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Climate change and growth 气候变化与增长
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-02-17 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad008
N. Stern, J. Stiglitz
Contrary to much of the conventional wisdom, taking stronger actions on climate change may enhance economic growth, even as conventionally measured, but even more so, in terms of societal well-being. We identify the flaws in the models and analyses which contend that there must be a trade-off and explain the mechanisms and dynamic forces which have the potential to enhance growth. Critically, there are numerous market failures that result in suboptimal economic performance. We explain how addressing climate change reduces the bite of these failures and enhances the incentives and political will to address them. We identify packages of policies that alleviate market failures, enhance growth, and reduce carbon emissions. Finally, we argue that the green transition is coming at a time when, both because of persistent deficiencies of aggregate demand and advances in technology, including artificial intelligence and robotization, the macroeconomic opportunity costs of strong climate actions may be especially low and the benefits particularly high.
与许多传统观点相反,对气候变化采取更强有力的行动可能会促进经济增长,即使是传统的衡量标准,但在社会福祉方面更是如此。我们发现了模型和分析中的缺陷,这些模型和分析认为必须存在权衡,并解释了具有促进增长潜力的机制和动力。至关重要的是,有许多市场失灵导致次优经济表现。我们解释了应对气候变化如何减少这些失败的影响,并增强解决这些问题的动机和政治意愿。我们确定了缓解市场失灵、促进增长和减少碳排放的一揽子政策。最后,我们认为,由于总需求的持续不足和技术的进步,包括人工智能和机器人化,绿色转型正在到来,强有力的气候行动的宏观经济机会成本可能特别低,收益可能特别高。
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引用次数: 1
How Does Financial Development Affect the Growth–Inequality Nexus? Evidence from a PCHVAR Analysis 金融发展如何影响增长-不平等关系?PCHVAR分析的证据
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-02-07 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad007
Christian R. Proaño, Juan Carlos Peña, Sven Schnellbacher
While the important role of financial development for economic growth, as well as for its effect on economic inequality, has been widely acknowledged by the literature, far less attention has been put on understanding how growth and inequality may be differently influenced by alternative types of financial development. Against this background, we investigate the impact of different types of financial development on the growth–inequality nexus with a panel of 110 advanced and emerging economies and yearly data ranging from 1980 to 2016. Using the panel conditionally homogeneous vector-autoregressive (PCHVAR) model of Georgiadis (2014); Georgiadis (2012), we find that the overall level of financial development (measured by the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s financial development index) has a significant impact on the growth–inequality nexus. Specifically, our results reveal that a higher level of overall financial development results in more equitable economic growth. Furthermore, an increase in the income share of the top 10% income earners has a significant negative impact on economic growth for low and high levels of overall financial development but is insignificant for middle levels. By looking at more disaggregated subindices of financial development, we find that economic growth increases the income share of the low 10% income earners when financial institutions and markets are deeper and financial markets are more efficient. Thus, our results call for a more differentiated view on the concept of financial development in order to derive policy measures aimed at different parts of the society.
尽管金融发展对经济增长的重要作用及其对经济不平等的影响已被文献广泛承认,但人们对理解其他类型的金融发展如何对增长和不平等产生不同影响的关注要少得多。在此背景下,我们对110个发达和新兴经济体以及1980年至2016年的年度数据进行了调查,研究了不同类型的金融发展对增长-不平等关系的影响。使用Georgiadis(2014)的面板条件齐次向量自回归(PCHVAR)模型;Georgiadis(2012),我们发现金融发展的总体水平(以国际货币基金组织(IMF)的金融发展指数衡量)对增长-不平等关系有重大影响。具体而言,我们的研究结果表明,更高水平的整体金融发展会带来更公平的经济增长。此外,收入最高的10%收入者的收入份额的增加对整体金融发展的低水平和高水平的经济增长都有显著的负面影响,但对中等水平的人来说是微不足道的。通过研究金融发展的更多分类指标,我们发现,当金融机构和市场更深入,金融市场更有效率时,经济增长会增加低10%收入者的收入份额。因此,我们的研究结果要求对金融发展的概念有更不同的看法,以便制定针对社会不同阶层的政策措施。
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引用次数: 2
Schumpeter’s insights for monetary macroeconomics and the theory of financial crises 熊彼特对货币宏观经济学和金融危机理论的见解
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-02-07 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad006
P. Bofinger, Lisa Geißendörfer, Thomas Haas, Fabian Mayer
The purpose of this paper is to show that Schumpeter can offer important insights for macroeconomic theory today. This applies especially to his distinction between a “real analysis” and a “monetary analysis,” as he calls it, and its implications for monetary macroeconomics, especially the theories of financial crises at the national and the global levels. The main problem of the “real analysis” is the identity of the financial sphere with the real sphere. The consequence of this narrow view is the inability to understand the dynamics of a monetary economy, which is the main cause for financial crises. The flaws of the real analysis manifest themselves also at the global level. The Feldstein–Horioka puzzle and the Lucas paradox are obvious “anomalies” of this paradigm. Models based on the real analysis are unable to explain the extent and even direction of international capital flows. Thus, the economics profession was unable to see the risks that were accumulating in the international financial system before the outbreak of the Great Financial Crisis.
