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The great equalizer? Mixed effects of social infrastructure on diverse encounters in cities 伟大的均衡器?社会基础设施对城市不同遭遇的混合效应
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102173
Timothy Fraser , Takahiro Yabe , Daniel P. Aldrich , Esteban Moro

Casual encounters with diverse groups of people in urban spaces have been shown to foster social capital and trust, leading to higher quality of life, civic participation, and community resilience to hazards. To promote such diverse encounters and cultivate social ties, policymakers develop social infrastructure sites, such as community centers, parks, and plazas. However, their effects on the diversity of encounters, compared to baseline sites (e.g., grocery stores), have not been fully understood. In this study, we use a large-scale, privacy-enhanced mobility dataset of >120 K anonymized mobile phone users in the Boston area to evaluate the effects of social infrastructure sites on the observed frequencies of inter-income and inter-race encounters. Contrary to our intuition that all social infrastructure sites promote diverse encounters, we find the effects to be mixed and more nuanced. Overall, parks and social businesses promote more inter-income encounters, while community spaces promote more same-income encounters, but each produces opposite effects for inter-race encounters. Parks and community spaces located in low-income neighborhoods were shown to result in higher inter-income and inter-race encounters compared to ordinary sites, respectively, however, their associations were insignificant in high-income areas. These empirical results suggest that the type of social infrastructure and neighborhood traits may alter levels of diverse encounters.

事实证明,在城市空间中与不同人群的偶然相遇能促进社会资本和信任,从而提高生活质量、公民参与度和社区抵御危害的能力。为了促进这种多样化的相遇并培养社会联系,政策制定者开发了社会基础设施场所,如社区中心、公园和广场。然而,与基线场所(如杂货店)相比,这些场所对相遇多样性的影响尚未得到充分了解。在本研究中,我们利用波士顿地区 120 K 匿名手机用户的大规模、隐私增强型移动数据集,评估了社会基础设施对观察到的收入间和种族间相遇频率的影响。与我们认为所有的社会基础设施都会促进多样化相遇的直觉相反,我们发现这种影响是混合的,而且更加细微。总体而言,公园和社会企业促进了更多不同收入人群的相遇,而社区空间则促进了更多相同收入人群的相遇,但两者对不同种族人群的相遇产生了相反的影响。与普通地点相比,位于低收入社区的公园和社区空间分别能带来更多的收入间和种族间接触,但在高收入地区,它们的关联性并不显著。这些实证结果表明,社会基础设施的类型和邻里特征可能会改变不同相遇的水平。
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引用次数: 0
Large-scale integration of remotely sensed and GIS road networks: A full image-vector conflation approach based on optimization and deep learning 大规模整合遥感和 GIS 道路网络:基于优化和深度学习的全图像矢量混合方法
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102174
Zhen Lei , Ting L. Lei

Road networks play an important role in the sustainable development of human society. Conventionally, there are two sources of road data acquisition: road extraction from Remote Sensing (RS) imagery and GIS based map production. Each method has its limitations. The RS road extraction methods are primarily raster-based and the extracted roads are not directly usable in GIS due to their fragmented and noisy nature, while vector-based methods cannot utilize rich raster information. Further more, the vector and raster data can have discrepancies for various reasons. Efficient road data production requires an image-vector conflation process that can match and combine raster and vector-based road data automatically.

In this study, we propose a full image-vector conflation framework that directly integrates image and vector road data by appropriately transforming extracted roads from imagery and establishing a match relation between these roads and a credible target GIS road dataset. Based on analyzing these match relations, we propose new metrics for measuring the degree of agreement between the raster and vector road data. The proposed framework combines state-of-the-art deep learning methods for image segmentation and optimization-based models for object matching. We prepared a large-scale high-resolution road dataset covering two counties in Kansas, US. Using trained models from one of the two counties, we were able to extract road segments in the other county and match them to the TIGER/Line roads.

Our experiments show that conventional performance metrics for road extraction (e.g. IoU) are insufficient for measuring the degree of agreement between image and vector roads as they are pixel-based and are too sensitive to spatial displacement. Instead, the newly defined vector-based agreement metrics are needed for image-vector conflation purposes. Experiments show that, by the vector-based metrics, nearly 90% of GIS road lengths in the study area were extracted and over 90% of extracted roads matched the target GIS roads. The new framework streamlines raster-vector conflation of roads and can potentially expedite relevant geospatial analyses regarding change detection, disaster monitoring and GIS data production, among others.

