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Dual holding and bank risk 双重持有和银行风险
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-04-05 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12341
Stefano Bonini, Ali Taatian

Using the 2007–2009 financial crisis as a quasi-natural experiment, we show that banks with investors holding simultaneously both equity and bonds (dual-holders) exhibit lower risk and superior performance. Dual-holders' influence is higher in more opaque banks, indicating that the mechanism of transmission is through a decrease in information asymmetry and a reduction in debtholder–shareholder conflict. This effect translates into higher unconditional and risk-adjusted stock returns. These economically large results show that a market mechanism implemented by outside investors is strongly effective in mitigating excessive risk taking by banks thus providing important normative implications for the stability of financial systems.

以2007-2009年金融危机为准自然实验,我们发现投资者同时持有股票和债券(双重持有人)的银行表现出较低的风险和较高的业绩。双重持有人的影响力在更不透明的银行中更高,这表明传递机制是通过减少信息不对称和减少债务持有人-股东冲突来实现的。这种影响转化为更高的无条件和风险调整股票回报。这些经济规模较大的结果表明,外部投资者实施的市场机制在减轻银行过度承担风险方面非常有效,从而为金融系统的稳定提供了重要的规范意义。
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引用次数: 0
Uncertainty and corporate investments in response to the Fed's dual shocks 应对美联储双重冲击的不确定性和企业投资
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-04-04 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12342
Samer Adra, Elie Menassa

The Federal Reserve's impact on corporate investments varies with the type of monetary shock. From a conventional standpoint, contractionary monetary shocks trigger a rise in financing costs that significantly reduce investment. Such effects are predicted by the widely investigated monetary policy channels. However, we highlight informational circumstances under which monetary contraction reduces uncertainty and incentivizes a rise in investment. These effects arise when monetary tightening conveys a positive assessment of the macroeconomic outlook by the Fed. We further show that the positive effect of contractionary Fed information shocks on investment is largely driven by these shocks’ ability to reduce uncertainty.

美联储对企业投资的影响因货币冲击的类型而异。从传统观点来看,紧缩性货币冲击会引发融资成本上升,从而大幅减少投资。广泛调查的货币政策渠道预测了这种影响。然而,我们强调了货币紧缩减少不确定性并激励投资增长的信息环境。当货币紧缩传达出美联储对宏观经济前景的积极评估时,就会产生这些影响。我们进一步表明,收缩性美联储信息冲击对投资的积极影响在很大程度上是由这些冲击减少不确定性的能力驱动的。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the transmission of crash risk between cryptocurrency and equity markets 了解加密货币和股票市场之间崩溃风险的传递
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-03-02 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12340
Peng-Fei Dai, John W. Goodell, Luu Duc Toan Huynh, Zhifeng Liu, Shaen Corbet

We evidence that cryptocurrencies have a higher probability of crashes than equity indices, although such crashes are of shorter duration. Commonality of crash risk between cryptocurrency and equity markets occur in approximately 80% of the periods examined. Further, recently evolved cryptocurrency uncertainty indices are more relevant for predicting co-crash behavior than economic policy uncertainty. Results are consistent with cryptocurrencies being a growing source of financial instability.

我们证明,加密货币比股票指数崩溃的概率更高,尽管这种崩溃的持续时间更短。加密货币和股票市场之间崩溃风险的普遍性发生在大约80%的研究时期。此外,与经济政策的不确定性相比,最近发展的加密货币不确定性指数更适合预测共同崩溃行为。结果表明,加密货币是金融不稳定的一个日益严重的来源。
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引用次数: 0
Are polluters shunned? A study on the institutional ownership and returns of polluter stocks 污染者被回避了吗?污染股的机构所有权与收益研究
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12338
Mihir Tirodkar, Henk Berkman

We hypothesise that societal norms cause institutional investors to discriminate against polluters. Consistent with this hypothesis, we document relatively lower institutional ownership for the most polluting firms in the United States. Institutional discrimination against polluters increases over 1987–2018, in line with increasing environmental awareness. Institutions are primarily averse to investments in dioxin emitters. Institutions that prioritize portfolio performance are less sensitive to societal norms against polluters, as are institutions with shorter investment horizons and more aggressive trading strategies. Lastly, we test whether investor discrimination affects polluter equity valuations and creates systematic trading opportunities, but find no convincing evidence of a polluter return premium.

