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M&A and technological expansion 并购和技术扩张
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-13 DOI: 10.1111/jems.12551
Ginger Zhe Jin, Mario Leccese, Liad Wagman

We examine how public firms listed in North American stock exchanges acquire technology companies during 2010–2020. Combining data from Standard and Poor's (S&P), Refinitiv, Compustat, and Center for Research in Security Prices, and utilizing a unique S&P taxonomy that classifies tech mergers and acquisitions (M&As) by tech categories and business verticals, we show that 13.1% of public firms engage in any tech M&A in the S&P data, while only 6.75% of public firms make any (tech or nontech) M&A in Refinitiv. In both data sets, the acquisitions are widespread across sectors of the economy, but tech acquirers in the S&P data are on average younger, more investment efficient, and more likely to engage in international acquisitions than general acquirers in Refinitiv. Within the S&P data, deals in each M&A-active tech category tend to be led by acquirers from a specific sector; the majority of target companies in tech M&As fall outside the acquirer's core area of business; and firms are, in part, driven to acquire tech companies because they face increased competition in their core areas.

我们研究了 2010-2020 年期间在北美证券交易所上市的上市公司如何收购科技公司。结合标准普尔(S&P)、Refinitiv、Compustat 和证券价格研究中心(Center for Research in Security Prices)的数据,并利用独特的 S&P 分类法按技术类别和业务垂直领域对科技并购(M&As)进行分类,我们发现在 S&P 数据中,13.1% 的上市公司参与了任何科技并购,而在 Refinitiv 数据中,只有 6.75% 的上市公司进行了任何(科技或非科技)并购。在这两组数据中,并购广泛存在于各个经济部门,但与 Refinitiv 数据中的一般并购者相比,S&P 数据中的科技并购者平均更年轻、投资效率更高,而且更有可能参与国际并购。在S&P数据中,每项M&A活跃科技类别的交易往往由来自特定行业的收购方主导;科技M&A中的大多数目标公司都不属于收购方的核心业务领域;企业收购科技公司的部分原因是它们在核心领域面临着日益激烈的竞争。
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引用次数: 0
Upstream conduct and price authority with competing organizations 与竞争组织的上游行为和价格权威
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.1111/jems.12546
Enrique Andreu, Damien Neven, Salvatore Piccolo, Roberto Venturini

We characterize the degree of price authority that competing upstream principals award their downstream agents in a setting where these agents own private information about demand and incur nonverifiable distribution costs. Principals cannot internalize these costs through monetary incentives and design “permission sets” from which agents choose prices. The objective is to understand the forces shaping delegation and the constraints imposed on equilibrium prices. When principals behave noncooperatively, agents are biased toward excessively high prices because they pass on distribution costs to consumers. Hence, the permission set only features a price cap that is more likely to bind as products become closer substitutes, in sectors where distribution is sufficiently costly, and when demand is not too volatile. By contrast, when principals behave cooperatively, the optimal delegation scheme is richer and more complex. Because principals want to charge the monopoly price, the optimal permission set features a price floor when the distribution cost is sufficiently low, it features instead full discretion for moderate values of this cost, and only when it is high enough, a price cap is optimal. Surprisingly, while competition (as captured by stronger product substitutability) hinders delegation in the noncooperative regime, the opposite occurs when principals maximize industry profit.

我们描述了竞争上游委托人授予下游代理人的价格权威程度,在这种情况下,这些代理人拥有关于需求的私人信息,并产生不可验证的分销成本。委托人不能通过货币激励和设计代理人选择价格的“许可集”来内化这些成本。目的是了解形成委托的力量以及对均衡价格施加的限制。当委托人的行为不合作时,代理商会倾向于过高的价格,因为他们会将分销成本转嫁给消费者。因此,在分销成本足够高、需求不太波动的行业,随着产品成为更接近的替代品,许可集只具有价格上限,该价格上限更有可能受到约束。相比之下,当主体行为协同时,最优委托方案更丰富、更复杂。因为委托人希望收取垄断价格,所以当分销成本足够低时,最优权限集具有价格下限,而不是对该成本的适度值具有完全的自由裁量权,只有当价格上限足够高时,价格上限才是最优的。令人惊讶的是,虽然竞争(如更强的产品可替代性所体现的)阻碍了非合作制度下的授权,但当委托人使行业利润最大化时,情况恰恰相反。
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引用次数: 0
Trade spends and profitability of promotions 贸易支出和促销的盈利能力
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/jems.12525
Maxim Sinitsyn

