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Urban vacant land identification and its distribution rules of China's urban system based on fast segment anything model 基于快速分段任何模型的中国城市体系城市空地识别及其分布规律
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103663
Xinyu Wang , Ying Long
Urban Vacant Land (UVL) is both a resource and a challenge for sustainable urban development. However, large-scale UVL identification remains understudied. This study addresses this gap by proposing an innovative automated UVL identification method utilizing the cutting-edge Segment Anything Model (SAM), applied across all 2446 Natural Cities (NCs) in China. Our findings reveal several distribution patterns. First, the UVL ratio, which refers to the proportion of the UVL area in each NC, follows a log-normal distribution and remains independent of city size. Second, the UVL area adheres to Zipf's law and scaling law, where larger cities tend to have larger UVL areas. Third, we identify five distinct UVL spatial types based on intra-city distribution patterns. In large cities, UVL tends to cluster to form local types, while in smaller cities, they are more dispersed, forming central, peripheral, and scatter types. Forth, regional analysis reveals significant spatial heterogeneity in UVL types across China. Global and peripheral types require special attention, as they present unique challenges due to high UVL ratios and larger average UVL sizes. This study not only advances the methodological framework for UVL identification and providing a comprehensive UVL dataset for China, but also delivers actionable insights for sustainable urban development through the application of AI technology.
城市空地既是城市可持续发展的资源,也是城市可持续发展的挑战。然而,大规模的紫外线识别仍有待进一步研究。本研究提出了一种创新的自动UVL识别方法,利用尖端的细分模型(SAM)解决了这一问题,该方法应用于中国所有2446个自然城市(nc)。我们的发现揭示了几种分布模式。首先,UVL比率,即UVL面积在每个NC中的比例,遵循对数正态分布,并且与城市规模无关。其次,UVL面积符合Zipf定律和比例定律,大城市的UVL面积越大。第三,基于城市内部分布模式,我们确定了五种不同的UVL空间类型。在大城市中,UVL倾向于聚集形成局部型,而在较小的城市中,UVL则更加分散,形成中心型、外围型和分散型。第四,区域分析显示中国UVL类型具有显著的空间异质性。全局和外围类型需要特别注意,因为它们由于高UVL比率和较大的平均UVL尺寸而呈现出独特的挑战。本研究不仅推进了UVL识别的方法框架,为中国提供了一个全面的UVL数据集,而且通过应用人工智能技术为可持续城市发展提供了可操作的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Fragmented landscapes or fragmented futures? Multi-scale mechanistic insights into cultivated land fragmentation in mountainous areas 破碎的景观还是破碎的未来?山区耕地破碎化的多尺度机理研究
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103662
Rui Yang , Li Pan , Zhixi Zhu , Yi Wang , Yi Zhong
Cultivated land fragmentation has long constrained economic-social development, particularly in mountainous regions. Classifying mountain types and analyzing the spatial heterogeneity and multi-scale mechanisms are essential to mitigation. Taking Guizhou Province, China as a case study, this study develops a geomorphic zone-county-township classification framework based on slope, elevation and terrain relief, identifying seven types: non-mountainous (NM), purely hilly (PH), semi-mountainous (SM), quasi-mountainous (QM), apparently mountainous (AM), Type II completely mountainous (ⅡCM), and Type I completely mountainous (ⅠCM). Integrating GIS, remote sensing and DEM data, and applying the entropy weight method to combine multi-dimensional indicators, the study analyzes the multi-scale mechanisms of farmland landscape fragmentation (FLF) in Guizhou's mountainous areas from 1990 to 2020. The results reveal that: (1) At the geomorphic-zone scale, eastern Yunnan and western Guizhou karst plateau subregion and low mountainous river valley subregion in southern Guizhou have the highest CLF, driven by both natural conditions and human activities; (2) At the county scale, ⅡCM and AM counties have the most severe FLF, SM counties show the fastest growth, and a sensitivity threshold emerges when the proportion of mountainous area reaches 80 %–95 %; (3) At the township scale, spatial heterogeneity is evident, with NM and ⅠCM townships experiencing accelerated fragmentation, while PH townships exhibit localized reverse trends, showing declines in FLF even as county-level averages increase. The study offers a transferable multi-scale classification framework and proposes scale-based farmland consolidation strategies, providing references for managing FLF in mountainous and hilly regions worldwide.
