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Lipset and Rokkan’s missing case: Introducing the Habsburg Manifesto Dataset Lipset和Rokkan的失踪案例:哈布斯堡宣言数据集介绍
IF 2.7 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.1177/13540688231185671
Edina Szöcsik, C. I. Zuber, Philip J. Howe
As Europe’s parties realign around a new, transnational cleavage, this article turns back to a historical case in which national identity conflicts also coincided with profound economic transformation: multinational and industrializing Imperial Austria. While Austria is an important case for Lipset and Rokkan’s classic cleavage theory, they overlooked the long evolution of its party system pre-WWI. This paper introduces the Habsburg Manifesto Dataset (HMD), demonstrating its usefulness by tracking the formation of Imperial Austrian party system cleavages under universal manhood suffrage. Based on the qualitative content analysis of historical electoral manifestos, HMD measures the policy offers and group appeals made by Imperial Austria’s German and Czech parties. This allows testing Lipset and Rokkan’s claims by applying contemporary methodologies to a case that was effectively excluded from their original analysis. Doing so reveals a surprising degree of structure: parties consistently combined issue and group claims around center-periphery, class, and state-church cleavages.
随着欧洲各政党围绕新的跨国分裂重新结盟,本文回到了一个历史案例,在这个案例中,民族认同冲突也与深刻的经济转型同时发生:多民族和工业化的奥地利帝国。虽然奥地利是利普塞特和罗坎经典乳沟理论的一个重要案例,但他们忽视了一战前奥地利政党制度的长期演变。本文介绍了哈布斯堡宣言数据集(HMD),通过跟踪普遍成年选举权下奥地利帝国政党制度分裂的形成,证明了它的有用性。HMD在对历史选举宣言进行定性内容分析的基础上,对奥地利帝国的德意志和捷克政党提出的政策提议和群体诉求进行了衡量。这使得Lipset和Rokkan可以通过将当代方法应用于他们原始分析中有效排除的案例来验证他们的主张。这样做揭示了一个令人惊讶的结构程度:政党始终围绕中心-边缘、阶级和国家-教会的分裂,将议题和团体主张结合起来。
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引用次数: 0
Book Review: Religious Parties and the Politics of Civil Liberties 书评:宗教党派与公民自由政治
IF 2.7 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-07-05 DOI: 10.1177/13540688231187969
Luca Ozzano
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引用次数: 0
Book review: A review of democracy without parties in peru: the politics of uncertainty and decay 书评:秘鲁无政党民主的回顾:不确定和衰败的政治
IF 2.7 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-07-04 DOI: 10.1177/13540688231188477
Yongjin Wang
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引用次数: 0
The program-to-campaign linkage: Party organization and ideological inconsistency during election campaigns 纲领与竞选的联系:竞选期间党的组织和意识形态的不一致
2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-06-27 DOI: 10.1177/13540688231182537
Mohamed Nasr
What determines party strategies in the short run during election campaigns? In this paper, I highlight a novel aspect of party behavior pertaining to the connection between election programs and actual campaign statements issued by party elites in the media. I argue that party leaders may feel compelled to fine-tune their rhetoric and stances during campaigns and thus deviate from their party’s election programs. Nonetheless, their ability to conduct ad-hoc adaptations is limited. The theory I propose posits that two features of party organizations will determine if party leaders can engage in short-term inconsistencies. First, membership-dominated parties will be less likely to be inconsistent because their leaders will fear alienating (the strong) party members and getting punished as a result. Second, parties with strong societal integration—those that maintain strong ties with society and an extensive network of local branches—are more likely to indulge in ideological inconsistency because they establish close bonds with voters based on problem-solving rather than broad ideological principles. I test these dynamics in 14 European democracies between 1972 and 2017 and find strong empirical support. The findings show that intricate party organizations and robust connections with normal citizens influence parties’ short-term strategies during election campaigns.
在竞选期间,是什么决定了政党的短期策略?在本文中,我强调了政党行为的一个新方面,即选举计划与政党精英在媒体上发表的实际竞选声明之间的联系。我认为,政党领导人可能会觉得有必要在竞选期间微调他们的言论和立场,从而偏离他们政党的选举计划。尽管如此,它们进行特别适应的能力是有限的。我提出的理论假设,党组织的两个特征将决定党的领导人是否可以从事短期不一致。首先,会员制政党不太可能前后矛盾,因为他们的领导人担心疏远(强势的)党员并因此受到惩罚。其次,社会融合程度高的政党——那些与社会保持紧密联系并拥有广泛的地方分支网络的政党——更有可能沉迷于意识形态的不一致,因为它们与选民建立的密切联系是基于解决问题,而不是宽泛的意识形态原则。我在1972年至2017年间在14个欧洲民主国家测试了这些动态,发现了强有力的实证支持。研究结果表明,复杂的政党组织和与普通公民的紧密联系影响了政党在竞选期间的短期战略。
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引用次数: 0
What drives the intra-party democracy of the “Alternative for Germany”: Populist ideology, low institutionalisation or lacking party unity? 是什么推动了“德国另类选择”的党内民主:民粹主义意识形态、低制度化还是缺乏政党团结?
