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Household grain storage decision in a transitory economy: Market liberalization and off‐farm employment 过渡经济中的家庭粮食储存决策:市场自由化与非农就业
4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13068
Xiaoyun Wei, Qingen Gai, Qinghua Shi
Abstract The grain storage held by rural households, given its significant quantity and crucial role in household operations, plays a vital role in ensuring food security. This paper constructs a theoretical framework that encompasses household decisions regarding off‐farm employment, savings, and consumption, as well as the production, selling, and storage of grain. The theoretical model, driven by motivations of risk aversion and temporal price arbitrage, highlights the importance of market liberalization and off‐farm employment in shaping rural household grain storage decisions. Utilizing household‐level panel data from 2003 to 2020, we empirically validate that both market liberalization and off‐farm employment contribute to the reduction of household grain storage. However, these effects exhibit heterogeneity depending on the scale of household grain production and the specific crops cultivated. Significant impacts of market liberalization are observed among large‐scale producers who have greater exposure to the market. Furthermore, the storage of rice and corn decreases with an increase in off‐farm employment.
农户粮食储备量大,在农户经营中起着至关重要的作用,对保障粮食安全起着至关重要的作用。本文构建了一个理论框架,该框架涵盖了家庭关于非农就业、储蓄和消费以及粮食生产、销售和储存的决策。在风险规避和时间价格套利动机的驱动下,该理论模型强调了市场自由化和非农就业在形成农村家庭粮食储存决策中的重要性。利用2003年至2020年的家庭层面面板数据,我们实证验证了市场自由化和非农就业都有助于减少家庭粮食储存量。然而,这些影响表现出异质性,取决于家庭粮食生产的规模和种植的特定作物。市场自由化的显著影响被观察到的大型生产者有更大的市场敞口。此外,水稻和玉米的储存量随着非农就业的增加而减少。
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引用次数: 0
Reassessing the relationship between women's empowerment and fertility: Evidence from India 重新评估妇女赋权与生育率之间的关系:来自印度的证据
4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13066
Nayana Bose, Shreyasee Das
Abstract An overwhelming body of evidence supports a negative relationship between women's empowerment and fertility. In this paper, we evaluate whether this relationship holds in a setting with a high degree of son preference and limited access to abortion services by focusing on rural India. We exploit the reforms to the Hindu Succession Act that improved female empowerment by mandating equal inheritance rights for women to assess the reform's impact on women's fertility. Using NFHS‐3 data and a difference‐in‐differences estimation, our results show that women who benefitted from the reform had more children than their counterparts. We attribute this increase in fertility to women's ability to use the stopping rule to achieve son preference. Finally, women impacted by the reform had a higher proportion of sons for a given family size, indicating stronger inherent son preference among treated women.
大量证据支持妇女赋权与生育能力之间存在负相关关系。在本文中,我们通过关注印度农村,评估了这种关系是否在高度重男轻女和堕胎服务有限的情况下成立。我们利用《印度教继承法》的改革来评估改革对妇女生育能力的影响,该法案通过规定妇女享有平等的继承权来提高妇女赋权。使用NFHS - 3数据和差中差估计,我们的结果表明,受益于改革的妇女比其同行有更多的孩子。我们将这种生育率的提高归因于女性使用停止规则来实现重男轻女的能力。最后,在一定的家庭规模中,受改革影响的妇女生儿子的比例更高,这表明受改革的妇女更倾向于生儿子。
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引用次数: 0
Value‐added export tax policy, credit constraints, and quality: Evidence from China 增值税出口税收政策、信贷约束和质量:来自中国的证据
4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-24 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13067
Thomas Pernet
Abstract This paper examines the effect of an industrial policy in China named the VAT export tax on product upgrading. In particular, we use Chinese transaction data during 2003–2010 to isolate the causal impact of the exogenous variation of VAT refund and within the city‐product quality change in HS6 exported products. Our identification strategy entails the utilization of duality of the Chinese trade system to isolate the impact of the rebate by comparing a group of trade flows exempt from the refund and another that remains eligible. Our results suggest an increase in product upgrading in response to an increase in VAT refund. In this study, we also introduce the credit constraint to understand the change in quality. The industries that are confronted with tighter credit constraints impel firms to settle for low‐quality products. The model demonstrates that VAT refund provided a counterbalance force to credit constraints, thereby prompting firms to adjust quality. By increasing the refund granted to ordinary traders, firms leverage this excess cash flow to invest (in a fixed asset or innovative project) and improve the quality of products. This effect is reinforced for products exported to developed countries, heterogeneous products, or from larger industries. The Chinese policymakers formally introduced environmental objectives under the 10th and 11th FYP, respectively. The Party leaders put substantial weight on promoting products embedded with high‐added value or technological content. At the same time, they underscored the willingness to downscale the export share of energy‐intensive or polluting industries. We evaluate whether environmental and economic concern impacts product upgrading. According to the results of this study, the VAT refund is effective only for products produced in “cleaner” industries, for products necessitating technical skills, a range of know‐how in manufacturing, and high‐level technology or engaging in research and development activities. Our paper introduces a new and unexplored variable in the trade literature. We use the stock of non‐trade barriers to explicate the change in product quality. In the import market, Chinese exporters comply with the change in regulation by making upward adjustments in the quality.
