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Environmental impacts from traffic on highway construction work zones: Framework and simulations 高速公路施工作业区交通对环境的影响:框架与模拟
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2392624
Changmo Kim , Ali Azhar Butt , John T. Harvey , Maryam Ostovar
Emissions from internal combustion engine vehicles on highways are the major contributors to global warming in the United States. Transportation sector pavement-related emissions come from gasolines and diesel use in vehicles from pavement-vehicle interaction, which is affected by pavement conditions, and by the trucking of new pavement materials and demolition. The objective of this study was to develop a framework for determining the fuel use resulting in environmental impacts caused by construction work zones (CWZs) on a range of vehicles and to produce initial calculations of these impacts by modeling traffic closure conditions for highway maintenance and rehabilitation activities. The study included two common highway categories—freeways/multi-lane highways and two-lane highways. The framework was demonstrated using three CWZ operations under different traffic congestion levels. In the simulation results for a freeway with a CWZ and heavy congestion, fuel consumption increased by 85% and the carbon-dioxide equivalent emissions increased by 86%. Changing CWZ traffic congestion from heavy (average speed 5 mph) to medium (average speed 25 mph for a freeway section) reduced fuel consumption by 40% on a freeway. This study also included use of a pilot car in a CWZ on a two-lane road typical of lower traffic volume state highways and county roads to compare with the drive cycles in MOVES used for the scenarios. The pilot-car operation scenario results indicate that a one-lane closure with pilot-car operation on a two-lane road might consume 13% excess fuel because of idling time and the slow movement of vehicles following the pilot car.
在美国,高速公路上内燃机车辆的排放是造成全球变暖的主要原因。交通部门与路面相关的排放来自车辆使用的汽油和柴油,这些排放来自路面与车辆的相互作用(受路面状况影响),以及新路面材料的卡车运输和拆除。本研究的目的是制定一个框架,用于确定施工作业区(CWZ)对各种车辆造成的环境影响所导致的燃料使用量,并通过模拟高速公路维护和修复活动的交通封闭条件,对这些影响进行初步计算。研究包括两个常见的高速公路类别--高速公路/多车道高速公路和双车道高速公路。在不同的交通拥堵水平下,使用三个 CWZ 操作演示了该框架。模拟结果表明,在一条高速公路上,CWZ 交通拥堵严重,油耗增加了 85%,二氧化碳排放当量增加了 86%。将 CWZ 交通拥堵程度从严重(平均车速 5 英里/小时)改为中等(高速公路路段平均车速 25 英里/小时)后,高速公路的油耗降低了 40%。这项研究还包括在 CWZ 的一条双车道道路上使用试验车,该道路通常是交通流量较低的国道和县道,以便与 MOVES 中用于情景模拟的驾驶循环进行比较。试验车运行情景结果表明,在双车道道路上关闭单车道并使用试验车运行可能会多耗 13% 的燃油,原因是怠速时间和试验车后方车辆的缓慢行驶。
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引用次数: 0
Two-stage multilateral trade-based prediction model for freight transport carbon emission of Belt and Road countries along Eurasian Landbridges 基于两阶段多边贸易的欧亚大陆桥 "一带一路 "沿线国家货运碳排放预测模型
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2392190
Eugene Y.C. Wong , Kev K.T. Ling , Allen H. Tai , Andrew Yuen
Global freight distribution patterns have been affected by trading policies and the pandemic outbreak. The Belt and Road Initiative, trade conflicts, and the COVID-19 pandemic have changed the global logistics flow, shifting cargos from maritime and air transport to railway transport along the countries in the Eurasian Landbridge. Though railway freight emits less carbon than road truck transportation, the increased use of railway freight brings in a higher volume of carbon emissions to cities located along the landbridges. Achieving net zero carbon emission is becoming more important, but there is a lack of literature in assessing the environmental impact of cross-border railway logistics transportation among Belt and Road countries. A novel two-stage multilateral trade-based prediction model is developed, integrating a modified gravity model and nonlinear autoregressive neural network for trade and emission forecasting. The model evaluates railway freight along the landbridge over ten years and forecasts the impact of carbon emissions from trading and logistics along the corridor in the subsequent five years. It further analyses the emissions impact of the proposed Third Eurasian Landbridge and the extended Second Eurasian Landbridge. The findings provide insights for the development of railway freight transport, considering trade and logistics flow, carbon emission mitigation strategies, and sustainability impact between China and other Belt and Road countries. While countries such as India and Kazakhstan were forecast to have significant amounts of carbon emissions in the projected period, the rapid growths in locations with smaller emission amounts such as Kunming and Georgia should draw attention and require continuous monitoring.
