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BRI and the changing world order 金砖倡议与不断变化的世界秩序
Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.32976/stratfuz.2024.13
Levente Horváth
China celebrating the 10 anniversary of the Belt and Road Initiative what was born as an economical cooperation, but after 10 years we can realize that the BRI is more than that. Capitalizing on their political and economic achievements in the 21st century, Asian countries are calling for a new world order. We are witnessing the emergence of a new multipolar and multicultural world order, but little has been said about the structure of this new system. China can offer many countries a new alternative for cooperation, thanks to the success of the Belt and Road Initiative, which can be seen as a framework for a new world order. In my study, through an analysis of China's vision of world order and a look beyond Western thinking, I examine whether the Belt and Road can indeed be the foundation of a new world order.
中国庆祝 "一带一路 "倡议提出十周年。"一带一路 "倡议的初衷是经济合作,但十年之后,我们可以认识到,"一带一路 "倡议的意义远不止于此。亚洲国家正在利用其在 21 世纪取得的政治和经济成就,呼吁建立新的世界秩序。我们正在见证一个多极化、多文化的世界新秩序的出现,但对这一新体系的结构却知之甚少。由于 "一带一路 "倡议的成功,中国可以为许多国家提供新的合作选择,这可以被视为新世界秩序的框架。在我的研究中,通过分析中国对世界秩序的愿景和超越西方思维的视角,我探讨了 "一带一路 "是否真的可以成为世界新秩序的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Chinese and Hungarian Financial Relations 中匈金融关系
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.32976/stratfuz.2024.15
Levente Kovács, János Müller
Banking and financial relations sometimes precede, sometimes follow, but in all cases reinforce economic and political cooperation. This is also the case between China and Hungary. China, which is increasingly assuming its role as a world power, is - for obvious pragmatic reasons - open towards the Central and Eastern European countries wedged between Asia and Western Europe. It is doing so along traditional Chinese trade routes, as part of the 'One Belt, One Road' programme. In this programme, Hungary can build on its known Eastern origins, its deeper understanding of different political systems, and its multifaceted personal relationships to establish successful economic and political cooperation with the financial sector playing its part.
银行和金融关系有时在经济和政治合作之前,有时在之后,但在所有情况下都会加强经济和政治合作。中国和匈牙利之间也是如此。中国正日益担当起世界大国的角色,出于显而易见的务实原因,中国对夹在亚洲和西欧之间的中东欧国家持开放态度。作为 "一带一路 "计划的一部分,中国正沿着中国传统的贸易路线这样做。在这一计划中,匈牙利可以利用其众所周知的东方渊源、对不同政治制度的深刻理解以及多方面的人际关系,在金融部门的作用下建立成功的经济和政治合作。
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引用次数: 0
Human Resource Assessment and Sustainability : Investigating the Measurability of Human Activity 人力资源评估与可持续性:调查人类活动的可衡量性
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.32976/stratfuz.2024.22
Dániel Róbert Szabó, Anita Borzán, B. Szekeres, Karina Szászvári
Sustainability, as a complex set of goals, has many possible interpretations and approaches the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) set out in the document have 169 sub-goals, of which Goal 10 is "reduced inequalities". There are 10 sub-goals linked to this goal, the first of which is aimed at reducing income inequality. Employers have direct responsibility and considerable leeway to develop fair wage systems. For HR professionals, the practical implementation of this is a major task, and their knowledge can therefore be a key factor in achieving SDG 10. In our research, we sought to answer the question of what future HR professionals know about the accounting measurability of human performance and how they assess its monetary valuation. In our view, HR professionals who are aware of the issues of human performance measurement and recognize the fundamental problems can play a significant role in meeting SDG 10. In our primary research, we surveyed 448 undergraduate human resources students from early December 2022 to the end of January 2023 using an online questionnaire. The questionnaire contains closed and open questions in addition to demographic data. Our research shows that the value of human activity is not well expressed in monetary terms, which implies that wages and the value of work are not closely related.
