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The intensity of China’s climate change policy from 1992 to 2023: Measurement, evolution and consequence 1992 - 2023年中国气候变化政策强度:测度、演变与后果
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103667
Yilin Li , Jianfu Shen , Yaoyu Lin , Xinrui Liu
Climate change policies are essential in responding to climate change. This study investigates 1310 Chinese national climate policies from 1992 to 2023 by applying deep learning models (ERNIE 3.0, BERT, and RoBERTa) and measuring climate policy intensity from three dimensions, policy objective intensity, policy instrument intensity, and policy stringency intensity. The subsequent analysis focuses on how policy intensity impacts on urban carbon emissions. The analysis of climate policy intensity reveals that policy intensity growth aligns with China’s developmental trajectory. Measurable policy objectives (rather than policy quantity), diverse instruments, and systematic integration of administrative constraints with actionable measures are associated with enhancing policy intensity for mitigation and adaptation efforts. Further analysis suggests that greater policy intensity reduces subsequent carbon emissions in cities, particularly in non-carbon intensive cities, where flexible, tertiary-dominated economic structures facilitate stronger policy responses through technological upgrades and energy optimization. The consequences also indicate that climate policy intensity plays a significant role in achieving carbon neutrality. This study contributes to climate policy evaluation by developing a quantitative framework integrating theoretical and empirical analyses, enhances climate governance research by highlighting economic structure’s role in policy responsiveness, and advances policy formulation by leveraging deep learning for empirically validated, targeted strategies. These findings provide insights for optimizing climate policy design to achieve carbon neutrality and demonstrate the broader applicability of deep learning models in climate policy research, guiding policymakers toward effective, context-specific climate governance strategies.
气候变化政策对应对气候变化至关重要。本文运用ERNIE 3.0、BERT和RoBERTa深度学习模型,从政策目标强度、政策工具强度和政策严格强度三个维度对1992 - 2023年中国1310项国家气候政策进行了研究。随后的分析侧重于政策强度对城市碳排放的影响。对气候政策强度的分析表明,政策强度的增长符合中国的发展轨迹。可衡量的政策目标(而不是政策数量)、多样化的工具以及将行政限制与可采取行动的措施系统地结合起来,都与加强缓解和适应工作的政策强度有关。进一步分析表明,更大的政策强度可以减少城市后续的碳排放,特别是在非碳密集型城市,在这些城市,灵活的、以第三产业为主导的经济结构通过技术升级和能源优化促进了更强有力的政策响应。结果还表明,气候政策强度在实现碳中和方面发挥着重要作用。本研究通过建立一个整合理论和实证分析的定量框架,为气候政策评估做出了贡献;通过强调经济结构在政策响应中的作用,加强了气候治理研究;通过利用深度学习制定经验验证的、有针对性的策略,推进了政策制定。这些发现为优化气候政策设计以实现碳中和提供了见解,并展示了深度学习模型在气候政策研究中的更广泛适用性,指导决策者制定有效的、针对具体情况的气候治理策略。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Do the motivations behind home sales matter? Evidence from China's housing resale market” [Habitat International 166 (2025) 103625] “房屋销售背后的动机重要吗?”来自中国住房转售市场的证据”[Habitat International 166 (2025) 103625]
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103664
Yiqi Huang , Weida Kuang
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引用次数: 0
Group identification and political trust: A study on the influence and action mechanism of village leadership on farmers’ participation in public affairs 群体认同与政治信任:村领导对农民公共事务参与的影响及作用机制研究
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103645
Guanqing Xu, Yaqiu Su, Yuchun Zhu
Farmers are the backbone of rural societies, increasing their participation in public affairs is crucial for effective rural governance. Leadership is key to the success of community collective actions, with village leaders acting as essential agents in mobilizing residents. Using field survey data from 2023, this study empirically examines how village leadership influences farmers' participation in public affairs and the mechanisms behind it. The results show that: (1) Enhancing village leadership has a positive effect on motivating farmers to participate in village public affairs; (2) Mechanism analysis indicates that village leadership can promote farmers' participation in public affairs by strengthening their group identification and political trust; (3) The positive influence of village leadership is more pronounced in villages with collective industries and incentive systems but is weakened in contexts where strong clan networks or high levels of bureaucratic “administrativization” exist. This study proposes an improved analytical framework for analyzing how village leadership affects farmers’ participation in public affairs, considering community group identity and trust in village leaders as underlying mechanisms. It also enriches the empirical literature on village leadership within the field of rural governance.
农民是农村社会的中坚力量,增加农民对公共事务的参与对农村有效治理至关重要。领导是社区集体行动取得成功的关键,村领导在动员居民方面发挥着重要作用。本研究利用2023年的实地调查数据,实证考察了村领导如何影响农民参与公共事务及其背后的机制。结果表明:(1)加强村级领导对激励农民参与村级公共事务具有正向作用;(2)机制分析表明,村领导通过增强农民群体认同和政治信任,促进农民参与公共事务;(3)在拥有集体工业和激励制度的村庄,村级领导的积极影响更为明显,但在存在强大的宗族网络或高度官僚“行政化”的情况下,村级领导的积极影响减弱。本研究提出了一个改进的分析框架来分析村领导如何影响农民参与公共事务,将社区群体认同和对村领导的信任作为潜在机制。这也丰富了乡村治理领域中关于乡村领导的实证文献。
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引用次数: 0
Inhibiting or promoting? Impacts of non-grain expansion on cropland ecosystem services: Evidence from the Yangtze River Delta, China 抑制还是促进?非粮食扩张对农田生态系统服务的影响:来自长江三角洲的证据
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103656
Di Wang , Yue Su , Ran Yu , Xuemei Jiang , Xuan Liu , Jingjing Qian , Congmou Zhu , Shan He
Cropland ecosystems play a crucial role in achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of the United Nations. However, the non-grain production of cropland (NGPC) is becoming increasingly prominent, resulting in drastic changes in the type, pattern, and intensity of cropland. A comprehensive analysis of the impacts of NGPC on the ecosystem services (ESs) of cropland is essential for promoting the synergistic achievement of SDGs. This study examined the characteristics of the spatio-temporal evolution of NGPC and typical cropland ESs between 2000 and 2020 in the Yangtze River Delta, China. Using a spatial econometric model, the impact of non-grain conversion on cropland ESs was explored from the perspective of regional differences. The results indicated that the level of NGPC reached 49.74 % in the main grain marketing area (MGMA) in 2020, which was significantly higher than that in the main grain producing area (MGPA) (27.57 %). Food supply exhibited a continuous upward trend, while other cropland ESs showed an overall downward trend. Overall, NGPC significantly stimulated recreation service in both local and neighboring areas, while adversely affecting food supply and habitat quality. The heterogeneous analysis demonstrates that non-grain conversion adversely affects soil conservation in MGPA but promotes it within MGMA. This study offers valuable insights for optimizing future cropland utilization, implementing differentiated management strategies for NGPC, and advancing the achievement of SDGs.
农田生态系统在实现联合国可持续发展目标方面发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,耕地的非粮食生产日益突出,导致耕地的类型、格局和强度发生了巨大变化。综合分析NGPC对农田生态系统服务(ESs)的影响,对于促进可持续发展目标的协同实现至关重要。研究了2000 - 2020年长三角地区NGPC和典型农田ESs的时空演变特征。利用空间计量模型,从区域差异的角度探讨了非粮食转化对耕地生态环境的影响。结果表明:2020年,粮食主销区(MGMA) NGPC水平达到49.74%,显著高于粮食主产区(MGPA)的27.57%;粮食供给呈持续上升趋势,其他农田资源总体呈下降趋势。总体而言,NGPC显著刺激了当地和邻近地区的休闲服务,同时对食物供应和栖息地质量产生了不利影响。异质性分析表明,非粮食转化对MGPA内的土壤保持有不利影响,但对MGPA内的土壤保持有促进作用。该研究为优化未来耕地利用、实施NGPC差异化管理策略、推进可持续发展目标的实现提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Identification of cost-effective spatial priorities for cultivated land supplementation using an integrated framework 利用综合框架确定具有成本效益的耕地补充空间优先事项
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103630
Lesong Zhao , Ziyuan Qiao , Yingxuan Cheng , Guoqing Chen , Hongmei Wang , Guangsheng Liu
The identification of spatial priorities for cultivated land supplementation is crucial for improving the implementation efficiency of the cultivated land balance policy (CLBP) and ensuring food security. Previous studies have rarely considered supplementation costs or achieved cost-effective spatial priority allocation while also satisfying given policy target constraints. To address this gap, we propose a policy-constrained spatial prioritization framework that integrates a multidimensional cost assessment system with a spatial optimization model to identify cost-effective supplementation priorities. The framework was applied in Qingyuan, a typical region characterized by complex topography and diverse land supplementation sources. The results indicated that the framework enables cost-effective spatial optimization by significantly reducing costs while satisfying the dual constraints requiring balance in cultivated land quantity and quality, with selected units across the entire study area exhibiting a total cost index (TCI) per unit area that was only 39.82 % of that for unselected units, and a productivity index (PI) per unit area that increased by 15.44 %. Furthermore, implementing supplementation within cultivated land agglomeration zones (CLAZs) can further reduce the TCI per unit area by 30.92 %, decrease the number of selected units by 32.54 %, and further enhance the spatial contiguity of future cultivated land. Overall, this paper presents a framework that serves as an effective decision-support tool for targeted investment under the new round of the CLBP and offers valuable guidance for the formulation of cultivated land supplementation policies and plans in regions with comparable resource conditions or policy constraints.
耕地补充空间优先级的确定对于提高耕地平衡政策的实施效率和保障粮食安全至关重要。以往的研究很少考虑补充成本或在满足既定政策目标约束的情况下实现具有成本效益的空间优先分配。为了解决这一差距,我们提出了一个政策约束的空间优先级框架,该框架将多维成本评估系统与空间优化模型相结合,以确定具有成本效益的补充优先级。该框架以清远地区为例,该地区地形复杂,土地补充来源多样。结果表明,该框架在满足耕地数量和质量平衡的双重约束条件下,显著降低了成本,实现了具有成本效益的空间优化,研究区内选择单位的单位面积总成本指数(TCI)仅为未选择单位的39.82%,单位面积生产力指数(PI)提高了15.44%。此外,在耕地集聚区(CLAZs)内实施补充,可进一步降低单位面积TCI 30.92%,减少选择单位数量32.54%,进一步增强未来耕地的空间连通性。总体而言,本文提出的框架可作为新一轮CLBP下针对性投资的有效决策支持工具,并为具有可比资源条件或政策约束的地区制定耕地补充政策和规划提供有价值的指导。
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引用次数: 0
How does urban shrinkage influence urban resilience? Empirical evidence from Northeast China 城市收缩如何影响城市弹性?来自东北地区的经验证据
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103646
Yu Jin , Yanjun Liu , Guolei Zhou , Hongri Sun , Hanchun Wu
Shrinking cities urgently need to improve resilience and achieve long-term sustainable development. However, existing research often overlooks the resilience of shrinking cities and lacks understanding of how urban shrinkage influences the evolution of urban resilience. To address this gap, based on panel data from municipal districts in shrinking cities in Northeast China from 2013 to 2020, a panel fixed effects model and mediating effect model are applied to explore the influence mechanism of urban shrinkage on urban resilience. The study reveals that shrinking cities tend to be less resilient than growing cities. On a certain time scale, at the regional level, urban shrinkage may offer opportunities for shrinking cities to build resilience. However, the influence varies across dimensions. Further analysis indicates that urban shrinkage can promote urban resilience by influencing fiscal self-sufficiency, human capital, and environmental quality. This paper provides a systematic framework for the construction of resilience systems from an urban systems perspective and highlights the validity of multi-source data in urban resilience measurement. The research results are policy-oriented, offering valuable guidance for improving urban resilience and promoting sustainable development amid population decline.
不断缩小的城市迫切需要提高抵御能力,实现长期可持续发展。然而,现有的研究往往忽视了城市收缩的弹性,缺乏对城市收缩如何影响城市弹性演化的认识。针对这一空白,基于2013 - 2020年东北地区收缩城市市辖区的面板数据,运用面板固定效应模型和中介效应模型,探讨城市收缩对城市韧性的影响机制。研究表明,萎缩的城市往往不如增长的城市具有弹性。在一定的时间尺度上,在区域层面上,城市收缩可能为收缩的城市提供建立韧性的机会。然而,这种影响在不同的维度上有所不同。进一步分析表明,城市收缩可以通过影响财政自给自足、人力资本和环境质量来增强城市韧性。本文从城市系统的角度为弹性系统的构建提供了系统框架,并强调了多源数据在城市弹性测量中的有效性。研究结果具有政策性,为在人口下降的背景下提高城市韧性,促进可持续发展提供了有价值的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Do inter-governmental activities affect collaborative technological innovation? Evidence from Yangtze River Delta in China 政府间活动是否影响协同技术创新?来自中国长三角的证据
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103660
Zhaoyingzi Dong , Jiayan Shi , Yuanshuo Xu , Siqi Sun , Yan Wu , Xuelian Li
This study examines the impact of inter-governmental activities on collaborative technological innovation in the Yangtze River Delta, utilizing a dataset of invention patent authorizations and inter-governmental activities news from local government websites. The results reveal that inter-governmental activities significantly stimulate the growth of collaborative patents, underscoring their positive effects on cross-city technological innovation. Mechanism analysis indicates that inter-governmental activities promote the flow of innovative factors, enhance market attractiveness, and strengthen governmental resource allocation, all of which contribute to collaborative technological innovation. Heterogeneity analysis further shows that only inter-governmental activities of core-peripheral cities significantly enhances collaborative technological innovation, while activities between core-core or peripheral-peripheral cities do not show the same effect. Additionally, economically weaker cities yield greater innovation outcomes than stronger cities. These findings underscore the crucial but uneven role of inter-governmental activities in fostering cross-city technological innovation, highlighting important implications for promoting more equitable regional development.
本研究利用来自地方政府网站的发明专利授权数据集和政府间活动新闻,考察了政府间活动对长三角地区协同技术创新的影响。结果表明,政府间活动显著促进了协同专利的增长,对城市间技术创新具有显著的正向影响。机制分析表明,政府间活动促进了创新要素的流动,增强了市场吸引力,强化了政府资源配置,都有利于协同技术创新。异质性分析进一步表明,只有核心-周边城市的政府间活动显著促进了协同技术创新,而核心-核心或周边-周边城市的政府间活动并没有表现出同样的效果。此外,经济较弱的城市比经济较强的城市产生更大的创新成果。这些调查结果强调了政府间活动在促进跨城市技术创新方面的关键但不平衡的作用,突出了促进更公平的区域发展的重要影响。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial differentiation of cropland multifunctionality trade-offs and their drivers across urban-rural gradients: A case study of major grain-producing areas, China 农地多功能权衡的空间分异及其驱动因素——以中国主产区为例
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103661
Hongjie Peng , Xuesong Zhang , Ju He , Xiaowen Zhou , Qiuyu Zou , Pengfei Zhang
Coordinated development of cropland multifunctionality is crucial for optimizing land resource allocation and advancing agricultural sustainability. However, the spatial differentiation of cropland functions and their drivers across multiple urban-rural gradients have not been systematically explored, posing a significant barrier to achieving high-quality agricultural development. To broaden the research perspective, this study systematically evaluates the spatial differentiation of cropland production-living-ecological functions (PLEFs) across multiple urban-rural gradients in the Jianghan Plain. It further reveals the trade-offs and