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Agglomeration and the Italian North–South divide 集聚与意大利南北差距
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae025
Luigi Buzzacchi, Antonio De Marco, Marcello Pagnini
This article offers new evidence on agglomeration economies by examining the link between total factor productivity (TFP) and employment density in Italy. We investigate whether and how the TFP–density nexus contributes to explaining a relevant share of the marked productivity gap between the northern and the southern Italian regions. We estimate TFP for a large sample of manufacturing firms and then aggregate it at the level of local labour market areas. We tackle the endogeneity issues stemming from the presence of omitted covariates and reverse causation with an innovative set of diagnostic tests and an instrumental variable approach that relies on geological and historical data. Our estimate of the TFP elasticity to the spatial concentration of economic activities is about 0.045, a magnitude comparable to those measured for other developed countries. We also show that no significant heterogeneity emerges in the intensity of agglomeration economies across the country and that the positive TFP difference in favour of the firms located in the North is not due to the tougher competition taking place in those areas.
本文通过研究意大利全要素生产率(TFP)与就业密度之间的联系,为集聚经济提供了新的证据。我们研究了全要素生产率与就业密度之间的关系是否以及如何有助于解释意大利北部和南部地区之间明显的生产率差距的相关部分。我们对大量制造业企业样本的全要素生产率进行了估算,然后在当地劳动力市场区域层面进行了汇总。我们利用一套创新的诊断检测方法和一种依赖于地质和历史数据的工具变量方法,解决了因存在遗漏协变量和反向因果关系而产生的内生性问题。我们对经济活动空间集中度的全要素生产率弹性的估计值约为 0.045,与其他发达国家测得的数值相当。我们还表明,全国各地的集聚经济强度没有明显的异质性,有利于北部企业的全要素生产率正差异并不是因为这些地区的竞争更加激烈。
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引用次数: 0
Land investment regulation and allocative efficiency: evidence from the Chinese manufacturing sector 土地投资监管与分配效率:来自中国制造业的证据
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae024
Aidong Zhao, Huub Ploegmakers, Jan Rouwendal, Xianlei Ma
This article analyzes the role of production factor land in the production process. Using a novel dataset of 20,205 newly established firms in the Chinese manufacturing sector from 2007 to 2014, our production function estimates suggest the existence of a sizable gap (averaging 50 USD/m2) between the marginal productivity of land and its user cost. Basic economic theory suggests a possible relationship with China’s minimum investment intensity (MII) regulation. An analysis using changes in MII limits over time and the resulting discontinuities at county borders confirms that larger gaps are significantly associated with increases in MII limits. Thus, the results of this study suggest that MII regulation leads to allocative inefficiency of land.
本文分析了生产要素土地在生产过程中的作用。利用 2007 年至 2014 年中国制造业 20205 家新成立企业的新数据集,我们的生产函数估算表明,土地的边际生产率与其使用成本之间存在相当大的差距(平均为 50 美元/平方米)。基本经济理论表明,这可能与中国的最低投资强度(MII)规定有关。利用最低投资强度限值随时间的变化以及由此产生的县域边界不连续性进行的分析证实,较大的差距与最低投资强度限值的提高有显著关联。因此,本研究的结果表明,最低投资强度规定会导致土地配置效率低下。
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引用次数: 0
Externalizing rescue operations at sea: The migration deal between Italy and Libya 海上救援行动外部化:意大利与利比亚之间的移民协议
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae022
Diego Zambiasi, Emanuele Albarosa
Between 2010 and 2019, the global number of forcibly displaced individuals doubled, prompting countries to sign migration deals. Under these agreements, transit or origin countries halt migrants in exchange for support. The 2017 Italy–Libya deal outsourced search and rescue operations in the Central Mediterranean to the Libyan Coast Guard (LCG), aiming to stop migrants from reaching Italy. Using a spatial difference-in-differences design, we find an increase in the probability of observing a deadly incident in areas patrolled by the LCG post-deal. Descriptive evidence suggests a shift in routes, diverting a significant portion of migration to the Western Mediterranean Route.
