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An empirical study on the impact of green transition of farmland use on agricultural economic growth: A case of Hubei Province of China 农田利用绿色转型对农业经济增长影响的实证研究:以中国湖北省为例
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103090
Haiying Cui , Shangan Ke , Xinhai Lu

Farmland use challenges reflect the current complexities facing China's agricultural economic development. This study focuses on 70 counties in Hubei Province of China, with the objective of exploring the spatial relationship between green transition of farmland use and agricultural economic growth. Furthermore, it seeks to quantify their effects and assess regional heterogeneity. Here are the findings: (1) There is a notable positive spatial correlation observed between agricultural economic growth and the various subsystems as well as factor layers of the green transition of farmland use. (2) The optimization of the quantity and form of farmland has a positive promoting effect on agricultural economic growth in both the local county and adjoining counties. In contrast, the spatial pattern, ecological function, intensive use, and environmental friendliness of farmland have a negative effect. (3) The influence factors of the green transition of farmland use on agricultural economic growth show significant spatial heterogeneity, with the overall effect degree being in the following order: northern hillock, central plain, western mountain range, and eastern hills. The influence on neighboring agricultural economic growth also exhibits significant spatial differentiation, with the overall effect degree following this order: eastern hills, northern hillock, central plain, and western mountain range. Targeted suggestions are proposed to promote the green transition of farmland use and achieve sustainable agricultural economic growth.

耕地利用挑战反映了当前中国农业经济发展所面临的复杂性。本研究以中国湖北省 70 个县为研究对象,旨在探讨耕地利用绿色转型与农业经济增长之间的空间关系。此外,本研究还试图量化二者的影响并评估区域异质性。研究结果如下:(1)农业经济增长与耕地利用绿色转型的各子系统和要素层之间存在明显的空间正相关关系。(2)耕地数量和形态的优化对本县和毗邻县的农业经济增长具有积极的促进作用。相比之下,耕地的空间格局、生态功能、集约利用和环境友好则具有负面影响。(3)耕地利用绿色转型对农业经济增长的影响因素呈现出显著的空间异质性,总体影响程度依次为:北部丘陵、中部平原、西部山脉、东部丘陵。对周边农业经济增长的影响也表现出明显的空间差异性,总体影响程度依次为:东部丘陵、北部岗地、中部平原、西部山地。为促进耕地利用的绿色转型,实现农业经济的可持续增长提出了有针对性的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating spatial patterns and driving factors of cultural ecosystem services into territorial spatial governance: A case study of the Horqin Sandy Land with multi-ethnic settlements 将文化生态系统服务的空间模式和驱动因素纳入国土空间治理:多民族聚居的科尔沁沙地案例研究
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103093
Wenjie Zhu , Zhonghao Zhang , Hanbing Zhang , Renchinmyadag Tovuudorj

Although the spatial patterns of cultural ecosystem services (CES) are often considered in land use management, there is a noticeable disparity in research coverage compared to biophysical ecosystem services (BES). Moreover, there is a lack of research focusing on human perceptions of CES. To address this gap, this study proposed a CES-BES framework that integrates spatial patterns, driving factors of CES, and their interactions with BES, based on the general framework of social and ecological systems. To alleviate the dual pressures of ecological degradation and cultural preservation, this study utilized the constructed CES-BES framework to offer land use recommendations aimed at promoting sustainable development in the Horqin Sandy Land. CES and BES were quantified through a combination of questionnaire surveys, SolVES model and process modeling, including aesthetic, biodiversity, cultural, economic, future, and historical values, as well as net primary productivity, crop production, wind protection, and sand fixation. The results revealed that CES in the Horqin Sandy Land exhibited a discernible pattern of "high in the west and low in the east." Notably, the factors perceived by respondents exerted a more substantial influence on CES than non-perceptual factors. Female respondents showed relatively lower sensitivity to CES overall, but higher sensitivity to biodiversity. Han respondents tended to prioritize biodiversity, while Mongolian respondents were more sensitive to cultural and historical values. Herders exhibited higher sensitivity to biodiversity, while respondents from other occupations showed higher sensitivity to cultural and future values. The influence of land use, topography, and accessibility on different CES was generally similar. All CES showed a positive correlation with elevation, slope, and distance to water, while they showed a negative correlation with distance to roads. Based on the results, the Horqin Sandy Land has been divided into five regions, with development recommendations provided for each region to ensure sustainable development. This study provides a novel perspective and methodological framework for CES supporting territorial spatial governance and land use management, contributing to a more comprehensive understanding of CES.