synergies among these functions and identifies their key drivers. The results show that cropland PLEFs exhibit significant spatial heterogeneity along the urban-rural gradient: rural clusters and low-density rural grid cells demonstrate relatively stronger production function (PF), while dense and semi-dense urban cluster grid cells exhibit higher living function (LF), and ecological function (EF) is particularly prominent in low-density rural grid cells. Across different gradients, cropland PLEFs exhibit complex nonlinear patterns of trade-offs and synergies, with rural areas showing PF-EF trade-offs driven by distinct mechanisms. PF-LF trade-offs along the urban-rural gradient first intensify moving from urban to rural areas and then gradually weaken. Moreover, cropland PLEFs are jointly shaped by human activities, climatic conditions, and geomorphic features, with their influences varying considerably across urban-rural gradients. Building on the identified trade-offs and drivers, this research proposes differentiated optimization strategies to foster coordinated economic, social, and ecological benefits. The findings offer scientific guidance for land-use planning, agricultural policy, and ecological conservation in major grain-producing areas, thereby supporting regional agricultural sustainability.
农田多功能协调发展是优化土地资源配置、促进农业可持续发展的关键。然而,耕地功能的空间分异及其驱动因素在多城乡梯度上尚未得到系统的探索,这对实现农业高质量发展构成了重大障碍。为了拓宽研究视角,本研究系统评价了江汉平原农田生产-生活-生态功能(PLEFs)在城乡梯度上的空间分异。它进一步揭示了这些功能之间的权衡和协同作用,并确定了它们的关键驱动因素。结果表明:在城乡梯度上,耕地plef表现出显著的空间异质性:农村集群和低密度农村网格细胞具有较强的生产功能(PF),而密集和半密集的城市群网格细胞具有较高的生活功能(LF),而低密度农村网格细胞的生态功能(EF)尤为突出。在不同的梯度中,农田plef表现出复杂的非线性权衡和协同效应模式,农村地区表现出由不同机制驱动的PF-EF权衡。城乡梯度上的PF-LF权衡首先从城市向农村加剧,然后逐渐减弱。此外,耕地PLEFs是由人类活动、气候条件和地貌特征共同塑造的,其影响在城乡梯度上差异很大。在此基础上,本研究提出了差异化的优化策略,以促进经济、社会和生态效益的协调。研究结果可为粮食主产区土地利用规划、农业政策和生态保护提供科学指导,从而支持区域农业可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental drivers of housing prices and thermal inequality using satellite imagery: A submarket approach 使用卫星图像的房价和热不平等的环境驱动因素:次级市场方法
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103628
Ali Soltani , Chyi Lin Lee , Roghayeh Mirzaie , Mohsen Roohani Qadikolaei
This study explores how environmental conditions shape housing prices across different neighborhoods. By combining satellite imagery with data from over 32,000 property transactions in Tehran, we investigate how environmental factors, including greenery, urban heat islands, and urban density, affect housing values. Our analysis reveals that environmental quality, as measured by indicators such as vegetation, urban heat island effects, and urban density, is a significant determinant of housing prices. However, clear spatial inequalities exist, where wealthier northern districts benefit from cooler temperatures and better-managed green spaces, which in turn boost property values. In contrast, residents in southern and peripheral areas face higher heat exposure and limited vegetation, contributing to lower housing prices. These patterns reflect deeper issues of environmental injustice, where access to green amenities and climate comfort is unevenly distributed. To address this, we recommend targeted investments in green infrastructure, particularly in underserved areas, and greater integration of environmental criteria into housing and urban planning policies.
