Urban sprawl is a significant driving factor for the urban spatial disorder and social inequality. However, existing studies have rarely analysed its causes from the perspective of housing equity. This paper explores the impact of affordable housing supply on urban sprawl by integrating NPP-OLS nighttime light data, LandScan global population data, and panel data from 269 Chinese cities between 2011 and 2022, an empirical test is conducted. The results indicate that affordable housing supply significantly influences urban sprawl. The influence path analysis indicates that although affordable housing supply can mitigate urban sprawl by crowding out land allocated for commercial housing, spatial spillover effects associated with its location choices may directly exacerbate urban sprawl. Moreover, in the short term, affordable housing can moderate housing prices through demand substitution and thus mitigate urban sprawl. However, continued urbanization progress may reverse and intensify sprawl in the long run. Further analysis indicates that this effect exhibits significant variation across industrial structures, administrative level and population size. This study concludes that the affordable housing supply should break away from the path dependence of merely pursuing growth in construction indicators, and instead focus on aligning with the characteristics of urbanization stages. It also emphasizes optimizing the spatial layout of affordable housing to achieve the dual goals of housing equity and compact urban development.
扫码关注我们
求助内容:
应助结果提醒方式:
