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A hybrid deep learning method for identifying topics in large-scale urban text data: Benefits and trade-offs 在大规模城市文本数据中识别主题的混合深度学习方法:优势与权衡
IF 6.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102131
Madison Lore , Julia Gabriele Harten , Geoff Boeing

Large-scale text data from public sources, including social media or online platforms, can expand urban planners' ability to monitor and analyze urban conditions in near real-time. To overcome scalability challenges of manual techniques for qualitative data analysis, researchers and practitioners have turned to computer-automated methods, such as natural language processing (NLP) and deep learning. However, the benefits, challenges, and trade-offs of these methods remain poorly understood. How much meaning can different NLP techniques capture and how do their results compare to traditional manual techniques? Drawing on 90,000 online rental listings in Los Angeles County, this study proposes and compares manual, semi-automated, and fully automated methods for identifying context-informed topics in unstructured, user-generated text data. We find that fully automated methods perform best with more-structured text, but struggle to separate topics in free-flow text and when handling nuanced language. Introducing a manual technique first on a small data set to train a semi-automated method, however, improves accuracy even as the structure of the text degrades. We argue that while fully automated NLP methods are attractive replacements for scaling manual techniques, leveraging the contextual understanding of human expertise alongside efficient computer-based methods like BERT models generates better accuracy without sacrificing scalability.

来自公共资源(包括社交媒体或在线平台)的大规模文本数据可以提高城市规划者近乎实时地监控和分析城市状况的能力。为了克服人工定性数据分析技术在可扩展性方面的挑战,研究人员和从业人员转向了计算机自动化方法,如自然语言处理(NLP)和深度学习。然而,人们对这些方法的优势、挑战和权衡仍然知之甚少。不同的 NLP 技术能捕捉多少意义,其结果与传统人工技术相比又如何?本研究以洛杉矶县的 90,000 份在线租房信息为基础,提出并比较了人工、半自动和全自动方法,用于识别非结构化用户生成文本数据中的上下文关联主题。我们发现,全自动方法在处理结构化程度较高的文本时表现最佳,但在分离自由流动文本中的主题和处理细微语言时却很吃力。不过,首先在小型数据集上引入人工技术来训练半自动方法,即使文本结构退化,也能提高准确性。我们认为,虽然完全自动化的 NLP 方法可以很好地替代人工技术,但利用人类专业知识对上下文的理解,再加上基于计算机的高效方法(如 BERT 模型),可以在不牺牲可扩展性的情况下提高准确性。
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引用次数: 0
From cell tower location to user location: Understanding the spatial uncertainty of mobile phone network data in human mobility research 从基站定位到用户定位:在人类移动性研究中理解移动电话网络数据的空间不确定性
IF 6.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102130
Xiangkai Zhou , Linlin You , Shuqi Zhong , Ming Cai

Mobile phone network data is a vital source for unveiling human mobility characteristics in accordance with its large-scale spatiotemporal trajectory information. However, mobile phone network data usually records location at the level of cell towers, lacking accurate individual locations. Therefore, the authenticity and credibility of the conclusions drawn from such data are often questioned due to the spatial uncertainty. In this paper, we evaluate the location differences between users and the cell towers during connection establishment. Furthermore, we delve into the representation and contributing factors of spatial uncertainty, including cell tower density, antenna status, and user mobility. Our analysis is based on one-month mobile signaling data and taxi GPS data collected in Foshan (a prefecture-level city in China), which represent two forms of data on the mobility of the same individual. We conclude that to estimate user positions, areas significantly larger than the nearest cell tower are necessary. The influence of tower density and antenna load on connection accuracy does not exhibit a straightforward linear dependency; instead, it fluctuates once a threshold is reached. Connection accuracy is typically higher when users are stationary than when they are in motion. Our findings together indicate that it should carefully assess the accuracy of position estimation when mapping from cell tower location to user location.