可持续发展作为一套复杂的目标,有许多可能的解释和方法。文件中列出的 17 个可持续发展目标(SDGs)有 169 个子目标,其中目标 10 是 "减少不平等"。与该目标相关的有 10 个次级目标,其中第一个次级目标旨在减少收入不平等。雇主对制定公平的工资制度负有直接责任,也有相当大的回旋余地。对于人力资源专业人员来说,具体实施是一项重要任务,因此他们的知识可以成为实现可持续发展目标 10 的关键因素。在我们的研究中,我们试图回答这样一个问题:未来的人力资源专业人员对人力绩效的会计可衡量性了解多少,以及他们如何评估其货币价值。我们认为,了解人力绩效衡量问题并认识到根本问题的人力资源专业人员可以在实现可持续发展目标 10 方面发挥重要作用。在初级研究中,我们从 2022 年 12 月初到 2023 年 1 月底使用在线问卷调查了 448 名人力资源专业的本科生。除人口统计学数据外,问卷还包含封闭式和开放式问题。我们的研究表明,人类活动的价值并不能很好地用货币来表达,这意味着工资和工作价值并不密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
China’s grand strategy within 21st-century megatrends 21 世纪大趋势下的中国大战略
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.32976/stratfuz.2024.16
Zoltán Bartha
The main aim of this study is to identify possible components of China’s grand strategy and check how they can influence global megatrends. Based on a literature review, four grand strategy components are identified: 1) building up military power, 2) consolidating power at the peripheries and pushing for more control over disputed territories, 3) expanding economic influence through the Belt and Road Initiative, and 4) establishing new standards in digital technologies and promoting cyber sovereignty. These strategic tools can directly affect the following megatrends that are commonly mentioned in the literature: shift of economic power, emerging markets, new economic order; digitalisation; globalisation; deglobalization, trade reduction; diversity of governance, trust in the political system; and scarce resources. Using data taken from Google Trends it is shown that in the 2004-2023 period the trends of Chinese grand strategy terms correlate most with terms that represent the following three megatrends: digitalisation, globalisation, and scarce resources.
本研究的主要目的是确定中国大战略的可能组成部分,并检验它们如何影响全球大趋势。在文献综述的基础上,我们确定了大战略的四个组成部分:1) 增强军事实力;2) 巩固周边权力,推动对争议领土的控制;3) 通过 "一带一路 "倡议扩大经济影响力;4) 建立数字技术新标准,促进网络主权。这些战略工具可直接影响文献中常提及的以下大趋势:经济力量转移、新兴市场、新经济秩序、数字化、全球化、去全球化、贸易缩减、治理多样性、对政治体系的信任以及资源稀缺。利用谷歌趋势(Google Trends)的数据显示,在 2004-2023 年期间,中国大战略术语的趋势与代表以下三个大趋势的术语关联度最高:数字化、全球化和资源稀缺。
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引用次数: 0
Ex-Post Territorial Impact Assessment of the European Union Funds Used in the 2014-2020 Programme Period 对 2014-2020 年计划期间使用的欧盟资金进行事后领土影响评估
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.32976/stratfuz.2024.21
G. Kocziszky, Boglárka Bánné Gál
Since its accession to the European Union (2004), Hungary has been allocated a considerable amount of EU funds intended to promote regional development and convergence. The first part of this study reviews the literature dealing with the use of EU funds. Then a developed model of ex-post impact assessments is presented. The validity of the model is examined based on the use of the cohesion resources in the 2014-2020 planning period in Mezőkövesd District, Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén County, Hungary. The results are presented in a spider-web diagram and quantified with the help of an aggregate index.