本文的目的是表明熊彼特能够为今天的宏观经济理论提供重要的见解。这尤其适用于他所说的“真实分析”和“货币分析”之间的区别,以及它对货币宏观经济学的影响,尤其是国家和全球层面的金融危机理论。“真实分析”的主要问题是金融领域与真实领域的一致性。这种狭隘观点的后果是无法理解货币经济的动态,而货币经济是金融危机的主要原因。真实分析的缺陷也在全球层面上显现出来。Feldstein–Horioka难题和Lucas悖论是这种范式的明显“反常现象”。基于真实分析的模型无法解释国际资本流动的程度甚至方向。因此,经济学界无法看到大金融危机爆发前国际金融体系中积累的风险。
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引用次数: 2
Understanding work in the online platform economy: the narrow, the broad, and the systemic perspectives 理解在线平台经济中的工作:狭义、广义和系统视角
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad005
Angela Garcia Calvo, Martin Kenney, John Zysman
Abstract This critical review of research on platform-mediated work argues that platform work studies are too focused on gig and remote work platforms. We introduce a framework that identifies three perspectives on how platforms reorganize work: narrow, broad, and systemic. This framework is used to examine the impact of platform-mediated work on four different aspects of work: management power, work processes, social protection and labor rights, and skills and career prospects.
这篇关于平台中介工作研究的批判性综述认为,平台工作研究过于关注零工和远程工作平台。我们引入了一个框架,该框架确定了平台如何重组工作的三个视角:狭义、广义和系统性。该框架用于研究平台中介工作对工作的四个不同方面的影响:管理权力、工作流程、社会保护和劳工权利、技能和职业前景。
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引用次数: 0
Joining and exiting the value chain of foreign multinationals and performance of their local suppliers: evidence from interfirm transaction data 外资跨国公司价值链的加入与退出及其本地供应商绩效:来自企业间交易数据的证据
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad004
J. Masso, Priit Vahter
This paper investigates the productivity effects for domestic suppliers from joining and exiting the value chains of foreign-owned multinational enterprises (MNEs). Our econometric analysis is based on firm-to-firm transactions recorded in the value-added tax declarations’ data from Estonia and use of propensity score matching and difference-in-difference regression approach. The treatment analysis based on period 2015–2019 suggests that starting to supply the foreign-owned firms initially boosts the value added per employee of the domestic firms, including the effects on the scale of production and the capital–labor ratio. These first linkages to the foreign-owned MNEs do not affect the total factor productivity (TFP) of domestic firms, suggesting that the TFP effects take time to materialize. We find no significant positive effects on the second-tier suppliers: the positive effects are limited to the first-tier suppliers with direct links to foreign-owned firms. One novel result is the evidence that the productivity of suppliers does not fall, on average, after decreasing or ending supplier relationships with the foreign-owned firms. However, this average effect hides significant heterogeneity. Domestic firms with prior high levels of productivity and those at the time of exit from the MNE relationship start to export, gain in productivity in next periods, whereas the firms with low prior productivity levels lose.