全球货运配送模式受到贸易政策和大流行病爆发的影响。一带一路 "倡议、贸易冲突和 COVID-19 大流行改变了全球物流流向,使欧亚大陆桥沿线国家的货物运输从海运和空运转向铁路运输。虽然铁路货运的碳排放量低于公路卡车运输,但铁路货运的增加给陆桥沿线城市带来了更高的碳排放量。实现碳净零排放正变得越来越重要,但目前缺乏文献评估 "一带一路 "国家间跨境铁路物流运输对环境的影响。本文建立了一个新颖的基于多边贸易的两阶段预测模型,将修正的重力模型和非线性自回归神经网络整合在一起,用于贸易和排放预测。该模型评估了陆桥沿线十年的铁路货运情况,并预测了随后五年走廊沿线贸易和物流产生的碳排放影响。该模型进一步分析了拟议中的第三欧亚大陆桥和扩展后的第二欧亚大陆桥的排放影响。考虑到中国与其他 "一带一路 "国家之间的贸易和物流流量、碳排放减缓战略以及可持续性影响,研究结果为铁路货运的发展提供了启示。虽然预测印度和哈萨克斯坦等国在预测期内的碳排放量较大,但昆明和格鲁吉亚等排放量较小的地区的快速增长应引起关注,并需要持续监测。
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引用次数: 0
New ways for carsharing – Can mobility as a service boost carsharing? 汽车共享的新途径--移动即服务能否促进汽车共享?
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2391885
Felix Röhrich , Dominik Rebholz , Robert Keller , Marius Prank
Mobility as a Service is a potential game changer in the transition from individual motorized to sustainable and multimodal mobility in urban areas. These innovative concepts are an opportunity for existing forms of sustainable mobility to reach a broader user base and extend their service offerings. Although there are some practical examples of carsharing applications in such concepts, there is a lack of data-driven research about Mobility as a Service in practice and, above all, findings about the influence on usage behavior within such systems. We analyze usage data of the “Mobil-Flat”, a subscription-based mobility offer that integrates carsharing, public transportation, and bike sharing into a single service in a medium-sized German city, to determine the impact of Mobility as a Service on carsharing use. This results in a structured overview of the business model and the implications of such concepts on user behavior and acceptance in the context of carsharing, based on a real-world dataset.
流动即服务 "有可能改变游戏规则,改变城市地区从个人机动化向可持续和多模式流动的过渡。这些创新概念为现有的可持续交通形式提供了一个机会,使其能够接触到更广泛的用户群,并扩大其服务范围。尽管在这些概念中已有一些汽车共享的实际应用案例,但还缺乏有关 "移动即服务 "实践的数据驱动型研究,尤其是有关此类系统对使用行为的影响的研究结果。我们分析了 "Mobil-Flat "的使用数据,以确定 "移动即服务 "对汽车共享使用的影响。"Mobil-Flat "是德国一个中型城市提供的一种基于订阅的移动服务,将汽车共享、公共交通和自行车共享整合为一项服务。结果是基于真实世界的数据集,对共享汽车的商业模式和此类概念对用户行为和接受度的影响进行了结构化概述。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying optimal number of driving cycles to represent diverse driving conditions 确定代表不同驾驶条件的最佳驾驶循环次数
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2397647
Asad Yarahmadi , Catherine Morency , Martin Trepanier
Driving cycle is one of the main inputs of vehicle emission modeling. However, the variability of driving cycles due to fluctuations in weather conditions is one of the primary sources of uncertainty in vehicle emission estimation. This study aims to identify and determine an optimal number of driving cycles that can correctly represent driving patterns in diverse weather conditions. First, a multivariate multiple regression model is developed to determine the most important weather factors affecting the driving patterns. Then, similar weather conditions are identified according to these factors using unsupervised machine learning. Next, two driving cycles are constructed for diverse weather types, one for weekdays and one for weekends. Afterward, descriptive analysis and a similarity matrix are employed to determine how similar the generated driving cycles are in different weather types. Finally, 15 driving cycles are identified to represent driving patterns in diverse driving conditions.