道路网络在人类社会的可持续发展中发挥着重要作用。传统的道路数据采集方法有两种:从遥感(RS)图像中提取道路数据和基于地理信息系统(GIS)的地图制作。每种方法都有其局限性。遥感图像的道路提取方法主要是基于栅格的,提取的道路因其破碎和噪声大的特点而无法直接用于地理信息系统,而基于矢量的方法则无法利用丰富的栅格信息。此外,由于各种原因,矢量数据和栅格数据可能存在差异。在本研究中,我们提出了一个完整的图像-矢量混合框架,通过对从图像中提取的道路进行适当转换,并在这些道路和可信的目标 GIS 道路数据集之间建立匹配关系,从而直接整合图像和矢量道路数据。在分析这些匹配关系的基础上,我们提出了衡量栅格和矢量道路数据一致性程度的新指标。所提出的框架结合了最先进的图像分割深度学习方法和基于优化的对象匹配模型。我们准备了一个覆盖美国堪萨斯州两个县的大规模高分辨率道路数据集。我们的实验表明,道路提取的传统性能指标(如 IoU)不足以衡量图像与矢量道路之间的一致程度,因为它们是基于像素的,对空间位移过于敏感。相反,新定义的基于矢量的一致性度量则需要用于图像与矢量的混合。实验表明,通过基于矢量的指标,研究区域内近 90% 的 GIS 道路长度被提取出来,超过 90% 的提取道路与目标 GIS 道路相匹配。新框架简化了道路的栅格-矢量混合,有可能加快有关变化检测、灾害监测和 GIS 数据生产等方面的相关地理空间分析。
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引用次数: 0
LCZ-based city-wide solar radiation potential analysis by coupling physical modeling, machine learning, and 3D buildings 通过结合物理建模、机器学习和 3D 建筑,进行基于 LCZ 的全城太阳辐射潜力分析
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102176
Xiana Chen , Wei Tu , Junxian Yu , Rui Cao , Shengao Yi , Qingquan Li

Addressing climate change and urban energy problems is a great challenge. Building Integrated Photovoltaics (BIPV) plays a pivotal role in energy conservation and carbon emission reduction. However, traditional approaches to assessing solar radiation on buildings with physical models are computing-intensive and time-consuming. This study presents a hybrid approach by integrating physical model-based solar radiation calculation and machine learning (ML) for city-wide building solar radiation potential (SRP) analysis. By considering urban morphology, land cover, and meteorological characteristics, local climate zones (LCZs) are classified. The SRP of representative LCZs is precisely evaluated using computing-intensive physical models integrated with 3D building models. A ML model is then developed to effectively predict the SRP of building roofs and facades throughout the city. An experiment was conducted in Shenzhen, China to validate the presented approach. The results demonstrate that Shenzhen has a total annual building solar radiation of 3.281011kwh. Luohu District exhibits the highest SRP density. The LCZ-based analysis highlights that compact low-rise LCZs offer greater SRP for roofs, while compact high-rise LCZs do so for facades. Moreover, BIPV could cut CO2 emission by up to 41.85 million tons annually. Notably, solar PV installation only on rooftops in Shenzhen could meet 87.81% of the city's electricity department's carbon reduction goal. This study provides an alternative for city-wide SRP estimation by combining physical modeling and ML and offers valuable insights for data-driven and model-driven urban planning and management in low-carbon cities.

