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Coverage and bias of street view imagery in mapping the urban environment 街景图像在城市环境制图中的覆盖范围和偏差
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2025.102253
Zicheng Fan , Chen-Chieh Feng , Filip Biljecki
Street View Imagery (SVI) has emerged as a valuable data form in urban studies, enabling new ways to map and sense urban environments. However, fundamental concerns regarding the representativeness, quality, and reliability of SVI remain underexplored, e.g. to what extent can cities be captured by such data and do data gaps result in bias. This research, positioned at the intersection of spatial data quality and urban analytics, addresses these concerns by proposing a novel and effective method to estimate SVI's element-level coverage in the urban environment. The method integrates the positional relationships between SVI and target elements, as well as the impact of physical obstructions. Expanding the domain of data quality to SVI, we introduce an indicator system that evaluates the extent of coverage, focusing on the completeness and frequency dimensions. Taking London as a case study, three experiments are conducted to identify potential biases in SVI's ability to cover and represent urban environmental elements, using building facades as an example. It is found that despite their high availability along urban road networks, Google Street View covers only 62.4 % of buildings in the case study area. The average facade coverage per building is 12.4 %. SVI tends to over-represent non-residential buildings, thus possibly resulting in biased analyses, and its coverage of environmental elements is position-dependent. The research also highlights the variability of SVI coverage under different data acquisition practices and proposes an optimal sampling interval range of 50–60 m for SVI collection. The findings suggest that while SVI offers valuable insights, it is no panacea – its application in urban research requires careful consideration of data coverage and element-level representativeness to ensure reliable results.
街景图像(SVI)已成为城市研究中一种有价值的数据形式,为绘制和感知城市环境提供了新的方法。然而,关于SVI的代表性、质量和可靠性的基本问题仍未得到充分探讨,例如,这些数据在多大程度上可以捕获城市,以及数据差距是否会导致偏见。本研究定位于空间数据质量和城市分析的交叉点,通过提出一种新的有效方法来估计城市环境中SVI的元素级覆盖范围,解决了这些问题。该方法综合考虑了SVI与目标元素之间的位置关系以及物理障碍物的影响。将数据质量的领域扩展到SVI,我们引入了一个评估覆盖范围的指标体系,重点关注完整性和频率维度。以伦敦为例,以建筑立面为例,进行了三个实验,以确定SVI覆盖和代表城市环境要素的能力的潜在偏差。研究发现,尽管谷歌街景在城市道路网络沿线的可用性很高,但在案例研究区域内,谷歌街景仅覆盖了62.4%的建筑物。每栋建筑的平均立面覆盖率为12.4%。SVI倾向于过度代表非住宅建筑,从而可能导致有偏差的分析,其环境要素的覆盖范围与位置有关。研究还强调了不同数据采集方式下SVI覆盖率的可变性,并提出了SVI采集的最佳采样间隔范围为50-60 m。研究结果表明,虽然SVI提供了有价值的见解,但它不是万灵药——它在城市研究中的应用需要仔细考虑数据覆盖和元素层面的代表性,以确保可靠的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-spatial segregation and human mobility: A review of empirical evidence 社会空间隔离与人类流动:经验证据综述
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2025.102250
Yuan Liao , Jorge Gil , Sonia Yeh , Rafael H.M. Pereira , Laura Alessandretti
Socio-spatial segregation is the physical separation of different social, economic, or demographic groups within a geographic space, often resulting in unequal access to resources, services, and opportunities. The literature has traditionally focused on residential segregation, examining how individuals' residential locations are distributed differently across neighborhoods based on various social attributes, e.g., race, ethnicity, and income. However, this approach overlooks the complexity of spatial segregation in people's daily activities, which often extend far beyond residential areas. Since the 2010s, emerging mobility data sources have enabled a new understanding of socio-spatial segregation by considering daily activities such as work, school, shopping, and leisure visits. From traditional surveys to GPS trajectories, diverse data sources reveal that daily mobility can result in spatial segregation levels that differ from those observed in residential segregation. This literature review focuses on three critical questions: (a) What are the strengths and limitations of segregation research incorporating extensive mobility data? (b) How do human mobility patterns relate to individuals' residential vs. experienced segregation levels? and (c) What key factors explain the relationship between one's mobility patterns and experienced segregation? Our literature review enhances the understanding of socio-spatial segregation at the individual level and clarifies core concepts and methodological challenges in the field. Our review explores studies of key themes: segregation, activity space, co-presence, and the built environment. By synthesizing their findings, we aim to offer actionable insights for reducing segregation.