耕地细碎化长期以来一直制约着经济社会发展,特别是在山区。山地类型分类、空间异质性分析和多尺度机制分析是减灾研究的重要内容。以贵州省为例,建立了基于坡度、高程和地形起伏度的地貌带-县乡分类框架,划分出非山地(NM)、纯山地(PH)、半山地(SM)、准山地(QM)、明显山地(AM)、二类完全山地(ⅡCM)和一类完全山地(ⅠCM) 7种类型。综合GIS、遥感和DEM数据,运用熵权法结合多维指标,分析了1990 - 2020年贵州山区农田景观破碎化的多尺度机制。结果表明:①在地貌带尺度上,受自然条件和人类活动的共同驱动,滇东黔西喀斯特高原亚区和黔南低山河谷亚区CLF最高;(2)在县域尺度上,ⅡCM县和AM县FLF最严重,SM县增长最快,当山区占比达到80% ~ 95%时出现敏感性阈值;(3)在乡镇尺度上,空间异质性明显,NM和ⅠCM乡镇破碎化加速,而PH乡镇局部呈现相反趋势,即使在县级平均水平增加的情况下,FLF也呈现下降趋势。该研究提供了一个可转移的多尺度分类框架,并提出了基于尺度的耕地整治策略,为全球山地丘陵区水土流失管理提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Towards carbon neutrality: Developing an assessment framework for villages 迈向碳中和:为村庄制定评估框架
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103658
Hui Zhang , Xueying Tu , Yihui Zhao , Cheng Zhang , Yan Shi , Hongquan Wang , Yixiang Wang
Addressing climate change requires both global cooperation and local action. Mountainous rural areas, with their significant carbon sink potential, play a crucial yet under-explored role in achieving carbon neutrality. However, it is not clear how far these villages are from carbon neutrality. This study proposes a novel carbon neutrality assessment framework specifically designed for mountainous villages, integrating carbon emission reduction, sink, and community engagement to assess and guide local carbon neutrality efforts. Case studies in Baizhang Town and its six surrounding villages showed that the town and four villages achieved carbon neutrality, illustrating the framework's effectiveness in reducing emissions and enhancing sink. Theoretical analysis further supports the framework by providing insights into its applicability and scalability for rural communities. The framework offers a practical tool for local communities to manage carbon emissions and implement sustainable practices. This framework can be adapted to other rural areas, offering a model for carbon neutrality efforts across diverse mountainous regions.
应对气候变化既需要全球合作,也需要地方行动。山区农村地区具有巨大的碳汇潜力,在实现碳中和方面发挥着至关重要但尚未得到充分开发的作用。然而,目前尚不清楚这些村庄离碳中和还有多远。本研究提出了一个专门为山区村庄设计的新型碳中和评估框架,将碳减排、碳汇和社区参与整合起来,以评估和指导当地的碳中和工作。百丈镇及其周边6个村庄的案例研究表明,该镇和4个村庄实现了碳中和,说明了该框架在减少排放和增强碳汇方面的有效性。理论分析进一步支持该框架,为其在农村社区的适用性和可扩展性提供了见解。该框架为地方社区管理碳排放和实施可持续做法提供了一个实用工具。这一框架可以适用于其他农村地区,为不同山区的碳中和工作提供了一个模式。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Do the motivations behind home sales matter? Evidence from China's housing resale market” [Habitat International 166 (2025) 103625] “房屋销售背后的动机重要吗?”来自中国住房转售市场的证据”[Habitat International 166 (2025) 103625]
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103664
Yiqi Huang , Weida Kuang
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the impact of farmland fragmentation on green productivity in Yellow River Basin: A “quantity-spatial” scale effects perspective and EKC hypothesis test 黄河流域耕地破碎化对绿色生产力的影响:“数量-空间”尺度效应视角与EKC假设检验
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103653
Chaoqing Chai , Huadong Zhu , Haoyang Wang , Hui Zhang , Ronghao Wen , Yuanyuan Li , Peixue Xing , Wenhao Niu , Zhenhao Liu , Licheng Liu , Xiangbin Kong , Bangbang Zhang
