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The National Strategy for Financing the Energy Transition: Assessing Opportunities and Finding Solutions 国家能源转型融资战略:评估机会和寻找解决方案
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2022-5-9-24
I. Yakovlev, L. S. Kabir, S. Nikulina
This article examines the current trends and the state of development of the energy transition in the Russian Federation. This process presents many challenges and requires a country to develop a strategy for success. At the same time, the successful implementation of the energy transition requires a balanced solution for its organization and implementation and a clear economic calculation. The main purpose of the study was to systematize information on the organization and instruments of for financing the energy transition in the Russian Federation. Presented among the results of the planned modernization transformations of the economy, the energy transition must be considered in the system of existing relations to determine its role and place in this process. The article analyzes government decisions on the energy transition organization, describes key aspects of the modern energy agenda, and summarizes information on the main instruments of energy transition financing. The author concludes that Russia is shaping its energy transition agenda on the basis of competitive advantages and socio-economic development priorities. Regarding energy transition, the country currently adheres to the Paris Agreement, adapting cross-border carbon regulations. The system of organization of relations within the energy transition framework is only being formed in Russia today, while with regard to the funding mechanism there is some experience and groundwork formed in the organization of the financing process of the green economy. Financial flows are reoriented to sectors of the economy which ensure energy security, technological sovereignty and sustainable economic development of Russia.
本文考察了俄罗斯联邦能源转型的当前趋势和发展状况。这一进程带来了许多挑战,需要一个国家制定一项成功战略。同时,能源转型的成功实施需要一个平衡的解决方案,为其组织和实施和明确的经济计算。这项研究的主要目的是使关于俄罗斯联邦能源转型筹资的组织和手段的资料系统化。作为计划中的经济现代化转型的结果之一,能源转型必须在现有关系体系中加以考虑,以确定其在这一进程中的作用和地位。本文分析了政府关于能源转型组织的决策,描述了现代能源议程的关键方面,并总结了能源转型融资的主要工具的信息。作者的结论是,俄罗斯正在竞争优势和社会经济发展优先事项的基础上制定其能源转型议程。在能源转型方面,中国目前遵守《巴黎协定》,调整跨境碳排放法规。能源转型框架内的关系组织体系目前在俄罗斯才刚刚形成,而在融资机制方面,绿色经济融资过程的组织已经有了一定的经验和基础。资金流动重新定向到确保俄罗斯能源安全、技术主权和可持续经济发展的经济部门。
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引用次数: 0
EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism: Assessment of Future Payments for Exporters 欧盟碳边界调整机制:对出口商未来支付的评估
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2022-5-71-88
S. S. Sudakov, S. Lazaryan, A. Votinov
Starting in 2026, the EU will introduce the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). Under this mechanism imports of certain products to the EU will be subject to a special fee based on the carbon intensity of these goods. This article is devoted to the quantification of payments under this mechanism for several countries in the Eurasian region: the EAEU member states, Georgia, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. These countries were chosen due to the relatively high share of the EU in their exports. CBAM payments have a dynamic nature because certain parameters of the mechanism vary on an annual basis under the influence of a number of factors, for example, due to the annual change in the CBAM rate. According to the estimates obtained, the lowest aggregate CBAM payment accrues to imports from Armenia to the EU. Between 2026 and 2035 it is estimated 95.8 million euros (single CBAM pass-through rate into final prices in EU). The largest payment is estimated to come from Russia: it amounts to 97 billion euros over the same period (zero CBAM pass-through rate). The largest share of payments in exports to the EU is observed for Uzbekistan, Georgia, Tajikistan and Belarus. The largest share of payments falls on imports of metals (ferrous and non-ferrous), fertilizers, electricity and oil. However, the conclusion on products requires additional verification, since for a number of countries in the Eurasian region there are no high-quality and detailed data on the carbon intensity of certain goods.