应对气候变化和城市能源问题是一项巨大挑战。光伏建筑一体化(BIPV)在节能和减少碳排放方面发挥着举足轻重的作用。然而,利用物理模型评估建筑物太阳辐射的传统方法计算密集且耗时。本研究提出了一种混合方法,将基于物理模型的太阳辐射计算与机器学习(ML)相结合,用于城市范围内的建筑物太阳辐射潜力(SRP)分析。通过考虑城市形态、土地覆盖和气象特征,对局部气候区(LCZ)进行了分类。利用计算密集型物理模型与三维建筑模型相结合,对具有代表性的 LCZ 的太阳辐射势进行精确评估。然后开发了一个 ML 模型,用于有效预测全市建筑物屋顶和外墙的 SRP。在中国深圳进行了一项实验,以验证所提出的方法。结果表明,深圳每年的建筑物太阳辐射总量为 3.28∗1011kwh。罗湖区的太阳辐射量密度最高。基于低密度区的分析表明,紧凑型低密度区为屋顶提供了更大的太阳辐射量,而紧凑型高层低密度区则为外墙提供了更大的太阳辐射量。此外,BIPV 每年可减少多达 4185 万吨的二氧化碳排放量。值得注意的是,在深圳,仅在屋顶安装太阳能光伏发电设备,就能满足深圳市电力部门 87.81% 的碳减排目标。这项研究通过物理建模和 ML 的结合,为城市范围内的 SRP 估算提供了一种替代方法,并为低碳城市中数据驱动和模型驱动的城市规划和管理提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
‘Green or short: choose one’ - A comparison of walking accessibility and greenery in 43 European cities 绿色还是矮小:二选一"--43 个欧洲城市的步行可达性和绿化比较
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102168
Elias Willberg , Christoph Fink , Robert Klein , Roope Heinonen , Tuuli Toivonen

Promoting environmentally and socially sustainable urban mobility is crucial for cities, with urban greening emerging as a key strategy. Contact with nature during travel not only enhances well-being but also promotes sustainable behaviour. However, the availability of travel greenery varies, and only recently have new datasets and computational approaches made it possible to compare the conditions in the distribution of travel greenery within and between cities quantitatively. In this study of 43 large European cities, we undertook a comparative analysis of travel greenery availability by using high-resolution spatial data and daily school trips as a marker of a daily travel need. By recognising walking accessibility as the most sustainable and equally available mode of transportation, we first estimated the proportion of the population residing within walking distance to upper secondary schools. Second, we associated the detailed school routes with monthly green cover data and compared the spatial variation in travel greenery availability between European cities, taking seasonal variation into account. Lastly, we analysed spatial inequalities of travel greenery availability within the study cities using the Gini index, the Kolm-Pollak equally-distributed equivalent (EDE) index and Moran's I. Our findings reveal a consistent negative association between accessibility and green cover implying a trade-off between access and greenery. We found large variations between European cities in the walking accessibility of schools, ranging from 44% to 98% of the population being within 1600 m of their school. Moreover, our results show substantial within-city disparities in travel greenery availability in large European cities. We demonstrated methodologically the importance of considering seasonal variations when measuring greenery availability. Our study offers empirical evidence of urban greenery availability from a mobility-focused perspective. It provides a novel understanding with which to support researchers and planners in affording the benefits of nature to more people as they travel.

促进环境和社会可持续的城市交通对城市至关重要,而城市绿化正在成为一项关键战略。在出行过程中与大自然接触不仅能提高幸福感,还能促进可持续行为。然而,旅行绿化的可用性各不相同,直到最近,新的数据集和计算方法才使量化比较城市内部和城市之间的旅行绿化分布条件成为可能。在这项针对 43 个欧洲大城市的研究中,我们利用高分辨率空间数据和作为日常出行需求标志的每日学校出行,对出行绿地的可用性进行了比较分析。由于步行是最可持续且同样可用的交通方式,我们首先估算了居住在高中学校步行距离范围内的人口比例。其次,我们将详细的学校路线与每月的绿化覆盖率数据联系起来,并在考虑季节性变化的情况下,比较了欧洲城市之间出行绿化可用性的空间差异。最后,我们使用基尼系数、科尔姆-波拉克均等分布等值(EDE)指数和莫兰 I 指数分析了研究城市内出行绿化可用性的空间不平等。我们发现,欧洲不同城市的学校步行可达性差异很大,从 44% 到 98% 的人口距离学校在 1600 米以内不等。此外,我们的研究结果表明,在欧洲大城市中,城市内部在出行绿化可用性方面存在巨大差异。我们从方法上证明了在测量绿地可用性时考虑季节变化的重要性。我们的研究从注重流动性的角度提供了城市绿化可用性的经验证据。它为研究人员和规划人员提供了一种新的认识,有助于他们在更多人出行时为他们提供自然的益处。
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引用次数: 0
A physics-guided automated machine learning approach for obtaining surface radiometric temperatures on sunny days based on UAV-derived images 基于无人飞行器获取的图像,采用物理学指导的自动机器学习方法获取晴天的地表辐射温度
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102175
Xue Zhong , Lihua Zhao , Peng Ren , Xiang Zhang , Jie Wang