This paper examines the prevalent mechanism of financing advertising and temporary price reductions through trade spend budgets. A manufacturer and a retailer interact for a number of periods with a plan to hold a sale in the last period. During the nonpromotional periods, the retailer accumulates the funds in this budget in proportion to the size of its order from the manufacturer. In the sale period, the budget is used to finance the discount offered by the manufacturer and advertising. I find that the manufacturer drops its price in the sale period to increase the profitability of promotions for the retailer. To be able to sell more units during the sale period, the retailer needs to accumulate a larger trade spend. This is accomplished by setting a smaller mark-up over the manufacturer's price in the regular periods. The manufacturer takes advantage of the retailer's softer pricing by increasing its regular wholesale price. As long as such trade spends are used to finance advertising, the total profits of each firm increase. Using fixed trade spends, where the manufacturer allocates a fixed amount for the retailer, does not lead to an increase in profits.

本文研究了通过贸易支出预算为广告和临时降价融资的普遍机制。制造商和零售商在多个时期内相互作用,计划在最后一个时期进行销售。在非运动期,零售商根据制造商的订单规模在预算中积累资金。在销售期间,预算用于资助制造商提供的折扣和广告。我发现制造商在销售期间降价是为了增加零售商的促销利润。为了能够在销售期间销售更多的商品,零售商需要积累更大的贸易支出。这是通过在正常时期对制造商的价格设置较小的加价来实现的。制造商通过提高常规批发价格来利用零售商较软的定价。只要这些贸易支出用于广告融资,每家公司的总利润就会增加。使用固定贸易支出,即制造商为零售商分配固定金额,不会导致利润增加。
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引用次数: 0
Social preferences and sales performance 社会偏好和销售业绩
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-27 DOI: 10.1111/jems.12523
Andrea Essl, Frauke von Bieberstein, Michael Kosfeld, Markus Kröll

We use an incentivized experimental game to uncover heterogeneity in social preferences among salespeople in a large Austrian retail chain. Our results show that the majority of agents take the welfare of others into account but a significant fraction reveal selfish behavior. Matching individual behavior in the game with firm data on sales performance shows that agents with social preferences achieve a significantly higher revenue per customer. However, at the same time, they achieve fewer sales per day. Both effects offset each other, so that the overall association with total sales revenue becomes insignificant. Our findings highlight the nuanced role of selfish versus social preferences in sales contexts with important implications for economic research.

我们使用一个激励实验游戏来揭示奥地利大型零售连锁店销售人员社会偏好的异质性。我们的研究结果表明,大多数代理人都考虑到了他人的福利,但也有相当一部分人表现出自私的行为。将游戏中的个人行为与公司的销售业绩数据相匹配表明,具有社会偏好的代理商为每位客户带来了显著更高的收入。然而,与此同时,他们每天的销售额却减少了。这两种影响相互抵消,因此与总销售收入的总体关联变得微不足道。我们的研究结果强调了自私与社会偏好在销售环境中的微妙作用,对经济研究具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
What innovation paths for AI to become a GPT? 人工智能成为 GPT 的创新路径有哪些?
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-27 DOI: 10.1111/jems.12524
Timothy Bresnahan

Early commercial applications of artificial intelligence technologies (AITs) were narrow but extremely profitable. Comparable uses of those technologies throughout the economy would lead to a growth boom. Firms which emulated the early applications successfully would make tremendous strategic gains. This is a situation familiar from earlier rounds of information and communication technology. However, for AITs to become a general-purpose technology across many commercial applications sectors will require some new innovations. This paper examines the innovation paths that could lead to that desirable outcome, the ones that have stalled, the ones in the process now, and the ones that might occur in the future. Strikingly, early AIT use, both commercial and with technical customers, occurred where Digital Transformation was not required for it to succeed. The innovation paths all require Digital Transformation as key steps.

人工智能技术(AIT)的早期商业应用范围很窄,但利润极高。这些技术在整个经济中的可比应用将带来增长热潮。成功模仿早期应用的企业将获得巨大的战略收益。这种情况在信息和通信技术的早期发展中并不陌生。然而,要使人工智能技术成为许多商业应用领域的通用技术,还需要一些新的创新。本文探讨了可以实现这一理想结果的创新途径、已经停滞不前的创新途径、目前正在进行的创新途径以及未来可能出现的创新途径。令人震惊的是,早期的 AIT 应用,无论是商业应用还是技术客户应用,都是在不需要数字化转型的情况下取得成功的。创新之路都需要数字化转型作为关键步骤。
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引用次数: 0
Digital highways and firm turnover 数字高速公路和公司营业额
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-24 DOI: 10.1111/jems.12522
Carlo Cambini, Lorien Sabatino