IF 2.7 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-06-27 DOI: 10.1177/13540688231183594
Anne Heinze, Benjamin Höhne, Felix Wortmann Callejón
The organisation of populist radical right parties significantly shapes their long-term electoral success. Within this party family, great organisational variation can be found, with the “Alternative for Germany” (AfD) representing a least-likely case: in terms of candidate selection (CS), it ranks much higher on democracy scales than the other Bundestag parties. This paper explores the reasons for this high level of intra-party democracy (IPD) by focusing on three explanatory dimensions: ideology, institutionalisation, and party unity. Methodologically, we apply multivariate analyses of representative quantitative data collected among AfD members at CS prior to the 2017 federal election. The results show that high political dissatisfaction and low levels of institutionalisation are important drivers of inclusive CS procedures. Overall, the article provides a deeper understanding of the underlying attitudes for the AfD’s inclusive IPD, and offers substantial theoretical and empirical implications for future research.
民粹主义激进右翼政党的组织极大地影响了他们在选举中的长期成功。在这个政党大家庭中,可以发现巨大的组织差异,“德国另类选择党”(AfD)代表了一个最不可能的情况:在候选人选择方面,它在民主程度上的排名远高于其他联邦议院政党。本文通过关注意识形态、制度化和政党团结三个解释维度,探讨了这种高水平党内民主的原因。在方法上,我们对2017年联邦大选前在CS的AfD成员中收集的代表性定量数据进行了多变量分析。结果表明,高度的政治不满和低水平的制度化是包容性CS程序的重要驱动因素。总的来说,这篇文章对AfD包容性IPD的潜在态度有了更深入的理解,并为未来的研究提供了实质性的理论和实证启示。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of primaries on voters’ evaluation of candidates’ quality–experimental evidence 初选对选民评价候选人质量的影响——实验证据
IF 2.7 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-06-27 DOI: 10.1177/13540688231184627
Jana Schwenk
In this article, I argue that voters not only rely on characteristics of candidates, such as age and gender, but also on procedural cues to evaluate candidates, particularly on how candidates were selected. I argue that selection via primaries, which has become popular in Western Europe, is an important cue to voters. Drawing on procedural fairness theory, I develop contradicting arguments about how primaries affect voters’ evaluations of candidate quality, such that either the logic of procedural fairness improves voters’ evaluations of candidates’ quality, or the violation thereof through clientelism and vote-buying leads to worse evaluations of candidates. I employ a conjoint experiment, implemented in Spain, and analyze responses to an open-ended question to investigate underlying mechanisms. The findings indicate that voters perceive candidates resulting out of primaries as outsiders, who are less corrupt but also less experienced and less competent.
在本文中,我认为选民不仅依赖候选人的特征,如年龄和性别,而且还依赖程序线索来评估候选人,特别是候选人是如何被选中的。我认为,在西欧流行的初选选举是对选民的重要提示。根据程序公平理论,我对初选如何影响选民对候选人素质的评价提出了相互矛盾的论点,例如,程序公平的逻辑要么提高了选民对候选人素质的评价,要么通过裙带关系和贿选导致对候选人的评价更差。我采用了一个联合实验,在西班牙实施,并分析了对一个开放式问题的回答,以调查潜在的机制。调查结果表明,选民认为初选产生的候选人是局外人,他们不那么腐败,但也缺乏经验和能力。
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引用次数: 0
Book review: Review of Alex Marland and Thierry Giasson, eds., Inside the local campaign: Constituency elections in Canada 书评:书评Alex Marland和Thierry Giasson编。,地方竞选内幕:加拿大选区选举
IF 2.7 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-06-25 DOI: 10.1177/13540688231185672
L. Young
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引用次数: 0
Political communication on Facebook: Do populist parties send out more posts? 脸书上的政治交流:民粹主义政党会发布更多帖子吗?
IF 2.7 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-06-25 DOI: 10.1177/13540688231184626
J. P. Thomeczek
Scholars connect the rise of populist parties and the growing importance of social media platforms for political communication as the emerging social media logic seems well-suited to populist communication. The following research note presents a novel dataset that connects Facebook accounts to party-level populism data from the POPPA database. Over 600,000 posts from 226 parties between 2017 and 2019 were analysed. The results show that in most European countries, populist parties are more active than non-populist parties on Facebook. However, high variation in the frequency of posts emphasises that country-specific aspects play an important role. Generally, Italian parties are much more active than those from other countries, whereas those in Northern and Western Europe are the least active. The most active party in Europe, the Italian right-wing populist Lega, showed the most extreme level of activity: its daily activity is around 20 times higher than the median. Furthermore, this analysis highlights why researchers should carefully check Facebook data for implausible inactivity and how connecting different data resources can help overcome potential biases resulting from missing data. Future studies analysing any party communication on Facebook will benefit from the insights and the list of party accounts featured herein.