2010 年至 2019 年间,全球被迫流离失所者人数翻了一番,促使各国签署移民协议。根据这些协议,中转国或原籍国停止接收移民,以换取支持。2017 年意大利-利比亚协议将地中海中部的搜救行动外包给利比亚海岸警卫队(LCG),旨在阻止移民抵达意大利。利用空间差分设计,我们发现在交易后由利比亚海岸警卫队巡逻的地区,观察到致命事件的概率增加了。描述性证据表明,路线发生了变化,很大一部分移民转向了西地中海路线。
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引用次数: 0
The contribution of academic inventors to regional technological diversification: the Italian evidence 学术发明者对地区技术多样化的贡献:意大利的证据
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae021
Francesco Quatraro, Alessandra Scandura
This article investigates the interplay between scientific and technological capabilities in regional technological diversification dynamics by looking at the contributions of academic inventors. Combining the evolutionary economic approach and the theories on regional innovation capabilities on the one hand, and the distinctive features of academic inventors and university–industry patenting on the other, we hypothesize that the participation of university-based inventors to local patenting activity positively influences the chance of regional technological diversification and mitigates the path dependency engendered by the constraining role of the technological relatedness. In addition, we hypothesize that academic inventors tend to push regional technological trajectories towards their portfolio of specializations, hence allowing a process of technological convergence. The empirical results highlight the key role of academic institutions in the development of new regional technological trajectories while contributing to the academic and policy debate on regional diversification strategies.
本文通过研究学术发明者的贡献,探讨了区域技术多样化动态中科学与技术能力之间的相互作用。结合演化经济学方法和区域创新能力理论,以及学术发明人和大学-产业专利申请的显著特点,我们假设大学发明人参与地方专利申请活动会积极影响区域技术多样化的机会,并减轻技术关联性的约束作用所产生的路径依赖。此外,我们还假设,学术发明者倾向于推动地区技术轨迹向其专业组合靠拢,从而实现技术趋同。实证结果凸显了学术机构在发展新的区域技术轨迹中的关键作用,同时也为有关区域多样化战略的学术和政策辩论做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
On the productivity advantage of cities 城市的生产力优势
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-22 DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae020
Nick Jacob, Giordano Mion
Agglomeration externalities are the key factor explaining the existence of cities and their size. However, while the various micro foundations of agglomeration externalities stress the importance of total factor productivity (TFP), the empirical evidence on agglomeration externalities rests on measures obtained using firm revenue or value-added as a measure of firm output: revenue-based TFP (TFP-R). This article uses data on French manufacturing firms’ revenue, quantity, and prices to estimate TFP and TFP-R and decompose the latter into various elements. Our analysis suggests that the revenue productivity advantage of denser areas is mainly driven by higher prices charged rather than differences in TFP. At the same time, firms in denser areas are able to sell higher quantities and generate higher revenues, despite higher prices. These and other results we document suggest that firms in denser areas are able to charge higher prices because they sell higher demand/quality products. In this respect, two key elements related to this capacity to sell more at higher prices are the degree of vertical differentiation and trade cost, with products characterized by higher vertical differentiation and/or lower trade costs featuring stronger patterns and driving overall results.