尽管在土地利用管理中经常会考虑文化生态系统服务(CES)的空间模式,但与生物物理生态系统服务(BES)相比,研究覆盖面存在明显差距。此外,也缺乏对人类对 CES 感知的研究。为了弥补这一不足,本研究基于社会和生态系统的总体框架,提出了一个 CES-BES 框架,该框架整合了 CES 的空间模式、驱动因素及其与 BES 的相互作用。为了缓解生态退化和文化保护的双重压力,本研究利用构建的 CES-BES 框架提出了旨在促进科尔沁沙地可持续发展的土地利用建议。通过问卷调查、SolVES 模型和过程模型,对 CES 和 BES 进行了量化,包括美学价值、生物多样性价值、文化价值、经济价值、未来价值和历史价值,以及净初级生产力、作物产量、防风固沙等。结果显示,科尔沁沙地的 CES 呈现出 "西高东低 "的明显模式。值得注意的是,与非感知因素相比,受访者感知因素对 CES 的影响更大。女性受访者对 CES 的总体敏感度相对较低,但对生物多样性的敏感度较高。汉族受访者倾向于优先考虑生物多样性,而蒙古族受访者对文化和历史价值更为敏感。牧民对生物多样性的敏感度更高,而其他职业的受访者对文化和未来价值的敏感度更高。土地利用、地形和交通便利程度对不同 CES 的影响大致相同。所有 CES 都与海拔、坡度和水源距离呈正相关,而与道路距离呈负相关。根据研究结果,科尔沁沙地被划分为五个区域,并为每个区域提供了发展建议,以确保可持续发展。本研究为支持国土空间治理和土地利用管理的 CES 提供了新的视角和方法框架,有助于更全面地了解 CES。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainability under policy transitions in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China: Historical and the shared socio-economic pathways 中国长江经济带政策转型下的可持续性:历史与共同的社会经济路径
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103091
Hongyan Bian , Yaxue Zhao , Jie Gao , Shiya wen , Jiaxuan Sun

China has responded to the sustainability challenges via a range of policies with evolving objectives in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YEB) since the 1990s. However, the multi-scale analysis of YEB's comprehensive sustainability and the human-environment nexus amid policy impact remains unexplored. A comprehensive review and forecast of historical and future sustainability pathways under policy impacts are imperative. Here, we systematically examined sustainability under ten National Policies (NPs) and Regional Development Policies (RDPs), forecasting Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) in the 21st Century using the entropy weight method and machine learning models. We found that RDPs have contributed to 1.6 times increase in human development from 2000 to 2018 across dimensions of demography, economy, and society in YEB. However, it also revealed that the west-east disparity has widened from 0.14 to 0.19 during this period. Conservation efforts and national initiatives for ecological civilization have led to environmental improvement in the YEB, especially after the RDP3 in 2014, when the eastern provinces, like Shanghai, have already surpassed the peak inverted U-shape curve of the environmental-human nexus. Among the SSPs, SSP1 shows the most sustainable scenario with the lowest ecological footprint at 6.2 hm2 per capita and the highest value of regional sustainability and environmental subsystem. To achieve SSP1, an iterative, inclusive, and context-specific Science-Policy-Practice dialogue is essential. This enables feedback loops and collaboration among policymakers, scientists, and practitioners to foster regional sustainability by studying the implications of historical and future pathways.

自 20 世纪 90 年代以来,中国在长江经济带(YEB)通过一系列目标不断变化的政策来应对可持续发展的挑战。然而,在政策影响下,对 YEB 的综合可持续性和人类与环境关系的多尺度分析仍有待探索。全面回顾和预测政策影响下的历史和未来可持续发展路径势在必行。在此,我们系统地研究了十项国家政策(NPs)和地区发展政策(RDPs)下的可持续性,并利用熵权法和机器学习模型预测了 21 世纪的共享社会经济路径(SSPs)。我们发现,从 2000 年到 2018 年,RDP 在 YEB 的人口、经济和社会等维度上促进了人类发展的 1.6 倍增长。但同时也发现,在此期间,西-东差距从 0.14 扩大到了 0.19。生态保护的努力和国家生态文明建设的举措使 YEB 地区的环境得到了改善,尤其是在 2014 年 RDP3 之后,东部省份(如上海)已经超过了环境与人类关系倒 U 型曲线的峰值。在各种可持续发展方案中,可持续发展方案 1 是最具可持续性的方案,其生态足迹最低,仅为人均 6.2 hm2,区域可持续性和环境子系统的价值最高。要实现 SSP1,迭代、包容和针对具体情况的 "科学-政策-实践 "对话至关重要。这可以在政策制定者、科学家和实践者之间形成反馈回路并开展合作,通过研究历史和未来路径的影响来促进区域可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Towards sustainability: The spatiotemporal patterns and influence mechanism of urban sprawl intensity in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration 迈向可持续性:长江三角洲城市群城市扩张强度的时空格局与影响机制
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103089
Tiangui Lv , Han Hu , Haoying Han , Xinmin Zhang , Houbao Fan , Kegao Yan

