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The impact of artificial intelligence on startup business model innovation: exploring conditional effects of different strategic goals 人工智能对创业公司商业模式创新的影响:探索不同战略目标的条件效应
IF 12.5 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2026.103215
Nicole Cecchele Lago , Daniel de Abreu Pereira Uhr , Jose Luis Duarte Ribeiro , Yasmin Olteanu , Klaus Fichter
The adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is reshaping how startups create, deliver, and capture value. Despite widespread practical use, empirical evidence on AI's impact on startup business model innovation (BMI) remains limited. This study examines the causal effect of AI on BMI and investigates how this effect is conditioned by strategic goals—rapid growth, profitability, market share, and social/environmental impact. Using data from 1104 German startups and nonparametric tree-based Double Machine Learning models, we find that startups with intense use of AI exhibit significantly higher BMI than startups with little or no AI use. This effect is especially pronounced in startups prioritizing rapid growth and profitability, and it is strongest when startups pursue multiple strategic goals simultaneously, highlighting the amplifying role of strategic alignment. By providing quantitative effect estimates, this research advances understanding of AI as a technological enabler of BMI and offers actionable guidance for entrepreneurs and policymakers on how BMI can be enhanced through the alignment of AI with distinct strategic goals.
人工智能(AI)的采用正在重塑初创公司创造、传递和获取价值的方式。尽管人工智能在实际应用中得到了广泛应用,但关于人工智能对初创企业商业模式创新(BMI)影响的实证证据仍然有限。本研究考察了人工智能对BMI的因果关系,并调查了这种影响如何受到战略目标的制约——快速增长、盈利能力、市场份额和社会/环境影响。使用来自1104家德国初创公司和非参数树型双机器学习模型的数据,我们发现大量使用人工智能的初创公司的BMI明显高于很少或没有使用人工智能的初创公司。这种效应在优先考虑快速增长和盈利能力的初创公司中尤为明显,当初创公司同时追求多个战略目标时,这种效应最为明显,这凸显了战略一致性的放大作用。通过提供定量效果估计,本研究促进了对人工智能作为BMI的技术推动者的理解,并为企业家和政策制定者提供了可操作的指导,说明如何通过人工智能与不同的战略目标相结合来提高BMI。
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引用次数: 0
From promise to concern: Public perceptions of AI in ESG frameworks over time 从承诺到关注:公众对ESG框架中人工智能的看法
IF 12.5 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2026.103219
Francesco Laviola, Nicola Cucari
This study investigates how public sentiment toward Artificial Intelligence (AI) has evolved at the intersection of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) frameworks and the rising field of Corporate Digital Responsibility (CDR) over the past 25 years. Drawing on a dataset of 33,628 news articles published between 2000 and 2025, we conduct a large-scale longitudinal sentiment analysis to identify discursive patterns in the perception of AI's role across the ESG dimensions. Our findings reveal substantial variation across the three pillars. While sentiment toward AI in governance contexts shows a consistently positive trend, associated with increased expectations for transparency, monitoring, and compliance, environmental sentiment exhibits a sharp downturn after 2022, reflecting concerns over the carbon footprint of generative AI technologies. The social dimension displays fluctuating sentiment, influenced by debates on automation, fairness, and ethical accountability. These differentiated trajectories suggest that AI legitimacy is a domain-specific and socially negotiated construct, rather than a uniform outcome of technological advancement. Public discourse, as captured in news media, functions as an anticipatory indicator of emerging regulatory tensions and reputational risks, offering valuable foresight for corporate and institutional decision-makers. This study contributes to the literature on technology and society by highlighting the role of sentiment dynamics in shaping AI governance and sustainability strategies. It provides both theoretical insights into the social construction of technological legitimacy and practical implications for the design of responsive, context-sensitive ESG policies in the age of digital transformation.