移动电话网络数据具有大规模时空轨迹信息,是揭示人类流动特征的重要来源。然而,移动电话网络数据通常记录的是基站层面的位置,缺乏精确的个人位置。因此,由于空间的不确定性,从这些数据中得出的结论的真实性和可信度常常受到质疑。在本文中,我们评估了连接建立过程中用户与基站之间的位置差异。此外,我们还深入研究了空间不确定性的表现形式和成因,包括基站密度、天线状态和用户移动性。我们的分析基于在佛山(中国的一个地级市)收集到的一个月移动信令数据和出租车 GPS 数据,这两种数据代表了关于同一个人移动性的两种形式的数据。我们的结论是,要估算用户位置,需要比最近的基站大得多的区域。信号塔密度和天线负载对连接准确性的影响并不表现为直接的线性关系,相反,一旦达到临界值,这种影响就会波动。用户静止时的连接精度通常高于移动时的连接精度。我们的研究结果表明,在从基站位置映射到用户位置时,应仔细评估位置估计的准确性。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting building characteristics at urban scale using graph neural networks and street-level context 利用图神经网络和街道背景预测城市规模的建筑特征
IF 6.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102129
Binyu Lei , Pengyuan Liu , Nikola Milojevic-Dupont , Filip Biljecki

Building characteristics, such as number of storeys and type, play a key role across many domains: interpreting urban form, simulating urban microclimate or modelling building energy. However, geospatial data on the building stock is often fragmented and incomplete. Here, we propose a novel and easily adaptable method to predict building characteristics in diverse cities, which attempts to mitigate such data gaps. Our method exploits the geospatial connectivity between street-level urban objects and building characteristics by employing graph neural networks, as they can model spatial relationships and leverage them for predictions. We apply this approach in three representative cities (Boston, Melbourne, and Helsinki) that offer a variety of building features as prediction targets (storeys, types, construction period and materials) and diverse urban environments as predictors. Overall, the magnitude of errors is acceptable for a series of use cases. In the prediction of building storeys, an average of 81.83% buildings in three cities have less than one-storey prediction error. We also find that the prediction of building type achieves an average of 88.33% accuracy across three cities. Meanwhile, an average of 70.5% of buildings are correctly classified by construction period in Melbourne and Helsinki, and the building material prediction accuracy is 68% in Helsinki. The results confirm that our approach is adaptable across different urban environments because comparable performance is achieved in the other two cities. Further, we assess the impact of varying local data availability on model performance. Our findings underscore the feasibility of the method in scenarios with sparse building data (10%, 30% and 50% availability). Our graph-based approach advances research on filling in incomplete building semantics from existing datasets, and showcases the potential to enable 3D city modelling. Given the broad applicability of the approach to predicting many building characteristics, diverse downstream applications exist, such as enhancing contemporary urban studies (e.g. exploring streetscapes) and facilitating the development of 3D GIS (e.g. maintaining and updating 3D building settings).

建筑特征,如层数和类型,在许多领域都发挥着关键作用:解释城市形态、模拟城市微气候或建立建筑能源模型。然而,有关建筑存量的地理空间数据往往是零散和不完整的。在此,我们提出了一种新颖且易于调整的方法来预测不同城市的建筑特征,试图缩小这些数据差距。我们的方法采用图神经网络,利用街道级城市对象和建筑特征之间的地理空间连接,因为图神经网络可以建立空间关系模型,并利用它们进行预测。我们在三个具有代表性的城市(波士顿、墨尔本和赫尔辛基)应用了这一方法,这三个城市提供了多种建筑特征作为预测目标(层数、类型、建筑时期和材料),以及多种城市环境作为预测因子。总体而言,误差的大小在一系列使用案例中都是可以接受的。在预测建筑物层数方面,三个城市平均 81.83% 的建筑物的预测误差小于一层。我们还发现,在建筑类型预测方面,三个城市平均达到了 88.33% 的准确率。同时,在墨尔本和赫尔辛基,平均 70.5% 的建筑按建筑时期正确分类,而在赫尔辛基,建筑材料的预测准确率为 68%。这些结果证实了我们的方法可以适应不同的城市环境,因为在其他两个城市也取得了类似的性能。此外,我们还评估了不同的本地数据可用性对模型性能的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在建筑数据稀少的情况下(可用性分别为 10%、30% 和 50%),我们的方法是可行的。我们基于图的方法推进了从现有数据集中填充不完整建筑语义的研究,并展示了实现三维城市建模的潜力。鉴于该方法在预测许多建筑特征方面的广泛适用性,其下游应用领域多种多样,如加强当代城市研究(如探索街道景观)和促进三维地理信息系统的发展(如维护和更新三维建筑设置)。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning to model gentrification: A synthesis of emerging forms 机器学习模拟城市化:新兴形式综述
IF 6.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102119
Mueller Maya , Hoque Simi , Hamil Pearsall

Gentrification is a complex and context-specific process that involves changes in the built environment and social fabric of neighborhoods, often resulting in the displacement of vulnerable communities. Machine Learning (ML) has emerged as a powerful predictive tool that is capable of circumventing the methodological challenges that historically held back researchers from producing reliable forecasts of gentrification. Additionally, computer vision ML algorithms for landscape character assessment, or deep mapping, can now capture a wider range of built metrics related to gentrification-induced redevelopment. These novel ML applications promise to rapidly progress our understandings of gentrification and our capacity to translate academic findings into more productive direction for communities and stakeholders, but with this sudden development comes a steep learning curve. The current paper aims to bridge this divide by providing an overview of recent progress and an actionable template of use that is accessible for researchers across a wide array of academic fields. As a secondary point of emphasis, the review goes over Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tools for gentrification models and opens up discussion on the nuanced challenges that arise when applying black-box models to human systems. Abstract: Gentrification is a complex and context-specific process that involves changes in the built environment and social fabric of neighborhoods, often resulting in the displacement of vulnerable communities. Machine Learning (ML) has emerged as a powerful predictive tool that is capable of circumventing the methodological challenges that historically held back researchers from producing reliable forecasts of gentrification. Additionally, computer vision ML algorithms for landscape character assessment, or deep mapping, can now capture a wider range of built metrics related to gentrification-induced redevelopment. These novel ML applications promise to rapidly progress our understandings of gentrification and our capacity to translate academic findings into more productive direction for communities and stakeholders, but with this sudden development comes a steep learning curve. The current paper aims to bridge this divide by providing an overview of recent progress and an actionable template of use that is accessible for researchers across a wide array of academic fields. As a secondary point of emphasis, the review goes over Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tools for gentrification models and opens up discussion on the nuanced challenges that arise when applying black-box models to human systems.