Farmland fragmentation and green productivity are pivotal challenges in global agriculture, especially in ecologically fragile river basins where farming is crucial and the environment is precarious. Yet, the intensity and pathway through which county-level fragmentation undermine green productivity remain largely unexplored. This study examines 447 counties in the Yellow River basin using the CNLUCC dataset to calculate farmland fragmentation index (FFI). Utilizing panel data from 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020, we develop an assessment framework of farmland green productivity (FGP), which is estimated using a super-efficiency SBM model. Based on the “quantity-spatial” scale effects and Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) theory, this study develops a theoretical model of FFI's impact on FGP and conducts a comparative statics and green elasticity analysis. Furthermore, fixed effects, instrumental variable (IV), mediation, and moderation models are applied to empirically dissect the impact and underlying mechanism of FFI on FGP, complemented by heterogeneity analysis. Our results reveal that: (1) FFI exerts a significant negative influence on FGP, a finding that holds robust across various tests and remains consistent even when road network is used as an IV to address endogeneity. Specifically, a one-unit increase in FFI corresponds to a 0.438-unit decline in FGP, equivalent to a 69 % decrease; (2) the adverse impact of fragmentation on FGP varies markedly across location, topography, development statuses, and fragmentation intensity. In particular, rugged topography exacerbates the negative effect, especially in mountainous areas, while under high grain cropping structures, fragmentation more strongly suppresses FGP in plains by impeding mechanization and resource consolidation; (3) mechanism analysis indicates that FFI diminishes FGP primarily by shifts toward non-grain cropping structures, curtailing mechanization intensity, and escalating agrochemical inputs. Additionally, larger farm size serves to buffer the negative impacts of fragmentation. Furthermore, fragmentation delays the arrival of the EKC turning point. In light of these findings, policy measures should prioritize farmland consolidation, the optimization of cropping structures, the adoption of green technologies, and the expansion of farm size to foster agricultural sustainable intensification and mitigate the deleterious effects of fragmentation on green productivity.
耕地碎片化和绿色生产力是全球农业面临的关键挑战,特别是在生态脆弱的河流流域,那里的农业至关重要,环境岌岌可危。然而,县级碎片化破坏绿色生产力的强度和途径在很大程度上仍未得到探索。以黄河流域447个县域为研究对象,利用CNLUCC数据计算耕地破碎化指数(FFI)。本文利用2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2020年的面板数据,构建了农田绿色生产力(FGP)评估框架,并采用超效率SBM模型对其进行了估算。基于“数量-空间”尺度效应和环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)理论,建立了FFI对FGP影响的理论模型,并进行了比较静力学和绿色弹性分析。此外,本文运用固定效应、工具变量(IV)、中介和调节模型对FFI对FGP的影响和潜在机制进行实证剖析,并进行异质性分析。我们的研究结果表明:(1)FFI对FGP产生显著的负面影响,这一发现在各种测试中都保持稳健,即使将道路网络用作IV来解决内生性问题也保持一致。具体来说,FFI每增加一个单位,FGP就会减少0.438个单位,相当于减少69%;(2)破碎化对FGP的不利影响在地理位置、地形、开发状态和破碎化强度上存在显著差异。特别是,崎岖地形加剧了负面影响,特别是在山区,而在高粮食种植结构下,破碎化通过阻碍机械化和资源整合而更强烈地抑制了平原的FGP;(3)机制分析表明,农业生产对粮食产量的影响主要通过向非粮食种植结构转移、降低机械化强度和增加农化投入来实现。此外,较大的农场规模有助于缓冲碎片化的负面影响。此外,碎片化延迟了EKC拐点的到来。根据这些发现,政策措施应优先考虑农地整理、优化种植结构、采用绿色技术和扩大农场规模,以促进农业可持续集约化,减轻碎片化对绿色生产力的有害影响。
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引用次数: 0
Ecologizing total factor productivity in Chinese cities: Perspectives of technological heterogeneity and human habitat needs 中国城市全要素生产率的生态化:技术异质性与人类栖息地需求的视角
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103631
Chenchen Wang , Yaobin Liu , Baoliu Liu , Zhenhua He
