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Renewable Electricity Development in China: Policies, Performance, and Challenges 中国可再生电力发展:政策、绩效和挑战
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1086/715624
M. Auffhammer, Min Wang, Lunyu Xie, Jintao Xu
Since 2006, China has experienced an unprecedented expansion of its wind and solar power generation capacity and associated manufacturing industries. This rapid growth was supported by large subsidies that resulted in a significant and increasing government subsidy debt to renewable investors as well as a high curtailment rate for renewable electricity. This article reviews China’s renewable electricity development and policies between 2006 and 2020. First, we examine how China’s fixed feed-in tariff subsidies for wind and solar power generation under its planned electricity system distorted investment incentives and led to both the high subsidy debt and the high rates of curtailment. Then we discuss how and why the government shifted its renewable subsidy policy from fixed feed-in tariffs to auctions. We conclude with a discussion of additional policy reforms to support the continued development of renewable electricity in China.
自2006年以来,中国的风能和太阳能发电能力以及相关制造业经历了前所未有的扩张。这种快速增长得到了大量补贴的支持,这些补贴导致政府对可再生能源投资者的补贴债务大幅增加,可再生能源电力的削减率也很高。本文回顾了2006年至2020年中国可再生电力的发展和政策。首先,我们研究了中国在计划电力系统下对风能和太阳能发电的固定上网电价补贴如何扭曲了投资激励,并导致了高补贴债务和高削减率。然后,我们讨论了政府如何以及为什么将可再生能源补贴政策从固定上网电价转向拍卖。最后,我们讨论了支持中国可再生电力持续发展的额外政策改革。
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引用次数: 14
China’s War on Pollution: Evidence from the First 5 Years 中国的污染之战:前5年的证据
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1086/715550
M. Greenstone, Guojun He, Shanjun Li, E. Zou
The decade from 2010 to 2019 marked a significant turning point in China’s approach to environmental regulation and pollution. This article describes the recent trends in air and water quality, with a focus on the 5 years following the Chinese government’s announcement of its “war on pollution” in 2014. We review the emerging literature that has taken advantage of recent improvements in data availability and accuracy to understand the social, economic, and health impacts of environmental pollution in China.
2010年至2019年是中国环境监管和污染治理的重要转折点。本文描述了空气和水质量的最新趋势,重点介绍了2014年中国政府宣布“向污染宣战”后的5年。我们回顾了近年来利用数据可用性和准确性方面的改进来理解中国环境污染的社会、经济和健康影响的新兴文献。
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引用次数: 56
The Use of Green Nudges as an Environmental Policy Instrument 使用绿色冰箱作为环境政策工具
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1086/715524
F. Carlsson, Christina Gravert, O. Johansson-Stenman, Verena Kurz
This article discusses the use of green nudges—behavioral interventions aimed at reducing negative externalities—as an environmental policy instrument. We present a new framework for classifying nudges according to how they affect behavior. Pure nudges change the choice environment to guide behavior unobtrusively. Moral nudges trigger a psychological reaction to encourage behavior change. Our review of empirical studies reveals that green nudges, pure or moral, can have a significant impact on behavior and the environment but that the effects are highly context dependent. On the basis of both our review and basic welfare economics models, we discuss key factors for policy makers to consider when choosing between implementing a green nudge and implementing conventional policy instruments.
本文讨论了绿色助推——旨在减少负外部性的行为干预——作为一种环境政策工具的使用。我们提出了一个新的框架,根据他们如何影响行为来分类轻推。纯粹的轻推改变了选择环境,以不引人注目地引导行为。道德轻推会引发心理反应,鼓励行为改变。我们对实证研究的回顾表明,绿色推动,无论是纯粹的还是道德的,都能对行为和环境产生重大影响,但这种影响高度依赖于环境。在回顾和基本福利经济学模型的基础上,我们讨论了政策制定者在实施绿色推动和实施传统政策工具之间进行选择时需要考虑的关键因素。
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引用次数: 39
Structural Transformation, Agriculture, Climate, and the Environment 结构转型、农业、气候和环境
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/725319
Christopher B. Barrett, Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, Trinh Pham
This paper reviews the feedback between structural transformation and agriculture, on the one hand, and climate and the natural environment, on the other. The long-standing, dominant economic development narrative largely ignores nature’s influence on factor productivity and stocks, even as it increasingly illustrates how agricultural technological change and economic growth affect nature. We articulate some of the missing linkages and pose key policy research questions concerning structural transformation and the complex feedback among agriculture, nature, and economic growth processes, especially in low-income agrarian economies.