绅士化是一个复杂而又因地制宜的过程,涉及到建筑环境和社区社会结构的变化,往往会导致弱势社区流离失所。机器学习(ML)已成为一种强大的预测工具,它能够规避方法论上的挑战,而这些挑战一直阻碍着研究人员对城市化进行可靠的预测。此外,用于景观特征评估或深度绘图的计算机视觉 ML 算法现在可以捕捉与城市化引起的再开发相关的更广泛的建筑指标。这些新颖的 ML 应用有望迅速增进我们对城市化的理解,并提高我们将学术研究成果转化为对社区和利益相关者更有成效的指导的能力,但伴随着这一突飞猛进的发展而来的是陡峭的学习曲线。本文旨在弥合这一鸿沟,概述了最新进展,并提供了一个可供各学术领域研究人员使用的可操作模板。作为次要重点,本综述介绍了用于城市化模型的可解释人工智能(XAI)工具,并就将黑盒模型应用于人类系统时出现的细微挑战展开了讨论。摘要:"城市化 "是一个复杂而又因地制宜的过程,它涉及建筑环境和社区社会结构的变化,往往会导致弱势社区流离失所。机器学习(ML)已成为一种强大的预测工具,它能够规避方法论上的挑战,而这些挑战一直阻碍着研究人员对城市化进行可靠的预测。此外,用于景观特征评估或深度绘图的计算机视觉 ML 算法现在可以捕捉与城市化引起的再开发相关的更广泛的建筑指标。这些新颖的 ML 应用有望迅速增进我们对城市化的理解,并提高我们将学术研究成果转化为对社区和利益相关者更有成效的指导的能力,但伴随着这一突飞猛进的发展而来的是陡峭的学习曲线。本文旨在弥合这一鸿沟,概述了最新进展,并提供了一个可供各学术领域研究人员使用的可操作模板。作为次要重点,本综述介绍了用于城市化模型的可解释人工智能(XAI)工具,并就将黑箱模型应用于人类系统时出现的细微挑战展开了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
From hearing to seeing: Linking auditory and visual place perceptions with soundscape-to-image generative artificial intelligence 从听觉到视觉:用声景图生成人工智能将听觉和视觉场所感知联系起来
IF 6.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102122
Yonggai Zhuang , Yuhao Kang , Teng Fei , Meng Bian , Yunyan Du

People experience the world through multiple senses simultaneously, contributing to our sense of place. Prior quantitative geography studies have mostly emphasized human visual perceptions, neglecting human auditory perceptions at place due to the challenges in characterizing the acoustic environment vividly. Also, few studies have synthesized the two-dimensional (auditory and visual) perceptions in understanding human sense of place. To bridge these gaps, we propose a Soundscape-to-Image Diffusion model, a generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) model supported by Large Language Models (LLMs), aiming to visualize soundscapes through the generation of street view images. By creating audio-image pairs, acoustic environments are first represented as high-dimensional semantic audio vectors. Our proposed Soundscape-to-Image Diffusion model, which contains a Low-Resolution Diffusion Model and a Super-Resolution Diffusion Model, can then translate those semantic audio vectors into visual representations of place effectively. We evaluated our proposed model by using both machine-based and human-centered approaches. We proved that the generated street view images align with our common perceptions, and accurately create several key street elements of the original soundscapes. It also demonstrates that soundscapes provide sufficient visual information places. This study stands at the forefront of the intersection between generative AI and human geography, demonstrating how human multi-sensory experiences can be linked. We aim to enrich geospatial data science and AI studies with human experiences. It has the potential to inform multiple domains such as human geography, environmental psychology, and urban design and planning, as well as advancing our knowledge of human-environment relationships.

人们通过多种感官同时体验世界,从而形成我们的地方感。之前的定量地理研究大多强调人类的视觉感知,而忽视了人类在地方的听觉感知,原因是很难生动地描述声学环境的特征。此外,很少有研究综合二维(听觉和视觉)感知来理解人类的地方感。为了弥补这些差距,我们提出了一个 "声景到图像扩散模型",这是一个由大型语言模型(LLM)支持的生成式人工智能(AI)模型,旨在通过生成街景图像将声景可视化。通过创建音频图像对,声学环境首先被表示为高维语义音频向量。我们提出的声景到图像扩散模型包含一个低分辨率扩散模型和一个超分辨率扩散模型,可以有效地将这些语义音频向量转化为地点的视觉表征。我们采用基于机器和以人为本的方法对我们提出的模型进行了评估。我们证明,生成的街景图像与我们的共同感知一致,并准确地创建了原始声音景观的几个关键街道元素。这也证明了声音景观能提供足够的视觉信息。这项研究站在了生成式人工智能与人文地理学交叉领域的前沿,展示了人类的多感官体验是如何联系在一起的。我们的目标是用人类体验丰富地理空间数据科学和人工智能研究。它有可能为人文地理学、环境心理学、城市设计与规划等多个领域提供信息,并推进我们对人类与环境关系的认识。
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引用次数: 0
How shareable is your trip? A path-based analysis of ridesplitting trip shareability 您的旅行可共享程度如何?基于路径的搭乘旅行可共享性分析
IF 6.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102120
Guan Huang , Zhan Zhao , A.G.O. Yeh