Urban sprawl has been a great challenge to current sustainable development goals, especially in urban agglomeration areas. Based on the nighttime light and WorldPop population grid data from 2011 to 2020, this study established a multidimensional evaluation system of urban sprawl intensity in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration (YRDUA) with a "scale-density-structure" framework. The Dagum Gini coefficient, spatial Markov chain, and econometric analysis were applied to analyze urban sprawl intensity. The results suggested that: (1) the urban sprawl intensities of the cities in the YRDUA became more imbalanced over the decade; (2) the mild sprawl cities were dominant in the study area, but the moderate and severe sprawl cities were mostly located in the west and the only inland province--Anhui; (3) the spatial distribution of urban sprawl intensity indicated "club convergence" and strong spatial correlation effect, but poor stability; and (4) land resource mismatch and population urbanization were the main explanatory variables for urban sprawl intensity, with large cities more sensitive to the former, and medium cities to the latter. These findings can provide important policy implications to sustainable development and compact growth.

城市无序扩张一直是当前可持续发展目标面临的巨大挑战,尤其是在城市群地区。本研究基于 2011 年至 2020 年的夜光数据和 WorldPop 人口网格数据,以 "规模-密度-结构 "为框架,建立了长三角城市群城市无序扩张强度的多维评价体系。应用达古姆基尼系数、空间马尔可夫链和计量经济学分析方法对城市扩张强度进行了分析。结果表明(1)长三角地区各城市的城市扩张强度在十年间变得更加不平衡;(2)轻度扩张城市在研究区域内占主导地位,但中度和重度扩张城市主要分布在西部和唯一的内陆省份--安徽;(4)土地资源错配和人口城市化是城市扩张强度的主要解释变量,大城市对前者更为敏感,中等城市对后者更为敏感。这些发现可以为可持续发展和紧凑型增长提供重要的政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
Evolution pattern and mechanism of rural areal functions in Xi'an metropolitan area, China 中国西安大都市区乡村区域功能的演变模式与机制
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103088
Xiaochen Wang , Yansui Liu , Yajing Shao , Shunke Li

Metropolitan areas, which are considered the most dynamic regions for economic and social development, are undergoing intense evolution within their rural areas. However, few studies have comprehensively explored their functional evolution. This study employed multi-source data and multiple methods to measure the evolution characteristics and mechanism of rural areal functions (RAF) in Xi'an metropolitan area of China from 2000 to 2020. The results indicate that these functions were significantly improved. The spatial pattern presents a multi-functional circle structure extending outward with “economic development, agricultural production, and ecological preservation” as the dominant functions, and emerged in urban-, rural-, and integration-oriented evolution patterns. The relationship among sub-functions become more coordinated, with shifting from an agriculture-centric to a multi-functional development model. Furthermore, it was observed that the external pull mechanism, internal push mechanism, and regulatory mechanism of policies and markets work collectively to drive functions' evolution. Finally, suggestions are proposed based on 3 types of evolution-oriented, to provide reference for other metropolitan rural areas even lagging villages to explore the development path and realize rural revitalization.

大都市地区被认为是经济和社会发展最具活力的地区,其农村地区也在经历着激烈的演变。然而,很少有研究对其功能演变进行全面探讨。本研究采用多源数据和多种方法,测量了中国西安大都市区 2000-2020 年农村区域功能(RAF)的演变特征和机制。结果表明,这些功能得到了显著改善。空间格局呈现出以 "经济发展、农业生产、生态保护 "为主导的多功能圈层结构向外延伸,并出现了以城市、农村和一体化为导向的演化模式。随着以农业为中心的发展模式向多功能发展模式转变,各子功能之间的关系更加协调。此外,研究还发现,外部拉动机制、内部推动机制以及政策和市场的调节机制共同推动了功能的演变。最后,基于三类演化导向提出建议,为其他都市农村地区甚至落后乡村探索发展路径、实现乡村振兴提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of rural land transfer on the living satisfaction of middle-aged rural residents and the implications: A perspective of land attachment 农村土地流转对中年农村居民生活满意度的影响及启示:土地依附的视角
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103085
Zhou Zhou , Ling Tan , Lulu Qu , Yurui Li , Xi Chen