How to ensure the steady improvement of economic benefits while effectively protecting the ecological environment has become a focal point of concern for China and the world. Drawing on the theories of strong sustainability, and considering regional technological heterogeneity and human habitat needs, this study employs a three-stage super-efficiency slack-based measure model based on a metafrontier to calculate the ecological total factor productivity (ETFP) of cities in China and its three major ecological functional regions from 2010 to 2021. This study presents the following findings. First, after excluding the effects of external environment and random factors, the efficiency values in the third stage effectively correcting the underestimation of ETFP in the first stage. Second, there are significant regional differences in the ETFP of Chinese cities under the two frontiers. It is characterized by human settlement guarantee > ecological regulation > product provision functional zone. Moreover, the three major ecological regions exhibit considerable technological heterogeneity. Furthermore, external environmental factors exert a more significant effect on cities' ETFP than internal management factors, offering an effective pathway for enhancing ETFP in Chinese cities. This study aims to provide multidimensional perspectives and effective strategies for integrating ecological and socioeconomic processes in China. Additionally, it hopes to offer valuable insights and inspiration for the global transition to a green, low-carbon economy and the enhancement of human well-being.
如何在确保经济效益稳步提高的同时,有效保护生态环境,已成为中国和世界关注的焦点。基于强可持续性理论,在考虑区域技术异质性和人类栖息地需求的基础上,采用基于超前沿的三阶段超效率测度模型,对2010 - 2021年中国城市及三大生态功能区的生态全要素生产率(ETFP)进行了计算。本研究得出以下结论。首先,在排除外部环境和随机因素的影响后,第三阶段的效率值有效地纠正了第一阶段对ETFP的低估。第二,中国两地城市的对外贸易生产率存在显著的区域差异。以人居保障、生态调控、产品供给功能区为特征。此外,三个主要生态区域表现出相当大的技术异质性。此外,外部环境因素对城市ETFP的影响比内部管理因素更显著,为提高中国城市ETFP提供了有效途径。本研究旨在为中国生态与社会经济过程的整合提供多维视角和有效策略。此外,它还希望为全球向绿色低碳经济转型和提高人类福祉提供有价值的见解和灵感。
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引用次数: 0
Do inter-governmental activities affect collaborative technological innovation? Evidence from Yangtze River Delta in China 政府间活动是否影响协同技术创新?来自中国长三角的证据
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103660
Zhaoyingzi Dong , Jiayan Shi , Yuanshuo Xu , Siqi Sun , Yan Wu , Xuelian Li
This study examines the impact of inter-governmental activities on collaborative technological innovation in the Yangtze River Delta, utilizing a dataset of invention patent authorizations and inter-governmental activities news from local government websites. The results reveal that inter-governmental activities significantly stimulate the growth of collaborative patents, underscoring their positive effects on cross-city technological innovation. Mechanism analysis indicates that inter-governmental activities promote the flow of innovative factors, enhance market attractiveness, and strengthen governmental resource allocation, all of which contribute to collaborative technological innovation. Heterogeneity analysis further shows that only inter-governmental activities of core-peripheral cities significantly enhances collaborative technological innovation, while activities between core-core or peripheral-peripheral cities do not show the same effect. Additionally, economically weaker cities yield greater innovation outcomes than stronger cities. These findings underscore the crucial but uneven role of inter-governmental activities in fostering cross-city technological innovation, highlighting important implications for promoting more equitable regional development.