As an emerging sustainable mobility solution, ridesplitting services match passengers in a similar direction with a single vehicle to reduce fleet size, vehicle kilometers traveled and traffic emissions. However, these benefits can only be achieved with successful matching (sharing) between passengers, which emphasizes the importance of a comprehensive understanding of the matching success rate, i.e., shareability. Despite extensive research into the determinants of shareability, existing literature either relies on simulations and theoretical models with limited empirical validation, or focuses on system-level shareability for the whole market, overlooking the significant spatiotemporal variability of shareability across trips. This study aims to fill these gaps by proposing a path-based model that leverages real-world ridesplitting data to quantify the determinants of shareability at a finer spatiotemporal granularity. Utilizing data from New York City, our results show that: (1) shareability is spatiotemporally heterogeneous; (2) high demand intensity, especially the intensity of medium−/short-distance trips, contributes to greater shareability; (3) the positive contribution of demand intensity diminishes as it increases; (4) a higher road speed improves shareability; (5) excessive one-way street and over-dense street network are related to low shareability. These findings validate and enrich prior findings, which can be used to inform the future development of ridesplitting services.

作为一种新兴的可持续交通解决方案,分乘服务将方向相近的乘客与单一车辆进行匹配,以减少车队规模、车辆行驶公里数和交通排放。然而,这些好处只有在乘客之间成功匹配(共享)的情况下才能实现,这就强调了全面了解匹配成功率(即共享性)的重要性。尽管对可共享性的决定因素进行了广泛研究,但现有文献要么依赖于经验验证有限的模拟和理论模型,要么侧重于整个市场的系统级可共享性,忽视了不同行程之间可共享性的显著时空变异性。本研究旨在填补这些空白,提出一种基于路径的模型,利用现实世界的搭乘分流数据,以更精细的时空粒度量化共享性的决定因素。利用纽约市的数据,我们的研究结果表明(1) 共享性具有时空异质性;(2) 高需求强度,尤其是中短途出行强度,有助于提高共享性;(3) 需求强度的积极贡献随着需求强度的增加而减小;(4) 较高的道路速度可提高共享性;(5) 过多的单行道和过于密集的街道网络与低共享性有关。这些研究结果验证并丰富了之前的研究结果,可用于指导分乘服务的未来发展。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping Great Britain's semantic footprints through a large language model analysis of Reddit comments 通过对 Reddit 评论的大型语言模型分析绘制大不列颠的语义足迹图
IF 6.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102121
Cillian Berragan , Alex Singleton , Alessia Calafiore , Jeremy Morley

Observed regional variation in geotagged social media text is often attributed to dialects, where features in language are assumed to exhibit region-specific properties. While dialects are seen as a key component in defining the identity of regions, there are a multitude of other geographic properties that may be captured within natural language text. In our work, we consider locational mentions that are directly embedded within comments on the social media website Reddit, providing a range of associated semantic information, and enabling deeper representations between locations to be captured. Using a large corpus of geoparsed Reddit comments from UK-related local discussion subreddits, we first extract embedded semantic information using a large language model, aggregated into local authority districts, representing the semantic footprint of these regions. These footprints broadly exhibit spatial autocorrelation, with clusters that conform with the national borders of Wales and Scotland. London, Wales, and Scotland also demonstrate notably different semantic footprints compared with the rest of Great Britain.