学者们将民粹主义政党的兴起与社交媒体平台对政治传播日益重要联系起来,因为新兴的社交媒体逻辑似乎非常适合民粹主义传播。以下研究说明提供了一个新的数据集,将脸书账户与POPPA数据库中的政党级民粹主义数据联系起来。分析了2017年至2019年间来自226个政党的60多万条帖子。结果显示,在大多数欧洲国家,民粹主义政党在脸书上比非民粹主义政党更活跃。然而,员额频率的高度差异强调了国别方面发挥着重要作用。一般来说,意大利政党比其他国家的政党活跃得多,而北欧和西欧的政党则最不活跃。欧洲最活跃的政党,意大利右翼民粹主义政党Lega,表现出最极端的活动水平:其日常活动比中位数高出约20倍。此外,这项分析强调了为什么研究人员应该仔细检查脸书数据是否存在令人难以置信的不活跃,以及连接不同的数据资源如何有助于克服数据缺失带来的潜在偏见。未来分析脸书上任何党派交流的研究都将受益于本文的见解和党派账户列表。
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引用次数: 1
Institutional incentives and contentious politics in post-Neoliberal era in Latin America (1985–2010) 拉丁美洲后新自由主义时代的制度激励与争议政治(1985-2010)
IF 2.7 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-06-23 DOI: 10.1177/13540688231184625
Shimaa Hatab
The article focuses on the supply-side of protest activity in Latin America in the post-neoliberal era. It argues that parties’ cohesive voting in Congress under different power constellations and parties’ linkage strategy to voters create institutional conditions of power collusion, inter-branch stalemate, or party erosion that delineates political terrain for social mobilization. First, the firm control of a single party or coalition over the executive and legislature with cohesive voting of party members in line with party leadership denotes power collusion and incites underrepresented actors to protest. Second, the dislocation in the executive-legislative relations (either with party members voting against the president’s proposals in a majority government or with cohesive opposition bloc(s) acting against the president’s will in a minority government) leads to policy immobilism and pushes legislative parties to ignite popular discontent. Third, more programmatic party linkages increase the degree of party institutionalization and predictability about policy commitment and mitigate struggles in extra-electoral arenas. The theoretical argument is tested with a battery of statistical tests that lends credence to the institutional explanations of mass mobilization and corroborated with empirical cases that show the plausibility of the statistical findings in particular contexts.
本文关注后新自由主义时代拉丁美洲抗议活动的供给面。本文认为,政党在不同权力结构下在国会的凝聚力投票以及政党对选民的联系策略创造了权力勾结、分支间僵局或政党侵蚀的制度条件,这些条件描绘了社会动员的政治地形。首先,一个政党或联盟对行政和立法机构的严格控制,以及党员与党的领导一致的凝聚力投票,意味着权力勾结,并煽动未被充分代表的行动者进行抗议。其次,行政-立法关系的错位(要么在多数政府中党员投票反对总统的提议,要么在少数政府中团结一致的反对派集团反对总统的意愿)导致政策僵化,并推动立法政党点燃民众的不满情绪。第三,更具计划性的政党联系增加了政党制度化的程度和政策承诺的可预测性,并减轻了选举外领域的斗争。这一理论论点得到了一系列统计测试的检验,这些测试为大规模动员的制度解释提供了可信度,并得到了实证案例的证实,这些案例显示了统计结果在特定情况下的合理性。
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引用次数: 1
Same, same but different? Explaining issue agendas of right-wing parties’ Facebook campaigns to the 2019 EP election 相同,相同但不同?针对2019年欧洲议会选举,解释右翼政党脸书运动的议题议程
IF 2.7 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-06-22 DOI: 10.1177/13540688231184624
B. Pfetsch, Vivien Benert, Annett Heft
Social media are important for right-wing parties to communicate with and mobilize potential voters in election campaigns. Our study focuses on the Facebook campaigns of right-wing parties in six European countries and aims to understand which issues were transnationally shared and which ones emphasize national perspectives on the agenda of the populist actors. We ask what context conditions on the party- and country-level determine the individual issue agendas. Using structural topic modelling, we analyze the communication of the Austrian FPÖ, the German AfD, the French RN, the Italian Lega, the Polish PiS, and the Swedish SD during the 2019 EP election campaign. To explain their issue agendas, we run logistic regression models testing the influence of country-specific and party-specific factors. Our analyses establish that while right-wing parties across Europe are similar in pushing a few populist issues like blaming elites and immigration, they still engage in campaigning on national politics.
社交媒体对于右翼政党在竞选活动中与潜在选民沟通和动员非常重要。我们的研究侧重于六个欧洲国家右翼政党的Facebook运动,旨在了解哪些问题是跨国共享的,哪些问题强调民粹主义行动者议程上的国家观点。我们要问的是,政党和国家层面的哪些背景条件决定了个别议题的议程。使用结构主题模型,我们分析了奥地利FPÖ、德国AfD、法国RN、意大利Lega、波兰PiS和瑞典SD在2019年欧洲议会选举期间的沟通。为了解释他们的议题议程,我们运行逻辑回归模型来测试特定国家和特定政党因素的影响。我们的分析表明,尽管欧洲各地的右翼政党在推动一些民粹主义问题(如指责精英和移民)方面存在相似之处,但它们仍在参与国家政治的竞选活动。
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引用次数: 0
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Party Politics
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