本研究调查了在过去25年里,在环境、社会和治理(ESG)框架和企业数字责任(CDR)兴起的交叉点上,公众对人工智能(AI)的看法是如何演变的。利用2000年至2025年间发表的33,628篇新闻文章的数据集,我们进行了大规模的纵向情感分析,以确定人工智能在ESG维度上的角色感知中的话语模式。我们的发现揭示了这三大支柱之间的巨大差异。虽然在治理背景下,对人工智能的看法呈现出持续的积极趋势,与对透明度、监控和合规性的期望增加有关,但在2022年之后,环境情绪出现急剧下滑,反映了对生成式人工智能技术碳足迹的担忧。社会维度表现出波动的情绪,受到自动化、公平和道德责任辩论的影响。这些不同的轨迹表明,人工智能的合法性是一个特定领域和社会协商的结构,而不是技术进步的统一结果。新闻媒体捕捉到的公共话语,可以作为监管紧张局势和声誉风险的预期指标,为企业和机构决策者提供宝贵的预见。这项研究通过强调情感动态在塑造人工智能治理和可持续发展战略中的作用,为技术和社会方面的文献做出了贡献。它为技术合法性的社会建构提供了理论见解,并为数字化转型时代响应性、情境敏感型ESG政策的设计提供了实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Technology assessment through a hybrid scenario-based decision Making: Case of wind energy 基于混合场景决策的技术评估:风能案例
IF 12.5 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES Pub Date : 2026-01-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.103205
Chih-Hung Hsieh , Dana Bakry , Tugrul Daim
This study combines the CRITIC and DEMATEL methods and introduces a new hybrid scenario analysis approach that identifies cross-scenario strategies. We use Taiwan's wind energy industry as a case study to validate the process. Although scenario analysis has been applied across various fields and organization types—including strategic planning, education, training, and recent environmental issues—scholars have highlighted problems such as the subjectivity of qualitative analysis and the lack of quantitative evidence. To address this, this study integrates scenario analysis with quantitative multi-criteria decision analysis to support decision makers in conducting scenario evaluations. We achieve this by applying a multi-criteria approach to analyze the weights of uncertainty axes and causal relationships, leading to management prioritization that yields near-optimal decision analysis and enhances decision quality. Our methodology is validated with a case study in Taiwan's wind energy sector. In the best-case scenario, Taiwan's green energy substitution rate surpasses 20 %, simultaneously fostering new industrial chains in green manufacturing, energy storage, and carbon management. Conversely, under a pessimistic scenario, challenges such as land acquisition issues, tense international relations, grid delays, or regulatory uncertainties could limit renewable energy penetration to below 20 %.
该研究结合了CRITIC和DEMATEL方法,并引入了一种新的混合场景分析方法,用于识别跨场景策略。我们以台湾的风能产业为案例来验证这一过程。尽管情景分析已经应用于各个领域和组织类型,包括战略规划、教育、培训和最近的环境问题,但学者们强调了定性分析的主观性和缺乏定量证据等问题。为了解决这一问题,本研究将情景分析与定量多准则决策分析相结合,以支持决策者进行情景评估。我们通过应用多标准方法来分析不确定性轴和因果关系的权重,从而实现管理优先级,从而产生接近最优的决策分析并提高决策质量。我们的方法通过台湾风能行业的案例研究得到了验证。在最好的情况下,台湾的绿色能源替代率超过20%,同时培育绿色制造、能源储存和碳管理等新产业链。相反,在悲观的情况下,诸如土地征用问题、紧张的国际关系、电网延迟或监管不确定性等挑战可能会将可再生能源的渗透率限制在20%以下。
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引用次数: 0
Technological imprints of TMTs, configuration of technological resources and Chinese enterprise digital transformation tmt的技术印记、技术资源配置与中国企业数字化转型
IF 12.5 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES Pub Date : 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.103210
Meiting Ma , Xiaojie Wu , Xiuqiong Wang
The technological imprint of the top management team (TMT) plays a critical role in firms' digital transformation. However, research on why and how educational and positional technological imprints affect digital transformation differently is lacking. Taking 2303 Chinese listed A-share enterprises from 2011 to 2022 as a sample and combining imprint theory with upper echelons theory, we investigate the mediating effect of the size and quality of the technological resource configuration on the relationship between TMTs' technological imprints and firms’ digital transformation. The results show that when executives have a technological imprint, they prefer a high level of digital transformation. Executives with educational technological imprints tend to enhance the quality of the technological resource configuration to pursue advanced digital transformation, whereas those with positional technological imprints focus on expanding the size of such a configuration. This finding has important theoretical and practical significance for traditional enterprises attending to the role of TMTs in digital transformation.