社会空间隔离是指地理空间内不同社会、经济或人口群体的物理隔离,通常导致获得资源、服务和机会的不平等。传统上,文献关注的是居住隔离,研究个人的居住地点如何根据不同的社会属性(如种族、民族和收入)在不同的社区中分布。然而,这种方法忽视了人们日常活动中空间隔离的复杂性,这些活动往往远远超出了居民区。自2010年代以来,新兴的流动性数据源通过考虑日常活动(如工作、上学、购物和休闲访问),使人们对社会空间隔离有了新的理解。从传统调查到GPS轨迹,不同的数据来源表明,日常流动性可能导致空间隔离水平不同于在居住隔离中观察到的水平。这篇文献综述集中在三个关键问题上:(a)纳入大量流动性数据的隔离研究的优势和局限性是什么?(b)人口流动模式与个人居住隔离程度和经历隔离程度之间的关系如何?(c)哪些关键因素可以解释一个人的流动模式与经历过的种族隔离之间的关系?我们的文献综述提高了对社会空间隔离在个人层面的理解,并澄清了该领域的核心概念和方法论挑战。我们的综述探讨了关键主题的研究:隔离、活动空间、共存和建筑环境。通过综合他们的发现,我们的目标是为减少种族隔离提供可行的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Locating and orienting facilities with anisotropic coverage 对各向异性覆盖的设施进行定位和定位
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2025.102248
Enbo Zhou , Alan T. Murray , Jiwon Baik , Jing Xu
Siting facilities strategically is critical to ensure system design efficiency, enhance social equity and reduce operational costs. Coverage models look to optimize facility configuration, often to minimize the number of necessary facilities or maximize demand served within established proximity standards. Existing location models, such as maximal covering, often assume facility standards to be isotropic, resulting in a perceived circular service area. However, many facility proximity contexts, such as travel time on a transportation network, sound propagation, surveillance cameras and non-vertical lights, have irregular or noncircular service areas, potentially complicating existing coverage modeling approaches. Additionally, anisotropic coverage of facilities raises the issue of how to orient them when sited. The goal of this paper is to extend existing approaches to account for anisotropic coverage, simultaneously locating and orienting facilities. A location model is formulated to address anisotropic service coverage of facilities. A finite dominating set is derived, enabling reformulation as an integer programming problem that can be solved via branch and bound. Applications involving emergence response and surveillance camera placement in both 2-D and 3-D spaces demonstrate the effectiveness of this modeling extension. The resultant anisotropic coverage model addresses a critical aspect of system performance, highlighting that the omission of such considerations greatly overestimates what may be achieved in operation.