摘要本文考察了中国产业政策增值税出口税对产品升级的影响。特别是,我们使用2003-2010年的中国交易数据来分离增值税退税外生变化和HS6出口产品的城市内产品质量变化的因果影响。我们的识别策略需要利用中国贸易体系的二元性,通过比较一组免于退税的贸易流量和另一组仍然符合条件的贸易流量来隔离退税的影响。我们的结果表明,增加产品升级,以应对增值税退税的增加。在本研究中,我们还引入了信用约束来理解质量的变化。面临更严格的信贷限制的行业促使公司满足于低质量的产品。该模型表明,增值税退税为信贷约束提供了一种平衡力,从而促使企业调整质量。通过增加给予普通交易者的退款,企业利用这些多余的现金流来投资(固定资产或创新项目)并提高产品质量。这种效应在出口到发达国家的产品、异质产品或来自较大行业的产品中得到加强。中国决策者分别在“十一五”规划中正式引入了环境目标。党的领导人非常重视推广高附加值或高技术含量的产品。与此同时,他们强调愿意降低能源密集型或污染工业的出口份额。我们评估环境和经济问题是否会影响产品升级。根据这项研究的结果,增值税退税只对“清洁”行业生产的产品有效,对需要技术技能的产品有效,在制造中有一系列的知识,以及高水平的技术或从事研究和开发活动。本文在贸易文献中引入了一个新的未知变量。我们用非贸易壁垒的存量来说明产品质量的变化。在进口市场上,中国出口商顺应监管变化,在质量上进行了向上调整。
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引用次数: 0
Recreation and social obligations during Covid in India: Does social distancing act as a barrier? 印度疫情期间的娱乐和社会义务:社交距离会成为障碍吗?
4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-24 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13064
Nidhi Kaicker, Aashi Gupta, Raghav Gaiha
Abstract Using three‐stage least squares, the present study examines how the household expenditure on socialising activities, including eating out, entertainment and religious and social obligations changed during the COVID‐19 pandemic in India. Our results suggest a negative impact of COVID‐19 cases on the socialising expenditure shares of the households. Further, a higher spending on food is associated with a lower spending on socialising. We find that during the crisis, the increased food expenditures entails lower discretionary expenditures. Or, in other words, they are substitutes. A quadratic socialising expenditures curve confirms the expenditure variability and the wide‐ranging responses of households belonging to different income groups to the COVID‐19 induced economic shocks. The rising prices of food and other necessities required the households to spend larger shares of their incomes on necessary goods, and curtail the consumption of leisure goods. The role of maintaining a healthy work‐life balance, active social network as well as leisure activities to be content in life is well documented. Hence a reduced expenditure on socialising due to the pandemic, may throw light on some larger and significant concerns such as the deteriorating mental health of individuals and greater stress and frustration.
