Utilizing a national individual-level medical dataset and the home bias phenomenon in investment, our study shows a strong and robust link between declines in local stock returns and increased antidepressant consumption among investors. This effect intensifies in areas with higher per capita dividend income, suggesting a direct relationship between higher stock ownership and stronger responses. We confirm that portfolio losses, not local economic conditions, are responsible for increased antidepressant usage during market downturns. Using the frequency of psychotherapy sessions yields similar findings. Moreover, our study supports the loss aversion hypothesis as we find positive stock returns do not influence antidepressant usage.
{"title":"Stock market and the psychological health of investors","authors":"Chang Liu, Maoyong Fan","doi":"10.1111/fire.12385","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fire.12385","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Utilizing a national individual-level medical dataset and the home bias phenomenon in investment, our study shows a strong and robust link between declines in local stock returns and increased antidepressant consumption among investors. This effect intensifies in areas with higher per capita dividend income, suggesting a direct relationship between higher stock ownership and stronger responses. We confirm that portfolio losses, not local economic conditions, are responsible for increased antidepressant usage during market downturns. Using the frequency of psychotherapy sessions yields similar findings. Moreover, our study supports the loss aversion hypothesis as we find positive stock returns do not influence antidepressant usage.</p>","PeriodicalId":47617,"journal":{"name":"FINANCIAL REVIEW","volume":"59 3","pages":"561-587"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/fire.12385","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140368106","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study examines whether firms led by founder-CEOs are significantly different from firms led by nonfounder-CEOs in terms of the nature of their risk. Our results show that founder-led firms are associated with higher operational but lower financial risk. We find that the differential nature of risk-taking in founder-CEO firms is driven by CEO's influence, their propensity of removal, and the probability of bankruptcy of the firm. While CEO-chair duality and the sensitivity of founder-CEO firm's probable bankruptcy play significant roles in determining the level of financial risk, the sensitivity of founder-CEOs to forced turnover leads to higher operational risk.
本研究探讨了创始人-CEO 领导的公司与非创始人-CEO 领导的公司在风险性质方面是否存在显著差异。我们的研究结果表明,创始人领导的公司运营风险较高,但财务风险较低。我们发现,创始人-CEO 企业承担风险的不同性质是由 CEO 的影响力、其被撤职的倾向以及企业破产的概率驱动的。首席执行官与董事长的双重身份和创始人-首席执行官公司可能破产的敏感性在决定财务风险水平方面发挥了重要作用,而创始人-首席执行官对被迫更替的敏感性则导致了更高的运营风险。
{"title":"Do firms led by founders take higher risk?","authors":"Edward Lawrence, Yuka Nishikawa, Arun Upadhyay","doi":"10.1111/fire.12388","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fire.12388","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines whether firms led by founder-CEOs are significantly different from firms led by nonfounder-CEOs in terms of the nature of their risk. Our results show that founder-led firms are associated with higher operational but lower financial risk. We find that the differential nature of risk-taking in founder-CEO firms is driven by CEO's influence, their propensity of removal, and the probability of bankruptcy of the firm. While CEO-chair duality and the sensitivity of founder-CEO firm's probable bankruptcy play significant roles in determining the level of financial risk, the sensitivity of founder-CEOs to forced turnover leads to higher operational risk.</p>","PeriodicalId":47617,"journal":{"name":"FINANCIAL REVIEW","volume":"59 3","pages":"687-717"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140298969","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper proposes the use of social media as a proxy for financial information. Using an extended sample of 53,580,759 tweets and employing text analysis tools (Latent Dirichlet Allocation and Term Frequency–Inverse Document Frequency), we determine the information being exchanged on any given day. We train machine-learning classifiers and forecast crypto price movements for more than 8000 cryptocurrencies and gauge market efficiency through successful forecasts based on public information. We propose various metrics of market efficiency for cryptocurrency assets and demonstrate that market efficiency is higher during the first 6 months after the Initial Coin Offering. We also examine the efficiency behavior of individual currencies during crisis periods.
{"title":"Efficient Market Hypothesis on the blockchain: A social-media-based index for cryptocurrency efficiency","authors":"Efstathios Polyzos, Ghulame Rubbaniy, Mieszko Mazur","doi":"10.1111/fire.12387","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fire.12387","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper proposes the use of social media as a proxy for financial information. Using an extended sample of 53,580,759 tweets and employing text analysis tools (Latent Dirichlet Allocation and Term Frequency–Inverse Document Frequency), we determine the information being exchanged on any given day. We train machine-learning classifiers and forecast crypto price movements for more than 8000 cryptocurrencies and gauge market efficiency through successful forecasts based on public information. We propose various metrics of market efficiency for cryptocurrency assets and demonstrate that market efficiency is higher during the first 6 months after the Initial Coin Offering. We also examine the efficiency behavior of individual currencies during crisis periods.</p>","PeriodicalId":47617,"journal":{"name":"FINANCIAL REVIEW","volume":"59 3","pages":"807-829"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140210383","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Birzhan Batkeyev, Mine Ertugrul, Karthik Krishnan, Pinshuo Wang
Using exogenous changes in the personal bankruptcy treatment of student loans as well as the level of student debt, we find that student debt has a negative effect on household retirement savings. This negative relation is present for younger and older individuals, and is larger for the latter group, indicating lower levels of retirement savings for precisely those who can least afford it. We also find that student debt is related to greater borrowing on retirement plans. Households with more student debt expect to have insufficient retirement income and are less able to plan financially for the long term.