Globally, rural land transfer (RLT) is a common phenomenon with recurring characteristics. As the most populous country on Earth, China’s RLT affects the stability and sustainability of global food production. Studies to date examining RLT and subjective welfare changes among rural residents, and few studies have explored the perspective of middle-aged rural residents. This paper empirically explores the impact of land transfer out on the living satisfaction of middle-aged rural residents using ordered probit regression models, based on the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) data. The findings reveal that RLT has a significant negative impact on the living satisfaction of middle-aged rural residents. Group regression tests based on household income structure and security ability show that land attachment is an important mechanism by which land transfer out affects the living satisfaction of middle-aged rural residents. The higher the intensity of dependence on the land, the more significant the inhibitory effect of land transfer out on living satisfaction. However, RLT has no significant effect on the living satisfaction of female middle-aged rural residents. Additionally, expanding social networks and use of the Internet to access more sources of information are conducive to mitigating the negative effect of land transfer out on the living satisfaction of middle-aged rural residents. Lastly, the negative effect of land transfer out on the living satisfaction of middle-aged rural residents is significant in the eastern district or the region with lower willingness to migrate. Overall, our research can offer ideas for understanding the living satisfaction of middle-aged rural residents and exploring the improving path of the social network size and Internet information channel use on the living satisfaction of middle-aged rural residents under the rural revitalization background. Further, it can provide scientific reference for rural land use management, land policy decisions related to land transfer out initiatives, and ultimately contributing to a well-structured approach towards rural revitalization.

在全球范围内,农村土地流转(RLT)是一种具有反复性的普遍现象。作为地球上人口最多的国家,中国的土地流转影响着全球粮食生产的稳定性和可持续性。迄今为止,有关农村土地流转与农村居民主观福利变化的研究,很少从中年农村居民的视角进行探讨。本文基于中国家庭面板研究(CFPS)数据,采用有序 probit 回归模型,实证探讨了土地流转退出对中年农村居民生活满意度的影响。研究结果表明,土地流转对中年农村居民的生活满意度有显著的负向影响。基于家庭收入结构和保障能力的分组回归检验表明,土地依附是土地流转退出影响中年农村居民生活满意度的重要机制。对土地的依赖程度越高,土地流出对生活满意度的抑制作用越明显。然而,土地流转对女性中年农村居民的生活满意度没有显著影响。此外,扩大社交网络和使用互联网获取更多信息有利于缓解土地流出对中年农村居民生活满意度的负面影响。最后,土地流出对中年农村居民生活满意度的负面影响在东部地区或迁移意愿较低的地区显著。总之,我们的研究可以为理解乡村振兴背景下中年农村居民的生活满意度,探索社会网络规模和互联网信息渠道使用对中年农村居民生活满意度的提升路径提供思路。此外,还可为农村土地利用管理、土地流转相关土地政策决策提供科学参考,最终为乡村振兴的有序推进做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Dwindling funds and increased responsibilities: Decentralization, unfunded mandates, and Harare's infrastructure crisis 资金减少,责任加重:权力下放、没有经费的任务和哈拉雷的基础设施危机
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103087
Brandon Marc Finn , Elmond Bandauko

Zimbabwe's capital city, Harare, faces severe infrastructural challenges. The city is presented with major constraints in its ability to adequately provide services for its growing population while losing essential streams of revenue required for infrastructural maintenance and development. This occurs in the context of the decentralization from the Zimbabwean national government to its cities. Cities like Harare are tasked with mandates to govern but are not provided the adequate financial means nor support to sustain their population or aging infrastructure. In this paper, we study this issue by conducting a broad literature review on decentralization and unfunded urban mandates, before narrowing our focus to decentralization and urban governance in sub-Saharan Africa. We then interrogate Harare as a case study, drawing on two rounds of interviews in 2015 and 2022 to identify key aspects of Harare's infrastructure crisis, which we tie to its unfunded mandates. We conducted 51 semi-structured expert interviews, and 4 extensive focus groups with a total of 32 people in order to revisit key themes that were prevalent during the first round of interviews. This was complemented by a review and analysis of national and city budgets and other relevant reports to demonstrate trends on revenue generation, capital expenditure and dynamics around intergovernmental fiscal transfers (IGFTs). We offer novel insights into Harare's infrastructure crisis, while also raising several urban financing and decentralization themes that are applicable from a global perspective.

