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Measuring the macroeconomic responses to public investment in innovation: evidence from OECD countries 衡量对创新公共投资的宏观经济反应:经合组织国家的证据
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtae005
Giovanna Ciaffi, Matteo Deleidi, Mariana Mazzucato
The paper aims to assess the macroeconomic impacts of government investment in Research and Development (R&D) and more generic fiscal policies by quantifying the Gross domestic product (GDP) and business R&D investment multipliers. Following the recent literature on fiscal policy, we combine the Local Projection approach with fiscal shocks estimated using Structural Vector Autoregressive modeling by focusing on a panel of 15 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries for the 1981–2017 period. Our findings support the idea that expansionary fiscal policies can positively and persistently affect the GDP level and crowd in business R&D investment. Additionally, our results show that public investment in R&D generates the largest multiplicative effect both on GDP and business R&D than the one associated with more generic public expenditures, even when fiscal expectations are considered.
本文旨在通过量化国内生产总值(GDP)和企业研发投资乘数,评估政府研发投资和更一般的财政政策对宏观经济的影响。根据近期有关财政政策的文献,我们将地方预测方法与使用结构向量自回归模型估算的财政冲击相结合,重点关注 1981-2017 年期间 15 个经济合作与发展组织(OECD)国家的面板数据。我们的研究结果支持这样一种观点,即扩张性财政政策会对国内生产总值水平和企业研发投资人群产生积极而持久的影响。此外,我们的研究结果表明,即使考虑到财政预期,公共研发投资对国内生产总值和企业研发投资产生的乘数效应也要大于与更一般的公共支出相关的效应。
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引用次数: 0
Fiscal transfers and common debt in a Monetary Union: a multi-country agent–based stock flow consistent model 货币联盟中的财政转移和共同债务:基于多国代理人的存量流量一致模型
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtae006
Alessandro Caiani, Ermanno Catullo
Using a refined version of our multi-country AB-SFC model of a Monetary Union the paper aims at providing a tentative assessment of the economic effects of transforming the European Monetary Union into an Intergovernmental Fiscal Transfer Union (IFTU) with its own fiscal capacity. Countries contribute proportionally to their GDP, whereas funds are redistributed according to a mechanism that gives more funds to countries performing worse than the average of the Union in cyclical terms. Our simulations show that an IFTU inspired by such a redistribution principle acts as a stabilizer of international trade, allowing us to stabilize and improve the Union GDP performance without affecting the stability of public finances. When the Union is allowed to borrow on capital markets, i.e. in a Fully Fledged Fiscal Transfer Union (FFFTU), these effects are enhanced and a part of the public debt burden shifts from the national to the Union level, leaving the total burden almost stable. An interesting result to assess the political acceptability of the proposal is that “core” countries eventually benefit the most from the introduction of this mechanism, despite being more frequently net contributors. Finally, we show that an FFFTU with common debt might help to soften the impact of an exogenous demand shock, while, because of the fact that it mainly operates as a stabilizer of aggregate demand, it does not seem to provide beneficial effects when facing a supply shock to production.