Urban surface radiometric temperatures, approximate to the surface kinetic temperatures, are predominantly retrieved using satellites or unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and exhibit pronounced spatiotemporal variations. Despite numerous methods ranging from empirical to physical models for obtaining urban microscale surface radiometric temperatures via UAVs, challenges remain given the limited physical significance and substantial professional barriers to method application. Against this background, this study introduces a novel and straightforward approach for acquiring spatially distributed radiometric temperatures on sunny days without understanding the complex radiative transfer process as well as acquiring low-altitude atmospheric parameters. An automated machine learning was employed to train a model capable of efficiently estimating radiometric temperatures. Training and testing datasets were created based on the urban radiative transfer equation, incorporating three independent variables: UAV-measured surface brightness temperature, broadband emissivity, and sky view factor, which collectively represent the diverse thermal environments across different surface characteristics and urban layouts during sunny transitional and summer seasons. The model's accuracy was subsequently confirmed through direct comparisons with radiometric temperatures retrieved from UAV-collected multimodal images and kinetic temperatures synchronously collected on the ground across four periods. The results indicate that AutoGluon achieved high accuracy (MAE: 0.04 K; RMSE: 0.06 K; R2: 0.99). Additional ground measurement validations further demonstrated the model's reliability, with absolute biases on sunlit surfaces maintained within 1.25 K. Given its capability for real-time, high-spatial-resolution mapping of radiometric temperatures (April test: 8.70 cm, July test: 6.89 cm) in urban microscales with considerable heterogeneity, such a method is envisioned to be an effective tool for the dynamic monitoring and management of thermal environments at the microscale level in urban settings.

城市地表辐射温度近似于地表动能温度,主要通过卫星或无人飞行器(UAVs)获取,并表现出明显的时空变化。尽管通过无人飞行器获取城市微尺度地表辐射温度的方法很多,从经验模型到物理模型不等,但由于物理意义有限,且方法应用存在大量专业障碍,因此挑战依然存在。在此背景下,本研究介绍了一种新颖而直接的方法,用于获取晴天的空间分布辐射温度,而无需了解复杂的辐射传递过程以及获取低空大气参数。采用自动机器学习来训练一个能够有效估计辐射温度的模型。根据城市辐射传递方程创建了训练和测试数据集,其中包含三个独立变量:无人机测量的地表亮度温度、宽带辐射率和天空视角系数共同代表了晴朗的过渡季节和夏季不同地表特征和城市布局的各种热环境。随后,通过与无人机采集的多模态图像中获取的辐射温度和地面同步采集的四个时段的动力温度进行直接比较,证实了该模型的准确性。结果表明,AutoGluon 实现了高精度(MAE:0.04 K;RMSE:0.06 K;R2:0.99)。额外的地面测量验证进一步证明了该模型的可靠性,日照表面的绝对偏差保持在 1.25 K 以内。鉴于该模型能够实时、高空间分辨率地绘制具有相当大异质性的城市微尺度辐射温度图(4 月测试:8.70 厘米,7 月测试:6.89 厘米),这种方法有望成为动态监测和管理城市微尺度热环境的有效工具。
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引用次数: 0
Disparities in public transport accessibility in London from 2011 to 2021 2011 至 2021 年伦敦公共交通无障碍程度的差距
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102169
Yuxin Nie , Shivani Bhatnagar , Duncan Smith , Esra Suel

Addressing urban inequalities has become a pressing concern on both the global sustainable development agenda and for local policy. Improving public transport services is seen as an important area where local governments can exert influence and potentially help reduce inequalities. Existing measures of accessibility used to inform decision-making for public transport infrastructure in London show spatial disparities, yet there is a gap in understanding how these disparities vary across demographic groups and how they evolve over time—whether they are improving or worsening. In this study, we investigate the distribution of public transport accessibility based on ethnicity and income deprivation in London over the past decade. We used data from the Census 2011 and 2021 for area-level ethnicity characteristics, English Indices of Deprivation for income deprivation in 2011 and 2019, and public transport accessibility metrics from Transport for London for 2010 and 2023, all at the small area level using lower super output areas (LSOAs) in Greater London. We found that, on average, public transport accessibility in London has increased over the past decade, with 78% of LSOAs experiencing improvements. Public transport accessibility in London showed an unequal distribution in cross-sectional analyses. Lower income neighbourhoods had poorer accessibility to public transportation in 2011 and 2023 after controlling for car-ownership and population density. These disparities were particularly pronounced for underground accessibility. Temporal analyses revealed that existing inequalities with respect to income deprivation and ethnicity are generally not improving. While wealthier groups benefited most from London Underground service improvements; lower income groups benefited more from bus service improvements. We also found that car ownership levels declined in areas with substantial increases to public transport accessibility and major housing developments, but not in those with moderate improvements.