{"title":"Is rising student debt affecting retirement savings? Evidence from the survey of consumer finances","authors":"Birzhan Batkeyev, Mine Ertugrul, Karthik Krishnan, Pinshuo Wang","doi":"10.1111/fire.12386","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fire.12386","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Using exogenous changes in the personal bankruptcy treatment of student loans as well as the level of student debt, we find that student debt has a negative effect on household retirement savings. This negative relation is present for younger and older individuals, and is larger for the latter group, indicating lower levels of retirement savings for precisely those who can least afford it. We also find that student debt is related to greater borrowing on retirement plans. Households with more student debt expect to have insufficient retirement income and are less able to plan financially for the long term.</p>","PeriodicalId":47617,"journal":{"name":"FINANCIAL REVIEW","volume":"59 3","pages":"589-623"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/fire.12386","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140172666","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper develops and empirically tests a new version of the trade-off theory of corporate capital structure choices that accounts for CEOs' biased beliefs, with a focus on overcaution. We characterize the bias as a distortion of expected rates of return on equity and debt that, for Overcautious CEOs, are overestimated compared to a rational CEO. The theory shows that if CEOs have higher bias in equity, than in debt-value estimation, overcautious CEOs will choose lower levels of debt compared to rational CEOs, and, if the degree of overcaution is sufficiently high, they will adopt a zero-leverage policy.
{"title":"CEO overcaution and capital structure choices","authors":"Francesco Rocciolo, Andrea Gheno, Chris Brooks","doi":"10.1111/fire.12383","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fire.12383","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper develops and empirically tests a new version of the trade-off theory of corporate capital structure choices that accounts for CEOs' biased beliefs, with a focus on overcaution. We characterize the bias as a distortion of expected rates of return on equity and debt that, for Overcautious CEOs, are overestimated compared to a rational CEO. The theory shows that if CEOs have higher bias in equity, than in debt-value estimation, overcautious CEOs will choose lower levels of debt compared to rational CEOs, and, if the degree of overcaution is sufficiently high, they will adopt a zero-leverage policy.</p>","PeriodicalId":47617,"journal":{"name":"FINANCIAL REVIEW","volume":"59 3","pages":"719-743"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/fire.12383","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140152491","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study examines the impact of employment background on the objectivity of profitability forecasts in the financial sector. We find that investment bank analysts provide relatively biased recommendations and less accurate forecasts than their counterparts at independent research firms (IRFs). The performance discrepancy is greater for bulge bracket banks and for firms involved in syndication with the analysts' employers. A closer look at analysts transitioning between IRFs and investment banks reveals that these biases stem from their affiliation with investment banks rather than personal bias. Our findings emphasize the critical influence of the work environment on analyst behavior.
{"title":"Institutional pressure and analyst behavior: Evidence from the financial sector","authors":"Chang Liu, Maoyong Fan, Manoj Athavale","doi":"10.1111/fire.12381","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fire.12381","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines the impact of employment background on the objectivity of profitability forecasts in the financial sector. We find that investment bank analysts provide relatively biased recommendations and less accurate forecasts than their counterparts at independent research firms (IRFs). The performance discrepancy is greater for bulge bracket banks and for firms involved in syndication with the analysts' employers. A closer look at analysts transitioning between IRFs and investment banks reveals that these biases stem from their affiliation with investment banks rather than personal bias. Our findings emphasize the critical influence of the work environment on analyst behavior.</p>","PeriodicalId":47617,"journal":{"name":"FINANCIAL REVIEW","volume":"59 4","pages":"1061-1097"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140047941","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper investigates the impact of discrimination publicity on employee opinion. The findings suggest that employees reduce their sentiments toward the firm and its leaders when discrimination becomes public via Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) announcements. Following the stakeholder theory of capital structure, the effect clusters in firms with above-average leverage. Additionally, discrimination announcements increase accruals and the E index, reinforcing a culture of negative management at the firm. These results suggest that human capital risk plays a vital role in employee reactions to discrimination announcements.