本文研究了加入和退出外资跨国企业价值链对国内供应商生产率的影响。我们的计量经济分析是基于爱沙尼亚增值税申报数据中记录的企业间交易,并使用倾向得分匹配和差异中差异回归方法。基于2015-2019年期间的待遇分析表明,开始向外资企业供应,首先提高了内资企业的人均增加值,包括对生产规模和资本劳动比率的影响。这些与外资跨国公司的最初联系并不影响国内公司的全要素生产率(TFP),这表明TFP效应需要时间才能实现。我们发现对二级供应商没有显著的正向影响,正向影响仅限于与外资企业有直接联系的一级供应商。一个新颖的结果是,有证据表明,在减少或终止与外资企业的供应商关系后,供应商的生产率平均不会下降。然而,这种平均效应隐藏了显著的异质性。先前具有高生产率水平的国内公司和那些在退出跨国公司关系时开始出口的公司,在下一时期的生产率会增加,而先前生产率水平较低的公司则会损失。
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引用次数: 0
A firm’s creation of proprietary knowledge linked to the knowledge spilled over from its research publications: the case of artificial intelligence 公司创造的专有知识与其研究出版物溢出的知识相关联:人工智能的例子
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad002
S. Jee, S. Sohn
This study investigates the mechanism by which knowledge spilled over from a firm’s research publication consequently spills into the focal firm as a form of proprietary knowledge when it is engaged in an emerging science-related technology. We define the knowledge spillover pool (KSP) as an evolving group of papers citing a paper published by a firm. Focusing on the recent development of artificial intelligence, on which firms have published actively, we compare the KSP conditions related to the increase in patents created by the focal firm with those created by external actors. Using a Cox regression and subsequent contrast test, we find that both an increasing KSP and an increasing similarity between the idea published by the focal firm and KSP are positively related to the proprietary knowledge creation of both the focal firm and external actors, with such relations being significantly stronger for the focal firm than for external actors. On the contrary, an increasing proportion of industry papers in the KSP are positively associated with the proprietary knowledge creation not only by the focal firm but also by external actors to a similar degree. We contribute to the literature on selective revealing and to the firms’ publishing strategies.
本研究探讨了当企业从事新兴科学相关技术时,从企业研究出版物溢出的知识最终以专有知识的形式溢出到焦点企业的机制。我们将知识溢出池(KSP)定义为引用某一公司发表的论文的一组不断发展的论文。关注公司积极发表的人工智能的最新发展,我们比较了与焦点公司创造的专利增加相关的KSP条件与外部参与者创造的专利增加相关的KSP条件。通过Cox回归和随后的对比检验,我们发现KSP的增加以及焦点企业和KSP发表的想法之间的相似性的增加与焦点企业和外部行动者的专有知识创造呈正相关,并且这种关系在焦点企业中明显强于外部行动者。相反,KSP中越来越多的行业论文不仅与焦点公司的专有知识创造呈正相关,而且与外部参与者的专有知识创造呈正相关。我们为选择性披露和公司出版策略的文献做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Industrial policy, local firm growth paths, and capability building in low-income countries: lessons from Ethiopia’s floriculture export sector 低收入国家的产业政策、当地企业增长路径和能力建设:埃塞俄比亚花卉出口部门的经验教训
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-01-27 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad003
A. T. Melese, Lindsay Whitfield
The industrial policy literature has made important contributions to understanding how to catalyze industrialization, but it tends to focus more on the industrial policies required to incentivize learning than on studying firm-level learning dynamics and investments in technological capabilities. Furthermore, global value chain studies on export sectors in low-income countries rarely consider whether local firms are part of broader business groups and if so, how that position within business groups affects local firms’ business strategies regarding the global supply chain in question as well as investments outside it. This article examines local firms’ investments in a new export industry, and they are shaped by dynamics linked to their family business groups, industrial policies, and the wider national economic and political contexts of low-income countries. It does so through a case study of Ethiopia and the emergence of its floriculture export industry. The article explains firm-level motivations in acquiring knowledge and building capabilities as well as their export trajectories and firm growth paths and how they are shaped by owners’ decisions related to the overall business group. It argues that industrial policies need to consider not only the existing capabilities, organizations, and networks of local firms but also tailor industrial policies to the potential of the family business groups to drive capability building in new industries.
产业政策文献对理解如何催化工业化做出了重要贡献,但它往往更多地关注激励学习所需的产业政策,而不是研究企业层面的学习动态和技术能力投资。此外,对低收入国家出口部门的全球价值链研究很少考虑当地公司是否是更广泛的企业集团的一部分,如果是,企业集团内的这种地位如何影响当地公司关于所涉全球供应链的商业战略以及对其外的投资。本文考察了当地企业对新出口行业的投资,这些投资是由其家族企业集团、产业政策以及低收入国家更广泛的国家经济和政治背景所决定的。它通过对埃塞俄比亚及其花卉出口业的兴起进行案例研究来做到这一点。这篇文章解释了企业层面获取知识和建立能力的动机,以及它们的出口轨迹和企业增长路径,以及所有者与整个企业集团相关的决策如何塑造它们。它认为,产业政策不仅需要考虑当地企业的现有能力、组织和网络,还需要根据家族企业集团的潜力制定产业政策,以推动新行业的能力建设。
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引用次数: 0
A “poor man’s carriage”: system building and social interactivity in UK urban tramway development, 1860–1890 “穷人的马车”:1860-1890年英国城市有轨电车发展中的系统建设和社会互动
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtac063
A. Coles, I. Clarke, Athena Piterou
Large technical systems (LTS) are socially structuring, reconfiguring governance practices and social norms. In this article, socio-technical dynamics that influenced the emergence of UK urban tramways, as examples of local LTS, are investigated, considering the role of dominant discourses in normalizing new systems. It examines how the 1870 Tramways Act attempted to adjudicate between competing interests, which shaped the context for new tramway routes. The concept of system builders is used to explain how new projects recruit public support. This case identifies constraints faced by system builders and indicates that their interaction with prevailing socio-political contexts impacts the system development and stability.