驾驶周期是车辆排放建模的主要输入之一。然而,天气条件波动导致的驾驶周期变化是车辆排放估算不确定性的主要来源之一。本研究旨在识别和确定能够正确代表不同天气条件下驾驶模式的最佳驾驶周期数。首先,建立一个多变量多元回归模型,以确定影响驾驶模式的最重要天气因素。然后,利用无监督机器学习,根据这些因素识别类似的天气条件。接着,针对不同的天气类型构建了两个驾驶周期,一个是工作日,另一个是周末。然后,使用描述性分析和相似性矩阵来确定在不同天气类型下生成的驾驶周期的相似程度。最后,确定了 15 个驾驶周期,以代表不同驾驶条件下的驾驶模式。
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引用次数: 0
Factors driving reduction in CO2 emissions from personal travel: A repeated cross-sectional analysis 减少个人旅行二氧化碳排放量的驱动因素:重复横截面分析
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2391886
Daejin Kim , Hyeongyun Ki , Wonho Suh , Soongbong Lee , Joonho Ko
This study identifies factors that drive the changes in CO2 emissions from personal travel in urban areas during 2006 and 2016 using repeated cross-sectional household travel surveys conducted in Seoul, Korea. We first estimated the daily travel CO2 emissions of every survey participant for each year based on travel itinerary records and estimated CO2 intensity for the travel mode. The results suggest that total CO2 emissions from personal travel in Seoul declined remarkably between 2006 and 2016, potentially due to reduced vehicle use, transition to non-motorized travel, improved vehicle technology, and eased traffic conditions. Two multilevel mixed-effect Tobit regression models were developed to identify the factors affecting CO2 emissions from personal travel for each year. The results suggest that some cohorts (e.g. males, 30s and 40s, small households, high-income groups, car owners) are likely to produce more CO2 emissions from personal travel consistently in 2006 and 2016. The changes in the estimated coefficients between the two years were also evaluated statistically, suggesting that some population groups (e.g. elderly, large households) are likely to reduce CO2 emissions from personal travel. The reduction in CO2 emissions by these groups may be correlated with continued investment in the public transportation system in Seoul. These findings provide an opportunity to gain a clear understanding of travel behavioral changes related to CO2 emissions from personal travel, with insights toward sustainable development.
本研究利用在韩国首尔进行的重复横截面家庭旅行调查,找出了 2006 年至 2016 年间城市地区个人旅行二氧化碳排放量变化的驱动因素。我们首先根据旅行行程记录估算了每位调查对象每年的日常旅行二氧化碳排放量,并估算了旅行方式的二氧化碳强度。结果表明,2006 年至 2016 年间,首尔个人出行的二氧化碳排放总量显著下降,这可能是由于车辆使用减少、向非机动车出行过渡、车辆技术改进以及交通状况改善等原因造成的。我们建立了两个多层次混合效应 Tobit 回归模型,以确定影响每年个人出行二氧化碳排放量的因素。结果表明,在 2006 年和 2016 年,一些群体(如男性、三四十岁、小家庭、高收入群体、有车一族)可能持续产生更多的个人出行二氧化碳排放量。两年之间估计系数的变化也进行了统计评估,表明一些人口群体(如老年人、大家庭)可能会减少个人出行的二氧化碳排放量。这些群体二氧化碳排放量的减少可能与首尔公共交通系统的持续投资有关。这些研究结果为清楚地了解与个人出行二氧化碳排放相关的出行行为变化提供了机会,并为可持续发展提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Have low emission zones slowed urban traffic recovery after Covid-19? 低排放区是否减缓了 Covid-19 之后城市交通的恢复?