We study the impact of ultra-broadband (UBB) internet connections on firm entry and exit dynamics. These connections are based on optical fiber cables that link telecommunication operators to final users, allowing a significantly higher performance compared with traditional copper-line networks. We leverage on a unique comprehensive dataset collecting municipality-level information on broadband diffusion and firm turnover in Italy for the period of 2012–2019. Our empirical strategy exploits the staggered roll-out of UBB, starting from 2015. Our identification strategy is based on an instrumental variable approach that exploits plausibly exogenous variation in the physical and geographical peculiarities of the telecommunication infrastructure. Results suggest that UBB increases firm exit, particularly for small firms. On the contrary, firm entry rises only in digital intensive sectors and in the most developed geographical areas. Our findings have important implications for the ongoing debate around the massive investments in high-speed digital infrastructures, as they argue against the conventional idea that business activities equally benefit from last-generation broadband technologies.

我们研究了超宽带(UBB)互联网连接对企业进入和退出动态的影响。这些连接基于将电信运营商连接到最终用户的光纤电缆,与传统铜线网络相比,具有更高的性能。我们利用一个独特的综合数据集收集2012-2019年意大利宽带普及和公司营业额的市级信息。我们的实证策略利用了从2015年开始交错推出的UBB。我们的识别策略基于一种工具变量方法,该方法利用了电信基础设施物理和地理特性的看似外生的变化。结果表明,UBB增加了企业退出,尤其是对小企业而言。相反,只有在数字密集型行业和最发达的地理区域,公司进入率才会上升。我们的发现对围绕高速数字基础设施大规模投资的持续辩论具有重要意义,因为它们反对商业活动同样受益于上一代宽带技术的传统观点。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence adoption and system-wide change 采用人工智能和全系统变革
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-20 DOI: 10.1111/jems.12521
Ajay Agrawal, Joshua S. Gans, Avi Goldfarb

Analyses of artificial intelligence (AI) adoption focus on its adoption at the individual task level. What has received significantly less attention is how AI adoption is shaped by the fact that organizations are composed of many interacting tasks. AI adoption may, therefore, require system-wide change, which is both a constraint and an opportunity. We provide the first formal analysis where multiple tasks may be part of an interdependent system. We find that reliance on AI, a prediction tool, increases decision variation, which, in turn, raises challenges if decisions across the organization interact. Reducing inter-dependencies between decisions softens that impact and can facilitate AI adoption. However, it does this at the expense of synergies. By contrast, when there are mechanisms for inter-decision coordination, AI adoption is enhanced when there are more inter-dependencies. Consequently, we show that there are important cases where AI adoption will be enhanced when it can be adopted beyond tasks but as part of a designed organizational system.

对人工智能(AI)应用的分析主要集中在单个任务层面。而组织是由许多相互影响的任务组成的,这一事实如何影响人工智能的采用,则受到的关注要少得多。因此,采用人工智能可能需要全系统的变革,这既是制约因素,也是机遇。我们首次正式分析了多个任务可能是相互依存系统的一部分的情况。我们发现,对人工智能这一预测工具的依赖会增加决策的变异性,反过来,如果整个组织的决策相互影响,就会带来挑战。减少决策之间的相互依赖可以缓解这种影响,并促进人工智能的应用。然而,这样做的代价是牺牲协同效应。相比之下,如果有决策间协调机制,那么当相互依赖程度较高时,人工智能的采用就会得到加强。因此,我们表明,在一些重要的情况下,如果人工智能的应用可以超越任务,而是作为设计好的组织系统的一部分,那么人工智能的应用就会得到加强。
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引用次数: 0
The optimality of public–private partnerships under financial and fiscal constraints 财政和财政约束下公私伙伴关系的最优性
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-18 DOI: 10.1111/jems.12520
Marco Buso, Luciano Greco

The government may delegate two sequential tasks (e.g., building and operating an infrastructure) to the same or different agents (i.e., partnership vs. sequential contracts). Agents are risk-neutral but face financial constraints, whereas the government's contractual capacity may be limited by the renegotiation-proofness and fiscal constraints. By relying on history-dependent incentives, the partnership contract corrects moral hazard more effectively than sequential contracts. Thus, it is socially preferred unless bundling different tasks deteriorates the agent's financial conditions. Our results shed new light on the role of firms' financial and government's fiscal conditions in driving the cost–benefit analysis of public–private partnerships.