本文采用了货币联盟多国 AB-SFC 模型的改进版,旨在对欧洲货币联盟转变为具有自身财政能力的政府间财政转移支付联盟(IFTU)的经济效应进行初步评估。各国按其国内生产总值的比例缴款,而资金则根据一种机制进行再分配,即向周期性表现差于联盟平均水平的国家提供更多资金。我们的模拟结果表明,受这种再分配原则启发的国际自由贸易联盟可作为国际贸易的稳定器,使我们能够在不影响公共财政稳定的情况下稳定和改善联盟的国内生产总值表现。当欧盟被允许在资本市场上借贷时,即在完全成熟的财政转移支付联盟(FFFTU)中,这些效果会得到加强,部分公共债务负担会从国家层面转移到欧盟层面,使总负担几乎保持稳定。评估该提案政治可接受性的一个有趣结果是,"核心 "国家最终从该机制的引入中获益最多,尽管它们更经常地成为净捐助国。最后,我们表明,具有共同债务的金融自由贸易联盟可能有助于减轻外生需求冲击的影响,但由于它主要是作为总需求的稳定器运作,因此在面临生产供应冲击时似乎不会产生有利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Regulating short-term rental platforms: the effects of local regulatory responses on Airbnb’s operations in Europe 监管短租平台:地方监管对策对欧洲 Airbnb 运营的影响
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-01-10 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad075
Michael Wessel, M. J. Schmidt-Kessen, Philipp Hukal
Many digital platforms offer services that affect real-world socio-economic processes. One example is the impact of short-term rental platforms such as Airbnb or Wimdu on cities and neighborhoods. Because these platforms often operate in a regulatory void characterized by absent, unclear, or poorly enforced laws and regulations, local governments in affected cities have begun experimenting with a variety of instruments to regulate the operations of short-term rental platforms. In this paper, we report how such locally implemented regulatory responses have affected Airbnb’s operations across 13 European cities over the period from 2015 to 2019. Using a difference-in-difference specification with synthetic controls, we assess the impact of different regulatory responses by disaggregating them into motivations, actions, targets, and outcomes. We find that the effectiveness of regulatory responses differs by type of regulation (restricting or clarifying), type of host (professional or private), as well as the enforcement (with or without the cooperation of the platform operator). Through this work, we add to the ongoing debate on the regulation of digital platforms by presenting both empirical evidence as well as an analytical framework.
许多数字平台提供的服务会影响现实世界的社会经济进程。其中一个例子就是 Airbnb 或 Wimdu 等短租平台对城市和社区的影响。由于这些平台通常在法律法规缺失、不明确或执行不力的监管空白地带运营,受影响城市的地方政府已开始尝试使用各种手段来规范短租平台的运营。在本文中,我们报告了在 2015 年至 2019 年期间,当地实施的此类监管对策对 Airbnb 在欧洲 13 个城市的运营产生了怎样的影响。通过使用带有合成控制的差分规范,我们将不同的监管对策分解为动机、行动、目标和结果,从而评估了这些对策的影响。我们发现,监管对策的有效性因监管类型(限制或澄清)、主办方类型(专业或私营)以及执行方式(平台运营商合作或不合作)而异。通过这项工作,我们提出了经验证据和分析框架,为目前关于数字平台监管的讨论增添了新的内容。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of subsidies on R&D in the financial crisis—the role of financial constraints of firms and banks 金融危机中研发补贴的影响--企业和银行财务约束的作用
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad071
Marek Giebel, Kornelius Kraft
We analyze the effect of subsidies on firm R&D, conditional on firms’ access to external financing during the financial crisis when access to external financing was particularly difficult. Specifically, we determine whether subsidies can mitigate or completely offset the effect of external financing constraints of firms or banks. Financial constraints are considered through (i) firms’ credit ratings, and (ii) the capital reserves of their banks. Subsidies were found to help maintain R&D investments during the crisis, especially when financial constraints were present. After the crisis, the subsidized firms reached the level of R&D spending they had prior to the crisis.
