析推断的市场风险溢价和评估与常见风险因素的相关性,实证验证了动态ICC估计的冲突方法。而Daske等人提出的调整。(2006)在一年中产生了重要的系统偏差,Kempkes和Wömpener(2019)的动态剩余收入模型对估计期的选择是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the performance of US international bond mutual funds 美国国际债券共同基金业绩探析
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-06-03 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12355
Jonathan Fletcher, Elizabeth Littlejohn, Andrew Marshall

We use a Bayesian regime switching approach to examine the performance enhancement of adding US international bond funds to a domestic bond universe pre and post the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) during January 1999 and May 2022. We find that the international bond funds provide large significant performance enhancement pre the GFC, with an increase in Certainty Equivalent Return (CER) performance of 0.595% (monthly), but none post the GFC. The performance enhancement pre GFC is driven by Large Emerging Market bond funds, which is likely fueled by a substantial drop in the Emerging Market central bank policy rates pre GFC.

我们使用贝叶斯制度转换方法来检验1999年1月和2022年5月全球金融危机前后将美国国际债券基金加入国内债券领域的绩效提升。我们发现,国际债券基金在全球金融危机之前提供了显著的业绩提升,确定性等价回报率(CER)业绩增长了0.595%(每月),但在全球金融风暴之后没有。全球金融危机前的业绩提升是由大型新兴市场债券基金推动的,这可能是由全球金融危机之前新兴市场央行政策利率的大幅下降推动的。
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引用次数: 0
Interstate migration-based social networks and M&A decisions 基于国家间移民的社会网络与并购决策
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-05-28 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12349
Suin Lee, Christos Pantzalis, Jung Chul Park

Acquisition decisions and outcomes are found to be associated with the availability of interstate migration-based social networks. The likelihood of bidders pursuing targets headquartered in migration sending states increases with these social networks’ size, in particular when (a) targets are in the same industry, (b) migration networks span distant states, and (c) targets are small. We also find smaller takeover premia and higher acquirer announcement returns in interstate transactions involving large migration networks. Our collective evidence is consistent with the notion that both enhanced expected synergies and information advantages may drive acquirers’ propensity to choose targets from migration sending states.

研究发现,收购决策和结果与州际移民社会网络的可用性有关。竞购者追逐总部位于移民输出州的目标公司的可能性随着这些社会网络的规模而增加,尤其是在以下情况下:(a) 目标公司处于同一行业;(b) 移民网络跨越遥远的州;(c) 目标公司规模较小。我们还发现,在涉及大型移民网络的州际交易中,收购溢价较小,收购方公告回报较高。我们的综合证据与以下观点一致,即预期协同效应的增强和信息优势都可能促使收购方倾向于选择移民输出国的目标公司。
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引用次数: 0
Finance research: What are the new frontiers? 金融研究:新的领域是什么?
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12348
Anjan V. Thakor

This paper provides a prospective look at the most exciting open research questions for future finance research in three important areas: (1) banking stability; (2) the intersection of medicine, healthcare, and finance; and (3) organizational higher purpose. In each case, a brief discussion of the existing literature is followed by a list of open research questions for future research to explore.

本文在三个重要领域对未来金融研究中最令人兴奋的开放性研究问题进行了前瞻性研究:(1)银行稳定性;(2) 医学、医疗保健和金融的交叉点;(3)组织的更高目标。在每种情况下,都会对现有文献进行简短讨论,然后列出一系列开放的研究问题,供未来的研究探索。
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引用次数: 2
For corporate finance to truly advance we need more genuinely testable models 为了让企业融资真正向前发展,我们需要更多真正可测试的模式
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12346
Matthew Spiegel

Corporate finance has turned into a field where researchers produce what seem like a constant flow of disconnected papers. Theories are never confirmed or refuted. At best, empirical papers confirm models without a realistic alternative to refute. The problem is that today's models are either static or have firms that never interact directly with other firms. Most industries are oligopolies. For firms in these industries the competition's actions in the product market are likely of paramount importance. If corporate finance is going to progress, we need papers with testable dynamic oligopoly models. Models where firms compete directly with each other.

