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Journal of Risk and Uncertainty最新文献

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Choice uncertainty and the endowment effect. 选择不确定性与禀赋效应。
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-06-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11166-022-09387-8
Christina McGranaghan, Steven G Otto

We experimentally test for the role of choice uncertainty in generating "endowment effects" - the robust empirical finding that endowing participants with an item raises their reported valuation relative to participants being asked to purchase it instead. While there is some compelling evidence concerning trade uncertainty in the literature, there is substantially less evidence regarding the importance of choice uncertainty. This paper provides novel support for the significance of choice uncertainty in the context of both trading and stated valuations. In a primary set of studies, we find that reducing choice uncertainty eliminates under-trading in the exchange setting and decreases (but does not eliminate) the difference in average valuations reported by buyers and sellers, mainly by decreasing the number of extreme valuations by sellers. Interestingly, our treatment does not lead to a significant increase in the number of mutually acceptable trades implied by stated valuations. Comparing the results from our two primary experiments therefore suggests that value uncertainty continues to play a role in generating valuation asymmetries even after relevant product uncertainty has been resolved. A set of follow-up studies with modified designs replicates this finding in the exchange setting but fails to generate a valuation asymmetry in the control condition, possibly due to pandemic-related mitigation measures and less participant time with the endowed item.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11166-022-09387-8.

我们通过实验测试了选择不确定性在产生“禀赋效应”中的作用——强有力的实证发现,与被要求购买的参与者相比,赠予参与者一件物品会提高他们的报告估值。虽然文献中有一些关于贸易不确定性的令人信服的证据,但关于选择不确定性重要性的证据却少得多。本文为选择不确定性在交易和声明估值背景下的重要性提供了新的支持。在一组初步研究中,我们发现减少选择不确定性消除了交易环境中的交易不足,并减少(但没有消除)买卖双方报告的平均估值差异,主要是通过减少卖方极端估值的数量。有趣的是,我们的处理并没有导致陈述估值所暗示的相互接受的交易数量显著增加。因此,比较我们两个主要实验的结果表明,即使在相关产品的不确定性得到解决之后,价值不确定性仍然在产生估值不对称方面发挥作用。一组设计经过修改的后续研究在交换环境中重复了这一发现,但未能在对照条件下产生估值不对称,这可能是由于与大流行相关的缓解措施以及参与者与指定物品接触的时间较少。补充信息:在线版本包含补充资料,可在10.1007/s11166-022-09387-8获得。
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引用次数: 2
Correction to: Insurance decisions under nonperformance risk and ambiguity 修正:不履约风险和模糊性下的保险决策
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11166-022-09372-1
Timo R Lambregts, Paul van Bruggen, H. Bleichrodt
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引用次数: 0
Intransitivity in the small and in the large 小和大的不敏感
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11166-021-09367-4
S. Bikhchandani, Uzi Segal
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引用次数: 0
Gender differences in the stability of risk attitudes 风险态度稳定性的性别差异
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11166-021-09361-w
A. Bandyopadhyay, Lutfunnahar Begum, P. Grossman
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引用次数: 3
Crowded out: Heterogeneity in risk attitudes among poor households in the US 拥挤:美国贫困家庭风险态度的异质性
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11166-021-09363-8
A. Galliera, E. Rutström
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引用次数: 5
The value of statistical life in the context of road safety: new evidence on the contingent valuation/standard gamble chained approach 道路安全背景下统计寿命的价值:偶然估价/标准赌博链方法的新证据
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-09-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11166-021-09360-x
F. Sánchez-Martínez, J. Martínez-Pérez, J. Abellan-Perpiñan, J. Pinto-Prades
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引用次数: 2
Optimality of winner-take-all contests: the role of attitudes toward risk 赢家通吃竞赛的最优性:对风险态度的作用
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11166-021-09355-8
Liqun Liu, Nicolas Treich
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引用次数: 2
When risky decisions generate externalities 当风险决策产生外部性时
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11166-021-09357-6
Angela C. M. de Oliveira
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引用次数: 2
Effortful Bayesian updating: A pupil-dilation study 费力的贝叶斯更新:瞳孔扩张研究
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-08-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11166-021-09358-5
Carlos Alós-Ferrer, Alexander Jaudas, Alexander Ritschel
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引用次数: 7
Stochastic superiority 随机优势
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11166-021-09362-9
Liqun Liu, Jack Meyer
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
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