在金融危机期间,外部融资尤为困难,我们分析了补贴对企业研发的影响,条件是企业获得外部融资。具体来说,我们要确定补贴是否能减轻或完全抵消企业或银行外部融资限制的影响。财务限制是通过(i)企业的信用评级和(ii)银行的资本储备来考虑的。研究发现,在危机期间,补贴有助于维持研发投资,尤其是在存在金融约束的情况下。危机过后,受补贴企业的研发支出达到了危机前的水平。
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引用次数: 0
Innovation opportunities and backward linkages in mining: an analysis of Argentinean knowledge-intensive mining suppliers (KIMS) 采矿业的创新机会和后向联系:对阿根廷知识密集型采矿供应商(KIMS)的分析
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad076
L. Stubrin, A. Marin, Diego Murguía
This paper aims at contributing to better comprehend the opportunities for innovation in the mining sector that are leveraged by local knowledge-intensive mining suppliers (KIMS) in developing mineral-rich countries. Drawing on the innovation and global value chain (GVC) bodies of literature as well as previous empirical studies on KIMS in developing mining countries, we analytically distinguish among three types of innovation approaches that local KIMS can pursue. Each of them is associated with main sources of innovation opportunities, type of inputs supplied, and prevailing market structures and entry barriers. The distinction among innovation strategies together with an analysis that combines firm- and market-level dimensions helped us to better comprehend the types of innovation opportunities that local KIMS in Argentina are adopting and the nature of challenges they encounter. The empirical analysis is based on the novel fieldwork data collected in 2019 and 2022. The findings of the paper hold significance to inform productive and innovation policies regarding the type of interventions that may be more effective for Argentina in the current technological and market circumstances that the mining industry is facing.
本文旨在帮助读者更好地理解矿产资源丰富的发展中国家当地知识密集型矿业供应商(KIMS)在矿业领域利用的创新机会。借鉴创新和全球价值链(GVC)方面的文献以及以往对发展中矿业国家知识密集型矿业供应商的实证研究,我们从分析角度区分了当地知识密集型矿业供应商可采用的三种创新方法。每种方法都与创新机会的主要来源、所提供投入的类型以及现行市场结构和进入壁垒有关。对创新战略进行区分,并结合企业和市场层面的分析,有助于我们更好地理解阿根廷本地 KIMS 正在采用的创新机会类型以及它们所面临挑战的性质。实证分析基于 2019 年和 2022 年收集的新颖实地调查数据。本文的研究结果具有重要意义,可为生产和创新政策提供参考,使其了解在采矿业当前面临的技术和市场环境下,哪类干预措施对阿根廷更为有效。
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引用次数: 0
The sectoral trade losses from financial crises 金融危机造成的部门贸易损失
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad078
Jean-Marc B Atsebi, Jean-Louis Combes, Alexandru Minea
The “Great Trade Collapse” triggered by the 2008-2009 crisis calls for a careful assessment of the trade losses from financial crises. We adopt a more detailed perspective by looking at the response of different types of trade (i.e. consumption, intermediate, capital goods, and business services) following various types of financial crises (i.e. debt, banking, and currency crises) in 41 emerging markets. Estimations performed in the 1980-2019 period using a combination of impact assessment and local projections to capture a causal dynamic effect running from financial crises to the trade activity show that the collapse of total trade is long-lasting and mainly driven by the fall of intermediate goods and to some extent capital goods, while trade in consumption goods and business services is more resilient to crises. Therefore, financial crises could lead to considerable disruption of global value chains, as observed during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), and easily spill over from one country to another through trade linkages. The examination of heterogeneity reveals that total and sectoral trade is more severely impacted in countries with a lower share of manufacturing exports, less diversified exported products, and trading partners, with lower demand from trading partners and when associated with a deterioration of the domestic and external financial conditions and sudden stops. By contributing to the understanding of the trade effects of financial crises, our analysis provides insightful support for the design and implementation of policies aimed at coping with these effects.
