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The informal economy and the reach of policy interventions: Evidence from the COVID‐19 lockdown in India 非正规经济与政策干预的影响范围:来自印度 COVID-19 封锁的证据
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13129
Andrei Zhirnov, Abdul Basit Adeel
This essay examines the influence of the informal economy on the reach of government interventions in public health crises. It reports the results of an analysis of the self‐reported suspension of business operations during the pandemic, as well as a district‐level analysis of the changing patterns in community movement in response to the lockdown in India in March 2020. We find that informal establishments were less likely to suspend their operations and that the prevalence of the informal economy weakened the behavioral response of the communities to social distancing measures. In addition to bringing to light an understudied facet of the societal response to the COVID‐19 pandemic, this result demonstrates the importance of economic institutions for understanding public governance.
本文探讨了非正规经济对政府在公共卫生危机中进行干预的影响。文章报告了对大流行病期间企业自行报告的暂停营业情况的分析结果,以及对 2020 年 3 月印度为应对封锁而改变社区运动模式的地区级分析结果。我们发现,非正规企业不太可能暂停营业,而非正规经济的盛行削弱了社区对社会隔离措施的行为反应。这一结果不仅揭示了社会应对 COVID-19 大流行的一个未被充分研究的方面,还证明了经济机构对于理解公共治理的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Improved livestock production system and welfare in rural Ethiopia 改善埃塞俄比亚农村地区的畜牧生产系统和福利
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13127
Musa Hasen Ahmed, Wondimagegn Mesfin Tesfaye
While a lot has been written on the socio‐economic and welfare impacts of agricultural technologies, there has been a bias toward crop production systems to the neglect of improved livestock production methods and technologies. This paper explores the welfare impacts of improved livestock production practices and technologies using data from a low‐income country. Using an econometrics technique that corrects selection bias, the paper shows that the adoption of improved livestock production practices has a positive impact on household welfare, measured by consumption expenditure and diet quality. The study also identified increased consumption of animal source foods, reducing animal death and income from the sale of animals as potential mechanisms through which such improvements in livestock production affect family welfare.
虽然关于农业技术对社会经济和福利的影响已有很多论述,但人们一直偏重于作物生产系统,而忽视了改良的畜牧业生产方法和技术。本文利用一个低收入国家的数据,探讨了改良畜牧生产方法和技术对福利的影响。通过使用纠正选择偏差的计量经济学技术,本文表明,采用改良的畜牧业生产方式对家庭福利有积极影响,其衡量标准是消费支出和饮食质量。研究还发现,增加动物源性食品的消费、减少动物死亡和出售动物所得收入是畜牧业生产改进对家庭福利产生影响的潜在机制。
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引用次数: 0
The tax revenue implication of trade liberalisation in sub‐Saharan Africa: Some new evidence 撒哈拉以南非洲贸易自由化对税收的影响:一些新证据
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13106
Olanrewaju Kassim
Despite the advent of trade liberalisation, trade taxes still remain a key source of tax revenues in sub‐Saharan Africa. Further trade reforms in the form of the African Continental Free Trade Area could, however, hinder output growth in the region if these reforms lead to a decline in total tax revenues. Motivated by this conundrum, this paper investigates the impact of trade liberalisation on tax revenues across a panel of sub‐Saharan African countries. The results indicate that trade liberalisation is associated with an increase in total tax revenues. Also, the reduction of import and export duties significantly increases and decreases domestic and trade tax revenues, respectively. In addition, greater urbanisation is associated with an increase in total tax revenues, while inflation decreases tax revenues.
尽管贸易自由化已经到来,但贸易税仍然是撒哈拉以南非洲税收的主要来源。然而,如果以非洲大陆自由贸易区为形式的进一步贸易改革导致税收总额下降,那么这些改革可能会阻碍该地区的产出增长。在这一难题的推动下,本文研究了贸易自由化对撒哈拉以南非洲国家税收的影响。结果表明,贸易自由化与税收总额的增加有关。同时,进口税和出口税的降低分别显著增加和减少了国内税收和贸易税收。此外,城市化程度的提高与总税收的增加有关,而通货膨胀则会减少税收。
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引用次数: 0
Did the nationwide implementation of electronic fund management in the Indian employment guarantee scheme result in reduced expenditures? A re‐examination of the evidence 印度就业保障计划在全国范围内实施电子资金管理是否减少了支出?对证据的重新审视
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13105
Deepti Goel, J. V. Meenakshi, Zaeen de Souza
Digital tools are increasingly being used in welfare programmes to reduce corruption and increase transparency. Banerjee et al. (2020, E‐governance, accountability, and leakage in public programmes: experimental evidence from a financial management reform in India. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20180302) evaluate the effectiveness of one such intervention. In a later section of their paper, they use a Two‐Way Fixed Effects (TWFE) specification to examine the consequences of the nationwide scale of an electronic funds management system in India's workfare programme, and report that it reduced expenditures by 19%. The present paper extends its analysis by (a) exploiting the recent literature that disaggregates the TWFE coefficient in the presence of staggered treatment timing to pinpoint sources of identifying variation and (b) attempting to uncover heterogeneity in treatment effects. We find that certain problematic comparisons have a large weight in the TWFE coefficient. Further, an event study analysis of the six constituent and valid comparisons shows that there is no support for parallel trends, so lag coefficients cannot be vested with causal interpretation. Our results imply that large‐scale evaluations, because of the very diversity they encompass, need to explicitly account for the factors that are responsible for programme effectiveness.