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2386135
Daniel Albalate , Xavier Fageda

This paper bridges the gap between the literature on the pandemic’s effects on mobility and the literature on the impact of low emission zones (LEZ). Using data for large European cities in the period 2018–2021, we examine whether LEZs may explain differences in the recovery patterns of traffic in European cities after the shock of Covid. Controlling for several city attributes, we examine whether LEZ cities are less congested before and after the pandemic in comparison to non-LEZ cities. LEZs may have been more effective in reducing congestion after the pandemic because the fleet renewal process has slowed down or, alternatively, LEZs may be a proxy of unobservable factors related with attitudes of governments and citizens toward a sustainable mobility. Our results validate the traffic-mitigating role of the LEZ after the Covid-19 pandemic, although such result only holds for the pioneering LEZ cities. Hence, the traffic-mitigating role of the LEZ after the Covid-19 pandemic seems to be related to unobservable attributes that influenced the early decision to implement a LEZ. In this regard, we also find that LEZs may have induced a change in local attributes related to sustainable mobility given that we do not find differences between LEZs decided at the local or regional level.

本文弥补了有关大流行病对流动性影响的文献与有关低排放区(LEZ)影响的文献之间的空白。利用 2018-2021 年期间欧洲大城市的数据,我们研究了低排放区是否可以解释欧洲城市在科威德冲击后交通恢复模式的差异。在控制了几个城市属性后,我们考察了低排放区城市与非低排放区城市相比,在大流行前后是否拥堵程度较低。大流行后,低排放区在减少拥堵方面可能更加有效,因为车队更新过程放缓了;或者,低排放区可能是与政府和市民对可持续交通的态度有关的不可观测因素的代表。我们的研究结果验证了低排放区在 Covid-19 大流行后的交通缓解作用,尽管这一结果仅适用于低排放区的先驱城市。因此,在 Covid-19 大流行后,低排放区的交通缓解作用似乎与影响早期决定实施低排放区的不可观测属性有关。在这方面,我们还发现,鉴于我们没有发现在地方或区域层面决定的低排放区之间存在差异,低排放区可能诱发了与可持续交通相关的地方属性的变化。
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引用次数: 0
Structural characteristics of urban agglomeration transportation networks under sustainable development goals 可持续发展目标下城市群交通网络的结构特征
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2386389
Qianya Pian , Ling Zhang , Dequn Zhou , Dan Xia

The structural characteristics of transportation networks (SCTN) under sustainable development goals are crucial for the development and construction of urban agglomerations (UAs). Evaluating the SCTN in UAs can be difficult due to the increasing diversity of UAs and the multiple interactive criteria involved. To address these challenges, this paper develops the G-DEMATEL model, a new data-driven model that integrates the λ-step gravity model and the decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory method. This model is then applied to various scales of Chinese UAs. The results demonstrate that: (1) three types of SCTN have developed in UAs, including polycentric, two-centers, and monocentric networks; (2) the transportation networks in UAs exhibit an excess of independent-type cities and a lack of functional differentiation among cities. (3) SCTN are significantly influenced by natural and location conditions such as geography and distance from the central city, and the gravitational effects of provincial capitals are especially significant.