本研究使用三阶段最小二乘法,研究了在印度COVID - 19大流行期间,家庭在社交活动(包括外出就餐、娱乐、宗教和社会义务)上的支出是如何变化的。我们的研究结果表明,COVID - 19病例对家庭的社会化支出份额产生了负面影响。此外,较高的食物支出与较低的社交支出相关。我们发现,在危机期间,食品支出的增加导致了可自由支配支出的减少。或者,换句话说,它们是替代品。二次社会化支出曲线证实了不同收入群体的家庭对COVID - 19引发的经济冲击的支出可变性和广泛反应。食品和其他必需品价格的上涨要求家庭将收入的更大份额花在必需品上,并减少休闲商品的消费。保持健康的工作与生活平衡、活跃的社交网络以及满足生活的休闲活动的作用已得到充分证明。因此,由于大流行而减少的社交支出可能会揭示一些更大和重大的问题,例如个人心理健康恶化以及更大的压力和挫折感。
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引用次数: 0
Financial inclusion, vulnerability coping strategies and multidimensional poverty: Does conceptualisation of financial inclusion matter? 普惠金融、脆弱性应对策略和多维贫困:普惠金融的概念化重要吗?
4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-22 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13062
Chei Bukari, Isaac Koomson, Samuel Kobina Annim
Abstract Policy emphasis on financial inclusion and deepening has shifted away from measures capturing formal financial services only and towards the development of more inclusive financial markets which account for both formal and informal services. This study examines the effect of financial inclusion and vulnerability coping strategies on multidimensional poverty, where the conceptualisation of financial inclusion is based on four perspectives—(i) one that focuses on only the formal financial sector, (ii) another that concentrates on only the informal financial sector, (iii) one that considers only the mobile money sector and (iv) finally, one that combines all financial markets (i.e., formal and informal including mobile money). Findings show that the conceptualisation of financial inclusion does not only matter in identifying the financially included but also has an implication on how financial inclusion influences multidimensional poverty. Financial inclusion measures that use only formal financial products and services understate their potential effects on multidimensional poverty, thus, justifying the need for a financial inclusion measure that considers both formal and informal sectors. Incorporating informal financial products and services in the measure reduces multidimensional poverty more for female‐headed households and those in rural settings. Households' adoption of vulnerability coping strategies has the potential to reduce the likelihood of being multidimensionally poor.
金融普惠和金融深化的政策重点已经从仅捕获正规金融服务的措施转向发展更具包容性的金融市场,包括正规和非正规服务。本研究考察了金融普惠和脆弱性应对策略对多维贫困的影响,其中金融普惠的概念化基于四个视角——(i)只关注正式金融部门的视角,(ii)只关注非正式金融部门的视角,(iii)只考虑移动货币部门的视角,以及(iv)最后,结合所有金融市场(即包括移动货币在内的正式和非正式金融市场)的视角。研究结果表明,普惠金融的概念化不仅对确定金融包容性很重要,而且对普惠金融如何影响多维贫困也有影响。仅使用正规金融产品和服务的普惠金融措施低估了其对多维贫困的潜在影响,因此,有必要同时考虑正规和非正规部门的普惠金融措施。将非正式金融产品和服务纳入该措施,更能减少女性户主家庭和农村家庭的多维贫困。家庭采取脆弱性应对战略有可能减少陷入多维贫困的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Oil discovery, boom‐bust cycle and manufacturing slowdown: Evidence from a large industry level dataset 石油发现、繁荣-萧条周期和制造业放缓:来自大型行业数据集的证据
4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13063
Nouf Alsharif, Sambit Bhattacharyya
Abstract We investigate the effects of giant oil discovery and boom‐bust price cycle on manufacturing using a large dataset of up to 49,481 two‐digit industry‐years across 136 countries over the period 1962 to 2012. We find that oil discovery reduces growth in manufacturing value added and wages. The effect on employment is insignificant. We also find strong association between oil discovery and manufacturing slowdown episodes. Oil price boom and bust both negatively affects manufacturing perhaps due to increasing input cost (boom) and declining demand (bust). We do not find any evidence in favour of a real exchange rate appreciation driven effect as outlined in standard Dutch Disease models. We speculate that the effect is primarily driven by an increase in the cost of locally sourced manufacturing input.