战略性地选择设施对于确保系统设计效率、增强社会公平和降低运营成本至关重要。覆盖模型着眼于优化设施配置,通常将必要设施的数量最小化,或在既定的邻近标准内最大限度地满足需求。现有的位置模型,如最大覆盖,通常假设设施标准是各向同性的,导致一个圆形的服务区域。然而,许多设施邻近环境,如交通网络上的行驶时间、声音传播、监控摄像头和非垂直灯,具有不规则或非圆形的服务区,这可能使现有的覆盖建模方法复杂化。此外,设施的各向异性覆盖提出了如何在选址时定位它们的问题。本文的目标是扩展现有的方法来解释各向异性覆盖,同时定位和定向设施。为解决各向异性的设施服务覆盖问题,建立了位置模型。导出了一个有限支配集,从而将其重新表述为一个可通过分支定界求解的整数规划问题。涉及紧急响应和监控摄像头放置在二维和三维空间的应用证明了这种建模扩展的有效性。由此产生的各向异性覆盖模型解决了系统性能的一个关键方面,强调了忽略这些考虑大大高估了在操作中可能实现的目标。
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引用次数: 0
From points to patterns: An explorative POI network study on urban functional distribution 从点到模式:城市功能布局的探索性POI网络研究
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102246
Xuhui Lin , Tao Yang , Stephen Law
In the context of rapid urbanization, urban spaces not only accommodate a growing population but also produces complex socio-economic activities and cultural exchanges. Cities are complex systems, and conventional Points of Interest (POI) analysis methods, which usually assess the density and diversity of POIs in various neighbourhoods, often fails to capture this complexity. To address these limitations, this study introduces a novel approach by transforming POI sequences into words along streets and applying Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) model to identify urban functional regions. Unlike traditional approaches that rely on subjective delineation of administrative boundaries, Voronoi cells or regular grids, our approach identifies street level functional areas that align more closely with human experience. Based on these functional topics, a multi-layered Poi-Topic network is then constructed to help better understand the roles specific POI plays within urban functional regions. This approach effectively distills the spatial distributional patterns of urban functions and provides a micro-level foundations for analysing the contextual interrelationships between POIs, thereby offering a more nuanced understanding of urban spaces. The effectiveness of the approach is demonstrated through the London case study. The results show that the proposed approach can effectively identify and delineate urban functional areas based on the co-occurrence patterns and network structure of POI vocabularies. The network centrality analysis further reveals the structural properties and interaction patterns, providing valuable insights into the roles and positions of different POI types in the functional organization of urban space. This method of using POI sequences and network analysis offers a new tool for urban planners, geospatial scientists, and policymakers, enabling them to understand and plan urban spaces with greater precision.
在快速城市化的背景下,城市空间不仅容纳了不断增长的人口,还产生了复杂的社会经济活动和文化交流。城市是一个复杂的系统,传统的兴趣点(POI)分析方法通常评估不同社区兴趣点的密度和多样性,但往往无法捕捉到这种复杂性。为了解决这些问题,本研究引入了一种新的方法,即将POI序列转化为沿街道的单词,并应用潜在狄利克雷分配(Latent Dirichlet Allocation, LDA)模型来识别城市功能区。与依赖主观划定行政边界、Voronoi细胞或规则网格的传统方法不同,我们的方法确定了更贴近人类经验的街道功能区。基于这些功能主题,构建了多层次的POI - topic网络,以帮助更好地理解特定POI在城市功能区中的作用。这种方法有效地提炼了城市功能的空间分布模式,并为分析poi之间的相互关系提供了微观层面的基础,从而提供了对城市空间更细致入微的理解。通过伦敦的案例研究证明了该方法的有效性。结果表明,基于POI词汇的共现模式和网络结构,该方法可以有效地识别和圈定城市功能区。网络中心性分析进一步揭示了不同POI类型在城市空间功能组织中的作用和地位,揭示了其结构特征和相互作用模式。这种利用POI序列和网络分析的方法为城市规划者、地理空间科学家和政策制定者提供了一种新的工具,使他们能够更精确地理解和规划城市空间。
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引用次数: 0
Capturing the spatial arrangement of POIs in crime modeling 犯罪建模中poi的空间分布
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102245
Lin Liu , Xin Gu , Minxuan Lan , Hanlin Zhou , Debao Chen , Zihan Su
Many scholars have established that facilities represented by Points-of-Interests (POIs) may function as crime generators and attractors, influencing criminal activities. While existing measurements of POIs primarily rely on quantitative counts, this count-based approach overlooks the spatial arrangement of POIs within an area, which can also contribute to crime. This paper introduces two methods to capture the spatial arrangement characteristics of POIs. One is called the normalized Shannon Voronoi Diagram-based Entropy (n_SVDE). A Voronoi diagram is constructed based on the spatial distributions of POIs in an area, resulting in polygons, each corresponding one POI. The area proportions of these polygons are then used to calculate Shannon Entropy. A low entropy value indicates a clustering pattern, while a high value reflects a dispersed distribution. The other is the average nearest neighbor distance ratio (ANN_ratio). It is a ratio of the average of the nearest distances of POIs in an area over the expected average. The effectiveness of these two methods is tested by using negative binominal models to explain street robberies in Cincinnati. Our findings show that the n_SVDE significantly explains street robbery, while the ANN_ratio shows no statistical significance. Specifically, a less clustered spatial distribution of POIs is positively associated with an increased likelihood of crime events, while a highly clustered distribution corresponds to a lower likelihood of crime. This study represents one of the pioneering implementations in explicitly examining the spatial configuration of POIs, contributing new insights into environmental criminology and providing valuable empirical evidence for enhancing place management and optimizing police patrols.