福利计划中越来越多地使用数字工具来减少腐败和提高透明度。Banerjee 等人(2020 年,《公共项目中的电子政务、问责制和渗漏:来自印度财政管理改革的实验证据》。American Economic Journal:https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20180302) 评估了其中一项干预措施的有效性。在其论文的后一部分,他们使用双向固定效应(TWFE)规范来研究印度工作福利计划中全国范围内电子资金管理系统的后果,并报告说该系统使支出减少了 19%。本文对其分析进行了扩展:(a) 利用最近的文献,在治疗时间交错的情况下对 TWFE 系数进行分解,以确定识别变异的来源;(b) 尝试揭示治疗效果的异质性。我们发现,某些有问题的比较在 TWFE 系数中占有很大比重。此外,对六项有效比较的事件研究分析表明,并不支持平行趋势,因此滞后系数不能被赋予因果解释。我们的研究结果表明,由于大规模评估所包含的多样性,因此需要明确考虑影响计划效 力的因素。
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引用次数: 0
Mobile phones, income diversification, and poverty reduction in rural Bangladesh 孟加拉国农村的移动电话、收入多样化和减贫
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-02 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13110
Masanori Matsuura‐Kannari, Abu Hayat Md. Saiful Islam, Salauddin Tauseef
The widespread adoption of mobile phones (MPs) presents the possibility of creating employment and self‐employment opportunities. Although several studies have documented the impact of MPs on income, the link between MP ownership and poverty reduction channeled by income diversification has not been fully explored. This paper aims to examine this relationship using nationally representative panel data and fixed effect models to account for confounding factors and unobserved heterogeneity. Results indicate that MP ownership is associated with increased income diversification, particularly through on‐farm and off‐farm self‐employment, as well as non‐earned income. This relationship is more pronounced in households with lower levels of education and deprived areas. In addition, owning a MP is also found to decrease poverty via income diversification. Therefore, policies aimed at enhancing access to mobile technologies could create a resilient income portfolio by decreasing transaction costs and improving market efficiency, ultimately mitigating poverty in rural regions.
移动电话(MPs)的广泛使用为创造就业和自营职业机会提供了可能。虽然已有多项研究记录了移动电话对收入的影响,但尚未充分探讨移动电话所有权与通过收入多样化减少贫困之间的联系。本文旨在利用具有全国代表性的面板数据和固定效应模型来研究这种关系,以考虑混杂因素和未观察到的异质性。结果表明,MP 所有权与收入多样化的增加有关,特别是通过农场内和农场外的自营职业以及非工资收入。这种关系在教育水平较低的家庭和贫困地区更为明显。此外,还发现拥有 MP 可以通过收入多样化减少贫困。因此,旨在促进获得移动技术的政策可以通过降低交易成本和提高市场效率来创造有弹性的收入组合,最终减轻农村地区的贫困。
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引用次数: 0
Re‐evaluating Africa's growth, poverty and inequality nexus 重新评估非洲的增长、贫困和不平等关系
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-02 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13107
Babatunde Aiyemo
This study evaluates the role of growth in poverty reduction within the sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) region in direct comparison to other global regions along time‐delineated thresholds. The study's results show (i) A significant gulf in the performance of SSA economies in comparison to their global cohorts; (ii) An improved role played by growth after the mid‐2000s for poverty reduction in SSA; (iii) A less deleterious impact of rising income inequality on poverty reduction within the SSA sub‐region relative to other global regions, and (iv) An improved performance of resource‐dependent SSA economies in translating growth to poverty reduction since the mid‐2000s. The convergence in growth‐induced poverty reduction between SSA and its global cohorts energizes prospects for attaining the Sustainable Development Goal of eradicating global extreme poverty by 2030; it however also calls for renewed strategies toward improving the efficacy of growth in future poverty reduction within the sub‐region.