我们假设社会规范导致机构投资者歧视污染者。与这一假设一致,我们记录了美国污染最严重的公司相对较低的机构所有权。1987年至2018年,随着环境意识的提高,对污染者的制度歧视有所增加。机构主要反对对二恶英排放者进行投资。优先考虑投资组合绩效的机构对针对污染者的社会规范不太敏感,投资期限更短、交易策略更激进的机构也是如此。最后,我们测试了投资者歧视是否会影响污染者股权估值并创造系统的交易机会,但没有发现令人信服的证据表明污染者回报溢价。
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引用次数: 0
Are mergers and acquisitions beneficial to consumers? Evidence from the property-liability insurance industry 并购对消费者有利吗?财产责任保险业的证据
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-02-23 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12339
Jeungbo Shim

We examine price changes associated with mergers and acquisitions (M&As) in the U.S. property-liability insurance industry. We classify M&As into intrastate M&As, where the acquirer and the target previously operated in the same local market, and interstate M&As, where the acquirer and the target operated in different local markets. We show that insurance prices of acquiring firms decrease following interstate M&As, whereas there is no significant effect of M&As on price changes in intrastate consolidation. Using an interaction term between interstate M&A indicators and acquirers’ efficiency, we find evidence to suggest that acquirers’ efficiency can explain the price decrease in interstate M&As. It appears that acquirers’ efficiency can be passed on to consumers, and interstate M&As have a beneficial effect on consumers in the form of reduced prices.

我们研究了美国财产责任保险行业中与并购相关的价格变化。我们将M&;至于州内并购;如收购方和目标之前在同一个当地市场运营,以及州际并购;As,收购方和目标方在不同的本地市场开展业务。我们发现,并购公司的保险价格随着州际并购而下降;然而并购并没有显著的影响;关于州内整合中的价格变化。使用州际并购之间的互动术语;A指标和收购方效率,我们发现有证据表明,收购方效率可以解释州际并购价格下降的原因;收购方的效率似乎可以传递给消费者;As以降价的形式对消费者产生了有益的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Investor attention and the use of leverage 投资者关注和杠杆的使用
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-02-13 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12337
Denis Davydov, Jarkko Peltomäki

We investigate the effects of using different sources of investment leverage, that is, securities with embedded leverage and traditional margin accounts, on the portfolio performance of retail investors, recognizing that these effects may be conditional on investor attention. We find that investors who trade on margin underperform those who do not have margin accounts; we also find that investors trading securities with embedded leverage show even poorer performance than investors trading on margin. The negative effect of leverage usage, however, decreases with greater investor attention, measured by portfolio monitoring frequency. Results suggest that more attentive investors gain more from using investment leverage.

我们研究了使用不同投资杠杆来源(即具有嵌入杠杆的证券和传统保证金账户)对散户投资者投资组合绩效的影响,认识到这些影响可能取决于投资者的关注度。我们发现,进行保证金交易的投资者表现不如没有保证金账户的投资者;我们还发现,使用嵌入式杠杆交易证券的投资者表现甚至比使用保证金交易的投资者差。然而,通过投资组合监测频率衡量,杠杆使用的负面影响随着投资者关注的增加而减少。研究结果表明,更专注的投资者从使用投资杠杆中获得更多收益。
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引用次数: 0
Unveil the veil of limited liability: Evidence from firm investment 揭开有限责任的面纱:来自企业投资的证据
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-02-02 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12336
Jiaqi Qin, Yan Sun

We investigate the effect of limited liability on firm investment. We find firms that intend to borrow but have higher risk have a greater probability of changing to limited liability. With propensity score matching, difference-in-differences analysis, and switching regressions with an endogenous switching model, we find that, after the liability regime change, firm investment aggressiveness decreases but on a lesser level than the over-time change for firms using unlimited liability. We also find there is improvement in investment efficiency and return on invested capital. These results suggest that limited liability encourages firm investment and leads to more effective investment policies.