2008-2009 年危机引发的 "贸易大崩溃 "要求我们认真评估金融危机造成的贸易损失。我们从更详细的角度出发,研究了 41 个新兴市场在各类金融危机(即债务危机、银行危机和货币危机)发生后不同类型贸易(即消费、中间产品、资本货物和商业服务)的反应。在 1980-2019 年期间进行的估算结合使用了影响评估和本地预测,以捕捉从金融危机到贸易活动的因果动态效应,结果表明,贸易总额的崩溃是长期的,主要是由中间产品和一定程度上的资本产品的下降驱动的,而消费品和商业服务贸易对危机的抵御能力更强。因此,金融危机可能导致全球价值链的严重破坏,正如在全球金融危机期间所观察到的那样,并很容易通过贸易联系从一个国家蔓延到另一个国家。对异质性的研究表明,在制造业出口份额较低、出口产品和贸易伙伴多样化程度较低、贸易伙伴需求较低、国内外金融状况恶化和突然停滞的国家,贸易总额和部门贸易受到的影响更为严重。我们的分析有助于人们理解金融危机对贸易的影响,从而为制定和实施旨在应对这些影响的政策提供有见地的支持。
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引用次数: 0
An image of industry: exploring the effects of knowledge sources in the medical imaging industry 行业形象:探索医学影像行业知识来源的影响
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad072
U David Park, Youngsir Rha, Sonali K Shah, Shinjinee Chattopadhyay
Scholars have long been interested in understanding how a firm’s “pre-history” shapes its behavior and performance, with recent scholarship highlighting the fact that industry entrants stem from different knowledge sources. Knowledge sources, the context in which entrants develop the knowledge they bring as they enter an industry, are argued to be important, because they may have differential effects on firm strategy and performance. We explore the effects of five different knowledge sources on firm behavior and survival using a mixed-methods approach. Survival analysis shows that user-founded new ventures outsurvive academic-founded new ventures, employee-founded new ventures, related diversifying entrants, and unrelated diversifying entrants. Qualitative analysis suggests that user-founded new ventures often enter niche markets defined by the clinical expertise of their founders and remain in these markets over time, honing their product offerings to specific clinical needs. Our analyses are based on novel, hand-collected archival data on the population of entrants in the modern medical imaging industry. We discuss the implications of these findings for the evolutionary theory, strategic management, and entrepreneurship literatures.
长期以来,学者们一直有兴趣了解企业的 "前史 "是如何影响其行为和绩效的,最近的学术研究强调了这样一个事实,即行业进入者来自不同的知识来源。知识来源,即进入者在进入一个行业时发展知识的背景,被认为是非常重要的,因为它们可能对企业战略和绩效产生不同的影响。我们采用混合方法探讨了五种不同知识来源对企业行为和生存的影响。存活率分析表明,用户创办的新企业比学术创办的新企业、雇员创办的新企业、相关多元化新企业和非相关多元化新企业存活率更高。定性分析表明,用户创办的新企业通常会进入由其创始人的临床专业知识所定义的利基市场,并随着时间的推移留在这些市场中,根据特定的临床需求完善其产品。我们的分析基于手工收集的现代医学成像行业新进入者的档案数据。我们将讨论这些发现对演化理论、战略管理和创业精神等领域的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Employee spinouts along the value chain 价值链上的员工分拆
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad073
Pamela Adams, Aliasghar Bahoo-Torodi, Roberto Fontana, Franco Malerba
While much of the academic literature on spinouts focuses on new ventures launched by the ex-employees of incumbent firms within the same industry, recent research shows that spinouts may also enter a focal industry from “knowledge contexts” outside of the incumbent industry. In particular, recent studies show that spinouts may enter from both upstream and downstream industries related to a focal industry along the value chain. Such spinouts have been called user-industry and supplier-industry spinouts. In this article, evidence from existing studies is collected to provide an indication of the relevance of such spinouts across various industries. This survey also includes an analysis of industry studies in which user- and supplier-industry spinouts may have been present but were not identified as such by scholars due to a difference in focus. The paper then considers the evidence accumulated to date in order to explore the industry contexts in which these two types of spinouts appear and to develop propositions concerning differences in the entry timing and product/market strategies of these startups.