高层管理团队(TMT)的技术印记在企业数字化转型中起着至关重要的作用。然而,关于教育和位置技术印记对数字化转型的影响为何以及如何不同的研究却很缺乏。本文以2011 - 2022年2303家中国a股上市企业为样本,结合印记理论和上层梯队理论,探讨技术资源配置规模和质量在技术管理者技术印记与企业数字化转型关系中的中介作用。结果表明,当高管有技术烙印时,他们更倾向于高水平的数字化转型。具有教育技术印记的高管倾向于提高技术资源配置的质量以追求先进的数字化转型,而具有定位技术印记的高管则倾向于扩大这种配置的规模。这一发现对于传统企业关注TMTs在数字化转型中的作用具有重要的理论和现实意义。
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引用次数: 0
Why smallholders (do not) adopt productivity-increasing technologies? Developing a smallholder adoption-process model through an in-depth qualitative study in Ethiopia 为什么小农(不)采用提高生产力的技术?通过在埃塞俄比亚进行深入的定性研究,开发一个小农收养过程模型
IF 12.5 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.103211
Tamiru Amanu Abetu , Paul T.M. Ingenbleek , K.E. Giller , Endalkachew Wolde-Meskel , Edward Baars
Research and innovation have developed an impressive number of technologies that can increase the agricultural productivity of African smallholders. The impact of technology is nevertheless hindered by the heterogenous and unpredictable adoption patterns of smallholders. Most current studies examine farm-level constraints and environmental barriers (e.g., distance to market and access to financial capital) as the main explanation for variations in adoption. We take a complementary approach that draws on adoption theories from consumer psychology, thus considering the interplay between contextual barriers and the micro-level decision making processes of smallholders with regard to the adoption of technology. Qualitative data on the adoption of legume technologies by Ethiopian smallholders reveal barriers that hinder adoption at three stages of the process: as negative expectations, as impediments to translating adoption intentions into behaviour and as impediments to impact after adoption, thus hindering the continued use of technologies. To overcome adoption barriers, our findings suggest that more attention should be devoted to business innovations through effective product design and the marketing of the technologies, as well as to the development of value chains and business ecosystems within which to bundle technological products with other products and services.
研究和创新已经开发出大量可以提高非洲小农农业生产力的技术。然而,技术的影响因小农采用技术的方式不同和不可预测而受到阻碍。目前的大多数研究将农场层面的限制和环境障碍(例如,到市场的距离和获得金融资本的机会)作为采用差异的主要解释。我们采用了一种互补的方法,借鉴了消费者心理学的采用理论,从而考虑了环境障碍与小农在技术采用方面的微观决策过程之间的相互作用。关于埃塞俄比亚小农采用豆类技术的定性数据揭示了在这一过程的三个阶段阻碍采用的障碍:消极的期望,将采用意图转化为行为的障碍,以及采用后影响的障碍,从而阻碍了技术的继续使用。为了克服采用障碍,我们的研究结果表明,应该更多地关注通过有效的产品设计和技术营销进行业务创新,以及开发价值链和商业生态系统,将技术产品与其他产品和服务捆绑在一起。
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引用次数: 0
Australian public opinions of responsible innovation: Understanding its champions, supporters, moderates, and sceptics 澳大利亚公众对负责任创新的看法:理解其拥护者、支持者、温和派和怀疑论者
IF 12.5 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES Pub Date : 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.103207
Sarah V. Bentley, Emma Schleiger, Rod McCrea, Rebecca Coates, Elizabeth Hobman
Scientific and technological innovation has become a contested area of societal progress, often compounded by rising levels of societal mistrust and populist thinking. Responding to this, scholars and practitioners are deeply contemplating public ethics, accountability, and risk. At the heart of this motivation lies the domain of Responsible Innovation, where academics alongside applied stakeholders are endeavouring to align the values of innovation with those of society. To further our understanding of value alignment across the diversity of public opinion, this research maps opinions of science and technology through the lens of responsible practice using segmentation analysis on a large Australian sample (N = 2127). We find opinion divided into four typologies: Champions (22 %); Supporters (40 %); Moderates (30 %); and Sceptics (8 %). To investigate the impact of mistrust on these typologies, we assessed their relationship to both mistrust of society and of science, as measured by conspiratorial thinking and anti-science populism. Data showed levels of mistrust to be moderate across all typologies, but societal mistrust to be significantly higher for Sceptics. This research provides a benchmark for public opinions of responsible scientific and technological innovation against which other studies can compare. Moreover, results suggest that societal mistrust may be influencing perceptions of science across all typologies, but particularly for those normally perceived as disinterested or disengaged. These results call for a more concerted application of informed Responsible Innovation principles with which to deliver Responsible Innovation practice.
