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Pushing New Technology into the Market: California’s Zero Emissions Vehicle Mandate 将新技术推向市场:加州的零排放汽车法规
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/713055
V. McConnell, Benjamin Leard
California’s long-running Zero Emissions Vehicle (ZEV) program represents a unique policy approach for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from the transportation sector. It mandates that manufacturers sell passenger cars and trucks that have zero tailpipe emissions, which in today’s market are electrified vehicles, including battery electric and fuel cell vehicles. The policy, when it was initiated in 1990, was technology forcing because such zero emission vehicles had not yet been produced. We discuss the motivation for such a technology policy and briefly summarize the 30-year history of this evolving program. We examine evidence on the extent of innovation in electrification technologies under the program and trends in battery and vehicle costs and sales. We review the flexibility granted under the ZEV credit-trading program and estimate the value of ZEV credits traded among manufacturers. Finally, given the continuing uncertainty about costs, technology improvements, and consumer acceptance, we argue that there is a need for additional transparency and flexibility if the policy is to continue. One approach we suggest is that regulators build a safety valve mechanism into the credit trading market.
加州长期实施的零排放汽车(ZEV)计划代表了减少交通部门温室气体排放的独特政策方法。它要求制造商销售尾气排放为零的乘用车和卡车,在当今市场上,这些汽车都是电动汽车,包括电池电动汽车和燃料电池汽车。该政策于1990年启动时是技术驱动的,因为这种零排放汽车尚未生产出来。我们讨论了这样一项技术政策的动机,并简要总结了这项不断发展的计划的30年历史。我们研究了该计划下电气化技术创新程度以及电池和车辆成本和销售趋势的证据。我们审查了ZEV信贷交易计划下授予的灵活性,并估计了制造商之间交易的ZEV信贷的价值。最后,考虑到成本、技术改进和消费者接受度的持续不确定性,我们认为,如果政策要继续下去,就需要额外的透明度和灵活性。我们建议的一种方法是,监管机构在信贷交易市场中建立一个安全阀机制。
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引用次数: 3
The Role of Retrospective Analysis in an Era of Deregulation: Lessons from the US Mercury and Air Toxics Standards 回顾性分析在放松管制时代的作用:美国汞和空气毒性标准的教训
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/712887
Mary F. Evans, K. Palmer, Joseph E. Aldy, M. Fowlie, Matthew J. Kotchen, A. Levinson
As of late 2020, the Trump administration had initiated almost 100 rollbacks of US environmental regulations. A careful assessment of the benefits and costs of rolling back an existing regulation can and should inform such decisions. When assessing the potential rollback of an existing regulation, analysts can often learn from the regulation’s implementation through retrospective analysis as well as from advances in scientific knowledge. We discuss recent actions concerning the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS) to illustrate the potential lessons from doing so. In the case of MATS, advances in science have shed light on broader exposure pathways and previously unquantified health effects, suggesting that the benefits of reducing mercury emissions may exceed previous estimates. At the same time, changes in the energy sector have altered the mix of fuels used to produce electricity, which impacts both the benefits and the costs of the regulation.
截至2020年底,特朗普政府已启动了近100项美国环境法规的撤销。对撤销现有法规的好处和成本进行仔细评估可以也应该为此类决策提供信息。在评估现有法规的潜在倒退时,分析师通常可以通过回顾性分析以及科学知识的进步从法规的实施中学习。我们讨论了最近有关《汞和空气毒物标准》(MATS)的行动,以说明从中获得的潜在教训。就MATS而言,科学的进步揭示了更广泛的接触途径和以前未量化的健康影响,这表明减少汞排放的好处可能超过以前的估计。与此同时,能源部门的变化改变了用于发电的燃料组合,这影响了监管的效益和成本。
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引用次数: 5
The Evolution of Economic Views on Natural Resource Scarcity 自然资源稀缺性经济学观点的演变
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/712926
E. Barbier
Since the 1950s, as environmental challenges have evolved, so too have economic views on natural resource scarcity. This article discusses three distinct phases in this evolution. From the 1950s to the 1970s, the “resource depletion era,” the environment was viewed mainly as a source of key natural resources and a sink for waste, and thus the focus of economics was on whether there are physical “limits” on the availability of resources as economies expand and populations grow. From the 1970s to the end of the twentieth century, the “environmental public goods era,” attention shifted to the state of the environment and processes of environmental degradation, such as climate change, deforestation, watershed degradation, desertification, and acid rain, that result in the loss of global and local environmental public goods and their important nonmarket values. From 2000 to the present, the “ecological scarcity era,” there has been growing concern about the state of the world’s ecosystems and earth system processes, and thus the focus has shifted back to possible limits to economic and population expansion, although the emphasis now is on potential “planetary boundary” constraints on human activity.