本文回顾了结构转型与农业、气候和自然环境之间的反馈关系。长期以来占主导地位的经济发展叙事在很大程度上忽视了自然对要素生产率和存量的影响,尽管它越来越多地说明了农业技术变革和经济增长如何影响自然。我们阐明了一些缺失的联系,并提出了关于结构转型和农业、自然和经济增长过程之间复杂反馈的关键政策研究问题,特别是在低收入农业经济体中。
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引用次数: 6
Lessons Learned from US Experience with Biofuels: Comparing the Hype with the Evidence 美国生物燃料的经验教训:比较炒作与证据
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/713026
M. Khanna, D. Rajagopal, D. Zilberman
Biofuel production in the United States, primarily from corn, has more than doubled since 2007, leading to concerns about its unintended consequences for agricultural and fuel markets. To examine the validity of these concerns and inform the debate about biofuels and their impacts, we review ex ante projections and ex post evidence of the effects of biofuels on land use, food and fuel prices, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. We find that biofuels expansion contributed to an initial significant increase in agricultural commodity prices, but these impacts have dissipated over time as crop productivity has increased and cropping patterns have changed. Simulated estimates of indirect land use change and the related GHG emissions intensity of biofuels have also declined sharply from their early levels, which is consistent with ex post evidence. Additionally, growth in biofuel production caused a very modest reduction in fossil fuel prices, implying a small fuel rebound effect. Overall, estimates imply that first-generation biofuels from corn have a lower carbon intensity than gasoline. Finally, learning by doing, economies of scale, and technological improvements have made biofuels from corn increasingly competitive, reducing the need for subsidies and import tariffs. We conclude with a discussion of the lessons learned from the US biofuels experience.
自2007年以来,美国的生物燃料产量(主要来自玉米)增加了一倍多,这引发了人们对其对农业和燃料市场意外后果的担忧。为了检验这些关切的有效性,并为关于生物燃料及其影响的辩论提供信息,我们审查了生物燃料对土地使用、粮食和燃料价格以及温室气体排放影响的事前预测和事后证据。我们发现,生物燃料的扩张导致了农产品价格的最初大幅上涨,但随着作物生产力的提高和种植模式的改变,这些影响已经随着时间的推移而消失。对间接土地利用变化和生物燃料相关温室气体排放强度的模拟估计也比早期水平大幅下降,这与事后证据一致。此外,生物燃料生产的增长导致化石燃料价格小幅下降,这意味着燃料反弹效应较小。总的来说,估计表明第一代玉米生物燃料的碳强度低于汽油。最后,边做边学、规模经济和技术进步使玉米生物燃料的竞争力越来越强,减少了对补贴和进口关税的需求。最后,我们讨论了从美国生物燃料经验中吸取的教训。
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引用次数: 13
Rural Populations, Land Degradation, and Living Standards in Developing Countries 发展中国家的农村人口、土地退化和生活水平
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/713152
E. Barbier, Salvatore Di Falco
In this article, we review evidence on the relationship between land as a productive asset and living standards in developing countries. We begin by presenting evidence concerning three key trends in agricultural land use and degradation across developing countries. First, since 1970, agricultural land area in developing countries has continued to expand and shows little signs of abating. Second, there is evidence that the concentration of relatively poor rural populations on remote and less favored land with poor agricultural productivity is continuing. Finally, global assessments indicate that the problem of land degradation is worsening in some developing regions and that a significant share of rural populations in these regions live on degrading agricultural land. Our review of the evidence suggests that these trends in agricultural land use and degradation may have considerable implications for the living standards of millions of rural households in the developing world and possibly for poverty alleviation overall. To further explore these possible relationships, we examine empirical evidence on the relationship between soil quality and the living standards of households based on a survey of 17 low- and middle-income countries in sub-Saharan Africa, one of the world’s poorest regions.