我们研究了有限责任对企业投资的影响。我们发现,打算借款但风险较高的公司更有可能转为有限责任公司。通过倾向得分匹配、差异分析和内生转换模型的转换回归,我们发现,在负债制度变化后,企业投资积极性下降,但水平低于使用无限负债的企业的投资积极性随时间的变化。我们还发现,投资效率和投资资本回报率都有所提高。这些结果表明,有限责任鼓励企业投资,并导致更有效的投资政策。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 intensity across U.S. states and the liquidity of U.S. equity markets 美国各州新冠肺炎疫情强度和美国股市流动性
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12335
Ahmed Baig, Jason Berkowitz, Ronald Jared DeLisle, Todd Griffith

We study the effects of COVID-19 intensity on equity market liquidity across U.S. states. We exploit cross-sectional variation in cases and deaths to investigate any association with the deterioration of stock liquidity of firms whose headquarters or operations are in the corresponding state(s). Our motivation stems from several underlying economic channels such as order processing costs, inventory costs, and adverse selection costs. We find strong negative relations between pandemic intensity and various intra-day liquidity measures. Our results are more pronounced for firms operating in states with more stringent containment and health measures and within industries with greater risk exposure.

我们研究了新冠肺炎疫情强度对美国各州股票市场流动性的影响。我们利用病例和死亡人数的横截面变化来调查总部或运营处于相应州的公司股票流动性恶化的任何关联。我们的动机源于几个潜在的经济渠道,如订单处理成本、库存成本和逆向选择成本。我们发现,疫情强度与各种日内流动性指标之间存在强烈的负相关关系。我们的研究结果对于在遏制和健康措施更严格的州运营的公司以及风险敞口更大的行业运营的公司来说更为明显。
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引用次数: 1
Trading under uncertainty about other market participants 在其他市场参与者的不确定性下进行交易
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-01-18 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12333
Dimitris Papadimitriou

I present an asymmetric information model of financial markets in which there is uncertainty and learning not only about fundamentals but also about the proportion of informed-to-noise traders in the market. Extreme news leads to an increase in both types of uncertainty, while it decreases price informativeness. Uncertainty about the market composition constitutes a type of liquidity risk and is associated with high expected returns. The resulting price–volume relationship is U-shaped and positively sloped. In a dynamic extension of the model I show that this mechanism generates momentum as well as history-dependent volatility and price informativeness.

我提出了一个金融市场的不对称信息模型,其中存在不确定性,不仅了解基本面,还了解市场中知情交易者与噪声交易者的比例。极端新闻导致这两种类型的不确定性增加,同时降低了价格信息性。市场构成的不确定性构成了一种流动性风险,并与高预期回报有关。由此产生的价格-数量关系是U型的,并且是正倾斜的。在模型的动态扩展中,我表明这种机制产生了动量以及历史相关的波动性和价格信息性。
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引用次数: 0
Political connections of Chinese fund management companies and fund performance 中国基金管理公司的政治关系与基金业绩
IF 3.2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-01-18 DOI: 10.1111/fire.12334
Chao He, Lawrence Kryzanowski, Yunfei Zhao

This study uses hand-collected information on shareholders’ backgrounds of mutual funds and their fund management companies (FMCs), and administrative and criminal penalties for insider trading as the proxy of government regulation intensity. We fill a gap in the literature by identifying a positive relationship between funds’ performance and the proportion of state-owned FMC ownership that becomes negative when the Chinese government increased its regulatory effort to reduce informational advantages from political connections obtained through this ownership channel. Results are robust using DiD and IV analyses, placebo tests, propensity score matching, Oster test for missing covariates, channel tests, and alternate ownership classifications.

本研究使用手工收集的关于共同基金及其基金管理公司(FMCs)股东背景的信息,以及对内幕交易的行政和刑事处罚,作为政府监管强度的代表。我们通过确定基金业绩与国有快速消费品所有权比例之间的正相关关系来填补文献中的空白,当中国政府加大监管力度以减少通过这种所有权渠道获得的政治联系带来的信息优势时,这种正相关关系变为负。使用DiD和IV分析、安慰剂测试、倾向评分匹配、缺失协变量的Oster测试、通道测试和替代所有权分类,结果是稳健的。
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FINANCIAL REVIEW
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