自20世纪50年代以来,随着环境挑战的演变,对自然资源稀缺的经济观点也在演变。本文讨论了这一演变过程中的三个不同阶段。从20世纪50年代到70年代,即“资源枯竭时代”,环境主要被视为关键自然资源的来源和废物的汇,因此,经济学的重点是随着经济扩张和人口增长,资源的可用性是否存在物理“限制”。从20世纪70年代到20世纪末的“环境公共产品时代”,人们的注意力转向了环境状况和环境退化的过程,如气候变化、森林砍伐、流域退化、荒漠化和酸雨,这些导致全球和地方环境公共产品及其重要的非市场价值的丧失。从2000年到现在,“生态稀缺时代”,人们越来越关注世界生态系统和地球系统过程的状况,因此,重点已经转移到经济和人口扩张的可能限制上,尽管现在的重点是对人类活动的潜在“地球边界”限制。
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引用次数: 9
An Introduction to the Economics of Natural Capital 自然资本经济学导论
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/713010
S. Polasky, G. Daily
Nature can be thought of as a form of capital (natural capital) that provides essential contributions to human health, prosperity, and well-being. However, economic activity that leads to climate change, loss of biodiversity, and other ecosystem degradation has resulted in risky and costly losses of natural capital. Economics has a central role to play in analyzing the value of natural capital and in designing incentives to conserve and restore it. This symposium features perspectives on key research frontiers and advances in the economics of natural capital. The articles in the symposium focus on three crucial issues. Fisher, de Wit, and Ricketts explore the relationship between land quality—notably, its forest cover and biodiversity—and human health, highlighting the current lack of economic tools and approaches to evaluate alternative interventions to achieve public health outcomes. Barbier and Di Falco examine the relationship between land as a productive asset—its quality and ongoing degradation—and living standards in developing countries. Brandon et al. review efforts to bring natural capital into the system of national accounts and national economic policy making. Together, these articles highlight recent advances as well as the challenges that remain to reversing the decline of natural capital and achieving sustainable development.
自然可以被认为是一种资本(自然资本),它为人类的健康、繁荣和福祉做出了重要贡献。然而,导致气候变化、生物多样性丧失和其他生态系统退化的经济活动导致了自然资本的风险和代价高昂的损失。经济学在分析自然资本的价值和设计保护和恢复自然资本的激励措施方面发挥着核心作用。本次研讨会的特点是对自然资本经济学的关键研究前沿和进展的看法。研讨会的文章集中在三个关键问题上。Fisher, de Wit和Ricketts探讨了土地质量(尤其是森林覆盖和生物多样性)与人类健康之间的关系,强调了目前缺乏经济工具和方法来评估实现公共健康结果的替代干预措施。Barbier和Di Falco研究了土地作为一种生产性资产(其质量和持续退化)与发展中国家生活水平之间的关系。Brandon等人回顾了将自然资本纳入国民核算体系和国民经济政策制定的努力。这些文章共同强调了最近的进展,以及在扭转自然资本下降和实现可持续发展方面仍然存在的挑战。
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引用次数: 12
The Economics of Regulatory Repeal 废除管制的经济学
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/713076
A. Krupnick, A. Fraas, Justine Huetteman
Given the Trump administration’s emphasis on repealing regulations, this article discusses issues related to conducting benefit–cost analyses of regulatory repeal. In particular, the article develops analyses of the repeal and modification of six major rules issued by the Obama administration and compares them to analyses conducted by the Trump administration. The results illustrate the sensitivity of these analyses to several key analytical components, including the social cost of methane emissions and the upper-bound estimates of catastrophic accidents, and also illustrate that the Trump administration’s ranking of the six rules using its preferred metric—the cost savings of repeal—differs from a ranking that uses net benefits. Recommendations are provided for improving regulatory impact analyses, including those conducted for regulatory repeal.
