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Poverty reduction and migration in rural Vietnam: Role of local firm clusters 越南农村地区的减贫与移民:当地企业集群的作用
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13098
Pham Tien Thanh, Katsuhiro Saito
Firm clusters are considered as a contributing factor to local economic development. However, there are limited studies on the effect of firm clusters on the well‐being of rural communities, particularly in terms of income improvement, poverty reduction, and migration. Our research aims to shed light on these relationships at both the household and commune levels. For empirical analysis, we employ the propensity score matching method to mitigate endogeneity bias. Our results reveal the role of firm clusters in increasing income and reducing poverty. Firm clusters also contribute to decreasing labor emigration and attracting immigrants. However, the magnitude of these impacts is relatively small, with moderate effects on income and modest effects on poverty and migration. In particular, firm clusters reduce the commune poverty rate by around 2.36%–2.51% and enhance household annual income by approximately 16.46–17.08 million VND (725–752 USD). Furthermore, analyses at the household level highlight the significance of larger clusters in improving household income. Our research underscores policy implications for rural development with a specific emphasis on firm clusters.
企业集群被认为是促进地方经济发展的一个因素。然而,关于企业集群对农村社区福祉的影响,尤其是在提高收入、减少贫困和人口迁移方面的影响的研究却十分有限。我们的研究旨在从家庭和乡镇两个层面阐明这些关系。在实证分析中,我们采用了倾向得分匹配法来减轻内生性偏差。我们的研究结果揭示了企业集群在增加收入和减少贫困方面的作用。企业集群还有助于减少劳动力外流和吸引移民。然而,这些影响的幅度相对较小,对收入的影响一般,对贫困和移民的影响不大。其中,企业集群使乡镇贫困率降低了约 2.36%-2.51%,家庭年收入增加了约 1646-1708 万越南盾(725-752 美元)。此外,家庭层面的分析凸显了规模较大的企业集群在提高家庭收入方面的重要作用。我们的研究强调了对农村发展的政策影响,特别是对企业集群的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of mini‐grid rural electrification on urbanization: Evidence from the pilot mini‐grid systems in Ghana 小电网农村电气化对城市化的影响:来自加纳微型电网试点系统的证据
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-02-23 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13093
Justice Gyimah, Yang Liu, George Nyantakyi, Xilong Yao
Mini‐grid electrification constitutes an increasingly important solution to universal access to energy, notably in off‐grid rural Africa. Rural electrification has important implications for mitigating the immigration trends of the rural population toward urban regions. In this study, we adopted a mediation model to investigate the direct and indirect effects of mini‐grid electrification on the urbanization process, and multivariate regression is employed as a robustness check. More specifically, with the support of a mini‐grid project in Ghana, we conducted a survey to assess the perception of the local population about the impact of rural electrification on healthcare, education, employment, and security and further examined the impact of these development outcomes on their willingness to immigrate to cities. The study's findings suggested that the development of rural electrification helped improve education, healthcare, security, and employment, significantly affecting urbanization. Our study concluded that increased electricity access through mini‐grids tends to reduce the urbanization trends in rural Ghana.
微型电网电气化是普及能源的一个日益重要的解决方案,尤其是在非洲的离网农村地区。农村电气化对于缓解农村人口向城市地区移民的趋势具有重要意义。在本研究中,我们采用中介模型来研究微型电网电气化对城市化进程的直接和间接影响,并采用多元回归作为稳健性检验。更具体地说,在加纳微型电网项目的支持下,我们开展了一项调查,评估当地居民对农村电气化对医疗、教育、就业和安全影响的看法,并进一步考察了这些发展成果对他们移民到城市意愿的影响。研究结果表明,农村电气化的发展有助于改善教育、医疗、安全和就业,对城市化产生了重大影响。我们的研究得出结论,通过微型电网增加电力供应往往会降低加纳农村地区的城市化趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Electoral cycles and public spending during the pandemic 大流行病期间的选举周期和公共开支
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-02-20 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13094
Michael Lokshin, Aylén Rodriguez‐Ferrari, Iván Torre
This paper uses a newly assembled dataset on various types of social protection spending in 154 countries during the COVID‐19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 to analyze the effect of the electoral cycle on the size and composition of the social protection stimulus budget. The analysis shows that the longer the time since the last election in a country—and thus the sooner the next election date—the larger the share of the social protection pandemic budget allocated to social assistance and income protection, and the lower the share allocated to job retention schemes. The electoral cycle appears to have impacted the size of social assistance spending only in countries with high political competition.