本研究利用来自地方政府网站的发明专利授权数据集和政府间活动新闻,考察了政府间活动对长三角地区协同技术创新的影响。结果表明,政府间活动显著促进了协同专利的增长,对城市间技术创新具有显著的正向影响。机制分析表明,政府间活动促进了创新要素的流动,增强了市场吸引力,强化了政府资源配置,都有利于协同技术创新。异质性分析进一步表明,只有核心-周边城市的政府间活动显著促进了协同技术创新,而核心-核心或周边-周边城市的政府间活动并没有表现出同样的效果。此外,经济较弱的城市比经济较强的城市产生更大的创新成果。这些调查结果强调了政府间活动在促进跨城市技术创新方面的关键但不平衡的作用,突出了促进更公平的区域发展的重要影响。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial differentiation of cropland multifunctionality trade-offs and their drivers across urban-rural gradients: A case study of major grain-producing areas, China 农地多功能权衡的空间分异及其驱动因素——以中国主产区为例
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103661
Hongjie Peng , Xuesong Zhang , Ju He , Xiaowen Zhou , Qiuyu Zou , Pengfei Zhang
Coordinated development of cropland multifunctionality is crucial for optimizing land resource allocation and advancing agricultural sustainability. However, the spatial differentiation of cropland functions and their drivers across multiple urban-rural gradients have not been systematically explored, posing a significant barrier to achieving high-quality agricultural development. To broaden the research perspective, this study systematically evaluates the spatial differentiation of cropland production-living-ecological functions (PLEFs) across multiple urban-rural gradients in the Jianghan Plain. It further reveals the trade-offs and synergies among these functions and identifies their key drivers. The results show that cropland PLEFs exhibit significant spatial heterogeneity along the urban-rural gradient: rural clusters and low-density rural grid cells demonstrate relatively stronger production function (PF), while dense and semi-dense urban cluster grid cells exhibit higher living function (LF), and ecological function (EF) is particularly prominent in low-density rural grid cells. Across different gradients, cropland PLEFs exhibit complex nonlinear patterns of trade-offs and synergies, with rural areas showing PF-EF trade-offs driven by distinct mechanisms. PF-LF trade-offs along the urban-rural gradient first intensify moving from urban to rural areas and then gradually weaken. Moreover, cropland PLEFs are jointly shaped by human activities, climatic conditions, and geomorphic features, with their influences varying considerably across urban-rural gradients. Building on the identified trade-offs and drivers, this research proposes differentiated optimization strategies to foster coordinated economic, social, and ecological benefits. The findings offer scientific guidance for land-use planning, agricultural policy, and ecological conservation in major grain-producing areas, thereby supporting regional agricultural sustainability.
农田多功能协调发展是优化土地资源配置、促进农业可持续发展的关键。然而,耕地功能的空间分异及其驱动因素在多城乡梯度上尚未得到系统的探索,这对实现农业高质量发展构成了重大障碍。为了拓宽研究视角,本研究系统评价了江汉平原农田生产-生活-生态功能(PLEFs)在城乡梯度上的空间分异。它进一步揭示了这些功能之间的权衡和协同作用,并确定了它们的关键驱动因素。结果表明:在城乡梯度上,耕地plef表现出显著的空间异质性:农村集群和低密度农村网格细胞具有较强的生产功能(PF),而密集和半密集的城市群网格细胞具有较高的生活功能(LF),而低密度农村网格细胞的生态功能(EF)尤为突出。在不同的梯度中,农田plef表现出复杂的非线性权衡和协同效应模式,农村地区表现出由不同机制驱动的PF-EF权衡。城乡梯度上的PF-LF权衡首先从城市向农村加剧,然后逐渐减弱。此外,耕地PLEFs是由人类活动、气候条件和地貌特征共同塑造的,其影响在城乡梯度上差异很大。在此基础上,本研究提出了差异化的优化策略,以促进经济、社会和生态效益的协调。研究结果可为粮食主产区土地利用规划、农业政策和生态保护提供科学指导,从而支持区域农业可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Identification of urban functional zones in mountainous cities based on multi-source data and voting ensemble methods: A case study of Chongqing, China 基于多源数据和投票集合方法的山地城市功能区识别——以重庆市为例
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103648
Meiling Zeng , Yuechen Li , Tao Lu , Bo He , Zihua Qian , Fang Wang , Qiao Huang , Rongxiang Wang
The identification of urban functional areas is crucial in urban planning, development, and resource management. Existing studies predominantly focus on cities located on plains, with relatively few studies having been conducted on functional area identification in mountainous cities. Hence, in this study, we propose a framework for identifying functional zones in mountainous urban areas based on multi-source data fusion and majority voting ensemble methods. This framework integrates features from multiple sources including building morphology, point of interest (POI) tag attributes, and high-resolution remote sensing imagery. Dimensionality reduction of features is performed using recursive feature elimination (RFE) and principal component analysis (PCA). Subsequently, the dimensionality reduced feature data are used to train the base model, before functional area classification is performed using the majority voting method. In our case study of the central urban district of Chongqing, this method achieves overall accuracies of 85.74 % and 82.04 % for primary- and secondary-level functional zone identification, respectively. This demonstrates the applicability and superiority of multi-source data fusion methods in complex terrains. This study provides important support for improving urban functional zone identification accuracy and optimizing urban planning and management. Moreover, it offers a valuable reference for functional zone identification in cities with similar terrain.