自加入欧盟(2004 年)以来,匈牙利获得了大量旨在促进地区发展和融合的欧盟资金。本研究的第一部分回顾了有关欧盟资金使用的文献。然后介绍了一个事后影响评估模型。根据匈牙利 Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén 县 Mezőkövesd 区在 2014-2020 年规划期间对凝聚力资源的使用情况,对模型的有效性进行了检验。研究结果以蛛网图的形式呈现,并借助综合指数进行量化。
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引用次数: 0
A Unique European Governance Structure : Office of the High Representative in Bosnia and Herzegovina Basis of Its Legitimacy and Controversial Accountability 独特的欧洲治理结构:波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那高级代表办事处的合法性和有争议的问责制基础
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.32976/stratfuz.2024.18
Biljana Gutić-Bjelica
In order to assess the successes and failures of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s (BiH) challenging road towards a fully functional democratic state aiming at membership in the European Union (EU), this paper examines the state-building process in BiH, and the transition from the post-Dayton political development, the work of the interim, ad-hoc political institution of the Office of the High Representative (OHR) in BiH, as well as the justification – if any - of its future existence and operation. Guided by the coordination dilemma, the research question of this paper is a reflection on the challenges of self-enforcing democratic institutions and how the OHR substitutes for it. This paper claims that the original purpose of the Dayton Peace Agreement (DPA) was to create a powerful yet limited institution of the OHR, one that is to be given sufficient power to institute behaviour, but is prevented from abusing its power. However, this purpose deviated in the years that followed the signing of the DPA, creating and institution which doings resemble liberal imperialism. The hypothesis of the paper is that the OHR has been abusing its power and that it is time to close it because it is no more a substitute for the self-enforcing democratic institutions. This paper claims that the problem of political officials’ lack of respect for the political and economic rights of citizens they administer, as investigated by Weingast, is one of the central features of the operation of the OHR in BiH. The novelty of the paper lies in the attempt to test if OHR could be a case that could serve as a very good field to test Weingast’s model (1997).
为了评估波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那(波黑)为加入欧盟(EU)而建立一个全面运作的民主国家这条充满挑战的道路上的成败得失,本文研究了波黑的国家建设进程、从《代顿协定》后政治发展的过渡、波黑高级代表办事处(OHR)这一临时、特设政治机构的工作,以及其未来存在和运作的理由(如果有的话)。在协调困境的指导下,本文的研究问题是对自我强化的民主机构所面临的挑战以及高级代表办事处如何取而代之的思考。本文认为,《代顿和平协定》(DPA)的初衷是建立一个强大但有限的高级代表办事处机构,赋予其足够的权力来规范行为,但又防止其滥用权力。然而,在《和平协议》签署后的几年里,这一目的发生了偏离,建立了一个类似于自由帝国主义的机构。本文的假设是,高级代表办事处一直在滥用权力,现在是关闭它的时候了,因为它已经不能替代自我强化的民主机构。本文认为,Weingast 所调查的政治官员不尊重其管理的公民的政治和经济权利的问题,是波黑人权办公室运作的核心特征之一。本文的新颖之处在于试图检验波黑人权办公室是否可以作为检验魏因加斯特模式(1997 年)的一个很好的领域。
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引用次数: 0
Platforms and trust as two columns of sharing economy 平台和信任是共享经济的两根支柱
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.32976/stratfuz.2024.19
Kinga Szabó
In the past two decades, economic models based on platform-based sharing, driven by the IT revolution, have caused a fundamental shift in traditional business practice, global capitalism, and societal values. The platform, along with all its features, has taken over the role of the organizational form since they have brought together strangers with under-utilized capacities and belongings, with those who need them without looking for ownership. The entire economic ecosystem - marketing techniques, business practices, supply chains, and consumption habits - has undergone a significant transformation. Consumer behavior is changing rapidly, and consumers are looking for appropriate and efficient access to goods and services through the Internet, without the financial, emotional, and logistical burdens of ownership. The radius of trust which was initially confined to family, friends, and local communities; now encompasses strangers who do not speak a common language and who are in different countries. Trust driven by Digital Identity (DI) and Trust and Reputation Information (TRI) have enabled what was considered unbelievable or even impossible some years ago. Further expansion and deepening of trust, based on new technologies combined with the international legal framework, has the potential to rewrite modern capitalism and societal values. This paper introduces the role of platforms in the evolution of the sharing economy, the role of trust in promoting such platforms, and the role of well-designed platforms in fostering and nurturing trust which is essential for promoting and sustaining sharing economy models.