本研究评估了撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)地区的经济增长在减贫中的作用,并将其与全球其他地区按时间临界点进行了直接比较。研究结果表明:(i) 与全球同类国家相比,撒哈拉以南非洲经济体的表现存在巨大差距;(ii) 2000 年代中期以后,增长对撒哈拉以南非洲减贫的作用有所改善;(iii) 与全球其他地区相比,收入不平等加剧对撒哈拉以南非洲次区域减贫的有害影响较小;(iv) 自 2000 年代中期以来,依赖资源的撒哈拉以南非洲经济体在将增长转化为减贫方面的表现有所改善。撒南非洲与其全球同类地区在增长引起的减贫方面的趋同,为实现到 2030 年消除全球极端贫困的可持续发展目标的前景注入了活力;然而,这也要求重新制定战略,以提高增长在该次区域未来减贫工作中的效力。
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引用次数: 0
The role of formal, informal, and family credit in the business performance of young entrepreneurs in Benin 正规、非正规和家庭信贷在贝宁青年企业家经营业绩中的作用
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13104
Djossou Gbetoton Nadege, Novignon Jacob, Abdelkrim Araar
This research estimated the impact of credit uptake (formal, informal, and family) on youth entrepreneurship performance in Benin using panel data from a World Bank survey on enterprise formalization. To address potential endogeneity and ensure the robustness of results, we employed multiple models and estimation techniques (fixed‐effects and Lewbel approach). Our results showed that, while formal credit was most important for larger firms, smaller firms benefited mainly from flexible (informal or family) credit. The impact of credit uptake was generally higher for female‐owned firms. There were also variations in uptake according to the firm owner's age. The impact of formal credit was relatively higher for older firm owners while informal credit impacted more younger owners. The findings highlight the importance of informal and family credit sources, especially for start‐ups and small firms.
本研究利用世界银行关于企业正规化调查的面板数据,估算了信贷吸收(正规、非正规和家庭)对贝宁青年创业表现的影响。为了解决潜在的内生性问题并确保结果的稳健性,我们采用了多种模型和估算技术(固定效应和卢贝尔方法)。结果表明,正规信贷对大型企业最为重要,而小型企业则主要受益于灵活(非正规或家庭)信贷。对女性所有的企业而言,信贷吸收的影响通常更大。企业主的年龄不同,获得信贷的情况也不同。正规信贷对年长企业主的影响相对较大,而非正规信贷对年轻企业主的影响更大。研究结果凸显了非正规信贷和家庭信贷来源的重要性,尤其是对初创企业和小型企业而言。
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引用次数: 0
Free zones and manufactured export competitiveness from Africa 自由区与非洲制成品出口竞争力
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13103
Dieu Ne Dort Talla Fokam, Rodrigue Nda'chi Deffo, Ernest Youmto, Benjamin Fomba Kamga
This study analyzes the effect of free zones on the competitiveness of manufactured exports from Africa. Particular interest is devoted to the channels through which free zones affect export competitiveness. The empirical analysis covers a sample of 29 countries for the period 1996–2018. Using panel data techniques, the results show that the free zone has a positive and significant effect on export competitiveness. The main transmission channels identified are foreign direct investment inflow, human capital, and institutional quality. As the main policy implication, policymakers in Africa need to invest more in human capital development and improve the attractiveness of the investment environment as a priority for having productive free zones.