许多学者已经确定,以利益点(poi)为代表的设施可以作为犯罪的产生者和吸引者,影响犯罪活动。虽然现有的poi测量主要依赖于定量计数,但这种基于计数的方法忽略了poi在一个区域内的空间排列,这也可能导致犯罪。本文介绍了两种捕获poi空间排列特征的方法。一种是基于归一化Shannon Voronoi图的熵(n_SVDE)。Voronoi图是基于一个区域内POI的空间分布构造的,生成多边形,每个多边形对应一个POI。然后用这些多边形的面积比例来计算香农熵。低熵值表示聚类模式,高熵值表示分散分布。另一个是平均最近邻距离比(ANN_ratio)。它是一个地区内poi最近距离的平均值与预期平均值之比。通过使用负二项模型来解释辛辛那提街头抢劫,检验了这两种方法的有效性。我们的研究结果表明,n_SVDE显著解释了街头抢劫,而ANN_ratio没有统计学意义。具体来说,poi的空间分布聚集度越低,犯罪事件发生的可能性越高,而高度聚集的分布则对应着犯罪事件发生的可能性越低。该研究是明确考察犯罪地点空间配置的先驱之一,为环境犯罪学提供了新的见解,并为加强场所管理和优化警察巡逻提供了宝贵的经验证据。
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引用次数: 0
Urban attractiveness according to ChatGPT: Contrasting AI and human insights 根据ChatGPT的城市吸引力:对比人工智能和人类的见解
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102243
Milad Malekzadeh, Elias Willberg, Jussi Torkko, Tuuli Toivonen
The attractiveness of urban environments significantly impacts residents' satisfaction with their living spaces and their overall mood, which in turn, affects their health and well-being. Given the resource-intensive nature of gathering evaluations on urban attractiveness through surveys or inquiries from residents, there is a constant quest for automated solutions to streamline this process and support spatial planning. In this study, we applied an off-the-shelf AI model to automate the analysis of urban attractiveness, using over 1800 Google Street View images of Helsinki, Finland. By incorporating the GPT-4 model, we assessed these images through three criteria-based prompts. Simultaneously, 24 participants, categorised into residents and non-residents, were asked to rate the images. To gain insights into the non-transparent decision-making processes of GPT-4, we employed semantic segmentation to explore how the model uses different image features. Our results demonstrated a strong alignment between GPT-4 and participant ratings, although geographic disparities were noted. Specifically, GPT-4 showed a preference for suburban areas with significant greenery, contrasting with participants who found these areas less attractive. Conversely, in the city centre and densely populated urban regions of Helsinki, GPT-4 assigned lower attractiveness scores than participant ratings. The semantic segmentation analysis revealed that GPT-4's ratings were primarily influenced by physical features like vegetation, buildings, and sidewalk. While there was general agreement between AI and human assessments across various locations, GPT-4 struggled to incorporate contextual nuances into its ratings, unlike participants, who considered both context and features of the urban environment. The study suggests that leveraging AI models like GPT-4 allows spatial planners to gather insights into the attractiveness of different areas efficiently. However, caution is necessary, while we used an off-the-shelf model, it is crucial to develop models specifically trained to understand the local context. Although AI models provide valuable insights, human perspectives are essential for a comprehensive understanding of urban attractiveness.
