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Systematic Social Observation at Scale: Using Crowdsourcing and Computer Vision to Measure Visible Neighborhood Conditions 大规模的系统社会观察:使用众包和计算机视觉来测量可见的邻里条件
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-04-10 DOI: 10.1177/00811750231160781
Jackelyn Hwang, Nikhil Naik
Analysis of neighborhood environments is important for understanding inequality. Few studies, however, use direct measures of the visible characteristics of neighborhood conditions, despite their theorized importance in shaping individual and community well-being, because collecting data on the physical conditions of places across neighborhoods and cities and over time has required extensive time and labor. The authors introduce systematic social observation at scale (SSO@S), a pipeline for using visual data, crowdsourcing, and computer vision to identify visible characteristics of neighborhoods at a large scale. The authors implement SSO@S on millions of street-level images across three physically distinct cities—Boston, Detroit, and Los Angeles—from 2007 to 2020 to identify trash across space and over time. The authors evaluate the extent to which this approach can be used to assist with systematic coding of street-level imagery through cross-validation and out-of-sample validation, class-activation mapping, and comparisons with other sources of observed neighborhood characteristics. The SSO@S approach produces estimates with high reliability that correlate with some expected demographic characteristics but not others, depending on the city. The authors conclude with an assessment of this approach for measuring visible characteristics of neighborhoods and the implications for methods and research.
分析邻里环境对于理解不平等很重要。然而,很少有研究直接测量社区条件的可见特征,尽管理论上它们在塑造个人和社区福祉方面很重要,因为收集社区和城市各个地方的物理条件数据需要大量的时间和劳动。作者介绍了大规模的系统社会观察(SSO@S),这是一个使用视觉数据、众包和计算机视觉来大规模识别社区可见特征的管道。从2007年到2020年,作者在波士顿、底特律和洛杉矶三个不同城市的数百万张街道图像上实现了SSO@S,以识别空间和时间上的垃圾。作者通过交叉验证和样本外验证、类别激活映射以及与观察到的社区特征的其他来源进行比较,评估了这种方法在多大程度上可以用于辅助街道级图像的系统编码。SSO@S方法产生的估计具有很高的可靠性,与某些预期的人口特征相关,但与其他特征无关,具体取决于城市。作者最后评估了这种测量社区可见特征的方法,以及对方法和研究的影响。
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引用次数: 1
The Anatomy of Cohort Analysis: Decomposing Comparative Cohort Careers 剖析队列分析:分解比较队列职业
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-03-28 DOI: 10.1177/00811750231151949
E. Fosse, Christopher Winship
In a widely influential essay, Ryder argued that to understand social change, researchers should compare cohort careers, contrasting how different cohorts change over the life cycle with respect to some outcome. Ryder, however, provided few technical details on how to actually conduct a cohort analysis. In this article, the authors develop a framework for analyzing temporally structured data grounded in the construction, comparison, and decomposition of cohort careers. The authors begin by illustrating how one can analyze age-period-cohort (APC) data by constructing graphs of cohort careers. Although a useful starting point, the major problem with this approach is that the graphs are typically of sufficient complexity that it can be difficult, if not impossible, to discern the underlying trends and patterns in the data. To provide a more useful foundation for cohort analysis, the authors therefore introduce three distinct improvements over the purely graphical approach. First, they provide a mathematical definition of a cohort career, demonstrating how the underlying parameters of interest can be estimated using a reparameterized version of the conventional APC model. The authors call this the life cycle and social change (LC-SC) model. Second, they contrast the proposed model with two alternative three-factor APC models and all logically possible two-factor models, showing that none of these other models are adequate for fully representing Ryder’s ideas. Third, the authors present the article’s major accomplishment: using the LC-SC model, they show how a collection of cohort careers can be decomposed into just four basic components: a curve representing an overall intracohort trend (or life cycle change); a curve representing an overall intercohort trend (or social change); a set of common cross-period temporal fluctuations that permit variability across cohort careers; and, finally, a set of terms representing cell-specific heterogeneity (or, equivalently, interactions among age, period, and/or cohort). As the authors demonstrate, these parts can be reassembled into simpler versions of cohort careers, revealing underlying trends and patterns that may not be evident otherwise. The authors illustrate this approach by analyzing trends in political party strength in the General Social Survey.