津巴布韦首都哈拉雷面临着严峻的基础设施挑战。该市在为日益增长的人口提供充分服务的能力方面受到严重制约,同时也失去了基 础设施维护和发展所需的重要收入来源。这是在津巴布韦国家政府向城市下放权力的背景下发生的。哈拉雷等城市被赋予了治理任务,但却没有获得足够的财政手段或支持来维持其人口或老化的基础设施。在本文中,我们通过对权力下放和无资金支持的城市任务进行广泛的文献综述来研究这一问题,然后将重点缩小到撒哈拉以南非洲的权力下放和城市治理。然后,我们将哈拉雷作为一个案例进行研究,利用 2015 年和 2022 年的两轮访谈,确定哈拉雷基础设施危机的关键方面,并将其与资金不足的任务联系起来。我们进行了 51 次半结构化专家访谈和 4 次广泛的焦点小组讨论,共有 32 人参加,以重新审视第一轮访谈中普遍存在的关键主题。此外,我们还对国家和城市预算以及其他相关报告进行了审查和分析,以展示创收趋势、资本支出以及政府间财政转移支付 (IGFT) 的动态。我们对哈拉雷的基础设施危机提出了新颖的见解,同时也提出了几个适用于全球视角的城市融资和权力下放主题。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts and perspectives of the COVID-19 pandemic on urban-rural linkages in Rwanda COVID-19 大流行病对卢旺达城乡联系的影响和展望
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103071
Ilija Gubić , Manuel Wolff , Andrew Kabera

Marketplaces are regarded as essential public spaces, providing not only access to fresh produce but also functioning as important social infrastructures. Marketplaces also strengthen urban-rural linkages, and their functioning is important for the livelihoods of urban and rural dwellers. However, many marketplaces closed down or had to adhere to various restrictions in response to the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak. This paper provides an assessment of the impacts and perspectives of the COVID-19 pandemic on urban-rural linkages in the Musanze District in Rwanda. In addition, the study presents policy measures in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic that the Government of Rwanda put in place in 2020 that impacted the urban-rural flow of people and goods, with severe implications for market vendors’ livelihoods. This paper also answers on how have COVID-19 related policy reactions in Rwanda influenced urban-rural linkages, learning from Musanze District. Combining research conducted at markets in the Musanze District before and during the COVID-19 pandemic movement restrictions, this paper provides recommendations on market infrastructure upgrades necessary for markets to become more resilient and better functioning in preparation for any new public health crisis occurring.

集市被视为重要的公共空间,不仅提供新鲜农产品,还发挥着重要的社会基础设施的作用。集市还加强了城乡联系,其运作对城乡居民的生计非常重要。然而,在 COVID-19 冠状病毒爆发后,许多集贸市场关闭或不得不遵守各种限制规定。本文评估了 COVID-19 大流行对卢旺达穆桑泽区城乡联系的影响和前景。此外,本研究还介绍了卢旺达政府在 2020 年针对 COVID-19 大流行采取的政策措施,这些措施影响了城乡之间的人员和货物流动,对市场商贩的生计造成了严重影响。本文还以穆桑泽区为鉴,回答了卢旺达与 COVID-19 相关的政策反应如何影响了城乡联系。结合在 COVID-19 大流行行动限制之前和期间对穆桑泽区市场进行的研究,本文就市场基础设施的升级提出了必要的建议,以提高市场的复原力和功能,为任何新的公共卫生危机的发生做好准备。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the “conflict-coordination” theoretical model of regional land use transitions: Empirical evidence from the interconversion between cropland and rural settlements in the lower yellow river, China 理解区域土地利用转型的 "冲突-协调 "理论模型:中国黄河下游耕地与农村居民点相互转换的经验证据
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103072
Bailin Zhang , Jinhua Zhai , Bingqian Zhai , Yanbo Qu