城市环境的吸引力显著影响居民对其居住空间的满意度和整体情绪,进而影响他们的健康和福祉。考虑到通过居民调查或询问收集城市吸引力评估的资源密集型性质,人们不断寻求自动化解决方案来简化这一过程并支持空间规划。在这项研究中,我们使用了一个现成的人工智能模型来自动分析城市吸引力,使用了芬兰赫尔辛基1800多万张街景图像。通过结合GPT-4模型,我们通过三个基于标准的提示来评估这些图像。同时,24名参与者,分为居民和非居民,被要求对这些图像进行评价。为了深入了解GPT-4的非透明决策过程,我们采用语义分割来探索模型如何使用不同的图像特征。我们的研究结果表明,GPT-4和参与者评分之间存在很强的一致性,尽管存在地理差异。具体来说,GPT-4显示出对拥有大量绿色植物的郊区的偏好,与发现这些地区不那么吸引人的参与者形成鲜明对比。相反,在赫尔辛基市中心和人口密集的城区,GPT-4给出的吸引力分数低于参与者的评分。语义分割分析表明,GPT-4的评分主要受植被、建筑物和人行道等物理特征的影响。虽然人工智能和人类在不同地点的评估是一致的,但GPT-4努力将上下文的细微差别纳入其评级,不像参与者那样考虑城市环境的背景和特征。该研究表明,利用像GPT-4这样的人工智能模型,空间规划者可以有效地收集对不同区域吸引力的见解。然而,谨慎是必要的,当我们使用现成的模型时,开发专门训练以理解本地上下文的模型是至关重要的。尽管人工智能模型提供了有价值的见解,但人类的视角对于全面理解城市吸引力至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Generalized geographically and temporally weighted regression 广义地理和时间加权回归
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102244
Hanchen Yu
This paper proposes Generalized Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GGTWR) to address the limitations of Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR). The proposed GGTWR framework encompasses various generalized linear models, e.g. Poisson regression, negative binomial regression, and other models of the exponential distribution family. The paper also shows the classic GTWR bandwidth search algorithm is not suitable for GGTWR and proposes a new bandwidth search algorithm for GGTWR. Several simulation experiments are used to prove that GGTWR can effectively capture spatiotemporal non-stationary. The GGTWR framework enables the estimation of varying regression coefficients that capture spatial and temporal heterogeneity for generalized linear relationships, providing a comprehensive understanding of how predictor variables influence the response variable across different locations and time periods. An application to interprovincial population migration in China using 2005–2020 census data demonstrates the interpretability of the GGTWR framework. GGTWR provides a flexible modeling approach that more accurately explains real-world phenomena.
为了解决地理和时间加权回归(GTWR)的局限性,本文提出了广义地理和时间加权回归(GGTWR)。提出的GGTWR框架包括各种广义线性模型,如泊松回归、负二项回归和指数分布族的其他模型。本文还指出了经典的GTWR带宽搜索算法不适用于GGTWR,并提出了一种新的GTWR带宽搜索算法。多个仿真实验证明了GGTWR能够有效捕获时空非平稳。GGTWR框架能够估计各种回归系数,这些回归系数捕捉广义线性关系的时空异质性,从而全面了解预测变量如何影响不同地点和时间段的响应变量。利用2005-2020年人口普查数据对中国省际人口迁移进行实证分析,证明了GGTWR框架的可解释性。GGTWR提供了一种灵活的建模方法,可以更准确地解释现实世界的现象。
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引用次数: 0
Activity-based simulations for neighbourhood planning towards social-spatial equity 面向社会空间公平的社区规划活动模拟
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102242
S. Somanath , L. Thuvander, J. Gil, A. Hollberg
Urban planners use static analysis techniques like network and proximity analysis to evaluate a neighbourhood's accessibility. However, these techniques do not adequately capture the distributional effects of accessibility on individuals. This paper introduces an activity-based model that simulates residents' daily activities to assess the distributional effects of the built environment (BE) on their accessibility. The model consists of a pipeline to generate a synthetic population covering 96 neighbourhoods in Gothenburg, Sweden, performs origin and destination assignment, and supports four travel modes and different activity types. The synthetic population and the travel demand model are validated across demographic and travel survey data. Additionally, we introduce Trip Completion Rate (TCR), an indicator of distributional accessibility and apply our model to a proposed redevelopment plan for a neighbourhood in Gothenburg to demonstrate its utility.
The results show that techniques used in transportation research can be effectively applied to neighbourhood planning, providing planners with insights into residents' ability to fulfil their daily needs. An advantage of our model is its ability to generate synthetic residents for a neighbourhood and then simulate how changes in the BE affect the resident's ability to achieve their daily needs, thus switching the focus of the analysis from the neighbourhood BE to including the residents that live in it. This paper extends the application of techniques used in transportation planning to neighbourhood planning, thereby empowering urban planners to create more equitable neighbourhoods.
