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Stock market and the psychological health of investors 股市与投资者的心理健康
IF 2.6 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12385
Chang Liu, Maoyong Fan

Utilizing a national individual-level medical dataset and the home bias phenomenon in investment, our study shows a strong and robust link between declines in local stock returns and increased antidepressant consumption among investors. This effect intensifies in areas with higher per capita dividend income, suggesting a direct relationship between higher stock ownership and stronger responses. We confirm that portfolio losses, not local economic conditions, are responsible for increased antidepressant usage during market downturns. Using the frequency of psychotherapy sessions yields similar findings. Moreover, our study supports the loss aversion hypothesis as we find positive stock returns do not influence antidepressant usage.

利用全国个人层面的医疗数据集和投资中的家庭偏好现象,我们的研究表明,当地股票回报率的下降与投资者抗抑郁药消费的增加之间存在紧密而稳健的联系。在人均红利收入较高的地区,这种效应会加剧,这表明较高的股票所有权与较强的反应之间存在直接关系。我们证实,在市场低迷时期,导致抗抑郁药物用量增加的是投资组合的损失,而不是当地的经济状况。使用心理治疗的频率也得出了类似的结论。此外,我们的研究还支持损失规避假说,因为我们发现股票正收益并不影响抗抑郁药物的使用。
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引用次数: 0
Do firms led by founders take higher risk? 创始人领导的公司承担的风险更高吗?
IF 2.6 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-24 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12388
Edward Lawrence, Yuka Nishikawa, Arun Upadhyay

This study examines whether firms led by founder-CEOs are significantly different from firms led by nonfounder-CEOs in terms of the nature of their risk. Our results show that founder-led firms are associated with higher operational but lower financial risk. We find that the differential nature of risk-taking in founder-CEO firms is driven by CEO's influence, their propensity of removal, and the probability of bankruptcy of the firm. While CEO-chair duality and the sensitivity of founder-CEO firm's probable bankruptcy play significant roles in determining the level of financial risk, the sensitivity of founder-CEOs to forced turnover leads to higher operational risk.

本研究探讨了创始人-CEO 领导的公司与非创始人-CEO 领导的公司在风险性质方面是否存在显著差异。我们的研究结果表明,创始人领导的公司运营风险较高,但财务风险较低。我们发现,创始人-CEO 企业承担风险的不同性质是由 CEO 的影响力、其被撤职的倾向以及企业破产的概率驱动的。首席执行官与董事长的双重身份和创始人-首席执行官公司可能破产的敏感性在决定财务风险水平方面发挥了重要作用,而创始人-首席执行官对被迫更替的敏感性则导致了更高的运营风险。
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引用次数: 0
Efficient Market Hypothesis on the blockchain: A social-media-based index for cryptocurrency efficiency 区块链上的有效市场假说:基于社交媒体的加密货币效率指数
IF 2.6 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12387
Efstathios Polyzos, Ghulame Rubbaniy, Mieszko Mazur

This paper proposes the use of social media as a proxy for financial information. Using an extended sample of 53,580,759 tweets and employing text analysis tools (Latent Dirichlet Allocation and Term Frequency–Inverse Document Frequency), we determine the information being exchanged on any given day. We train machine-learning classifiers and forecast crypto price movements for more than 8000 cryptocurrencies and gauge market efficiency through successful forecasts based on public information. We propose various metrics of market efficiency for cryptocurrency assets and demonstrate that market efficiency is higher during the first 6 months after the Initial Coin Offering. We also examine the efficiency behavior of individual currencies during crisis periods.

本文提出使用社交媒体作为金融信息的代理。利用 53,580,759 条推文的扩展样本,并采用文本分析工具(潜在德里希特分配和词频-反向文档频率),我们确定了任何一天的信息交换情况。我们训练机器学习分类器,预测 8000 多种加密货币的价格走势,并通过基于公共信息的成功预测来衡量市场效率。我们为加密货币资产提出了各种市场效率指标,并证明在首次代币发行后的前 6 个月,市场效率较高。我们还研究了危机时期单个货币的效率行为。
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引用次数: 0
Is rising student debt affecting retirement savings? Evidence from the survey of consumer finances 不断增加的学生债务会影响退休储蓄吗?来自消费者财务状况调查的证据
IF 2.6 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12386
Birzhan Batkeyev, Mine Ertugrul, Karthik Krishnan, Pinshuo Wang

Using exogenous changes in the personal bankruptcy treatment of student loans as well as the level of student debt, we find that student debt has a negative effect on household retirement savings. This negative relation is present for younger and older individuals, and is larger for the latter group, indicating lower levels of retirement savings for precisely those who can least afford it. We also find that student debt is related to greater borrowing on retirement plans. Households with more student debt expect to have insufficient retirement income and are less able to plan financially for the long term.