可持续发展目标下的交通网络(SCTN)结构特征对于城市群(UAs)的发展和建设至关重要。由于城市群日益多样化,且涉及多种交互标准,因此评估城市群中的小交通网络十分困难。为了应对这些挑战,本文开发了 G-DEMATEL 模型,这是一个新的数据驱动模型,它整合了 λ 步重力模型和决策试验与评估实验室方法。然后,将该模型应用于不同规模的中国公用事业单位。结果表明(1) 城市群中形成了多中心、双中心和单中心三种类型的小交通网络;(2) 城市群中的交通网络呈现出独立型城市过多、城市间功能分化不足的特点。(3) 小城市交通网络受自然条件和区位条件的影响较大,如地理位置、与中心城市的距离等,省会城市的引力效应尤为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the psychological drivers of sustainable transport consumption: The role of Big-Two personality traits 探索可持续交通消费的心理驱动因素:大二型人格特征的作用
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2376562
Md Shahin , Milad Ghasri , Alireza Abbasi

Understanding the psychological factors that influence people’s behavior in using sustainable modes of transportation, e.g., public transport, is crucial for promoting environmentally friendly behavior and mitigating climate change. This study examines the impact of the big-two personality traits (stability and plasticity) on households’ auto transport consumption (ATC) and public transport consumption (PTC), and their mediating role in the relationship between socioeconomic factors (e.g., age, income, education, marital status) and transport consumptions (i.e., ATC and PTC). A triple-hurdle model, including two binary logit models and one structural equation model, is developed using a comprehensive national household survey in Australia. Findings reveal that the stability trait is positively related to ATC (b = 0.253, p < 0.10) and negatively to PTC (b = −0.372, p < 0.001), while the plasticity trait shows a positive association with PTC (b = 0.351, p < 0.001) and is negatively related to ATC (b = −0.296, p < 0.001). The developed analytical framework supports policymakers to identify individuals with stability and plasticity traits, using socioeconomic factors, and to design more-targeted interventions to incentivize specific individuals to use public transport, thus contributing to global efforts toward a sustainable future.

了解影响人们使用可持续交通方式(如公共交通)行为的心理因素,对于促进环保行为和减缓气候变化至关重要。本研究探讨了两大人格特质(稳定性和可塑性)对家庭汽车交通消费(ATC)和公共交通消费(PTC)的影响,以及它们在社会经济因素(如年龄、收入、教育、婚姻状况)与交通消费(即 ATC 和 PTC)之间的中介作用。利用澳大利亚的一项全国性综合家庭调查,建立了一个三重赫德模型,包括两个二元对数模型和一个结构方程模型。研究结果显示,稳定性特质与 ATC 呈正相关(b = 0.253,p < 0.10),与 PTC 呈负相关(b = -0.372,p < 0.001),而可塑性特质与 PTC 呈正相关(b = 0.351,p < 0.001),与 ATC 呈负相关(b = -0.296,p < 0.001)。所开发的分析框架有助于政策制定者利用社会经济因素识别具有稳定性和可塑性特质的个体,并设计更有针对性的干预措施,激励特定个体使用公共交通,从而为全球努力实现可持续发展的未来做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Multiple shared mobility services under competition: Empirical evidence for public acceptance and policy insights to sustainable transport 竞争下的多种共享交通服务:公众接受度的经验证据和对可持续交通的政策启示
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2384613
R. C. P. Wong , Jintao Ke , W. Y. Szeto , P. L. Mak

Traffic congestion and roadside emissions are severe and common problems in metropolitans. As a promising and sustainable solution to mitigating these vehicle externalities, shared mobility reduces the required vehicle fleet size for serving a given level of demand by sharing a vehicle among travelers with similar schedules and itineraries. Public acceptance is the key to the success of shared mobility development. This study investigates the acceptance of drivers and passengers of two typical competing shared mobility modes, car-pooling and taxi ride sharing, taking Hong Kong as a case study. For an empirical evaluation, an on-street stated preference survey was conducted, and 829 respondents, including 257 private car owners and 572 non-private car owners were interviewed about their travel preferences in three given hypothetical scenarios. In total, 2,487 observations were collected for calibrating two proposed logit-based discrete choice models for drivers and passengers. The model results show that the out-of-pocket cost, in-vehicle travel time, and out-of-vehicle time are key factors influencing travelers’ decisions toward car-pooling and taxi ride-sharing. An equilibrium model was proposed and an iteration solution procedure was applied to obtain a convergent solution to balance the demand and supply of drivers and passengers for car-pooling services. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses were carried out to examine the effects of variations in proportions of travel cost and taxi fare shared by passengers for car-pooling and taxi ride-sharing, and to assist in the formulation of relevant transport policies.