政府可以将两项顺序任务(例如,建设和运营基础设施)委托给相同或不同的代理人(即,合作与顺序合同)。代理人是风险中性的,但面临财务限制,而政府的合同能力可能受到重新谈判的可行性和财政限制的限制。通过依赖于历史的激励,合伙合同比顺序合同更有效地纠正了道德风险。因此,除非捆绑不同的任务会恶化代理人的财务状况,否则它是社会偏好。我们的研究结果为企业的财务和政府财政状况在推动公私合作成本效益分析中的作用提供了新的线索。
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引用次数: 2
The impact of artificial intelligence design on pricing 人工智能设计对定价的影响
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-13 DOI: 10.1111/jems.12516
John Asker, Chaim Fershtman, Ariel Pakes

The behavior of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms is shaped by how they learn about their environment. We compare the prices generated by AIs that use different learning protocols when there is market interaction. Asynchronous learning occurs when the AI only learns about the return from the action it took. Synchronous learning occurs when the AI conducts counterfactuals to learn about the returns it would have earned had it taken an alternative action. The two lead to markedly different market prices. When future profits are not given positive weight by the AI, (perfect) synchronous updating leads to competitive pricing, while asynchronous can lead to pricing close to monopoly levels. We investigate how this result varies when either counterfactuals can only be calculated imperfectly and/or when the AI places a weight on future profits. Lastly, we investigate performance differences between offline and online play.

人工智能(AI)算法的行为受其学习环境的影响。我们比较了使用不同学习协议的人工智能在市场互动时产生的价格。当人工智能只了解它所采取的行动的回报时,就会进行异步学习。同步学习是指人工智能进行反事实学习,了解如果它采取另一种行动会获得的回报。这两种情况会导致明显不同的市场价格。当人工智能不赋予未来利润正权重时,(完全)同步更新会导致竞争性定价,而异步更新则会导致定价接近垄断水平。我们研究了当反事实只能以不完全的方式计算和/或人工智能对未来利润进行加权时,这一结果有何不同。最后,我们研究了离线游戏和在线游戏的性能差异。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial competition with demand uncertainty: A laboratory experiment 具有需求不确定性的空间竞争:一项实验室实验
IF 1.9 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-06 DOI: 10.1111/jems.12517
Aurélie Bonein, Stéphane Turolla

Motivated by recent research on product differentiation, we conduct laboratory experiments to study how demand uncertainty influences firms' incentives to differentiate. We ground our experiment on a discrete version of the standard location-then-price game introduced by Hotelling (1929), and we consider different levels of demand uncertainty. We first derive the game equilibrium assuming risk-neutral firms, and obtain the standard prediction that a high level of demand uncertainty generates more differentiation. Second, we extend the analysis to consider non-risk neutral firms and markets with asymmetric risk profiles. We show that the game equilibrium can differ substantially according to the attitude to risk. Third, we compare our predictions with the experimental data and find that demand uncertainty acts as a differentiation force in the context of both symmetric markets composed of risk-neutral or risk-lover subjects and asymmetric markets. We find support also for the agglomeration effect arising from demand uncertainty for sufficiently risk-averse subjects. Overall, these results might explain the opposite product differentiation strategies frequently observed in markets with fast-evolving tastes (i.e., minimum or maximum differentiation). Finally, the data confirm that subjects differentiate to relax price competition and provide evidence of a strong positive relationship between differentiation and prices.

受近期产品差异化研究的启发,我们进行了实验室实验,研究需求的不确定性如何影响企业的差异化动机。我们的实验基于霍特林(1929)引入的标准位置-价格博弈的离散版本,我们考虑了不同水平的需求不确定性。我们首先推导了假设风险中性企业的博弈均衡,并获得了高水平的需求不确定性会产生更多差异的标准预测。其次,我们将分析扩展到考虑非风险中性企业和具有不对称风险状况的市场。我们证明,根据对风险的态度,博弈均衡可以有很大的不同。第三,我们将我们的预测与实验数据进行了比较,发现在由风险中性或风险偏好主体组成的对称市场和不对称市场的背景下,需求不确定性起着分化的作用。我们还发现,对于足够规避风险的主体,需求不确定性产生的集聚效应也得到了支持。总的来说,这些结果可能解释了在口味快速变化的市场中经常观察到的相反的产品差异化策略(即最小或最大差异化)。最后,数据证实了受试者差异化是为了放松价格竞争,并为差异化与价格之间的强正相关关系提供了证据。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Economics & Management Strategy
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