在一篇影响广泛的文章中,Ryder认为,为了理解社会变化,研究人员应该比较队列职业,对比不同队列在生命周期中对某些结果的变化。然而,Ryder没有提供关于如何进行队列分析的技术细节。在本文中,作者开发了一个框架,用于分析基于队列职业的构建、比较和分解的时间结构化数据。作者首先说明了如何通过构建队列职业图来分析年龄-时期-队列(APC)数据。尽管这是一个有用的起点,但这种方法的主要问题是,图形通常非常复杂,即使不是不可能,也很难识别数据中的潜在趋势和模式。为了给队列分析提供一个更有用的基础,作者在纯图形方法的基础上引入了三个明显的改进。首先,他们提供了队列职业的数学定义,展示了如何使用传统APC模型的重新参数化版本来估计感兴趣的潜在参数。作者称之为生命周期和社会变化(LC-SC)模型。其次,他们将提出的模型与两种可供选择的三因素APC模型和所有逻辑上可能的两因素模型进行了对比,表明这些模型都不足以充分代表Ryder的想法。第三,作者介绍了本文的主要成就:使用LC-SC模型,他们展示了如何将队列职业的集合分解为四个基本组成部分:代表整体队列内趋势(或生命周期变化)的曲线;代表整体群体间趋势(或社会变化)的曲线;一组常见的跨时期时间波动,允许不同队列职业之间的变化;最后,一组表示细胞特异性异质性的术语(或者,等价地,年龄、时期和/或队列之间的相互作用)。正如作者所展示的那样,这些部分可以重新组合成更简单的群体职业,揭示出潜在的趋势和模式,否则这些趋势和模式可能并不明显。作者通过分析综合社会调查中政党实力的趋势来说明这种方法。
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引用次数: 1
Evaluating Substitution as a Strategy for Handling U.S. Postal Service Drop Points in Self-Administered Address-Based Sampling Frame Surveys 在基于自我管理地址的抽样框架调查中,评估替代作为处理美国邮政服务投递点的策略
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-01-13 DOI: 10.1177/00811750221147525
Taylor Lewis, Joseph McMichael, Charlotte Looby
Most addresses on modern address-based sampling frames derived from the U.S. Postal Service’s Computerized Delivery Sequence file have a one-to-one relationship with a household. Some addresses, however, are associated with multiple households. These addresses are referred to as drop points, and the households therein are referred to as drop point units (DPUs). DPUs pose a challenge for self-administered surveys because no apartment number or unit designation is available, making it impossible to send targeted correspondence. The authors evaluate a method for substituting sampled DPUs with similar non-DPUs, which was implemented in the 2021 Healthy Chicago Survey alongside a concurrent survey of the originally sampled DPUs. Comparing aggregate distributions of DPUs and the non-DPU substitutes, the authors observe certain differences with respect to age, employment status, marital status, and housing tenure but no substantive differences in key health outcomes measured by the survey.
从美国邮政局的计算机化投递序列文件中提取的现代基于地址的采样帧中的大多数地址与家庭有一对一的关系。然而,有些地址与多个家庭有关。这些地址称为投递点,其中的家庭称为投递单元(DPU)。DPU对自我管理的调查构成了挑战,因为没有可用的公寓号码或单元名称,因此无法发送有针对性的信件。作者评估了一种用类似的非DPU替代采样DPU的方法,该方法在2021年芝加哥健康调查中实施,同时对最初采样的DPU进行了调查。比较DPU和非DPU替代品的总体分布,作者观察到在年龄、就业状况、婚姻状况和住房保有权方面存在一定差异,但在调查测量的关键健康结果方面没有实质性差异。
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引用次数: 0
Sparse Data Reconstruction, Missing Value and Multiple Imputation through Matrix Factorization 稀疏数据重构、缺失值与矩阵分解多重插值
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-10-22 DOI: 10.1177/00811750221125799
Nandana Sengupta, Madeleine Udell, N. Srebro, James Evans
Social science approaches to missing values predict avoided, unrequested, or lost information from dense data sets, typically surveys. The authors propose a matrix factorization approach to missing data imputation that (1) identifies underlying factors to model similarities across respondents and responses and (2) regularizes across factors to reduce their overinfluence for optimal data reconstruction. This approach may enable social scientists to draw new conclusions from sparse data sets with a large number of features, for example, historical or archival sources, online surveys with high attrition rates, or data sets created from Web scraping, which confound traditional imputation techniques. The authors introduce matrix factorization techniques and detail their probabilistic interpretation, and they demonstrate these techniques’ consistency with Rubin’s multiple imputation framework. The authors show via simulations using artificial data and data from real-world subsets of the General Social Survey and National Longitudinal Study of Youth cases for which matrix factorization techniques may be preferred. These findings recommend the use of matrix factorization for data reconstruction in several settings, particularly when data are Boolean and categorical and when large proportions of the data are missing.