鉴于特朗普政府强调废除法规,本文讨论了与对法规废除进行效益-成本分析有关的问题。特别是,本文对奥巴马政府颁布的六项主要规则的废除和修改进行了分析,并将其与特朗普政府的分析进行了比较。结果表明,这些分析对几个关键分析组成部分的敏感性,包括甲烷排放的社会成本和灾难性事故的上限估计,还表明特朗普政府使用其首选指标——废除成本节约——对六项规则的排名不同于使用净收益的排名。提供了改进监管影响分析的建议,包括为废除监管而进行的分析。
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引用次数: 0
Recent Increases in Air Pollution: Evidence and Implications for Mortality 最近空气污染的增加:对死亡率的证据和影响
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1086/712983
Karen Clay, Nicholas Z. Muller, Xiao Wang
After a decade of improvement, annual average fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in the United States increased in both 2017 and 2018. These increases are worrisome, because studies have shown that PM2.5 increases premature mortality risk (e.g., Lelieveld et al. 2015), and this risk accounts for the largest share of monetary damages from air pollution (US EPA 1999, 2010a; Muller, Mendelsohn, and Nordhaus 2011). Based on data for 2009–2018, this article documents US trends in PM2.5 and their implications for mortality. We find that nationally, PM2.5 levels fell by 27.4 percent from 2009 to 2016 and then increased 5.7 percent from 2016 to 2018. We explore channels through which the PM2.5 increases may have occurred, including increases in economic activity, increases in wildfires, and decreases in Clean Air Act enforcement actions. The evidence suggests that all three may have played roles in the observed increase. Although further research is needed on the causes of the increase in PM2.5, we find that these trends have significant health implications, with premature deaths from PM2.5 rising by 9,700 between 2016 and 2018, representing damages of $89 billion (in $2018). In the remainder of the article, we present our results concerning trends in PM2.5; discuss our analysis of the contribution of economic activity, wildfires, and regulatory enforcement actions to these trends; and identify the implications of these trends for mortality.
经过十年的改善,美国的年平均细颗粒物(PM2.5)在2017年和2018年都有所增加。这些增长令人担忧,因为研究表明PM2.5增加了过早死亡风险(例如,leeleveld等人,2015年),而这种风险占空气污染造成的经济损失的最大份额(美国环保署1999,2010;Muller, Mendelsohn, and Nordhaus 2011)。基于2009-2018年的数据,本文记录了美国PM2.5的趋势及其对死亡率的影响。我们发现,在全国范围内,PM2.5水平从2009年到2016年下降了27.4%,然后从2016年到2018年上升了5.7%。我们探索了PM2.5增加可能发生的渠道,包括经济活动的增加、野火的增加和《清洁空气法》执法行动的减少。有证据表明,这三者都可能在观测到的增加中发挥了作用。虽然还需要进一步研究PM2.5增加的原因,但我们发现,这些趋势对健康有重大影响,2016年至2018年期间,PM2.5导致的过早死亡人数增加了9700人,造成的损失为890亿美元(按2018年美元计算)。在文章的剩余部分,我们将展示我们关于PM2.5趋势的研究结果;讨论我们对经济活动、野火和监管执法行动对这些趋势的贡献的分析;并确定这些趋势对死亡率的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Feature—Public Land Conflicts and Controversies: The Designation of National Monuments in the Western United States 特色——公共土地冲突与争议——美国西部国家纪念碑的命名
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/reep/reaa010
M. Walls
Public lands can provide a wide range of environmental benefits. Granting protective status to these lands generally imposes restrictions on resource development and extraction activities and thus often generates conflict and debate among public and private stakeholders. In the United States, this is especially the case for national monuments, which are areas that contain significant historic, prehistoric, cultural, and/or geologic resources. In this article, I describe the controversy surrounding national monument designations, particularly in the western United States. I describe the history and status of national monuments, discuss the evidence concerning the benefits and costs of national monuments and other protected lands, and examine public land conflicts in the U.S. west in the context of economic trends in rural communities. I conclude with a discussion of the future outlook for national monuments and public lands in the United States.
公共土地可以提供广泛的环境效益。给予这些土地保护地位通常会限制资源开发和开采活动,因此经常在公共和私人利益攸关方之间引发冲突和辩论。在美国,国家纪念碑尤其如此,它们是包含重要历史、史前、文化和/或地质资源的地区。在这篇文章中,我描述了围绕国家纪念碑命名的争议,特别是在美国西部。我描述了国家纪念碑的历史和地位,讨论了有关国家纪念碑和其他受保护土地的利益和成本的证据,并在农村社区经济趋势的背景下研究了美国西部的公共土地冲突。最后,我将讨论美国国家纪念碑和公共土地的未来前景。
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引用次数: 0
Policy Brief—The Effectiveness of Phosphate Bans in the United States 政策简报——美国磷酸盐禁令的有效性
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/reep/reaa003
David A Keiser
Nutrient pollution is one of the leading causes of declines in surface water quality both in the United States and globally. This article discusses three important issues that influence the effectiveness of recent U.S. policies that ban the use of phosphates in household and commercial products and, ultimately, these policies’ ability to improve water quality. First, the U.S. production of phosphates for household and commercial products and other industrial uses has fallen to less than 5 percent of total phosphate production in recent decades, with agricultural use accounting for the remaining 95 percent. Thus, current policies that target household and industrial uses over agriculture have limited ability to address the larger nutrient pollution problem. Second, the behavioral responses of consumers to variations in the spatial and temporal characteristics of these policies reduce their effectiveness because households can purchase products containing phosphates at different locations or at different times of the year. Third, the interactions of these policies with regulations at wastewater treatment facilities will determine the extent to which reductions in phosphate at the household and commercial levels will result in reductions in the amount of phosphates that are emitted into waterways.