城市规划者使用网络和邻近分析等静态分析技术来评估社区的可达性。然而,这些技术并没有充分捕捉到可达性对个体的分布效应。本文介绍了一个基于活动的模型,通过模拟居民的日常活动来评估建筑环境对可达性的分布效应。该模型由一个管道组成,生成覆盖瑞典哥德堡96个社区的合成人口,执行起源和目的地分配,并支持四种旅行模式和不同的活动类型。通过人口统计和旅游调查数据验证了综合人口和旅游需求模型。此外,我们引入了出行完成率(TCR),这是一个分布可达性的指标,并将我们的模型应用于哥德堡一个社区的拟议重建计划中,以证明其实用性。结果表明,交通研究中使用的技术可以有效地应用于社区规划,为规划者提供有关居民满足其日常需求的能力的见解。我们的模型的一个优点是它能够为社区生成合成居民,然后模拟BE的变化如何影响居民实现其日常需求的能力,从而将分析的重点从社区BE转移到包括居住在其中的居民。本文将交通规划中使用的技术扩展到社区规划中,从而使城市规划者能够创造更公平的社区。
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引用次数: 0
Homogeneity and heterogeneity of diurnal and nocturnal hotspots and the implications for synergetic mitigation in heat-resilient urban planning 白天和夜间热点的同质性和异质性及其对热弹性城市规划中协同缓解的影响
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102241
Huimin Liu , Miao Li , Qingming Zhan , Zhengyue Ma , Bao-Jie He
Many cities are under intense heat challenges with severe environmental, social, and economic consequences, sparking great concern on heat-resilient urban planning, yet normally with biased focus on limited (e.g., diurnal) mitigation needs. Particularly, the recognition of urban thermal hotspots is crucial for adding effective cooling interventions for mitigation and avoiding overheating in newly built areas. However, the hotspots and associated drivers vary across time and space, bringing challenges to urban planners to make win-win decisions to synchronously address diurnal and nocturnal heat stresses through an integrated set of cooling strategies. This study aims to recognize the homogeneity and heterogeneity of diurnal and nocturnal hotspots and interpret principal and synergetic drivers behind them by developing a robust methodological scheme in addressing uncertainties associated with temperature data and analytical models. It explicitly 1) identified summer diurnal and nocturnal hotspots using rigorously screened satellite data; 2) recognized the typical typologies of hotspot-prone urban landscape according to urban composition, morphology, and function; 3) explored the day-night similarities and disparities in major urban factors and their robust effective ranges for synergetic mitigation through multi-model non-linear analysis with diverse machine learning techniques covering random forest, gradient boosting machines, and boosted regression trees. Results revealed that the specific locations and typical urban landscape features varied between diurnal and nocturnal hotspots. Among the six typologies recognized, industrial-dominated ones were more inclined to emerge as diurnal hotspots, while mid- to high-rise and mid-density blocks, with diversified land uses (mostly residential-dominated), tended to become diurnal, and more likely, nocturnal hotspots. All three models reached robust conclusion that urban morphology exhibited significant influence on both diurnal and nocturnal hotspot formation. Although trade-offs remained unavoidable in many cases, synergetic mitigation could be achieved through optimizing area averaged building height below 15 m or above 25 m, and building volume density under 2 % for Wuhan, China. Overall, this study responds to the emerging multidimensional urban science and praxis and extends the conventional one-dimensional planning against urban heat to win-win decisions over both diurnal and nocturnal hotspots. The empirical findings can benefit the development of complete, unbiased, and implementable actions for enhanced climate-resilience.