缺失值的社会科学方法预测了密集数据集(通常是调查)中被回避、未被请求或丢失的信息。作者提出了一种缺失数据插补的矩阵分解方法,该方法(1)识别潜在因素,以模拟受访者和回答之间的相似性,(2)对各因素进行正则化,以减少它们对最佳数据重建的过度影响。这种方法可能使社会科学家能够从具有大量特征的稀疏数据集中得出新的结论,例如,历史或档案来源、流失率高的在线调查,或通过网络抓取创建的数据集,这些数据集混淆了传统的插补技术。作者介绍了矩阵分解技术,并详细介绍了它们的概率解释,并证明了这些技术与鲁宾的多重插补框架的一致性。作者通过使用人工数据和来自一般社会调查和全国青年纵向研究的真实世界子集的数据进行模拟,表明矩阵分解技术可能是首选的。这些发现建议在几种情况下使用矩阵分解进行数据重建,特别是当数据是布尔和分类的,以及当大量数据丢失时。
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引用次数: 3
Hyperscanning and the Future of Neurosociology 超扫描与神经社会学的未来
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-10-15 DOI: 10.1177/00811750221128790
W. TenHouten, L. Schussel, Maria Gritsch, C. D. Kaplan
Because all aspects of social life have a mental component, sociology’s focus is not society alone but mind and society. Insofar as mind is an emergent level of brainwork, the description and measurement of mindwork amidst social interaction can be accomplished by neurometric measurement methodology. The authors’ topic, hyperscanning, involves the simultaneous recording of either hemodynamic or neuroelectric measurement of brain activity in two (or more) interacting individuals. The authors consider two hyperscanning methods, functional magnetic resonance imaging and electroencephalography (EEG). Although functional magnetic resonance imaging provides excellent spatial resolution of brain-region activation, the temporal resolution of EEG is unmatched. EEG’s low spatial resolution has been overcome by low-resolution electromagnetic tomography. Hyperscanning studies show that interpersonal coordination of action includes mutual entrainment or synchronization of neural dynamics, flow of information between brains, and causal effects of one brain upon another with respect to social-signaling processes involving fairness, reciprocity, trust, competition, cooperation, and leadership.
因为社会生活的各个方面都有心理成分,所以社会学的重点不仅仅是社会,而是心理和社会。由于心理是脑力劳动的一种突现水平,对社会互动中脑力劳动的描述和测量可以通过神经测量方法来完成。作者的主题,超扫描,涉及同时记录两个(或更多)相互作用的个体的血流动力学或神经电测量的大脑活动。作者考虑了两种超扫描方法,功能磁共振成像和脑电图(EEG)。虽然功能磁共振成像提供了良好的脑区激活的空间分辨率,但EEG的时间分辨率是无法比拟的。低分辨率电磁成像技术克服了脑电图的低空间分辨率。超扫描研究表明,行为的人际协调包括神经动力学的相互卷入或同步,大脑之间的信息流,以及一个大脑对另一个大脑在涉及公平、互惠、信任、竞争、合作和领导的社会信号过程中的因果效应。
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引用次数: 2
Data Quality and Recall Bias in Time-Diary Research: The Effects of Prolonged Recall Periods in Self-Administered Online Time-Use Surveys 时间日记研究中的数据质量和回忆偏差:自我管理的在线时间使用调查中长回忆期的影响
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-10-05 DOI: 10.1177/00811750221126499
Petrus te Braak, T. P. van Tienoven, Joeri Minnen, I. Glorieux
Previous research has shown that a prolonged recall period is associated with lower data quality in time-diary research. In these studies, the recall period is roughly estimated on the basis of the period between the assigned diary day and the agreed collection day. Because this is so rudimentary, little is known about the duration of the mean recall period and its consequences for data quality. Recent advances in online methodology now allow a better investigation of the recall period using time stamps. Using a refined indicator, the authors examine the duration of the recall period, to what extent this duration is related to socioeconomic characteristics, and how a prolonged recall period affects data quality. The authors demonstrate that using online time-diary data collected from 8,535 teachers in Belgium, the mean recall period is less than 24 hr for most respondents, although respondents with many time constraints have extended recall periods. Additionally, a prolonged recall period indeed has negative consequences for data quality. Quality deterioration already arises several hours after an activity has been completed, much sooner than previous research has indicated.