解决城市不平等问题已成为全球可持续发展议程和地方政策的紧迫问题。改善公共交通服务被视为地方政府可以施加影响并有可能帮助减少不平等的一个重要领域。用于伦敦公共交通基础设施决策的现有可达性衡量标准显示出了空间上的差异,但在了解这些差异在不同人口群体间的差异以及它们随着时间的推移是如何演变的--是在改善还是在恶化--方面还存在差距。在本研究中,我们调查了过去十年伦敦基于种族和收入贫困程度的公共交通可达性分布情况。我们使用了 2011 年和 2021 年人口普查数据(地区级种族特征)、2011 年和 2019 年英格兰贫困指数(收入贫困指数)以及伦敦交通局提供的 2010 年和 2023 年公共交通可达性指标。我们发现,平均而言,伦敦的公共交通可达性在过去十年中有所提高,78% 的 LSOAs 得到改善。在横截面分析中,伦敦的公共交通可达性呈现出不平等的分布。在控制了汽车保有量和人口密度后,2011 年和 2023 年低收入社区的公共交通可达性较差。这些差异在地下交通可达性方面尤为明显。时间分析表明,与收入贫困和种族有关的现有不平等现象总体上没有改善。富裕群体从伦敦地铁服务的改善中获益最多;而低收入群体则从公交服务的改善中获益更多。我们还发现,在公共交通便利性大幅提升和大型住房开发的地区,汽车拥有率有所下降,但在改善程度一般的地区,汽车拥有率并没有下降。
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引用次数: 0
Can consumer big data reveal often-overlooked urban poverty? Evidence from Guangzhou, China 消费大数据能否揭示经常被忽视的城市贫困问题?来自中国广州的证据
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102158
Qingyu Wu , Yuquan Zhou , Yuan Yuan , Xi Chen , Huiwen Liu

In the evolving landscape of poverty research, especially in China, the focus has shifted from eliminating absolute poverty to relieving relative poverty. Although much of the existing studies have begun to use built environment big data, such as remote sensing and street view imagery, to measure poverty, peoples' consumption, an essential indicator of poverty receives less attention. This study delves into the relationship and spatial disparity between poverty measured by consumer big data and multidimensional poverty measured based on the census data. We investigated 1731 communities in Guangzhou as case study regions and combined their residents' mobile phone metadata and spatial cost of living data as the input consumer big data. Then, we constructed Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) levels based on the census data and built random forest classification model based on our consumer big data to predict IMD level at community level. The result shows that the predicted poverty of 81.11% communities were generally consistent with the IMD level, indicating that the consumer big data poverty mapping provided a viable poverty measurement from consumer behavior perspective. The SHapley Additive exPlanations' values result shows that Pinduoduo (a low-cost online shopping mobile application) contributes the most to predicted poverty from consumer behavior. For spatial disparities, poverty mapping based on consumer big data is more sensitive to the poverty in suburban developing neighborhoods and affordable housing communities compared with the IMD. The urban poverty mapping based on consumer big data offers a timely portray of communities' socio-economic challenges and consumption-related poverty, and provides support and evidence for accurate urban poverty alleviation strategies.