从2026年开始,欧盟将引入碳边界调整机制(CBAM)。在这一机制下,进口到欧盟的某些产品将根据这些产品的碳强度收取特殊费用。本文专门讨论欧亚地区几个国家(欧亚经济联盟成员国、格鲁吉亚、塔吉克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦)在这一机制下的付款量化。之所以选择这些国家,是因为欧盟在它们的出口中所占的份额相对较高。CBAM支付具有动态性质,因为该机制的某些参数在若干因素的影响下每年都在变化,例如由于CBAM费率的年度变化。根据获得的估计,从亚美尼亚向欧盟进口的CBAM付款总额最低。在2026年至2035年之间,预计将达到9580万欧元(欧盟最终价格的单一CBAM传导率)。据估计,最大的付款来自俄罗斯:在同一时期(零CBAM传递率),金额达970亿欧元。乌兹别克斯坦、格鲁吉亚、塔吉克斯坦和白俄罗斯在对欧盟出口支付中所占份额最大。支付的最大份额落在金属(黑色金属和有色金属)、化肥、电力和石油的进口上。但是,关于产品的结论需要进一步核实,因为欧亚区域的一些国家没有关于某些商品的碳强度的高质量和详细数据。
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引用次数: 2
Financial Aspects of the Implementation of the Fourth Energy Transition 实施第四次能源转型的财政问题
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2022-5-43-58
Z. Mingaleva, M. Sigova
The key issue of successful implementation of any project, program or development strategy is the problem of sufficiency and timeliness of financing of all planned activities. The purpose of this study is to analyze the financial aspects of the implementation of the fourth energy transition in terms of assessing the potential and actual opportunities for financing various activities within the framework of the energy transition. The relevance of the topic of the article is determined by the fact that in the process of the energy transition carried out in the Western countries, primarily in the countries of the European Union, a contradiction has developed and is rapidly deepening between the main areas of financing of various groups of measures to implement the energy transition and the effectiveness of these investments. To achieve the goal of the study, traditional methods of economic analysis were used, including bibliographic, statistical, comparative and factor analysis, methods of graphical representation of data, as well as methods of formal and logical analysis. In the course of the study, the specifics of financing of the modern energy transition were investigated; an analysis of the main sources of financing was carried out, as well as an in-depth analysis of the features of financing activities to create new generating capacities and to achieve the goals of the European Green Deal. The authors identify the main problems and difficulties in financing of the energy transition, primarily related to the ability to accumulate financial resources in the required amount, to the achievement of economic efficiency of investment projects, as well as to the availability of sufficient funds for the implementation of major energy transitions.
成功执行任何项目、方案或发展战略的关键问题是为所有计划的活动提供充足和及时的资金的问题。本研究的目的是在评估能源转型框架内各种活动融资的潜在和实际机会方面,分析实施第四次能源转型的财务方面。文章主题的相关性取决于这样一个事实,即在西方国家,主要是欧盟国家进行能源转型的过程中,在实施能源转型的各种措施的主要融资领域与这些投资的有效性之间已经形成并正在迅速加深矛盾。为了达到研究的目的,使用了传统的经济分析方法,包括书目分析、统计分析、比较分析和因子分析,以及数据的图形表示方法,以及形式分析和逻辑分析方法。在研究过程中,调查了现代能源转型筹资的具体问题;对主要融资来源进行了分析,并对融资活动的特点进行了深入分析,以创造新的发电能力和实现《欧洲绿色协议》的目标。作者指出了能源转型融资方面的主要问题和困难,主要涉及积累所需资金的能力、实现投资项目的经济效率以及为实施重大能源转型提供足够资金的问题。
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引用次数: 1
Prospects for Nuclear Energy in the Framework of Implementation of the Sustainable Development Concept 落实可持续发展理念框架下的核能前景
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2022-5-59-70
L. Petrenko, B. Safarov
The need to create an effective global energy structure that meets the current challenges of sustainable development and the growing demand for electricity implies an expansion of the use of nuclear energy potential and necessitates a more detailed study of the prospects for its development, taking into account the economic efficiency, high technology, environmental friendliness and safety of this method of power generation. The purpose of the study is to reveal features of, and identify opportunities for, the global nuclear power development in the conditions of increasing influence of the concept of sustainable development. The study substantiates the necessity and identifies features of the global nuclear power development, characterized by both intensification of capacity obsolescence processes and high degree of their significance in the overall energy structure under conditions of decarbonization. Given the need to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals, the authors justify the necessity of development and implementation at national levels of financial and economic measures in the design of energy markets, taking into account clean energy and the attributes of energy security of lowcarbon technologies, including nuclear energy, supported by the expansion of direct and indirect state participation. The issues considered have practical significance and social implications in terms of solving socioeconomic and environmental problems.