虽然大部分关于分拆企业的学术文献都集中在同一行业内现有企业的前雇员创办的新企业上,但最近的研究表明,分拆企业也可能从现有行业以外的 "知识背景 "进入重点行业。特别是,最近的研究表明,分拆企业可能从价值链上与重点行业相关的上游和下游行业进入。这类分拆企业被称为用户产业分拆企业和供应商产业分拆企业。本文收集了现有研究的证据,以说明这种分拆在各行业中的相关性。这项调查还包括对行业研究的分析,在这些研究中,用户行业和供应商行业的分拆企业可能已经存在,但由于侧重点不同而未被学者确定为用户行业和供应商行业的分拆企业。然后,本文对迄今为止积累的证据进行了研究,以探讨出现这两类分拆企业的行业背景,并就这些初创企业在进入时机和产品/市场战略方面的差异提出了一些建议。
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引用次数: 0
Suppliers’ entry, upgrading, and innovation in mining GVCs: lessons from Argentina, Brazil, and Peru 矿业全球价值链中的供应商进入、升级和创新:阿根廷、巴西和秘鲁的经验教训
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad079
Carlo Pietrobelli, Beatriz Calzada Olvera, Michiko Iizuka, Caio Torres Mazzi
This paper studies whether the mining sector can represent a true engine of growth for selected Latin American countries through the suppliers’ entry and upgrading within mining value chains. We start by using international trade data to study where mining value is added and how rents are distributed across countries. Despite their importance in the production and exports of copper ores and concentrate, the participation of the selected Latin American countries in copper value chains is still confined to the upstream segment. Moreover, their share of innovation relevant for the sector remains very limited, although new data on patenting and publications show that the sector is becoming increasingly innovative worldwide. Then, we use new microeconomic evidence from case-studies in Latin America to explore the specific opportunities and obstacles faced by mining suppliers in entering the value chain and upgrading within it, and how the regulatory and innovation systems have influenced this process. We show that barriers related to the contractual practices, lead firms’ attitudes, and the hierarchical industrial organization of the sector, coupled with the countries’ weaknesses in local innovation and regulatory systems, have been contributing to hamper suppliers’ entry into mining value chains and upgrading.
本文研究了矿业部门是否能通过供应商进入矿业价值链并实现升级,真正成为拉美部分国家的增长引擎。我们首先利用国际贸易数据来研究采矿业的附加值以及租金在各国之间的分配情况。尽管拉美国家在铜矿石和铜精矿的生产和出口中占有重要地位,但它们在铜价值链中的参与仍局限于上游环节。此外,尽管有关专利申请和出版物的新数据显示该行业在全球范围内正变得越来越具有创新性,但它们在该行业相关创新中所占的份额仍然非常有限。随后,我们利用拉丁美洲案例研究中新的微观经济证据,探讨了矿业供应商进入价值链并在价值链中升级所面临的具体机遇和障碍,以及监管和创新体系如何影响这一过程。我们表明,与合同惯例、主导企业的态度和该行业的分级工业组织有关的障碍,加上各国在地方创新和监管制度方面的薄弱环节,一直在阻碍供应商进入矿业价值链并实现升级。
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引用次数: 0
Transitioning to sustainable energy by incumbent utilities: insights from M&As, alliances, and divestments 现有公用事业公司向可持续能源转型:从并购、联盟和剥离中获得的启示
IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1093/icc/dtad074
Eva Niesten, Guillermo Pereira, Jonatan Pinkse
Energy utilities play an important role in transitioning to a sustainable energy industry. Data on 8967 transactions by 19 European energy utilities from 1990 to 2019 illustrate when and how utilities invest in sustainable resources and divest traditional resources such as fossil-fuel plants. Utilities transitioning to sustainable energy have greater financial resources and experience with sustainability, are publicly owned, and access sustainable resources of international and inter-industry partners. Utilities adopt a diversified strategy of balancing sustainable and traditional resources.
能源公用事业在向可持续能源产业转型方面发挥着重要作用。从 1990 年到 2019 年,19 家欧洲能源公用事业公司的 8967 项交易数据说明了公用事业公司何时以及如何投资可持续资源,剥离化石燃料工厂等传统资源。向可持续能源转型的公用事业公司在可持续发展方面拥有更多的财政资源和经验,属于公有制,并能获得国际和行业间合作伙伴的可持续资源。公用事业公司采取平衡可持续资源和传统资源的多元化战略。
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引用次数: 0
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Industrial and Corporate Change
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