先前的研究表明,在时间日记研究中,长时间的回忆与较低的数据质量有关。在这些研究中,回忆期是根据指定的日记日和约定的收集日之间的时间段粗略估计的。因为这是非常初级的,所以对平均召回期的持续时间及其对数据质量的影响知之甚少。在线方法的最新进展现在允许使用时间戳更好地调查召回期。使用一个精细的指标,作者检查了召回期的持续时间,这一持续时间在多大程度上与社会经济特征有关,以及延长的召回期如何影响数据质量。作者证明,使用从比利时8535名教师那里收集的在线时间日记数据,大多数受访者的平均回忆期不到24小时,尽管有许多时间限制的受访者延长了回忆期。此外,长时间的召回确实会对数据质量产生负面影响。在一项活动完成数小时后,质量就已经恶化,比之前的研究表明的要早得多。
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引用次数: 3
Bayesian Multistate Life Table Methods for Large and Complex State Spaces: Development and Illustration of a New Method. 大型复杂状态空间的贝叶斯多状态生命表方法:一种新方法的发展与说明。
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1177/00811750221112398
Scott M Lynch, Emma Zang

Multistate life table methods are an important tool for producing easily understood measures of population health. Most contemporary uses of these methods involve sample data, thus requiring techniques for capturing uncertainty in estimates. In recent decades, several methods have been developed to do so. Among these methods, the Bayesian approach proposed by Lynch and Brown has several unique advantages. However, the approach is limited to estimating years to be spent in only two living states, such as "healthy" and "unhealthy." In this article, the authors extend this method to allow for large state spaces with "quasi-absorbing" states. The authors illustrate the new method and show its advantages using data from the Health and Retirement Study to investigate U.S. regional differences in years of remaining life to be spent with diabetes, chronic conditions, and disabilities. The method works well and yields rich output for reporting and subsequent analyses. The expanded method also should facilitate the use of multi-state life tables to address a wider array of social science research questions.

多态生命表法是产生易于理解的人口健康指标的重要工具。这些方法的大多数当代应用涉及样本数据,因此需要技术来捕捉估计中的不确定性。近几十年来,已经开发了几种方法来做到这一点。在这些方法中,Lynch和Brown提出的贝叶斯方法有几个独特的优点。然而,这种方法仅限于估计在两种生活状态下的寿命,比如“健康”和“不健康”。在本文中,作者扩展了该方法,以允许具有“准吸收”状态的大状态空间。作者用健康和退休研究的数据说明了这种新方法,并展示了它的优势,该研究调查了美国地区在糖尿病、慢性病和残疾患者剩余寿命方面的差异。该方法工作良好,并为报告和后续分析产生丰富的输出。扩展后的方法还应有助于使用多状态生命表来解决更广泛的社会科学研究问题。
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引用次数: 1
A New RCM Approach to Survival Analysis: The Conditional-Incidence-Rate Model 生存分析的RCM新方法:条件发病率模型
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-07-29 DOI: 10.1177/00811750221114857
K. Yamaguchi
This article introduces a new causal analytic method for survival analysis that retains the framework of Rubin’s causal model as an alternative to the marginal structural model (MSM). The major limitation of the MSM is a systematic bias in the effects of past treatments when the method is applied to the hazard rate analysis of nonrepeatable events in the presence of unobserved heterogeneity. This systematic bias is demonstrated in the article. The method introduced here assumes a semiparametric conditional-incidence-rate model and provides consistent estimates of the effects of present and past treatments on the conditional cumulative-incidence rate in the analysis of nonrepeatable events in the presence of unobserved heterogeneity. Unlike the MSM, which requires a sequential and cumulative use of the inverse-probability-of-treatment weighting many times for data with many time points, the new method uses the inverse-probability-of-treatment weighing only twice sequentially for estimation of the present and past treatment effects at each time of entry into treatment, and not cumulatively across different treatment entry times. Analysis of the conditional-incidence rate can also provide a more efficient parameter estimate for the treatment effect than the hazard rate model in cases where a majority of sample persons experience the event and thereby cease to be members of the risk set of the hazard rate during the period of observation. An application to an analysis of sexual initiation demonstrates that leaving home promotes sexual initiation, especially premarital sexual initiation, because it greatly increases the rate of premarital sexual initiation during the year after leaving home.