本研究探讨了环境条件如何影响不同社区的房价。通过将卫星图像与德黑兰超过32,000笔房地产交易的数据相结合,我们研究了包括绿化、城市热岛和城市密度在内的环境因素如何影响住房价值。我们的分析表明,以植被、城市热岛效应和城市密度等指标衡量的环境质量是房价的重要决定因素。然而,明显的空间不平等是存在的,较富裕的北部地区受益于较低的温度和管理较好的绿地,这反过来又推高了房地产价值。相比之下,南部和周边地区的居民面临更高的热量暴露和有限的植被,这有助于降低房价。这些模式反映了更深层次的环境不公正问题,即获得绿色设施和气候舒适的机会分布不均。为了解决这个问题,我们建议对绿色基础设施进行有针对性的投资,特别是在服务欠缺的地区,并将环境标准更多地纳入住房和城市规划政策。
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引用次数: 0
Awakening dormant intangible cultural Heritage: Bridging capital, capacity, and change for rural sustainability 唤醒休眠的非物质文化遗产:连接资本、能力和农村可持续发展的变化
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103654
Pengcheng Xue , Ying Dong , Fang Wang , Shunyi Wang , Wanyi Su , Chao Ning
Against the backdrop of widespread rural depopulation and poverty globally, intangible cultural heritage (ICH) has emerged as pivotal cultural capital for activating endogenous rural development. However, numerous rural areas face a contradictory situation of being "ICH-rich but development-poor" phenomenon. The fundamental issue lies in the unclear pathway and mechanism for converting ICH into socioeconomic benefits. This study constructs an analytical framework of " Cultural Capital → Locality-Adaptation Capacity → Socioeconomic Change". By examining 689 villages in Huangshan City, China, this study employs structural equation modeling to analyze the multiple mediating mechanisms through which two forms of ICH drive rural socioeconomic transformation by enhancing four dimensions of locality-adaptation capacity, supplemented by qualitative evidence to achieve dual validation of socioeconomic value and expand the mechanisms of cultural value. Key findings indicate: (1) Enhanced locality-adaptation capacity effectively converts ICH into a driving force for endogenous development; (2) Among the four locality-adaptation capacities, cultural-tourism synergy capacity and educational infrastructure capacity serve as crucial positive mediators; (3) Embodied ICH demonstrates greater potential for development through capacity-building than objectified ICH. The study recommends policy designs that support heritage bearers, optimize tourism-culture synergies, establish educational empowerment mechanisms, and balance transportation development with ICH preservation. This research contributes both a quantitative paradigm for decoding cultural resource transformation in rural revitalization and empirical evidence for aligning ICH preservation with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.
在全球农村人口普遍减少和贫困的背景下,非物质文化遗产(ICH)已成为激活农村内生发展的关键文化资本。然而,许多农村地区面临着“富而不富”的矛盾局面。根本问题在于非物质文化遗产转化为社会经济效益的途径和机制不明确。本研究构建了“文化资本→地域-适应能力→社会经济变迁”的分析框架。本研究以黄山市689个村落为研究对象,运用结构方程模型分析了两种形式的非物质文化遗产通过提升地域适应能力四个维度驱动乡村社会经济转型的多重中介机制,并辅以定性证据,实现社会经济价值的双重验证和文化价值机制的拓展。主要研究结果表明:(1)地方适应能力的增强有效地将非物质文化遗产转化为内生发展的驱动力;(2)在四种地方适应能力中,文化旅游协同能力和教育基础设施能力是重要的正向中介;(3)具体化的非物质文化遗产通过能力建设比具体化的非物质文化遗产表现出更大的发展潜力。该研究建议政策设计应支持遗产持有者,优化旅游文化协同效应,建立教育赋权机制,并平衡交通发展与非物质文化遗产保护。本研究为解读乡村振兴中的文化资源转型提供了定量范式,也为将非物质文化遗产保护与联合国可持续发展目标相结合提供了实证证据。
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