在这篇文章中,我们回顾了关于土地作为一种生产性资产与发展中国家生活水平之间关系的证据。我们首先提出有关发展中国家农业土地利用和退化的三个主要趋势的证据。首先,自1970年以来,发展中国家的农业用地面积持续扩大,几乎没有减少的迹象。第二,有证据表明,相对贫穷的农村人口继续集中在农业生产力低下的偏远和不太受欢迎的土地上。最后,全球评估表明,一些发展中区域的土地退化问题正在恶化,这些区域相当一部分农村人口生活在退化的农业用地上。我们对证据的审查表明,农业土地利用和退化的这些趋势可能对发展中世界数百万农村家庭的生活水平产生重大影响,并可能对整体减贫产生重大影响。为了进一步探索这些可能的关系,我们根据对世界上最贫穷地区之一撒哈拉以南非洲17个中低收入国家的调查,研究了土壤质量与家庭生活水平之间关系的经验证据。
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引用次数: 6
Integrating Economics into Research on Natural Capital and Human Health 将经济学纳入自然资本与人类健康研究
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/713024
B. Fisher, Luz A. Wit, T. Ricketts
In the past two decades, there has been a rapid expansion in research that examines the linkages between natural capital and human health. These nature–human health connections range from mangroves mitigating mortality from coastal storms to a walk in nature temporarily lowering blood pressure. While the evidence base for research on natural capital and human health is growing and study designs are becoming more advanced, we find that very few studies use an economic approach. A review of the literature reveals that few studies evaluate the costs of delivering nature’s benefits to human health, even fewer studies use benefit–cost analysis or a cost-effectiveness approach to compare alternative policy interventions, and no study evaluates the net benefits of natural capital for human health. In this article, we discuss why an economic approach is critical to advancing research on the connections between nature and human health and present a conceptual model for conducting more practice- and policy-relevant research.
在过去二十年中,研究自然资本与人类健康之间联系的研究迅速扩大。这些自然与人类健康的联系从红树林减轻沿海风暴造成的死亡率到在大自然中散步暂时降低血压。虽然自然资本和人类健康研究的证据基础不断增加,研究设计也越来越先进,但我们发现很少有研究使用经济方法。对文献的回顾表明,很少有研究评估为人类健康提供自然惠益的成本,甚至更少的研究使用效益-成本分析或成本效益方法来比较各种政策干预措施,没有研究评估自然资本对人类健康的净惠益。在本文中,我们讨论了为什么经济方法对于推进自然与人类健康之间联系的研究至关重要,并提出了一个概念模型,用于开展更多与实践和政策相关的研究。
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引用次数: 9
Biological Invasions and International Trade: Managing a Moving Target 生物入侵和国际贸易:管理一个移动的目标
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/713025
R. Epanchin‐Niell, C. McAusland, Andrew M. Liebhold, P. Mwebaze, M. Springborn
International trade is a key pathway for the global spread of nonnative species. Historical and emerging trade flows interact with ecological dynamics to shape nonnative species risk and determine how that risk can be mitigated. This article discusses these underlying processes, emerging trade trends, and the role of past and future economics research in understanding and managing nonnative species risks from trade. We identify four priorities for future economics research. These include expanding economic analysis to consider interventions across the biosecurity continuum more comprehensively, leveraging new data systems for real-time prediction and effective allocation of inspection effort, applying economic analysis to anticipate and respond to emerging trade trends, and improving understanding of exporter and consumer behavioral responses to policy interventions in order to encourage intended (and ameliorate unintended) reactions.