本研究分析了自由区对非洲制成品出口竞争力的影响。研究特别关注自由区影响出口竞争力的渠道。实证分析涵盖了 1996-2018 年间 29 个国家的样本。利用面板数据技术,结果表明自由区对出口竞争力有积极而显著的影响。确定的主要传导渠道包括外国直接投资流入、人力资本和制度质量。作为主要的政策含义,非洲的政策制定者需要加大对人力资本开发的投资,并提高投资环境的吸引力,将其作为建立富有成效的自由区的优先事项。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamics of energy transition and climate actions on sustainable cities: A cross country comparison of East Asia and Pacific 能源转型和气候行动对可持续城市的影响:东亚和太平洋地区的跨国比较
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13102
Humaira Yasmeen, Hashim Zameer
Massive energy consumption and poor regulatory framework in urban areas have created environmental slums and are a serious threat to sustainability. East Asian and Pacific economies are vulnerable to climate crises and striving for sustainability by transition to green energy and taking climate initiatives. In the past, no study has explored the effectiveness of energy transitions and climate actions in the context of East Asia and Pacific. To understand the effectiveness of these efforts, this study has been planned and executed to examine the impact of energy transition and climate actions, along with emissions from residential and commercial buildings, per capita income, and effective governance, on sustainable cities and communities in East Asia and the Pacific region. The study utilizes panel data of six high‐income countries and 11 lower‐middle and upper‐middle income countries from 2000 to 2022 for comparative empirical analysis. Empirical analysis is performed using truncated regression due to the nature of the data. The study found that energy transition, climate actions, and governance effectiveness increase the sustainability of cities and communities. However, emissions from residential buildings and per capita income adversely affect the sustainability of cities and communities. Furthermore, the dynamics of energy transition and climate change vary according to the income classifications of East Asian and Pacific countries. Energy transition and emissions showed a higher impact in HICs, while climate actions were more resilient in lower‐middle and upper‐middle income countries. These findings emphasize the transition to clean and green energy, prompt climate policy actions, and effective governance to ensure sustainability in East Asian and Pacific cities and communities.
城市地区大量的能源消耗和不良的监管框架造成了环境贫民窟,对可持续性构成严重威胁。东亚和太平洋地区的经济很容易受到气候危机的影响,它们正努力通过向绿色能源转型和采取气候行动来实现可持续发展。过去,没有研究探讨过东亚和太平洋地区能源转型和气候行动的有效性。为了解这些努力的有效性,本研究计划并实施了能源转型和气候行动,以及住宅和商业建筑的排放、人均收入和有效治理对东亚和太平洋地区可持续城市和社区的影响。研究利用 2000 年至 2022 年 6 个高收入国家和 11 个中低收入及中高收入国家的面板数据进行比较实证分析。由于数据的性质,实证分析采用截断回归法。研究发现,能源转型、气候行动和治理成效提高了城市和社区的可持续性。然而,住宅建筑的排放和人均收入对城市和社区的可持续性产生了不利影响。此外,能源转型和气候变化的动态因东亚和太平洋国家的收入分类而异。能源转型和排放对高收入国家的影响更大,而气候行动对中低收入和中高收入国家的影响更大。这些研究结果强调了向清洁和绿色能源的过渡、及时的气候政策行动以及有效的治理,以确保东亚和太平洋地区城市和社区的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
How do small formal and informal firms in Egypt compare? An analysis of firm characteristics and implications for formalization efforts 埃及正规和非正规小企业如何比较?公司特点分析及对正规化努力的影响
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13101
Caroline Krafft, Ragui Assaad, Khandker Wahedur Rahman, Maakwe Cumanzala
Formalizing firms can potentially increase the tax base, expand safety and social protections for workers, create good jobs, and promote firm growth. However, the costs and processes of formality may be too challenging for some firms to bear. Thus, informal firms may not be able to survive the transition to formality, and attempts to expand formality through more intensive enforcement may be harmful and counterproductive to job creation and growth. This paper investigates the potential for currently informal firms to formalize in Egypt. The paper compares the characteristics of formal and informal micro and small nonagricultural firms and identifies the extent of similarities and potential for formalization. The analysis finds that, beyond firm size and whether the firm operates in a fixed establishment, the basic and easily observable characteristics of firms are not closely linked to formality. Firm age, productivity, and owner characteristics, such as education, are strongly predictive of formality. The predicted probability of being formal is greater than 50% for only about 26% of informal firms, suggesting most firms are not good candidates for formalization. The paper develops profiles (groups and clusters) of similar firms to identify those with a higher potential for formalization.
公司正规化有可能增加税收基础,扩大对工人的安全和社会保护,创造良好的就业机会,并促进公司发展。然而,正规化的成本和程序对某些企业来说可能过于艰巨,难以承受。因此,非正规企业可能无法在向正规化过渡的过程中存活下来,而通过加强执法来扩大正规化的尝试可能对创造就业和增长有害无益。本文研究了埃及目前非正规企业正规化的潜力。本文比较了正规和非正规微型和小型非农业公司的特点,并确定了其相似程度和正规化的潜力。分析发现,除了企业规模和企业是否在固定场所经营之外,企业的基本和易于观察的特征与正规化并无密切联系。企业年龄、生产率和所有者特征(如教育程度)对正规化有很强的预测性。只有约 26% 的非正规企业的正规化预测概率大于 50%,这表明大多数企业并不适合正规化。本文建立了类似企业的档案(群组和集群),以确定哪些企业具有更高的正规化潜力。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Review of Development Economics
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