许多城市面临着严峻的高温挑战,带来了严重的环境、社会和经济后果,引发了人们对耐热城市规划的极大关注,但通常对有限的(例如,白天的)缓解需求有偏见。特别是,认识到城市热热点对于增加有效的降温干预措施以缓解和避免新建地区过热至关重要。然而,热点和相关驱动因素随时间和空间的变化而变化,这给城市规划者带来了挑战,他们需要做出双赢的决策,通过一套综合的冷却策略来同步解决昼夜热应激。本研究旨在通过开发一种强大的方法方案来解决与温度数据和分析模型相关的不确定性,从而认识到昼夜热点和夜间热点的同质性和异质性,并解释其背后的主要和协同驱动因素。它明确地(1)使用严格筛选的卫星数据确定夏季白天和夜间热点;2)根据城市构成、形态和功能,识别出热点易发城市景观的典型类型;3)通过多模型非线性分析,结合随机森林、梯度增强机和增强回归树等多种机器学习技术,探索城市主要因子的昼夜相似性和差异性及其鲁棒有效范围。结果表明,白天和夜间热点的具体位置和典型城市景观特征存在差异。在六种类型中,工业主导的类型更倾向于成为昼夜热点,而土地用途多样化(主要以住宅为主)的中高层和中密度街区更倾向于成为昼夜热点,更有可能成为夜间热点。三种模型都得出了强有力的结论,即城市形态对昼夜热点的形成都有显著影响。虽然在许多情况下,权衡仍然是不可避免的,但对于中国武汉,通过优化建筑平均高度低于15米或高于25米,建筑体积密度低于2%,可以实现协同缓解。总体而言,本研究响应了新兴的多维城市科学和实践,并将传统的针对城市高温的一维规划扩展到针对白天和夜间热点的双赢决策。实证研究结果有助于制定全面、公正和可实施的增强气候适应能力的行动。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative analysis of pedestrian volume models: Agent-based models, machine learning methods and multiple regression analysis 行人量模型的比较分析:基于agent的模型、机器学习方法和多元回归分析
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102238
Lior Wolpert, Itzhak Omer
Pedestrian flow distributions can inform planning for walkability and improve understanding of factors that influence pedestrian activity. However, detailed data is rarely available so pedestrian volume models, commonly relying on the Space Syntax framework, are often utilized to predict pedestrian volumes. This study compares the performance and dominant variables of three modelling families – multiple regression analyses, machine learning models, and agent-based models – in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel. Using 247 flow observations, optimal models from each family were fitted and validated for 3 separate areas that differ in their urban growth and morphological characteristics, as well for the whole city. Results showed that ensemble-based machine learning models were best for city-wide predictions while agent-based models had an advantage at the local scale of neighborhoods – especially in neighborhoods that did not develop in a self-organized process. Regression analyses fell short for all areas, even when using principal component analysis to reduce multicollinearity and overfitting. These differences are attributed to the relative influence of cognitive-behavioral and structural factors on pedestrian flows: agent-based models outperform statistical models in individual areas, where behavior is captured more accurately using a small set of cognitive-behavioral parameters. Statistical models are dominant in the city-wide context, where structural variables can predict aggregate patterns. This is crucially important when evaluating the distribution of pedestrians in a planned urban environment. Overall, our results indicate that stepwise regression are not sufficient for pedestrian volume modelling, that agent-based models better capture complex interactions between independent variables, and that machine learning models have a strong potential for city-wide pedestrian volume modelling.
行人流量分布可以为可步行性规划提供信息,并提高对影响行人活动因素的理解。然而,详细的数据很少可用,因此通常依赖于空间语法框架的行人量模型经常用于预测行人量。本研究比较了以色列特拉维夫-雅福三个建模家族的性能和主导变量——多元回归分析、机器学习模型和基于代理的模型。利用247个流量观测数据,对每个家庭的最优模型进行拟合,并对3个不同城市增长和形态特征的不同区域以及整个城市进行验证。结果表明,基于集成的机器学习模型最适合全市范围的预测,而基于代理的模型在社区的局部规模上具有优势,尤其是在没有以自组织过程发展的社区。回归分析在所有领域都不足,即使使用主成分分析来减少多重共线性和过拟合。这些差异归因于认知行为和结构因素对行人流量的相对影响:基于主体的模型在单个区域优于统计模型,在单个区域中,使用一小组认知行为参数更准确地捕获行为。统计模型在全市范围内占主导地位,其中结构变量可以预测总体模式。在评估规划好的城市环境中的行人分布时,这一点至关重要。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,逐步回归不足以用于行人数量建模,基于智能体的模型可以更好地捕获自变量之间的复杂相互作用,机器学习模型在城市范围内的行人数量建模中具有强大的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
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Computers Environment and Urban Systems
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