本文研究了歧视公告对员工意见的影响。研究结果表明,当歧视通过平等就业机会委员会(EEOC)的公告公之于众时,员工会降低对公司及其领导者的情感。根据资本结构的利益相关者理论,这种影响主要集中在杠杆率高于平均水平的公司。此外,歧视公告增加了应计项目和 E 指数,强化了公司的消极管理文化。这些结果表明,人力资本风险在员工对歧视公告的反应中起着至关重要的作用。
{"title":"Discrimination announcements, employee opinion, and capital structure: Evidence from the EEOC","authors":"Spencer Barnes","doi":"10.1111/fire.12382","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fire.12382","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper investigates the impact of discrimination publicity on employee opinion. The findings suggest that employees reduce their sentiments toward the firm and its leaders when discrimination becomes public via Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) announcements. Following the stakeholder theory of capital structure, the effect clusters in firms with above-average leverage. Additionally, discrimination announcements increase accruals and the E index, reinforcing a culture of negative management at the firm. These results suggest that human capital risk plays a vital role in employee reactions to discrimination announcements.</p>","PeriodicalId":47617,"journal":{"name":"FINANCIAL REVIEW","volume":"59 3","pages":"745-777"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140035440","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The asset pricing Literature suggests market sentiment is a state variable. This study shows that market sentiment is positively priced at the cross-section of stock returns, conditional on aggregate investors’ sentiment. We estimate individual stock sentiment beta and find that, following low-sentiment periods, stocks in the highest sentiment beta quintile generate a 0.74% higher monthly return than stocks in the lowest sentiment beta quintile. However, this return spread is insignificant following medium- or high-sentiment periods. This finding is consistent with the argument that overpricing following high-sentiment periods is more prevalent than underpricing following low-sentiment periods due to short-sale constraints.
{"title":"Sentiment and the cross-section of expected stock returns","authors":"Gady Jacoby, Chi Liao, Nanying Lin, Lei Lu","doi":"10.1111/fire.12380","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fire.12380","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The asset pricing Literature suggests market sentiment is a state variable. This study shows that market sentiment is positively priced at the cross-section of stock returns, conditional on aggregate investors’ sentiment. We estimate individual stock sentiment beta and find that, following low-sentiment periods, stocks in the highest sentiment beta quintile generate a 0.74% higher monthly return than stocks in the lowest sentiment beta quintile. However, this return spread is insignificant following medium- or high-sentiment periods. This finding is consistent with the argument that overpricing following high-sentiment periods is more prevalent than underpricing following low-sentiment periods due to short-sale constraints.</p>","PeriodicalId":47617,"journal":{"name":"FINANCIAL REVIEW","volume":"59 2","pages":"459-485"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139924606","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Following the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster, utilities firms increase their commitments to corporate social responsibility (CSR), emphasizing on addressing environmental concerns over non-environmental ones. The intensified focus on CSR is especially significant in utilities firms with substantial institutional ownerships. Concurrent to the increase in CSR, utilities firms also exhibit a decline in advertising expenditures, a trend more pronounced in firms facing more financial constraints. Our findings suggest that utilities firms substitute CSR for advertising following the Fukushima accident. This shift appears driven by investors’ heightened focus on environmental issues in the aftermath of the accident.
{"title":"Corporate social responsibility and investor relationship management","authors":"Jie Jiao, Yanyang Wang, An Yan","doi":"10.1111/fire.12377","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fire.12377","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Following the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster, utilities firms increase their commitments to corporate social responsibility (CSR), emphasizing on addressing environmental concerns over non-environmental ones. The intensified focus on CSR is especially significant in utilities firms with substantial institutional ownerships. Concurrent to the increase in CSR, utilities firms also exhibit a decline in advertising expenditures, a trend more pronounced in firms facing more financial constraints. Our findings suggest that utilities firms substitute CSR for advertising following the Fukushima accident. This shift appears driven by investors’ heightened focus on environmental issues in the aftermath of the accident.</p>","PeriodicalId":47617,"journal":{"name":"FINANCIAL REVIEW","volume":"59 3","pages":"657-685"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139588755","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Academic research should strive to increase our understanding of the world we live in, and as such open the door for improvements in this world. With this goal in mind, this piece represents a call for academics to jointly consider their research agenda and the audience for this research. This audience might include people working in industry or policy makers. Closer connections between academia and broader audiences contribute to research that informs debates on the salient issues of today, higher quality studies on these issues, and greater impact. To provide insight on the relation between academic research and the most salient current issues, I compare topics of focus within academic journals with topics of focus in industry articles and regulatory publications. I identify gaps and suggest areas for future research.
{"title":"The questions being asked: Academic research, the media, and regulators","authors":"Michelle Lowry","doi":"10.1111/fire.12376","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fire.12376","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Academic research should strive to increase our understanding of the world we live in, and as such open the door for improvements in this world. With this goal in mind, this piece represents a call for academics to jointly consider their research agenda and the audience for this research. This audience might include people working in industry or policy makers. Closer connections between academia and broader audiences contribute to research that informs debates on the salient issues of today, higher quality studies on these issues, and greater impact. To provide insight on the relation between academic research and the most salient current issues, I compare topics of focus within academic journals with topics of focus in industry articles and regulatory publications. I identify gaps and suggest areas for future research.</p>","PeriodicalId":47617,"journal":{"name":"FINANCIAL REVIEW","volume":"59 3","pages":"549-560"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139552989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}