过去二十年来,在信息技术革命的推动下,以平台共享为基础的经济模式使传统的商业实践、全球资本主义和社会价值观发生了根本性转变。平台及其所有功能取代了组织形式的作用,因为它们将能力和财产未得到充分利用的陌生人与需要这些能力和财产的人聚集在一起,而无需寻求所有权。整个经济生态系统--营销技术、商业惯例、供应链和消费习惯--都发生了重大转变。消费者的行为正在迅速发生变化,他们希望通过互联网适当、高效地获取商品和服务,而不需要承担所有权带来的经济、情感和后勤负担。信任的半径最初仅限于家人、朋友和当地社区,现在则包括语言不通、身处不同国家的陌生人。由数字身份(DI)和信任与声誉信息(TRI)驱动的信任已经实现了几年前被认为不可思议甚至不可能实现的事情。在新技术与国际法律框架相结合的基础上,信任的进一步扩大和深化有可能改写现代资本主义和社会价值观。本文介绍了平台在共享经济发展中的作用、信任在促进此类平台发展中的作用,以及设计良好的平台在促进和培养信任方面的作用,而信任对于促进和维持共享经济模式至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Travel footprint, or how responsibly and sustainably do professionals creating and providing travel experiences behave? 旅行足迹,或者说创造和提供旅行体验的专业人士的行为如何负责任和可持续?
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.32976/stratfuz.2024.20
Cecília Szigeti, Gábor Bódis, Noémi Kulcsár, Titanilla Tevely, Zsuzsanna Behringer
In the 21st century, sustainability has become a prominent issue in the tourism sector. While conscious and responsible consumer decisions are increasingly prioritized in our daily lives, the question arises whether similar scrutiny is applied during leisure and business travel. In this recent empirical research, these questions are examined in detail in the light of the travel habits of tourism experts. The findings indicate that tourism professionals make more conscious consumer decisions in their daily activities compared to when they engage in leisure or business travel, where economic considerations tend to take precedence amidst today's macro-environmental changes, alongside a preference for compressed experiences. We further investigated the extent to which tourism professionals attending a professional conference on sustainability behaved consciously and responsibly when choosing their mode of transportation to attend the event. In this regard, we calculated their travel footprint, which is consumption-based and solely based on the use of transportation modes. We introduced this indicator on a pilot basis, with plans to apply it more extensively and over longer timeframes in the future, and to compare it across different target groups. Our main findings that tourism professionals surveyed in the research consider sustainability to be important and even prominent in their daily activities, and less so in their business activities, only 11% of them consciously choose the means of transport.