大型技术系统(LTS)是社会结构,重新配置治理实践和社会规范。在本文中,考虑到主导话语在规范新系统中的作用,以当地LTS为例,研究了影响英国城市有轨电车出现的社会技术动态。它考察了1870年的电车法案如何试图在相互竞争的利益之间进行裁决,这塑造了新的电车路线的背景。系统建设者的概念被用来解释新项目如何获得公众支持。这个案例确定了系统建设者所面临的约束,并指出他们与主流社会政治环境的互动影响了系统的发展和稳定。
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引用次数: 0
Which actors drove national patterns of technological specialization into the science-based age? The British experience, 1918–1932 哪些因素推动了国家技术专业化模式进入以科学为基础的时代?英国的经验,1918-1932
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtac062
John Cantwell, Anna Spadavecchia
Abstract This article assesses the contributions of industry leaders, smaller corporations, and independent inventors to the international technological specialization of Great Britain in the interwar years. For the first time, we compare directly the contribution of these sources and combine the Chandlerian and “sources of invention” perspectives. The analysis is based on a novel dataset of more than 8,000 patents granted in the USA to British inventions. Our findings show the extent to which Britain integrated inventions generated by independent inventors with those of corporate inventors, i.e., industry leaders and smaller corporations, in both engineering- and science-based fields. This research highlights specificities of a former leader’s transition from the technological paradigm of the first phase of capitalism to that of the second phase.
摘要本文评估了两次世界大战期间,工业领袖、小型企业和独立发明家对英国国际技术专业化的贡献。我们第一次直接比较了这些来源的贡献,并结合了钱德勒学派和“发明来源”的观点。这项分析是基于一个新的数据集,该数据集包含了在美国授予英国发明的8000多项专利。我们的研究结果表明,在工程和科学领域,英国将独立发明人的发明与企业发明人(即行业领导者和小型公司)的发明结合在一起的程度。本研究强调了前领导人从资本主义第一阶段的技术范式过渡到第二阶段的特殊性。
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引用次数: 0
Technology, job characteristics, and retirement of aged workers: evidence from automation and IT adoption of firms in Korea 技术、工作特征和老年工人的退休:来自韩国企业自动化和IT采用的证据
4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad001
Jongwoo Chung, Chulhee Lee
Abstract We investigated how the adoption of a new production technology differently affects the risk of job separation of young and old employees in South Korea by analyzing establishment-level panel data linked with administrative employment insurance records on individual workers. To address potential endogeneity associated with a firm’s technology adoption, we conducted instrumental variable estimations with a two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI) approach. The results suggest that technology (indicated by newly adopted automation and increased purchase of Information Technology equipment) positively affects the overall employment of incumbent workers. However, the employment of aged workers is less favorably affected by newly adopted technologies compared to that of younger workers. In some conditions, technology adoptions increase the retirement risk of older workers absolutely as well as relative to that of younger workers. Newly adopted automation negatively affects the employment of aged workers who are engaged in clerical and support occupations or employed in the wholesale and retail industry. Estimation results according to the reason for retirement suggest that the negative effect of technology adoption on employment may be related to both labor demand and supply.
摘要:本文通过分析企业层面的面板数据与个别工人的行政就业保险记录相关联,研究了采用一种新的生产技术对韩国年轻员工和老员工离职风险的不同影响。为了解决与公司技术采用相关的潜在内生性问题,我们使用两阶段剩余包含(2SRI)方法进行了工具变量估计。结果表明,技术(以新采用的自动化和增加的信息技术设备购买为指标)对在职工人的整体就业有积极影响。然而,与年轻工人相比,老年工人的就业受到新技术的影响较小。在某些情况下,技术的采用绝对增加了老年工人的退休风险,也增加了相对于年轻工人的退休风险。新采用的自动化对从事文书和辅助职业或从事批发和零售业的老年工人的就业产生负面影响。根据退休原因的估计结果表明,技术采用对就业的负面影响可能与劳动力需求和劳动力供给有关。
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引用次数: 0
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Industrial and Corporate Change
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