本文利用新收集的 2020 年和 2021 年 COVID-19 大流行期间 154 个国家各类社会保护支出的数据集,分析了选举周期对社会保护刺激预算的规模和构成的影响。分析表明,一个国家距离上次选举的时间越长,因此下次选举日期越早,分配给社会援助和收入保护的社会保护大流行预算份额就越大,而分配给保留工作计划的份额就越低。选举周期似乎只对政治竞争激烈的国家的社会援助支出规模产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Empowering women through microcredit in Djibouti 吉布提通过小额信贷增强妇女能力
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-02-07 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13091
Mohamed Abdallah Ali, Mazhar Mughal, Dina Chhorn
In this study, we construct original measures of women's empowerment in economic, social, and interpersonal dimensions to estimate the effect of microcredit on women's empowerment in Djibouti. Using survey data covering 2060 Djiboutian households, we examine the extent to which access to microcredit, the amount of loans obtained, and their duration modify women's status at home. We employ an instrumental variables strategy and develop three instruments: (i) household's membership of a saving and credit cooperative, (ii) the availability of formal banks at the village or community level, and (iii) the availability of formal cooperatives at the village or community level. We find that microcredit has positive and significant effects on women's autonomy, but these effects become significantly negative as the number of loans taken out increases and as the length of time spent in the program rises. Women from households with access to micro-loans are respectively 45.0%, 41.4%, and 15.7% more likely to be economically, socially, and interpersonally empowered. The results of the study are robust across specifications and econometric techniques employed and confirm the generally mixed socioeconomic effects of microcredit programs.
在本研究中,我们从经济、社会和人际关系三个维度构建了妇女赋权的原始衡量标准,以估算小额信贷对吉布提妇女赋权的影响。利用覆盖 2060 个吉布提家庭的调查数据,我们研究了获得小额信贷的机会、获得的贷款额度以及贷款期限在多大程度上改变了妇女在家中的地位。我们采用工具变量策略,开发了三种工具:(i) 家庭的储蓄和信贷合作社成员资格,(ii) 村庄或社区一级是否有正规银行,以及 (iii) 村庄或社区一级是否有正规合作社。我们发现,小额贷款对妇女的自主性有积极而显著的影响,但随着贷款数量的增加和参与项目时间的延长,这些影响会变成显著的负效应。获得小额贷款的家庭的妇女在经济、社会和人际交往方面的能力分别提高了 45.0%、41.4% 和 15.7%。这项研究的结果在不同的规格和所采用的计量经济学技术下都是稳健的,并证实了小额贷款项目的社会经济效应通常是好坏参半的。
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引用次数: 0
Active conflict and access to education: Evidence from a series of conflict-related shocks in Yemen 现行冲突与受教育机会:也门一系列与冲突有关的冲击所提供的证据
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-31 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13081
Safa Almoayad, Eliana Favari, Saamira Halabi, Siddharth Krishnaswamy, Almedina Music, Sharad Tandon
Using a high-frequency survey in Yemen, we demonstrate how school attendance responds to a series of conflict-related shocks. First, there are a number of plausibly exogenous events that significantly change the severity of violence but have limited impacts on school attendance. These events include the capture of the southern capital by secessionist forces, an unexpected partial ceasefire, and the capture of a governorate from the internationally recognized government by Houthi forces. Second, we demonstrate how shocks aside from living in close proximity to violence—institutional declines and macroeconomic shocks associated with the conflict—can have large impacts on school attendance and the ability to afford essential services. For example, a teacher strike associated with conflict-induced instiutional declines caused an immediate doubling of the share of households with poor school attendance. Combined, the results better illustrate some of the mechanisms by which conflict impedes school attendance and human capital formation, and the results have implications for education assistance being delivered in conflict settings.