科技创新已经成为社会进步的一个有争议的领域,往往伴随着社会不信任和民粹主义思想的加剧。对此,学者和从业者正在深入思考公共道德、问责制和风险。这一动机的核心是负责任的创新领域,在这一领域,学者和应用利益相关者正在努力使创新的价值观与社会的价值观保持一致。为了进一步了解公众意见多样性的价值一致性,本研究通过对澳大利亚大型样本(N = 2127)进行分割分析,通过负责任的实践来绘制科学和技术意见。我们发现意见分为四种类型:冠军(22%);支持者(40%);温和派(30%);怀疑论者(8%)。为了研究不信任对这些类型学的影响,我们通过阴谋论思维和反科学民粹主义来评估它们与社会和科学不信任的关系。数据显示,在所有类型中,不信任程度都是中等的,但怀疑论者的社会不信任程度要高得多。本研究为公众对负责任的科技创新的看法提供了一个基准,可供其他研究进行比较。此外,研究结果表明,社会不信任可能会影响所有类型的科学观念,尤其是那些通常被认为不感兴趣或不参与的人。这些结果要求更协调地应用知情的负责任的创新原则,以提供负责任的创新实践。
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引用次数: 0
Revolutionizing European digital exports: The intersection of global supply chains, green FinTech, and sustainable infrastructure 革新欧洲数字出口:全球供应链、绿色金融科技和可持续基础设施的交集
IF 12.5 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES Pub Date : 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.103209
Qaisar Ullah , Yuzhuo Qiu , Shayan khan kakar , Mansoor Sami
Reconciling economic growth with sustainability challenges is a pressing priority for the Eurozone’s digital revolution. This study addresses a key gap by examining how green FinTech, global supply chains, and sustainable infrastructure interact to foster digital trade in the OECD and Europe. This study constructs a 24-year panel dataset of 39 economies from 2000 to 2023 to achieve the study’s main objective. To efficiently explore this research objective, the study employs novel and robust approaches, firstly, to construct three indices: the global supply chain, sustainable infrastructure, and Green FinTech index via Machine-Learning Time Heterogeneous factor analysis. Secondly, the study employs a dynamic, robust Panel Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag model with a moderation-effect specification (P-QARDL-ME). The theoretical foundation draws on global value chain and sustainability theories to link the variables to the study’s overarching goals. The findings reveal that integration of global supply chains and green FinTech solutions significantly enhances digital trade. Whereas Sustainable infrastructure plays a pivotal role in digital trade, it significantly decouples economic growth from environmental pollution, thereby promoting sustainability across the Eurozone. Integrating these results with global value chain and sustainability theories offers meaningful policy insights for the European Union, the World Trade Organization, regulators, businesses, and policymakers. Overall, the study advocates for stakeholder engagement and cross-border digital trade to support sustainable economic growth.
协调经济增长与可持续性挑战是欧元区数字革命的当务之急。本研究通过研究绿色金融科技、全球供应链和可持续基础设施如何相互作用以促进经合组织和欧洲的数字贸易,解决了一个关键差距。本研究构建了39个经济体从2000年到2023年的24年面板数据集,以实现研究的主要目标。为了有效地探索这一研究目标,本研究采用了新颖而稳健的方法,首先,通过机器学习时间异质性因素分析构建了全球供应链、可持续基础设施和绿色金融科技指数三个指标。其次,本研究采用动态、稳健的面板分位数自回归分布滞后模型,具有调节效应规范(P-QARDL-ME)。理论基础借鉴了全球价值链和可持续性理论,将变量与研究的总体目标联系起来。研究结果表明,全球供应链和绿色金融科技解决方案的整合显著促进了数字贸易。鉴于可持续基础设施在数字贸易中发挥着关键作用,它显著地将经济增长与环境污染脱钩,从而促进整个欧元区的可持续性。将这些结果与全球价值链和可持续性理论相结合,为欧盟、世界贸易组织、监管机构、企业和政策制定者提供了有意义的政策见解。总体而言,该研究倡导利益相关者参与和跨境数字贸易,以支持可持续经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
Causal forest estimation of heterogeneous effects of digital technologies on the national entrepreneurial process in emerging and developing countries 新兴和发展中国家数字技术对国家创业过程异质效应的因果森林估计
IF 12.5 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES Pub Date : 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.103208
Najeh Aissaoui , Zahida Ayari , Abir Smiti
Digital technologies are creating unprecedented entrepreneurial opportunities to overcome the main challenges facing emerging and developing economies. This paper analyzes data from 35 emerging and developing countries spanning 2001 to 2023 to examine the multifaceted effects of digital technologies on key aspects of entrepreneurship, including motivation, entrepreneurial intention, business creation, innovation, and viability. Using the causal forest method, our empirical findings show that while digital technologies significantly boost motivation, entrepreneurial intention, the conversion of this intention into actual business creation, innovation, and viability strongly depends on the institutional context-particularly government support, access to finance, and social norms. Our study also reveals heterogeneity based on income levels, with stronger effects observed in less mature markets. These results emphasize the need to complement digital investments with tailored policies to fully unlock entrepreneurial potential.