在地理标记的社交媒体文本中观察到的区域差异通常归因于方言,而方言中的语言特点被认为具有特定区域的属性。虽然方言被认为是定义地区特征的关键要素,但自然语言文本中还可以捕捉到许多其他地理属性。在我们的工作中,我们考虑了直接嵌入社交媒体网站 Reddit 评论中的地点提及,提供了一系列相关的语义信息,并能够捕捉地点之间更深层次的表征。我们首先使用一个大型语言模型提取嵌入的语义信息,并将其汇总到地方当局地区,代表这些地区的语义足迹。这些足迹大致呈现出空间自相关性,其集群与威尔士和苏格兰的国界一致。与英国其他地区相比,伦敦、威尔士和苏格兰也表现出明显不同的语义足迹。
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引用次数: 0
Indoor mobility data encoding with TSTM-in: A topological-semantic trajectory model 使用 TSTM-in 进行室内移动数据编码:拓扑语义轨迹模型
IF 6.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102114
Jianxin Qin , Lu Wang , Tao Wu , Ye Li , Longgang Xiang , Yuanyuan Zhu

The growing ubiquity of location/activity sensing technologies has created unprecedented opportunities for research on human spatiotemporal interaction behavior in mobile environments. However, existing studies of human mobility need to sufficiently account for the association of indoor scenes with the semantics of human behavior. This paper introduces TSTM-in, a trajectory model that combines trajectory data and indoor scenes using topological semantic modeling, semantic trajectory reconstruction, and trajectory queries. The model effectively manages indoor semantic trajectory data and extracts topological behavioral semantics by incorporating important points across a trajectory to reflect the semantics of key points connected to indoor corridors and regions. These topological semantics facilitate the creation of a flexible intersection-based indoor semantic trajectory reconstruction. Reconstructed semantic trajectories represent human mobility by integrating semantic data sets along the time axis. A case study with real-world trajectory queries from travelers demonstrates the model's effectiveness. TSTM-in realizes the association of indoor scenes with human behavior semantics, supporting the construction of mobile object management applications for indoor scenes and providing scientific and reasonable spatiotemporal semantic information description for location service-based intelligent cities.

位置/活动感应技术的日益普及为移动环境中人类时空互动行为的研究创造了前所未有的机会。然而,现有的人类移动研究需要充分考虑室内场景与人类行为语义之间的关联。本文介绍的 TSTM-in 是一种轨迹模型,它通过拓扑语义建模、语义轨迹重建和轨迹查询将轨迹数据和室内场景结合起来。该模型可有效管理室内语义轨迹数据,并通过整合轨迹上的重要点来提取拓扑行为语义,以反映与室内走廊和区域相连的关键点的语义。这些拓扑语义有助于创建灵活的基于交叉点的室内语义轨迹重建。通过沿时间轴整合语义数据集,重建的语义轨迹代表了人类的移动性。一项针对旅行者真实轨迹查询的案例研究证明了该模型的有效性。TSTM-in 实现了室内场景与人类行为语义的关联,支持构建室内场景移动对象管理应用,为基于位置服务的智慧城市提供科学合理的时空语义信息描述。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring two decades of urban spatial structure: The evolution of agglomeration economies in American metros 衡量二十年的城市空间结构:美国大都市集聚经济的演变
IF 6.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102116
Elijah Knaap, Sergio Rey

In this paper we examine the evolution of urban spatial structure in U.S. metropolitan areas over nearly two decades. Using annual block-level data from the Longitudinal Employment Household Dynamics database, we introduce a technique for identifying regional employment centers that both adheres to urban economic theory and pays homage to classic contributions in local spatial statistics. Centers are defined as local spatial statistical outliers on the network-based job accessibility surface. We proceed by identifying the location and employment makeup of centers for each metropolitan region in the USA from 2002 to 2019 and discuss emergent trends across time and space. Critically, we not only explore empirical patterns, but we discuss the relationship between polycentricity, the evolution of urbanization and localization economies, and regional specialization. We confirm again the pattern of polycentricity in U.S. metros and show that the structure of metropolitan employment is largely stable over time. We also document a continuing trend away from urbanization economies into more specialized subcenters.