利用学生贷款的个人破产处理以及学生债务水平的外生变化,我们发现学生债务对家庭退休储蓄有负面影响。这种负相关关系对年轻人和老年人都存在,而且对老年人的影响更大,这恰恰表明那些最没有能力负担的人的退休储蓄水平较低。我们还发现,学生债务与更多的退休计划借款有关。学生债务较多的家庭预计退休后收入不足,更无法进行长期财务规划。
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引用次数: 0
CEO overcaution and capital structure choices 首席执行官的过度谨慎与资本结构选择
IF 2.6 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12383
Francesco Rocciolo, Andrea Gheno, Chris Brooks

This paper develops and empirically tests a new version of the trade-off theory of corporate capital structure choices that accounts for CEOs' biased beliefs, with a focus on overcaution. We characterize the bias as a distortion of expected rates of return on equity and debt that, for Overcautious CEOs, are overestimated compared to a rational CEO. The theory shows that if CEOs have higher bias in equity, than in debt-value estimation, overcautious CEOs will choose lower levels of debt compared to rational CEOs, and, if the degree of overcaution is sufficiently high, they will adopt a zero-leverage policy.

本文对企业资本结构选择权衡理论的一个新版本进行了开发和实证检验,该理论考虑了首席执行官的偏差信念,重点关注过度谨慎问题。我们将偏差描述为股权和债务预期收益率的扭曲,对于过度谨慎的首席执行官而言,与理性的首席执行官相比,他们高估了股权和债务的预期收益率。理论表明,如果首席执行官对股权的偏差高于对债务价值的偏差,那么与理性的首席执行官相比,过度谨慎的首席执行官会选择较低的债务水平,如果过度谨慎的程度足够高,他们就会采取零杠杆政策。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional pressure and analyst behavior: Evidence from the financial sector 机构压力与分析师行为:来自金融业的证据
IF 2.6 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12381
Chang Liu, Maoyong Fan, Manoj Athavale

This study examines the impact of employment background on the objectivity of profitability forecasts in the financial sector. We find that investment bank analysts provide relatively biased recommendations and less accurate forecasts than their counterparts at independent research firms (IRFs). The performance discrepancy is greater for bulge bracket banks and for firms involved in syndication with the analysts' employers. A closer look at analysts transitioning between IRFs and investment banks reveals that these biases stem from their affiliation with investment banks rather than personal bias. Our findings emphasize the critical influence of the work environment on analyst behavior.

本研究探讨了就业背景对金融行业盈利预测客观性的影响。我们发现,与独立研究公司(IRFs)的同行相比,投资银行分析师提供的建议相对有失偏颇,预测的准确性也较低。对于大括号银行以及与分析师的雇主参与银团的公司而言,业绩差异更大。对在 IRF 和投资银行之间转换的分析师进行仔细研究后发现,这些偏差源于他们与投资银行的隶属关系,而非个人偏见。我们的研究结果强调了工作环境对分析师行为的重要影响。
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引用次数: 0
Discrimination announcements, employee opinion, and capital structure: Evidence from the EEOC 歧视公告、员工意见和资本结构:来自平等就业机会委员会的证据
IF 2.6 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12382
Spencer Barnes

This paper investigates the impact of discrimination publicity on employee opinion. The findings suggest that employees reduce their sentiments toward the firm and its leaders when discrimination becomes public via Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) announcements. Following the stakeholder theory of capital structure, the effect clusters in firms with above-average leverage. Additionally, discrimination announcements increase accruals and the E index, reinforcing a culture of negative management at the firm. These results suggest that human capital risk plays a vital role in employee reactions to discrimination announcements.