集聚外部性是解释城市存在及其规模的关键因素。然而,尽管集聚外部性的各种微观基础都强调全要素生产率(TFP)的重要性,但有关集聚外部性的实证证据却依赖于用企业收入或附加值作为企业产出的衡量标准:基于收入的全要素生产率(TFP-R)。本文利用法国制造业企业的收入、数量和价格数据来估算全要素生产率和全要素生产率-R,并将后者分解为各种要素。我们的分析表明,密集地区的收入生产率优势主要是由较高的价格而不是全要素生产率差异所驱动的。同时,尽管价格较高,但密集地区的企业能够销售更多的产品,创造更高的收入。我们记录的这些结果和其他结果表明,密集地区的企业能够收取更高的价格,因为它们销售的是需求量更大/质量更高的产品。在这方面,与以更高价格销售更多产品的能力有关的两个关键因素是纵向差异化程度和贸易成本,纵向差异化程度较高和/或贸易成本较低的产品具有更强的模式特征,并推动整体结果。
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引用次数: 0
Deep trade agreements and international migration: the role of visa provisions 深度贸易协定与国际移民:签证规定的作用
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae014
Anthonin Levelu, Anna Maria Mayda, Gianluca Orefice
An increasing number of regional trade agreements contains provisions that ease access to visas among member countries, which reduces the administrative cost of crossing the border. Combining United Nations data on bilateral stocks of immigrants in the period 1990–2020 with World Bank data on the content of 279 regional trade agreements, this article presents robust evidence of a positive effect of visa provisions in regional trade agreements on bilateral migration: the presence of visa provisions in regional trade agreements increases the bilateral stock of immigrants by 5.8 per cent. This result is robust to an instrumental variable strategy addressing the endogeneity problem. The effect of the inclusion of visa provisions in regional trade agreements is particularly effective among country pairs with different income levels (such as North-South). For this type of country pairs, the presence of visa provisions in regional trade agreements increases the bilateral stock of immigrants by 12.7 per cent. Finally, the article shows that the effectiveness of visa provisions in regional trade agreements reduces with the anti-immigration sentiment of voters in the destination.
越来越多的区域贸易协定包含了便利成员国之间获得签证的条款,从而降低了过境的行政成本。本文将联合国 1990-2020 年期间的双边移民存量数据与世界银行关于 279 项区域贸易协定内容的数据相结合,提出了区域贸易协定中的签证规定对双边移民产生积极影响的有力证据:区域贸易协定中的签证规定使双边移民存量增加了 5.8%。这一结果对解决内生性问题的工具变量策略是稳健的。在收入水平不同的国家对(如南北国家对)中,区域贸易协定中包含签证条款的影响尤其有效。对于这类国家对来说,区域贸易协定中签证条款的存在使双边移民存量增加了 12.7%。最后,文章表明,区域贸易协定中签证条款的有效性随着目的地选民反移民情绪的高涨而降低。
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引用次数: 0
The externalities of immigration policies on migration flows: the case of an asylum policy 移民政策对移民潮的外部影响:庇护政策案例
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-11 DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae016
Lucas Guichard, Joël Machado
We analyze the externalities arising from a bilateral asylum policy—the list of safe origin countries—relying on a tractable model. Using self-collected monthly data, we estimate that including one origin country on the safe list of a given destination decreases asylum applications from that origin to that destination by 29 per cent. We use a counterfactual policy simulation to quantify the spillover effects occurring across origin and destination countries. Individuals from targeted origin countries move to alternative destinations. Individuals from untargeted origins divert from alternative destinations. The magnitude of the externalities depends on the size of the affected flows.
我们通过一个可操作的模型,分析了双边庇护政策--安全原籍国名单--所产生的外部效应。利用自行收集的月度数据,我们估计将一个原籍国列入特定目的地国的安全名单会使该原籍国向该目的地国提出的庇护申请减少 29%。我们使用反事实政策模拟来量化原籍国和目的地国之间的溢出效应。来自目标原籍国的个人会转移到其他目的地。非目标原籍国的个人从替代目的地转移。外部效应的大小取决于受影响流量的大小。
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引用次数: 0
International knowledge connectivity and the increasing concentration of innovation in major global cities 国际知识连通性和创新日益向全球主要城市集中
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae013
John Cantwell, Salma Zaman
We argue that trans-local knowledge connections positively impact local epistemic inventor communities in global cities, using patent citations as an indicator of global knowledge connectivity. Patented inventions have become more concentrated in the most internationally connected global cities, increasing inter-regional inequality. We identify two dimensions of knowledge connectivity: the compatibility of connections between similar profiles of technological knowledge, and the geographical diversity of knowledge connections between differently specialized global cities. We suggest that interaction between local and international inventor epistemic communities is now a vital driver of local innovation in global cities, and interregional inequality between these and other cities.