通过对也门的高频调查,我们展示了学校出勤率是如何对一系列与冲突有关的冲击做出反应的。首先,有一些似是而非的外生事件会显著改变暴力的严重程度,但对入学率的影响有限。这些事件包括分离主义势力占领南部首府、意外的部分停火以及胡塞武装从国际公认的政府手中夺取一个省。其次,我们展示了除了生活在暴力附近的冲击--与冲突相关的机构衰落和宏观经济冲击--是如何对入学率和负担基本服务的能力产生巨大影响的。例如,与冲突导致的体制衰退相关联的教师罢工导致入学率低的家庭比例立即翻了一番。综合来看,这些结果更好地说明了冲突阻碍入学率和人力资本形成的一些机制,而且这些结果对在冲突环境中提供教育援助具有影响。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of capital structure on the financial sustainability of microfinance institutions: A meta-analysis 资本结构对小额信贷机构财务可持续性的影响:元分析
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-19 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13088
Muleye Tarekegn Dirse, Gurudutta P. Japee
Considering the trend toward microfinance institutions (MFIs) commercialization that fundamentally reshapes their capital structure, this meta-analysis, by synthesizing data from a wide range of studies, aims to investigate the impact of different sources of finance on the financial sustainability of MFIs and determine the optimal order in which these sources should be utilized. In this study, 166 effect sizes were obtained from 64 studies. Overall, the findings indicate that equity and deposit financing enhance financial sustainability positively, whereas debt and donation financing exhibit an inverse relationship. However, variations exist based on the MFI charters. While equity financing adversely affects the financial sustainability of MFI banks, it also exerts positive effects on other types of MFIs. Similarly, deposit financing negatively affected MFI NGOs. Regarding financial sustainability proxies, debt and equity financing affect financial self-sufficiency (FSS) and operating self-sufficiency (OSS), unlike donation and deposit financing. Equity financing has a positive effect on OSS but a negative effect on FSS. In contrast, debt financing shows the opposite trend. The meta-regression further reveals that, as capital structure variables, the sources of finance do not significantly explain the variance in MFIs' FSS but do so for OSS. These findings have implications for managers and for future research.
考虑到小额信贷机构(MFIs)商业化的趋势从根本上重塑了其资本结构,本元分析通过综合大量研究数据,旨在调查不同资金来源对小额信贷机构财务可持续性的影响,并确定利用这些资金来源的最佳顺序。在这项研究中,从 64 项研究中获得了 166 个效应大小。总体而言,研究结果表明,股权和存款融资对财务可持续性有积极的促进作用,而债务和捐赠融资则表现出反向关系。不过,小额金融机构的章程也存在差异。虽然股权融资对小额贷款机构银行的财务可持续性产生了不利影响,但对其他类型的小额贷款机构也产生了积极影响。同样,存款融资也对小额金融机构非政府组织产生负面影响。在财务可持续性替代指标方面,与捐赠和存款融资不同,债务和股权融资会影响财务自给自足(FSS)和运营自给自足(OSS)。股权融资对运营自给自足有积极影响,但对财务自给自足有消极影响。相比之下,债务融资则呈现相反的趋势。元回归进一步显示,作为资本结构变量,融资来源不能显著解释小额金融机构的财务自给率差异,但却能解释经营自给率差异。这些研究结果对管理者和未来的研究具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Connecting the fields: How ICT improve agricultural productivity in sub-Saharan Africa 连接田野:信息和通信技术如何提高撒哈拉以南非洲的农业生产力
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13084
Louis de Berquin Eyike Mbongo, Yannick Fosso Djoumessi
This study seeks to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the influence of information and communication technology (ICT) on agricultural productivity in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), both through direct and indirect mechanisms. Utilizing data gathered from a sample of 20 sub-Saharan African nations spanning the period from 1995 to 2014, we employ a rigorous examination through static and dynamic panel models. Our findings robustly indicate a substantial and positive impact stemming from the presence of mobile phones and internet coverage on agricultural productivity in the region. Furthermore, we uncover the indirect effects of ICT, notably through its influence on farmers' education levels and their access to essential agricultural inputs, such as fertilizers. To validate the robustness of our results, we additionally establish a positive and statistically significant association between an ICT adoption index and agricultural productivity in SSA. In light of these findings, we recommend the prioritization of strategies aimed at fortifying the adoption of communication technologies within the agricultural sector. In addition, efforts should be directed toward enhancing farmers' education and improving access to fertilizers, leveraging the potential of ICT tools as key enablers in this process.