我们利用1962年至2012年期间136个国家的49,481个两位数工业年的大型数据集,研究了巨大的石油发现和繁荣-萧条价格周期对制造业的影响。我们发现,石油发现降低了制造业增加值和工资的增长。对就业的影响是微不足道的。我们还发现,石油发现与制造业放缓之间存在很强的关联。石油价格的繁荣和萧条都对制造业产生了负面影响,这可能是由于投入成本的增加(繁荣)和需求的下降(萧条)。我们没有发现任何证据支持标准荷兰病模型中概述的实际汇率升值驱动效应。我们推测,这种影响主要是由本地制造投入成本的增加所驱动的。
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引用次数: 0
Violence in pandemic times: The dynamic relationship between COVID‐19 and intimate partner violence 大流行时期的暴力:COVID - 19与亲密伴侣暴力之间的动态关系
4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13059
Wilson Hernández, Angelo Cozzubo, José Carlos Aguilar, Jorge M. Agüero, José Mendoza
Abstract Intimate partner violence (IPV) increased during the COVID‐19 lockdown, but few studies use national data and explore underlying mechanisms. To address this gap, we study the changes in IPV during the first ten months of the pandemic in Peru. We study the number of calls received by the national helpline for domestic violence victims, Línea 100, using an event study model. Results show that during lockdown, IPV calls experienced nonlinear variations. Calls for psychological violence showed the most significant variation, followed by those for physical violence, while no significant changes for sexual violence were identified. Prior history of violence and alcohol or drug consumption appears to be the most important underlying mechanisms. Results suggest that policy efforts during acute health and economic crises should aim at risk factors that typically predict violence and prioritize rapidly connecting survivors to quality services.
亲密伴侣暴力(IPV)在COVID - 19封锁期间有所增加,但很少有研究使用国家数据并探索潜在机制。为了弥补这一差距,我们研究了秘鲁大流行前十个月IPV的变化。我们使用事件研究模型研究了国家家庭暴力受害者求助热线Línea 100接到的电话数量。结果表明,在锁定期间,IPV调用经历了非线性变化。对心理暴力的呼吁显示出最显著的变化,其次是对身体暴力的呼吁,而对性暴力的呼吁没有发现显著的变化。先前的暴力史和酒精或药物消费似乎是最重要的潜在机制。结果表明,在严重的卫生和经济危机期间,政策努力应针对通常预测暴力的风险因素,并优先考虑迅速将幸存者与优质服务联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Does money bring aspirations? Evidence from China 金钱能带来抱负吗?来自中国的证据
4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13065
Yue Yu, Chengkui Liu, Hao Wang, Xiaodan Lin
Abstract Based on a mathematical model and empirical test, this paper explores the incentive of income for aspirations and its channels, forging links between theory and data. Results present evidence that income significantly inspires one's aspirations, and all conclusions still hold after overcoming the interference of potential endogenous issues. In terms of channels, the “aspirations window” (a set of similar perceivable individuals) and “bandwidth load” (the mental space to think, process problems, and come up with solutions) play the mediating role in the stimulation of money; that is, low incomes will make aspirations window narrower and bandwidth load heavier, which is a momentous force behind one's aspirations failure. This paper also enlightens income distribution and the construction of internal motivation mechanisms.
摘要本文基于数学模型和实证检验,探讨了收入对愿望的激励及其渠道,建立了理论与数据之间的联系。结果表明,收入显著地激发了一个人的愿望,并且在克服潜在内生问题的干扰后,所有结论仍然成立。通道方面,“愿望窗口”(一组相似的可感知个体)和“带宽负载”(思考、处理问题并提出解决方案的心理空间)在金钱刺激中起中介作用;也就是说,低收入会使抱负窗口变窄,带宽负载变重,这是一个人抱负失败的重要原因。本文还对收入分配和内部激励机制的构建提出了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Resource rents and environmental pollution in developing countries: Does the quality of institutions matter? 发展中国家的资源租金和环境污染:制度质量重要吗?