交通拥堵和路边废气排放是大都市普遍存在的严重问题。作为缓解这些车辆外部性的一种有前途的可持续解决方案,共享交通通过在具有相似时间表和行程的旅行者之间共享车辆,减少了服务于特定需求水平所需的车队规模。公众接受度是共享交通发展成功的关键。本研究以香港为例,调查了司机和乘客对两种典型的共享出行模式--拼车和出租车合乘--的接受程度。为了进行实证评估,研究人员在街头进行了陈述偏好调查,并访问了 829 名受访者,包括 257 名私家车车主和 572 名非私家车车主,了解他们在三种假设情景下的出行偏好。总共收集了 2,487 个观测值,用于校准两个基于 logit 的离散选择模型。模型结果表明,实付成本、车内旅行时间和车外时间是影响旅行者对拼车和出租车合乘决策的关键因素。研究提出了一个平衡模型,并采用迭代求解程序获得了一个收敛解,以平衡司机和乘客对拼车服务的需求和供给。此外,还进行了敏感性分析,以研究拼车和共乘出租车的乘客分担出行成本和出租车费用的比例变化所产生的影响,并协助制定相关的交通政策。
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引用次数: 0
Distributions of walking access to public transport in Melbourne, Australia – Evidence on acceptable and tolerable walking distances 澳大利亚墨尔本公共交通步行距离分布--关于可接受和可容忍步行距离的证据
IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1080/15568318.2024.2385641
Michael A. P. Taylor , Sekhar Somenahalli

The international literature indicates a wide interest in the distances public transport users walk to access their services. Urban and transport planners seek information on acceptable walking distances (AWD) in the provision of minimum levels of service coverage. This study uses a large database from Melbourne, Australia, to analyze trip length frequency distributions (TLFD) of walking access and egress to consider AWD in a multimodal public transportation system and to examine tolerable walking distances (TWD). AWD provides a guide to planners about stop/station locations for desirable minimum service coverage. TWD is a representative maximum walking distance for assessing the effectiveness of that service provision and can be used in conjunction with AWD. A statistical distribution function for walking distances can facilitate the use of regional values for AWD and TWD in transit service planning. The Burr Type XII distribution is shown to provide a good fit to the observed data. This provides a valuable tool for the analysis of percentile walking distances and suggests a general framework for the study of AWD and TWD in any city or region.

国际文献表明,人们对公共交通用户为获得服务而步行的距离有着广泛的兴趣。城市和交通规划者在提供最低水平的服务覆盖时,会寻求有关可接受步行距离(AWD)的信息。本研究利用澳大利亚墨尔本的大型数据库,分析步行进出的行程长度频率分布 (TLFD),以考虑多式公共交通系统中的可接受步行距离,并研究可容忍步行距离 (TWD)。平均步行距离可为规划者提供有关站点位置的指导,以实现理想的最小服务覆盖范围。双向步行距离是一个具有代表性的最大步行距离,用于评估服务提供的有效性,可与平均步行距离结合使用。步行距离的统计分布函数有助于在公交服务规划中使用平均步行距离和总和步行距离的区域值。Burr XII 型分布与观测数据拟合良好。这为分析步行距离百分位数提供了一个宝贵的工具,并为研究任何城市或地区的平均步行距离和总步行距离提出了一个总体框架。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Sustainable Transportation
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