本研究旨在全面分析信息和通信技术(ICT)通过直接和间接机制对撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)农业生产力的影响。我们利用 1995 年至 2014 年期间 20 个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的样本数据,通过静态和动态面板模型进行了严格的研究。我们的研究结果有力地表明,移动电话的存在和互联网的覆盖对该地区的农业生产率产生了实质性的积极影响。此外,我们还发现了信息和通信技术的间接影响,特别是通过其对农民教育水平和获得化肥等基本农业投入的影响。为了验证我们结果的稳健性,我们还在信息和通信技术应用指数与撒南非洲农业生产率之间建立了统计意义上的正相关。鉴于这些发现,我们建议优先实施旨在加强农业部门采用通信技术的战略。此外,应努力加强对农民的教育,改善肥料的获取,并利用信息和通信技术工具的潜力,将其作为这一过程中的关键推动因素。
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引用次数: 0
Decomposition of the impact of government and private transfers on income inequality in China 中国政府和私人转移支付对收入不平等的影响分解
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13086
Jingqi Liu, Chen Wang, Jinxian Wang, Chen Yang
This article investigates the redistributive effects of government and private transfers on income inequality in China, based on data from China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) during 2012–2020. The results indicate that, first, both government and private programs have inequality‐reducing effects and the effect from the government is much larger. More specifically, old‐age pensions have the largest inequality‐reducing effect, followed by government subsidies, private transfers, and charity donations. In urban areas, old‐age pensions have larger redistributive effects, while in rural areas, government subsidies, private transfers, and charity donations contribute to lower inequality. However, compensation for land expropriation and housing demolishment is inequality‐increasing. Moreover, the redistributive effects of the transfers are highly driven by their budget size rather than their targeting.
本文基于中国家庭面板研究(CFPS)2012-2020 年的数据,研究了政府和私人转移支付对中国收入不平等的再分配效应。结果表明:首先,政府和私人项目都具有减少不平等的效果,而且政府的效果更大。具体而言,养老金的减少不平等效果最大,其次是政府补贴、私人转移支付和慈善捐赠。在城市地区,养老金具有更大的再分配效应,而在农村地区,政府补贴、私人转移支付和慈善捐款有助于降低不平等程度。然而,土地征用和房屋拆迁补偿会增加不平等。此外,转移支付的再分配效应在很大程度上受其预算规模而非其针对性的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Labor supply responses to rainfall shocks 劳动力供应对降雨冲击的反应
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13079
Pushkar Maitra, A. Tagat
Agricultural production in developing countries is heavily rainfall dependent. Any unexpected variation in rainfall can affect the welfare of households. Using unit record data from India, this paper shows that households can insure against agricultural productivity (rainfall) shocks. Evidence suggests that they do so by varying the time allocation of individual members to different activities, particularly to regular wage work and human capital accumulation. There is a gender‐differentiated aspect to this response. Rainfall shocks adversely affect women's human capital accumulation. While there is no evidence that households use participation in NREGS to insure against rainfall shocks, the availability of NREGS helps reduce the impact of rainfall shocks on human capital accumulation.
发展中国家的农业生产严重依赖降雨。降雨量的任何意外变化都会影响家庭的福利。本文利用印度的单位记录数据表明,家庭可以为农业生产率(降雨量)冲击投保。有证据表明,家庭可以通过改变家庭成员在不同活动中的时间分配来实现这一目标,特别是在有固定工资的工作和人力资本积累方面。这种应对措施存在性别差异。降雨冲击对妇女的人力资本积累产生了不利影响。虽然没有证据表明家庭利用参与新农村发展和就业保障计划来抵御降雨冲击,但新农村发展和就业保障计划的提供有助于减少降雨冲击对人力资本积累的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial tax regimes and location choices of manufacturing firms: Survey evidence in southern Tunisia 空间税制与制造业企业的区位选择:突尼斯南部的调查证据
IF 1.6 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-12-23 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13083
Rawaa Laajimi
We conducted a survey of 179 manufacturing firms in southeastern Tunisia to investigate the determinants of their location choices, with a specific focus on the role of place-based fiscal regimes. The data analyzed using Multiple Factor Analysis and Hierarchical Cluster Analysis reveal that manufacturing firms in this region can be categorized into distinct groups based on the relative strength of the wide range of location determinants included in the survey. While we confirm the significant role of fiscal and financial incentives in the location decisions of some manufacturing firms, we also highlight the relevance of traditional factors such as workforce, land availability and geographic proximity for certain sectors. Estimates from binary and ordered probit models show that, overall, the probability of locating in a tax-advantaged area increases by an average 15% compared with a non-tax-advantaged area.
我们对突尼斯东南部的 179 家制造企业进行了调查,以研究其区位选择的决定因素,并特别关注基于区位的财政制度的作用。使用多因素分析法和层次聚类分析法对数据进行分析后发现,该地区的制造业企业可根据调查中各种区位决定因素的相对强度分为不同的组别。我们证实了财政和金融激励措施在一些制造业企业的选址决策中发挥了重要作用,同时我们也强调了劳动力、土地供应和地理邻近性等传统因素与某些行业的相关性。二元模型和有序概率模型的估计结果表明,总体而言,与非税收优惠地区相比,落户税收优惠地区的概率平均增加 15%。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Review of Development Economics
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