本文研究了歧视公告对员工意见的影响。研究结果表明,当歧视通过平等就业机会委员会(EEOC)的公告公之于众时,员工会降低对公司及其领导者的情感。根据资本结构的利益相关者理论,这种影响主要集中在杠杆率高于平均水平的公司。此外,歧视公告增加了应计项目和 E 指数,强化了公司的消极管理文化。这些结果表明,人力资本风险在员工对歧视公告的反应中起着至关重要的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Sentiment and the cross-section of expected stock returns 情绪和股票预期收益截面
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12380
Gady Jacoby, Chi Liao, Nanying Lin, Lei Lu

The asset pricing Literature suggests market sentiment is a state variable. This study shows that market sentiment is positively priced at the cross-section of stock returns, conditional on aggregate investors’ sentiment. We estimate individual stock sentiment beta and find that, following low-sentiment periods, stocks in the highest sentiment beta quintile generate a 0.74% higher monthly return than stocks in the lowest sentiment beta quintile. However, this return spread is insignificant following medium- or high-sentiment periods. This finding is consistent with the argument that overpricing following high-sentiment periods is more prevalent than underpricing following low-sentiment periods due to short-sale constraints.

资产定价文献认为市场情绪是一个状态变量。本研究表明,以投资者的总体情绪为条件,市场情绪在股票收益的横截面上被正定价。我们估算了个股情绪贝塔值,发现在情绪低迷时期,情绪贝塔值最高的五分位数股票的月回报率比情绪贝塔值最低的五分位数股票高 0.74%。然而,在中度或高度情绪化时期,这种回报率差异并不显著。这一发现与以下论点一致,即由于卖空限制,情绪高涨时期的定价过高比情绪低落时期的定价过低更为普遍。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate social responsibility and investor relationship management 企业社会责任和投资者关系管理
IF 2.6 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-25 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12377
Jie Jiao, Yanyang Wang, An Yan

Following the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster, utilities firms increase their commitments to corporate social responsibility (CSR), emphasizing on addressing environmental concerns over non-environmental ones. The intensified focus on CSR is especially significant in utilities firms with substantial institutional ownerships. Concurrent to the increase in CSR, utilities firms also exhibit a decline in advertising expenditures, a trend more pronounced in firms facing more financial constraints. Our findings suggest that utilities firms substitute CSR for advertising following the Fukushima accident. This shift appears driven by investors’ heightened focus on environmental issues in the aftermath of the accident.

福岛第一核电站灾难发生后,公用事业公司加大了对企业社会责任(CSR)的承诺,强调解决环境问题而非非环境问题。对于拥有大量机构所有权的公用事业企业来说,加强对企业社会责任的关注尤为重要。在企业社会责任增加的同时,公用事业企业的广告支出也出现了下降,这一趋势在面临更多财务限制的企业中更为明显。我们的研究结果表明,福岛事故发生后,公用事业公司用企业社会责任替代了广告。这一转变似乎是由于投资者在事故发生后更加关注环境问题。
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引用次数: 0
The questions being asked: Academic research, the media, and regulators 提出的问题:学术研究、媒体和监管机构
IF 2.6 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-24 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12376
Michelle Lowry

Academic research should strive to increase our understanding of the world we live in, and as such open the door for improvements in this world. With this goal in mind, this piece represents a call for academics to jointly consider their research agenda and the audience for this research. This audience might include people working in industry or policy makers. Closer connections between academia and broader audiences contribute to research that informs debates on the salient issues of today, higher quality studies on these issues, and greater impact. To provide insight on the relation between academic research and the most salient current issues, I compare topics of focus within academic journals with topics of focus in industry articles and regulatory publications. I identify gaps and suggest areas for future research.

学术研究应努力增进我们对所处世界的了解,从而为改善这个世界打开大门。本着这一目标,本文呼吁学术界共同考虑他们的研究议程和这项研究的受众。受众可能包括产业界人士或政策制定者。密切学术界与更广泛受众之间的联系,有助于研究为有关当今突出问题的辩论提供信息,提高有关这些问题的研究质量,并产生更大的影响。为了深入了解学术研究与当前最突出问题之间的关系,我将学术期刊中的重点话题与行业文章和监管出版物中的重点话题进行了比较。我找出了差距,并提出了未来研究的领域。
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FINANCIAL REVIEW
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