国际贸易是外来物种在全球传播的关键途径。历史和新兴的贸易流与生态动态相互作用,形成非本土物种风险,并决定如何减轻这种风险。本文讨论了这些潜在的过程、新兴的贸易趋势,以及过去和未来经济学研究在理解和管理贸易中的非本土物种风险方面的作用。我们确定了未来经济学研究的四个优先事项。其中包括扩大经济分析,以更全面地考虑整个生物安全连续体的干预措施,利用新的数据系统进行实时预测和有效分配检查工作,应用经济分析来预测和应对新出现的贸易趋势,以及提高对出口商和消费者对政策干预的行为反应的理解,以鼓励有意(和改善无意)的反应。
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引用次数: 17
An Economic Perspective on Water Security 水安全的经济学视角
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/713102
D. Garrick, R. Hahn
Water security involves multiple interrelated policy challenges that economists often analyze separately. This article examines the issue of water security from an economic perspective, identifying economic causes and consequences of infrastructure financing deficits, water misallocation, and water risks. To help address these challenges, we review trends in defining and measuring water security and present an economic framework for assessing the costs and benefits of policies aimed at enhancing water security. We show that policies aimed at increasing water security to meet basic water needs, ensure more equitable water distribution, or reduce water risks rarely align with conventional measures of economic efficiency. We argue that water security requires strengthening and coordinating institutions to address multiple objectives and that these institutional arrangements are polycentric in nature, balancing decentralized decision-making with coordination across sectors and political borders. The issue of water security underscores why economists need to take institutions more seriously if they are to provide credible analyses of policy responses to water management challenges.
水安全涉及多个相互关联的政策挑战,经济学家经常单独分析这些挑战。本文从经济角度探讨了水安全问题,确定了基础设施融资赤字、水资源错配和水风险的经济原因和后果。为了帮助应对这些挑战,我们审查了定义和衡量水安全的趋势,并提出了一个经济框架,用于评估旨在加强水安全的政策的成本和效益。我们表明,旨在提高水安全以满足基本用水需求、确保更公平的水分配或降低水风险的政策很少与传统的经济效率措施相一致。我们认为,水安全需要加强和协调机构,以实现多个目标,这些机构安排本质上是多中心的,在分散决策与跨部门和政治边界的协调之间取得平衡。水安全问题突显了为什么经济学家需要更认真地对待机构,才能对应对水管理挑战的政策做出可信的分析。
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引用次数: 5
Integrating Natural Capital into National Accounts: Three Decades of Promise and Challenge 将自然资本纳入国民账户:三十年的前景与挑战
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/713075
C. Brandon, K. Brandon, Alison J. Fairbrass, Rachel A. Neugarten
Economists and ecologists have worked for decades on measuring sustainability by supplementing or adjusting traditional economic indicators such as GDP. Given the threats to humanity from climate change, environmental degradation, and biodiversity loss, it is vital to incorporate values of natural capital into national economic decision-making. This review focuses on how natural capital applications, historically applied from local to global scales, address national-scale concerns. However, natural capital data and accounts have been only partially developed in most countries, given a lack of common metrics and monetary values. Existing accounts are often incomplete in both the types of natural capital and ecosystems they include (e.g., water, land, different ecosystem types) and the values they measure (e.g., market vs. nonmarket values). While it is important to continue work to embed natural capital into national economic accounts, the need for practical tools to analyze environmental problems is more urgent. We review alternative options for incorporating natural capital into national-scale decision-making and make recommendations for countries where the data, capacity, and political will to conduct formal natural capital accounting are lacking.
几十年来,经济学家和生态学家一直致力于通过补充或调整GDP等传统经济指标来衡量可持续性。鉴于气候变化、环境退化和生物多样性丧失对人类的威胁,将自然资本的价值纳入国家经济决策至关重要。这篇综述的重点是历史上从地方到全球范围内应用的自然资本应用如何解决国家范围内的问题。然而,由于缺乏共同的衡量标准和货币价值,大多数国家的自然资本数据和账户只得到了部分开发。现有账户在自然资本和生态系统的类型(如水、土地、不同的生态系统类型)及其衡量的价值(如市场价值与非市场价值)方面往往不完整。尽管继续努力将自然资本纳入国民经济账户很重要,但更迫切需要分析环境问题的实用工具。我们审查了将自然资本纳入国家层面决策的替代方案,并为缺乏进行正式自然资本核算的数据、能力和政治意愿的国家提出了建议。
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引用次数: 17
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Review of Environmental Economics and Policy
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