数字技术正在创造前所未有的创业机会,以克服新兴和发展中经济体面临的主要挑战。本文分析了35个新兴国家和发展中国家2001年至2023年的数据,考察了数字技术对创业关键方面的多方面影响,包括创业动机、创业意图、商业创造、创新和生存能力。利用因果森林方法,我们的实证研究结果表明,虽然数字技术显著提高了创业动机和创业意向,但这种意向转化为实际的商业创造、创新和生存能力在很大程度上取决于制度背景,特别是政府支持、融资渠道和社会规范。我们的研究还揭示了基于收入水平的异质性,在不太成熟的市场中观察到更强的影响。这些结果强调,需要通过量身定制的政策来补充数字投资,以充分释放创业潜力。
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引用次数: 0
The role of life satisfaction in cybersecurity awareness: A broaden-and-build perspective 生活满意度在网络安全意识中的作用:一个拓展和构建的视角
IF 12.5 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.103206
Yuxiang Hong , Majid Mohammad Shafiee , Merrill Warkentin
Cybersecurity awareness refers to basic literacy in the digital age. This study discusses the influencing mechanism of an individual's life satisfaction on cybersecurity awareness, considering the mediating effects of internet dependence and burnout based on the broaden-and-build theory (BBT) of positive emotions as well as compensatory internet use (CIU) theory. We constructed a theoretical framework and tested hypotheses using regression analysis of a sample of 951 subjects based on a longitudinal survey. The empirical results showed that life satisfaction - as a stable cognitive indicator of subjective well-being - was associated with higher cybersecurity awareness, both directly and indirectly through pathways informed by the BBT and CIU theory. This study provides managers with actionable insights for promoting cybersecurity awareness by fostering psychological resources (e.g., life satisfaction) that buffer against security fatigue and burnout.
网络安全意识是指数字时代的基本素养。本研究基于积极情绪的拓展与构建理论(BBT)和代偿性网络使用理论(CIU),考虑网络依赖和倦怠的中介作用,探讨个体生活满意度对网络安全意识的影响机制。我们在纵向调查的基础上构建了理论框架,并利用回归分析对951名受试者进行了假设检验。实证结果表明,生活满意度作为主观幸福感的稳定认知指标,通过BBT和CIU理论提供的途径,直接或间接地与较高的网络安全意识相关。本研究为管理者提供了可操作的见解,通过培养心理资源(如生活满意度)来缓冲安全疲劳和倦怠,以提高网络安全意识。
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引用次数: 0
Industrial upgrading policies and export resilience: An empirical assessment of technology investment in Taiwan's manufacturing sector 产业升级政策与出口弹性:台湾制造业技术投资的实证评估
IF 12.5 1区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.103204
Chiu-Chia Chen , Chien-Yi Huang
Amid global digital transformation and the restructuring of manufacturing supply chains, enhancing export resilience has become a central focus of industrial policy. Although many countries have promoted technology upgrading and capital incentives, empirical evaluations of their industry-level structural effects remain limited. This study examines Taiwan's manufacturing sector from 2016 to 2023, employing a fixed-effects panel model to assess the impact of technology investment penetration (a proxy for policy-driven investment) on export structure performance. The results show that technology investment significantly enhances export orientation and maintains positive effects during external shocks. However, early transformation stages exhibit increased volatility and lagged effects, reflecting a dynamic pattern where short-term instability coexists with long-term upgrading. The effects of policy incentives are moderated by industrial scale; outcomes in sectors with a higher proportion of large enterprises tend to be more pronounced but exhibit greater short-term fluctuations. By proposing an integrated structural-dynamic framework, this study shows that technology-oriented investment not only drives upgrading and technology absorption but also reinforces export stability and industrial resilience. These findings offer timely policy insights for export-oriented economies undergoing similar transitions.
在全球数字化转型和制造业供应链重组的背景下,增强出口韧性已成为产业政策的核心重点。虽然许多国家都促进了技术升级和资本激励,但对其产业层次结构效应的实证评价仍然有限。本研究以2016年至2023年台湾制造业为研究对象,采用固定效应面板模型评估技术投资渗透(政策驱动投资的代理)对出口结构绩效的影响。结果表明,技术投资显著增强了出口导向,并在外部冲击中保持正向效应。然而,早期转型阶段表现出更大的波动性和滞后效应,反映了短期不稳定与长期升级并存的动态模式。政策激励的效果受产业规模的调节;在大企业比例较高的部门,结果往往更为明显,但短期波动较大。通过构建一体化的结构-动力框架,本研究表明,技术导向型投资不仅能促进升级和技术吸收,还能增强出口稳定性和产业弹性。这些发现为正在经历类似转型的出口导向型经济体提供了及时的政策见解。
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引用次数: 0
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