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The Effect of Risk Assessment Scores on Judicial Behavior and Defendant Outcomes 风险评估得分对司法行为和被告结果的影响
1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.3368/jhr.0221-11470r3
CarlyWill Sloan, George Naufal, Heather Caspers

Abstract

Risk assessment has been increasingly adopted in an effort to reduce pretrial detention for poor, low-risk defendants. This paper examines the impact of risk assessment using administrative data from a large Texas County. We identify effects using a regression discontinuity that exploits the overnight implementation of a risk assessment policy. Results indicate this led to a 6.5 percent increase in nonfinancial bond and an 8.5 percent decrease in pretrial detention, though neither effect persisted beyond two months. Additionally, the policy did not increase violent pretrial crime, though there is some suggestive evidence of increases in nonviolent pretrial crime.
风险评估越来越多地用于减少对贫困、低风险被告的审前羁押。本文使用来自德克萨斯州一个大县的行政数据来检验风险评估的影响。我们使用回归不连续来识别影响,该不连续利用风险评估政策的隔夜实施。结果表明,这导致非金融债券增加了6.5%,审前拘留减少了8.5%,尽管这两种效果都没有持续超过两个月。此外,该政策并没有增加审前暴力犯罪,尽管有一些暗示的证据表明非暴力审前犯罪有所增加。
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引用次数: 0
Black Lives Matter Protests and Risk Avoidance 黑人的命也是命,抗议和风险规避
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.3368/jhr.0121-11463r1
Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew Friedson, K. Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia, Samuel Safford
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引用次数: 0
Female Executives and the Motherhood Penalty 女性高管和母性惩罚
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.3368/jhr.0521-11673r1
Seth C. Murray, Danielle H. Sandler, Matthew Staiger
Childbirth and subsequent breaks from the labor market are a primary reason why the average earnings of women is lower than that of men. This paper uses linked survey and administrative data from the United States to investigate whether the sex composition of executives at the firm, defined as the top earners, affects the earnings and employment outcomes of new mothers. We begin by documenting that (i) the male-female earnings gap is smaller in industries in which a larger share of executives are women, and (ii) the male-female earnings gap has declined more in industries that have experienced larger increases in the share of executives who are female. Despite these cross-sectional and longitudinal correlations, we find no evidence that the sex composition of the executives at the firm has a causal effect on the childbirth and motherhood penalties that impact women's earnings and employment. Keyword: motherhood penalty, male-female pay gap JEL Classification: J16, M50
生育和随后离开劳动力市场是女性平均收入低于男性的主要原因。本文使用关联调查和来自美国的行政数据来调查公司高管的性别构成(被定义为最高收入者)是否影响新妈妈的收入和就业结果。我们首先记录了(i)在女性高管比例较大的行业中,男女收入差距较小;(ii)在女性高管比例增长较大的行业中,男女收入差距下降得更多。尽管存在这些横断面和纵向相关性,但我们没有发现证据表明公司高管的性别构成对影响女性收入和就业的生育和母亲惩罚有因果关系。关键词:母性惩罚,男女薪酬差距JEL分类:J16, M50
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引用次数: 0
Does Enrollment Lead to Completion? 注册是否会导致完成?
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.3368/jhr.59.1.0121-11408
Ramiro Burga, Sarah Turner
ABSTRACT Adverse local labor market shocks such as those generated by exposure of local industries to international trade have impacts on high school enrollment and completion that are theoretically ambiguous. Incentives to stay in school increase when employment prospects are weak, yet public resources for local schools may also shrink. This work demonstrates that, while high school enrollment rates increase significantly, high school degree attainment does not show commensurate growth. “Outmigration” of young adults and changes in the timing of degree receipt reconcile these measures. In addition, high school attainment effects are likely attenuated by declines in local resources per student.
摘要当地劳动力市场的不利冲击,如当地产业与国际贸易的接触所产生的冲击,对高中入学和完成学业的影响在理论上是模糊的。当就业前景疲软时,留在学校的激励措施会增加,但当地学校的公共资源也可能减少。这项工作表明,虽然高中入学率显著提高,但高中学位的获得并没有表现出相应的增长。年轻人的“外迁”和学位获得时间的变化调和了这些措施。此外,每个学生的当地资源减少可能会减弱对高中学业的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Making Big Decisions: The Impact of Moves on Marriage among U.S. Army Personnel 做出重大决定:行动对美国陆军人员婚姻的影响
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3117312
S. Carter, A. Wozniak
ABSTRACT:We use exogenously determined, long-distance relocations of U.S. Army soldiers to investigate the impact of moving on marriage. In an event study analysis, we find that marriage rates increase sharply around the time of a move. Reduced-form exposure analysis reveals that an additional move over a five-year period increases the likelihood of marriage by 14 percent, a magnitude similar to those in observational data on civilians. Moves increase childbearing by a similar magnitude, suggesting that marriages induced by a move are formed with long-term intentions. We explore implications of our findings for theories of marriage related to search, bargaining, and decision-making costs.
摘要:本研究以美国陆军士兵为研究对象,研究外因决定的异地搬迁对婚姻的影响。在一项事件研究分析中,我们发现结婚率在搬家前后急剧上升。减少形式的暴露分析显示,在五年的时间里,额外的搬家会使结婚的可能性增加14%,这一幅度与对平民的观察数据相似。搬家会以同样的幅度增加生育率,这表明由搬家引起的婚姻是有长期意图的。我们探讨了我们的发现对与寻找、讨价还价和决策成本相关的婚姻理论的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Effects of the Opioid Crisis on Employment 阿片类药物危机对就业的影响
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-06 DOI: 10.3368/jhr.1121-12018r2
Anit Mukherjee, Daniel W. Sacks, Hoyoung Yoo
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引用次数: 1
Did Expanding Sports Opportunities for Women Reduce Crime? 扩大妇女运动机会能减少犯罪吗?
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-06 DOI: 10.3368/jhr.1120-11303r2
Drew McNichols, Joseph J. Sabia, Gokhan Kumpas
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引用次数: 0
Interactions Between Family and School Environments 家庭和学校环境之间的相互作用
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-04-06 DOI: 10.3368/jhr.0419-10143r2
Leonard Goff, Ofer Malamud, Cristian Pop-Eleches, M. Urquiola
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引用次数: 1
Free Movement of Workers and Native Demand for Tertiary Education 工人自由流动和本地对高等教育的需求
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-08 DOI: 10.3368/jhr.0721-11805r2
Mirjam Bächli, Teodora Tsankova
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引用次数: 3
The Effect of Open-Air Waste Burning on Infant Health: Evidence from Government Failure in Lebanon 露天焚烧废物对婴儿健康的影响:来自黎巴嫩政府失败的证据
1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-08 DOI: 10.3368/jhr.0621-11706r2
Pierre Mouganie, Ruba Ajeeb, Mark Hoekstra

Abstract

An estimated 40% of the world’s garbage is burned in open-air fires, which are responsible for up to half of the global emissions of some pollutants. This paper estimates the effect of in utero exposure to these burns on infant health by examining the consequences of an abrupt, unanticipated increase in waste burning in Beirut. Difference-in-differences estimates indicate exposure increased premature births by four percentage points (50%) and low birth weight by five percentage points (80%), with even larger effects for those with more exposure. This suggests waste burning has significant implications for human health worldwide.
据估计,世界上40%的垃圾是在露天大火中焚烧的,这占全球某些污染物排放量的一半。本文通过研究贝鲁特废物焚烧突然、意外增加的后果,估计了子宫内接触这些烧伤对婴儿健康的影响。差异中的差异估计表明,接触会使早产增加4个百分点(50%),使低出生体重增加5个百分点(80%),对接触更多的人影响更大。这表明废物燃烧对全世界的人类健康有重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Human Resources
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