营养污染是美国和全球地表水质量下降的主要原因之一。本文讨论了三个重要问题,这些问题影响了美国最近禁止在家庭和商业产品中使用磷酸盐的政策的有效性,并最终影响了这些政策改善水质的能力。首先,近几十年来,美国用于家庭、商业产品和其他工业用途的磷酸盐产量已降至磷酸盐总产量的5%以下,农业用途占其余95%。因此,目前针对家庭和工业用途而非农业的政策解决更大的营养污染问题的能力有限。其次,消费者对这些政策的空间和时间特征变化的行为反应降低了其有效性,因为家庭可以在一年中的不同地点或不同时间购买含有磷酸盐的产品。第三,这些政策与废水处理设施法规的相互作用将决定家庭和商业层面磷酸盐的减少将在多大程度上减少排入水道的磷酸盐量。
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引用次数: 1
The Economics of the Joint Management of Water Resources and Aquatic Species in the United States 美国水资源和水生物种联合管理的经济学
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/reep/reaa005
Kailin Kroetz, Y. Kuwayama, Caroline Vexler
The health of many marine, coastal, freshwater, and other aquatic ecosystems is inextricably linked to decisions about the management of water quality and quantity. In this article we review the economic literature aimed at quantifying the impacts of water resource management on aquatic species in the United States and the potential welfare gains of managing water and aquatic species systems jointly. Existing studies consider multiple water uses, such as agricultural irrigation and hydropower generation, as well as different societal benefits from aquatic species, such as commercial and recreational fishing and endangered species preservation. These studies use a variety of methodologies, including stated and revealed preference techniques, bioeconomic modeling, and reduced-form econometrics. We conclude with a discussion of future directions for research that could increase understanding of the trade-offs between water and aquatic species management outcomes and identify gains from the joint management of water resources and aquatic species in the United States.
许多海洋、沿海、淡水和其他水生生态系统的健康与水质和水量管理决策密不可分。在这篇文章中,我们回顾了经济文献,旨在量化水资源管理对美国水生物种的影响,以及联合管理水和水生物种系统的潜在福利收益。现有研究考虑了多种用水方式,如农业灌溉和水力发电,以及水生物种的不同社会效益,如商业和娱乐捕鱼以及濒危物种保护。这些研究使用了多种方法,包括陈述和揭示的偏好技术、生物经济建模和简化形式的计量经济学。最后,我们讨论了未来的研究方向,这些方向可以加深对水和水生物种管理结果之间权衡的理解,并确定美国水资源和水生物种联合管理的收益。
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引用次数: 2
Best Practices for Implementing Recreation Demand Models 实施康乐需求模型的最佳实践
IF 5.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/reep/reaa007
Frank Lupi, D. Phaneuf, Roger H. von Haefen
This article discusses best practices for implementing recreation demand models. We focus on insights that research and experience provide for the typical recreation application, where the analyst uses individual-level data to measure the value of changes in recreation site access or quality at one or more destinations. We examine issues related to data collection, pre-analysis tasks, modeling, and assessing quality, in addition to a discussion of future research needs. Our focus is on understanding best practices when the analyst’s goal is to present accurate estimates of economic value of recreation site access or quality, and so we prioritize practical steps rather than describing the frontiers of methodological research in recreation demand modeling.
本文讨论了实现娱乐需求模型的最佳实践。我们关注研究和经验为典型的娱乐应用程序提供的见解,其中分析师使用个人层面的数据来衡量一个或多个目的地的娱乐站点访问或质量变化的价值。除了讨论未来的研究需求外,我们还研究了与数据收集、预分析任务、建模和评估质量相关的问题。当分析师的目标是准确估计娱乐场所访问或质量的经济价值时,我们的重点是理解最佳实践,因此我们优先考虑实际步骤,而不是描述娱乐需求建模方法研究的前沿。
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引用次数: 38
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Review of Environmental Economics and Policy
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