The “conflict-coordination” theoretical model of regional land use transitions put forward by Long (2022) offers a fresh perspective for understanding the process of regional land use and the decision-making dynamics involved. However, being a novel theory, empirical evidence supporting this theoretical model is currently lacking. Consequently, this paper aims to validate the theoretical model using the lower Yellow River basin in China as a case study, focusing on the interconversion between cropland and rural settlements. The findings reveal that the rural land use transitions primarily manifest as an initial conversion of cropland to rural settlements, followed gradually by the reverse conversion of rural settlements back to cropland. The conversion of cropland to rural settlements prior to 2015 are regarded as the land use conflict phase, resulting in conflicts between construction departments and cropland protection departments, and deviation from national cropland protection goals. The conversion of rural settlements to cropland between 2015 and 2020 is regarded as the land use conflict-coordination phase, which mitigated pressure on cropland protection and resolved conflicts between the above-mentioned departments. The land use conflict phase was driven by socio-economic factors such as urbanization and rural economic development, whereas the land use conflict-coordination phase was primarily driven by cropland protection policies. This paper effectively elucidates the “conflict-coordination” theoretical model of regional land use transitions and provides a framework for evaluating rural land management policies in China.

Long (2022 年)提出的区域土地利用转型的 "冲突-协调 "理论模型为理解区域土地利用过程和相关决策动态提供了一个全新的视角。然而,作为一种新理论,目前还缺乏支持这一理论模型的实证证据。因此,本文以中国黄河下游流域为例,重点研究耕地与农村居民点之间的相互转换,旨在验证该理论模型。研究结果表明,农村土地利用转型主要表现为耕地向农村居民点的初始转换,随后农村居民点逐渐向耕地的反向转换。2015 年之前的耕地向农村居民点转化被视为土地利用冲突阶段,导致建设部门与耕地保护部门之间的矛盾,偏离国家耕地保护目标。2015 年至 2020 年的农村居民点改耕地被视为土地利用冲突协调阶段,缓解了耕地保护压力,解决了上述部门之间的矛盾。土地利用冲突阶段由城镇化和农村经济发展等社会经济因素驱动,而土地利用冲突协调阶段则主要由耕地保护政策驱动。本文有效地阐明了区域土地利用转型的 "冲突-协调 "理论模型,为评估中国农村土地管理政策提供了一个框架。
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引用次数: 0
The unseen population: Do we underestimate slum dwellers in cities of the Global South? 看不见的人口:我们是否低估了全球南部城市中的贫民窟居民?
IF 6.8 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103056
Julius H.P. Breuer , John Friesen , Hannes Taubenböck , Michael Wurm , Peter F. Pelz

The Sustainable development goals (SDG) aim for reducing poverty (SDG 1) and to upgrade all slums (SDG 11). The first indicator in SDG 11 describes the proportion of the urban population residing in slums. However, the currently available data is based on national estimates that follow globally varying methodologies and concepts. In this paper, a uniform approach is implemented to obtain slum population estimates in eight different cities from three continents. The approach relies on earth observation datasets on the spatial extent of the slums and one of the most accepted gridded population dataset: WorldPop. The results shed light on the distribution of population in slums around the world. Nevertheless, the question of the accuracy of these population numbers arises. Therefore, a broad range of literature data containing population counts is gathered for the cities investigated, for varying years and for different spatial scales. The literature data is compared to results obtained by the presented approach. The comparison yields a plausibility assessment for different cities, indicating varying levels of deviation. We find in all cities a clear bias in estimating the slum population - mostly underestimations -, even though some cities reveal a significantly better fit to the data. In conclusion, this study provides a methodology to systematically assess the accuracy of globally available datasets in the context of slums and thereby to highlight the large uncertainties which can empirically be observed.

可持续发展目标(SDG)旨在减少贫困(SDG 1)和改造所有贫民窟(SDG 11)。可持续发展目标 11 的第一个指标描述了居住在贫民窟的城市人口比例。然而,目前可用的数据是基于各国的估算,这些估算所采用的方法和概念在全球范围内各不相同。本文采用统一方法,对三大洲八个不同城市的贫民窟人口进行估算。该方法依赖于有关贫民窟空间范围的地球观测数据集和最被认可的网格人口数据集之一:WorldPop。研究结果揭示了世界各地贫民窟的人口分布情况。然而,这些人口数字的准确性问题也随之而来。因此,我们为所调查的城市收集了不同年份和不同空间尺度的大量包含人口数量的文献数据。文献数据与本文介绍的方法得出的结果进行了比较。通过比较,我们对不同城市进行了可信度评估,结果显示出不同程度的偏差。我们发现所有城市在估算贫民窟人口时都存在明显的偏差--主要是低估,尽管有些城市的数据拟合度明显更高。总之,这项研究提供了一种方法,可以系统地评估全球现有贫民窟数据集的准确性,从而凸显根据经验可以观察到的巨大不确定性。
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