城市功能区的确定对城市规划、发展和资源管理至关重要。现有研究主要集中在平原城市,对山地城市功能区识别的研究相对较少。基于此,本文提出了一种基于多源数据融合和多数投票集成方法的山地城市功能区识别框架。该框架集成了来自多个来源的功能,包括建筑形态、兴趣点(POI)标签属性和高分辨率遥感图像。采用递归特征消去(RFE)和主成分分析(PCA)对特征进行降维。随后,使用降维特征数据训练基模型,然后使用多数投票法进行功能区分类。以重庆市中心城区为例,该方法在一级和二级功能区识别上的总体准确率分别为85.74%和82.04%。这证明了多源数据融合方法在复杂地形中的适用性和优越性。该研究为提高城市功能区识别精度、优化城市规划管理提供了重要支撑。为类似地形城市的功能区识别提供了有价值的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the hollowing risk of rural settlements in China using a bottom-up and region-adapted framework 基于自下而上和区域适应性框架的中国农村居民点空心化风险评估
IF 7 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.habitatint.2025.103659
Cong Ou , Yansui Liu , Jieyong Wang , Xuanchang Zhang , Yaqun Liu
Prolonged and unidirectional rural-to-urban migration has intensified rural hollowing and led to the emergence of numerous “hollow villages”, posing a significant threat to the sustainability of rural development. However, the complexity of human-earth coupling makes it difficult to achieve a fine-scale assessment of this phenomenon at the national scale. To address this gap, a bottom-up and region-adapted assessment framework based on human-earth system theory and multiple open-access data sources is proposed to assess the dynamic patterns of rural settlement (RUS) hollowing risk in China over the past two decades. The results show that the vitality of RUS in China declined from 4.12 in 2000 to 3.12 in 2020, with approximately 50 % of RUS concentrating 80 % of the rural population. The area of rural residential land with high potential for land consolidation increased from 74,109.21 km2 in 2010 to 95,420.31 km2 in 2020, primarily concentrated in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain and the Northeast Plain. The intensification of RUS hollowing risk is mainly driven by the spatial spillover effects of urbanization and the level of socioeconomic development within counties. By leveraging publicly available data with a cost-effective assessment framework, this study not only provides scientific support for spatially refined rural planning and governance but also offers policy implications for promoting rational county urbanization under China's evolving development context.
长期和单向的农村向城市迁移加剧了农村空心化,导致大量“空心化村”的出现,对农村发展的可持续性构成重大威胁。然而,由于人地耦合的复杂性,很难在国家尺度上对这一现象进行精细的评估。为了弥补这一空白,基于人地系统理论和多种开放获取数据源,提出了一个自下而上的区域适应评估框架,以评估过去20年中国农村聚落空心化风险的动态模式。结果表明,中国农村人口活力从2000年的4.12下降到2020年的3.12,约50%的农村人口集中了80%的农村人口。农村居民点整治潜力区面积从2010年的74,109.21 km2增加到2020年的95,420.31 km2,主要集中在黄淮海平原和东北平原。县域内城市化的空间溢出效应和县域内社会经济发展水平是推动农村空心化风险加剧的主要因素。通过利用公开数据和成本效益评估框架,本研究不仅为空间细化农村规划和治理提供科学支持,而且为中国发展背景下促进县域合理城镇化提供政策启示。
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