本文介绍了一种新的生存分析的因果分析方法,它保留了鲁宾因果模型的框架,作为边际结构模型(MSM)的替代方案。MSM的主要局限性是,当该方法应用于存在未观察到异质性的不可重复事件的危险率分析时,对过去治疗效果的系统性偏倚。这篇文章证明了这种系统性偏见。这里介绍的方法假设了一个半参数条件发病率模型,并在分析存在未观察到异质性的不可重复事件时,对当前和过去治疗对条件累积发病率的影响提供了一致的估计。与MSM不同的是,MSM需要对具有多个时间点的数据进行多次连续累积使用反处理概率加权,而新方法只使用两次连续的反处理概率加权来估计每个进入处理时间的当前和过去的处理效果,而不是在不同的处理进入时间累积。在大多数样本人经历了该事件,因此在观察期间不再是危险率的风险集的成员的情况下,条件发病率的分析也可以提供比危险率模型更有效的治疗效果参数估计。一项对性开始的分析表明,离家促进了性开始,尤其是婚前性开始,因为离家后一年内婚前性开始的比率大大增加。
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引用次数: 0
Survey Methods for Estimating the Size of Weak-Tie Personal Networks 估计弱连接个人网络规模的调查方法
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-07-05 DOI: 10.1177/00811750221109568
D. Feehan, Vo Hai Son, A. Abdul-Quader
Researchers increasingly use aggregate relational data to learn about the size and distribution of survey respondents’ weak-tie personal networks. Aggregate relational data are collected by asking questions about respondents’ connectedness to many different groups (e.g., “How many teachers do you know?”). This approach can be powerful, but to use aggregate relational data, researchers must locate external information about the size of each group from a census or administrative records (e.g., the number of teachers in the population). This need for external information makes aggregate relational data difficult or impossible to collect in many settings. Here, the authors show that relatively simple modifications can overcome this need for external data, significantly increasing the flexibility of the method and weakening key assumptions required by the associated estimators. The key idea is to estimate the size of these groups from the sample of survey respondents, rather than relying on external sources of information. These methods are appropriate for using a sample survey to study the size and distribution of weak-tie network connections. They can also be used as part of the network scale-up method to estimate the size of hidden populations. The authors illustrate this approach with two empirical studies: a large simulation study and original household survey data collected in Hanoi, Vietnam.
研究人员越来越多地使用聚合关系数据来了解调查对象的弱联系个人网络的规模和分布。通过询问受访者与许多不同群体的联系来收集总体关系数据(例如,“你认识多少老师?”)。这种方法可能很强大,但要使用聚合关系数据,研究人员必须从人口普查或行政记录(例如,人口中教师的数量)中找到关于每个群体规模的外部信息。这种对外部信息的需求使得在许多设置中很难或不可能收集聚合关系数据。在这里,作者表明,相对简单的修改可以克服这种对外部数据的需求,显著增加了方法的灵活性,并削弱了相关估计器所需的关键假设。关键的想法是从调查受访者的样本中估计这些群体的规模,而不是依赖外部信息来源。这些方法适用于使用抽样调查来研究弱联系网络连接的大小和分布。它们也可以作为网络放大方法的一部分来估计隐藏种群的大小。作者通过两项实证研究说明了这一方法:一项大型模拟研究和在越南河内收集的原始家庭调查数据。
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引用次数: 5
An Implausible Virtual Interview: Conversations with a Professional Research Subject 一个不真实的虚拟访谈:与一个专业研究对象的对话
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-06-22 DOI: 10.1177/00811750221106777
L. Owens
The author explores interactions with one research subject who feigns credentials and invents stories in order to participate in social science research interviews online. The possibility of intentional deception among interviewees in virtually mediated fieldwork is a critical consideration in the context of the recent extensive pivot to online-based fieldwork during the need for social distancing associated with the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. Following this rapid shift in what is generally accepted as the “gold standard” for social science research interviews, widespread use of online-based interviewing methods will likely endure as equivalent to in-person methods. A methodological case study with implications for virtually mediated fieldwork, this article highlights some of the advantages and disadvantages of virtually mediated interviews and provides practical suggestions.
作者探索了与一位研究对象的互动,这位研究对象为了参加在线社会科学研究采访而伪造证书并编造故事。在与2019冠状病毒病大流行相关的社交距离需求期间,最近广泛转向在线实地调查的背景下,受访者在虚拟中介的实地调查中故意欺骗的可能性是一个关键考虑因素。随着人们普遍认为的社会科学研究面试“金标准”的迅速转变,在线面试方法的广泛使用可能会像面对面面试方法一样持续下去。本文是一个方法论案例研究,对虚拟中介实地调查具有启示意义,强调了虚拟中介访谈的一些优点和缺点,并提供了实用的建议。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Sociological Methodology
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