4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13060
Elvis D. Achuo, Clovis Wendji Miamo, Clémence Zite Kouhomou
Abstract Despite global concerted efforts to enhance environmental sustainability, environmental quality has continued degrading following upsurges in carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions. The rising pollution emissions in recent decades have largely been blamed on the growing exploitation of natural resources and institutional dynamics. Consequently, this study empirically examines the effect of resource rents on environmental pollution. The system Generalised Method of Moments approach is adopted to analyse data for a panel of 39 developing African countries over the 1996–2020 period. The key results reveal that resource rents significantly contribute to pollution emissions in the context of African economies. This positive relationship between resource rents and environmental pollution is globally validated by the various sensitivity analysis and robustness checks. However, this relationship is divergent for alternative measures of natural resources and across sub‐regional economic blocs. Furthermore, the results reveal the critical role of good governance in modulating the environmental damaging role of natural resource dependence. Besides the key findings, the study equally highlights the importance of ICTs and the need to increase investments in green technologies and promote the consumption of clean energies. Indeed, the key findings suggest that for resource rents to effectively contribute to environmental sustainability by reducing CO 2 emissions there is need for policymakers to reinforce the legislation through the enhancement of institutional quality. Particularly, African governments should develop and reinforce strategies aimed at curbing corruption which constitutes a major obstacle to environmental sustainability.
尽管全球共同努力提高环境的可持续性,但随着二氧化碳(CO 2)排放量的激增,环境质量持续下降。近几十年来不断增加的污染排放在很大程度上被归咎于对自然资源的日益开发和体制动态。因此,本研究实证考察了资源租金对环境污染的影响。采用系统广义矩量法分析1996-2020年期间39个非洲发展中国家的数据。关键结果表明,在非洲经济背景下,资源租金对污染排放有显著贡献。资源租金和环境污染之间的这种正相关关系在全球范围内得到了各种敏感性分析和鲁棒性检查的验证。然而,这种关系在自然资源的替代措施和跨次区域经济集团中是不同的。此外,研究结果揭示了良好治理在调节自然资源依赖对环境的破坏作用方面的关键作用。除了主要发现外,该研究还强调了信息通信技术的重要性以及增加绿色技术投资和促进清洁能源消费的必要性。事实上,主要研究结果表明,为了使资源租金有效地通过减少二氧化碳排放来促进环境的可持续性,政策制定者需要通过提高制度质量来加强立法。特别是,非洲各国政府应制定和加强旨在遏制腐败的战略,因为腐败是环境可持续性的主要障碍。
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引用次数: 1
Do fertilizer and seed subsidies strengthen farmers' market participation? Evidence from Tanzania's subsidy program 化肥和种子补贴是否加强了农民的市场参与?来自坦桑尼亚补贴计划的证据
4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/rode.13061
Takefumi Fujimoto, Aya Suzuki
Abstract This study examines whether the Tanzanian subsidy for inorganic fertilizers and improved seeds encourages farmers to participate in the input and grain markets. Using six waves from 2008–2009 to 2020–2021 of the National Panel Survey, we investigated whether the subsidy affected farmers' purchases and expenditures for all conceivable inputs, including nonsubsidized inputs (organic fertilizers, traditional seeds, pesticides/herbicides, labor, and capital). Subsequently, we estimated the subsidy's impact on the probability of farmers selling crops and their sales revenue. In the input markets, we found that improved seeds, rather than inorganic fertilizers, played a major role in farmers' market activities. Beneficiaries who received subsidized seeds were more likely to purchase pesticides/herbicides, hire more labor, and borrow oxen and tractors to make their farmland suitable for the growth of improved seeds. In crop markets, we found that receiving both subsidized fertilizers and seeds increased the probability of farmers selling maize or paddy nearly threefold relative to the receipt of only subsidized fertilizer. Moreover, legume sales revenue also increased among seed beneficiaries through intercropping with maize and paddy.
摘要本研究考察了坦桑尼亚对无机肥料和改良种子的补贴是否鼓励农民参与投入和粮食市场。利用2008-2009年至2020-2021年的六波全国小组调查,我们调查了补贴是否影响了农民对所有可能投入的购买和支出,包括非补贴投入(有机肥料、传统种子、农药/除草剂、劳动力和资本)。随后,我们估计了补贴对农民出售作物概率和销售收入的影响。在投入市场中,我们发现改良种子,而不是无机肥料,在农民的市场活动中发挥了主要作用。获得种子补贴的受益人更有可能购买杀虫剂/除草剂,雇用更多劳动力,并借用牛和拖拉机使其农田适合种植改良种子。在作物市场,我们发现,与只接受补贴肥料相比,同时接受补贴肥料和种子的农民出售玉米或水稻的可能性增加了近三倍。此外,通过与玉米和水稻间作,豆科作物的销售收入也增加了。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Review of Development Economics
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