必须建立一种有效的全球能源结构,以应付目前可持续发展的挑战和对电力日益增长的需求,这意味着扩大利用核能的潜力,并需要更详细地研究其发展前景,同时考虑到这种发电方法的经济效率、高技术、无害环境和安全。本研究的目的是在可持续发展概念影响日益增强的情况下,揭示全球核电发展的特点,并确定其机遇。该研究证实了全球核电发展的必要性和特征,即脱碳条件下产能淘汰过程加剧和在整体能源结构中的重要性高度。鉴于实现可持续发展目标的需要,作者论证了在能源市场设计中,考虑到清洁能源和低碳技术(包括核能)的能源安全属性,在扩大直接和间接国家参与的支持下,在国家层面制定和实施金融和经济措施的必要性。所考虑的问题在解决社会经济和环境问题方面具有实际意义和社会影响。
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引用次数: 0
Divergence of ESG Ratings: Foreign Regulatory Trends ESG评级的分歧:国外监管趋势
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2022-5-89-104
H. Khachatryan
Studies show that correlations of ESG ratings provided by various rating agencies are fairly weak. The challenge related to disparities in ESG ratings often referred to as “divergence” of ESG ratings is widely discussed in academic and professional community. This divergence may lead to investment decisions made based on misleading information and thus, distort the re-orientation of capital flows into sustainable business. For this reason, there is a growing legislative and regulatory focus on ESG related issues, including the activities of ESG rating providers. The purpose of this article is to conduct a preliminary assessment of the approaches of foreign regulators in addressing the issue of divergence of ESG ratings through an in-depth exploration of this phenomenon and its sources. A careful study of the underlying factors of ESG rating disparities allows us to consider the identified foreign regulatory trends in the context of their focus on eliminating these factors. The methodology of the article is based on the review of the available academic literature and empirical research, study of ESG rating methodologies and analysis of adopted or proposed foreign regulatory requirements. A number of regulatory trends has been identified, which together shape the premise for the development of the regulatory framework of ESG ratings in the future. These trends include a strong focus on corporate ESG reporting and increasing transparency of ESG rating methodologies. However, elimination of the main sources of divergence are not among the tasks of the foreign regulators.
研究表明,各评级机构提供的ESG评级之间的相关性相当弱。与ESG评级差异相关的挑战,通常被称为ESG评级的“分歧”,在学术界和专业领域被广泛讨论。这种分歧可能导致根据误导性信息作出投资决策,从而扭曲资本流向可持续企业的重新定向。因此,越来越多的立法和监管机构关注ESG相关问题,包括ESG评级机构的活动。本文的目的是通过对ESG评级分化现象及其来源的深入探讨,对国外监管机构解决这一问题的方法进行初步评估。对ESG评级差异的潜在因素进行仔细研究,使我们能够在关注消除这些因素的背景下,考虑已确定的外国监管趋势。本文的方法基于对现有学术文献和实证研究的回顾,对ESG评级方法的研究以及对已采用或拟议的外国监管要求的分析。已经确定了一些监管趋势,这些趋势共同构成了未来ESG评级监管框架发展的前提。这些趋势包括对企业ESG报告的高度关注,以及ESG评级方法的透明度不断提高。然而,消除分歧的主要来源并不在外国监管机构的任务之列。
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引用次数: 4
Our Thanks to Reviewers 感谢评审员
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-09-27 DOI: 10.1080/0015198x.2022.2116253
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引用次数: 0
Maximum Drawdown as Predictor of Mutual Fund Performance and Flows 作为共同基金业绩和流量预测指标的最大提款额
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-08-23 DOI: 10.1080/0015198X.2022.2100232
Timothy Riley, Qing-you Yan
Abstract Mutual funds’ maximum drawdowns (MDDs) are persistent, indicative of manager skill, and predictive of subsequent performance. Among funds with relatively strong past performance, those with relatively low past MDDs, on average, have an out-of-sample alpha of 2.40% per year. That alpha is magnified when markets are turbulent—a time during which manager skill should be most valuable. Investors are averse to drawdown risk. After controlling for typical measures of past performance, fund flows remain a decreasing function of MDDs, particularly among investors with greater risk aversion and during times of heightened risk aversion.
共同基金的最大撤资(mdd)是持续性的,表明了基金经理的技能,并预测了后续业绩。在过去表现相对强劲的基金中,那些过去mdd相对较低的基金,平均每年的样本外alpha为2.40%。当市场动荡时,这种阿尔法效应会被放大,而在这个时候,管理者的技能应该是最有价值的。投资者不愿降低风险。在控制了过去表现的典型指标后,资金流动仍然是mdd的一个递减函数,特别是在风险厌恶程度较高的投资者和风险厌恶程度较高的时期。
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引用次数: 2
Improving Interest Rate Risk Hedging Strategies through Regularization 通过规范化改进利率风险对冲策略
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-08-18 DOI: 10.1080/0015198X.2022.2095193
Daniel Mantilla-García, L. Martellini, Vincent Milhau, Hector Enrique Ramirez-Garrido
Abstract The effectiveness of duration and convexity hedging strategies deteriorates in the presence of non-parallel shifts of the yield curve. In the absence of appropriate constraints, the extension of these strategies accounting for changes in the shape of the yield curve generates unstable weights and extreme leverage, leading to poor out-of-sample hedging performance. To address this conundrum, we recast the bond portfolio immunization problem as a multifactor optimization program with leverage constraints and weight regularization. These regularized immunization strategies offer a robust improvement in hedging performance and are particularly well-suited to secure future cash flow needs such as pension liabilities.