公司金融已经成为一个研究人员不断发表脱节论文的领域。理论从未得到证实或反驳。充其量,实证论文在没有现实替代品反驳的情况下证实了模型。问题是,今天的模型要么是静态的,要么是从未与其他公司直接互动的公司。大多数行业都是寡头垄断。对于这些行业的公司来说,竞争对手在产品市场上的行动可能至关重要。如果企业融资要取得进展,我们需要具有可测试的动态寡头垄断模型的论文。企业之间直接竞争的模式。
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引用次数: 1
Shareholder litigation and short selling ahead of private equity placements 私募股权配售前的股东诉讼和卖空
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12347
Onur Bayar, Yini Liu, Juan Mao

We examine the impact of shareholder litigation on short selling ahead of private investments in public equity (PIPEs). We find that PIPE issuers that incurred securities class action lawsuits prior to the PIPE are shorted more heavily ahead of the PIPE issue. The case status at the PIPE date, the severity of the lawsuit, and the timing of the private placement after the litigation event also affect the extent of short selling activity ahead of PIPEs. Consistent with hedging incentives, the effects of prior shareholder litigation on short selling are more pronounced in PIPEs where lead investors are hedge funds and in traditional PIPEs.

我们研究了股东诉讼对私募股权投资之前卖空的影响。我们发现,在PIPE之前发生证券集体诉讼的PIPE发行人在PIPE发行之前被大量做空。PIPE日期的案件状态、诉讼的严重程度以及诉讼事件后私募的时间也会影响PIPE之前卖空活动的程度。与对冲激励一致,先前股东诉讼对卖空的影响在主要投资者是对冲基金的PIPE和传统PIPE中更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
A shot in the arm: The effect of COVID-19 vaccine news on financial and commodity markets 一剂强心针:新冠肺炎疫苗消息对金融和大宗商品市场的影响
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12345
Oleg Kucher, Alexander Kurov, Marketa Halova Wolfe

We analyze the impact of COVID-19 vaccine announcements by leading vaccine companies on the financial and commodity markets from January to December 2020. We show that the vaccine announcements had varied and economically significant impacts on asset prices. The announcements moved interest rates, stock markets in the U.S. and numerous other countries as well as commodities used in transportation and some agricultural commodities. We show that the stock and commodity markets that experienced larger declines at the beginning of the pandemic receive a larger boost from good vaccine news. We also find that the vaccine news affects stock returns through changes in the expectations of the corporate cash flows and the expected equity risk premium.

我们分析了2020年1月至12月主要疫苗公司发布的新冠肺炎疫苗对金融和大宗商品市场的影响。我们表明,疫苗公告对资产价格产生了各种各样的经济重大影响。这些公告影响了利率、美国和许多其他国家的股市,以及用于运输的大宗商品和一些农产品。我们表明,在疫情开始时经历了较大跌幅的股票和大宗商品市场从疫苗的好消息中得到了更大的提振。我们还发现,疫苗消息通过企业现金流预期和预期股权风险溢价的变化影响股票回报。
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引用次数: 1
Technological innovation and stock returns: Innovative skill versus innovative luck 技术创新与股票回报:创新技能与创新运气
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12344
Ben Angelo, Mitchell Johnston

Prior studies conclude that investors undervalue innovative ability. These studies do not fully capture the prominent role that industry and market trends play in contextualizing innovations. We disaggregate the value generated by innovative skill from the value generated by industry and market trends and find that innovative skill is positively associated with profitability. Further, our results are consistent with a risk explanation as innovative skill is negatively associated with returns, consistent with investors using patent value to identify innovative skill and adjusting the riskiness of the firm accordingly.

先前的研究得出结论,投资者低估了创新能力。这些研究并没有完全捕捉到行业和市场趋势在创新情境中发挥的突出作用。我们将创新技能产生的价值与行业和市场趋势产生的价值进行了分解,发现创新技能与盈利能力呈正相关。此外,我们的结果与风险解释一致,因为创新技能与回报呈负相关,与投资者使用专利价值来识别创新技能并相应调整公司风险一致。
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引用次数: 0
Political geography and the value relevance of real options 政治地理学与实物期权的价值相关性
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12343
Shaddy Douidar, Christos Pantzalis, Jung Chul Park

Corporate political geography influences the value of real options because proximity to political power can trigger greater exposure to uncertainty and/or more growth opportunities. Our empirical tests reveal that although areas closely aligned with the president experience a boost in real options’ value relevance, this effect is significant only among the majority of firms that are neither politically connected nor reliant on government contracts. Our findings are consistent with the notion that political connections essentially eliminate policy uncertainty (render real options value-irrelevant), whereas government dependence additionally inhibits investment in growth opportunities (ability to exploit volatility) from proximity to political power.

企业政治地理影响实物期权的价值,因为接近政治权力会引发更大的不确定性和/或更多的增长机会。我们的实证测试表明,尽管与总统关系密切的领域的实物期权价值相关性有所提高,但这种影响仅在大多数既没有政治联系也不依赖政府合同的公司中显著。我们的研究结果与这样一种观点一致,即政治联系基本上消除了政策的不确定性(使实物期权价值不相关),而政府依赖性还抑制了对接近政治权力的增长机会的投资(利用波动性的能力)。
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引用次数: 1
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FINANCIAL REVIEW
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