在不断发展的贫困研究领域,尤其是在中国,研究重点已从消除绝对贫困转向缓解相对贫困。尽管现有研究大多已开始利用遥感和街景图像等建筑环境大数据来衡量贫困,但人们的消费这一贫困的重要指标却较少受到关注。本研究探讨了消费大数据衡量的贫困与基于人口普查数据衡量的多维贫困之间的关系和空间差异。我们以广州市的 1731 个社区为案例研究区域,结合社区居民的手机元数据和空间生活成本数据作为消费大数据的输入。然后,我们基于普查数据构建了多重贫困指数(IMD)水平,并基于消费大数据建立了随机森林分类模型来预测社区层面的多重贫困指数水平。结果显示,81.11% 社区的贫困预测值与 IMD 水平基本一致,表明消费大数据贫困图谱从消费行为角度提供了可行的贫困测量方法。SHapley Additive exPlanations 的数值结果显示,拼多多(一款低成本的在线购物移动应用)对从消费者行为角度预测贫困的贡献最大。在空间差异方面,与 IMD 相比,基于消费大数据的贫困图谱对郊区发展中社区和经济适用房社区的贫困更为敏感。基于消费大数据的城市贫困图谱及时描绘了社区的社会经济挑战和与消费相关的贫困状况,为城市精准扶贫战略提供了支持和证据。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting human mobility flows in response to extreme urban floods: A hybrid deep learning model considering spatial heterogeneity 预测应对极端城市洪水的人员流动:考虑空间异质性的混合深度学习模型
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102160
Junqing Tang , Jing Wang , Jiaying Li , Pengjun Zhao , Wei Lyu , Wei Zhai , Li Yuan , Li Wan , Chenyu Yang

Resilient post-disaster recovery is crucial for the long-term sustainable development of modern cities, and in this regard, predicting the unusual flows of human mobility when disasters hit, could offer insights into how emergency responses could be managed to cope with such unexpected shocks more efficiently. For years, many studies have been dedicated to developing various models to predict human movement; however, abnormal human flows caused by large-scale urban disasters, such as urban floods, remain difficult to capture accurately using existing models. In this paper, we propose a spatiotemporal hybrid deep learning model based on a graph convolutional network and long short-term memory with a spatial heterogeneity component. Using 1.32 billion movement records from smartphone users, we applied the model to predict total hourly flows of human mobility in the “7.20” extreme urban flood in Zhengzhou, China. We found that the proposed model can significantly improve the prediction accuracy (i.e., R2 from 0.887 to 0.951) for during-disaster flows while maintaining high accuracy for before- and after-disaster flows. We also show that our model outperforms selected mainstream machine learning models in every disaster stage in a set of sensitivity tests, which verifies not only its better performance for predicting both usual and unusual flows but also its robustness. The results underscore the effective role of spatial heterogeneity in predicting human mobility flow in a disaster context. This study offers a novel tool for better depicting human mobility under the impact of urban floods and provides useful insights for decision-makers managing how people move in large-scale disaster emergencies.

灾后恢复的韧性对于现代城市的长期可持续发展至关重要,在这方面,预测灾害发生时的异常人流流动,可以为如何管理应急响应以更有效地应对此类突发冲击提供启示。多年来,许多研究致力于开发各种预测人类流动的模型;然而,现有模型仍难以准确捕捉大规模城市灾难(如城市洪水)造成的异常人类流动。在本文中,我们提出了一种时空混合深度学习模型,该模型基于图卷积网络和带有空间异质性组件的长短期记忆。利用来自智能手机用户的 13.2 亿条移动记录,我们将该模型用于预测中国郑州 "7.20 "特大城市洪灾中的每小时总人流量。我们发现,所提出的模型可以显著提高灾中流量的预测准确度(即 R2 从 0.887 提高到 0.951),同时在灾前和灾后流量方面保持较高的准确度。我们还表明,在一系列敏感性测试中,我们的模型在每个灾害阶段都优于选定的主流机器学习模型,这不仅验证了其在预测正常和异常流量方面的更佳性能,还验证了其稳健性。结果凸显了空间异质性在预测灾害背景下人员流动方面的有效作用。这项研究为更好地描述城市洪水影响下的人员流动提供了一种新工具,并为决策者管理大规模灾害紧急情况下的人员流动提供了有用的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Creating spatially complete zoning maps using machine learning 利用机器学习创建空间上完整的分区地图
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102157
Margaret A. Lawrimore , Georgina M. Sanchez , Cayla Cothron , Mirela G. Tulbure , Todd K. BenDor , Ross K. Meentemeyer