当收益率曲线发生非平行移动时,持续期和凸性对冲策略的有效性会下降。在缺乏适当约束的情况下,考虑到收益率曲线形状变化的这些策略的扩展会产生不稳定的权重和极端杠杆,导致样本外对冲表现不佳。为了解决这个难题,我们将债券投资组合免疫问题重新定义为一个具有杠杆约束和权重正则化的多因素优化方案。这些常规化的免疫策略有力地改善了对冲业绩,特别适合确保未来的现金流需求,如养恤金负债。
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引用次数: 2
Private Debt Fund Returns, Persistence, and Market Conditions 私人债务基金回报、持续性和市场状况
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-08-18 DOI: 10.1080/0015198X.2022.2092384
Pascal Böni, S. Manigart
Abstract This paper examines net-of-fees private debt fund performance, performance persistence across funds managed by the same general partner and a general partner’s ability to time the market. We document that private debt funds outperform bond and equity market benchmarks in the cross-section, with high performance dispersion across strategies and performance quartiles. Lagged performance significantly affects current fund performance. While ex ante and ex post credit market conditions strongly affect fund performance, general partners can only partially time them.
摘要本文考察了私募债务基金的净费用绩效、由同一普通合伙人管理的基金的绩效持续性以及普通合伙人对市场的把握能力。我们证明,私募债务基金在横截面上的表现优于债券和股票市场基准,在策略和业绩四分位数之间具有很高的业绩分散。滞后表现显著影响当前基金的表现。尽管事前和事后信贷市场状况强烈影响基金业绩,但普通合伙人只能部分地把握它们的时间。
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引用次数: 1
Efficiency of Regional Public Expenditures on Education and Healthcare: Evaluation from Citizens’ Perspective 区域教育卫生公共支出效率:公民视角下的评价
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2022-4-64-78
E. Dobrolyubova, A. Starostina
International comparisons demonstrate that Russia lags behind OECD countries in terms of citizen satisfaction with the quality of public services in education and healthcare. However, traditionally public perceptions of the quality of service delivery are not taken into account when evaluating public expenditures. Given the overall client centricity trend in the Russian public administration, the assessment of public expenditures on the basis of citizens’ satisfaction with the quality of public services is highly relevant. The paper proposes and implements an approach to evaluating the efficiency of public expenditures on primary and secondary education and primary healthcare based on the ratio of citizens’ satisfaction with the quality of public services and per capita expenditures from regional consolidated budgets. The authors demonstrate that citizens’ perceptions weakly correlate with the level and dynamics of budget expenditures on primary and secondary education and primary healthcare services. Thus, citizens’ priorities and expectations are not fully accounted for in the budgeting process. The proposed approach helped to identify Russian regions with high and low efficiency of public spending on primary and secondary education and primary healthcare. It is recommended to use this approach as a diagnostic tool for identifying regions and sectors requiring in-depth public expenditure review and to expand the proposed approach to evaluate public spending from citizens’ perspective in other areas.
国际比较表明,在公民对教育和医疗保健公共服务质量的满意度方面,俄罗斯落后于经合组织国家。然而,在评估公共支出时,传统上不考虑公众对提供服务质量的看法。鉴于俄罗斯公共行政总体上以客户为中心的趋势,基于公民对公共服务质量的满意度来评估公共支出是高度相关的。本文提出并实施了一种基于公民对公共服务质量的满意度与地区综合预算人均支出的比率来评估中小学教育和初级卫生保健公共支出效率的方法。作者证明,公民的观念与中小学教育和初级保健服务预算支出的水平和动态之间的相关性很弱。因此,在预算编制过程中没有充分考虑到公民的优先事项和期望。拟议的办法有助于确定俄罗斯中小学教育和初级保健公共支出效率高和低的地区。建议使用这种方法作为诊断工具,以确定需要深入审查公共支出的区域和部门,并扩大拟议的方法,以便从公民的角度评价其他领域的公共支出。
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引用次数: 0
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