21 世纪,可持续发展已成为旅游业的一个突出问题。在我们的日常生活中,有意识和负责任的消费决策越来越受到重视,但问题是在休闲和商务旅行中是否也有类似的审查。在这项最新的实证研究中,我们根据旅游专家的旅行习惯对这些问题进行了详细研究。研究结果表明,与休闲或商务旅行相比,旅游专业人士在日常活动中做出的消费决策更加有意识,在当今宏观环境变化的背景下,经济因素往往优先于压缩体验的偏好。我们进一步调查了参加可持续发展专业会议的旅游专业人士在选择交通方式参加会议时的自觉性和责任感。为此,我们计算了他们的旅行足迹,该足迹以消费为基础,完全基于交通方式的使用。我们在试点基础上引入了这一指标,并计划今后在更大范围和更长时间段内加以应用,并在不同目标群体之间进行比较。我们的主要研究结果表明,接受调查的旅游专业人士认为可持续发展在他们的日常活动中非常重要,甚至非常突出,而在他们的商业活动中则不那么重要,只有 11% 的人有意识地选择交通工具。
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引用次数: 0
Beijing Forest Carbon Storage Potential Capacity 北京森林碳储存潜力
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.32976/stratfuz.2024.14
Jiqin Ren, Xiangyu Qi, Sijia Yang, Jingjing Li, Guoliang Liu, Jianghong Feng
Forests serve as a crucial carbon reservoir. Therefore, optimizing forest carbon storage is a pathway towards achieving carbon neutrality. In this study, the Forest Simulation Optimization System (FSOS) was used to simulate the carbon storage in Beijing forests over 250 years (2018-2268). It was found that under the no management scenario, carbon storage fluctuates with the natural growth and death of trees, with peaks of more than 90 million tons. It proves that forests have a strong capacity of carbon storage. In the management scenario, harvest trees and make them into furniture, total carbon storage is high and maintains a stable level of 108 million tons. This is almost 1.6 times higher than in the no management scenario on average. In addition, the growth rate of carbon storage is fastest in the middle-aged forest and the near-mature forest. Therefore, in order to optimize the carbon sequestration benefits of forests, the forestry sector must pay attention to the age structure of forests in the future. Based on the results of this study, recommendations were made to optimize carbon storage in Beijing forests and to integrate forest managements of Beijing forests into regional economic and environmental planning.
森林是重要的碳库。因此,优化森林碳储量是实现碳中和的途径之一。本研究利用森林模拟优化系统(FSOS)模拟了北京森林 250 年(2018-2268 年)的碳储量。结果发现,在无管理情景下,碳储量随着树木的自然生长和死亡而波动,峰值超过 9000 万吨。这证明森林具有很强的碳储存能力。在管理情景下,采伐树木并将其制成家具,碳储存总量较高,并保持在 1.08 亿吨的稳定水平。这比无管理情景平均高出近 1.6 倍。此外,中龄林和近熟林的碳储量增长速度最快。因此,为了优化森林的固碳效益,林业部门必须关注未来森林的龄级结构。根据本研究的结果,提出了优化北京森林碳储量的建议,并将北京森林管理纳入区域经济和环境规划。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic autonomy of the EU in the light of CSDP and the changing world order 从 CSDP 和不断变化的世界秩序看欧盟的战略自主权
Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.32976/stratfuz.2024.17
Dóra Gyarmati-Szijj, Péter Rada
The development of the European Union’s activity as a security actor is closely linked to the need for global capacity for action in this domain, with a clearly “softer” role definition than NATO, which is derived from a collective security concept. The aim of this study is to identify how and under what circumstances the European Union’s self-definition in the field of security and defense policy has evolved, how it has attempted to make the EU be present in the changing world order as an independent actor asserting its strategic autonomy with a specific voice. The paper looks back not only on the development of the EU security and defense policy, but also highlights the two decades of Hungarian operational involvement in it. Our central assumption is that the strengthening of the EU’s strategic autonomy, in which CSDP is one of the core instruments, cannot be avoided amid the challenges of the modern era if the EU wants to preserve its competitiveness and adaptive responsiveness.
欧盟作为安全行为体的活动发展与该领域全球行动能力的需求密切相关,其角色定义明显比北约 "柔和",后者源自集体安全概念。本研究的目的是确定欧盟在安全与防务政策领域的自我定义是如何演变的,以及在何种情况下演变的,它是如何试图使欧盟在不断变化的世界秩序中作为一个独立的行为体,以特定的声音维护其战略自主权的。本文不仅回顾了欧盟安全与防务政策的发展历程,还着重介绍了匈牙利二十年来参与其中的行动。我们的核心假设是,如果欧盟想要保持其竞争力和适应性,就不能避免在现代挑战中加强欧盟的战略自主性,而 CSDP 是其中的核心工具之一。
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引用次数: 0
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Észak-magyarországi stratégiai füzetek
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