Zoning regulates land use and intensity of urban development at the county and municipal level in the United States, promoting economic growth, community health, and environmental preservation. However, limited availability of zoning data at scale hinders regional assessments of regulations and coordinated resilience planning efforts. In this study, we developed an open-source, replicable, and transferable framework to predict spatially complete zoning in areas where zoning information is publicly unavailable. We applied a Hierarchical Random Forest algorithm to predict multilevel zoning districts, including three core districts (residential, non-residential, mixed use) and 13 sub-districts. To mimic real-world data accessibility challenges, we evaluated two models: one filling gaps within a county (within-county) and the other extrapolating for counties with no available data (between-county). We tested our models statewide in North Carolina (NC), USA, and developed the State's first comprehensive zoning map. We found strong predictive performance for our within-county model (∼99% accuracy; macro averaged F1 score of ∼0.97) irrespective of district breakdown (i.e., core and sub). However, our between-county model performance was lower and varied depending on the training counties sampled and the district breakdown considered (19–90% accuracy; macro averaged F1 score of 0.105–0.451). Our framework provides spatially complete zoning maps for previously inaccessible locations, enabling researchers and planners to conduct large-scale comprehensive zoning assessments.

分区对美国县市一级的土地使用和城市发展强度进行管理,促进经济增长、社区健康和环境保护。然而,规模化分区数据的可用性有限,阻碍了区域法规评估和协调复原力规划工作。在本研究中,我们开发了一个开源、可复制、可转移的框架,用于预测未公开分区信息地区的空间完整分区。我们采用层次随机森林算法预测多级分区,包括三个核心区(、、)和 13 个子区。为了模拟现实世界中数据获取方面的挑战,我们评估了两个模型:一个是填补县内空白的模型(县内模型),另一个是推断无可用数据的县(县间模型)。我们在美国北卡罗来纳州(NC)全州范围内测试了我们的模型,并绘制了该州第一张综合分区地图。我们发现,无论地区细分(即核心区和次级区)如何,县内模型都具有很强的预测性能(准确率达 99%;宏观平均 F1 得分达 0.97)。然而,我们的县域间模型性能较低,且因抽样的培训县和考虑的地区细分而异(准确率为 19-90%;宏观平均 F1 得分为 0.105-0.451)。我们的框架为以前无法到达的地点提供了空间上完整的分区地图,使研究人员和规划人员能够进行大规模的综合分区评估。
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引用次数: 0
Self-supervised learning unveils urban change from street-level images 自我监督学习从街道图像中揭示城市变化
IF 7.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102156
Steven Stalder , Michele Volpi , Nicolas Büttner , Stephen Law , Kenneth Harttgen , Esra Suel

Cities around the world are grappling with multiple interconnected challenges, including population growth, shortage of affordable and decent housing, and the need for neighborhood improvements. Despite its critical importance for policy, our ability to effectively monitor and track urban change remains limited. Deep learning-based computer vision methods applied to street-level images have been successful in the measurement of socioeconomic and environmental inequalities but did not fully utilize temporal images to track urban change, as time-varying labels are often unavailable. We used self-supervised methods to measure change in London using 15 million street images taken between 2008 and 2021. Our novel adaptation of Barlow Twins, Street2Vec, embeds urban structure while being invariant to seasonal and daily changes without manual annotations. It outperformed generic pretrained embeddings, successfully identified point-level change in London's housing supply from street-level images, and distinguished between major and minor change. This capability can provide timely information for urban planning and policy decisions towards more liveable, equitable, and sustainable cities.

世界各地的城市都在努力应对多种相互关联的挑战,包括人口增长、经济适用房和体面住房短缺以及改善社区环境的需求。尽管这对政策至关重要,但我们有效监测和跟踪城市变化的能力仍然有限。基于深度学习的计算机视觉方法应用于街道级图像,在测量社会经济和环境不平等方面取得了成功,但并没有充分利用时间图像来跟踪城市变化,因为时变标签往往不可用。我们使用自监督方法,利用 2008 年至 2021 年间拍摄的 1,500 万张街道图像来衡量伦敦的变化。我们对 Barlow Twins 进行了新颖的改编,即 Street2Vec,嵌入了城市结构,同时不受季节和日常变化的影响,无需人工注释。它的表现优于一般的预训练嵌入,成功地从街道级图像中识别出伦敦住房供应的点级变化,并区分出主要变化和次要变化。这种能力可以为城市规划和政策决策提供及时的信息,使城市更加宜居、公平和可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
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Computers Environment and Urban Systems
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