我们认为,以专利引用作为全球知识连通性的指标,跨地方的知识连通性会对全球城市的地方认识论发明者群体产生积极影响。专利发明越来越集中于国际联系最紧密的全球城市,加剧了区域间的不平等。我们确定了知识连通性的两个维度:相似技术知识之间联系的兼容性,以及不同专业化全球城市之间知识联系的地域多样性。我们认为,本地与国际发明家知识界之间的互动是全球城市本地创新以及这些城市与其他城市之间地区间不平等的重要驱动力。
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引用次数: 0
Reworking uneven geographical development: the spatial logic of China’s rural banking reforms 重塑不均衡的地域发展:中国农村银行改革的空间逻辑
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae012
Leqian Yu, Jie Yin
Drawing on financial geography literature and the concept of state rescaling, this article investigates the state–finance nexus with an emphasis on state spatial reconfiguration. Through a historically and geographically informed political economic analysis, it argues that China’s state-led, market-oriented rural banking reforms are not merely the outcome of a deepening market logic within the financial administration of the rural sector. They are also crucial for state spatial reconfiguration to address uneven rural and urban development. The article calls for greater sensitivity towards relational spatiotemporality and uneven development to comprehend fully the spatiality of the state–finance nexus.
本文借鉴金融地理学文献和国家重构概念,以国家空间重构为重点,研究了国家与金融的关系。通过基于历史和地理的政治经济学分析,文章认为中国以国家为主导、以市场为导向的农村银行改革不仅仅是农村金融管理中市场逻辑深化的结果。它们对于国家空间重组以解决城乡发展不平衡问题也至关重要。文章呼吁提高对时空关系和不均衡发展的敏感性,以充分理解国家-金融关系的空间性。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneous effects of a foreign buyer tax on house prices in New South Wales 外国买家税对新南威尔士州房价的异质性影响
IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbae007
Anthony Howell, Siân Mughan, Akheil Singla
This article combines unconditional quantile regressions with difference-in-differences to study the distributive effects of a foreign buyer tax (FBT) on home prices in New South Wales (NSW). The main results reveal that the FBT reduces house prices in NSW but only among the more expensive houses located in desirable neighborhoods of Sydney and with a relatively high share of foreign-born population. We find evidence that the FBT reduces transaction volumes in the same expensive Sydney neighborhoods and immigrant enclaves where house prices are observed to decline, in support of a direct mechanism that the FBT curbs foreign demand. Additional results suggest that more expensive homes are not substituted with less expensive housing, and that some foreign buyers respond to the FBT by divesting away from NSW locations. The main policy implication is that the FBT may help deter foreign buyers from accumulating higher-priced and luxury assets, but may fail to address broader housing affordability concerns facing the local population.
本文将无条件量化回归与差分法相结合,研究了外国买家税(FBT)对新南威尔士州(NSW)房价的分配效应。主要结果显示,外国买家税降低了新南威尔士州的房价,但仅限于位于悉尼理想社区且外国出生人口比例相对较高的较昂贵房屋。我们发现有证据表明,在悉尼房价下跌的高价住宅区和移民飞地,外币交易税降低了交易量,这支持了外币交易税抑制外国需求的直接机制。其他结果表明,价格较高的住房并没有被价格较低的住房所替代,一些外国购房者通过从新南威尔士州撤资来应对外国房地产税。主要的政策含义是,外国房地产税可能有助于阻止外国买家积累价格较高的豪华资产,但可能无法解决当地居民面临的更广泛的住房负担能力问题。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Economic Geography
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