在本文中,我们研究了近二十年来美国大都市地区城市空间结构的演变。利用纵向就业家庭动态数据库中的年度街区级数据,我们引入了一种识别区域就业中心的技术,该技术既符合城市经济理论,又向当地空间统计领域的经典贡献致敬。中心被定义为基于网络的就业可达性表面上的地方空间统计异常值。我们首先确定了 2002 年至 2019 年美国各大都市地区的中心位置和就业构成,并讨论了跨时空的新兴趋势。重要的是,我们不仅探讨了经验模式,还讨论了多中心化、城市化和本地化经济的演变以及区域专业化之间的关系。我们再次证实了美国大都市的多中心化模式,并表明大都市的就业结构随着时间的推移基本保持稳定。我们还记录了从城市化经济向更加专业化的次中心转移的持续趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial constraints in cellular automata-based urban growth models: A systematic comparison of classifiers and input urban maps 基于细胞自动机的城市增长模型中的空间约束:分类器与输入城市地图的系统比较
IF 6.8 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2024.102118
Cassiano Bastos Moroz, Tobias Sieg, Annegret H. Thieken

Spatial constraints are fundamental to integrating the spatial suitability to urbanization into Cellular Automata-based (CA) urban growth models, but there is a lack of consensus on the optimal methods for this purpose. This study compared the performance of three probabilistic classifiers to generate suitability surfaces for CA-based urban growth models: Logistic Regression using Generalized Linear Model (LR-GLM), Logistic Regression using Generalized Additive Model (LR-GAM), and Random Forest (RF). The study also evaluated the sensitivity of these classifiers to the input urban map adopted as a dependent variable. For this analysis, seven maps were tested: the historical urban map containing the entire extent of the urban footprint, and six additional maps containing only the recently urbanized areas over timeframes ranging from one year up to two decades. The comparison evaluated the goodness of fit of the suitability surfaces and the spatial accuracy of the urban growth simulations, using five large Brazilian cities as case study areas. The results revealed that the RF classifier significantly outperformed the LR-based classifiers. However, this overperformance was more prominent when incorporating the new urban cells over the last one to two decades of growth as input urban maps. In addition, the sensitivity analysis of the input urban maps emphasized the benefits of calibrating the classifier using the recently urbanized cells rather than the historical urban extent. We consistently observed these results concerning classifiers and input urban maps across all five case study areas. Thus, the RF classifier combined with a training dataset containing the newly urbanized areas over at least the last 10 years systematically resulted in the suitability surfaces with the highest predictability among all tested scenarios.

空间约束是将城市化空间适宜性纳入基于蜂窝自动机(CA)的城市增长模型的基本要素,但对于实现这一目的的最佳方法还缺乏共识。本研究比较了三种概率分类器的性能,以便为基于蜂窝自动机的城市增长模型生成适宜性曲面:使用广义线性模型的逻辑回归(LR-GLM)、使用广义加法模型的逻辑回归(LR-GAM)和随机森林(RF)。研究还评估了这些分类器对作为因变量的输入城市地图的敏感性。在这项分析中,测试了七张地图:包含整个城市足迹范围的历史城市地图,以及另外六张仅包含最近城市化地区的地图,时间范围从一年到二十年不等。比较以巴西五个大城市为案例研究区域,评估了适宜性表面的拟合度和城市增长模拟的空间准确性。结果显示,射频分类器的性能明显优于基于 LR 的分类器。然而,当将过去一二十年发展中的新城市单元作为输入城市地图时,这种超常表现更为突出。此外,对输入城市地图的敏感性分析强调了使用最近城市化的小区而不是历史城市范围来校准分类器的好处。在所有五个案例研究区域中,我们始终观察到这些有关分类器和输入城市地图的结果。因此,射频分类器与包含至少过去 10 年新城市化区域的训练数据集相结合,系统地生成了所有测试方案中预测性最高的适宜性表面。
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Computers Environment and Urban Systems
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